Macroprudential Solvency Stress Testing of the Insurance Sector

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Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 148434636X
Total Pages : 84 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (843 download)

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Book Synopsis Macroprudential Solvency Stress Testing of the Insurance Sector by : Mr.Andreas A. Jobst

Download or read book Macroprudential Solvency Stress Testing of the Insurance Sector written by Mr.Andreas A. Jobst and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2014-07-22 with total page 84 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Over the last decade, stress testing has become a central aspect of the Fund’s bilateral and multilateral surveillance work. Recently, more emphasis has also been placed on the role of insurance for financial stability analysis. This paper reviews the current state of system-wide solvency stress tests for insurance based on a comparative review of national practices and the experiences from Fund’s FSAP program with the aim of providing practical guidelines for the coherent and consistent implementation of such exercises. The paper also offers recommendations on improving the current insurance stress testing approaches and presentation of results.

Macroprudential Solvency Stress Testing of the Insurance Sector

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 83 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (97 download)

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Book Synopsis Macroprudential Solvency Stress Testing of the Insurance Sector by : Andreas A. Jobst

Download or read book Macroprudential Solvency Stress Testing of the Insurance Sector written by Andreas A. Jobst and published by . This book was released on 2014 with total page 83 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Sovereign Risk in Macroprudential Solvency Stress Testing

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Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1513519964
Total Pages : 59 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (135 download)

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Book Synopsis Sovereign Risk in Macroprudential Solvency Stress Testing by : Mr.Andreas A. Jobst

Download or read book Sovereign Risk in Macroprudential Solvency Stress Testing written by Mr.Andreas A. Jobst and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2019-12-06 with total page 59 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper explains the treatment of sovereign risk in macroprudential solvency stress testing, based on the experiences in the Financial Sector Assessment Program (FSAP). We discuss four essential steps in assessing the system-wide impact of sovereign risk: scope, loss estimation, shock calibration, and capital impact calculation. Most importantly, a market-consistent valuation approach lies at the heart of assessing the resilience of the financial sector in a tail risk scenario with sovereign distress. We present a flexible, closed-form approach to calibrating haircuts based on changes in expected sovereign defaults affecting bank solvency during adverse macroeconomic conditions. This paper demonstrates the effectiveness of using extreme value theory (EVT) in this context, with empirical examples from past FSAPs.

A Framework for Macroprudential Bank Solvency Stress Testing

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Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1616355077
Total Pages : 55 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (163 download)

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Book Synopsis A Framework for Macroprudential Bank Solvency Stress Testing by : Mr.Andreas A. Jobst

Download or read book A Framework for Macroprudential Bank Solvency Stress Testing written by Mr.Andreas A. Jobst and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2013-03-13 with total page 55 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The global financial crisis has placed the spotlight squarely on bank stress tests. Stress tests conducted in the lead-up to the crisis, including those by IMF staff, were not always able to identify the right risks and vulnerabilities. Since then, IMF staff has developed more robust stress testing methods and models and adopted a more coherent and consistent approach. This paper articulates the solvency stress testing framework that is being applied in the IMF’s surveillance of member countries’ banking systems, and discusses examples of its actual implementation in FSAPs to 18 countries which are in the group comprising the 25 most systemically important financial systems (“S-25”) plus other G-20 countries. In doing so, the paper also offers useful guidance for readers seeking to develop their own stress testing frameworks and country authorities preparing for FSAPs. A detailed Stress Test Matrix (STeM) comparing the stress test parameters applie in each of these major country FSAPs is provided, together with our stress test output templates.

Stress Testing at the IMF

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1513520741
Total Pages : 73 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (135 download)

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Book Synopsis Stress Testing at the IMF by : Mr.Tobias Adrian

Download or read book Stress Testing at the IMF written by Mr.Tobias Adrian and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2020-02-05 with total page 73 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper explains specifics of stress testing at the IMF. After a brief section on the evolution of stress tests at the IMF, the paper presents the key steps of an IMF staff stress test. They are followed by a discussion on how IMF staff uses stress tests results for policy advice. The paper concludes by identifying remaining challenges to make stress tests more useful for the monitoring of financial stability and an overview of IMF staff work program in that direction. Stress tests help assess the resilience of financial systems in IMF member countries and underpin policy advice to preserve or restore financial stability. This assessment and advice are mainly provided through the Financial Sector Assessment Program (FSAP). IMF staff also provide technical assistance in stress testing to many its member countries. An IMF macroprudential stress test is a methodology to assess financial vulnerabilities that can trigger systemic risk and the need of systemwide mitigating measures. The definition of systemic risk as used by the IMF is relevant to understanding the role of its stress tests as tools for financial surveillance and the IMF’s current work program. IMF stress tests primarily apply to depository intermediaries, and, systemically important banks.

Macroprudential Stress Tests and Policies: Searching for Robust and Implementable Frameworks

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Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1484376382
Total Pages : 79 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (843 download)

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Book Synopsis Macroprudential Stress Tests and Policies: Searching for Robust and Implementable Frameworks by : Ron Anderson

Download or read book Macroprudential Stress Tests and Policies: Searching for Robust and Implementable Frameworks written by Ron Anderson and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2018-09-11 with total page 79 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Macroprudential stress testing (MaPST) is becoming firmly embedded in the post-crisis policy-frameworks of financial-sectors around the world. MaPSTs can offer quantitative, forward-looking assessments of the resilience of financial systems as a whole, to particularly adverse shocks. Therefore, they are well suited to support the surveillance of macrofinancial vulnerabilities and to inform the use of macroprudential policy-instruments. This report summarizes the findings of a joint-research effort by MCM and the Systemic-Risk-Centre, which aimed at (i) presenting state-of-the-art approaches on MaPST, including modeling and implementation-challenges; (ii) providing a roadmap for future-research, and; (iii) discussing the potential uses of MaPST to support policy.

Designing Effective Macroprudential Stress Tests

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1513501534
Total Pages : 34 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (135 download)

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Book Synopsis Designing Effective Macroprudential Stress Tests by : Mr. Dimitri G. Demekas

Download or read book Designing Effective Macroprudential Stress Tests written by Mr. Dimitri G. Demekas and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2015-06-30 with total page 34 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Giving stress tests a macroprudential perspective requires (i) incorporating general equilibrium dimensions, so that the outcome of the test depends not only on the size of the shock and the buffers of individual institutions but also on their behavioral responses and their interactions with each other and with other economic agents; and (ii) focusing on the resilience of the system as a whole. Progress has been made toward the first goal: several models are now available that attempt to integrate solvency, liquidity, and other sources of risk and to capture some behavioral responses and feedback effects. But building models that measure correctly systemic risk and the contribution of individual institutions to it while, at the same time, relating the results to the established regulatory framework has proved more difficult. Looking forward, making macroprudential stress tests more effective would entail using a variety of analytical approaches and scenarios, integrating non-bank financial entities, and exploring the use of agent-based models. As well, macroprudential stress tests should not be used in isolation but be treated as complements to other tools and—crucially—be combined with microprudential perspectives.

Norway: Financial Sector Assessment Program-Technical Note-Insurance Sector Stress Tests

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Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 151356305X
Total Pages : 37 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (135 download)

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Book Synopsis Norway: Financial Sector Assessment Program-Technical Note-Insurance Sector Stress Tests by : International Monetary Fund. Monetary and Capital Markets Department

Download or read book Norway: Financial Sector Assessment Program-Technical Note-Insurance Sector Stress Tests written by International Monetary Fund. Monetary and Capital Markets Department and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2015-09-17 with total page 37 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This Technical Note presents key findings of insurance sector stress tests on Norway. Although the financial condition of insurance companies under Solvency I has generally been sound, insurers face major challenges going forward, thus placing an important premium on sound risk management and effective oversight by supervisors. The stress tests (under Solvency II) confirm that life insurers are vulnerable to severe shocks. The stress tests pointed to the high sensitivity of life insurers to market risks such as equity prices, real estate prices, and credit spreads. The risks to insurers are particularly pronounced if interest rates fall further from the current levels.

Macroprudential Supervision in Insurance

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Author :
Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 1137439106
Total Pages : 302 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (374 download)

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Book Synopsis Macroprudential Supervision in Insurance by : J. Monkiewicz

Download or read book Macroprudential Supervision in Insurance written by J. Monkiewicz and published by Springer. This book was released on 2014-11-04 with total page 302 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Macroprudential policies, tools and supervision have become important since the last financial crisis. This book addresses general and methodological issues and provides a framework for the analysis of macroprudential policies and supervision in insurance. It focuses on policy related issues and global level aspects of macroprudential in insurance.

Macroprudential Liquidity Stress Testing in FSAPs for Systemically Important Financial Systems

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Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 147559724X
Total Pages : 56 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (755 download)

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Book Synopsis Macroprudential Liquidity Stress Testing in FSAPs for Systemically Important Financial Systems by : Mr.Andreas A. Jobst

Download or read book Macroprudential Liquidity Stress Testing in FSAPs for Systemically Important Financial Systems written by Mr.Andreas A. Jobst and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2017-05-01 with total page 56 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Bank liquidity stress testing, which has become de rigueur following the costly lessons of the global financial crisis, remains underdeveloped compared to solvency stress testing. The ability to adequately identify, model and assess the impact of liquidity shocks, which are infrequent but can have a severe impact on affected banks and financial systems, is complicated not only by data limitations but also by interactions among multiple factors. This paper provides a conceptual overview of liquidity stress testing approaches for banks and discusses their implementation by IMF staff in the Financial Sector Assessment Program (FSAP) for countries with systemically important financial sectors over the last six years.

Macroprudential Stress Tests and Policies: Searching for Robust and Implementable Frameworks

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Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1484375831
Total Pages : 79 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (843 download)

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Book Synopsis Macroprudential Stress Tests and Policies: Searching for Robust and Implementable Frameworks by : Ron Anderson

Download or read book Macroprudential Stress Tests and Policies: Searching for Robust and Implementable Frameworks written by Ron Anderson and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2018-09-11 with total page 79 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Macroprudential stress testing (MaPST) is becoming firmly embedded in the post-crisis policy-frameworks of financial-sectors around the world. MaPSTs can offer quantitative, forward-looking assessments of the resilience of financial systems as a whole, to particularly adverse shocks. Therefore, they are well suited to support the surveillance of macrofinancial vulnerabilities and to inform the use of macroprudential policy-instruments. This report summarizes the findings of a joint-research effort by MCM and the Systemic-Risk-Centre, which aimed at (i) presenting state-of-the-art approaches on MaPST, including modeling and implementation-challenges; (ii) providing a roadmap for future-research, and; (iii) discussing the potential uses of MaPST to support policy.

Insurance and Issues in Financial Soundness

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1451856008
Total Pages : 45 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (518 download)

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Book Synopsis Insurance and Issues in Financial Soundness by : Nigel Davies

Download or read book Insurance and Issues in Financial Soundness written by Nigel Davies and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2003-07-01 with total page 45 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper explores insurance as a source of financial system vulnerability. It provides a brief overview of the insurance industry and reviews the risks it faces, as well as several recent failures of insurance companies that had systemic implications. Assimilation of banking-type activities by life insurers appears to be the key systemic vulnerability. Building on this experience and the experience gained under the FSAP, the paper proposes key indicators that should be compiled and used for surveillance of financial soundness of insurance companies and the insurance sector as a whole.

Stress Testing Financial Systems

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 9781589064027
Total Pages : 18 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (64 download)

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Book Synopsis Stress Testing Financial Systems by : Mr.Matthew T Jones

Download or read book Stress Testing Financial Systems written by Mr.Matthew T Jones and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2004-09-27 with total page 18 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Stress testing is becoming a widely used tool to assess potential vulnerabilities in a financial system. This booklet is intended to answer some of the basic questions that may arise as part of the process of stress testing. The pamphlet begins with a discussion of stress testing in a financial system context, highlighting some of the differences between stress tests of systems and of individual portfolios. The booklet provides an overview of the process itself, from identifying vulnerabilities, to constructing scenarios, to interpreting the results. The experience of the IMF in conducting stress testing as part of the Financial Sector Assessment Program (FSAP) is also discussed.

