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Imperfect Decisions
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Book Synopsis Imperfect Decisions by : James Robert Russell
Download or read book Imperfect Decisions written by James Robert Russell and published by iUniverse. This book was released on 2014-05 with total page 359 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Deirdre Matheson leaves her small Midwestern town to attend Staunton College in Boston. There she thrives, building a close circle of friends, battling for the national championship in field hockey, and excelling in academics. Deirdre appears to be living the perfect life but perfect people often have secrets, and Deirdre is no different. Two murders take place on campus and bring back horrible memories. Soon Deirdre's past begins to catch up with her, as family secrets emerge and an unsolved crime in her hometown the mysterious disappearance of her high school rival, Sally Baker threatens her promising future. Rodger Hastings is a high school teacher with a specific interest in Deirdre. He has observed her for years and now wonders if all her successes have been built on falsehoods. A court case is forthcoming; several mysteries must be solved. Deirdre's fairytale life is about to come crashing down, but who is the real guilty party in this fatal web of lies?
Author :Tatiana Valentine Guy Publisher :Springer Science & Business Media ISBN 13 :3642246478 Total Pages :207 pages Book Rating :4.6/5 (422 download)
Book Synopsis Decision Making with Imperfect Decision Makers by : Tatiana Valentine Guy
Download or read book Decision Making with Imperfect Decision Makers written by Tatiana Valentine Guy and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2011-11-13 with total page 207 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Prescriptive Bayesian decision making has reached a high level of maturity and is well-supported algorithmically. However, experimental data shows that real decision makers choose such Bayes-optimal decisions surprisingly infrequently, often making decisions that are badly sub-optimal. So prevalent is such imperfect decision-making that it should be accepted as an inherent feature of real decision makers living within interacting societies. To date such societies have been investigated from an economic and gametheoretic perspective, and even to a degree from a physics perspective. However, little research has been done from the perspective of computer science and associated disciplines like machine learning, information theory and neuroscience. This book is a major contribution to such research. Some of the particular topics addressed include: How should we formalise rational decision making of a single imperfect decision maker? Does the answer change for a system of imperfect decision makers? Can we extend existing prescriptive theories for perfect decision makers to make them useful for imperfect ones? How can we exploit the relation of these problems to the control under varying and uncertain resources constraints as well as to the problem of the computational decision making? What can we learn from natural, engineered, and social systems to help us address these issues?
Book Synopsis Imperfect Union by : Christopher R. Berry
Download or read book Imperfect Union written by Christopher R. Berry and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2009-09-14 with total page 273 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Special purpose jurisdictions, such as school districts, water districts, and transit authorities, constitute the most common form of local government in the United States today. This book offers the first political theory of special purpose jurisdictions and provides extensive empirical analyses of the politics and finances of these often overlooked but increasingly influential governments.
Book Synopsis Imperfect Markets and Imperfect Regulation by : Thomas-Olivier Leautier
Download or read book Imperfect Markets and Imperfect Regulation written by Thomas-Olivier Leautier and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 2019-03-19 with total page 413 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The first textbook to present a comprehensive and detailed economic analysis of electricity markets, analyzing the tensions between microeconomics and political economy. The power industry is essential in our fight against climate change. This book is the first to examine in detail the microeconomics underlying power markets, stemming from peak-load pricing, by which prices are low when the installed generation capacity exceeds demand but can rise a hundred times higher when demand is equal to installed capacity. The outcome of peak-load pricing is often difficult to accept politically, and the book explores the tensions between microeconomics and political economy. Understanding peak-load pricing and its implications is essential for designing robust policies and making sound investment decisions. Thomas-Olivier Léautier presents the model in its simplest form, and introduces additional features as different issues are presented. The book covers all segments of electricity markets: electricity generation, under perfect and imperfect competition; retail competition and demand response; transmission pricing, transmission congestion management, and transmission constraints; and the current policy issues arising from the entry of renewables into the market and capacity mechanisms. Combining anecdotes and analysis of real situations with rigorous analytical modeling, each chapter analyzes one specific issue, first presenting findings in nontechnical terms accessible to policy practitioners and graduate students in management or public policy and then presenting a more mathematical analytical exposition for students and researchers specializing in the economics of electricity markets and for those who want to understand and apply the underlying models.
