Asset Price Dynamics, Volatility, and Prediction

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Author :
Publisher : Princeton University Press
ISBN 13 : 9780691134796
Total Pages : 544 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (347 download)

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Book Synopsis Asset Price Dynamics, Volatility, and Prediction by : Stephen J. Taylor

Download or read book Asset Price Dynamics, Volatility, and Prediction written by Stephen J. Taylor and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2007-09-02 with total page 544 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book shows how current and recent market prices convey information about the probability distributions that govern future prices. Moving beyond purely theoretical models, Stephen Taylor applies methods supported by empirical research of equity and foreign exchange markets to show how daily and more frequent asset prices, and the prices of option contracts, can be used to construct and assess predictions about future prices, their volatility, and their probability distributions. Stephen Taylor provides a comprehensive introduction to the dynamic behavior of asset prices, relying on finance theory and statistical evidence. He uses stochastic processes to define mathematical models for price dynamics, but with less mathematics than in alternative texts. The key topics covered include random walk tests, trading rules, ARCH models, stochastic volatility models, high-frequency datasets, and the information that option prices imply about volatility and distributions. Asset Price Dynamics, Volatility, and Prediction is ideal for students of economics, finance, and mathematics who are studying financial econometrics, and will enable researchers to identify and apply appropriate models and methods. It will likewise be a valuable resource for quantitative analysts, fund managers, risk managers, and investors who seek realistic expectations about future asset prices and the risks to which they are exposed.

Information, Asset Pricing, and Market Volatility

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Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 366 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (347 download)

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Book Synopsis Information, Asset Pricing, and Market Volatility by : Yexiao Xu

Download or read book Information, Asset Pricing, and Market Volatility written by Yexiao Xu and published by . This book was released on 1996 with total page 366 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Asset Prices, Booms and Recessions

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Author :
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 3642206808
Total Pages : 327 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (422 download)

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Book Synopsis Asset Prices, Booms and Recessions by : Willi Semmler

Download or read book Asset Prices, Booms and Recessions written by Willi Semmler and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2011-06-15 with total page 327 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The financial market melt-down of the years 2007-2009 has posed great challenges for studies on financial economics. This financial economics text focuses on the dynamic interaction of financial markets and economic activity. The financial market to be studied here encompasses the money and bond market, credit market, stock market and foreign exchange market; economic activity includes the actions and interactions of firms, banks, households, governments and countries. The book shows how economic activity affects asset prices and the financial market, and how asset prices and financial market volatility and crises impact economic activity. The book offers extensive coverage of new and advanced topics in financial economics such as the term structure of interest rates, credit derivatives and credit risk, domestic and international portfolio theory, multi-agent and evolutionary approaches, capital asset pricing beyond consumption-based models, and dynamic portfolio decisions. Moreover a completely new section of the book is dedicated to the recent financial market meltdown of the years 2007-2009. Emphasis is placed on empirical evidence relating to episodes of financial instability and financial crises in the U.S. and in Latin American, Asian and Euro-area countries. Overall, the book explains what researchers and practitioners in the financial sector need to know about the financial-real interaction, and what practitioners and policy makers need to know about the financial market.

Asset Pricing, Real Estate and Public Finance over the Crisis

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Author :
Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 1137293772
Total Pages : 270 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (372 download)

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Book Synopsis Asset Pricing, Real Estate and Public Finance over the Crisis by : A. Carretta

Download or read book Asset Pricing, Real Estate and Public Finance over the Crisis written by A. Carretta and published by Springer. This book was released on 2013-02-03 with total page 270 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The current financial crisis started from the US real estate market and after, though the increase of risk premium requested by investors and due to the lack of liquidity of all financial markets, it became a world financial crisis. A detailed analysis during the crisis focuses attention on asset management, the real estate and public sector.

Empirical Asset Pricing

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Publisher : MIT Press
ISBN 13 : 0262039370
Total Pages : 497 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (62 download)

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Book Synopsis Empirical Asset Pricing by : Wayne Ferson

