Monetary Growth and Exchange Rate Depreciation As Causes of Inflation in African Countries

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1451848838
Total Pages : 49 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (518 download)

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Book Synopsis Monetary Growth and Exchange Rate Depreciation As Causes of Inflation in African Countries by : Mr.Elie Canetti

Download or read book Monetary Growth and Exchange Rate Depreciation As Causes of Inflation in African Countries written by Mr.Elie Canetti and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1991-07-01 with total page 49 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper examines the relative importance of monetary growth and exchange rate depreciation as causes of inflation in a sample of 10 Sub-Saharan African countries. Causality tests and impulse response functions derived from vector autoregression (VAR) analysis suggest that both monetary expansion and exchange rate adjustments cause inflation in a number of these countries. However, the failure of the tests to attribute the bulk of the variance in inflation in most of the countries to either variable suggests either a problem with the statistical technique or that some other factor--perhaps structural bottlenecks or a measure of overall macroeconomic policy stance incorporating both monetary and exchange rate policy--may be even more important as a determinant of inflation in African countries.

Monetary Growth and Exchange Rate Depreciation as Causes of Inflation in African Countries

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 49 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (129 download)

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Book Synopsis Monetary Growth and Exchange Rate Depreciation as Causes of Inflation in African Countries by : Elie Canetti

Download or read book Monetary Growth and Exchange Rate Depreciation as Causes of Inflation in African Countries written by Elie Canetti and published by . This book was released on 2006 with total page 49 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper examines the relative importance of monetary growth and exchange rate depreciation as causes of inflation In a sample of 10 Sub-Saharan African countries. Causality tests and impulse response functions derived from vector autoregression (VAR) analysis suggest that both monetary expansion and exchange rate adjustments cause inflation in a number of these countries. However, the failure of the tests to attribute the bulk of the variance in inflation in most of the countries to either variable suggests either a problem with the statistical technique or that some other factor--perhaps structural bottlenecks or a measure of overall macroeconomic policy stance incorporating both monetary and exchange rate policy--may be even more Important as a determinant of inflation in African countries.

Inflation in African Countries

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1451953658
Total Pages : 22 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (519 download)

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Book Synopsis Inflation in African Countries by : International Monetary Fund

Download or read book Inflation in African Countries written by International Monetary Fund and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1989-10-19 with total page 22 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Since the mid-1970s the annual inflation rate in Africa has averaged more than 15 percent, with many countries experiencing rates of 20 percent or more. Inflation rates of this magnitude have significant adverse effects on the financial sectors of African countries, particularly in the context of fixed nominal interest rates. Econometric analysis points strongly to monetary expansion as a major cause of inflation in African countries generally. Exchange rate depreciation is also associated with higher inflation, although in some countries the domestic currency was depreciated to offset the effects of recent inflation, rather than being a cause of inflation.

Exchange Rate Liberalization in Selected Sub-Saharan African Countries Successes, Failures, and Lessons

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1557756694
Total Pages : 71 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (577 download)

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Book Synopsis Exchange Rate Liberalization in Selected Sub-Saharan African Countries Successes, Failures, and Lessons by : Mr.Nils Øyvind Mæhle

Download or read book Exchange Rate Liberalization in Selected Sub-Saharan African Countries Successes, Failures, and Lessons written by Mr.Nils Øyvind Mæhle and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2013-01-31 with total page 71 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Many sub-Saharan African (SSA) countries liberalized their economies in the 1980s and early 1990s. This paper reviews the foreign exchange regime reforms in selected SSA, and their associated macroeconomic policies and economic performance during and after these reforms were undertaken. Before liberalization, most of the reviewed countries were characterized by extensive foreign exchange rationing, sizeable black market premiums, and declining per capita real income. Today, the countries that successfully reformed look markedly different. Rationing and parallel market spreads are a distant memory, and per capita income has increased sharply.

