Modeling Mineral And Energy Markets

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Modeling Mineral and Energy Markets

Author : Walter C. Labys
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 1461551013
Total Pages : 180 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (615 download)

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Book Synopsis Modeling Mineral and Energy Markets by : Walter C. Labys

Download or read book Modeling Mineral and Energy Markets written by Walter C. Labys and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 180 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book provides a framework for analyzing and forecasting a variety of mineral and energy markets and related industries. Such modeling activity has been at the forefront of the economic and engineering professions for some time, having received a major stimulus fC?llowing the first oil price shock in 1973. Since that time, other shocks have affected these markets and industries, causing disequilibrium economic adjustments which are difficult to analyze and to predict. Moreover, geopolitics remains an important factor which can destabilize crude oil markets and associated refining industries. Mineral and energy modeling, consequently, has become a major interest of energy-related corporations, mining and drilling companies, metal manufacturers, public utilities, investment banks,. national government agencies and international organizations. This book hopes to advance mineral and energy modeling as follows: (1) The modeling process is presented sequentially by leading the model builder from model specification, estimation, simulation, and validation to practical model applications, including explaining history, analyzing policy, and market and price forecasting; (2) New developments in modeling approaches are presented which encompass econometric market and industry models, spatial equilibrium and programming models, optimal resource depletion models, input-output models, economic sector models, and macro oriented energy interaction models (including computable general equilibrium); (3) The verification and application of the models is considered not only individually but also in relation to the performance of alternative modeling approaches; and (4) The modeling framework includes a perspective on new directions, so that the present model building advice will extend into the future.

Complementarity Modeling in Energy Markets

Author : Steven A. Gabriel
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 1441961232
Total Pages : 637 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (419 download)

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Book Synopsis Complementarity Modeling in Energy Markets by : Steven A. Gabriel

Download or read book Complementarity Modeling in Energy Markets written by Steven A. Gabriel and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-07-20 with total page 637 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This addition to the ISOR series introduces complementarity models in a straightforward and approachable manner and uses them to carry out an in-depth analysis of energy markets, including formulation issues and solution techniques. In a nutshell, complementarity models generalize: a. optimization problems via their Karush-Kuhn-Tucker conditions b. on-cooperative games in which each player may be solving a separate but related optimization problem with potentially overall system constraints (e.g., market-clearing conditions) c. conomic and engineering problems that aren’t specifically derived from optimization problems (e.g., spatial price equilibria) d. roblems in which both primal and dual variables (prices) appear in the original formulation (e.g., The National Energy Modeling System (NEMS) or its precursor, PIES). As such, complementarity models are a very general and flexible modeling format. A natural question is why concentrate on energy markets for this complementarity approach? s it turns out, energy or other markets that have game theoretic aspects are best modeled by complementarity problems. The reason is that the traditional perfect competition approach no longer applies due to deregulation and restructuring of these markets and thus the corresponding optimization problems may no longer hold. Also, in some instances it is important in the original model formulation to involve both primal variables (e.g., production) as well as dual variables (e.g., market prices) for public and private sector energy planning. Traditional optimization problems can not directly handle this mixing of primal and dual variables but complementarity models can and this makes them all that more effective for decision-makers.

International Energy Markets

Author : Carol Ann Dahl
Publisher : PennWell Books
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 618 pages
Book Rating : 4.F/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis International Energy Markets by : Carol Ann Dahl

Download or read book International Energy Markets written by Carol Ann Dahl and published by PennWell Books. This book was released on 2004 with total page 618 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book is designed to provide the economic skills to make better management or policy decisions relating to energy. It requires a knowledge of calculus and contains a toolbox of models along with institutional, technological and historical information for oil, coal, electricity, and renewable energy resources.

Stochastic Modelling of Electricity and Related Markets

Author : Fred Espen Benth
Publisher : World Scientific
ISBN 13 : 981281230X
Total Pages : 352 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (128 download)

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Book Synopsis Stochastic Modelling of Electricity and Related Markets by : Fred Espen Benth

Download or read book Stochastic Modelling of Electricity and Related Markets written by Fred Espen Benth and published by World Scientific. This book was released on 2008 with total page 352 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The markets for electricity, gas and temperature have distinctive features, which provide the focus for countless studies. For instance, electricity and gas prices may soar several magnitudes above their normal levels within a short time due to imbalances in supply and demand, yielding what is known as spikes in the spot prices. The markets are also largely influenced by seasons, since power demand for heating and cooling varies over the year. The incompleteness of the markets, due to nonstorability of electricity and temperature as well as limited storage capacity of gas, makes spot-forward hedging impossible. Moreover, futures contracts are typically settled over a time period rather than at a fixed date. All these aspects of the markets create new challenges when analyzing price dynamics of spot, futures and other derivatives.This book provides a concise and rigorous treatment on the stochastic modeling of energy markets. Ornstein?Uhlenbeck processes are described as the basic modeling tool for spot price dynamics, where innovations are driven by time-inhomogeneous jump processes. Temperature futures are studied based on a continuous higher-order autoregressive model for the temperature dynamics. The theory presented here pays special attention to the seasonality of volatility and the Samuelson effect. Empirical studies using data from electricity, temperature and gas markets are given to link theory to practice.

An Introduction to Models for the Energy Markets

Author : Ronald Huisman
Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9781906348229
Total Pages : 136 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (482 download)

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Book Synopsis An Introduction to Models for the Energy Markets by : Ronald Huisman

Download or read book An Introduction to Models for the Energy Markets written by Ronald Huisman and published by . This book was released on 2009 with total page 136 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: An Introduction to Models for the Energy Markets provides a clear exposition of the thinking behind the range of models used today in energy finance.

Quantitative Energy Finance

Author : Fred Espen Benth
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 1461472482
Total Pages : 308 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (614 download)

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Book Synopsis Quantitative Energy Finance by : Fred Espen Benth

Download or read book Quantitative Energy Finance written by Fred Espen Benth and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-08-28 with total page 308 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Finance and energy markets have been an active scientific field for some time, even though the development and applications of sophisticated quantitative methods in these areas are relatively new—and referred to in a broader context as energy finance. Energy finance is often viewed as a branch of mathematical finance, yet this area continues to provide a rich source of issues that are fuelling new and exciting research developments. Based on a special thematic year at the Wolfgang Pauli Institute (WPI) in Vienna, Austria, this edited collection features cutting-edge research from leading scientists in the fields of energy and commodity finance. Topics discussed include modeling and analysis of energy and commodity markets, derivatives hedging and pricing, and optimal investment strategies and modeling of emerging markets, such as power and emissions. The book also confronts the challenges one faces in energy markets from a quantitative point of view, as well as the recent advances in solving these problems using advanced mathematical, statistical and numerical methods. By addressing the emerging area of quantitative energy finance, this volume will serve as a valuable resource for graduate-level students and researchers studying financial mathematics, risk management, or energy finance.

Stochastic Modeling Of Electricity And Related Markets

Author : Fred Espen Benth
Publisher : World Scientific
ISBN 13 : 9814471313
Total Pages : 352 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (144 download)

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Book Synopsis Stochastic Modeling Of Electricity And Related Markets by : Fred Espen Benth