Download or read book Empirical Asset Pricing written by Wayne Ferson and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 2019-03-12 with total page 497 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: An introduction to the theory and methods of empirical asset pricing, integrating classical foundations with recent developments. This book offers a comprehensive advanced introduction to asset pricing, the study of models for the prices and returns of various securities. The focus is empirical, emphasizing how the models relate to the data. The book offers a uniquely integrated treatment, combining classical foundations with more recent developments in the literature and relating some of the material to applications in investment management. It covers the theory of empirical asset pricing, the main empirical methods, and a range of applied topics. The book introduces the theory of empirical asset pricing through three main paradigms: mean variance analysis, stochastic discount factors, and beta pricing models. It describes empirical methods, beginning with the generalized method of moments (GMM) and viewing other methods as special cases of GMM; offers a comprehensive review of fund performance evaluation; and presents selected applied topics, including a substantial chapter on predictability in asset markets that covers predicting the level of returns, volatility and higher moments, and predicting cross-sectional differences in returns. Other chapters cover production-based asset pricing, long-run risk models, the Campbell-Shiller approximation, the debate on covariance versus characteristics, and the relation of volatility to the cross-section of stock returns. An extensive reference section captures the current state of the field. The book is intended for use by graduate students in finance and economics; it can also serve as a reference for professionals.

Stock Market Liquidity

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Author :
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 0470181699
Total Pages : 502 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (71 download)

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Book Synopsis Stock Market Liquidity by : François-Serge Lhabitant

Download or read book Stock Market Liquidity written by François-Serge Lhabitant and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2008-01-09 with total page 502 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Brings together today's best financial minds across the world to discuss the issue of liquidity in today's markets. It is often proxied by trade-based measures (such as trading volume, frequency of trading, dollar value of shares trade, etc), order based measures and price impact measures.

Discretionary Trading and Asset Price Volatility

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Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1451947925
Total Pages : 34 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (519 download)

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Book Synopsis Discretionary Trading and Asset Price Volatility by : Mr.Jahangir Aziz

Download or read book Discretionary Trading and Asset Price Volatility written by Mr.Jahangir Aziz and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1995-10-01 with total page 34 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The IMF Working Papers series is designed to make IMF staff research available to a wide audience. Almost 300 Working Papers are released each year, covering a wide range of theoretical and analytical topics, including balance of payments, monetary and fiscal issues, global liquidity, and national and international economic developments.

Excess Volatility and the Asset-Pricing Exchange Rate Model with Unobservable Fundamentals

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Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1451849222
Total Pages : 21 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (518 download)

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Book Synopsis Excess Volatility and the Asset-Pricing Exchange Rate Model with Unobservable Fundamentals by : Mr.Lorenzo Giorgianni

Download or read book Excess Volatility and the Asset-Pricing Exchange Rate Model with Unobservable Fundamentals written by Mr.Lorenzo Giorgianni and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1999-05-01 with total page 21 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper presents a method to test the volatility predictions of the textbook asset-pricing exchange rate model, which imposes minimal structure on the data and does not commit to a choice of exchange rate “fundamentals.” Our method builds on existing tests of excess volatility in asset prices, combining them with a procedure that extracts unobservable fundamentals from survey-based exchange rate expectations. We apply our method to data for the three major exchange rates since 1984 and find broad evidence of excess exchange rate volatility with respect to the predictions of the canonical asset-pricing model in an efficient market.

Market Liquidity

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Author :
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 1139560158
Total Pages : 293 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (395 download)

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Book Synopsis Market Liquidity by : Yakov Amihud

Download or read book Market Liquidity written by Yakov Amihud and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2012-11-12 with total page 293 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book presents the theory and evidence on the effect of market liquidity and liquidity risk on asset prices and on overall securities market performance. Illiquidity means incurring a high transaction cost, which includes a large price impact when trading and facing a long time to unload a large position. Liquidity risk is higher if a security becomes more illiquid when it needs to be traded in the future, which will raise trading cost. The book shows that higher illiquidity and greater liquidity risk reduce securities prices and raise the expected return that investors require as compensation. Aggregate market liquidity is linked to funding liquidity, which affects the provision of liquidity services. When these become constrained, there is a liquidity crisis which leads to downward price and liquidity spiral. Overall, the volume demonstrates the important role of liquidity in asset pricing.

Expectations Data in Asset Pricing

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Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (131 download)

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Book Synopsis Expectations Data in Asset Pricing by : Klaus Adam

Download or read book Expectations Data in Asset Pricing written by Klaus Adam and published by . This book was released on 2022 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Asset prices reflect investors' subjective beliefs about future cash flows and prices. In this chapter, we review recent research on the formation of these beliefs and their role in asset pricing. Return expectations of individual and professional investors in surveys differ markedly from those implied by rational expectations models. Variation in subjective expectations of future cash flows and price levels appear to account for much of aggregate stock market volatility. Mapping the survey evidence into agent expectations in asset pricing models is complicated by measurement errors and belief heterogeneity. Recent efforts to build asset pricing models that match the survey evidence on subjective belief dynamics include various forms of learning about payout or price dynamics, extrapolative expectations, and diagnostic expectations. Challenges for future research include the exploration of subjective risk perceptions, aggregation of measured beliefs, and links between asset market expectations and the macroeconomy.

Market Volatility

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Author :
Publisher : MIT Press
ISBN 13 : 9780262691512
Total Pages : 486 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (915 download)

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Book Synopsis Market Volatility by : Robert J. Shiller

Download or read book Market Volatility written by Robert J. Shiller and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 1992-01-30 with total page 486 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Market Volatility proposes an innovative theory, backed by substantial statistical evidence, on the causes of price fluctuations in speculative markets. It challenges the standard efficient markets model for explaining asset prices by emphasizing the significant role that popular opinion or psychology can play in price volatility. Why does the stock market crash from time to time? Why does real estate go in and out of booms? Why do long term borrowing rates suddenly make surprising shifts? Market Volatility represents a culmination of Shiller's research on these questions over the last dozen years. It contains reprints of major papers with new interpretive material for those unfamiliar with the issues, new papers, new surveys of relevant literature, responses to critics, data sets, and reframing of basic conclusions. Included is work authored jointly with John Y. Campbell, Karl E. Case, Sanford J. Grossman, and Jeremy J. Siegel. Market Volatility sets out basic issues relevant to all markets in which prices make movements for speculative reasons and offers detailed analyses of the stock market, the bond market, and the real estate market. It pursues the relations of these speculative prices and extends the analysis of speculative markets to macroeconomic activity in general. In studies of the October 1987 stock market crash and boom and post-boom housing markets, Market Volatility reports on research directly aimed at collecting information about popular models and interpreting the consequences of belief in those models. Shiller asserts that popular models cause people to react incorrectly to economic data and believes that changing popular models themselves contribute significantly to price movements bearing no relation to fundamental shocks.

The Stock Market: Bubbles, Volatility, and Chaos

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Author :
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 9401578818
Total Pages : 206 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (15 download)

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Book Synopsis The Stock Market: Bubbles, Volatility, and Chaos by : G.P. Dwyer

Download or read book The Stock Market: Bubbles, Volatility, and Chaos written by G.P. Dwyer and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-03-09 with total page 206 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Gerald P. Dwyer, Jr. and R. W. Hafer The articles and commentaries included in this volume were presented at the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis' thirteenth annual economic policy conference, held on October 21-22, 1988. The conference focused on the behavior of asset market prices, a topic of increasing interest to both the popular press and to academic journals as the bull market of the 1980s continued. The events that transpired during October, 1987, both in the United States and abroad, provide an informative setting to test alter native theories. In assembling the papers presented during this conference, we asked the authors to explore the issue of asset pricing and financial market behavior from several vantages. Was the crash evidence of the bursting of a speculative bubble? Do we know enough about the work ings of asset markets to hazard an intelligent guess why they dropped so dramatically in such a brief time? Do we know enough to propose regulatory changes that will prevent any such occurrence in the future, or do we want to even if we can? We think that the articles and commentaries contained in this volume provide significant insight to inform and to answer such questions. The article by Behzad Diba surveys existing theoretical and empirical research on rational bubbles in asset prices.

Stock Market Volatility

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Author :
Publisher : CRC Press
ISBN 13 : 1420099558
Total Pages : 654 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (2 download)

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Book Synopsis Stock Market Volatility by : Greg N. Gregoriou

Download or read book Stock Market Volatility written by Greg N. Gregoriou and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2009-04-08 with total page 654 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Up-to-Date Research Sheds New Light on This Area Taking into account the ongoing worldwide financial crisis, Stock Market Volatility provides insight to better understand volatility in various stock markets. This timely volume is one of the first to draw on a range of international authorities who offer their expertise on market volatility in devel

Asset Price Dynamics, Volatility, and Prediction

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Author :
Publisher : Princeton University Press
ISBN 13 : 1400839254
Total Pages : 544 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (8 download)

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Book Synopsis Asset Price Dynamics, Volatility, and Prediction by : Stephen J. Taylor

