Intradaily Exchange Rate Movements

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Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 1461546214
Total Pages : 173 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (615 download)

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Book Synopsis Intradaily Exchange Rate Movements by : Dominique M. Guillaume

Download or read book Intradaily Exchange Rate Movements written by Dominique M. Guillaume and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 173 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In the late 1980s, as the empirical appeal of macro-economic exchange rate models began to fade, a few people including Professor Charles Goodhart at the London School of Economics and researchers at Olsen & Associates in Zurich, started to collect intra-daily exchange rate data. The resulting database provides new insight into the foreign exchange markets and thereby opens up previously unexplored avenues of research. Intra-Daily Exchange Rate Movements presents an extensive study of the Olsen & Associates database and is one of the first monographs in this exciting new area. This book aims to provide a systematic study of the characteristics of intra-daily exchange rate data as well as an empirical investigation into different approaches of modelling the exchange rate movements. First, the author describes empirical insights, which range from the distributional issues of exchange rate data to the impact of macroeconomic fundamentals and institutional characteristics. This leads to a survey of the main stylized facts. Using the O&A database, Guillaume then presents a systematic investigation of the empirical performance of three broad categories of models: macro-economic models using an extension of chaos theory, stochastic models including the GARCH and time-deformation models, and technical analysis. The book shows how these approaches can be used to model intra-daily exchange rate movements and highlights some of the pitfalls inherent in such an exercise. In an area where literature remains controversial, this book hopes to trigger further inquiries into the suitability of these different approaches to modelling.

Persistence in the Variability of Daily Exchange Rates

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1451852738
Total Pages : 26 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (518 download)

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Book Synopsis Persistence in the Variability of Daily Exchange Rates by : Mr.George C. Tsibouris

Download or read book Persistence in the Variability of Daily Exchange Rates written by Mr.George C. Tsibouris and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1991-10-01 with total page 26 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Rational speculation in foreign exchange trading is often assumed to dampen exchange rate fluctuations by bringing the market back to fundamentals. Nevertheless, information congestion provides incentives for traders to follow positive feedback strategies which result in persistent and volatile exchange rate behavior by magnifying the impact of exogenous shocks. Empirical evidence is presented which is consistent with such autocatalytic effects.

Explaining Forward Exchange Bias ... Intraday

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 28 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (318 download)

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Book Synopsis Explaining Forward Exchange Bias ... Intraday by : Richard K. Lyons

Download or read book Explaining Forward Exchange Bias ... Intraday written by Richard K. Lyons and published by . This book was released on 1995 with total page 28 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Intraday interest rates are zero. Consequently, a foreign exchange dealer can short a vulnerable currency in the morning, close this position in the afternoon, and never face an interest cost. This tactic might seem especially attractive in times of crisis, since it suggests an immunity to the central bank's interest rate defense. In equilibrium, however, buyers of the vulnerable currency must be compensated on average with an intraday capital gain as long as no devaluation occurs. That is, currencies under attack should typically appreciate intraday. Using data on intraday exchange rate changes within the EMS, we find this prediction is borne out.

The Intra-daily Exchange Rate Dynamics and Monetary Policies After the G5 Agreement

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 104 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (318 download)

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Book Synopsis The Intra-daily Exchange Rate Dynamics and Monetary Policies After the G5 Agreement by : Takatoshi Ito

Download or read book The Intra-daily Exchange Rate Dynamics and Monetary Policies After the G5 Agreement written by Takatoshi Ito and published by . This book was released on 1986 with total page 104 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper investigates determinants of yen appreciation from the G5 agreement of September 1985 to the end of May, 1986. During that period, four waves of appreciation separated by calm periods are identified. For each wave and calm period, the changes in the yen/dollar exchange rate are decomposed in those taken place in the Tokyo, Europe and New York markets. In addition, correlations among the yen, mark, and pound for each market for each wave are studied. The surprisingly strong effect of the G5 agreement on the exchange rate was due to the signaled U.S. policy change. The role of direct intervention by the Bank of Japan was rather limited at that point. The Bank of Japan, adopted the "high interest policy" in October 1985. By narrowing the interest rate gap between Japan and the United States, the Bank of Japan successfully led to another round of appreciation. A major cause of the third wave of yen appreciation starting January 24, 1986 was the decline in oil prices. After the third wave was over, the Bank of Japan started intervening the market in support of the dollar -- a reversal of direction. However, the effort was not successful to stop another round of yen appreciation. The fourth wave of appreciation in the middle of April was due to a mix of prospects of reducing the U.S. federal deficits and a further decline in oil prices. These findings are consistent with a view that the exchange rates respond mainly to news of fundamentals and that the exchange rates are not manageable by coordinated interventions alone.

An Intraday Pricing Model of Foreign Exchange Markets

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1451853882
Total Pages : 42 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (518 download)

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Book Synopsis An Intraday Pricing Model of Foreign Exchange Markets by : Rafael Romeu

Download or read book An Intraday Pricing Model of Foreign Exchange Markets written by Rafael Romeu and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2003-06-01 with total page 42 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Market makers learn about asset values as they set intraday prices and absorb portfolio flows. Absorbing these flows causes inventory imbalances. Previous work has argued that market makers change prices to manage incoming flows and offset inventory imbalances. This study argues that they have multiple instruments, or ways to manage inventory imbalances and learn about evolving asset values. Hence, they smooth inventory levels and update prior information about assets using multiple instruments. In ignoring other instruments, previous studies have ignored the information that these provide and overemphasize the role of price changes in inventory management. The model presented here provides new estimates of asymmetric information and inventory effects, the price impact of each instrument, the cost of liquidity, and the impact of an intervention on these costs.

An Examination of the Distribution of Intra-daily Exchange Rate Changes

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 44 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (753 download)

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Book Synopsis An Examination of the Distribution of Intra-daily Exchange Rate Changes by : Chuck C. Y. Kwok

Download or read book An Examination of the Distribution of Intra-daily Exchange Rate Changes written by Chuck C. Y. Kwok and published by . This book was released on 1990 with total page 44 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Intraday Yen/dollar Exchange Rate Movements

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 48 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (318 download)

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Book Synopsis Intraday Yen/dollar Exchange Rate Movements by : Takatoshi Itō

Download or read book Intraday Yen/dollar Exchange Rate Movements written by Takatoshi Itō and published by . This book was released on 1988 with total page 48 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Intraday movements in the yen/dollar rate are examined over the 1980-86 period using opening and closing quotes in the New York and Tokyo markets. The results indicate that random-walk behavior is violated about half of the time in various subsamples. However, the economic significance of departures from the random-walk model diminishes over time. Large jumps in the exchange rate also are examined, and some evidence on subsequent mean reversion is presented. Finally, the response of Japanese and U.S. stock prices suggests that intraday yen/dollar rate movements do contain at least some relevant information.

China’s Evolving Exchange Rate Regime

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1498302025
Total Pages : 31 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (983 download)

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Book Synopsis China’s Evolving Exchange Rate Regime by : Mr.Sonali Das

Download or read book China’s Evolving Exchange Rate Regime written by Mr.Sonali Das and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2019-03-07 with total page 31 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: China’s exchange rate regime has undergone gradual reform since the move away from a fixed exchange rate in 2005. The renminbi has become more flexible over time but is still carefully managed, and depth and liquidity in the onshore FX market is relatively low compared to other countries with de jure floating currencies. Allowing a greater role for market forces within the existing regime, and greater two-way flexibility of the exchange rate, are important steps to build on the progress already made. This should be complemented by further steps to develop the FX market, improve FX risk management, and modernize the monetary policy framework.

Floating Exchange Rates and the Need for Surveillance

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 52 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (91 download)

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Book Synopsis Floating Exchange Rates and the Need for Surveillance by : Jacques R. Artus

Download or read book Floating Exchange Rates and the Need for Surveillance written by Jacques R. Artus and published by . This book was released on 1978 with total page 52 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

When Do Central Bank Interventions Influence Intra-daily and Longer-term Exchange Rate Movements?

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 58 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (318 download)

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Book Synopsis When Do Central Bank Interventions Influence Intra-daily and Longer-term Exchange Rate Movements? by : Kathryn M. Dominguez

Download or read book When Do Central Bank Interventions Influence Intra-daily and Longer-term Exchange Rate Movements? written by Kathryn M. Dominguez and published by . This book was released on 2003 with total page 58 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper examines dollar interventions by the G3 governments since 1989, and the reasons that trader reactions to these interventions might differ over time and across central banks. Market microstructure theory provides a framework for understanding the process by which sterilized central bank interventions are observed and interpreted by traders, and how this process, in turn, might influence exchange rates. Using intra-daily and daily exchange rate and intervention data, the paper analyzes the influence of interventions on exchange rate volatility, finding evidence of both within day and daily impact effects, but little evidence that interventions increase longer-term volatility.

Intraday Yen/Dollar Exchange Rate Movements

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (874 download)

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Book Synopsis Intraday Yen/Dollar Exchange Rate Movements by : V. Vance Roley

Download or read book Intraday Yen/Dollar Exchange Rate Movements written by V. Vance Roley and published by . This book was released on 1991 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Intraday movements in the yen/dollar rate are examined over the 1980-86 period using opening and closing quotes in the New York and Tokyo markets. The results indicate that random-walk behavior is violated about half of the time in various subsamples. However, the economic significance of departures from the random-walk model diminishes over time. Large jumps in the exchange rate also are examined, and some evidence on subsequent mean reversion is presented. Finally, the response of Japanese and U.S. stock prices suggests that intraday yen/dollar rate movements do contain at least some relevant information

Anatomy of Sudden Yen Appreciations

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1498325394
Total Pages : 19 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (983 download)

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Book Synopsis Anatomy of Sudden Yen Appreciations by : Mr.Fei Han

Download or read book Anatomy of Sudden Yen Appreciations written by Mr.Fei Han and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2019-07-01 with total page 19 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The yen is an important barometer for the Japanese economy. Depreciations are typically associated with favorable economic developments such as increased corporate profits, rising equity prices, and upward pressure on domestic consumer prices. On the other hand, large and sharp appreciations run the risk of lowering actual and expected inflation, squeezing corporate profits, generating a negative wealth effect through depressed equity prices, and reducing confidence in the Bank of Japan’s efforts to reflate the domestic economy and achieve the inflation target. This paper takes a closer look at underlying drivers of rapid yen appreciations, highlighting the key role of carry-trade and the zero lower bound as important amplifiers.

Exchange Rate Economics

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Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 1134838220
Total Pages : 334 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (348 download)

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Book Synopsis Exchange Rate Economics by : Ronald MacDonald

Download or read book Exchange Rate Economics written by Ronald MacDonald and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2005 with total page 334 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: ''In summary, the book is valuable as a textbook both at the advanced undergraduate level and at the graduate level. It is also very useful for the economist who wants to be brought up-to-date on theoretical and empirical research on exchange rate behaviour.'' ""Journal of International Economics""

AI 2005: Advances in Artificial Intelligence

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Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 3540316523
Total Pages : 1369 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (43 download)

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Book Synopsis AI 2005: Advances in Artificial Intelligence by : Shichao Zhang

Download or read book AI 2005: Advances in Artificial Intelligence written by Shichao Zhang and published by Springer. This book was released on 2005-11-27 with total page 1369 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The 18th Australian Joint Conference on Artificial Intelligence (AI 2005) was held at the University of Technology, Sydney (UTS), Sydney, Australia from 5 to 9 December 2005. AI 2005 attracted a historical record number of submissions, a total of 535 papers. The review process was extremely selective. Out of these 535 submissions, the Program Chairs selected only 77 (14.4%) full papers and 119 (22.2%) short papers based on the review reports, making an acceptance rate of 36.6% in total. Authors of the accepted papers came from over 20 countries. This volume of the proceedings contains the abstracts of three keynote speeches and all the full and short papers. The full papers were categorized into three broad sections, namely: AI foundations and technologies, computational intelligence, and AI in specialized domains. AI 2005 also hosted several tutorials and workshops, providing an interacting mode for specialists and scholars from Australia and other countries. Ronald R. Yager, Geoff Webb and David Goldberg (in conjunction with ACAL05) were the distinguished researchers invited to give presentations. Their contributions to AI 2005 are really appreciated.

Peru

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1513599747
Total Pages : 458 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (135 download)

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Book Synopsis Peru by : Alejandro M. Werner

Download or read book Peru written by Alejandro M. Werner and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2015-09-16 with total page 458 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Peru stands out among Latin American countries as an example of successful economic reforms over the past decade. This comprehensive look at Peru's economy traces that country's journey from a debt crisis in the 1980s to having buffers in place that allowed it to emerge unscathed from the global financial crisis. The book examines the steps Peru undertook to achieve these results and extracts lessons to be learned. Chapters are written by IMF staff and Peruvian economists.

Annual Report on Exchange Arrangements and Exchange Restrictions 2013

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1484366808
Total Pages : 105 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (843 download)

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Book Synopsis Annual Report on Exchange Arrangements and Exchange Restrictions 2013 by : International Monetary Fund. Monetary and Capital Markets Department

Download or read book Annual Report on Exchange Arrangements and Exchange Restrictions 2013 written by International Monetary Fund. Monetary and Capital Markets Department and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2013-12-15 with total page 105 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This is the 64th issue of the AREAER. It provides a description of the foreign exchange arrangements, exchange and trade systems, and capital controls of all IMF member countries. It also provides information on the operation of foreign exchange markets and controls on international trade. It describes controls on capital transactions and measures implemented in the financial sector, including prudential measures. In addition, it reports on exchange measures imposed by member countries for security reasons. A single table provides a snapshot of the exchange and trade systems of all IMF member countries. The Overview describes in detail how the general trend toward foreign exchange liberalization continued during 2012, alongside a strengthening of the financial sector regulatory framework. The AREAER is available in several formats. The Overview in print and online, and the detailed information for each of the 191 member countries and territories is included on a CD that accompanies the printed Overview and in an online database, AREAER Online. In addition to the information on the exchange and trade system of IMF member countries in 2012, AREAER Online contains historical data published in previous issues of the AREAER. It is searchable by year, country, and category of measure and allows cross country comparisons for time series.

Foreign Exchange Intervention Rules for Central Banks: A Risk-based Framework

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1513569406
Total Pages : 33 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (135 download)

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Book Synopsis Foreign Exchange Intervention Rules for Central Banks: A Risk-based Framework by : Romain Lafarguette

Download or read book Foreign Exchange Intervention Rules for Central Banks: A Risk-based Framework written by Romain Lafarguette and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2021-02-12 with total page 33 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper presents a rule for foreign exchange interventions (FXI), designed to preserve financial stability in floating exchange rate arrangements. The FXI rule addresses a market failure: the absence of hedging solution for tail exchange rate risk in the market (i.e. high volatility). Market impairment or overshoot of exchange rate between two equilibria could generate high volatility and threaten financial stability due to unhedged exposure to exchange rate risk in the economy. The rule uses the concept of Value at Risk (VaR) to define FXI triggers. While it provides to the market a hedge against tail risk, the rule allows the exchange rate to smoothly adjust to new equilibria. In addition, the rule is budget neutral over the medium term, encourages a prudent risk management in the market, and is more resilient to speculative attacks than other rules, such as fixed-volatility rules. The empirical methodology is backtested on Banco Mexico’s FXIs data between 2008 and 2016.