Book Synopsis Imperfect Knowledge Economics by : Roman Frydman
Download or read book Imperfect Knowledge Economics written by Roman Frydman and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2023-09-26 with total page 368 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Posing a major challenge to economic orthodoxy, Imperfect Knowledge Economics asserts that exact models of purposeful human behavior are beyond the reach of economic analysis. Roman Frydman and Michael Goldberg argue that the longstanding empirical failures of conventional economic models stem from their futile efforts to make exact predictions about the consequences of rational, self-interested behavior. Such predictions, based on mechanistic models of human behavior, disregard the importance of individual creativity and unforeseeable sociopolitical change. Scientific though these explanations may appear, they usually fail to predict how markets behave. And, the authors contend, recent behavioral models of the market are no less mechanistic than their conventional counterparts: they aim to generate exact predictions of "irrational" human behavior. Frydman and Goldberg offer a long-overdue response to the shortcomings of conventional economic models. Drawing attention to the inherent limits of economists' knowledge, they introduce a new approach to economic analysis: Imperfect Knowledge Economics (IKE). IKE rejects exact quantitative predictions of individual decisions and market outcomes in favor of mathematical models that generate only qualitative predictions of economic change. Using the foreign exchange market as a testing ground for IKE, this book sheds new light on exchange-rate and risk-premium movements, which have confounded conventional models for decades. Offering a fresh way to think about markets and representing a potential turning point in economics, Imperfect Knowledge Economics will be essential reading for economists, policymakers, and professional investors.
Book Synopsis Decision Theory With Imperfect Information by : Aliev Rafig Aziz
Download or read book Decision Theory With Imperfect Information written by Aliev Rafig Aziz and published by World Scientific. This book was released on 2014-08-08 with total page 468 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Every day decision making in complex human-centric systems are characterized by imperfect decision-relevant information. The principal problems with the existing decision theories are that they do not have capability to deal with situations in which probabilities and events are imprecise. In this book, we describe a new theory of decision making with imperfect information. The aim is to shift the foundation of decision analysis and economic behavior from the realm bivalent logic to the realm fuzzy logic and Z-restriction, from external modeling of behavioral decisions to the framework of combined states.This book will be helpful for professionals, academics, managers and graduate students in fuzzy logic, decision sciences, artificial intelligence, mathematical economics, and computational economics.
Book Synopsis 51 Imperfect Solutions by : Judge Jeffrey S. Sutton
Download or read book 51 Imperfect Solutions written by Judge Jeffrey S. Sutton and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 2018-05-07 with total page 288 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: When we think of constitutional law, we invariably think of the United States Supreme Court and the federal court system. Yet much of our constitutional law is not made at the federal level. In 51 Imperfect Solutions, U.S. Court of Appeals Judge Jeffrey S. Sutton argues that American Constitutional Law should account for the role of the state courts and state constitutions, together with the federal courts and the federal constitution, in protecting individual liberties. The book tells four stories that arise in four different areas of constitutional law: equal protection; criminal procedure; privacy; and free speech and free exercise of religion. Traditional accounts of these bedrock debates about the relationship of the individual to the state focus on decisions of the United States Supreme Court. But these explanations tell just part of the story. The book corrects this omission by looking at each issue-and some others as well-through the lens of many constitutions, not one constitution; of many courts, not one court; and of all American judges, not federal or state judges. Taken together, the stories reveal a remarkably complex, nuanced, ever-changing federalist system, one that ought to make lawyers and litigants pause before reflexively assuming that the United States Supreme Court alone has all of the answers to the most vexing constitutional questions. If there is a central conviction of the book, it's that an underappreciation of state constitutional law has hurt state and federal law and has undermined the appropriate balance between state and federal courts in protecting individual liberty. In trying to correct this imbalance, the book also offers several ideas for reform.
Download or read book OCD written by Michael A. Tompkins and published by New Harbinger Publications. This book was released on 2012-01-01 with total page 157 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: When someone is diagnosed with obsessive-compulsive disorder (OCD), chances are they've been living with the symptoms for a long time. People with OCD may have long felt embarrassed by their thoughts and behaviors, which may include fear of contamination, the need for symmetry, pathological doubt, aggressive thoughts, repeating behaviors, and obsessive cleaning. OCD: A Guide for the Newly Diagnosed helps readers understand how OCD works so they can develop better strategies for coping with their symptoms. This pocket guide offers guidance for coping with the diagnosis itself, discusses stigmas related to OCD, and includes help for readers unsure of who they should tell about the diagnosis. Readers also learn about the most effective treatment approaches and easy ways to begin to manage their OCD symptoms. An OCD diagnosis can be a devastating event, or it can be a catalyst for positive change. Books in the Guides for the Newly Diagnosed series provide readers with all the tools they need to process a diagnosis in the healthiest way possible, and then move forward to manage their symptoms so that the disorder doesn't get in the way of living a fulfilling life. This book has been awarded The Association for Behavioral and Cognitive Therapies Self-Help Seal of Merit — an award bestowed on outstanding self-help books that are consistent with cognitive behavioral therapy (CBT) principles and that incorporate scientifically tested strategies for overcoming mental health difficulties. Used alone or in conjunction with therapy, our books offer powerful tools readers can use to jump-start changes in their lives. This book is a part of New Harbinger Publications' Guides for the Newly Diagnosed series.The series was created to help people who have recently been diagnosed with a mental health condition. Our goal is to offer user-friendly resources that provide answers to common questions readers may have after receiving a diagnosis, as well as evidence-based strategies to help them cope with and manage their condition, so that they can get back to living a more balanced life. Visit www.newharbinger.com for more books in this series.
Book Synopsis Uncertain Decisions by : Luigi Luini
Download or read book Uncertain Decisions written by Luigi Luini and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 360 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Uncertain Decisions: Bridging Theory and Experiments presents advanced directions of thinking on decision theory - in particular the more recent contributions on non-expected utility theory, fuzzy decision theory and case-based theory. This work also provides theoretical insights on measures of risk aversion and on new problems for general equilibrium analysis. It analyzes how the thinking that underlies the theories described above spills over into real decisions, and how the thinking that underlies these real decisions can explain the discrepancies between theoretical approaches and actual behavior. This work elaborates on how the most recent laboratory experiments have become an important source both for evaluating the leading theory of choice and decision, and for contributing to the formation of new models regarding the subject.
Book Synopsis Imperfect Control by : Judith Viorst
Download or read book Imperfect Control written by Judith Viorst and published by Simon and Schuster. This book was released on 2014-10-21 with total page 448 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In her remarkable national bestseller, Necessary Losses, Judith Viorst explored how we are shaped by the various losses we experience throughout our lives. Now, in her wise and perceptive new book, Imperfect Control, she shows us how our sense of self and all our important relationships are colored by our struggles over control: over wanting it and taking it, loving it and fearing it, and figuring out when the time has come to surrender it. Writing with compassion, acute psychological insight, and a touch of her trademark humor, Viorst invites us to contemplate the limits and possibilities of our control. She shows us how our lives can be shaped by our actions and our choices. She reminds us, too, that we sometimes should choose to let go. And she encourages us to find our own best balance between power and surrender.
Book Synopsis The Great Mental Models, Volume 1 by : Shane Parrish
Download or read book The Great Mental Models, Volume 1 written by Shane Parrish and published by Penguin. This book was released on 2024-10-15 with total page 209 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Discover the essential thinking tools you’ve been missing with The Great Mental Models series by Shane Parrish, New York Times bestselling author and the mind behind the acclaimed Farnam Street blog and “The Knowledge Project” podcast. This first book in the series is your guide to learning the crucial thinking tools nobody ever taught you. Time and time again, great thinkers such as Charlie Munger and Warren Buffett have credited their success to mental models–representations of how something works that can scale onto other fields. Mastering a small number of mental models enables you to rapidly grasp new information, identify patterns others miss, and avoid the common mistakes that hold people back. The Great Mental Models: Volume 1, General Thinking Concepts shows you how making a few tiny changes in the way you think can deliver big results. Drawing on examples from history, business, art, and science, this book details nine of the most versatile, all-purpose mental models you can use right away to improve your decision making and productivity. This book will teach you how to: Avoid blind spots when looking at problems. Find non-obvious solutions. Anticipate and achieve desired outcomes. Play to your strengths, avoid your weaknesses, … and more. The Great Mental Models series demystifies once elusive concepts and illuminates rich knowledge that traditional education overlooks. This series is the most comprehensive and accessible guide on using mental models to better understand our world, solve problems, and gain an advantage.
