Intertemporal CAPM and the Cross-Section of Stock Returns

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 56 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (129 download)

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Book Synopsis Intertemporal CAPM and the Cross-Section of Stock Returns by : Joseph Chen

Download or read book Intertemporal CAPM and the Cross-Section of Stock Returns written by Joseph Chen and published by . This book was released on 2008 with total page 56 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper examines whether the historically high returns associated with the size effect, the book-to-market effect, and the momentum effect can be explained within an asset pricing framework suggested by Merton's (1973) Intertemporal Capital Asset Pricing Model. Controlling for the market, an asset may earn a risk premium if it performs poorly when the prospects for the future turn sour. I develop a model with time-varying expected market returns and time-varying market volatilities to reflect thechanges in the investment opportunity set of the economy. Campbell's (1993, 1996) technique of substituting out aggregate consumption delivers two key insights.An underlying mechanism is that in the absence of frictions,the aggregate budget constraint restricts variations in market returns to affect aggregate consumption at some horizon. Hence the first insight is that if a factor reflects the changes in the investment opportunity set, its risk premium should be linked to the amount of information that it conveys about the future. The second insight is that the risk premia across factors should be linked to each other through the willingness of investors tobear risk. I test whether the returns associated with the size effect, the book-to-market effect, and the momentum effect are consistent with these restrictions.This model is estimated using a multivariate VAR-GARCH model with non-Gaussian innovations. The estimates suggest that the historical returns on thebook-to-market effect and the momentum effect are too high to be explained as compensation for exposures to adversechanges in the investment opportunity set.

Equilibrium Cross-Section of Returns

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 71 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (129 download)

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Book Synopsis Equilibrium Cross-Section of Returns by : Joao F. Gomes

Download or read book Equilibrium Cross-Section of Returns written by Joao F. Gomes and published by . This book was released on 2009 with total page 71 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We explicitly link expected stock returns to firm characteristics such as firm size and book-to-market ratio in a dynamic general equilibrium production economy. Despite the fact that stock returns in the model are characterized by an intertemporal CAPM with the market portfolio as the only factor, size and book-to-market play separate roles in describing the cross-section of returns. These firm characteristics appear to predict stock returns because they are correlated with the true conditional market beta of returns. These cross-sectional relations can subsist after one controls for a typical empirical estimate of market beta. This lends support to the view that the documented ability of size and book-to-market to explain the cross-section of stock returns is not necessarily inconsistent with a single-factor conditional CAPM model. Our model also gives rise to a number of additional implications for the cross-section of returns. In this paper, we focus on the business cycle properties of returns and firm characteristics. Our results appear consistent with the limited existing evidence and provide a benchmark for future empirical studies.cycle properties.

The Cross-section of Stock Returns

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Publisher : World Bank Publications
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 28 pages
Book Rating : 4./5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis The Cross-section of Stock Returns by : Stijn Claessens

Download or read book The Cross-section of Stock Returns written by Stijn Claessens and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 1995 with total page 28 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Time-varying Risk Premia and the Cross Section of Stock Returns

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 65 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (58 download)

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Book Synopsis Time-varying Risk Premia and the Cross Section of Stock Returns by : Hui Guo

Download or read book Time-varying Risk Premia and the Cross Section of Stock Returns written by Hui Guo and published by . This book was released on 2002 with total page 65 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

An Intertemporal CAPM with Stochastic Volatility

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 59 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (916 download)

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Book Synopsis An Intertemporal CAPM with Stochastic Volatility by : John Y. Campbell

Download or read book An Intertemporal CAPM with Stochastic Volatility written by John Y. Campbell and published by . This book was released on 2015 with total page 59 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper studies the pricing of volatility risk using the first-order conditions of a long-term equity investor who is content to hold the aggregate equity market rather than tilting towards value stocks and other equity portfolios that are attractive to short-term investors. We show that a conservative long-term investor will avoid such tilts in order to hedge against two types of deterioration in investment opportunities: declining expected stock returns, and increasing volatility. Empirically, we present novel evidence that low-frequency movements in equity volatility, tied to the default spread, are priced in the cross-section of stock returns.

Analyzing the Time-Varying Stock Market Risk-Return Relation

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 34 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (129 download)

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Book Synopsis Analyzing the Time-Varying Stock Market Risk-Return Relation by : C. N. V. Krishnan

Download or read book Analyzing the Time-Varying Stock Market Risk-Return Relation written by C. N. V. Krishnan and published by . This book was released on 2011 with total page 34 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We analyze the stock market risk-return relation over the period from 1927 to 2005. We empirically implement the Intertemporal Capital Asset Pricing Model (ICAPM) using a cross-section of stock and bond portfolios, and allow for the market price of risk to be time-varying. We show that including bond portfolios in the estimation not only significantly changes the time-series estimates of the market price of risk, but also makes the correlation between conditional stock-market variance and the variance component of expected market return positive.

The Conditional CAPM and the Cross-Section of Expected Returns

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (129 download)

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Book Synopsis The Conditional CAPM and the Cross-Section of Expected Returns by : Zhenyu Wang

Download or read book The Conditional CAPM and the Cross-Section of Expected Returns written by Zhenyu Wang and published by . This book was released on 1998 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Most empirical studies of the static CAPM assume that betas remain constant over time and that the return on the value-weighted portfolio of all stocks is a proxy for the return on aggregate wealth. The general consensus is that the static CAPM is unable to explain satisfactorily the cross-section of average returns on stocks. We assume that the CAPM holds in a conditional sense, i.e., betas and the market risk premium vary over time. We include the return on human capital when measuring the return on aggregate wealth. Our specification performs well in explaining the cross-section of average returns.

Asset Pricing Theory

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Publisher : Princeton University Press
ISBN 13 : 1400830141
Total Pages : 363 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (8 download)

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Book Synopsis Asset Pricing Theory by : Costis Skiadas

Download or read book Asset Pricing Theory written by Costis Skiadas and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2009-02-09 with total page 363 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Asset Pricing Theory is an advanced textbook for doctoral students and researchers that offers a modern introduction to the theoretical and methodological foundations of competitive asset pricing. Costis Skiadas develops in depth the fundamentals of arbitrage pricing, mean-variance analysis, equilibrium pricing, and optimal consumption/portfolio choice in discrete settings, but with emphasis on geometric and martingale methods that facilitate an effortless transition to the more advanced continuous-time theory. Among the book's many innovations are its use of recursive utility as the benchmark representation of dynamic preferences, and an associated theory of equilibrium pricing and optimal portfolio choice that goes beyond the existing literature. Asset Pricing Theory is complete with extensive exercises at the end of every chapter and comprehensive mathematical appendixes, making this book a self-contained resource for graduate students and academic researchers, as well as mathematically sophisticated practitioners seeking a deeper understanding of concepts and methods on which practical models are built. Covers in depth the modern theoretical foundations of competitive asset pricing and consumption/portfolio choice Uses recursive utility as the benchmark preference representation in dynamic settings Sets the foundations for advanced modeling using geometric arguments and martingale methodology Features self-contained mathematical appendixes Includes extensive end-of-chapter exercises

Anticipating Correlations

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Publisher : Princeton University Press
ISBN 13 : 1400830192
Total Pages : 176 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (8 download)

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Book Synopsis Anticipating Correlations by : Robert Engle

Download or read book Anticipating Correlations written by Robert Engle and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2009-01-19 with total page 176 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Financial markets respond to information virtually instantaneously. Each new piece of information influences the prices of assets and their correlations with each other, and as the system rapidly changes, so too do correlation forecasts. This fast-evolving environment presents econometricians with the challenge of forecasting dynamic correlations, which are essential inputs to risk measurement, portfolio allocation, derivative pricing, and many other critical financial activities. In Anticipating Correlations, Nobel Prize-winning economist Robert Engle introduces an important new method for estimating correlations for large systems of assets: Dynamic Conditional Correlation (DCC). Engle demonstrates the role of correlations in financial decision making, and addresses the economic underpinnings and theoretical properties of correlations and their relation to other measures of dependence. He compares DCC with other correlation estimators such as historical correlation, exponential smoothing, and multivariate GARCH, and he presents a range of important applications of DCC. Engle presents the asymmetric model and illustrates it using a multicountry equity and bond return model. He introduces the new FACTOR DCC model that blends factor models with the DCC to produce a model with the best features of both, and illustrates it using an array of U.S. large-cap equities. Engle shows how overinvestment in collateralized debt obligations, or CDOs, lies at the heart of the subprime mortgage crisis--and how the correlation models in this book could have foreseen the risks. A technical chapter of econometric results also is included. Based on the Econometric and Tinbergen Institutes Lectures, Anticipating Correlations puts powerful new forecasting tools into the hands of researchers, financial analysts, risk managers, derivative quants, and graduate students.

Empirical Asset Pricing

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Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 1118589475
Total Pages : 512 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (185 download)

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Book Synopsis Empirical Asset Pricing by : Turan G. Bali

Download or read book Empirical Asset Pricing written by Turan G. Bali and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2016-02-26 with total page 512 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: “Bali, Engle, and Murray have produced a highly accessible introduction to the techniques and evidence of modern empirical asset pricing. This book should be read and absorbed by every serious student of the field, academic and professional.” Eugene Fama, Robert R. McCormick Distinguished Service Professor of Finance, University of Chicago and 2013 Nobel Laureate in Economic Sciences “The empirical analysis of the cross-section of stock returns is a monumental achievement of half a century of finance research. Both the established facts and the methods used to discover them have subtle complexities that can mislead casual observers and novice researchers. Bali, Engle, and Murray’s clear and careful guide to these issues provides a firm foundation for future discoveries.” John Campbell, Morton L. and Carole S. Olshan Professor of Economics, Harvard University “Bali, Engle, and Murray provide clear and accessible descriptions of many of the most important empirical techniques and results in asset pricing.” Kenneth R. French, Roth Family Distinguished Professor of Finance, Tuck School of Business, Dartmouth College “This exciting new book presents a thorough review of what we know about the cross-section of stock returns. Given its comprehensive nature, systematic approach, and easy-to-understand language, the book is a valuable resource for any introductory PhD class in empirical asset pricing.” Lubos Pastor, Charles P. McQuaid Professor of Finance, University of Chicago Empirical Asset Pricing: The Cross Section of Stock Returns is a comprehensive overview of the most important findings of empirical asset pricing research. The book begins with thorough expositions of the most prevalent econometric techniques with in-depth discussions of the implementation and interpretation of results illustrated through detailed examples. The second half of the book applies these techniques to demonstrate the most salient patterns observed in stock returns. The phenomena documented form the basis for a range of investment strategies as well as the foundations of contemporary empirical asset pricing research. Empirical Asset Pricing: The Cross Section of Stock Returns also includes: Discussions on the driving forces behind the patterns observed in the stock market An extensive set of results that serve as a reference for practitioners and academics alike Numerous references to both contemporary and foundational research articles Empirical Asset Pricing: The Cross Section of Stock Returns is an ideal textbook for graduate-level courses in asset pricing and portfolio management. The book is also an indispensable reference for researchers and practitioners in finance and economics. Turan G. Bali, PhD, is the Robert Parker Chair Professor of Finance in the McDonough School of Business at Georgetown University. The recipient of the 2014 Jack Treynor prize, he is the coauthor of Mathematical Methods for Finance: Tools for Asset and Risk Management, also published by Wiley. Robert F. Engle, PhD, is the Michael Armellino Professor of Finance in the Stern School of Business at New York University. He is the 2003 Nobel Laureate in Economic Sciences, Director of the New York University Stern Volatility Institute, and co-founding President of the Society for Financial Econometrics. Scott Murray, PhD, is an Assistant Professor in the Department of Finance in the J. Mack Robinson College of Business at Georgia State University. He is the recipient of the 2014 Jack Treynor prize.

The Cross-Section of Stock Returns

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 28 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (129 download)

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Book Synopsis The Cross-Section of Stock Returns by : Stijn Claessens

Download or read book The Cross-Section of Stock Returns written by Stijn Claessens and published by . This book was released on 2016 with total page 28 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Several factors besides m ...

The Cross-Section of Stock Returns: Evidence from Emerging Markets

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (919 download)

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Book Synopsis The Cross-Section of Stock Returns: Evidence from Emerging Markets by : Susmita Dasgupta

Download or read book The Cross-Section of Stock Returns: Evidence from Emerging Markets written by Susmita Dasgupta and published by . This book was released on 1999 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Beta Risk in the Cross-Section of Equities

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 86 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (13 download)

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Book Synopsis Beta Risk in the Cross-Section of Equities by : Ali Boloor

Download or read book Beta Risk in the Cross-Section of Equities written by Ali Boloor and published by . This book was released on 2019 with total page 86 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We develop a continuous-time intertemporal CAPM model that allows for risky beta exposure, which we explicitly specify. In the model, the expected return on a stock depends on beta's co-movement with market variance and more generally with the stochastic discount factor and deviates from the standard security market line when beta risk is priced. When estimating the model on returns and options we find that allowing for beta risk helps explain the expected returns on the low and high beta stocks, which are challenging for standard factor models.

International Conference of Computational Methods in Sciences and Engineering (ICCMSE 2004)

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Publisher : CRC Press
ISBN 13 : 1482284200
Total Pages : 1192 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (822 download)

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Book Synopsis International Conference of Computational Methods in Sciences and Engineering (ICCMSE 2004) by : Theodore Simos

Download or read book International Conference of Computational Methods in Sciences and Engineering (ICCMSE 2004) written by Theodore Simos and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2019-04-29 with total page 1192 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The International Conference of Computational Methods in Sciences and Engineering (ICCMSE) is unique in its kind. It regroups original contributions from all fields of the traditional Sciences, Mathematics, Physics, Chemistry, Biology, Medicine and all branches of Engineering. The aim of the conference is to bring together computational scientists from several disciplines in order to share methods and ideas. More than 370 extended abstracts have been submitted for consideration for presentation in ICCMSE 2004. From these, 289 extended abstracts have been selected after international peer review by at least two independent reviewers.

Rare Events, Financial Crises, and the Cross-Section of Asset Returns

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 42 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (95 download)

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Book Synopsis Rare Events, Financial Crises, and the Cross-Section of Asset Returns by : Francesco Bianchi

Download or read book Rare Events, Financial Crises, and the Cross-Section of Asset Returns written by Francesco Bianchi and published by . This book was released on 2015 with total page 42 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Similarities between the Great Depression and the Great Recession are documented with respect to the behavior of financial markets. A Great Depression regime is identified by using a Markov-switching VAR. The probability of this regime has remained close to zero for many decades, but spiked for a short period during the most recent financial crisis, the Great Recession. The Great Depression regime implies a collapse of the stock market, with small-growth stocks outperforming small-value stocks. This helps to explain the cross section of asset returns when risk is priced according to a version of the "Bad Beta, Good Beta" Intertemporal CAPM that allows for regime changes.

The Methodology and Practice of Econometrics

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Publisher : Oxford University Press, USA
ISBN 13 : 9780198743781
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (437 download)

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Book Synopsis The Methodology and Practice of Econometrics by : Jennifer Castle

Download or read book The Methodology and Practice of Econometrics written by Jennifer Castle and published by Oxford University Press, USA. This book was released on 2015-08-29 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Building upon, and celebrating the work of David F. Hendry, this volume consists of a number of specially commissioned pieces from some of the leading econometricians in the world. It reflects on the recent advances in econometrics and considers the future progress for the methodology of econometrics.

The Cross-Section of Stock Returns

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (14 download)

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Book Synopsis The Cross-Section of Stock Returns by : Dasgupta

Download or read book The Cross-Section of Stock Returns written by Dasgupta and published by . This book was released on 2013 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: