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Models Of The Oil Market
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Book Synopsis Models of the Oil Market by : J. Crémer
Download or read book Models of the Oil Market written by J. Crémer and published by Taylor & Francis. This book was released on 2013-07-04 with total page 128 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Economists have proposed a large variety of models of the oil market and this survey integrates them in a coherent framework.
Book Synopsis Models of the Oil Market by : Jacques Crémer
Download or read book Models of the Oil Market written by Jacques Crémer and published by . This book was released on 1991 with total page 106 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Oil Prices and the Global Economy by : Mr.Rabah Arezki
Download or read book Oil Prices and the Global Economy written by Mr.Rabah Arezki and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2017-01-27 with total page 30 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper presents a simple macroeconomic model of the oil market. The model incorporates features of oil supply such as depletion, endogenous oil exploration and extraction, as well as features of oil demand such as the secular increase in demand from emerging-market economies, usage efficiency, and endogenous demand responses. The model provides, inter alia, a useful analytical framework to explore the effects of: a change in world GDP growth; a change in the efficiency of oil usage; and a change in the supply of oil. Notwithstanding that shale oil production today is more responsive to prices than conventional oil, our analysis suggests that an era of prolonged low oil prices is likely to be followed by a period where oil prices overshoot their long-term upward trend.
Book Synopsis World Market Price of Oil by : Adalat Muradov
Download or read book World Market Price of Oil written by Adalat Muradov and published by Springer. This book was released on 2019-04-10 with total page 184 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book develops new econometric models to analyze and forecast the world market price of oil. The authors construct ARIMA and Trend models to forecast oil prices, taking into consideration outside factors such as political turmoil and solar activity on the price of oil. Incorporating historical and contemporary market trends, the authors are able to make medium and long-term forecasting results. In the first chapter, the authors perform a broad spectrum analysis of the theoretical and methodological challenges of oil price forecasting. In the second chapter, the authors build and test the econometric models needed for the forecasts. The final chapter of the text brings together the conclusions they reached through applying the models to their research. This book will be useful to students in economics, particularly those in upper-level courses on forecasting and econometrics as well as to politicians and policy makers in oil-producing countries, oil importing countries, and relevant international organizations.
Book Synopsis Conceptual Framework for Understanding Simulation Models of the World Oil Market by : Stanford University. Energy Modeling Forum
Download or read book Conceptual Framework for Understanding Simulation Models of the World Oil Market written by Stanford University. Energy Modeling Forum and published by . This book was released on 1981 with total page 18 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis OPEC's Market Power by : Rolf Golombek
Download or read book OPEC's Market Power written by Rolf Golombek and published by . This book was released on 2013 with total page 42 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Oil Prices and GCC Stock Markets: New Evidence from Smooth Transition Models by : Nidhaleddine Ben Cheikh
Download or read book Oil Prices and GCC Stock Markets: New Evidence from Smooth Transition Models written by Nidhaleddine Ben Cheikh and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2018-05-09 with total page 35 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Our paper examines the effect of oil price changes on Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) stock markets using nonlinear smooth transition regression (STR) models. Contrary to conventional wisdom, our empirical results reveal that GCC stock markets do not have similar sensitivities to oil price changes. We document the presence of stock market returns’ asymmetric reactions in some GCC countries, but not for others. In Kuwait’s case, negative oil price changes exert larger impacts on stock returns than positive oil price changes. When considering the asymmetry with respect to the magnitude of oil price variation, we find that Oman’s and Qatar’s stock markets are more sensitive to large oil price changes than to small ones. Our results highlight the importance of economic stabilization and reform policies that can potentially reduce the sensitivity of stock returns to oil price changes, especially with regard to the existence of asymmetric behavior.
Book Synopsis Oil Market Simulation Model Documentation Report by : Michael Grillot
Download or read book Oil Market Simulation Model Documentation Report written by Michael Grillot and published by . This book was released on 1983 with total page 164 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Peaks, Spikes, and Barrels by : Ms.Malika Pant
Download or read book Peaks, Spikes, and Barrels written by Ms.Malika Pant and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2010-08-01 with total page 19 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Global oil markets were roiled by sharp price swings in 2008, and economists are still divided over the reasons for the unusual volatility. Those emphasizing fundamentals point to inelastic supply and demand curves, others view the phenomenon mostly as a result of financial investors flocking into commodity markets. This paper attempts to infer the strength of these competing hypotheses, using a simultaneous equation model that enables us to undertake a separate analysis of supply and demand factors. The model broadly captures both the surge and subsequent fall in prices, with a particularly strong impact of demand factors. The model captures a strong effect of a measure for global liquidity but does not find support for a speculative motive.
