IMF-Supported Programs in Low Income Countries: Economic Impact over the Short and Longer Term

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Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1484359437
Total Pages : 64 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (843 download)

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Book Synopsis IMF-Supported Programs in Low Income Countries: Economic Impact over the Short and Longer Term by : Mr. Christian Mumssen

Download or read book IMF-Supported Programs in Low Income Countries: Economic Impact over the Short and Longer Term written by Mr. Christian Mumssen and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2014-01-15 with total page 64 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper studies the short and longer-term impact of IMF engagement in Low-Income Countries (LICs) over nearly three decades. In contrast to earlier studies, we focus on a sample composed exclusively of LICs and disentangle the different effects of IMF longer-term engagement and short-term financing using a propensity score matching approach to control for selection bias. Our results indicate that longer-term IMF support (at least five years of program engagement per decade) helped LICs sustain economic growth and boost resilience by building fiscal buffers. Interestingly, the size of IMF financing has no significant impact on economic growth, possibly pointing to the prominent role of IMF policy advice and institutional capacity building in the context of longer-term engagement. We also present evidence that the short-term IMF engagement through augmentations of existing programs or short-term and emergency facilities is positively associated with a wide range of macroeconomic outcomes. Notably, the IMF financial support has the greatest impact on short-term growth when LICs are faced with substantial macroeconomic imbalances or exogenous shocks.

IMF-Supported Programs and Income Convergence in Low-Income Countries

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Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1484386140
Total Pages : 37 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (843 download)

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Book Synopsis IMF-Supported Programs and Income Convergence in Low-Income Countries by : Tejesh Pradhan

Download or read book IMF-Supported Programs and Income Convergence in Low-Income Countries written by Tejesh Pradhan and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2018-12-13 with total page 37 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Continuing the empirical debate on the effects of IMF-supported programs on participating countries’ macroeconomic performance, we focus on the issue of whether these programs accelerate conditional ß-convergence among low-income countries (LICs). We use an unbalanced panel dataset for 85 LICs over the period 1986-2015 and employ two different econometric methods to address the selection bias problem. Our empirical results suggest that the rate of conditional income per capita convergence is faster among LICs with extended IMF support than that in countries without support or with intermittent support.

Repeated Use of IMF-Supported Programs: Determinants and Forecasting

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Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1513520040
Total Pages : 48 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (135 download)

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Book Synopsis Repeated Use of IMF-Supported Programs: Determinants and Forecasting by : Martin Iseringhausen

Download or read book Repeated Use of IMF-Supported Programs: Determinants and Forecasting written by Martin Iseringhausen and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2019-11-08 with total page 48 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper studies the determinants of repeated use of Fund-supported programs in a large sample covering virtually all General Resources Account (GRA) arrangements that were approved between 1952 and 2012. Generally, the revolving nature of the IMF’s resources calls for the temporary sup-port of member countries to address balance of payments problems while repeated use has often been viewed as program failure. First, using probit models we show that a small number of country-specific variables such as growth, the current account balance, the international reserves position, and the institutional framework play a significant role in explaining repeated use. Second, we discuss the role of IMF-specific and program-specific variables and find evidence that a country’s track record with the Fund is a good predictor of repeated use. Finally, we conduct an out-of-sample forecasting exer-cise. While our approach has predictive power for repeated use, exact forecasting remains challenging. From a policy perspective, the results could prove useful to assess the risk IMF programs pose to the revolving nature of the Fund’s financial resources.

The Design of IMF-Supported Programs

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Author :
Publisher : IMF
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 164 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (321 download)

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Book Synopsis The Design of IMF-Supported Programs by : Atish R. Ghosh

Download or read book The Design of IMF-Supported Programs written by Atish R. Ghosh and published by IMF. This book was released on 2005-09-20 with total page 164 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This publication contains a collection of papers which examine the design of IMF-supported programmes during the years 1995-2000 in both middle-income and low-income countries. The analysis covers objectives and outcomes, policy formulation and programme design, and experiences in relation to macroeconomic and structural policies.

