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Models Of Price Forecasting Applied To Futures Contracts Of Live Cattle At The Brazilian Futures Market Bmf
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Book Synopsis Models of Price Forecasting Applied to Futures Contracts of Live Cattle at the Brazilian Futures Market - Bm&F. by : Aureliano A. Bressan
Download or read book Models of Price Forecasting Applied to Futures Contracts of Live Cattle at the Brazilian Futures Market - Bm&F. written by Aureliano A. Bressan and published by . This book was released on 2003 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper studies the applicability of time series models as a decision tool of buy and sell orders of live cattle futures contracts in the Brazilian Futures Market (BMamp;F), on dates close to expiration. The models considered are: ARIMA, Neural Networks and Dynamic Linear Models - DLM (this in the classic and bayesian approach). Weekly data, of the spot and futures markets, from 1996 to 1999, are used to calculate the forecasts. The main purpose is to calculate the returns, in buy/sell orders of live cattle futures between 1998 and 1999, in order to show the potentials or limitations of each model. The results show positive returns in almost all contracts analyzed, indicating the potential of the models as a decision tool in operating with futures contracts close to expiration date, with distinction on the performance of the Classic DLM and ARIMA models, although some differences in forecasting accuracy.
Book Synopsis Price-Forecasting Models for Live Cattle Futures, Apr-2021 LE=F Stock by : Ton Viet Ta
Download or read book Price-Forecasting Models for Live Cattle Futures, Apr-2021 LE=F Stock written by Ton Viet Ta and published by . This book was released on 2021-03-12 with total page 86 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: https: //www.dinhxa.com One-Week Free Trial (subject to change) Do you want to earn up to a 409% annual return on your money by two trades per day on Live Cattle Futures, Apr-2021 LE=F Stock? Reading this book is the only way to have a specific strategy. This book offers you a chance to trade LE=F Stock at predicted prices. Eight methods for buying and selling LE=F Stock at predicted low/high prices are introduced. These prices are very close to the lowest and highest prices of the stock in a day. All methods are explained in a very easy-to-understand way by using many examples, formulas, figures, and tables. The BIG DATA of the 3833 consecutive trading days (from March 4, 2002 to March 4, 2021) are utilized. The methods do not require any background on mathematics from readers. Furthermore, they are easy to use. Each takes you no more than 30 seconds for calculation to obtain a specific predicted price. The methods are not transient. They cannot be beaten by Mr. Market in several years, even until the stock doubles its current age. They are traits of Mr. Market. The reason is that the author uses the law of large numbers in the probability theory to construct them. In other words, you can use the methods in a long time without worrying about their change. The efficiency of the methods can be checked easily. Just compare the predicted prices with the actual price of the stock while referring to the probabilities of success which are shown clearly in the book (click the LOOK INSIDE button to read more information before buying this book). The book is very useful for Investors who have decided to buy the stock and keep it for a long time (as the strategy of Warren Buffett), or to sell the stock and pay attention to other stocks. The methods will help them to maximize profits for their decision. Day traders who buy and sell the stock many times in a day. Although each method is valid one time per day, the information from the methods will help the traders buy/sell the stock in the second time, third time or more in a day. Beginners to LE=F Stock. The book gives an insight about the behavior of the stock. They will surely gain their knowledge of LE=F Stock after reading the book. Everyone who wants to know about the U.S. stock market. https: //www.dinhxa.com includes a software (app) for stock price forecasting using the methods in this book. The software gives 114 predictions while this book gives 16. One-Week Free Trial (subject to change)
Book Synopsis An Integrated Model of Price Volatility in the Live Cattle Futures Market by : Kevin Joe Evans
Download or read book An Integrated Model of Price Volatility in the Live Cattle Futures Market written by Kevin Joe Evans and published by . This book was released on 1993 with total page 332 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Futures Prices as Embedded Forecasts by : Maurice Wilkinson
Download or read book Futures Prices as Embedded Forecasts written by Maurice Wilkinson and published by . This book was released on 1985 with total page 32 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis A Quarterly Feeder Cattle Price Forecasting Model with Application Towards the Development of a Futures Market Strategy by : Paul Kenneth Blakeley
Download or read book A Quarterly Feeder Cattle Price Forecasting Model with Application Towards the Development of a Futures Market Strategy written by Paul Kenneth Blakeley and published by . This book was released on 1976 with total page 252 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Performance of the Live Cattle Futures Contract by : Brian W. Barton
Download or read book Performance of the Live Cattle Futures Contract written by Brian W. Barton and published by . This book was released on 1984 with total page 320 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Forecasting the Futures Market Basis Patterns for Tennessee Feeder Cattle by : Dan Lucien McLemore
Download or read book Forecasting the Futures Market Basis Patterns for Tennessee Feeder Cattle written by Dan Lucien McLemore and published by . This book was released on 1990 with total page 36 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Price-Forecasting Models for Feeder Cattle Futures, Mar-2021 GF=F Stock by : Ton Viet Ta
Download or read book Price-Forecasting Models for Feeder Cattle Futures, Mar-2021 GF=F Stock written by Ton Viet Ta and published by . This book was released on 2021-03-11 with total page 86 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: https: //www.dinhxa.com One-Week Free Trial (subject to change) Do you want to earn up to a 390% annual return on your money by two trades per day on Feeder Cattle Futures, Mar-2021 GF=F Stock? Reading this book is the only way to have a specific strategy. This book offers you a chance to trade GF=F Stock at predicted prices. Eight methods for buying and selling GF=F Stock at predicted low/high prices are introduced. These prices are very close to the lowest and highest prices of the stock in a day. All methods are explained in a very easy-to-understand way by using many examples, formulas, figures, and tables. The BIG DATA of the 3450 consecutive trading days (from March 4, 2002 to March 4, 2021) are utilized. The methods do not require any background on mathematics from readers. Furthermore, they are easy to use. Each takes you no more than 30 seconds for calculation to obtain a specific predicted price. The methods are not transient. They cannot be beaten by Mr. Market in several years, even until the stock doubles its current age. They are traits of Mr. Market. The reason is that the author uses the law of large numbers in the probability theory to construct them. In other words, you can use the methods in a long time without worrying about their change. The efficiency of the methods can be checked easily. Just compare the predicted prices with the actual price of the stock while referring to the probabilities of success which are shown clearly in the book (click the LOOK INSIDE button to read more information before buying this book). The book is very useful for Investors who have decided to buy the stock and keep it for a long time (as the strategy of Warren Buffett), or to sell the stock and pay attention to other stocks. The methods will help them to maximize profits for their decision. Day traders who buy and sell the stock many times in a day. Although each method is valid one time per day, the information from the methods will help the traders buy/sell the stock in the second time, third time or more in a day. Beginners to GF=F Stock. The book gives an insight about the behavior of the stock. They will surely gain their knowledge of GF=F Stock after reading the book. Everyone who wants to know about the U.S. stock market. https: //www.dinhxa.com includes a software (app) for stock price forecasting using the methods in this book. The software gives 114 predictions while this book gives 16. One-Week Free Trial (subject to change)
Book Synopsis Unbiasedness, Efficiency and Cointegration in the Brazilian Live Cattle Futures Market by : Marcelo Bego
Download or read book Unbiasedness, Efficiency and Cointegration in the Brazilian Live Cattle Futures Market written by Marcelo Bego and published by . This book was released on 2013 with total page 15 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The hypothesis that futures prices are an unbiased predictor of spot price is a joint hypothesis that the market is efficient and there is no risk premium. In order to test separately unbiasedness and market efficiency, cointegration techniques must be applied. The goal of this paper is assess both hypotheses separately for the Brazilian live cattle futures market using cointegration techniques in a variety of forecast horizon. To accomplish this goal, were generated samples from 1 to 6 months forecast horizons and the series were tested for the order of integration, difference stationarity, cointegration and an error correction model was estimated. The results show that at 95% confidence level, live cattle futures market is efficient and unbiased only for 4 months forecast horizon.
Book Synopsis A Quarterly Feeder Cattle Price Forecasting Model with Application Towards the Development of a Futures Market Strategy by : Paul Kenneth Blakeley
Download or read book A Quarterly Feeder Cattle Price Forecasting Model with Application Towards the Development of a Futures Market Strategy written by Paul Kenneth Blakeley and published by . This book was released on 1976 with total page 252 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Price Prediction Models and Related Hedging Programs for Feeder Cattle by : Robert A. Brown
Download or read book Price Prediction Models and Related Hedging Programs for Feeder Cattle written by Robert A. Brown and published by . This book was released on 1978 with total page 48 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Futures Trading in Livestock by : Henry Harrison Bakken
Download or read book Futures Trading in Livestock written by Henry Harrison Bakken and published by . This book was released on 1970 with total page 270 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Essays on Futures Contracts as a Feeder Cattle Price Risk Management Tool by : Justin Dean Bina
Download or read book Essays on Futures Contracts as a Feeder Cattle Price Risk Management Tool written by Justin Dean Bina and published by . This book was released on 2021 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This thesis consists of two articles analyzing the feeder cattle futures contract as a price risk management tool. The first article implements transaction-level data and feeder cattle futures interaction terms in a hedonic pricing model framework to estimate optimal feeder cattle hedge ratios conditioned on the price of corn. This deviates from previous feeder cattle hedging literature, which typically employs aggregate weekly data and simple linear regressions of cash price against futures price to estimate hedge ratios. Hedging risk using corn-conditioned hedge ratios is compared to estimated hedge ratios that are not dependent on corn price. The second article again implements transaction-level data and a hedonic pricing model framework to evaluate whether feeder cattle basis risk has changed over time and to identify factors driving basis risk. The method developed in the second article differs from previous livestock basis risk assessments in that out-of-sample transaction price prediction errors are used to represent unexplained cash price deviations from feeder cattle futures price, or basis risk. Results from both articles indicate varying market conditions and animal characteristics have important impacts on the effectiveness of feeder cattle futures for price risk management in a heterogeneous market.
Book Synopsis An Integrated Approach to Modeling Price Volatility in the Live Cattle Futures Market by : Kevin J. Evans
Download or read book An Integrated Approach to Modeling Price Volatility in the Live Cattle Futures Market written by Kevin J. Evans and published by . This book was released on 1992 with total page 17 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Econometric and Futures Market Models for Forecasting Tennessee Feeder Cattle Prices by : Dan L. McLemore
Download or read book Econometric and Futures Market Models for Forecasting Tennessee Feeder Cattle Prices written by Dan L. McLemore and published by . This book was released on 1986 with total page 22 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis An Investigation of Options Pricing Models for Live Cattle and Feeder Cattle Futures Contracts by : Robert A. Pelly
Download or read book An Investigation of Options Pricing Models for Live Cattle and Feeder Cattle Futures Contracts written by Robert A. Pelly and published by . This book was released on 1989 with total page 236 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Trading Tactics written by Todd Lofton and published by . This book was released on 1986 with total page 160 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: