Modeling the Budgetary Cost of FHA's Single Family Mortgage Insurance

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Publisher : CreateSpace
ISBN 13 : 9781506131634
Total Pages : 50 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (316 download)

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Book Synopsis Modeling the Budgetary Cost of FHA's Single Family Mortgage Insurance by : Congressional Budget Congressional Budget Office

Download or read book Modeling the Budgetary Cost of FHA's Single Family Mortgage Insurance written by Congressional Budget Congressional Budget Office and published by CreateSpace. This book was released on 2015-01-08 with total page 50 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper presents the simulation model that the Congressional Budget Office (CBO) uses to project the budgetary costs of the Federal Housing Administration's (FHA's) single-family mortgage insurance program. CBO simulates defaults, recoveries, and prepayments on cohorts of mortgages insured by FHA with key parameters estimated from a dataset of FHA-insured mortgages. Those simulations are used to estimate the loan guarantees' subsidy rates, which are the lifetime cost of FHA's insurance claim payments minus fees, expressed as a percentage of the original loan amounts. The simulations are also used to estimate the balance in FHA's capital reserve account, which reflects the sum of all past subsidies plus accumulated interest. As of the end of fiscal year 2013, CBO estimates that the loan guarantees issued between 1992 and 2013 contributed $3 billion to FHA's capital reserves, $73 billion less than the amount those loan guarantees would have contributed based on their originally estimated subsidy rates. That large decline is mostly the result of the downturn in the housing market that began in 2007 and the severe recession that followed. The estimates reflect a combination of realized gains and losses to date and the expected gains or losses over the remaining life of the loan guarantees, but there is considerable uncertainty about the amount of any future gains or losses. Using its model to quantify that uncertainty, CBO finds that ninety percent of the simulated lifetime contributions of those loan guarantees to the capital reserve account are between negative $28 billion and positive $26 billion. Present budgetary procedures for calculating the subsidy rates do not fully account for the cost of the risk that the government bears. If costs were projected on a fair-value basis, which more closely corresponds to the economic costs by using market prices of comparable insurance, subsidy rates would be notably higher. For example, loan guarantees for fiscal years 2014 and 2015 are projected to have a weighted average subsidy rate of negative 5.5 percent under current budgetary treatment and have a small positive subsidy rate on a fair-value basis.

Modeling the Budgetary Costs of FHA's Single Family Mortgage Insurance

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ISBN 13 : 9781507564899
Total Pages : 50 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (648 download)

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Book Synopsis Modeling the Budgetary Costs of FHA's Single Family Mortgage Insurance by : Congressional Budget Office

Download or read book Modeling the Budgetary Costs of FHA's Single Family Mortgage Insurance written by Congressional Budget Office and published by . This book was released on 2015-01-15 with total page 50 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book presents the simulation model that the Congressional Budget Office (CBO) uses to project the budgetary costs of the Federal Housing Administration's (FHA's) single-family mortgage insurance program. CBO simulates defaults, recoveries, and prepayments on cohorts of mortgages insured by FHA with key parameters estimated from a dataset of FHA-insured mortgages. Those simulations are used to estimate the loan guarantees' subsidy rates, which are the lifetime cost of FHA's insurance claim payments minus fees, expressed as a percentage of the original loan amounts. The simulations are also used to estimate the balance in FHA's capital reserve account, which reflects the sum of all past subsidies plus accumulated interest. As of the end of fiscal year 2013, CBO estimates that the loan guarantees issued between 1992 and 2013 contributed $3 billion to FHA's capital reserves, $73 billion less than the amount those loan guarantees would have contributed based on their originally estimated subsidy rates. That large decline is mostly the result of the downturn in the housing market that began in 2007 and the severe recession that followed. The estimates reflect a combination of realized gains and losses to date and the expected gains or losses over the remaining life of the loan guarantees, but there is considerable uncertainty about the amount of any future gains or losses. Using its model to quantify that uncertainty, CBO finds that ninety percent of the simulated lifetime contributions of those loan guarantees to the capital reserve account are between negative $28 billion and positive $26 billion. Present budgetary procedures for calculating the subsidy rates do not fully account for the cost of the risk that the government bears. If costs were projected on a fair-value basis, which more closely corresponds to the economic costs by using market prices of comparable insurance, subsidy rates would be notably higher. For example, loan guarantees for fiscal years 2014 and 2015 are projected to have a weighted average subsidy rate of negative 5.5 percent under current budgetary treatment and have a small positive subsidy rate on a fair-value basis.

