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Global Warming Velocity And Acceleration Of Change In Cumulative Co2 Emissions
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Book Synopsis Global Warming: Velocity and Acceleration of Change in Cumulative CO2 Emissions by : Joseph Nowarski
Download or read book Global Warming: Velocity and Acceleration of Change in Cumulative CO2 Emissions written by Joseph Nowarski and published by Joseph Nowarski. This book was released on 2022-06-06 with total page 12 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This publication introduces two parameters related to cumulative CO2 emissions. The first parameter is “Velocity of Change in Cumulative CO2 Emissions”, VCCO2. This parameter represents average annual change in cumulative CO2 emissions, and is expressed in ton of CO2 per year. The second parameter is “Acceleration of Change in Cumulative CO2 Emissions, ACCO2, and is expressed in ton of CO2 per year, per year (tCCO2/y2). These two parameters are in addition to the parameter “Global Warming Rate”, GWR [°C/y], and “Global Warming Acceleration”, GWA [°C/y2], described in the previous publication. The velocity of change in cumulative CO2 emissions, VCCO2, is +0.559 GtCCO2/y in the last 31 years and the acceleration of change in cumulative CO2 emissions, ACCO2, is +0.011 GtCCO2/y2 in the last 31 years.
Book Synopsis Global Warming Forecast using Acceleration Factors by : Joseph Nowarski
Download or read book Global Warming Forecast using Acceleration Factors written by Joseph Nowarski and published by Joseph Nowarski. This book was released on 2022-06-06 with total page 17 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This publication introduces four methods to forecast the global surface temperature over land and ocean (global warming). The methods include a parabolic trendline of the last 61 years of global warming and cumulated CO2 emissions. Two other methods apply the velocity and the acceleration of global warming and cumulative CO2 emissions. The relation between the global surface temperature change and the change in the cumulative CO2 emissions was determined in previous publications as 0.000745°C/GtCO2. The average result from all four methods for the business as usual CO2 mitigation scenario is 4.4°C (4.1°C -5.0°C). According to this forecast, the global temperature change will reach 1.5°C in 2031 (9 years from now) and 2.0°C in 2047 (25 years from now).
Book Synopsis Global Warming and Cumulative CO2 by : Joseph Nowarski
Download or read book Global Warming and Cumulative CO2 written by Joseph Nowarski and published by Joseph Nowarski. This book was released on 2022-06-06 with total page 8 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This publication analysis a correlation between the cumulative CO2 emissions and the global surface temperature change. The change in global surface temperature was calculated as the difference in the two most recent 31 years neighboring periods, and the change in the cumulative CO2 emissions is the difference between the actual values in the centers of the periods. This approach resulted in 0.000556°C/GtCO2 for the year 2000 and 0.000745°C/GtCO2 for the year 2021.
Book Synopsis Dataset Global Warming Forecast using Acceleration Factors by : Joseph Nowarski
Download or read book Dataset Global Warming Forecast using Acceleration Factors written by Joseph Nowarski and published by Joseph Nowarski. This book was released on 2022-10-06 with total page 4 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The dataset includes results of Global Warming forecast using four methods. The methods include a parabolic trendline of the last 61 years of global warming and cumulated CO2 emissions. Two other methods apply the velocity and the acceleration of global warming and cumulative CO2 emissions. The relation between the global surface temperature change and the change in the cumulative CO2 emissions was determined in previous publications as 0.000745°C/GtCO2. The average result from all four methods for the business as usual CO2 mitigation scenario is 4.4°C (4.1°C -5.0°C). According to this forecast, the global temperature change will reach 1.5°C in 2031 (9 years from now) and 2.0°C in 2047 (25 years from now).
