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Inferential Models
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Download or read book Inferential Models written by Ryan Martin and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2015-09-25 with total page 274 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A New Approach to Sound Statistical ReasoningInferential Models: Reasoning with Uncertainty introduces the authors' recently developed approach to inference: the inferential model (IM) framework. This logical framework for exact probabilistic inference does not require the user to input prior information. The authors show how an IM produces meaning
Book Synopsis Models for Probability and Statistical Inference by : James H. Stapleton
Download or read book Models for Probability and Statistical Inference written by James H. Stapleton and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2007-12-14 with total page 466 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This concise, yet thorough, book is enhanced with simulations and graphs to build the intuition of readers Models for Probability and Statistical Inference was written over a five-year period and serves as a comprehensive treatment of the fundamentals of probability and statistical inference. With detailed theoretical coverage found throughout the book, readers acquire the fundamentals needed to advance to more specialized topics, such as sampling, linear models, design of experiments, statistical computing, survival analysis, and bootstrapping. Ideal as a textbook for a two-semester sequence on probability and statistical inference, early chapters provide coverage on probability and include discussions of: discrete models and random variables; discrete distributions including binomial, hypergeometric, geometric, and Poisson; continuous, normal, gamma, and conditional distributions; and limit theory. Since limit theory is usually the most difficult topic for readers to master, the author thoroughly discusses modes of convergence of sequences of random variables, with special attention to convergence in distribution. The second half of the book addresses statistical inference, beginning with a discussion on point estimation and followed by coverage of consistency and confidence intervals. Further areas of exploration include: distributions defined in terms of the multivariate normal, chi-square, t, and F (central and non-central); the one- and two-sample Wilcoxon test, together with methods of estimation based on both; linear models with a linear space-projection approach; and logistic regression. Each section contains a set of problems ranging in difficulty from simple to more complex, and selected answers as well as proofs to almost all statements are provided. An abundant amount of figures in addition to helpful simulations and graphs produced by the statistical package S-Plus(r) are included to help build the intuition of readers.
Book Synopsis Inferential Network Analysis by : Skyler J. Cranmer
Download or read book Inferential Network Analysis written by Skyler J. Cranmer and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2020-11-19 with total page 317 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Pioneering introduction of unprecedented breadth and scope to inferential and statistical methods for network analysis.
Book Synopsis Statistical Inference via Data Science: A ModernDive into R and the Tidyverse by : Chester Ismay
Download or read book Statistical Inference via Data Science: A ModernDive into R and the Tidyverse written by Chester Ismay and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2019-12-23 with total page 461 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Statistical Inference via Data Science: A ModernDive into R and the Tidyverse provides a pathway for learning about statistical inference using data science tools widely used in industry, academia, and government. It introduces the tidyverse suite of R packages, including the ggplot2 package for data visualization, and the dplyr package for data wrangling. After equipping readers with just enough of these data science tools to perform effective exploratory data analyses, the book covers traditional introductory statistics topics like confidence intervals, hypothesis testing, and multiple regression modeling, while focusing on visualization throughout. Features: ● Assumes minimal prerequisites, notably, no prior calculus nor coding experience ● Motivates theory using real-world data, including all domestic flights leaving New York City in 2013, the Gapminder project, and the data journalism website, FiveThirtyEight.com ● Centers on simulation-based approaches to statistical inference rather than mathematical formulas ● Uses the infer package for "tidy" and transparent statistical inference to construct confidence intervals and conduct hypothesis tests via the bootstrap and permutation methods ● Provides all code and output embedded directly in the text; also available in the online version at moderndive.com This book is intended for individuals who would like to simultaneously start developing their data science toolbox and start learning about the inferential and modeling tools used in much of modern-day research. The book can be used in methods and data science courses and first courses in statistics, at both the undergraduate and graduate levels.
Book Synopsis Statistical Inference as Severe Testing by : Deborah G. Mayo
Download or read book Statistical Inference as Severe Testing written by Deborah G. Mayo and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2018-09-20 with total page 503 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Mounting failures of replication in social and biological sciences give a new urgency to critically appraising proposed reforms. This book pulls back the cover on disagreements between experts charged with restoring integrity to science. It denies two pervasive views of the role of probability in inference: to assign degrees of belief, and to control error rates in a long run. If statistical consumers are unaware of assumptions behind rival evidence reforms, they can't scrutinize the consequences that affect them (in personalized medicine, psychology, etc.). The book sets sail with a simple tool: if little has been done to rule out flaws in inferring a claim, then it has not passed a severe test. Many methods advocated by data experts do not stand up to severe scrutiny and are in tension with successful strategies for blocking or accounting for cherry picking and selective reporting. Through a series of excursions and exhibits, the philosophy and history of inductive inference come alive. Philosophical tools are put to work to solve problems about science and pseudoscience, induction and falsification.
Book Synopsis An Introduction to Bayesian Inference, Methods and Computation by : Nick Heard
Download or read book An Introduction to Bayesian Inference, Methods and Computation written by Nick Heard and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2021-10-17 with total page 177 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: These lecture notes provide a rapid, accessible introduction to Bayesian statistical methods. The course covers the fundamental philosophy and principles of Bayesian inference, including the reasoning behind the prior/likelihood model construction synonymous with Bayesian methods, through to advanced topics such as nonparametrics, Gaussian processes and latent factor models. These advanced modelling techniques can easily be applied using computer code samples written in Python and Stan which are integrated into the main text. Importantly, the reader will learn methods for assessing model fit, and to choose between rival modelling approaches.
Book Synopsis Model-Based Reasoning in Science and Technology by : Ángel Nepomuceno-Fernández
Download or read book Model-Based Reasoning in Science and Technology written by Ángel Nepomuceno-Fernández and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2019-10-24 with total page 502 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book discusses how scientific and other types of cognition make use of models, abduction, and explanatory reasoning in order to produce important and innovative changes in theories and concepts. Gathering revised contributions presented at the international conference on Model-Based Reasoning (MBR18), held on October 24–26 2018 in Seville, Spain, the book is divided into three main parts. The first focuses on models, reasoning, and representation. It highlights key theoretical concepts from an applied perspective, and addresses issues concerning information visualization, experimental methods, and design. The second part goes a step further, examining abduction, problem solving, and reasoning. The respective papers assess different types of reasoning, and discuss various concepts of inference and creativity and their relationship with experimental data. In turn, the third part reports on a number of epistemological and technological issues. By analyzing possible contradictions in modern research and describing representative case studies, this part is intended to foster new discussions and stimulate new ideas. All in all, the book provides researchers and graduate students in the fields of applied philosophy, epistemology, cognitive science, and artificial intelligence alike with an authoritative snapshot of the latest theories and applications of model-based reasoning.
Book Synopsis A Formal Theory of Commonsense Psychology by : Andrew S. Gordon
Download or read book A Formal Theory of Commonsense Psychology written by Andrew S. Gordon and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2017-09-07 with total page 585 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Commonsense psychology refers to the implicit theories that we all use to make sense of people's behavior in terms of their beliefs, goals, plans, and emotions. These are also the theories we employ when we anthropomorphize complex machines and computers as if they had humanlike mental lives. In order to successfully cooperate and communicate with people, these theories will need to be represented explicitly in future artificial intelligence systems. This book provides a large-scale logical formalization of commonsense psychology in support of humanlike artificial intelligence. It uses formal logic to encode the deep lexical semantics of the full breadth of psychological words and phrases, providing fourteen hundred axioms of first-order logic organized into twenty-nine commonsense psychology theories and sixteen background theories. This in-depth exploration of human commonsense reasoning for artificial intelligence researchers, linguists, and cognitive and social psychologists will serve as a foundation for the development of humanlike artificial intelligence.
Book Synopsis Dynamic Social Network Modeling and Analysis by : National Research Council
Download or read book Dynamic Social Network Modeling and Analysis written by National Research Council and published by National Academies Press. This book was released on 2003-08-01 with total page 393 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In the summer of 2002, the Office of Naval Research asked the Committee on Human Factors to hold a workshop on dynamic social network and analysis. The primary purpose of the workshop was to bring together scientists who represent a diversity of views and approaches to share their insights, commentary, and critiques on the developing body of social network analysis research and application. The secondary purpose was to provide sound models and applications for current problems of national importance, with a particular focus on national security. This workshop is one of several activities undertaken by the National Research Council that bears on the contributions of various scientific disciplines to understanding and defending against terrorism. The presentations were grouped in four sessions â€" Social Network Theory Perspectives, Dynamic Social Networks, Metrics and Models, and Networked Worlds â€" each of which concluded with a discussant-led roundtable discussion among the presenters and workshop attendees on the themes and issues raised in the session.
Book Synopsis Supervised Machine Learning for Text Analysis in R by : Emil Hvitfeldt
Download or read book Supervised Machine Learning for Text Analysis in R written by Emil Hvitfeldt and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2021-10-22 with total page 402 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Text data is important for many domains, from healthcare to marketing to the digital humanities, but specialized approaches are necessary to create features for machine learning from language. Supervised Machine Learning for Text Analysis in R explains how to preprocess text data for modeling, train models, and evaluate model performance using tools from the tidyverse and tidymodels ecosystem. Models like these can be used to make predictions for new observations, to understand what natural language features or characteristics contribute to differences in the output, and more. If you are already familiar with the basics of predictive modeling, use the comprehensive, detailed examples in this book to extend your skills to the domain of natural language processing. This book provides practical guidance and directly applicable knowledge for data scientists and analysts who want to integrate unstructured text data into their modeling pipelines. Learn how to use text data for both regression and classification tasks, and how to apply more straightforward algorithms like regularized regression or support vector machines as well as deep learning approaches. Natural language must be dramatically transformed to be ready for computation, so we explore typical text preprocessing and feature engineering steps like tokenization and word embeddings from the ground up. These steps influence model results in ways we can measure, both in terms of model metrics and other tangible consequences such as how fair or appropriate model results are.
Book Synopsis Inferential Problems in Survey Sampling by : Parimal Mukhopadhyay
Download or read book Inferential Problems in Survey Sampling written by Parimal Mukhopadhyay and published by New Age International. This book was released on 1996 with total page 266 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This Book Provides A Comprehensive Account Of Survey Sampling Theory In Fixed Population Approach And Model Based Approach. After Making A Critical Review Of Different Results In Fixed Population Set Up It Shows How Super Population Models Can Be Exploited To Produce Optimal And Robust Sampling Strategies, Specially In Large Scale Sample Surveys. The Central Theme Of The Book Is The Use Of Super Population Models In Making Inference From Sample Surveys. The Book Also Gives Suitable Emphasis On Different Practical Aspects, Like Choice Of Sampling Designs, Variance Estimation, Different Replication And Resampling Procedures.The Author Has Taken Care To Presuppose Nothing More On The Part Of The Reader Than A First Course In Statistical Inference, Sampling Theory And Regression Analysis. He Has Systematically Arranged The Main Results, Supplied Short Proofs, Examples, Explanatory Notes And Remarks And Indicated Research Areas. The Book Will Be Very Useful To Researchers. The Survey Practitioners Will Also Find Some Part Of The Book Very Helpful.
Book Synopsis Probability Theory and Statistical Inference by : Aris Spanos
Download or read book Probability Theory and Statistical Inference written by Aris Spanos and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2019-09-19 with total page 787 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This empirical research methods course enables informed implementation of statistical procedures, giving rise to trustworthy evidence.
Book Synopsis Statistical Modeling and Inference for Social Science by : Sean Gailmard
Download or read book Statistical Modeling and Inference for Social Science written by Sean Gailmard and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2014-06-09 with total page 393 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Written specifically for graduate students and practitioners beginning social science research, Statistical Modeling and Inference for Social Science covers the essential statistical tools, models and theories that make up the social scientist's toolkit. Assuming no prior knowledge of statistics, this textbook introduces students to probability theory, statistical inference and statistical modeling, and emphasizes the connection between statistical procedures and social science theory. Sean Gailmard develops core statistical theory as a set of tools to model and assess relationships between variables - the primary aim of social scientists - and demonstrates the ways in which social scientists express and test substantive theoretical arguments in various models. Chapter exercises guide students in applying concepts to data, extending their grasp of core theoretical concepts. Students will also gain the ability to create, read and critique statistical applications in their fields of interest.
Download or read book Causality written by Judea Pearl and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2009-09-14 with total page 487 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Causality offers the first comprehensive coverage of causal analysis in many sciences, including recent advances using graphical methods. Pearl presents a unified account of the probabilistic, manipulative, counterfactual and structural approaches to causation, and devises simple mathematical tools for analyzing the relationships between causal connections, statistical associations, actions and observations. The book will open the way for including causal analysis in the standard curriculum of statistics, artificial intelligence ...
Book Synopsis Large-Scale Inference by : Bradley Efron
Download or read book Large-Scale Inference written by Bradley Efron and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2012-11-29 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We live in a new age for statistical inference, where modern scientific technology such as microarrays and fMRI machines routinely produce thousands and sometimes millions of parallel data sets, each with its own estimation or testing problem. Doing thousands of problems at once is more than repeated application of classical methods. Taking an empirical Bayes approach, Bradley Efron, inventor of the bootstrap, shows how information accrues across problems in a way that combines Bayesian and frequentist ideas. Estimation, testing and prediction blend in this framework, producing opportunities for new methodologies of increased power. New difficulties also arise, easily leading to flawed inferences. This book takes a careful look at both the promise and pitfalls of large-scale statistical inference, with particular attention to false discovery rates, the most successful of the new statistical techniques. Emphasis is on the inferential ideas underlying technical developments, illustrated using a large number of real examples.
Book Synopsis Tools for Statistical Inference by : Martin A. Tanner
Download or read book Tools for Statistical Inference written by Martin A. Tanner and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 118 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: From the reviews: The purpose of the book under review is to give a survey of methods for the Bayesian or likelihood-based analysis of data. The author distinguishes between two types of methods: the observed data methods and the data augmentation ones. The observed data methods are applied directly to the likelihood or posterior density of the observed data. The data augmentation methods make use of the special "missing" data structure of the problem. They rely on an augmentation of the data which simplifies the likelihood or posterior density. #Zentralblatt für Mathematik#
Book Synopsis A Dictionary of Media and Communication by : Daniel Chandler
Download or read book A Dictionary of Media and Communication written by Daniel Chandler and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 2020-02-21 with total page 673 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This authoritative and up-to-date A-Z covers all aspects of interpersonal, mass, and networked communication, including digital and mobile media, advertising, journalism, and nonverbal communication. This new edition is particularly focused on expanding coverage of social media terms, to reflect its increasing prominence to media and communication studies as a whole. More than 2,000 entries have been revised, and over 500 new terms have been added to reflect current theoretical terminology, including concepts such as artificial intelligence, cisgender, fake news, hive mind, use theory, and wikiality. The dictionary also bridges the gap between theory and practice, and contains many technical terms that are relevant to the communication industry, including dialogue editing, news aggregator, and primary colour correction. The text is complemented by biographical notes and extensively cross-referenced, while web links supplement the entries. It is an indispensable guide for undergraduate students of media and communication studies, and also for those taking related subjects such as television studies, video production, communication design, visual communication, marketing communications, semiotics, and cultural studies.