Modeling the Budgetary Costs of FHA's Single Family Mortgage Insurance

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 49 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (894 download)

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Book Synopsis Modeling the Budgetary Costs of FHA's Single Family Mortgage Insurance by : Francesca Castelli

Download or read book Modeling the Budgetary Costs of FHA's Single Family Mortgage Insurance written by Francesca Castelli and published by . This book was released on 2014 with total page 49 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

The FHA budget subsidy simulation system

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 144 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (13 download)

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Book Synopsis The FHA budget subsidy simulation system by : Charles A. Capone

Download or read book The FHA budget subsidy simulation system written by Charles A. Capone and published by . This book was released on 2003 with total page 144 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

The Financial Health of the Federal Housing Administration's Single Family Mutual Mortgage Insurance Fund

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 108 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis The Financial Health of the Federal Housing Administration's Single Family Mutual Mortgage Insurance Fund by : United States. Congress. House. Committee on Financial Services. Subcommittee on Housing and Community Opportunity

Download or read book The Financial Health of the Federal Housing Administration's Single Family Mutual Mortgage Insurance Fund written by United States. Congress. House. Committee on Financial Services. Subcommittee on Housing and Community Opportunity and published by . This book was released on 2001 with total page 108 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Mortgage Financing: Financial Condition of FHA's Mutual Mortgage Insurance Fund

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Publisher : DIANE Publishing
ISBN 13 : 1437940072
Total Pages : 16 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (379 download)

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Book Synopsis Mortgage Financing: Financial Condition of FHA's Mutual Mortgage Insurance Fund by : Mathew J. Scire

Download or read book Mortgage Financing: Financial Condition of FHA's Mutual Mortgage Insurance Fund written by Mathew J. Scire and published by DIANE Publishing. This book was released on 2011-04 with total page 16 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: FHA has helped millions of families purchase homes through its single-family mortgage insurance programs. FHA insures almost all of its single-family mortgages under the Fund, which is reviewed from both an actuarial and budgetary perspective each year. This statement discusses: (1) how estimates of the Fund¿s capital ratio have changed in recent years and the budgetary implications of changes in the Fund¿s financial condition; (2) how FHA and its actuarial review contractor evaluate the financial condition of the Fund; (3) the steps FHA has taken to improve the financial condition of the Fund; and (4) changes in the performance and characteristics of FHA-insured mortgages in recent years. Illustrations. This is a print on demand report.

The FHA budget subsidy simulation system

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 144 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (79 download)

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Book Synopsis The FHA budget subsidy simulation system by : Charles A. Capone

Download or read book The FHA budget subsidy simulation system written by Charles A. Capone and published by . This book was released on 2003 with total page 144 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Guide to Single Family Home Mortgage Insurance

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 32 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (121 download)

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Book Synopsis Guide to Single Family Home Mortgage Insurance by :

Download or read book Guide to Single Family Home Mortgage Insurance written by and published by . This book was released on 1989 with total page 32 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Mortgage Financing

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Publisher : BiblioGov
ISBN 13 : 9781289029074
Total Pages : 44 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (29 download)

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Book Synopsis Mortgage Financing by : U S Government Accountability Office (G

Download or read book Mortgage Financing written by U S Government Accountability Office (G and published by BiblioGov. This book was released on 2013-06 with total page 44 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Pursuant to a congressional request, GAO reviewed the actuarial soundness of the Federal Housing Administration's (FHA) Mutual Mortgage Insurance Fund, focusing on the: (1) fund's economic net worth as of the end of fiscal years 1992 and 1993; and (2) econometric and cash flow modeling approach used to estimate the fund's net worth. GAO found that: (1) the fund's economic value has improved in recent years and the fund is accumulating sufficient capital reserves to be actuarially sound under the law; (2) at the end of fiscal year (FY) 1993, the fund had an estimated economic net worth of $4.9 billion and a capital ratio of 1.83 percent under the baseline GAO scenario; (3) at the end of fiscal year 1992, the fund's estimated net worth was $600 million and its capital ratio was 0.21 percent; (4) although legislative and other changes to the FHA single-family mortgage insurance program helped restore the fund's financial health, favorable economic conditions in 1993 were primarily responsible for the improvement; (5) the fund fell below the mandated capital ratio of 1.25 percent in FY 1992, but exceeded the ratio in FY 1993; (6) econometric and cash flow models of the FHA single-family mortgage program were used to estimate the economic net worth of FHA loans; (7) the econometric model estimated the historical relationships between the probability of loan foreclosures and prepayments and key explanatory factors such as the borrower's equity and interest rates; (8) the cash flow model measured five primary sources and uses of cash for loans originated in fiscal years 1975 through 1993; and (9) the fund's ability to maintain its financial health and to meet and maintain mandated reserve levels depends on many economic and program-related factors.

