Microscopic Simulation of Financial Markets

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Publisher : Elsevier
ISBN 13 : 0080511597
Total Pages : 319 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (85 download)

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Book Synopsis Microscopic Simulation of Financial Markets by : Haim Levy

Download or read book Microscopic Simulation of Financial Markets written by Haim Levy and published by Elsevier. This book was released on 2000-08-02 with total page 319 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Microscopic Simulation (MS) uses a computer to represent and keep track of individual ("microscopic") elements in order to investigate complex systems which are analytically intractable. A methodology that was developed to solve physics problems, MS has been used to study the relation between microscopic behavior and macroscopic phenomena in systems ranging from those of atomic particles, to cars, animals, and even humans. In finance, MS can help explain, among other things, the effects of various elements of investor behavior on market dynamics and asset pricing. It is these issues in particular, and the value of an MS approach to finance in general, that are the subjects of this book. The authors not only put their work in perspective by surveying traditional economic analyses of investor behavior, but they also briefly examine the use of MS in fields other than finance. Most models in economics and finance assume that investors are rational. However, experimental studies reveal systematic deviations from rational behavior. How can we determine the effect of investors' deviations from rational behavior on asset prices and market dynamics? By using Microscopic Simulation, a methodology originally developed by physicists for the investigation of complex systems, the authors are able to relax classical assumptions about investor behavior and to model it as empirically and experimentally observed. This rounded and judicious introduction to the application of MS in finance and economics reveals that many of the empirically-observed "puzzles" in finance can be explained by investors' quasi-rationality. Researchers use the book because it models heterogeneous investors, a group that has proven difficult to model. Being able to predict how people will invest and setting asset prices accordingly is inherently appealing, and the combination of computing power and statistical mechanics in this book makes such modeling possible. Because many finance researchers have backgrounds in physics, the material here is accessible. Emphasizes investor behavior in determining asset prices and market dynamics Introduces Microscopic Simulation within a simplified framework Offers ways to model deviations from rational decision-making

On Microscopic Simulation Models of Financial Markets

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Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9789056681722
Total Pages : 154 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (817 download)

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Book Synopsis On Microscopic Simulation Models of Financial Markets by : Youwei Li

Download or read book On Microscopic Simulation Models of Financial Markets written by Youwei Li and published by . This book was released on 2006 with total page 154 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Realistic Simulation of Financial Markets

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Author :
Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 4431550577
Total Pages : 205 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (315 download)

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Book Synopsis Realistic Simulation of Financial Markets by : Hajime Kita

Download or read book Realistic Simulation of Financial Markets written by Hajime Kita and published by Springer. This book was released on 2016-07-06 with total page 205 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book takes up unique agent-based approaches to solving problems related to stock and their derivative markets. Toward this end, the authors have worked for more than 15 years on the development of an artificial market simulator called U-Mart for use as a research and educational tool. A noteworthy feature of the U-Mart simulator compared to other artificial market simulators is that U-Mart is an ultra-realistic artificial stock and their derivative market simulator. For example, it can simulate “arrowhead,” a next-generation trading system used in the Tokyo Stock Exchange and other major markets, as it takes into consideration the institutional design of the entire market. Another interesting feature of the U-Mart simulator is that it permits both human and computer programs to participate simultaneously as traders in the artificial market. In this book, first the details of U-Mart are explained, enabling readers to install and run the simulator on their computers for research and educational purposes. The simulator thus can be used for gaming simulation of the artificial market and even for users as agents to implement their own trading strategies for agent-based simulation (ABS).The book also presents selected research cases using the U-Mart simulator. Here, topics include automated acquisition of trading strategy using artificial intelligence techniques, evaluation of a market maker system to treat thin markets such as those for small and regional businesses, systemic risk analysis of the financial market considering institutional design of the market, and analysis of how humans behave and learn in gaming simulation. New perspectives on artificial market research are provided, and the power, potential, and challenge of ABS are discussed. As explained in this important work, ABS is considered to be an effective tool as the third approach of social science, an alternative to traditional literary and mathematical approaches.