Book Synopsis Necessary Change in CO2 Emissions per Capita to Reach 1.5°C-2.0°C Climate Change Limit in 2100 by : Joseph Nowarski
Download or read book Necessary Change in CO2 Emissions per Capita to Reach 1.5°C-2.0°C Climate Change Limit in 2100 written by Joseph Nowarski and published by Joseph Nowarski. This book was released on 2022-10-30 with total page 14 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The necessary cumulative CO2 emissions reduction to reach the 1.5°C Global Warming limit in 2100 is 2,359,526 MtCO2. This may be done by decreasing the world’s CO2 emissions per capita (CpC) annually by 17%. The necessary cumulative CO2 emissions reduction to reach the 1.7°C Global Warming limit in 2100 is 2,085,593 MtCO2. This may be done by decreasing the world’s CO2 emissions per capita (CpC) annually by 7.85%. The necessary cumulative CO2 emissions reduction to reach the 2.0°C Global Warming limit in 2100 is 1,683,503 MtCO2. This may be done by decreasing the world’s CO2 emissions per capita (CpC) annually by 4.46%. Keywords: Climate Change, Global Warming, CO2 emissions, CO2 per capita, Global Warming forecast
Book Synopsis Necessary Change in CO2 Emissions per GDP to Reach 1.5°C-2.0°C Climate Change Limit in 2100 by : Joseph Nowarski
Download or read book Necessary Change in CO2 Emissions per GDP to Reach 1.5°C-2.0°C Climate Change Limit in 2100 written by Joseph Nowarski and published by Joseph Nowarski. This book was released on 2022-10-30 with total page 15 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The necessary cumulative CO2 emissions reduction to reach the 1.5°C Global Warming limit in 2100 is 2,353,587 MtCO2. This may be done by decreasing the world’s CO2 emissions per GDP (Cp$) annually by 18%. The necessary cumulative CO2 emissions reduction to reach the 1.7°C Global Warming limit in 2100 is 2,086,161 MtCO2. This may be done by decreasing the world’s CO2 emissions per GDP (Cp$) annually by 9.34%. The necessary cumulative CO2 emissions reduction to reach the 2.0°C Global Warming limit in 2100 is 1,684,038 MtCO2. This may be done by decreasing the world’s CO2 emissions per GDP (Cp$) annually by 5.91%. Keywords: Climate Change, Global Warming, CO2 emissions, CO2 per GDP, GDP per capita, Global Warming forecast
Book Synopsis Cumulative CO2 Emissions per Cumulative GDP 1990-2020 by : Joseph Nowarski
Download or read book Cumulative CO2 Emissions per Cumulative GDP 1990-2020 written by Joseph Nowarski and published by Joseph Nowarski. This book was released on 2022-10-30 with total page 12 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This work analyzes cumulative CO2 emissions per cumulative GDP (CCp$$) in the period 1990-2020. The dataset includes 192 countries, 99.1% of the population of the world, 99.4% GDP of the world and 99.2% of the global cumulative CO2 emissions without international transport. The cumulative GDP of the countries included in this work is 2,564 MM$GDP, 99.4% of the world’s cumulative GDP of 2,579 MM$GDP. The CCp$$ of the countries included in this work is 0.0003331 tCO2/$GDP, 99.7% of the world average 0.0003340 tCO2/$GDP. 42 countries have CCp$$ above the world average with 555,796 Mega-tons of cumulative CO2 emissions in the period 1990-2020, compared to 298,338 MtCO2 (54%) of the 150 countries below the world average CCp$$. The cumulative CO2 emissions of those 42 countries above the world average increased global warming by 0.125°C. Keywords: Climate Change, Global Warming, CO2 emissions, CO2 per GDP, cumulative CO2, cumulative GDP, cumulative CO2 per cumulative GDP
Book Synopsis Climate Stabilization Targets by : National Research Council
Download or read book Climate Stabilization Targets written by National Research Council and published by National Academies Press. This book was released on 2011-02-11 with total page 298 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Emissions of carbon dioxide from the burning of fossil fuels have ushered in a new epoch where human activities will largely determine the evolution of Earth's climate. Because carbon dioxide in the atmosphere is long lived, it can effectively lock the Earth and future generations into a range of impacts, some of which could become very severe. Emissions reductions decisions made today matter in determining impacts experienced not just over the next few decades, but in the coming centuries and millennia. According to Climate Stabilization Targets: Emissions, Concentrations, and Impacts Over Decades to Millennia, important policy decisions can be informed by recent advances in climate science that quantify the relationships between increases in carbon dioxide and global warming, related climate changes, and resulting impacts, such as changes in streamflow, wildfires, crop productivity, extreme hot summers, and sea level rise. One way to inform these choices is to consider the projected climate changes and impacts that would occur if greenhouse gases in the atmosphere were stabilized at a particular concentration level. The book quantifies the outcomes of different stabilization targets for greenhouse gas concentrations using analyses and information drawn from the scientific literature. Although it does not recommend or justify any particular stabilization target, it does provide important scientific insights about the relationships among emissions, greenhouse gas concentrations, temperatures, and impacts. Climate Stabilization Targets emphasizes the importance of 21st century choices regarding long-term climate stabilization. It is a useful resource for scientists, educators and policy makers, among others.