Book Synopsis The Magical Imperfect by : Chris Baron
Download or read book The Magical Imperfect written by Chris Baron and published by Feiwel & Friends. This book was released on 2021-06-15 with total page 336 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "Highly recommended... Perfect for readers of Wonder and Erin Entrada Kelly's Hello, Universe."— Booklist magazine, starred review Etan has stopped speaking since his mother left. His father and grandfather don’t know how to help him. His friends have given up on him. When Etan is asked to deliver a grocery order to the outskirts of town, he realizes he’s at the home of Malia Agbayani, also known as the Creature. Malia stopped going to school when her acute eczema spread to her face, and the bullying became too much. As the two become friends, other kids tease Etan for knowing the Creature. But he believes he might have a cure for Malia’s condition, if only he can convince his family and hers to believe it too. Even if it works, will these two outcasts find where they fit in?
Book Synopsis Exploring the Criminal Decision Process by : Rachael Steele
Download or read book Exploring the Criminal Decision Process written by Rachael Steele and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2023-12-21 with total page 241 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The book provides a thorough investigation and overview of the decision making process that individuals may (or may not) go through when proceeding to commit a crime. Drawing on interviews with real offenders and conducted in a novel way, this book includes quotes throughout which make their decision making and emotional processes relatable to the reader. It examines a range of offences from petty theft to murder and includes both male and female offenders. Based on various iterations of the rational choice theories of crime, this book examines the relevance of these theories in real offending situations and the influence of emotion and context on these decisions. Finally, it explores how understanding the decision making process of committing offences can inform criminal justice practice.
Book Synopsis A Digest of the Decisions of the Courts of Last Resort of the Several States, from the Year 1892 to the Year 1896 by : William Smithers Church
Download or read book A Digest of the Decisions of the Courts of Last Resort of the Several States, from the Year 1892 to the Year 1896 written by William Smithers Church and published by . This book was released on 1896 with total page 1352 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Fundamentals of Crime Mapping by : Rebecca Paynich
Download or read book Fundamentals of Crime Mapping written by Rebecca Paynich and published by Jones & Bartlett Learning. This book was released on 2013-03-18 with total page 640 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Second Edition of the popular Fundamentals of Crime Mapping: Principles and Practice walks readers through the research, theories, and history of GIS in law enforcement. This accessible text explains the day-to-day practical application of crime analysis for mapping. Factual data from real crime analysis is included to reflect actual crime patterns, trends, series and what an officer or analyst can expect to see when he or she sits down to analyze and apply concepts learned. Special topics discussed include: an up-to-date discussion of the current crime trends in rural and urban areas, the major ecological theories of crime, the notion of geographic profiling, empirical research using crime mapping tools, basic mapping terminology, and more.New to the Second Edition:• All exercises and examples have been updated to reflect ArcGIS 10.0 and Excel 2010.• Includes a workbook with engaging exercises to offer hands-on application of the material.• All exercises and graphics have been updated to account for ArcGIS 10.0 and Excel 2010, though all exercises and examples for Excel 2007 remain.• Contains a NEW chapter discussing the various types of policing, with an emphasis on the Compstat process, intelligence led policing, and problem-oriented policing.
Book Synopsis Dragonflies Saved the Day by : Audrey Alexander
Download or read book Dragonflies Saved the Day written by Audrey Alexander and published by AuthorHouse. This book was released on 2012-02-21 with total page 107 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Dragonflies Saved the Day invites you to share in common experiences with the author and grow spiritually from exploring real-life situations. With a sense of humor, Audrey challenges the reader to reflect on what is healthy and working in your spirituality and what needs anything from a mild adjustment to oodles of transformation. Each short entry includes a reflection, an invitation to think about it, and a prayer. Mind, emotion, and spirit are recognized as elements that get along with each other in a balanced psyche, but often get out-of-kilter because life happens. If you believe in God but dont have (or dont want) a grasp on dogmatic religion; or if you feel out of balance but not bad enough for a self-help book; or if youve found some traditional devotional books a bit heavy, then this book may be what youre looking for. With laughter, smiles, and a few tears, deepen your faith in God and lighten your spirit with whimsical reflections, transforming thoughts, and humble prayers.
Book Synopsis Rationality, Institutions, and Economic Methodology by : Uskali Mäki
Download or read book Rationality, Institutions, and Economic Methodology written by Uskali Mäki and published by Psychology Press. This book was released on 1993 with total page 332 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: First published in 1993. Routledge is an imprint of Taylor & Francis, an informa company.