Download or read book Asset Price Dynamics, Volatility, and Prediction written by Stephen J. Taylor and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2011-02-11 with total page 544 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book shows how current and recent market prices convey information about the probability distributions that govern future prices. Moving beyond purely theoretical models, Stephen Taylor applies methods supported by empirical research of equity and foreign exchange markets to show how daily and more frequent asset prices, and the prices of option contracts, can be used to construct and assess predictions about future prices, their volatility, and their probability distributions. Stephen Taylor provides a comprehensive introduction to the dynamic behavior of asset prices, relying on finance theory and statistical evidence. He uses stochastic processes to define mathematical models for price dynamics, but with less mathematics than in alternative texts. The key topics covered include random walk tests, trading rules, ARCH models, stochastic volatility models, high-frequency datasets, and the information that option prices imply about volatility and distributions. Asset Price Dynamics, Volatility, and Prediction is ideal for students of economics, finance, and mathematics who are studying financial econometrics, and will enable researchers to identify and apply appropriate models and methods. It will likewise be a valuable resource for quantitative analysts, fund managers, risk managers, and investors who seek realistic expectations about future asset prices and the risks to which they are exposed.

Risk Management And Value: Valuation And Asset Pricing

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Author :
Publisher : World Scientific
ISBN 13 : 981447441X
Total Pages : 645 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (144 download)

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Book Synopsis Risk Management And Value: Valuation And Asset Pricing by : Mondher Bellalah

Download or read book Risk Management And Value: Valuation And Asset Pricing written by Mondher Bellalah and published by World Scientific. This book was released on 2008-02-28 with total page 645 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book provides a comprehensive discussion of the issues related to risk, volatility, value and risk management. It includes a selection of the best papers presented at the Fourth International Finance Conference 2007, qualified by Professor James Heckman, the 2000 Nobel Prize Laureate in Economics, as a “high level” one. The first half of the book examines ways to manage risk and compute value-at-risk for exchange risk associated to debt portfolios and portfolios of equity. It also covers the Basel II framework implementation and securitisation. The effects of volatility and risk on the valuation of financial assets are further studied in detail.The second half of the book is dedicated to the banking industry, banking competition on the credit market, banking risk and distress, market valuation, managerial risk taking, and value in the ICT activity. With its inclusion of new concepts and recent literature, academics and risk managers will want to read this book.

Asset Pricing Theory

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Author :
Publisher : Princeton University Press
ISBN 13 : 1400830141
Total Pages : 363 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (8 download)

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Book Synopsis Asset Pricing Theory by : Costis Skiadas

Download or read book Asset Pricing Theory written by Costis Skiadas and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2009-02-09 with total page 363 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Asset Pricing Theory is an advanced textbook for doctoral students and researchers that offers a modern introduction to the theoretical and methodological foundations of competitive asset pricing. Costis Skiadas develops in depth the fundamentals of arbitrage pricing, mean-variance analysis, equilibrium pricing, and optimal consumption/portfolio choice in discrete settings, but with emphasis on geometric and martingale methods that facilitate an effortless transition to the more advanced continuous-time theory. Among the book's many innovations are its use of recursive utility as the benchmark representation of dynamic preferences, and an associated theory of equilibrium pricing and optimal portfolio choice that goes beyond the existing literature. Asset Pricing Theory is complete with extensive exercises at the end of every chapter and comprehensive mathematical appendixes, making this book a self-contained resource for graduate students and academic researchers, as well as mathematically sophisticated practitioners seeking a deeper understanding of concepts and methods on which practical models are built. Covers in depth the modern theoretical foundations of competitive asset pricing and consumption/portfolio choice Uses recursive utility as the benchmark preference representation in dynamic settings Sets the foundations for advanced modeling using geometric arguments and martingale methodology Features self-contained mathematical appendixes Includes extensive end-of-chapter exercises

Liquidity and Asset Prices

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Author :
Publisher : Now Publishers Inc
ISBN 13 : 1933019123
Total Pages : 109 pages
Book Rating : 4.9/5 (33 download)

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Book Synopsis Liquidity and Asset Prices by : Yakov Amihud

Download or read book Liquidity and Asset Prices written by Yakov Amihud and published by Now Publishers Inc. This book was released on 2006 with total page 109 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Liquidity and Asset Prices reviews the literature that studies the relationship between liquidity and asset prices. The authors review the theoretical literature that predicts how liquidity affects a security's required return and discuss the empirical connection between the two. Liquidity and Asset Prices surveys the theory of liquidity-based asset pricing followed by the empirical evidence. The theory section proceeds from basic models with exogenous holding periods to those that incorporate additional elements of risk and endogenous holding periods. The empirical section reviews the evidence on the liquidity premium for stocks, bonds, and other financial assets.