Home Ownership and You

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 32 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (327 download)

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Book Synopsis Home Ownership and You by :

Download or read book Home Ownership and You written by and published by . This book was released on 1999 with total page 32 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Fha Single-family Mortgage Insurance

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Publisher : CreateSpace
ISBN 13 : 9781507868423
Total Pages : 26 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (684 download)

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Book Synopsis Fha Single-family Mortgage Insurance by : Congressional Research Service

Download or read book Fha Single-family Mortgage Insurance written by Congressional Research Service and published by CreateSpace. This book was released on 2015-01-26 with total page 26 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Federal Housing Administration (FHA) insures private lenders against losses on home mortgages made to borrowers that meet certain eligibility criteria. If the borrower defaults—that is, does not repay the mortgage as promised—and the home goes to foreclosure, FHA pays the lender the remaining principal amount owed. By insuring lenders against the possibility of borrower default, FHA is intended to expand access to mortgage credit to households who might not otherwise be able to obtain a mortgage at an affordable interest rate or at all, such as those with small down payments. When an FHA-insured mortgage goes to foreclosure, the lender files a claim with FHA for the remaining amount owed on the mortgage. Claims on FHA-insured home mortgages are paid out of the Mutual Mortgage Insurance Fund (MMI Fund), which is funded through fees paid by borrowers (called premiums), rather than through appropriations. However, like all federal credit programs covered by the Federal Credit Reform Act of 1990, FHA can draw on permanent and indefinite budget authority with the U.S. Treasury to cover unanticipated increases in the cost of the loans that it insures, if necessary, without additional congressional action. Each year, as part of the annual budget process, the expected costs of mortgages insured in past years are re-estimated to take into account updated performance and economic assumptions. If the anticipated costs of insured mortgages have increased, then FHA must transfer funds from a secondary reserve account into its primary reserve account to cover the amount of the increase in the anticipated cost of insured loans. If there are not enough funds in the secondary reserve account, then the MMI Fund is required to take funds from Treasury using its permanent and indefinite budget authority in order to make the required transfer. Separately from the budget re-estimates, FHA is required by law to obtain an independent actuarial review of the MMI Fund each year. This review provides a view of the MMI Fund's financial status by estimating the MMI Fund's economic value—that is, the amount of funds that the MMI Fund currently has on hand plus the net present value of all of the expected future cash flows on the mortgages that are currently insured under the MMI Fund. The actuarial review also determines whether the MMI Fund is in compliance with a statutory requirement to maintain a capital ratio of at least 2%. The capital ratio is the economic value of the MMI Fund divided by the total dollar amount of mortgages insured under the MMI Fund. In recent years, increased foreclosure rates, as well as economic factors such as falling house prices, have contributed to an increase in expected losses on FHA-insured loans. This increase in expected losses has put pressure on the MMI Fund and reduced the amount of resources that FHA has on hand to pay for additional, unexpected future losses. The capital ratio fell below 2% in FY2009, and has remained below 2% since then, turning negative in FY2012 and FY2013 but becoming positive again in FY2014. At the end of FY2013, FHA announced that it would need $1.7 billion from Treasury to cover an increase in anticipated costs of loan guarantees. This marked the first time that FHA has needed funds from Treasury to cover an increase in expected future losses in its single-family mortgage program. The FY2014 annual actuarial review of the MMI Fund released in November 2014 showed that, according to current estimates, the economic value of the MMI Fund is positive $4.8 billion and the capital ratio is currently 0.41%. This suggests that the MMI Fund would have about $4.8 billion remaining after realizing all of its expected future cash flows on currently insured mortgages, and it represents an increase of $6.1 billion from FY2013 when the economic value was estimated to be negative $1.3 billion.

Federal Housing Administration: Proposed Legislative Changes Would Affect Borrower Benefits and Risks to the Insurance Funds

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Publisher : DIANE Publishing
ISBN 13 : 9781422397299
Total Pages : 22 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (972 download)

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Book Synopsis Federal Housing Administration: Proposed Legislative Changes Would Affect Borrower Benefits and Risks to the Insurance Funds by :

Download or read book Federal Housing Administration: Proposed Legislative Changes Would Affect Borrower Benefits and Risks to the Insurance Funds written by and published by DIANE Publishing. This book was released on with total page 22 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

The FHA Single-Family Mortgage Insurance Program

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Publisher : Createspace Independent Pub
ISBN 13 : 9781481923477
Total Pages : 48 pages
Book Rating : 4.9/5 (234 download)

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Book Synopsis The FHA Single-Family Mortgage Insurance Program by : Katie Jones

Download or read book The FHA Single-Family Mortgage Insurance Program written by Katie Jones and published by Createspace Independent Pub. This book was released on 2013-01-06 with total page 48 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Federal Housing Administration (FHA) insures home mortgages made by private lenders against the possibility of borrower default. If the borrower does not repay the mortgage, FHA pays the lender the remaining principal amount owed. By insuring lenders against the possibility of borrower default, FHA is intended to expand access to mortgage credit to households, such as those with smaller down payments or below-average credit histories, who might not otherwise be able to obtain a mortgage at an affordable interest rate or at all. FHA also traditionally plays a countercyclical role in the mortgage market. In other words, it generally insures more mortgages during periods when lenders and private mortgage insurers tighten their lending standards and reduce activity in response to market conditions, and it generally insures fewer mortgages at times when lenders and private mortgage insurers make mortgage credit more easily available. When an FHA-insured mortgage goes to foreclosure, the lender files a claim with FHA for the remaining amount owed on the mortgage. Claims on FHA-insured loans have traditionally been paid out of an account, known as the Mutual Mortgage Insurance Fund (MMI Fund), that is funded through fees paid by borrowers, rather than through appropriations. However, if FHA were ever unable to pay claims that it owed, it can draw on permanent and indefinite budget authority with the U.S. Treasury to pay those claims without additional congressional action. In recent years, increased default and foreclosure rates, as well as economic factors such as falling house prices, have contributed to an increase in expected losses on FHA-insured loans. This increase in expected losses has put pressure on the MMI Fund and reduced the amount of resources that FHA has on hand to pay for additional, unexpected future losses. This has led to concern that FHA may need to draw on its permanent and indefinite budget authority for funds from Treasury to hold in reserve to pay for these higher expected future losses, or, eventually, to pay insurance claims. An annual actuarial review of the MMI Fund released in November 2012 showed that, according to current estimates, FHA does not currently have enough funds on hand to cover all of its expected future losses on the loans that it currently insures. The results of this actuarial review heightened concerns that FHA could need funds from Treasury. However, whether FHA actually needs to draw funds from Treasury would be determined as part of the annual budget process, not by the actuarial review. FHA faces an inherent tension between protecting its financial health and fulfilling its mission of expanding access to mortgage credit. In addition, the share of mortgages insured by FHA has increased in the past several years as the availability of mortgage credit has tightened, further contributing to this tension. FHA has recently proposed or implemented a number of changes to its single-family mortgage insurance program that are intended to minimize risk to the MMI Fund while still allowing FHA to support the mortgage market and expand access to affordable mortgages. These changes have included increasing the fees that it charges to borrowers for insurance, modifying its underwriting criteria, and taking steps to increase oversight of lenders who make FHA-insured loans. While many of these changes were made administratively by FHA, some involved congressional action. Congress has also weighed additional changes to FHA's programs, and has considered additional legislation aimed at protecting the financial health of the MMI Fund. An example of such a bill is the FHA Emergency Fiscal Solvency Act of 2012 (H.R. 4264), which passed the House of Representatives during the 112th Congress. An identical bill (S. 3678) has been introduced in the Senate.

Challenges Facing the FHA's Single-family Insurance Fund

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 82 pages
Book Rating : 4.F/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Challenges Facing the FHA's Single-family Insurance Fund by : United States. Congress. Senate. Committee on Banking, Housing, and Urban Affairs. Subcommittee on Housing and Transportation

Download or read book Challenges Facing the FHA's Single-family Insurance Fund written by United States. Congress. Senate. Committee on Banking, Housing, and Urban Affairs. Subcommittee on Housing and Transportation and published by . This book was released on 2000 with total page 82 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

The Effectiveness of the FHA Mortgage Insurance Program in High Cost Housing Areas

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 64 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis The Effectiveness of the FHA Mortgage Insurance Program in High Cost Housing Areas by : United States. Congress. House. Committee on Government Operations. Employment and Housing Subcommittee

Download or read book The Effectiveness of the FHA Mortgage Insurance Program in High Cost Housing Areas written by United States. Congress. House. Committee on Government Operations. Employment and Housing Subcommittee and published by . This book was released on 1987 with total page 64 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Accounting for FHA's Single-family Mortgage Insurance Program on a Fair-value Basis

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 14 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (18 download)

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Book Synopsis Accounting for FHA's Single-family Mortgage Insurance Program on a Fair-value Basis by :

Download or read book Accounting for FHA's Single-family Mortgage Insurance Program on a Fair-value Basis written by and published by . This book was released on 2011 with total page 14 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

FHA Multifamily Housing Mortgage Insurance Program

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 86 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (9 download)

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Book Synopsis FHA Multifamily Housing Mortgage Insurance Program by : United States. Congress. Senate. Committee on Banking, Housing, and Urban Affairs. Subcommittee on Housing and Transportation

Download or read book FHA Multifamily Housing Mortgage Insurance Program written by United States. Congress. Senate. Committee on Banking, Housing, and Urban Affairs. Subcommittee on Housing and Transportation and published by . This book was released on 2002 with total page 86 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: