Is U.S. Economic Policy Uncertainty Priced in China's A-Shares Market? Evidence from Market, Industry, and Individual Stocks

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 33 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (13 download)

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Book Synopsis Is U.S. Economic Policy Uncertainty Priced in China's A-Shares Market? Evidence from Market, Industry, and Individual Stocks by : Hu Zhijun

Download or read book Is U.S. Economic Policy Uncertainty Priced in China's A-Shares Market? Evidence from Market, Industry, and Individual Stocks written by Hu Zhijun and published by . This book was released on 2018 with total page 33 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Motivated by Bali et al. (2016) who find U.S. economic policy uncertainty (EPU) is priced in the cross-section of U.S. stock returns, we use weekly data from March 2006 to April 2016 to study whether shocks in U.S. EPU also influence prices of China's A-shares from market, industry, and individual stock perspectives. Generally, after controlling business conditions in China, we find the shock in U.S. EPU significantly and negatively explains returns of China's A-shares with a lag. In addition, the market index containing small and growth stocks react more significantly to the shock than the index containing big and value stocks. Furthermore, we find firms in manufacturing, information technology, and media industries in China are more sensitive to the shock in U.S. EPU, while firms in agriculture and real estate industries in China correspond less to the shock in U.S. EPU. Finally, China's A-shares which decline more in response to the shock in U.S. EPU have higher stock returns and those stocks have smaller size, weaker operating profitability, higher asset growth, and better past year's cumulative return. Overall, our findings show that investors of China's A-shares require a premium to hold stocks sensitive to the shock in U.S. EPU.

Policy Uncertainty in Japan

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1484302362
Total Pages : 48 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (843 download)

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Book Synopsis Policy Uncertainty in Japan by : Ms.Elif C Arbatli

Download or read book Policy Uncertainty in Japan written by Ms.Elif C Arbatli and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2017-05-30 with total page 48 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We develop new economic policy uncertainty (EPU) indices for Japan from January 1987 onwards building on the approach of Baker, Bloom and Davis (2016). Each index reflects the frequency of newspaper articles that contain certain terms pertaining to the economy, policy matters and uncertainty. Our overall EPU index co-varies positively with implied volatilities for Japanese equities, exchange rates and interest rates and with a survey-based measure of political uncertainty. The EPU index rises around contested national elections and major leadership transitions in Japan, during the Asian Financial Crisis and in reaction to the Lehman Brothers failure, U.S. debt downgrade in 2011, Brexit referendum, and Japan’s recent decision to defer a consumption tax hike. Our uncertainty indices for fiscal, monetary, trade and exchange rate policy co-vary positively but also display distinct dynamics. VAR models imply that upward EPU innovations foreshadow deteriorations in Japan’s macroeconomic performance, as reflected by impulse response functions for investment, employment and output. Our study adds to evidence that credible policy plans and strong policy frameworks can favorably influence macroeconomic performance by, in part, reducing policy uncertainty.

US Economic Policy Uncertainty and Co-Movements Between Chinese and US Stock Markets

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 23 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (13 download)

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Book Synopsis US Economic Policy Uncertainty and Co-Movements Between Chinese and US Stock Markets by : Xiaoming Li

Download or read book US Economic Policy Uncertainty and Co-Movements Between Chinese and US Stock Markets written by Xiaoming Li and published by . This book was released on 2016 with total page 23 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper investigates the impact of innovations in US economic policy uncertainty on the co-movements of, respectively, the Shanghai A-share, the Shenzhen A-share, the Shanghai B-share and the Shenzhen B-share market, with the US stock market. We show that it is absolute changes in the US economic policy uncertainty index that have a negative impact on the co-movements. The finding is robust to the asymmetric effects of non-policy-uncertainty shocks, to a break in the correlation structure, and to the four different Chinese stock markets investigated. Our results provide the first evidence regarding how stock market correlations are driven by policy-related uncertainty shocks in the international context.

Economic Policy Uncertainty in China and Stock Market Expected Returns

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 33 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (13 download)

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Book Synopsis Economic Policy Uncertainty in China and Stock Market Expected Returns by : Jian Chen

Download or read book Economic Policy Uncertainty in China and Stock Market Expected Returns written by Jian Chen and published by . This book was released on 2017 with total page 33 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We investigate the impact of China's economic policy uncertainty (EPU) on the time series variation of Chinese stock market expected returns. Using the news based measure in Baker, Bloom, and Davis (2016), we find that EPU predicts negatively future stock market return at various horizons. This negative relation between economic policy uncertainty and expected future return remains significant as we control for a number of economic and market uncertainty variables or conduct out-of-sample tests. Our findings are consistent with asset pricing theories with belief dispersion, in which high uncertainty or investors disagreement generates speculative mispricing when pessimistic investors face short-sales constraints.

Demystifying China’s Stock Market

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Publisher : Springer Nature
ISBN 13 : 303017123X
Total Pages : 125 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (31 download)

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Book Synopsis Demystifying China’s Stock Market by : Eric Girardin

Download or read book Demystifying China’s Stock Market written by Eric Girardin and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2019-09-13 with total page 125 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Mainstream research has rationalized China’s stock market on the basis of paradigms such as the institutional approach, the efficient market hypothesis, and corporate valuation principles. The deviations from such paradigms have been analyzed as puzzles of China’s stock market. Girardin and Liu explore to what extent, in the perspective of Chinese cultural and historical characteristics, far from being puzzles, these 'deviations’ are rather the symptoms of a consistent strategy for the design, development and regulation of a government-dominated financial system. This book will help investors, observers and researchers understand the hidden logic of the design and functioning of China’s modern stock market, taking a political economy view.

Investment under Uncertainty

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Publisher : Princeton University Press
ISBN 13 : 1400830176
Total Pages : 484 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (8 download)

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Book Synopsis Investment under Uncertainty by : Robert K. Dixit

Download or read book Investment under Uncertainty written by Robert K. Dixit and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2012-07-14 with total page 484 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: How should firms decide whether and when to invest in new capital equipment, additions to their workforce, or the development of new products? Why have traditional economic models of investment failed to explain the behavior of investment spending in the United States and other countries? In this book, Avinash Dixit and Robert Pindyck provide the first detailed exposition of a new theoretical approach to the capital investment decisions of firms, stressing the irreversibility of most investment decisions, and the ongoing uncertainty of the economic environment in which these decisions are made. In so doing, they answer important questions about investment decisions and the behavior of investment spending. This new approach to investment recognizes the option value of waiting for better (but never complete) information. It exploits an analogy with the theory of options in financial markets, which permits a much richer dynamic framework than was possible with the traditional theory of investment. The authors present the new theory in a clear and systematic way, and consolidate, synthesize, and extend the various strands of research that have come out of the theory. Their book shows the importance of the theory for understanding investment behavior of firms; develops the implications of this theory for industry dynamics and for government policy concerning investment; and shows how the theory can be applied to specific industries and to a wide variety of business problems.

State and Market in Contemporary China

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Publisher : Rowman & Littlefield
ISBN 13 : 1442259442
Total Pages : 69 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (422 download)

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Book Synopsis State and Market in Contemporary China by : Scott Kennedy

Download or read book State and Market in Contemporary China written by Scott Kennedy and published by Rowman & Littlefield. This book was released on 2016-03-22 with total page 69 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The short essays in this volume, contributed by leading experts on Chinese economic policy, provide crisp and insightful analyses of the Chinese state's approach toward markets, the role of key actors and institutions, the evolving nature of industrial policy and the effectiveness of China’s international commitments to constrain such practices, and a preview of the likely contents and significance of China’s 13th Five-Year Plan.

Capitalizing China

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Publisher : University of Chicago Press
ISBN 13 : 0226237249
Total Pages : 401 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (262 download)

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Book Synopsis Capitalizing China by : Joseph P. H. Fan

Download or read book Capitalizing China written by Joseph P. H. Fan and published by University of Chicago Press. This book was released on 2013 with total page 401 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: La 4e de couverture indique : "Despite a vast accumulation of private capital, China is not embracing capitalism. Deceptively familiar capitalist features disguise the profoundly unfamiliar foundations of "market socialism with Chinese characteristics." The Chinese Communist Party (CCP), by controlling the career advancement of all senior personnel in all regulatory agencies, all state-owned enterprises (SOEs), and virtually all major financial institutions state-owned enterprises (SOEs), and senior Party positions in all but the smallest non-SOE enterprises, retains sole possession of Lenin's Commanding Heights. The chapters in this volume examine China's high savings rate, banking system, financial markets, financial regulations, corporate governance, and public finances; and consider policy alternatives the CCP might consider if its goal is China's elevation into the ranks of high income countries."

Economics Social Institutions

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Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 9400992572
Total Pages : 289 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (9 download)

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Book Synopsis Economics Social Institutions by : K. Brunner

Download or read book Economics Social Institutions written by K. Brunner and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 289 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The productive work of widely distributed academic research has contributed substantially, over the postwar period, to important advances in our understanding. It has also offered a clearer recognition of many unresolved problems. Never theless, the progress achieved over the last decades, ex hibited by the systematic application of "theory" to actual issues and observable problems, could not overcome a per vasive sense of dissatisfaction. Some academic endeavors pursued within a traditional range of economic analysis have appeared increasingly remote from broad social issues, motivating the social and intellectual unrest experienced in recent years. Conditioned by the traditional use of economic analysis, many have naturally concluded that the "most relevant" social issues agitating our times are beyond the reach of economics. Purist advocates of a traditional view thus condemn any extension of economic analysis to social issues as an escape into "ideology". Others argue the need for an "interdisciplinary approach" involving sociology, social psychology, or anthropology as necessary strands in a useful understanding of social, institutional, and human problems of contemporary societies. We note here, in par ticular, the subtle attraction inherent in Marxian thought. It appears to offer a unified approach, with a coherent inter pretation, to all matters and aspects of human society, in cluding even nature.

The Macroeconomic Effects of Trade Tariffs

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1484306112
Total Pages : 54 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (843 download)

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Book Synopsis The Macroeconomic Effects of Trade Tariffs by : Jesper Lindé

Download or read book The Macroeconomic Effects of Trade Tariffs written by Jesper Lindé and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2017-07-07 with total page 54 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We study the robustness of the Lerner symmetry result in an open economy New Keynesian model with price rigidities. While the Lerner symmetry result of no real effects of a combined import tariff and export subsidy holds up approximately for a number of alternative assumptions, we obtain quantitatively important long-term deviations under complete international asset markets. Direct pass-through of tariffs and subsidies to prices and slow exchange rate adjustment can also generate significant short-term deviations from Lerner. Finally, we quantify the macroeconomic costs of a trade war and find that they can be substantial, with permanently lower income and trade volumes. However, a fully symmetric retaliation to a unilaterally imposed border adjustment tax can prevent any real or nominal effects.

Geopolitical Risk on Stock Returns: Evidence from Inter-Korea Geopolitics

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1557759677
Total Pages : 36 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (577 download)

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Book Synopsis Geopolitical Risk on Stock Returns: Evidence from Inter-Korea Geopolitics by : Seungho Jung

Download or read book Geopolitical Risk on Stock Returns: Evidence from Inter-Korea Geopolitics written by Seungho Jung and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2021-10-22 with total page 36 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We investigate how corporate stock returns respond to geopolitical risk in the case of South Korea, which has experienced large and unpredictable geopolitical swings that originate from North Korea. To do so, a monthly index of geopolitical risk from North Korea (the GPRNK index) is constructed using automated keyword searches in South Korean media. The GPRNK index, designed to capture both upside and downside risk, corroborates that geopolitical risk sharply increases with the occurrence of nuclear tests, missile launches, or military confrontations, and decreases significantly around the times of summit meetings or multilateral talks. Using firm-level data, we find that heightened geopolitical risk reduces stock returns, and that the reductions in stock returns are greater especially for large firms, firms with a higher share of domestic investors, and for firms with a higher ratio of fixed assets to total assets. These results suggest that international portfolio diversification and investment irreversibility are important channels through which geopolitical risk affects stock returns.

Government Policies and the Delayed Economic Recovery

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Publisher : Hoover Press
ISBN 13 : 0817915362
Total Pages : 263 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (179 download)

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Book Synopsis Government Policies and the Delayed Economic Recovery by : Lee E. Ohanian

Download or read book Government Policies and the Delayed Economic Recovery written by Lee E. Ohanian and published by Hoover Press. This book was released on 2013-09-01 with total page 263 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book examines the reasons for the unprecedented weak recovery following the recent US recession and explores the possibility that government economic policy is the problem. Drawing on empirical research that looks at issues from policy uncertainty to increased regulation, the volume offers a broad-based assessment of how government policies are slowing economic growth and provides a framework for understanding how those policies should change to restore prosperity in America.

China’s Grand Strategy

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Publisher : Rand Corporation
ISBN 13 : 1977404200
Total Pages : 155 pages
Book Rating : 4.9/5 (774 download)

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Book Synopsis China’s Grand Strategy by : Andrew Scobell

Download or read book China’s Grand Strategy written by Andrew Scobell and published by Rand Corporation. This book was released on 2020-07-27 with total page 155 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: To explore what extended competition between the United States and China might entail out to 2050, the authors of this report identified and characterized China’s grand strategy, analyzed its component national strategies (diplomacy, economics, science and technology, and military affairs), and assessed how successful China might be at implementing these over the next three decades.

Uncertainty Elasticity of Liquidity and the Associated Premium of China's A-Shares

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 37 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (13 download)

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Book Synopsis Uncertainty Elasticity of Liquidity and the Associated Premium of China's A-Shares by : Ping-Wen Sun

Download or read book Uncertainty Elasticity of Liquidity and the Associated Premium of China's A-Shares written by Ping-Wen Sun and published by . This book was released on 2018 with total page 37 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We investigate what determines a stock's uncertainty elasticity of liquidity (UEL: the change in the individual stock's liquidity given the change in the market return volatility) and whether UEL is priced for China's A-shares. We find stocks with higher UEL are associated with lower share price, smaller market capitalization, higher illiquidity ratio, lower institutional ownership, and fewer shareholders. Furthermore, those stocks have higher market risk and liquidity risk according to Acharya and Pedersen (2005)'s liquidity capital asset pricing model. From May 2004 to April 2017, our results show that the highest UEL equally-weighted decile portfolio significantly outperforms the lowest UEL equally-weighted decile portfolio by 1.19% per month and the risk adjusted UEL premium by the 6-factor (Fama and French (2015) five factor plus a momentum factor) model remains significant at 0.28% per month. Moreover, we find the UEL premium matters more for illiquid stocks with less investor attention. Finally, we find UEL fails to subsume the explanatory power of liquidity risk on cross-sectional stock returns and liquidity commonality is the most important dimension of liquidity risk for China's A-shares.

The Reaction of Stock Markets in the BRIC Countries to Economic Policy Uncertainty in the United States

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 15 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (13 download)

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Book Synopsis The Reaction of Stock Markets in the BRIC Countries to Economic Policy Uncertainty in the United States by : Vichet Sum

Download or read book The Reaction of Stock Markets in the BRIC Countries to Economic Policy Uncertainty in the United States written by Vichet Sum and published by . This book was released on 2014 with total page 15 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This study examines if economic policy uncertainty in the U.S. has any effect on the returns on stock markets in the BRIC (Brazil, Russia, India and China) countries. The current study also investigates how stock market returns in the four countries respond to the U.S. economic policy uncertainty shock. The Granger causality tests are also performed to determine if economic policy uncertainty cause the returns on the four stock markets. The results show that the U.S. economic policy uncertainty negatively affect stock market returns in Brazil, India and Russia; this negative effect is statistically significant at the 10% level for Brazil and at the 1% level for India and Russia. Stock returns in China are also negatively affected by the U.S. economic policy uncertainty; however, this effect is not statistically significant. The negative effect of economic policy uncertainty on stock market returns becomes statistically insignificant for Brazil and India controlling for the S&P 500 returns; the coefficient for Russia is still statistically significant but at the 10% level.

Silent Invasion

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Publisher : Hardie Grant Publishing
ISBN 13 : 1743585446
Total Pages : 454 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (435 download)

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Book Synopsis Silent Invasion by : Clive Hamilton

Download or read book Silent Invasion written by Clive Hamilton and published by Hardie Grant Publishing. This book was released on 2018-02-22 with total page 454 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In 2008 Clive Hamilton was at Parliament House in Canberra when the Beijing Olympic torch relay passed through. He watched in bewilderment as a small pro-Tibet protest was overrun by thousands of angry Chinese students. Where did they come from? Why were they so aggressive? And what gave them the right to shut down others exercising their democratic right to protest? The authorities did nothing about it, and what he saw stayed with him. In 2016 it was revealed that wealthy Chinese businessmen linked to the Chinese Communist Party had become the largest donors to both major political parties. Hamilton realised something big was happening, and decided to investigate the Chinese government’s influence in Australia. What he found shocked him. From politics to culture, real estate to agriculture, universities to unions, and even in our primary schools, he uncovered compelling evidence of the Chinese Communist Party’s infiltration of Australia. Sophisticated influence operations target Australia’s elites, and parts of the large Chinese-Australian diaspora have been mobilised to buy access to politicians, limit academic freedom, intimidate critics, collect information for Chinese intelligence agencies, and protest in the streets against Australian government policy. It’s no exaggeration to say the Chinese Communist Party and Australian democracy are on a collision course. The CCP is determined to win, while Australia looks the other way. Thoroughly researched and powerfully argued, Silent Invasionis a sobering examination of the mounting threats to democratic freedoms Australians have for too long taken for granted. Yes, China is important to our economic prosperity; but, Hamilton asks, how much is our sovereignty as a nation worth? ‘Anyone keen to understand how China draws other countries into its sphere of influence should start with Silent Invasion. This is an important book for the future of Australia. But tug on the threads of China’s influence networks in Australia and its global network of influence operations starts to unravel.’ –Professor John Fitzgerald, author of Big White Lie: Chinese Australians in White Australia

Strategic Asset Allocation

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Publisher : OUP Oxford
ISBN 13 : 019160691X
Total Pages : 272 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (916 download)

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Book Synopsis Strategic Asset Allocation by : John Y. Campbell

Download or read book Strategic Asset Allocation written by John Y. Campbell and published by OUP Oxford. This book was released on 2002-01-03 with total page 272 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Academic finance has had a remarkable impact on many financial services. Yet long-term investors have received curiously little guidance from academic financial economists. Mean-variance analysis, developed almost fifty years ago, has provided a basic paradigm for portfolio choice. This approach usefully emphasizes the ability of diversification to reduce risk, but it ignores several critically important factors. Most notably, the analysis is static; it assumes that investors care only about risks to wealth one period ahead. However, many investors—-both individuals and institutions such as charitable foundations or universities—-seek to finance a stream of consumption over a long lifetime. In addition, mean-variance analysis treats financial wealth in isolation from income. Long-term investors typically receive a stream of income and use it, along with financial wealth, to support their consumption. At the theoretical level, it is well understood that the solution to a long-term portfolio choice problem can be very different from the solution to a short-term problem. Long-term investors care about intertemporal shocks to investment opportunities and labor income as well as shocks to wealth itself, and they may use financial assets to hedge their intertemporal risks. This should be important in practice because there is a great deal of empirical evidence that investment opportunities—-both interest rates and risk premia on bonds and stocks—-vary through time. Yet this insight has had little influence on investment practice because it is hard to solve for optimal portfolios in intertemporal models. This book seeks to develop the intertemporal approach into an empirical paradigm that can compete with the standard mean-variance analysis. The book shows that long-term inflation-indexed bonds are the riskless asset for long-term investors, it explains the conditions under which stocks are safer assets for long-term than for short-term investors, and it shows how labor income influences portfolio choice. These results shed new light on the rules of thumb used by financial planners. The book explains recent advances in both analytical and numerical methods, and shows how they can be used to understand the portfolio choice problems of long-term investors.