Inflation Targeting and Exchange Rate Management In Less Developed Countries

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1475523165
Total Pages : 65 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (755 download)

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Book Synopsis Inflation Targeting and Exchange Rate Management In Less Developed Countries by : Mr.Marco Airaudo

Download or read book Inflation Targeting and Exchange Rate Management In Less Developed Countries written by Mr.Marco Airaudo and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2016-03-08 with total page 65 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We analyze coordination of monetary and exchange rate policy in a two-sector model of a small open economy featuring imperfect substitution between domestic and foreign financial assets. Our central finding is that management of the exchange rate greatly enhances the efficacy of inflation targeting. In a flexible exchange rate system, inflation targeting incurs a high risk of indeterminacy where macroeconomic fluctuations can be driven by self-fulfilling expectations. Moreover, small inflation shocks may escalate into much larger increases in inflation ex post. Both problems disappear when the central bank leans heavily against the wind in a managed float.

Inflation Targeting and Exchange Rate Rules in an Open Economy

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Publisher : INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND
ISBN 13 : 9781451921892
Total Pages : 37 pages
Book Rating : 4.9/5 (218 download)

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Book Synopsis Inflation Targeting and Exchange Rate Rules in an Open Economy by : Mr.Eric Parrado

Download or read book Inflation Targeting and Exchange Rate Rules in an Open Economy written by Mr.Eric Parrado and published by INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND. This book was released on 2004-02-01 with total page 37 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper provides a simple dynamic neo-Keynesian model that can be used to analyze the impact of monetary policy that considers inflation targeting in a small open economy. This economy is characterized by imperfect competition and short-run price rigidity. The main findings of the paper are that, depending on what shocks affect the economy, the effects of inflation targeting on output and inflation volatility depend crucially on the exchange rate regime and the inflation index being targeted. First, in the presence of real shocks, flexible exchange rates dominate managed exchange rates, while for nominal shocks the reverse is true. Second, domestically generated inflation targeting is preferable to CPI inflation targeting, because the former is more stabilizing not only in relation to both measures of inflation, but also to the output gap and the real exchange rate. Finally, flexible inflation targeting outperforms strict inflation targeting in terms of welfare.

Hybrid Inflation Targeting Regimes

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1451873816
Total Pages : 59 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (518 download)

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Book Synopsis Hybrid Inflation Targeting Regimes by : Jorge Restrepo

Download or read book Hybrid Inflation Targeting Regimes written by Jorge Restrepo and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2009-10-01 with total page 59 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper uses a DSGE model to examine whether including the exchange rate explicitly in the central bank's policy reaction function can improve macroeconomic performance. It is found that including an element of exchange rate smoothing in the policy reaction function is helpful both for financially robust advanced economies and for financially vulnerable emerging economies in handling risk premium shocks. As long as the weight placed on exchange rate smoothing is relatively small, the effects on inflation and output volatility in the event of demand and cost-push shocks are minimal. Financially vulnerable emerging economies are especially likely to benefit from some exhange rate smoothing because of the perverse impact of exchange rate movements on activity.

The Role of the Exchange Rate in Inflation-Targeting Emerging Economies

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1589067967
Total Pages : 106 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (89 download)

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Book Synopsis The Role of the Exchange Rate in Inflation-Targeting Emerging Economies by : Anna Nordstrom

Download or read book The Role of the Exchange Rate in Inflation-Targeting Emerging Economies written by Anna Nordstrom and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2009-11-24 with total page 106 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper explores the role of exchange rates in emerging economies with inflation-targeting regimes, an issue that has become especially germane during the current episode of financial turmoil and volatile capital flows. Under inflation targeting, the interest rate is the main monetary policy tool for influencing activity and inflation, and there is little agreement about the appropriate role of the exchange rate.The exchange rate is a more important monetary policy tool for emerging economies that have adopted inflation targeting than it is for inflation-targeting advanced economies. Inflation-targeting emerging economies generally have less flexible exchange rate arrangements and intervene more frequently in the foreign exchange market than their advanced economy counterparts. The enhanced role of the exchange rate reflects these economies' greater vulnerability to exchange rate shocks and their less developed financial markets. However, their sharper focus on the exchange rate may cause some confusion about the commitment of their central banks to achieve the inflation target and may also complicate policy implementation. Global inflation pressures, greater exchange rate volatility, and the financial stresses from the global financial turmoil that began in mid-2007 are heightening these tensions.

Monetary Policy and Exchange Rate Volatility in a Small Open Economy

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Publisher : GRIN Verlag
ISBN 13 : 3640438590
Total Pages : 18 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (44 download)

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Book Synopsis Monetary Policy and Exchange Rate Volatility in a Small Open Economy by : Jonas Böhmer

Download or read book Monetary Policy and Exchange Rate Volatility in a Small Open Economy written by Jonas Böhmer and published by GRIN Verlag. This book was released on 2009-10-02 with total page 18 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Seminar paper from the year 2008 in the subject Business economics - Economic Policy, grade: 1,3, University of Bonn (Wirtschaftspolitische Abteilung der Rechts- und Staatswissenschaftlichen Fakultät), course: Geldtheorie- und politik, language: English, abstract: Does inflation reduce welfare? What is worse, a volatile exchange rate or a high inflation rate? And is the central bank able to drive these variables? These questions are the topic of a paper by Jordi Gali and Tommaso Monacelli, published in 2005 and titled “Monetary Policy and Exchange Rate Volatility in a Small Open Economy”. As apparent by the title Gali and Monacelli (G+M) analyze the influence of monetary policy on the volatility of the exchange rate, more precisely the nominal exchange rate and the terms of trade. For this purpose they create a small open economy with sticky prices of Calvo-type. Due to its minor size this economy does not influence the world economy. However, depending on the degree of openness this economy is affected by the rest of the world. Having specified this framework, G+M introduce three different monetary regimes and evaluate the resulting exchange rate volatilities . Using a central bank loss function G+M rank these three rules according to the implied welfare which shows a positive correlation between welfare and exchange rate volatility. Thence G+M prefer Taylor rules over an exchange rate pegging. To get a general idea of Gali and Monacelli`s argumentation this expose will start in chapter 2 with an abbreviated overlook over G+M’s model of a small open economy. In the following chapter there will be the introduction of the three central bank rules, necessary to close the model, as well as an analysis of the underlying welfare levels. Since the welfare evaluation is based on some special assumptions, chapter 4 will give an overview of recent literature which discusses possible extensions as well as their implications for G+M’s ranking of implied welfare. Concluding chapter 5 will summarize G+M’s most important results as well as evaluate if the possible extensions render G+M’s analysis, respectively their results, worthless.

Policy Rules for Open Economies

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 42 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (318 download)

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Book Synopsis Policy Rules for Open Economies by : Laurence Ball

Download or read book Policy Rules for Open Economies written by Laurence Ball and published by . This book was released on 1998 with total page 42 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper examines the choice of a monetary-policy rule in a simple macroeconomic model. In a closed economy, the optimal policy is a output and inflation. In an open economy, the optimal rule changes in two ways. First, the policy instrument is a Conditions Index the exchange rate. Second, on the right side of the rule, inflation is replaced by filters out the transitory effects of exchange-rate movements. The model also implies that pure inflation targeting is dangerous in an open economy, because it creates large fluctuations in exchange rates and output. Targeting long-run inflation avoids this problem and produces a close approximation to the optimal instrument rule.

Monetary Policy and Exchange Rate Volatility in a Small Open Economy

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 64 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (318 download)

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Book Synopsis Monetary Policy and Exchange Rate Volatility in a Small Open Economy by : Jordi Galí

Download or read book Monetary Policy and Exchange Rate Volatility in a Small Open Economy written by Jordi Galí and published by . This book was released on 2002 with total page 64 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We lay out a small open economy version of the Calvo sticky price model, and show how the equilibrium dynamics can be reduced to a tractable canonical system in domestic inflation and the output gap. We employ this framework to analyze the macroeconomic implications of three alternative monetary policy regimes for the small open economy: domestic inflation targeting, CPI targeting and an exchange rate peg. We show that a key difference among these regimes lies in the relative amount of exchange rate volatility that they entail. We also discuss a special case for which domestic inflation targeting constitutes the optimal policy, and where a simple second order approximation to the utility of the representative consumer can be derived and used to evaluate the welfare losses associated with suboptimal regimes.

Monetary Policy Rules for Financially Vulnerable Economies

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1451845855
Total Pages : 37 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (518 download)

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Book Synopsis Monetary Policy Rules for Financially Vulnerable Economies by : Mr.Eduardo Morón

Download or read book Monetary Policy Rules for Financially Vulnerable Economies written by Mr.Eduardo Morón and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2003-02-01 with total page 37 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: One distinguishable characteristic of emerging market economies is that they are not financially robust. These economies are incapable of smoothing out large external shocks, as sudden capital outflows imply large and abrupt swings in the real exchange rate. Using a small open-economy model, this paper examines alternative monetary policy rules for economies with different degrees of liability dollarization. The paper answers the question of how efficient it is to use inflation targeting under high liability dollarization. Our findings suggest that it might be optimal to follow a nonlinear policy rule that defends the real exchange rate in a financially vulnerable economy.

Exchange Rate Effects and Inflation Targeting in a Small Open Economy

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 32 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (318 download)

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Book Synopsis Exchange Rate Effects and Inflation Targeting in a Small Open Economy by : Reserve Bank of New Zealand

Download or read book Exchange Rate Effects and Inflation Targeting in a Small Open Economy written by Reserve Bank of New Zealand and published by . This book was released on 1999 with total page 32 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Monetary and Fiscal Rules in an Emerging Small Open Economy

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 80 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Monetary and Fiscal Rules in an Emerging Small Open Economy by : Nicoletta Batini

Download or read book Monetary and Fiscal Rules in an Emerging Small Open Economy written by Nicoletta Batini and published by . This book was released on 2009 with total page 80 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We develop a optimal rules-based interpretation of the 'three pillars macroeconomic policy framework': a combination of a freely floating exchange rate, an explicit target for inflation, and a mechanism than ensures a stable government debt-GDP ratio around a specified long run. We show how such monetary-fiscal rules need to be adjusted to accommodate specific features of emerging market economies. The model takes the form of two-blocs, a DSGE emerging small open economy interacting with the rest of the world and features, in particular, financial frictions It is calibrated using Chile and US data. Alongside the optimal Ramsey policy benchmark, we model the three pillars as simple monetary and fiscal rules including and both domestic and CPI inflation targeting interest rate rules alongside a 'Structural Surplus Fiscal Rule' as followed recently in Chile. A comparison with a fixed exchange rate regime is made. We find that domestic inflation targeting is superior to partially or implicitly (through a CPI inflation target) or fully attempting to stabilizing the exchange rate. Financial frictions require fiscal policy to play a bigger role and lead to an increase in the costs associated with simple rules as opposed to the fully optimal policy.

Monetary Policy Rules in the Open Economy

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 36 pages
Book Rating : 4.X/5 (4 download)

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Book Synopsis Monetary Policy Rules in the Open Economy by : Robert Kollmann

Download or read book Monetary Policy Rules in the Open Economy written by Robert Kollmann and published by . This book was released on 2002 with total page 36 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

The Relationship Between Exchange Rates and Inflation Targeting Revisited

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 58 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (318 download)

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Book Synopsis The Relationship Between Exchange Rates and Inflation Targeting Revisited by : Sebastian Edwards

Download or read book The Relationship Between Exchange Rates and Inflation Targeting Revisited written by Sebastian Edwards and published by . This book was released on 2006 with total page 58 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper deals with the relationship between inflation targeting and exchange rates. I address three specific issues: first, I analyze the effectiveness of nominal exchange rates as shock absorbers in countries with inflation targeting. This issue is closely related to the magnitude of the "pass-through" coefficient. Second, I investigate whether exchange rate volatility is different in countries with an inflation targeting regime than in countries with alternative monetary policy arrangements. And third, I discuss whether the exchange rate should play a role in determining the monetary policy stance under inflation targeting. An alternative way of posing this question is whether the exchange rate should have an independent role in an open economy Taylor rule.

Inflation Targeting in a Small Open Economy

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 48 pages
Book Rating : 4.X/5 (6 download)

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Book Synopsis Inflation Targeting in a Small Open Economy by : Alan Sutherland

Download or read book Inflation Targeting in a Small Open Economy written by Alan Sutherland and published by . This book was released on 2001 with total page 48 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Policy Rules and External Shocks

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 34 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (318 download)

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Book Synopsis Policy Rules and External Shocks by : Laurence Ball

Download or read book Policy Rules and External Shocks written by Laurence Ball and published by . This book was released on 2000 with total page 34 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This essay discusses rules for monetary policy in open economies. If policymakers seek to stabilize output and inflation, optimal rules in open economies differ considerably from optimal rules in closed economies. In open economies, stability is best achieved by targeting long-run inflation' a measure of inflation adjusted to remove transitory effects of exchange-rate movements. Stability is also enhanced by adding an exchange-rate term to "Taylor rules" for setting interest rates. Finally, central banks must choose whether their policy instrument is an interest rate or a "monetary conditions index": an average of the interest rate and the exchange rate. The nature of shocks to the exchange rate determines which of these choices keeps output and inflation more stable.

Inflation Targeting, Optimal Monetary Policy, and Exchange Rates Rate Rules in a Small Open Economy

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 258 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (555 download)

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Book Synopsis Inflation Targeting, Optimal Monetary Policy, and Exchange Rates Rate Rules in a Small Open Economy by : Eric Charles Parrado Herrera

Download or read book Inflation Targeting, Optimal Monetary Policy, and Exchange Rates Rate Rules in a Small Open Economy written by Eric Charles Parrado Herrera and published by . This book was released on 2000 with total page 258 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Asset Prices and Monetary Policy

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Publisher : University of Chicago Press
ISBN 13 : 0226092127
Total Pages : 444 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (26 download)

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Book Synopsis Asset Prices and Monetary Policy by : John Y. Campbell

Download or read book Asset Prices and Monetary Policy written by John Y. Campbell and published by University of Chicago Press. This book was released on 2008-11-15 with total page 444 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Economic growth, low inflation, and financial stability are among the most important goals of policy makers, and central banks such as the Federal Reserve are key institutions for achieving these goals. In Asset Prices and Monetary Policy, leading scholars and practitioners probe the interaction of central banks, asset markets, and the general economy to forge a new understanding of the challenges facing policy makers as they manage an increasingly complex economic system. The contributors examine how central bankers determine their policy prescriptions with reference to the fluctuating housing market, the balance of debt and credit, changing beliefs of investors, the level of commodity prices, and other factors. At a time when the public has never been more involved in stocks, retirement funds, and real estate investment, this insightful book will be useful to all those concerned with the current state of the economy.

Macroeconomic Policy

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Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 1317379438
Total Pages : 403 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (173 download)

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Book Synopsis Macroeconomic Policy by : Martin Weale

Download or read book Macroeconomic Policy written by Martin Weale and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2015-10-05 with total page 403 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This analysis of macroeconomic policy, originally published in 1989, argues that key government objectives, such as reduced inflation, decreased unemployment and an adequate level of national saving can be achieved only by employing both monetary and fiscal policies, in conjunction with supply-side policies expressly designed to improve the workings of the labour market. Part 1 is a comparative analysis showing the effects of monetary and fiscal policy on the economy. Real-wage rigidity in the labour market is shown to have important consequences for the working of both types of policy, because it conditions the economy’s response to tax changes. Part 2 presents an econometric model which combines consistent stock-flow accounts with a full range of expectational effects. Part 3 presents an innovative technique for solving rational expectations models with the need for arbitary terminal conditions.