Book Synopsis Oil Price Volatility and the Role of Speculation by : Samya Beidas-Strom
Download or read book Oil Price Volatility and the Role of Speculation written by Samya Beidas-Strom and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2014-12-12 with total page 34 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: How much does speculation contribute to oil price volatility? We revisit this contentious question by estimating a sign-restricted structural vector autoregression (SVAR). First, using a simple storage model, we show that revisions to expectations regarding oil market fundamentals and the effect of mispricing in oil derivative markets can be observationally equivalent in a SVAR model of the world oil market à la Kilian and Murphy (2013), since both imply a positive co-movement of oil prices and inventories. Second, we impose additional restrictions on the set of admissible models embodying the assumption that the impact from noise trading shocks in oil derivative markets is temporary. Our additional restrictions effectively put a bound on the contribution of speculation to short-term oil price volatility (lying between 3 and 22 percent). This estimated short-run impact is smaller than that of flow demand shocks but possibly larger than that of flow supply shocks.
Book Synopsis A World Equilibrium Model of the Oil Market by : Gideon Bornstein
Download or read book A World Equilibrium Model of the Oil Market written by Gideon Bornstein and published by . This book was released on 2017 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We use new, comprehensive micro data on oil fields to build and estimate a structural model of the oil industry embedded in a general equilibrium model of the world economy. In the model, firms that belong to OPEC act as a cartel. The remaining firms are a competitive fringe. We use the model to study the macroeconomic impact of the advent of fracking. Fracking weakens the OPEC cartel, leading to a large long-run decline in oil prices. Fracking also reduces the volatility of oil prices in the long run because fracking firms can respond more quickly to changes in oil demand.
Book Synopsis Drivers of Oil Prices: The Usefulness and Limitations of Non- Structural Model, the Demand-Supply Framework and Informal Approaches by : Bassam Fattouh
Download or read book Drivers of Oil Prices: The Usefulness and Limitations of Non- Structural Model, the Demand-Supply Framework and Informal Approaches written by Bassam Fattouh and published by . This book was released on 2022 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Structural Comparison of Ten Models of the World Oil Market; Draft 1 by : Stanford University. Energy Modeling Forum
Download or read book Structural Comparison of Ten Models of the World Oil Market; Draft 1 written by Stanford University. Energy Modeling Forum and published by . This book was released on 1980 with total page 40 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Learning Deep Architectures for AI by : Yoshua Bengio
Download or read book Learning Deep Architectures for AI written by Yoshua Bengio and published by Now Publishers Inc. This book was released on 2009 with total page 145 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Theoretical results suggest that in order to learn the kind of complicated functions that can represent high-level abstractions (e.g. in vision, language, and other AI-level tasks), one may need deep architectures. Deep architectures are composed of multiple levels of non-linear operations, such as in neural nets with many hidden layers or in complicated propositional formulae re-using many sub-formulae. Searching the parameter space of deep architectures is a difficult task, but learning algorithms such as those for Deep Belief Networks have recently been proposed to tackle this problem with notable success, beating the state-of-the-art in certain areas. This paper discusses the motivations and principles regarding learning algorithms for deep architectures, in particular those exploiting as building blocks unsupervised learning of single-layer models such as Restricted Boltzmann Machines, used to construct deeper models such as Deep Belief Networks.
Book Synopsis Critical Improvements in Oil Market Modeling by : Michael Gucwa
Download or read book Critical Improvements in Oil Market Modeling written by Michael Gucwa and published by . This book was released on 2013 with total page 28 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The complexity of the world oil market has increased dramatically in recent years and new approaches are needed to understand, model, and forecast oil prices today. Many models have been explored and most of the papers and modeling projects referenced in this paper identify their own short-comings and opportunities for future improvements. The reason to choose those models is they have been largely used due to their quality and contribution to their targeted objectives. Rather, this paper will focus on what remains to be done despite of the quality of research reviewed. Considering the complexity of the oil market including the roles of market actors, technical and engineering challenges, environmental issues, and political interests, the modeling challenge would be difficult enough in static conditions. In fact, the oil market is a constantly evolving system requiring the development of new theories and methods to address the questions of the day. The spirit of this paper is to present constructive approaches for future work rather than to provide formal assessment of models on any particular metric.
Book Synopsis Oil Prices and the Global Economy by : Mr.Rabah Arezki
Download or read book Oil Prices and the Global Economy written by Mr.Rabah Arezki and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2017-02-10 with total page 30 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper presents a simple macroeconomic model of the oil market. The model incorporates features of oil supply such as depletion, endogenous oil exploration and extraction, as well as features of oil demand such as the secular increase in demand from emerging-market economies, usage efficiency, and endogenous demand responses. The model provides, inter alia, a useful analytical framework to explore the effects of: a change in world GDP growth; a change in the efficiency of oil usage; and a change in the supply of oil. Notwithstanding that shale oil production today is more responsive to prices than conventional oil, our analysis suggests that an era of prolonged low oil prices is likely to be followed by a period where oil prices overshoot their long-term upward trend.
Book Synopsis A Model of the Crude Oil Market in which Market Conduct Varies by : Paul Geroski
Download or read book A Model of the Crude Oil Market in which Market Conduct Varies written by Paul Geroski and published by . This book was released on 1985 with total page 24 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