Credibility and Crisis Stress Testing

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1475527063
Total Pages : 64 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (755 download)

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Book Synopsis Credibility and Crisis Stress Testing by : Ms.Li L. Ong

Download or read book Credibility and Crisis Stress Testing written by Ms.Li L. Ong and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2013-08-09 with total page 64 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Credibility is the bedrock of any crisis stress test. The use of stress tests to manage systemic risk was introduced by the U.S. authorities in 2009 in the form of the Supervisory Capital Assessment Program. Since then, supervisory authorities in other jurisdictions have also conducted similar exercises. In some of those cases, the design and implementation of certainelements of the framework have been criticized for their lack of credibility. This paper proposes a set of guidelines for constructing an effective crisis stress test. It combines financial markets impact studies of previous exercises with relevant case study information gleaned from those experiences to identify the key elements and to formulate their appropriate design. Pertinent concepts, issues and nuances particular to crisis stress testing are also discussed. The findings may be useful for country authorities seeking to include stress tests in their crisis management arsenal, as well as for the design of crisis programs.

Towards Macroprudential Stress Testing

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1484307100
Total Pages : 49 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (843 download)

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Book Synopsis Towards Macroprudential Stress Testing by : Mr.Ivo Krznar

Download or read book Towards Macroprudential Stress Testing written by Mr.Ivo Krznar and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2017-06-30 with total page 49 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Macro-feedback effects have been identified as a key missing element for more effective macro-prudential stress testing. To fill this gap, this paper develops a framework that facilitates the analysis of both the direct effects of macroeconomic shocks on the solvency of individual banks and feedback effects that allow for the amplification and propagation of shocks that can result from bank deleveraging and credit crunches. The framework ensures consistency in the key relationships between macroeconomic and financial variables, and banks’ balance sheets. This is accomplished by embedding a standard stress-testing framework based on individual banks’ data in a semi-structural macroeconomic model. The framework has numerous applications that can strengthen stress testing and macro financial analysis. Moreover, it provides an avenue for many extensions that address the challenges of incorporating other second-round effects important for comprehensive systemic risk analysis, such as interactions between solvency, liquidity and contagion risks. To this end, the paper presents some preliminary simulations of feedback effects arising from the link between the liquidity and solvency risk.

United Kingdom

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1484394127
Total Pages : 91 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (843 download)

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Book Synopsis United Kingdom by : International Monetary Fund. Monetary and Capital Markets Department

Download or read book United Kingdom written by International Monetary Fund. Monetary and Capital Markets Department and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2016-06-17 with total page 91 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper discusses how Financial Sector Assessment Program (FSAP) stress test assesses the resilience of the banking sector as a whole rather than the capital adequacy of individual institutions. The FSAP approach to stress testing is essentially macroprudential: it focuses on resilience of the broader financial system to adverse macro-financial conditions rather than on resilience of individual banks to specific shocks. This test ensures consistency in macroeconomic scenarios and metrics across firms to facilitate the assessment of the banking system as a whole. The stress test analysis is intended to help country authorities to identify key sources of systemic risk in the banking sector and inform macroprudential policies to enhance its resilience to absorb shocks.

Sweden

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1484322746
Total Pages : 37 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (843 download)

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Book Synopsis Sweden by : International Monetary Fund. Monetary and Capital Markets Department

Download or read book Sweden written by International Monetary Fund. Monetary and Capital Markets Department and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2017-10-05 with total page 37 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This technical note provides an assessment of the development of regulation and supervision of the Swedish insurance sector since the Financial Sector Assessment Program (FSAP) in 2011. The note is part of the 2016 FSAP for Sweden. The insurance sector is characterized by a large number of companies, high concentration, and the predominance of occupational pensions insurance. The five largest life companies, including providers of large collective pension arrangements for industry and labor organizations, account for over 50 percent of life sector assets and the largest four non-life companies for 80 percent of total non-life gross premium income. Most life insurance products offer a savings component. Occupational pensions dominate, now written almost entirely on a defined contribution basis. Sales of unit-linked products have been growing, but traditional products remain popular because they continue to offer guarantees, although at levels now aligned to prevailing low interest rates. With a relatively large duration gap and high levels of past business with guarantees, the life sector remains exposed to low interest rates, more so in combination with a fall in equity or real estate markets, where insurers hold significant investments.