Do IMF-Supported Programs Work? A Survey of the Cross-Country Empirical Evidence

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Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1451858310
Total Pages : 29 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (518 download)

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Book Synopsis Do IMF-Supported Programs Work? A Survey of the Cross-Country Empirical Evidence by : International Monetary Fund

Download or read book Do IMF-Supported Programs Work? A Survey of the Cross-Country Empirical Evidence written by International Monetary Fund and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1998-12-01 with total page 29 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Over the last two decades a number of cross-country empirical studies have been undertaken to assess whether IMF-supported adjustment programs have led to an improved balance of payments and current account balance, lower inflation, and higher growth. These studies use a variety of methodologies and cover different country samples and time periods. This paper critically surveys the evidence yielded by the cross-country studies, paying special attention to the pros and cons of the respective empirical methodologies employed. These studies, particularly the more recent ones, conclude that IMF-supported programs have generally been successful in stabilizing the economy.

IMF-Supported Programs

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Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 9781589063617
Total Pages : 184 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (636 download)

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Book Synopsis IMF-Supported Programs by : Mr.Ashoka Mody

Download or read book IMF-Supported Programs written by Mr.Ashoka Mody and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2006-04-03 with total page 184 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Research work by the IMF’s staff on the effectiveness of the country programs the organization supports, which has long been carried out, has intensified in recent years. IMF analysts have sought to “open up the black box” by more closely examining program design and implementation, as well as how these influence programs’ effectiveness. Their efforts have also focused on identifying the lending, signaling, and monitoring features of the IMF that may affect member countries’ economic performance. This book reports on a large portion of both the new and the continuing research. It concludes that IMF programs work best where domestic politics and institutions permit the timely implementation of the necessary measures and when a country is vulnerable to, but not yet in, a crisis. It points to the need for a wider recognition of the substantial diversity among IMF member countries and for programs to be tailored accordingly while broadly maintaining the IMF’s general principle of uniformity of treatment.

What Happens to Social Spending in IMF-Supported Programs?

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Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1463935145
Total Pages : 20 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (639 download)

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Book Synopsis What Happens to Social Spending in IMF-Supported Programs? by : Mr.Masahiro Nozaki

Download or read book What Happens to Social Spending in IMF-Supported Programs? written by Mr.Masahiro Nozaki and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2011-08-31 with total page 20 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Staff Discussion Notes showcase the latest policy-related analysis and research being developed by individual IMF staff and are published to elicit comment and to further debate. These papers are generally brief and written in nontechnical language, and so are aimed at a broad audience interested in economic policy issues. This Web-only series replaced Staff Position Notes in January 2011.

Fiscal Adjustment in IMF-Supported Programs

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1589062744
Total Pages : 128 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (89 download)

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Book Synopsis Fiscal Adjustment in IMF-Supported Programs by : International Monetary Fund. Independent Evaluation Office

Download or read book Fiscal Adjustment in IMF-Supported Programs written by International Monetary Fund. Independent Evaluation Office and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2003-11-17 with total page 128 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Using a cross-country sample of 169 IMF-supported programs and detailed studies of 15 programs, this evaluation report examines various aspects of fiscal adjustment in IMF-supported programs. It presents evidence that does not support some critics’ view that IMF-supported programs typically adopt a one-size-fits-all approach to fiscal adjustment, nor the perception that programs always involve austerity by targeting reductions in public spending. The report also proposes a number of recommendations for IMF surveillance and program design in the future.

Reform of the Policy on Public Debt Limits in IMF-Supported Programs

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Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1513560883
Total Pages : 67 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (135 download)

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Book Synopsis Reform of the Policy on Public Debt Limits in IMF-Supported Programs by : International Monetary Fund. Strategy, Policy, & Review Department

Download or read book Reform of the Policy on Public Debt Limits in IMF-Supported Programs written by International Monetary Fund. Strategy, Policy, & Review Department and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2020-11-11 with total page 67 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper evaluates the IMF’s policy on the use of quantitative limits on public debt in IMF-supported programs (the “debt limits policy”) and proposes a number of modifications. The review is taking place at a time when many countries are experiencing heightened debt vulnerabilities or actual debt distress, aggravated by the COVID-19 shock, and occurring against the backdrop of a changing credit landscape in which concessional finance is scarcer relative to countries’ investment needs.

The Economic Impact of IMF-Supported Programs in Low-Income Countries

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Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1484394712
Total Pages : 60 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (843 download)

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Book Synopsis The Economic Impact of IMF-Supported Programs in Low-Income Countries by : Yasemin Bal-Gunduz

Download or read book The Economic Impact of IMF-Supported Programs in Low-Income Countries written by Yasemin Bal-Gunduz and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2013-10-04 with total page 60 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper aims to assess the economic impact of the IMF’s support through its facilities for low-income countries. It relies on two complementary econometric analyses: the first investigates the longer-term impact of IMF engagement—primarily through successive medium-term programs under the Extended Credit Facility and its predecessors (and more recently the Policy Support Instrument)—on economic growth and a range of other indicators and socioeconomic outcomes; the second focuses on the role of IMF shock-related financing—through augmentations of Extended Credit Facility arrangements and short-term and emergency financing instruments—on short-term macroeconomic performance.

IMF-Supported Programs

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1451942761
Total Pages : 294 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (519 download)

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Book Synopsis IMF-Supported Programs by : Ashoka Mody

Download or read book IMF-Supported Programs written by Ashoka Mody and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2006-04-03 with total page 294 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Research work by the IMF's staff on the effectiveness of the country programs the organization supports, which has long been carried out, has intensified in recent years. IMF analysts have sought to "open up the black box" by more closely examining program design and implementation, as well as how these influence programs' effectiveness. Their efforts have also focused on identifying the lending, signaling, and monitoring features of the IMF that may affect member countries' economic performance. This book reports on a large portion of both the new and the continuing research. It concludes that IMF programs work best where domestic politics and institutions permit the timely implementation of the necessary measures and when a country is vulnerable to, but not yet in, a crisis. It points to the need for a wider recognition of the substantial diversity among IMF member countries and for programs to be tailored accordingly while broadly maintaining the IMF's general principle of uniformity of treatment.

Expenditure Conditionality in IMF-supported Programs

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Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1484389077
Total Pages : 31 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (843 download)

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Book Synopsis Expenditure Conditionality in IMF-supported Programs by : Mr.Sanjeev Gupta

Download or read book Expenditure Conditionality in IMF-supported Programs written by Mr.Sanjeev Gupta and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2018-12-07 with total page 31 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper studies the impact of expenditure conditionality in IMF programs on the composition of public spending. A granular dataset on different government expenditure conditions covering 115 countries for the 1992-2016 period is compiled. The results support the view that while conditionality on specific elements of spending could help achieve a program’s short-term objectives, it is structural conditionality which delivers lasting benefits. Structural public financial management conditionality (such as on budget execution and control) has proven to be effective in boosting the long-term level of education, health, and public investment expenditures. The results further indicate that conditionality on raising such spending may come at the expense of other expenditures. Finally, the successful implementation (and not mere existence) of the conditionality is crucial for improved outcomes. These findings are relevant for policy makers targeting achievement of the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs).

IMF Staff Papers, Volume 49, No. 3

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 9781589061224
Total Pages : 260 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (612 download)

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Book Synopsis IMF Staff Papers, Volume 49, No. 3 by : International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Download or read book IMF Staff Papers, Volume 49, No. 3 written by International Monetary Fund. Research Dept. and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2002-09-23 with total page 260 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper empirically investigates the monetary impact of banking crises in Chile, Colombia, Denmark, Japan, Kenya, Malaysia, and Uruguay during 1975–98. Cointegration analysis and error correction modeling are used to research two issues: (i) whether money demand stability is threatened by banking crises; and (ii) whether crises lead to structural breaks in the relation between monetary indicators and prices. Overall, no systematic evidence that banking crises cause money demand instability is found. The paper also analyzes inflation targeting in the context of the IMF-supported adjustment programs.

Growth and Adjustment in IMF-Supported Programs

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Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1513594478
Total Pages : 116 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (135 download)

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Book Synopsis Growth and Adjustment in IMF-Supported Programs by : International Monetary Fund. Independent Evaluation Office

Download or read book Growth and Adjustment in IMF-Supported Programs written by International Monetary Fund. Independent Evaluation Office and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2021-09-09 with total page 116 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This evaluation assesses how well IMF-supported programs helped to sustain economic growth while delivering adjustment needed for external viability over the period 2008–19. The evaluation finds that the Fund’s increasing attention to growth in the programs has delivered some positive results. Specifically, it does not find evidence of a consistent bias towards excessive austerity in IMF-supported programs. Indeed, programs have yielded growth benefits relative to a counterfactual of no Fund engagement and boosted post-program growth performance. Notwithstanding these positive findings, program growth outcomes consistently fell short of program projections. Such shortfalls imply less protection of incomes than intended, fuel adjustment fatigue and public opposition to reforms, and jeopardize progress towards external viability. The evaluation examines how different policy instruments were applied to support better growth outcomes while achieving needed adjustment. Fiscal policies typically incorporated growth-friendly measures but with mixed success. Despite some success in promoting reforms and growth, structural conditionalities were of relatively low depth and their potential growth benefits were not fully realized. Use of the exchange rate as a policy tool to support growth and external adjustment during programs was quite limited. Lastly, market debt operations were useful in some cases to restore debt sustainability and renew market access, yet sometimes were too little and too late to deliver the intended benefits. The evaluation concludes that the IMF should seek to further enhance program countries’ capacity to sustain activity while undertaking needed adjustment during the program and to enhance growth prospects beyond the program. Following this conclusion, the report sets out three recommendations aimed at strengthening attention to growth implications of IMF-supported programs, including the social and distributional consequences.

The Impact of IMF-Supported Programs on FDI in Low-income Countries

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Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1513502344
Total Pages : 38 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (135 download)

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Book Synopsis The Impact of IMF-Supported Programs on FDI in Low-income Countries by : Mr.Ali J Al-Sadiq

Download or read book The Impact of IMF-Supported Programs on FDI in Low-income Countries written by Mr.Ali J Al-Sadiq and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2015-07-16 with total page 38 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: It is common for IMF-supported adjustment programs with low-income member countries (LICs) to project that they will facilitate FDI inflows. The main objective of this paper is to empirically examine this hypothesis. Using an unbalanced panel dataset for 73 low-income countries over the period 1980–2012, and two different econometric methods that address the selection-bias problem, the empirical results robustly show that participating in IMF-supported program is associated with a significant increase in FDI inflows.

The Economic Impact of IMF-Supported Programs in Low-Income Countries

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Author :
Publisher : INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND
ISBN 13 : 9781475559033
Total Pages : 60 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (59 download)

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Book Synopsis The Economic Impact of IMF-Supported Programs in Low-Income Countries by : Yasemin Bal-Gunduz

Download or read book The Economic Impact of IMF-Supported Programs in Low-Income Countries written by Yasemin Bal-Gunduz and published by INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND. This book was released on 2013-10-04 with total page 60 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper aims to assess the economic impact of the IMF’s support through its facilities for low-income countries. It relies on two complementary econometric analyses: the first investigates the longer-term impact of IMF engagement—primarily through successive medium-term programs under the Extended Credit Facility and its predecessors (and more recently the Policy Support Instrument)—on economic growth and a range of other indicators and socioeconomic outcomes; the second focuses on the role of IMF shock-related financing—through augmentations of Extended Credit Facility arrangements and short-term and emergency financing instruments—on short-term macroeconomic performance.

Who's in Charge? Ownership and Conditionality in IMF-Supported Programs

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Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1451859732
Total Pages : 26 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (518 download)

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Book Synopsis Who's in Charge? Ownership and Conditionality in IMF-Supported Programs by : Mr.James M. Boughton

Download or read book Who's in Charge? Ownership and Conditionality in IMF-Supported Programs written by Mr.James M. Boughton and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2003-09-01 with total page 26 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: IMF lending is conditional on a country's commitment to carry out an agreed program of economic policies. Unless that commitment is genuine and broadly held, the likelihood of implementation will be poor. Is there a conflict between national commitment and conditional finance? Are national authorities or other agents in the country less likely to "own" a reform program simply because it is conditionally financed? This paper argues that potential conflicts are reduced when program design takes the country's interests and circumstances into account and when conditionality results from a genuine process of interaction between the IMF and the borrower.