Book Synopsis Theory of Global Warming & Climate Change by : Mohammad Abu Shahadat
Download or read book Theory of Global Warming & Climate Change written by Mohammad Abu Shahadat and published by . This book was released on 2019-08-08 with total page 38 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: At present the global warming and climate change is the most talked topic in the world. Various scientists and researchers give the reasons, effects and probable solution of this global problem in literature manner. But no scientist or researcher develop a theory of global warming and climate change. It is I, Mohammad Abu Shahadat from Bangladesh, who am a student of welfare economic system since 2013 and practitioner Ecophysics ( Economics + Physics) making a mathematical model for the global warming. By this model we can calculate Average Global Warming, calculate the amount of Carbon dioxide, minimize the amount Carbon dioxide for the green world, determine the amount of other greenhouse gases, determine the time when we find out the dreamy healthy world and find out the time when we control the weather of the world. I have calculated one degree Celsius global warming is equal to (48184380 + a ) kiloton CO2 and One degree Celsius Global warming is equal to 66.02328T^-1 degree adjacent angle. In micro sense I have made the Global Warming Micro Model and then in macro sense I have established the Global Warming Macro Model. I believe that men have the power to control the weather of the world. It is our sacred duty to protect other animals and look after the earth like our sweet homes. I think today's world is like a poor debt family in carbon - oxygen cycle. If carbon dioxide is Expenditure and Oxygen is income then the world's income is less than expenditure. This is a problem and the problem is too large to imagine. To develop this model I have used velocity, acceleration and differential. In macro sense, we have to minimize greenhouse gases ( CH4, NO2 and other green house gases) like compound interest loan and also minimize thermal energy which created by friction . Many scientists believe that after 2030 many animals will be extincting for global warming. So it is important to know how much O2 require against global warming and climate change, how much CO2 should minimize from atmosphere to save the world, how many trees should have for living in the world, how to control weather for protecting against natural disasters. I have made some functions for global warming like The Carbon dioxide - global warming function, The Global Warming-Oxygen Function, Renewable Energy- Global Warming Function, Greenhouse Gases - Global Warming Function and so on.It is high time we did something for protecting animals including human beings from extinction. I am trying to save the loving world by developing theory, promoting it all over the world to apply it for the peaceful world of our next generation. How many trees do every person need to plant for saving the earth and our future generation? I have calculated the number. We, the inhabitants of the earth, may vary from colour to colour, race to race, religion to religion but we all can unite for saving the world against global warming and climate change. To protect the earth against global warming we have to work unitedly by applying this theory, I think. Otherwise, you may become the richest person in the world but you will not be able to save your future generation life against global warming.
Book Synopsis Cumulative Carbon Emissions and Climate Change by : John Rhys
Download or read book Cumulative Carbon Emissions and Climate Change written by John Rhys and published by . This book was released on 2011 with total page 34 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Managing Water Resources in the West Under Conditions of Climate Uncertainty by : National Research Council
Download or read book Managing Water Resources in the West Under Conditions of Climate Uncertainty written by National Research Council and published by National Academies Press. This book was released on 1991-02-01 with total page 359 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The question of whether the earth's climate is changing in some significant human-induced way remains a matter of much debate. But the fact that climate is variable over time is well known. These two elements of climatic uncertainty affect water resources planning and management in the American West. Managing Water Resources in the West Under Conditions of Climate Uncertainty examines the scientific basis for predictions of climate change, the implications of climate uncertainty for water resources management, and the management options available for responding to climate variability and potential climate change.
Author :U.S. Global Change Research Program Publisher :Cambridge University Press ISBN 13 :0521144078 Total Pages :193 pages Book Rating :4.5/5 (211 download)
Book Synopsis Global Climate Change Impacts in the United States by : U.S. Global Change Research Program
Download or read book Global Climate Change Impacts in the United States written by U.S. Global Change Research Program and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2009-08-24 with total page 193 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Summarizes the science of climate change and impacts on the United States, for the public and policymakers.
Book Synopsis Multi-century Changes to Global Climate and Carbon Cycle by : G. Bala
Download or read book Multi-century Changes to Global Climate and Carbon Cycle written by G. Bala and published by . This book was released on 2005 with total page 4 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this paper, we use a coupled climate and carbon cycle model to investigate the global climate and carbon cycle changes out to year 2300 that would occur if CO2 emissions from all the currently estimated fossil fuel resources were released to the atmosphere. By year 2300, the global climate warms by about 8 K and atmospheric CO2 reaches 1423 ppmv. In our simulation, the prescribed cumulative emission since pre-industrial period is about 5400 Gt-C by the end of 23rd century. At year 2300, nearly 45 % of cumulative emissions remain in the atmosphere. In our simulations both soils and living biomass are net carbon sinks throughout the simulation. Despite having relatively low climate sensitivity and strong carbon uptake by the land biosphere, our model projections suggest severe long-term consequences for global climate if all the fossil-fuel carbon is ultimately released to the atmosphere.
Book Synopsis Modelling the Climate Response to Anthropogenic Carbon Dioxide Emissions by : Ines Dana Ehlert
Download or read book Modelling the Climate Response to Anthropogenic Carbon Dioxide Emissions written by Ines Dana Ehlert and published by . This book was released on 2017 with total page 82 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This thesis gives insight into key aspects of the climate system response to anthropogenic carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions. One characteristic is an approximately constant global mean surface air temperature (GMSAT) after cessation of emissions, but also changes in GMSAT to second order. Here it is shown that these second-order GMSAT changes are positive, i.e. there is a small committed warming from previous emissions, because the warming effect from declining ocean heat uptake dominates over the cooling effect from declining atmospheric CO2. The timing of zeroing emissions or the time horizon over which the warming commitment is calculated have minor effects on this warming commitment compared to the effect of the scenario prior to cessation of emissions. Another characteristic explored is the approximately constant ratio between GMSAT change and cumulative CO2 emissions (CE), referred to as Transient Climate Response to cumulative CO2 emissions (TCRE). It is shown that the TCRE diverges more strongly over time from a constant value under increasing atmospheric CO2 concentration than previously suggested. But it is approximately constant over time under constant CO2 concentration due to cancelling effects of changes in ocean heat and carbon uptake. Applying a wide range of sub-grid ocean mixing parameterizations does not change the temporal evolution of the TCRE significantly but leads to a wide range in the TCRE value. A third characteristic explored is irreversibility of sea level rise from thermal expansion (TSLR). It is shown here that TSLR under negative emissions does not return to pre-industrial levels for centuries after atmospheric CO2 has returned to pre-industrial concentrations. This result is robust against the choice of mixing parameter, although, generally an increased parameter leads to higher TSL rise and decline rates. The results presented in this thesis suggest that setting cumulative CO2 emission budgets in order to not exceed a certain warming target needs to be done with caution as the TCRE varies more strongly over time than previously shown and additional committed warming may lower allowable carbon budgets. Furthermore, TSLR is not linearly related to cumulative CO2 emissions and is slow to be reversed if net negative emissions are applied.
Author :Groupe d'experts intergouvernemental sur l'évolution du climat Publisher : ISBN 13 :9789291691432 Total Pages :151 pages Book Rating :4.6/5 (914 download)
Book Synopsis Climate Change 2014 by : Groupe d'experts intergouvernemental sur l'évolution du climat
Download or read book Climate Change 2014 written by Groupe d'experts intergouvernemental sur l'évolution du climat and published by . This book was released on 2015 with total page 151 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Global Warming written by and published by . This book was released on 1991 with total page 224 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author :Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Publisher :Cambridge University Press ISBN 13 :9781009157971 Total Pages :755 pages Book Rating :4.1/5 (579 download)
Book Synopsis The Ocean and Cryosphere in a Changing Climate by : Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC)
Download or read book The Ocean and Cryosphere in a Changing Climate written by Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2022-04-30 with total page 755 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) is the leading international body for assessing the science related to climate change. It provides policymakers with regular assessments of the scientific basis of human-induced climate change, its impacts and future risks, and options for adaptation and mitigation. This IPCC Special Report on the Ocean and Cryosphere in a Changing Climate is the most comprehensive and up-to-date assessment of the observed and projected changes to the ocean and cryosphere and their associated impacts and risks, with a focus on resilience, risk management response options, and adaptation measures, considering both their potential and limitations. It brings together knowledge on physical and biogeochemical changes, the interplay with ecosystem changes, and the implications for human communities. It serves policymakers, decision makers, stakeholders, and all interested parties with unbiased, up-to-date, policy-relevant information. This title is also available as Open Access on Cambridge Core.