Download or read book Stochastic Modeling Of Electricity And Related Markets written by Fred Espen Benth and published by World Scientific. This book was released on 2008-04-14 with total page 352 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The markets for electricity, gas and temperature have distinctive features, which provide the focus for countless studies. For instance, electricity and gas prices may soar several magnitudes above their normal levels within a short time due to imbalances in supply and demand, yielding what is known as spikes in the spot prices. The markets are also largely influenced by seasons, since power demand for heating and cooling varies over the year. The incompleteness of the markets, due to nonstorability of electricity and temperature as well as limited storage capacity of gas, makes spot-forward hedging impossible. Moreover, futures contracts are typically settled over a time period rather than at a fixed date. All these aspects of the markets create new challenges when analyzing price dynamics of spot, futures and other derivatives.This book provides a concise and rigorous treatment on the stochastic modeling of energy markets. Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes are described as the basic modeling tool for spot price dynamics, where innovations are driven by time-inhomogeneous jump processes. Temperature futures are studied based on a continuous higher-order autoregressive model for the temperature dynamics. The theory presented here pays special attention to the seasonality of volatility and the Samuelson effect. Empirical studies using data from electricity, temperature and gas markets are given to link theory to practice.

Modeling and Forecasting Primary Commodity Prices

Author : Walter C. Labys
Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 1351917080
Total Pages : 264 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (519 download)

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Book Synopsis Modeling and Forecasting Primary Commodity Prices by : Walter C. Labys

Download or read book Modeling and Forecasting Primary Commodity Prices written by Walter C. Labys and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2017-03-02 with total page 264 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Recent economic growth in China and other Asian countries has led to increased commodity demand which has caused price rises and accompanying price fluctuations not only for crude oil but also for the many other raw materials. Such trends mean that world commodity markets are once again under intense scrutiny. This book provides new insights into the modeling and forecasting of primary commodity prices by featuring comprehensive applications of the most recent methods of statistical time series analysis. The latter utilize econometric methods concerned with structural breaks, unobserved components, chaotic discovery, long memory, heteroskedasticity, wavelet estimation and fractional integration. Relevant tests employed include neural networks, correlation dimensions, Lyapunov exponents, fractional integration and rescaled range. The price forecasting involves structural time series trend plus cycle and cyclical trend models. Practical applications focus on the price behaviour of more than twenty international commodity markets.

Perspectives on Resource Policy Modeling, Energy and Minerals

Author : Raphael Amit
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 464 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (42 download)

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Book Synopsis Perspectives on Resource Policy Modeling, Energy and Minerals by : Raphael Amit

Download or read book Perspectives on Resource Policy Modeling, Energy and Minerals written by Raphael Amit and published by . This book was released on 1982 with total page 464 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Energy and Power Risk Management

Author : Alexander Eydeland
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 0471455873
Total Pages : 506 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (714 download)

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Book Synopsis Energy and Power Risk Management by : Alexander Eydeland

Download or read book Energy and Power Risk Management written by Alexander Eydeland and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2003-02-03 with total page 506 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Praise for Energy and Power Risk Management "Energy and Power Risk Management identifies and addresses the key issues in the development of the turbulent energy industry and the challenges it poses to market players. An insightful and far-reaching book written by two renowned professionals." -Helyette Geman, Professor of Finance University Paris Dauphine and ESSEC "The most up-to-date and comprehensive book on managing energy price risk in the natural gas and power markets. An absolute imperative for energy traders and energy risk management professionals." -Vincent Kaminski, Managing Director Citadel Investment Group LLC "Eydeland and Wolyniec's work does an excellent job of outlining the methods needed to measure and manage risk in the volatile energy market." -Gerald G. Fleming, Vice President, Head of East Power Trading, TXU Energy Trading "This book combines academic rigor with real-world practicality. It is a must-read for anyone in energy risk management or asset valuation." -Ron Erd, Senior Vice President American Electric Power

Commodity Modeling and Pricing

Author : Peter V. Schaeffer
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 047031723X
Total Pages : 345 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (73 download)

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Book Synopsis Commodity Modeling and Pricing by : Peter V. Schaeffer

Download or read book Commodity Modeling and Pricing written by Peter V. Schaeffer and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2008-10-06 with total page 345 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Commodity Modeling and Pricing provides extensions and applications of state-of-the-art methods for analyzing resource commodity behavior. Drawing from the seminal work of Professor Walter Labys on the development of econometric methods for forecasting commodity prices, this collection of essays features expert contributors ranging from practitioners in private industry, public sector, and nongovernmental organizations to scholars in higher education–all of whom were Labys's former students or collaborators. Filled with in-depth insights and expert advice, Commodity Modeling and Pricing contains the information you need to excel in this demanding environment.

The National Energy Modeling System

Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 174 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (91 download)

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Book Synopsis The National Energy Modeling System by :

Download or read book The National Energy Modeling System written by and published by . This book was released on 1992 with total page 174 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book addresses the process and actions for developing enhanced capabilities to analyze energy policy issues and perform strategic planning activities at the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) on an ongoing basis. Within the broader context of useful analytical and modeling capabilities within and outside the DOE, this volume examines the requirements that a National Energy Modeling System (NEMS) should fulfill, presents an overall architecture for a NEMS, identifies data needs, and outlines priority actions for timely implementation of the system.

Mineral Demand Modeling

Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 146 pages
Book Rating : 4.E/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Mineral Demand Modeling by :

Download or read book Mineral Demand Modeling written by and published by . This book was released on 1982 with total page 146 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Modeling and Valuation of Energy Structures

Author : Daniel Mahoney
Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 1137560150
Total Pages : 455 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (375 download)

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Book Synopsis Modeling and Valuation of Energy Structures by : Daniel Mahoney

Download or read book Modeling and Valuation of Energy Structures written by Daniel Mahoney and published by Springer. This book was released on 2016-01-26 with total page 455 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Commodity markets present several challenges for quantitative modeling. These include high volatilities, small sample data sets, and physical, operational complexity. In addition, the set of traded products in commodity markets is more limited than in financial or equity markets, making value extraction through trading more difficult. These facts make it very easy for modeling efforts to run into serious problems, as many models are very sensitive to noise and hence can easily fail in practice. Modeling and Valuation of Energy Structures is a comprehensive guide to quantitative and statistical approaches that have been successfully employed in support of trading operations, reflecting the author's 17 years of experience as a front-office 'quant'. The major theme of the book is that simpler is usually better, a message that is drawn out through the reality of incomplete markets, small samples, and informational constraints. The necessary mathematical tools for understanding these issues are thoroughly developed, with many techniques (analytical, econometric, and numerical) collected in a single volume for the first time. A particular emphasis is placed on the central role that the underlying market resolution plays in valuation. Examples are provided to illustrate that robust, approximate valuations are to be preferred to overly ambitious attempts at detailed qualitative modeling.

Competing on Supply Chain Quality

Author : Anna Nagurney
Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 3319254510
Total Pages : 383 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (192 download)

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Book Synopsis Competing on Supply Chain Quality by : Anna Nagurney

Download or read book Competing on Supply Chain Quality written by Anna Nagurney and published by Springer. This book was released on 2016-05-30 with total page 383 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book lays the foundations for quality modeling and analysis in the context of supply chains through a synthesis of the economics, operations management, as well as operations research/management science literature on quality. The reality of today's supply chain networks, given their global reach from sourcing locations to points of demand, is further challenged by such issues as the growth in outsourcing as well as the information asymmetry associated with what producers know about the quality of their products and what consumers know. Although much of the related literature has focused on the micro aspects of supply chain networks, considering two or three decision-makers, it is essential to capture the scale of supply chain networks in a holistic manner that occurs in practice in order to be able to evaluate and analyze the competition and the impacts on supply chain quality in a quantifiable manner. This volume provides an overview of the fundamental methodologies utilized in this book, including optimization theory, game theory, variational inequality theory, and projected dynamical systems theory. It then focuses on major issues in today's supply chains with respect to quality, beginning with information asymmetry, followed by product differentiation and branding, the outsourcing of production, from components to final products, to quality in freight service provision. The book is filled with numerous real-life examples in order to emphasize the generality and pragmatism of the models and tools. The novelty of the framework lies in a network economics perspective through which the authors identify the underlying network structure of the various supply chains, coupled with the behavior of the decision-makers, ranging from suppliers and manufacturers to freight service providers. What is meant by quality is rigorously defined and quantified. The authors explore the underlying dynamics associated with the competitive processes along with the equilibrium solutions. As appropriate, the supply chain decision-makers compete in terms of quantity and quality, or in price and quality. The relevance of the various models that are developed to specific industrial sectors, including pharmaceuticals and high technology products, is clearly made. Qualitative analyses are provided, along with effective, and, easy to implement, computational procedures. Finally, the impacts of policy interventions, in the form of minimum quality standards, and their ramifications, in terms of product prices, quality levels, as well as profits are explored. The book is filled with many network figures, graphs, and tables with data.

Recent Advances in Spatial Equilibrium Modelling

Author : Jeroen C.J.M.van den Bergh
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 3642800807
Total Pages : 396 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (428 download)

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Book Synopsis Recent Advances in Spatial Equilibrium Modelling by : Jeroen C.J.M.van den Bergh

Download or read book Recent Advances in Spatial Equilibrium Modelling written by Jeroen C.J.M.van den Bergh and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 396 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Prices and quantities of both stock and flow variables in an economic system are decisively influenced by their spatial coordinates. Any equilibrium state also mirrors the underlying spatial structure and a tatonnement process also incorporates the spatial ramifications of consumer and producer behaviour. The recognition ofthe spatial element in the formation of a general equilibrium in a complex space-economy already dates back to early work of LOsch, Isard and Samuelson, but it reached a stage of maturity thanks to the new inroads made by T. Takayama. This book is devoted to spatial economic equilibrium (SPE) analysis and is meant to pay homage to the founding father of modern spatial economic thinking, Professor Takayama. This book witnesses his great talents in clear and rigorous economic thinking regarding an area where for decades many economists have been groping in the dark. Everybody who wants to study the phenomenon of spatial economic equilibrium will necessarily come across Takayama's work, but this necessity is at the same time a great pleasure. Studying his work means a personal scientific enrichment in a field which is still not completely explored. The present volume brings together recent contributions to spatial equilibrium analysis, written by friends and colleagues of Takayama. The structure of the book is based on four main uses of spatial equilibrium models: (i) the imbedding of spatial flows in the economic environment, related to e.g.

Energy Market Integration in East Asia

Author : Yanrui Wu
Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 1134681402
Total Pages : 233 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (346 download)

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Book Synopsis Energy Market Integration in East Asia by : Yanrui Wu

Download or read book Energy Market Integration in East Asia written by Yanrui Wu and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2013-12-04 with total page 233 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: East Asian nations through the dialogue between ASEAN and its partners have been promoting energy market integration (EMI) for a decade. The formation of the East Asian Summit (EAS) group in 2005 adds new momentum to the EMI course in the region. The objective of this edited volume is to present new insights into the understanding of EMI in East Asia and draw implications for further development. This book is the first publication of its kind exclusively focusing on EMI in East Asia. The chapters are written by a distinguished group of specialists in the field of energy policy, business and economics. The covered topics range from the general debates about EMI to regional policy responses. A variety of qualitative and quantitative methods are employed in this book. For qualitative methods, public goods theory and the comparative study method are two examples. The quantitative methods include economic growth theory, principle component approach, input-output table, computable general equilibrium (CGE) models and econometric techniques. Important policy implications can be drawn from the findings. One clear message is that EMI should be promoted actively but in a gradual, incremental manner. Other policy implications are related to inter-regional governance, infrastructure development and gas market integration. The content has not been published elsewhere and hence makes a unique contribution to the literature. There are also case studies of specific energy sectors such as petroleum and natural gas. Overall this book should be of interest to a wide audience such as academia, business analysts and policy makers.