Africa's Rising Inflation

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Author :
Publisher : World Bank Publications
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 35 pages
Book Rating : 4./5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Africa's Rising Inflation by : Ajay Chhibber

Download or read book Africa's Rising Inflation written by Ajay Chhibber and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 1991 with total page 35 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Is there a link between devaluation and high inflation? It depends on accompanying monetary and fiscal policies and the presence of parallel markets. An open capital account would curtail fiscal profligacy and provide price stability without jeopardizing growth.

FDI to Africa

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1451842716
Total Pages : 42 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (518 download)

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Book Synopsis FDI to Africa by : Mr.Kenneth Rogoff

Download or read book FDI to Africa written by Mr.Kenneth Rogoff and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2003-01-01 with total page 42 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Africa lags behind other regions in attracting foreign direct investment (FDI). In some circumstances, there are obvious explanations for the absence of FDI, such as a high incidence of war. In this paper, we examine the role that monetary and exchange rate policy may have played in explaining this outcome. Specifically, we document the incidence of inflationary episodes and currency crashes in order to compare countries within the region as well as to make comparisons with other regions. Furthermore, since monetary policy can range from very transparent to very opaque, we assess Africa's track record with dual and parallel markets. We use the parallel market premia as an indicator of the degree of distortions and extent of transparency. Our findings suggest that this is a promising line of inquiry because Africa does stand apart from other regions in this measure of transparency. We also discuss some of the fiscal underpinnings of Africa's bouts with high inflation.

Monetary Policy in Sub-Saharan Africa

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Publisher : Oxford University Press
ISBN 13 : 019878581X
Total Pages : 474 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (987 download)

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Book Synopsis Monetary Policy in Sub-Saharan Africa by : Andrew Berg

Download or read book Monetary Policy in Sub-Saharan Africa written by Andrew Berg and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 2018-04-27 with total page 474 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Low-income countries in sub-Saharan Africa present unique monetary policy challenges, from the high share of volatile food in consumption to underdeveloped financial markets; however most academic and policy work on monetary policy is aimed at much richer countries. Can economic models and methods invented for rich countries even be adapted and applied here? How does and should monetary policy work in sub-Saharan African? Monetary Policy in Sub-Saharan Africa answers these questions and provides practical tools and policy guidance to respond to the complex challenges of this region. Most countries in sub-Saharan Africa have made great progress in stabilizing inflation over the past two decades. As they have achieved a degree of basic macroeconomic stability, policymakers are looking to avoid policy misalignments and respond appropriately to shocks in order to achieve stability and growth. Officially, they often have adopted "money targeting" frameworks, a regime that has long disappeared from almost all advanced and even emerging-market discussions. In practice, though, they are in many cases finding current regimes lacking, with opaque and sometimes inconsistent objectives, inadequate transmission of policy to the economy, and difficulties in responding to supply shocks. Monetary Policy in Sub-Saharan Africa takes a new approach by applying dynamic general equilibrium models suitably adapted to reflect key features of low-income countries for the analysis of monetary policy in sub-Saharan African countries. Using a progressive approach derived from the International Monetary Fund's extensive practice and research, Monetary Policy in Sub-Saharan Africa seeks to address what we know about the empirics of monetary transmission in low-income countries, how monetary policy can work in countries characterized by underdeveloped financial markets and opaque policy regimes, and how we can use empirical and theoretical methods largely derived in advanced countries to answer these questions. It then uses these key topics to guide policymakers as they attempt to adjust food price, terms of trade, aid shocks, and the effects of the global financial crisis.

Exchange Rate Pass-Through in Sub-Saharan African Economies and its Determinants

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Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1475530021
Total Pages : 57 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (755 download)

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Book Synopsis Exchange Rate Pass-Through in Sub-Saharan African Economies and its Determinants by : Mr.Ivohasina Fizara Razafimahefa

Download or read book Exchange Rate Pass-Through in Sub-Saharan African Economies and its Determinants written by Mr.Ivohasina Fizara Razafimahefa and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2012-06-01 with total page 57 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper analyzes the exchange rate pass-through to domestic prices and its determinants in sub-Saharan African countries. It finds that the pass-through is incomplete. The pass-through is larger following a depreciation than after an appreciation of the local currency. The average elasticity is estimated at about 0.4. It is lower in countries with more flexible exchange rate regimes and in countries with a higher income. A low inflation environment, a prudent monetary policy, and a sustainable fiscal policy are associated with a lower pass-through. The degree of pass-through has declined in the SSA region since the mid-1990s following marked improvements in macroeconomic and political environments.

Exchange Rate Policy and Inflation

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 44 pages
Book Rating : 4.F/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Exchange Rate Policy and Inflation by : Barbara Mbire Barungi

Download or read book Exchange Rate Policy and Inflation written by Barbara Mbire Barungi and published by . This book was released on 1997 with total page 44 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Inflation Targeting and Exchange Rate Management In Less Developed Countries

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Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1475523165
Total Pages : 65 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (755 download)

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Book Synopsis Inflation Targeting and Exchange Rate Management In Less Developed Countries by : Mr. Marco Airaudo

Download or read book Inflation Targeting and Exchange Rate Management In Less Developed Countries written by Mr. Marco Airaudo and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2016-03-08 with total page 65 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We analyze coordination of monetary and exchange rate policy in a two-sector model of a small open economy featuring imperfect substitution between domestic and foreign financial assets. Our central finding is that management of the exchange rate greatly enhances the efficacy of inflation targeting. In a flexible exchange rate system, inflation targeting incurs a high risk of indeterminacy where macroeconomic fluctuations can be driven by self-fulfilling expectations. Moreover, small inflation shocks may escalate into much larger increases in inflation ex post. Both problems disappear when the central bank leans heavily against the wind in a managed float.

Effect of Exchange Rate Movements on Inflation in Sub-Saharan Africa

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Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 36 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (2 download)

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Book Synopsis Effect of Exchange Rate Movements on Inflation in Sub-Saharan Africa by : Laurent Kemoe

Download or read book Effect of Exchange Rate Movements on Inflation in Sub-Saharan Africa written by Laurent Kemoe and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2024-03-15 with total page 36 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper provides new evidence on the exchange rate passthrough to domestic inflation in Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) using both bilateral US dollar exchange rate and the nominal effective exchange rate (NEER), and monthly data. We find that depreciations cause sizable increases in domestic inflation. The passthrough in SSA is higher than in other regions and its magnitude depends on the exchange rate regime, type of exchange rate (bilateral versus NEER), natural resource endowment and domestic market competitiveness. The passthrough is found to be disproportionately larger and more persistent for large depreciation shocks, and for exchange rate changes that are more persistent. We also find evidence of asymmetry, with passthrough eight times stronger during depreciations than appreciations. Additional findings suggest that improved monetary policy effectiveness is an important driver of our observed declining estimates of exchange rate passthrough over time, supporting the long-standing view that strengthening monetary policy frameworks and credibility helps mitigate the impact of depreciations on inflation.

Exchange Rate Depreciation, Budget Deficit, and Inflation

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 62 pages
Book Rating : 4.F/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Exchange Rate Depreciation, Budget Deficit, and Inflation by : Festus O. Egwaikhide

Download or read book Exchange Rate Depreciation, Budget Deficit, and Inflation written by Festus O. Egwaikhide and published by . This book was released on 1994 with total page 62 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

On the Drivers of Inflation in Sub-Saharan Africa

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Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1513583018
Total Pages : 28 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (135 download)

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Book Synopsis On the Drivers of Inflation in Sub-Saharan Africa by : Anh D. M. Nguyen

Download or read book On the Drivers of Inflation in Sub-Saharan Africa written by Anh D. M. Nguyen and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2015-08-05 with total page 28 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The perception that inflation dynamics in Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) are driven by supply shocks implies a limited role for monetary policy in influencing inflation in the short run. SSA’s rapid growth, its integration with the global economy, changes in the policy frameworks, among others, in the last decade suggest that the drivers of inflation may have changed. We quantitatively analyze inflation dynamics in SSA using a Global VAR model, which incorporates trade and financial linkages among economies, as well as the role of regional and global demand and inflationary spillovers. We find that in the past 25 years, the main drivers of inflation have been domestic supply shocks and shocks to exchange rate and monetary variables; but that, in recent years, the contribution of these shocks to inflation has fallen. Domestic demand pressures as well as global shocks, and particularly shocks to output, however, have played a larger role in driving inflation over the last decade. We also show that country characteristics matter—the extent of oil and food imports, vulnerability to weather shocks, economic importance of agriculture, trade openness and policy regime, among others, help in explaining the role of shocks.

Monetary and Exchange Rate Policy in Kenya

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 50 pages
Book Rating : 4.F/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Monetary and Exchange Rate Policy in Kenya by : Njuguna Ndung'u

Download or read book Monetary and Exchange Rate Policy in Kenya written by Njuguna Ndung'u and published by . This book was released on 1999 with total page 50 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Dollarization in Sub-Saharan Africa

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1498368476
Total Pages : 75 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (983 download)

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Book Synopsis Dollarization in Sub-Saharan Africa by : Mr.Mauro Mecagni

Download or read book Dollarization in Sub-Saharan Africa written by Mr.Mauro Mecagni and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2015-05-15 with total page 75 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Dollarization—the use of foreign currencies as a medium of exchange, store of value, or unit of account—is a notable feature of financial development under macroeconomically fragile conditions. It has emerged as a key factor explaining vulnerabilities and currency crises, which have long been observed in Latin America, parts of Asia, and Eastern Europe. Dollarization is also present, prominently, in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) where it remains significant and persistent at over 30 percent rates for both bank loans and deposits—although it has not increased significantly since 2001. However, progress in reducing dollarization has lagged behind other regions and, in this regard, it is legitimate to ask whether this phenomenon is an important concern in SSA. This study fills a gap in the literature by analyzing these issues with specific reference to the SSA region on the basis of the evidence for the past decade.

Drivers of Growth

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1475516487
Total Pages : 38 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (755 download)

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Book Synopsis Drivers of Growth by : Mr.Manuk Ghazanchyan

Download or read book Drivers of Growth written by Mr.Manuk Ghazanchyan and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2013-11-22 with total page 38 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This study examines the drivers of growth in Sub-Saharan African countries, using aggregate data, from the past decade. We correlate recent growth experience to key determinants of growth, including private and public investment, government consumption, the exchange regime and real exchange rate, and current account liberalization, using various econometric methodologies, including fixed and random effects models, with cluster-robust standard errors. We find that, depending on the specification, higher private and public investments boost growth. Some evidence is found that government consumption exerts a drag on growth and that more flexible exchange regimes are beneficial to growth. The real exchange rate and liberalization variables are not significant.

Food Inflation in Sub-Saharan Africa

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 147556824X
Total Pages : 40 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (755 download)

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Book Synopsis Food Inflation in Sub-Saharan Africa by : Mr.Emre Alper

Download or read book Food Inflation in Sub-Saharan Africa written by Mr.Emre Alper and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2017-01-18 with total page 40 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper analyzes food inflation trends in Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) from 2000 to 2016 using two novel datasets of disaggregated CPI baskets. Average food inflation is higher, more volatile, and similarly persistent as non-food non-fuel (NF/NF) inflation, especially in low-income countries (LICs) in SSA. We find evidence that food inflation became less persistent from 2009 onwards, related to recent improvements in monetary policy frameworks. We also find that high food prices are driven mainly by non-tradable food in SSA and there is incomplete pass-through from world food and fuel prices and exchange rates to domestic food prices. Taken together, these finding suggest that central banks in low-income countries with high and persistent food inflation should continue to pay attention to headline inflation to anchor inflation expectations. Other policy levers include reducing tariffs and improving storage and transport infrastructure to reduce food pressures.