Simulation of Financial Markets by Agent-Based Mix-Game Model

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Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 16 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (129 download)

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Book Synopsis Simulation of Financial Markets by Agent-Based Mix-Game Model by : Chengling Gou

Download or read book Simulation of Financial Markets by Agent-Based Mix-Game Model written by Chengling Gou and published by . This book was released on 2005 with total page 16 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper studies the simulation of financial markets by agent-based mix-game model which is a variant of minority game (MG). It specifies the spectrums of parameters of mix-game model which fit financial markets by looking at the dynamic behaviors of mix-game model under its comprehensive spectrums of parameters. Then it induces the rules for simulating financial markets by mix-game models and gives an example of simulating financial market by mix-game model.

Market Risk and Financial Markets Modeling

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Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 3642279317
Total Pages : 260 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (422 download)

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Book Synopsis Market Risk and Financial Markets Modeling by : Didier Sornette

Download or read book Market Risk and Financial Markets Modeling written by Didier Sornette and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-02-03 with total page 260 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The current financial crisis has revealed serious flaws in models, measures and, potentially, theories, that failed to provide forward-looking expectations for upcoming losses originated from market risks. The Proceedings of the Perm Winter School 2011 propose insights on many key issues and advances in financial markets modeling and risk measurement aiming to bridge the gap. The key addressed topics include: hierarchical and ultrametric models of financial crashes, dynamic hedging, arbitrage free modeling the term structure of interest rates, agent based modeling of order flow, asset pricing in a fractional market, hedge funds performance and many more.

Applications of Microscopic Modelling in Finance

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Publisher : Sudwestdeutscher Verlag Fur Hochschulschriften AG
ISBN 13 : 9783838113517
Total Pages : 172 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (135 download)

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Book Synopsis Applications of Microscopic Modelling in Finance by : Alexander Weiß

Download or read book Applications of Microscopic Modelling in Finance written by Alexander Weiß and published by Sudwestdeutscher Verlag Fur Hochschulschriften AG. This book was released on 2010-03 with total page 172 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: For the financial industry, it is of paramount importance to understand the statistical features of price processes. While statistical models can reproduce empirical findings, they cannot give insight into the causal relationships and the market's response to a changing environment. Microscopic models of financial markets are an approach to understand the underlying mechanisms determining the market behaviour. In this book, we give an introduction to the basic idea of microscopic modelling with a particular focus on the "Opinion Game," a microscopic market model introduced by Bovier, erny and Hryniv (2006). Within the framework of the Opinion Game, we devote ourselves to two issues: First, the market stability in dependence on long-term investors and, second, the market illiquidity when orders of large volumes are executed. A survey of a JAVA implementation of the Opinion Game completes the book.

Introduction to Econophysics

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Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 1139431226
Total Pages : 164 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (394 download)

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Book Synopsis Introduction to Econophysics by : Rosario N. Mantegna

Download or read book Introduction to Econophysics written by Rosario N. Mantegna and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 1999-11-13 with total page 164 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book concerns the use of concepts from statistical physics in the description of financial systems. The authors illustrate the scaling concepts used in probability theory, critical phenomena, and fully developed turbulent fluids. These concepts are then applied to financial time series. The authors also present a stochastic model that displays several of the statistical properties observed in empirical data. Statistical physics concepts such as stochastic dynamics, short- and long-range correlations, self-similarity and scaling permit an understanding of the global behaviour of economic systems without first having to work out a detailed microscopic description of the system. Physicists will find the application of statistical physics concepts to economic systems interesting. Economists and workers in the financial world will find useful the presentation of empirical analysis methods and well-formulated theoretical tools that might help describe systems composed of a huge number of interacting subsystems.

Handbook of Financial Markets: Dynamics and Evolution

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Publisher : Elsevier
ISBN 13 : 0080921434
Total Pages : 607 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (89 download)

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Book Synopsis Handbook of Financial Markets: Dynamics and Evolution by : Thorsten Hens

Download or read book Handbook of Financial Markets: Dynamics and Evolution written by Thorsten Hens and published by Elsevier. This book was released on 2009-06-12 with total page 607 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The models of portfolio selection and asset price dynamics in this volume seek to explain the market dynamics of asset prices. Presenting a range of analytical, empirical, and numerical techniques as well as several different modeling approaches, the authors depict the state of debate on the market selection hypothesis. By explicitly assuming the heterogeneity of investors, they present models that are descriptive and normative as well, making the volume useful for both finance theorists and financial practitioners. Explains the market dynamics of asset prices, offering insights about asset management approaches Assumes a heterogeneity of investors that yields descriptive and normative models of portfolio selections and asset pricing dynamics

Simulation of Financial Markets with Agent-Based Model

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Author :
Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 9784431550587
Total Pages : 140 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (55 download)

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Book Synopsis Simulation of Financial Markets with Agent-Based Model by : Hajime Kita

Download or read book Simulation of Financial Markets with Agent-Based Model written by Hajime Kita and published by Springer. This book was released on 2015-12-25 with total page 140 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book takes up unique agent-based approaches to solving problems related to stock and their derivative markets. Toward this end, the authors have worked for more than 15 years on the development of an artificial market simulator called U-Mart for use as a research and educational tool. A noteworthy feature of the U-Mart simulator compared to other artificial market simulators is that U-Mart is an ultra-realistic artificial stock and their derivative market simulator. For example, it can simulate “arrowhead,” a next-generation trading system used in the Tokyo Stock Exchange and other major markets, as it takes into consideration the institutional design of the entire market. Another interesting feature of the U-Mart simulator is that it permits both human and computer programs to participate simultaneously as traders in the artificial market. In this book, first the details of U-Mart are explained, enabling readers to install and run the simulator on their computers for research and educational purposes. The simulator thus can be used for gaming simulation of the artificial market and even for users as agents to implement their own trading strategies for agent-based simulation (ABS).The book also presents selected research cases using the U-Mart simulator. Here, topics include automated acquisition of trading strategy using artificial intelligence techniques, evaluation of a market maker system to treat thin markets such as those for small and regional businesses, systemic risk analysis of the financial market considering institutional design of the market, and analysis of how humans behave and learn in gaming simulation. New perspectives on artificial market research are provided, and the power, potential, and challenge of ABS are discussed. As explained in this important work, ABS is considered to be an effective tool as the third approach of social science, an alternative to traditional literary and mathematical approaches.

Nasdaq Market Simulation, A: Insights On A Major Market From The Science Of Complex Adaptive Systems

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Author :
Publisher : World Scientific
ISBN 13 : 9814477192
Total Pages : 167 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (144 download)

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Book Synopsis Nasdaq Market Simulation, A: Insights On A Major Market From The Science Of Complex Adaptive Systems by : Vincent Darley

Download or read book Nasdaq Market Simulation, A: Insights On A Major Market From The Science Of Complex Adaptive Systems written by Vincent Darley and published by World Scientific. This book was released on 2007-03-21 with total page 167 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This pioneering book describes the applications of agent-based modeling to financial markets. It presents a new paradigm for finance, where markets are treated as complex systems whose behavior emerges as a result of interactions of market participants, market institutions, and market rules. This includes both a presentation of the conceptual model and its software implementation. It also summarises the result of the profound research on the successful practical application of this new approach to answer questions regarding the NASDAQ Stock Market's decimalization that was implemented in 2001.The book presents conceptual foundations for modeling markets as complex systems. It describes the agent-based model of the NASDAQ stock market, including strategies used by market-makers and investors, market participants interactions, and impacts of rules and regulations. It includes analyses of simulation behavior, comparison with the behaviors observed in the real-world markets (existence of fat tails, spread clustering, etc.), and predictions about possible outcomes of decimalization. A framework for calibrating the market behavior and individual market-makers strategies to historical data is also presented.

The Statistical Mechanics of Financial Markets

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Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 3662044234
Total Pages : 227 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (62 download)

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Book Synopsis The Statistical Mechanics of Financial Markets by : Johannes Voit

Download or read book The Statistical Mechanics of Financial Markets written by Johannes Voit and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-06-29 with total page 227 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A careful examination of the interaction between physics and finance. It takes a look at the 100-year-long history of co-operation between the two fields and goes on to provide new research results on capital markets - taken from the field of statistical physics. The random walk model, well known in physics, is one good example of where the two disciplines meet. In the world of finance it is the basic model upon which the Black-Scholes theory of option pricing and hedging has been built. The underlying assumptions are discussed using empirical financial data and analogies to physical models such as fluid flows, turbulence, or superdiffusion. On this basis, new theories of derivative pricing and risk control can be formulated.

Econophysics of Stock and other Markets

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Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 8847005027
Total Pages : 255 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (47 download)

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Book Synopsis Econophysics of Stock and other Markets by : Arnab Chatterjee

Download or read book Econophysics of Stock and other Markets written by Arnab Chatterjee and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2007-12-31 with total page 255 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book reviews the latest econophysics researches on the fluctuations in stock, forex and other markets. The statistical modeling of markets, using various agent-based game theoretical approaches, and their scaling analysis have been discussed. The leading researchers in these fields have reported on their recent work and also reviewed the contemporary literature. Some historical perspectives as well as some comments and debates on recent issues in econophysics research have also been included.

Stock Market Modeling and Forecasting

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Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 9781447151562
Total Pages : 161 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (515 download)

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Book Synopsis Stock Market Modeling and Forecasting by : Xiaolian Zheng

Download or read book Stock Market Modeling and Forecasting written by Xiaolian Zheng and published by Springer. This book was released on 2013-04-09 with total page 161 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Stock Market Modeling and Forecasting translates experience in system adaptation gained in an engineering context to the modeling of financial markets with a view to improving the capture and understanding of market dynamics. The modeling process is considered as identifying a dynamic system in which a real stock market is treated as an unknown plant and the identification model proposed is tuned by feedback of the matching error. Like a physical system, a financial market exhibits fast and slow dynamics corresponding to external (such as company value and profitability) and internal forces (such as investor sentiment and commodity prices) respectively. The framework presented here, consisting of an internal model and an adaptive filter, is successful at considering both fast and slow market dynamics. A double selection method is efficacious in identifying input factors influential in market movements, revealing them to be both frequency- and market-dependent. The authors present work on both developed and developing markets in the shape of the US, Hong Kong, Chinese and Singaporean stock markets. Results from all these sources demonstrate the efficiency of the model framework in identifying significant influences and the quality of its predictive ability; promising results are also obtained by applying the model framework to the forecasting of major market-turning periods. Having shown that system-theoretic ideas can form the core of a novel and effective basis for stock market analysis, the book is completed by an indication of possible and likely future expansions of the research in this area.

Why Stock Markets Crash

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Publisher : Princeton University Press
ISBN 13 : 0691175950
Total Pages : 448 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (911 download)

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Book Synopsis Why Stock Markets Crash by : Didier Sornette

Download or read book Why Stock Markets Crash written by Didier Sornette and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2017-03-21 with total page 448 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The scientific study of complex systems has transformed a wide range of disciplines in recent years, enabling researchers in both the natural and social sciences to model and predict phenomena as diverse as earthquakes, global warming, demographic patterns, financial crises, and the failure of materials. In this book, Didier Sornette boldly applies his varied experience in these areas to propose a simple, powerful, and general theory of how, why, and when stock markets crash. Most attempts to explain market failures seek to pinpoint triggering mechanisms that occur hours, days, or weeks before the collapse. Sornette proposes a radically different view: the underlying cause can be sought months and even years before the abrupt, catastrophic event in the build-up of cooperative speculation, which often translates into an accelerating rise of the market price, otherwise known as a "bubble." Anchoring his sophisticated, step-by-step analysis in leading-edge physical and statistical modeling techniques, he unearths remarkable insights and some predictions--among them, that the "end of the growth era" will occur around 2050. Sornette probes major historical precedents, from the decades-long "tulip mania" in the Netherlands that wilted suddenly in 1637 to the South Sea Bubble that ended with the first huge market crash in England in 1720, to the Great Crash of October 1929 and Black Monday in 1987, to cite just a few. He concludes that most explanations other than cooperative self-organization fail to account for the subtle bubbles by which the markets lay the groundwork for catastrophe. Any investor or investment professional who seeks a genuine understanding of looming financial disasters should read this book. Physicists, geologists, biologists, economists, and others will welcome Why Stock Markets Crash as a highly original "scientific tale," as Sornette aptly puts it, of the exciting and sometimes fearsome--but no longer quite so unfathomable--world of stock markets.

Microscopic Models Applied to Financial Markets

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (112 download)

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Book Synopsis Microscopic Models Applied to Financial Markets by : Jordi Riu Vicente

Download or read book Microscopic Models Applied to Financial Markets written by Jordi Riu Vicente and published by . This book was released on 2015 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We use the dynamical Ising model, with stochastic dynamics for the coupling, in order to try to reproduce financial markets indexes. Specifically, the coupling follows an Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process. Regarding the employed dynamics for the Ising model, we first utilize the Metropolis algorithm, obtaining encouraging results. We later consider the more sophisticated Wolff algorithm, which to the best of our knowledge has never been applied to financial markets before. We find that this model is able to reproduce qualitatively, and in some cases quantitatively, the stylized facts, previously computed for real EUR/USD currency data. Finally, we construct a much simpler subordinated stochastic process, based on the Ising mean-field theory, which turns out to encapsulate in a simple way most of the features of the previously studied dynamical Ising models.

Financial Markets and Trading

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Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 1118093658
Total Pages : 195 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (18 download)

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Book Synopsis Financial Markets and Trading by : Anatoly B. Schmidt

Download or read book Financial Markets and Trading written by Anatoly B. Schmidt and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2011-07-05 with total page 195 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: An informative guide to market microstructure and trading strategies Over the last decade, the financial landscape has undergone a significant transformation, shaped by the forces of technology, globalization, and market innovations to name a few. In order to operate effectively in today's markets, you need more than just the motivation to succeed, you need a firm understanding of how modern financial markets work and what professional trading is really about. Dr. Anatoly Schmidt, who has worked in the financial industry since 1997, and teaches in the Financial Engineering program of Stevens Institute of Technology, puts these topics in perspective with his new book. Divided into three comprehensive parts, this reliable resource offers a balance between the theoretical aspects of market microstructure and trading strategies that may be more relevant for practitioners. Along the way, it skillfully provides an informative overview of modern financial markets as well as an engaging assessment of the methods used in deriving and back-testing trading strategies. Details the modern financial markets for equities, foreign exchange, and fixed income Addresses the basics of market dynamics, including statistical distributions and volatility of returns Offers a summary of approaches used in technical analysis and statistical arbitrage as well as a more detailed description of trading performance criteria and back-testing strategies Includes two appendices that support the main material in the book If you're unprepared to enter today's markets you will underperform. But with Financial Markets and Trading as your guide, you'll quickly discover what it takes to make it in this competitive field.

Volatility Clustering in Financial Markets

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Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9783931052027
Total Pages : 28 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (52 download)

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Book Synopsis Volatility Clustering in Financial Markets by : Thomas Lux

Download or read book Volatility Clustering in Financial Markets written by Thomas Lux and published by . This book was released on 1998 with total page 28 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: