Judgments Decisions And Public Policy

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Judgments, Decisions, and Public Policy

Author : Mothakapalli Venkatappa Rajeev Gowda
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 9780521660846
Total Pages : 390 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (68 download)

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Book Synopsis Judgments, Decisions, and Public Policy by : Mothakapalli Venkatappa Rajeev Gowda

Download or read book Judgments, Decisions, and Public Policy written by Mothakapalli Venkatappa Rajeev Gowda and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2002 with total page 390 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Behavioral decision theory draws on experimental research in cognitive psychology to provide a descriptively accurate model of human behavior. It shows that people systematically violate the normative assumptions of economic rationality by miscalculating probabilities and making choices based on one-economic criteria. Behavioral decision theory s ability to capture the complexity of human judgments and choices makes it a useful foundation for improving public policy analysis, design, and implementation. This volume showcases the research of leading scholars who are working on applications of behavioral decision theory in diverse policy settings. It is designed to give policy analysts and practitioners who are non-psychologists a clearer understanding of the complexities of human judgment and choice, and an idea of how to integrate behavioral decision theoretic insights into the policy sciences. This interdisciplinary volume should be insightful and useful wherever people s judgments and choices matter for policy formulation, acceptance, and effectiveness.

Judgment Misguided

Author : Jonathan Baron
Publisher : Oxford University Press, USA
ISBN 13 : 0195111087
Total Pages : 238 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (951 download)

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Book Synopsis Judgment Misguided by : Jonathan Baron

Download or read book Judgment Misguided written by Jonathan Baron and published by Oxford University Press, USA. This book was released on 1998 with total page 238 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: People often follow intuitive principles of decision making, ranging from group loyalty to the belief that nature is benign. But instead of using these principles as rules of thumb, we often treat them as absolutes and ignore the consequences of following them blindly. In Judgment Misguided, Jonathan Baron explores our well-meant and deeply felt personal intuitions about what is right and wrong, and how they affect the public domain. Baron argues that when these intuitions are valued in their own right, rather than as a means to another end, they often prevent us from achieving the results we want. Focusing on cases where our intuitive principles take over public decision making, the book examines some of our most common intuitions and the ways they can be misused. According to Baron, we can avoid these problems by paying more attention to the effects of our decisions. Written in a accessible style, the book is filled with compelling case studies, such as abortion, nuclear power, immigration, and the decline of the Atlantic fishery, among others, which illustrate a range of intuitions and how they impede the public's best interests. Judgment Misguided will be important reading for those involved in public decision making, and researchers and students in psychology and the social sciences, as well as everyone looking for insight into the decisions that affect us all.

Judgment in Managerial Decision Making

Author : Max H. Bazerman
Publisher : Wiley
ISBN 13 : 9780471398875
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (988 download)

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Book Synopsis Judgment in Managerial Decision Making by : Max H. Bazerman

Download or read book Judgment in Managerial Decision Making written by Max H. Bazerman and published by Wiley. This book was released on 2001-07-27 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Author is a leading theorist in negotiation and decision-making.

The Behavioral Foundations of Public Policy

Author : Eldar Shafir
Publisher : Princeton University Press
ISBN 13 : 0691137560
Total Pages : 532 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (911 download)

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Book Synopsis The Behavioral Foundations of Public Policy by : Eldar Shafir

Download or read book The Behavioral Foundations of Public Policy written by Eldar Shafir and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2013 with total page 532 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Includes bibliographical references and index.

The Art of Judgment

Author : Geoffrey Vickers
Publisher : SAGE Publications, Incorporated
ISBN 13 : 9780803973633
Total Pages : 232 pages
Book Rating : 4.9/5 (736 download)

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Book Synopsis The Art of Judgment by : Geoffrey Vickers

Download or read book The Art of Judgment written by Geoffrey Vickers and published by SAGE Publications, Incorporated. This book was released on 1995-09-18 with total page 232 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This classic book by Sir Geoffrey Vickers first published 30 years ago speaks to both the student//academic and the practitioner interested in understanding decision-making in organizational settings. As the biographical essay elucidates, Vickers' ideas arose from his rich and multifaceted career as a practitioner. His work provides for the integration of theory and practice that is without parallel anywhere in the literature. Written in a lively and accessible style The Art of Judgment continues to be a seminal work for scholars seeking to develop an interpretive and critical account of management and organization. This work is a study which transcends both a narrow and scientific view of administrative behaviour an

Judgment Calls

Author : Thomas H. Davenport
Publisher : Harvard Business Review Press
ISBN 13 : 142215811X
Total Pages : 280 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (221 download)

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Book Synopsis Judgment Calls by : Thomas H. Davenport

Download or read book Judgment Calls written by Thomas H. Davenport and published by Harvard Business Review Press. This book was released on 2012-04-03 with total page 280 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Your guide to making better decisions Despite the dizzying amount of data at our disposal today—and an increasing reliance on analytics to make the majority of our decisions—many of our most critical choices still come down to human judgment. This fact is fundamental to organizations whose leaders must often make crucial decisions: to do this they need the best available insights. In Judgment Calls, authors Tom Davenport and Brook Manville share twelve stories of organizations that have successfully tapped their data assets, diverse perspectives, and deep knowledge to build an organizational decision-making capability—a competence they say can make the difference between success and failure. This book introduces a model that taps the collective judgment of an organization so that the right decisions are made, and the entire organization profits. Through the stories in Judgment Calls, the authors—both of them seasoned management thinkers and advisers—make the case for the wisdom of organizations and suggest ways to use it to best advantage. Each chapter tells a unique story of one dilemma and its ultimate resolution, bringing into high relief one key to the power of collective judgment. Individually, these stories inspire and instruct; together, they form a model for building an organizational capacity for broadly based, knowledge-intensive decision making. You’ve read The Wisdom of Crowds and Competing on Analytics. Now read Judgment Calls. You, and your organization, will make better decisions.

Blackwell Handbook of Judgment and Decision Making

Author : Derek J. Koehler
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 0470752912
Total Pages : 680 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (77 download)

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Book Synopsis Blackwell Handbook of Judgment and Decision Making by : Derek J. Koehler

Download or read book Blackwell Handbook of Judgment and Decision Making written by Derek J. Koehler and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2008-04-15 with total page 680 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Blackwell Handbook of Judgment and Decision Making is a state-of-the art overview of current topics and research in the study of how people make evaluations, draw inferences, and make decisions under conditions of uncertainty and conflict. Contains contributions by experts from various disciplines that reflect current trends and controversies on judgment and decision making. Provides a glimpse at the many approaches that have been taken in the study of judgment and decision making and portrays the major findings in the field. Presents examinations of the broader roles of social, emotional, and cultural influences on decision making. Explores applications of judgment and decision making research to important problems in a variety of professional contexts, including finance, accounting, medicine, public policy, and the law.

Expert Political Judgment

Author : Philip E. Tetlock
Publisher : Princeton University Press
ISBN 13 : 1400888816
Total Pages : 368 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (8 download)

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Book Synopsis Expert Political Judgment by : Philip E. Tetlock

Download or read book Expert Political Judgment written by Philip E. Tetlock and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2017-08-29 with total page 368 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Since its original publication, Expert Political Judgment by New York Times bestselling author Philip Tetlock has established itself as a contemporary classic in the literature on evaluating expert opinion. Tetlock first discusses arguments about whether the world is too complex for people to find the tools to understand political phenomena, let alone predict the future. He evaluates predictions from experts in different fields, comparing them to predictions by well-informed laity or those based on simple extrapolation from current trends. He goes on to analyze which styles of thinking are more successful in forecasting. Classifying thinking styles using Isaiah Berlin's prototypes of the fox and the hedgehog, Tetlock contends that the fox--the thinker who knows many little things, draws from an eclectic array of traditions, and is better able to improvise in response to changing events--is more successful in predicting the future than the hedgehog, who knows one big thing, toils devotedly within one tradition, and imposes formulaic solutions on ill-defined problems. He notes a perversely inverse relationship between the best scientific indicators of good judgement and the qualities that the media most prizes in pundits--the single-minded determination required to prevail in ideological combat. Clearly written and impeccably researched, the book fills a huge void in the literature on evaluating expert opinion. It will appeal across many academic disciplines as well as to corporations seeking to develop standards for judging expert decision-making. Now with a new preface in which Tetlock discusses the latest research in the field, the book explores what constitutes good judgment in predicting future events and looks at why experts are often wrong in their forecasts.

Organizational Decision Making

Author : Zur Shapira
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 9780521890502
Total Pages : 420 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (95 download)

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Book Synopsis Organizational Decision Making by : Zur Shapira

Download or read book Organizational Decision Making written by Zur Shapira and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2002-03-25 with total page 420 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Explores decision making in organizations, highlighting the roles of incentive, conflict, power and politics.

Bounded Rationality

Author : Sanjit Dhami
Publisher : MIT Press
ISBN 13 : 0262369656
Total Pages : 553 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (623 download)

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Book Synopsis Bounded Rationality by : Sanjit Dhami

Download or read book Bounded Rationality written by Sanjit Dhami and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 2022-07-12 with total page 553 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Two leaders in the field explore the foundations of bounded rationality and its effects on choices by individuals, firms, and the government. Bounded rationality recognizes that human behavior departs from the perfect rationality assumed by neoclassical economics. In this book, Sanjit Dhami and Cass R. Sunstein explore the foundations of bounded rationality and consider the implications of this approach for public policy and law, in particular for questions about choice, welfare, and freedom. The authors, both recognized as experts in the field, cover a wide range of empirical findings and assess theoretical work that attempts to explain those findings. Their presentation is comprehensive, coherent, and lucid, with even the most technical material explained accessibly. They not only offer observations and commentary on the existing literature but also explore new insights, ideas, and connections. After examining the traditional neoclassical framework, which they refer to as the Bayesian rationality approach (BRA), and its empirical issues, Dhami and Sunstein offer a detailed account of bounded rationality and how it can be incorporated into the social and behavioral sciences. They also discuss a set of models of heuristics-based choice and the philosophical foundations of behavioral economics. Finally, they examine libertarian paternalism and its strategies of “nudges.”

Judgment and Decision Making

Author : Baruch Fischhoff
Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 1136497331
Total Pages : 405 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (364 download)

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Book Synopsis Judgment and Decision Making by : Baruch Fischhoff

Download or read book Judgment and Decision Making written by Baruch Fischhoff and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2013-06-17 with total page 405 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Behavioral decision research offers a distinctive approach to understanding and improving decision making. It combines theory and method from multiple disciples (psychology, economics, statistics, decision theory, management science). It employs both empirical methods, to study how decisions are actually made, and analytical ones, to study how decisions should be made and how consequential imperfections are. This book brings together key publications, selected to represent the major topics and approaches used in the field. Put in one place, with integrating commentary, it shows the common elements in a research program that represents the scope of the field, while offering depth in each. Together, they provide a vision for what has become a burgeoning field.

Noise

Author : Daniel Kahneman
Publisher : Little, Brown
ISBN 13 : 031645138X
Total Pages : 429 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (164 download)

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Book Synopsis Noise by : Daniel Kahneman

Download or read book Noise written by Daniel Kahneman and published by Little, Brown. This book was released on 2021-05-18 with total page 429 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: From the Nobel Prize-winning author of Thinking, Fast and Slow and the coauthor of Nudge, a revolutionary exploration of why people make bad judgments and how to make better ones—"a tour de force” (New York Times). Imagine that two doctors in the same city give different diagnoses to identical patients—or that two judges in the same courthouse give markedly different sentences to people who have committed the same crime. Suppose that different interviewers at the same firm make different decisions about indistinguishable job applicants—or that when a company is handling customer complaints, the resolution depends on who happens to answer the phone. Now imagine that the same doctor, the same judge, the same interviewer, or the same customer service agent makes different decisions depending on whether it is morning or afternoon, or Monday rather than Wednesday. These are examples of noise: variability in judgments that should be identical. In Noise, Daniel Kahneman, Olivier Sibony, and Cass R. Sunstein show the detrimental effects of noise in many fields, including medicine, law, economic forecasting, forensic science, bail, child protection, strategy, performance reviews, and personnel selection. Wherever there is judgment, there is noise. Yet, most of the time, individuals and organizations alike are unaware of it. They neglect noise. With a few simple remedies, people can reduce both noise and bias, and so make far better decisions. Packed with original ideas, and offering the same kinds of research-based insights that made Thinking, Fast and Slow and Nudge groundbreaking New York Times bestsellers, Noise explains how and why humans are so susceptible to noise in judgment—and what we can do about it.

Great Judgments of the European Court of Justice

Author : William Phelan
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 1108499082
Total Pages : 279 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (84 download)

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Book Synopsis Great Judgments of the European Court of Justice by : William Phelan

Download or read book Great Judgments of the European Court of Justice written by William Phelan and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2019-06-13 with total page 279 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Presents a new approach to prominent judgments of the European Court of Justice drawing on the writings of Judge Robert Lecourt.

Critical Race Judgments

Author : Bennett Capers
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 1316732592
Total Pages : 725 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (167 download)

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Book Synopsis Critical Race Judgments by : Bennett Capers

Download or read book Critical Race Judgments written by Bennett Capers and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2022-04-21 with total page 725 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: By re-writing US Supreme Court opinions that implicate critical dimensions of racial justice, Critical Race Judgments demonstrates that it's possible to be judge and a critical race theorist. Specific issues covered in these cases include the death penalty, employment, voting, policing, education, the environment, justice, housing, immigration, sexual orientation, segregation, and mass incarceration. While some rewritten cases – Plessy v. Ferguson (which constitutionalized Jim Crow) and Korematsu v. United States (which constitutionalized internment) – originally focused on race, many of the rewritten opinions – Lawrence v. Texas (which constitutionalized sodomy laws) and Roe v. Wade (which constitutionalized a woman's right to choose) – are used to incorporate racial justice principles in novel and important ways. This work is essential for everyone who needs to understand why critical race theory must be deployed in constitutional law to uphold and advance racial justice principles that are foundational to US democracy.

Model Rules of Professional Conduct

Author : American Bar Association. House of Delegates
Publisher : American Bar Association
ISBN 13 : 9781590318737
Total Pages : 216 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (187 download)

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Book Synopsis Model Rules of Professional Conduct by : American Bar Association. House of Delegates

Download or read book Model Rules of Professional Conduct written by American Bar Association. House of Delegates and published by American Bar Association. This book was released on 2007 with total page 216 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Model Rules of Professional Conduct provides an up-to-date resource for information on legal ethics. Federal, state and local courts in all jurisdictions look to the Rules for guidance in solving lawyer malpractice cases, disciplinary actions, disqualification issues, sanctions questions and much more. In this volume, black-letter Rules of Professional Conduct are followed by numbered Comments that explain each Rule's purpose and provide suggestions for its practical application. The Rules will help you identify proper conduct in a variety of given situations, review those instances where discretionary action is possible, and define the nature of the relationship between you and your clients, colleagues and the courts.

Preliminary Feasibility for Public Research & Development Projects

Author : Donghun Yoon
Publisher : Emerald Group Publishing
ISBN 13 : 1801172684
Total Pages : 101 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (11 download)

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Book Synopsis Preliminary Feasibility for Public Research & Development Projects by : Donghun Yoon

Download or read book Preliminary Feasibility for Public Research & Development Projects written by Donghun Yoon and published by Emerald Group Publishing. This book was released on 2021-04-27 with total page 101 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Preliminary Feasibility for Public Research & Development Projects explains how to evaluate R&D business by exploring the five key features of policy implication, policy improvement, preliminary feasibility study, R&D evaluation, and R&D strategy and will help develop strategic measures for R&D preliminary feasibility studies.

Time and Decision

Author : George Loewenstein
Publisher : Russell Sage Foundation
ISBN 13 : 1610443667
Total Pages : 584 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (14 download)

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Book Synopsis Time and Decision by : George Loewenstein

Download or read book Time and Decision written by George Loewenstein and published by Russell Sage Foundation. This book was released on 2003-02-27 with total page 584 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: How do people decide whether to sacrifice now for a future reward or to enjoy themselves in the present? Do the future gains of putting money in a pension fund outweigh going to Hawaii for New Year's Eve? Why does a person's self-discipline one day often give way to impulsive behavior the next? Time and Decision takes up these questions with a comprehensive collection of new research on intertemporal choice, examining how people face the problem of deciding over time. Economists approach intertemporal choice by means of a model in which people discount the value of future events at a constant rate. A vacation two years from now is worth less to most people than a vacation next week. Psychologists, on the other hand, have focused on the cognitive and emotional underpinnings of intertemporal choice. Time and Decision draws from both disciplinary approaches to provide a comprehensive picture of the various layers of choice involved. Shane Frederick, George Loewenstein, and Ted O'Donoghue introduce the volume with an overview of the research on time discounting and focus on how people actually discount the future compared to the standard economic model. Alex Kacelnik discusses the crucial role that the ability to delay gratification must have played in evolution. Walter Mischel and colleagues review classic research showing that four year olds who are able to delay gratification subsequently grow up to perform better in college than their counterparts who chose instant gratification. The book also delves into the neurobiology of patience, examining the brain structures involved in the ability to withstand an impulse. Turning to the issue of self-control, Klaus Wertenbroch examines the relationship between consumption and available resources, showing, for example, how a high credit limit can lead people to overspend. Ted O'Donoghue and Matthew Rabin show how people's awareness of their self-control problems affects their decision-making. The final section of the book examines intertemporal choice with regard to health, drug addiction, dieting, marketing, savings, and public policy. All of us make important decisions every day-many of which profoundly affect the quality of our lives. Time and Decision provides a fascinating look at the complex factors involved in how and why we make our choices, so many of them short-sighted, and helps us understand more precisely this crucial human frailty.