Methods of Solution and Simulation for Dynamic Rational Expectations Models

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 38 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Methods of Solution and Simulation for Dynamic Rational Expectations Models by : Olivier J. Blanchard

Download or read book Methods of Solution and Simulation for Dynamic Rational Expectations Models written by Olivier J. Blanchard and published by . This book was released on 1983 with total page 38 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Many methods have been proposed for the solution and simulation of medium or large size models under the assumption of rational expectations. The purpose of this paper is to present these methods, and to show how and where each can be applied. The methods fall into two groups. Methods in the first can be used to solve for perfect foresight paths in non-linear models. Methods in the second can be used in linear models, to solve either for paths or processes followed by endogenous variables. All the methods described here have been used in empirical applications and computer algorithms are available for most.

Rational Expectations in Macroeconomic Models

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Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 9401580022
Total Pages : 215 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (15 download)

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Book Synopsis Rational Expectations in Macroeconomic Models by : P. Fisher

Download or read book Rational Expectations in Macroeconomic Models written by P. Fisher and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-04-17 with total page 215 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: It is commonly believed that macroeconomic models are not useful for policy analysis because they do not take proper account of agents' expectations. Over the last decade, mainstream macroeconomic models in the UK and elsewhere have taken on board the `Rational Expectations Revolution' by explicitly incorporating expectations of the future. In principle, one can perform the same technical exercises on a forward expectations model as on a conventional model -- and more! Rational Expectations in Macroeconomic Models deals with the numerical methods necessary to carry out policy analysis and forecasting with these models. These methods are often passed on by word of mouth or confined to obscure journals. Rational Expectations in Macroeconomic Models brings them together with applications which are interesting in their own right. There is no comparable textbook in the literature. The specific subjects include: (i) solving for model consistent expectations; (ii) the choice of terminal condition and time horizon; (iii) experimental design: i.e., the effect of temporary vs permanent, anticipated vs. unanticipated shocks; deterministic vs. stochastic, dynamic vs. static simulation; (iv) the role of exchange rate; (v) optimal control and inflation-output tradeoffs. The models used are those of the Liverpool Research Group in Macroeconomics, the London Business School and the National Institute of Economic and Social Research.

Recursive Solution Methods for Dynamic Linear Rational Expectations Models

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 31 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (165 download)

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Book Synopsis Recursive Solution Methods for Dynamic Linear Rational Expectations Models by : Mark W. Watson

Download or read book Recursive Solution Methods for Dynamic Linear Rational Expectations Models written by Mark W. Watson and published by . This book was released on 1985 with total page 31 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Reduced Forms of Rational Expectations Models

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Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 1136457739
Total Pages : 134 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (364 download)

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Book Synopsis Reduced Forms of Rational Expectations Models by : L. Broze

Download or read book Reduced Forms of Rational Expectations Models written by L. Broze and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2013-06-17 with total page 134 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A comprehensive exposition of rational expectations models is provided here, working up from simple univariate models to more sophisticated multivariate and non-linear models.

Linear Rational Expectations Models

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Publisher : U of Minnesota Press
ISBN 13 : 1452907935
Total Pages : 151 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (529 download)

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Book Synopsis Linear Rational Expectations Models by : Charles H. Whiteman

Download or read book Linear Rational Expectations Models written by Charles H. Whiteman and published by U of Minnesota Press. This book was released on 1984 with total page 151 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Computationally Efficient Solution and Maximum Likelihood Estimation of Nonlinear Rational Expectation Models

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 54 pages
Book Rating : 4.X/5 (4 download)

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Book Synopsis Computationally Efficient Solution and Maximum Likelihood Estimation of Nonlinear Rational Expectation Models by : Jeffrey C. Fuhrer

Download or read book Computationally Efficient Solution and Maximum Likelihood Estimation of Nonlinear Rational Expectation Models written by Jeffrey C. Fuhrer and published by . This book was released on 1996 with total page 54 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Estimation of Dynamic Limited-dependent Rational Expectation Models

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 44 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (318 download)

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Book Synopsis Estimation of Dynamic Limited-dependent Rational Expectation Models by : Lung-fei Lee

Download or read book Estimation of Dynamic Limited-dependent Rational Expectation Models written by Lung-fei Lee and published by . This book was released on 1996 with total page 44 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Efficient Solution Techniques for Dynamic Nonlinear Rational Expectations Models

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (531 download)

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Book Synopsis Efficient Solution Techniques for Dynamic Nonlinear Rational Expectations Models by : P. G. Fisher

Download or read book Efficient Solution Techniques for Dynamic Nonlinear Rational Expectations Models written by P. G. Fisher and published by . This book was released on 1985 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Solving Large Scale Rational Expectation Models

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 60 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (321 download)

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Book Synopsis Solving Large Scale Rational Expectation Models by : Jess Gaspar

Download or read book Solving Large Scale Rational Expectation Models written by Jess Gaspar and published by . This book was released on 1997 with total page 60 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Solving for Optimal Simple Rules in Rational Expectations Models

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 32 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (318 download)

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Book Synopsis Solving for Optimal Simple Rules in Rational Expectations Models by : Richard Dennis

Download or read book Solving for Optimal Simple Rules in Rational Expectations Models written by Richard Dennis and published by . This book was released on 2000 with total page 32 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Macroeconomic Modelling

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Publisher : Elsevier
ISBN 13 : 1483295478
Total Pages : 432 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (832 download)

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Book Synopsis Macroeconomic Modelling by : S.G. Hall

Download or read book Macroeconomic Modelling written by S.G. Hall and published by Elsevier. This book was released on 2014-06-28 with total page 432 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book arose out of research carried out by the authors in the period 1983-1987 whilst at the National Institute of Economic and Social Research. A number of things combined to impart the basic thrust of the research: partly the developments in formulating and estimating rational expectations models, and partly actual developments in the UK economy itself.An application of recent developments in dynamic modelling to a complete macroeconometric model of the UK is presented. Rational expectations modelling, co-integration and disequilibrium modelling are covered. The book also develops computational procedures for obtaining efficient solutions to large-scale models, and illustrates model solutions assuming rational expectations and stochastic simulations. Finally, sections on the analysis of models using optimal control methods illustrate applications of a large-scale econometric model. This section also discusses policy applications, including the derivation of time-consistent policies in the presence of rational expectations, giving quantified illustrations.

Solving Large Scale Normalised Rational Expectations Models

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 60 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Solving Large Scale Normalised Rational Expectations Models by : Olaf van 't Veer

Download or read book Solving Large Scale Normalised Rational Expectations Models written by Olaf van 't Veer and published by . This book was released on 2006 with total page 60 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Solving Linear Rational Expectations Models with Lagged Expectations Quickly and Easily

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (836 download)

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Book Synopsis Solving Linear Rational Expectations Models with Lagged Expectations Quickly and Easily by :

Download or read book Solving Linear Rational Expectations Models with Lagged Expectations Quickly and Easily written by and published by . This book was released on 2007 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A solution method is derived in this paper for solving a system of linear rational-expectations equation with lagged expectations (e.g., models incorporating sticky information) using the method of undetermined coefficients for the infinite MA representation. The method applies a combination of a Generalized Schur Decomposition familiar elsewhere in the literature and a simple system of linear equations when lagged expectations are present to the infinite MA representation. Execution is faster, applicability more general, and use more straight-forward than with existing algorithms. Current methods of truncating lagged expectations are shown to not generally be innocuous and the use of such methods are rendered obsolete by the tremendous gains in computational efficiency of the method here which allows for a solution to floating-point accuracy in a fraction of the time required by standard methods. The associated computational application of the method provides impulse responses to anticipated and unanticipated innovations, simulations, and frequency-domain and simulated moments. -- Lagged expectations ; linear rational expectations models; block tridiagonal ; Generalized Schur Form ; QZ decomposition ; LAPACK

Solutions of Dynamic Linear Rational Expectations Models

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 55 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (715 download)

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Book Synopsis Solutions of Dynamic Linear Rational Expectations Models by : L. Broze

Download or read book Solutions of Dynamic Linear Rational Expectations Models written by L. Broze and published by . This book was released on 1984 with total page 55 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Economically Sensible Solutions for Linear Rational Expectations Models with Forward and Backward Looking Dynamic Processes

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 38 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (9 download)

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Book Synopsis Economically Sensible Solutions for Linear Rational Expectations Models with Forward and Backward Looking Dynamic Processes by : Michael Mussa

Download or read book Economically Sensible Solutions for Linear Rational Expectations Models with Forward and Backward Looking Dynamic Processes written by Michael Mussa and published by . This book was released on 1984 with total page 38 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Using variants of a modified version of Dornbusch's model of price level and exchange rate dynamics, it is demonstrated that satisfaction of the formal condition for existence of a unigue non-explosive solution of a linear rational expectations model with forward and backward looking dynamic processes (equality of the number of stable roots with the number of independent backward looking processes) does not guarantee the economic sensibility of this solution, even if one accepts the usual arguments for excluding "speculative babbles" from the solutions of such models. Moreover, satisfaction of the formal condition for existence of an infinity of non-explosive solutions for such rational expectations models (more stable roots than independent backward looking processes) does not assure that any of these solutions is economically sensible.

Assessing Rational Expectations 2

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Publisher : MIT Press
ISBN 13 : 9780262262903
Total Pages : 498 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (629 download)

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Book Synopsis Assessing Rational Expectations 2 by : Roger Guesnerie

Download or read book Assessing Rational Expectations 2 written by Roger Guesnerie and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 2005-02-18 with total page 498 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A theoretical assessment of the Rational Expectations Hypothesis through subjecting a collection of economic models to an "eductive stability" test. The rational expectations hypothesis (REH) dominates economic modeling in areas ranging from monetary theory, macroeconomics, and general equilibrium to finance. In this book, Roger Guesnerie continues the critical analysis of the REH begun in his Assessing Rational Expectations: Sunspot Multiplicity and Economic Fluctuations, which dealt with the questions raised by multiplicity and its implications for a theory of endogenous fluctuations. This second volume emphasizes "eductive" learning: relying on careful reasoning, agents must deduce what other agents guess, a process that differs from the standard evolutionary learning experience in which agents make decisions about the future based on past experiences. A broad "eductive" stability test is proposed that includes common knowledge and results in a unique "rationalizable expectations equilibrium." This test provides the basis for Guesnerie's theoretical assessment of the plausibility of the REH's expectational coordination, emphasizing, for different categories of economic models, conditions for the REH's success or failure. Guesnerie begins by presenting the concepts and methods of the eductive stability analysis in selected partial equilibrium models. He then explores to what extent general equilibrium strategic complementarities interfere with partial equilibrium considerations in the formation of stable expectations. Guesnerie next examines two issues relating to eductive stability in financial market models, speculation and asymmetric price information. The dynamic settings of an infinite horizon model are then taken up, and particular standard and generalized saddle-path solutions are scrutinized. Guesnerie concludes with a review of general questions and some "cautious" remarks on the policy implications of his analysis.

Econometric Decision Models

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Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 3642516750
Total Pages : 629 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (425 download)

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Book Synopsis Econometric Decision Models by : Josef Gruber

Download or read book Econometric Decision Models written by Josef Gruber and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-06-29 with total page 629 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This volume contains a refereed selection of revised papers which were originally presented at the Second International Conference on Econometric Decision Models, University of Hagen (FernUni versitat). The conference was held in Haus Nordhelle, a meeting place in the mountainous area " Sauerland" , some 50 kilometers south of Hagen, on August 29 - September 1, 1989. Some details about this conference are given in the first paper, they need not be repeated here. The 40 papers included in this volume are organized in 10 "parts", shown in the table of contents. Included are such "fashionable" topics like "optimal control", "cointegration" and "rational expec tations models". In each part, the papers have been arranged alphabetically by author, unless there were good reasons for a different arrangement. To facilitate the decision making of the readers, all papers (except a few short ones) contain an abstract, a list of keywords and a table of contents. At the end of the proceedings volume, there is a list of authors. More than ten years ago, I began to organize meetings of econometricians, mainly called "seminar" or " colloquium". One major purpose of these meetings has always been to improve international cooperation of econometric model builders (and model users) from "the East" and "the West". Unprecedented changes to the better have taken place recently ("perestroika"). For a large fraction of participants from the Soviet Union, the 1989 conference was the first conference in a Western country.