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Global Warming Forecast Using Acceleration Factors
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Book Synopsis Global Warming Forecast using Acceleration Factors by : Joseph Nowarski
Download or read book Global Warming Forecast using Acceleration Factors written by Joseph Nowarski and published by Joseph Nowarski. This book was released on 2022-06-06 with total page 17 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This publication introduces four methods to forecast the global surface temperature over land and ocean (global warming). The methods include a parabolic trendline of the last 61 years of global warming and cumulated CO2 emissions. Two other methods apply the velocity and the acceleration of global warming and cumulative CO2 emissions. The relation between the global surface temperature change and the change in the cumulative CO2 emissions was determined in previous publications as 0.000745°C/GtCO2. The average result from all four methods for the business as usual CO2 mitigation scenario is 4.4°C (4.1°C -5.0°C). According to this forecast, the global temperature change will reach 1.5°C in 2031 (9 years from now) and 2.0°C in 2047 (25 years from now).
Book Synopsis Dataset Global Warming Forecast using Acceleration Factors by : Joseph Nowarski
Download or read book Dataset Global Warming Forecast using Acceleration Factors written by Joseph Nowarski and published by Joseph Nowarski. This book was released on 2022-10-06 with total page 4 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The dataset includes results of Global Warming forecast using four methods. The methods include a parabolic trendline of the last 61 years of global warming and cumulated CO2 emissions. Two other methods apply the velocity and the acceleration of global warming and cumulative CO2 emissions. The relation between the global surface temperature change and the change in the cumulative CO2 emissions was determined in previous publications as 0.000745°C/GtCO2. The average result from all four methods for the business as usual CO2 mitigation scenario is 4.4°C (4.1°C -5.0°C). According to this forecast, the global temperature change will reach 1.5°C in 2031 (9 years from now) and 2.0°C in 2047 (25 years from now).
Book Synopsis Global Warming Acceleration by : Joseph Nowarski
Download or read book Global Warming Acceleration written by Joseph Nowarski and published by Joseph Nowarski. This book was released on 2022-06-22 with total page 17 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This publication analyzes changes of global warming rates (GWR) expressed in Centigrade per year (°C/y) and introduces a parameter “global warming acceleration” (GWA) expressed in Centigrade per year per year (°C/y2). GWA may be applied for prediction of the GWR for the next decade. If the current decrease of GWA will continue for the next 11 years, Global Warming Rate will increase from the current +0.017 °C/y to +0.019 °C/y, for land+ocean.
Book Synopsis CO2 Emission per GDP Forecast 2020-2100 by : Joseph Nowarski
Download or read book CO2 Emission per GDP Forecast 2020-2100 written by Joseph Nowarski and published by Joseph Nowarski. This book was released on 2022-10-30 with total page 14 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This work includes Business As Usual (BAU) forecast of the world’s global CO2 emissions per GDP (Cp$) in the period 2020-2100. The CO2 emissions BAU forecast is from the publication “Dataset Global Warming Forecast using Acceleration Factors” [3]. According to this publication, the CO2 emissions without international transport will change from 33,803 MtCO2/y in 2020 to 70,191 MtCO2/y in 2100, a 108% increase. The GDP forecast applies a parabolic trendline of the last 30 years. According to this calculation, the world GDP will change from 126.3 MM$/y in 2020 to 728.1 MM$/y in 2100, a 476% increase. CO2 emissions per GDP (Cp$) are calculated by dividing the CO2 emissions per year by the GDP in the same year. According to the forecast, the world 0.000268 tCO2/$GDP Cp$ in 2020 will decrease by 64% in 2100 to 0.000096 tCO2/$GDP. Keywords: Climate Change, Global Warming, CO2 emissions, CO2 emissions forecast, CO2 emissions per GDP
Book Synopsis Dataset CO2 Emission per GDP Forecast 2020-2100 by : Joseph Nowarski
Download or read book Dataset CO2 Emission per GDP Forecast 2020-2100 written by Joseph Nowarski and published by Joseph Nowarski. This book was released on 2022-10-30 with total page 3 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The dataset includes Business as Usual (BAU) forecast of world global CO2 emissions per GDP (Cp$) for 2020-2100. The CO2 emission forecast is from the publication “Dataset Global Warming Forecast using Acceleration Factors” [6]. According to this publication, the CO2 emissions without international transport will change from 33,803 MtCO2/y in 2020 to 70,191 MtCO2/y in 2100, a 108% increase. The GDP forecast applies a parabolic trendline of the last 30 years. According to this calculation, the world GDP will change from 126.3 MM$/y in 2020 to 728.1 MM$/y in 2100, a 476% increase. CO2 emissions per GDP (Cp$) are calculated by dividing the CO2 emissions per year by the GDP in the same year. The world 0.000268 tCO2/$GDP Cp$ in 2020 will decrease by 64% in 2100 to 0.000096 tCO2/$GDP.
Book Synopsis Necessary Change in CO2 Emissions per GDP to Reach 1.5°C-2.0°C Climate Change Limit in 2100 by : Joseph Nowarski
Download or read book Necessary Change in CO2 Emissions per GDP to Reach 1.5°C-2.0°C Climate Change Limit in 2100 written by Joseph Nowarski and published by Joseph Nowarski. This book was released on 2022-10-30 with total page 15 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The necessary cumulative CO2 emissions reduction to reach the 1.5°C Global Warming limit in 2100 is 2,353,587 MtCO2. This may be done by decreasing the world’s CO2 emissions per GDP (Cp$) annually by 18%. The necessary cumulative CO2 emissions reduction to reach the 1.7°C Global Warming limit in 2100 is 2,086,161 MtCO2. This may be done by decreasing the world’s CO2 emissions per GDP (Cp$) annually by 9.34%. The necessary cumulative CO2 emissions reduction to reach the 2.0°C Global Warming limit in 2100 is 1,684,038 MtCO2. This may be done by decreasing the world’s CO2 emissions per GDP (Cp$) annually by 5.91%. Keywords: Climate Change, Global Warming, CO2 emissions, CO2 per GDP, GDP per capita, Global Warming forecast
Book Synopsis CO2 Emission per Capita Forecast 2020-2100 by : Joseph Nowarski
Download or read book CO2 Emission per Capita Forecast 2020-2100 written by Joseph Nowarski and published by Joseph Nowarski. This book was released on 2022-10-30 with total page 8 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This work includes Business As Usual (BAU) forecast of the world’s global CO2 emissions per capita (CpC) in the period 2020-2100. The CO2 emission forecast is from the publication “Dataset Global Warming Forecast using Acceleration Factors” [3]. According to this publication, the CO2 emissions without international transport will change from 33,803 MtCO2/y in 2020 to 70,191 MtCO2/y in 2100, a 108% increase. The population forecast applies a parabolic trendline of the last 30 years. According to this calculation, the world population will change from 7,795 million in 2020 to 15,206 million in 2100, a 95% increase. CO2 emissions per capita (CpC) are calculated by dividing the CO2 emissions per year by the population in the same year. The world CpC was 4.3366 tCO2/y,cap in 2020. The BAU CpC forecast for 2100 is 4.6160 tCO2/y,cap, 6.4% increase.
Book Synopsis Necessary Change in CO2 Emissions per Capita to Reach 1.5°C-2.0°C Climate Change Limit in 2100 by : Joseph Nowarski
Download or read book Necessary Change in CO2 Emissions per Capita to Reach 1.5°C-2.0°C Climate Change Limit in 2100 written by Joseph Nowarski and published by Joseph Nowarski. This book was released on 2022-10-30 with total page 14 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The necessary cumulative CO2 emissions reduction to reach the 1.5°C Global Warming limit in 2100 is 2,359,526 MtCO2. This may be done by decreasing the world’s CO2 emissions per capita (CpC) annually by 17%. The necessary cumulative CO2 emissions reduction to reach the 1.7°C Global Warming limit in 2100 is 2,085,593 MtCO2. This may be done by decreasing the world’s CO2 emissions per capita (CpC) annually by 7.85%. The necessary cumulative CO2 emissions reduction to reach the 2.0°C Global Warming limit in 2100 is 1,683,503 MtCO2. This may be done by decreasing the world’s CO2 emissions per capita (CpC) annually by 4.46%. Keywords: Climate Change, Global Warming, CO2 emissions, CO2 per capita, Global Warming forecast
Book Synopsis Dataset CO2 Emission per Capita Forecast 2020-2100 by : Joseph Nowarski
Download or read book Dataset CO2 Emission per Capita Forecast 2020-2100 written by Joseph Nowarski and published by Joseph Nowarski. This book was released on 2022-10-30 with total page 3 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The dataset includes Business As Usual (BAU) forecast of the world's global CO2 emissions per capita (CpC) for 2020-2100. The CO2 emission forecast is from the publication “Dataset Global Warming Forecast using Acceleration Factors” [3]. According to this publication, the CO2 emissions without international transport will change from 33,803 MtCO2/y in 2020 to 70,191 MtCO2/y in 2100, a 108% increase. The population forecast applies a parabolic trendline of the last 30 years. According to this calculation, the world population will change from 7,795 million in 2020 to 15,206 million in 2100, a 95% increase. CO2 emissions per capita (CpC) are calculated by dividing the CO2 emissions per year by the population in the same year. The world CpC was 4.3366 tCO2/y,cap in 2020. The CpC forecast for 2100 is 4.6160 tCO2/y,cap, 6.4% increase.
Book Synopsis Global Warming by : Andrew C. Revkin
Download or read book Global Warming written by Andrew C. Revkin and published by . This book was released on 1992 with total page 184 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis CO2 Emissions per GDP by : Joseph Nowarski
Download or read book CO2 Emissions per GDP written by Joseph Nowarski and published by Joseph Nowarski. This book was released on 2022-10-30 with total page 16 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This work analyzes CO2 emissions per GDP (Cp$) in the period 1990-2020. The dataset includes 192 countries, 99.1% of the population of the world, 99.4% of the world GDP and 99.6% of global CO2 emissions without international transport. The GDP per capita of the countries included in this work was in 2020 16,247$/cap compared to the world average 16,206$/cap. The world average Cp$ was 0.000268 tCO2/$GDP in 2020, 38% below the 1990 level. 62 countries increased their Cp$ between 1990 and 2020, increasing Global Warming by 0.057°C. CO2 emissions of 44 countries were above the world average Cp$ in the period 1990-2020. The emissions above the world average were 9% of global CO2 emissions in this period, which increased Global Warming by 0.055°C. 10 countries above the world average of Cp$ (2020) with the highest change in the cumulative CO2 emissions between 1990 and 2020, caused 44% of Global Warming in this period, +0.281°C. Keywords: Climate Change, Global Warming, CO2 emissions, CO2 per GDP
Book Synopsis Global Warming Baselines Conversion Factors by : Joseph Nowarski
Download or read book Global Warming Baselines Conversion Factors written by Joseph Nowarski and published by Joseph Nowarski. This book was released on 2022-03-21 with total page 15 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This publication includes a conversion table between various baselines of global surface temperature changes. The conversion factor from 1951-1980 to 1850-1900 baseline is +0.31°C for land+ocean, +0.49°C for land only, and +0.29°C for ocean only.
Download or read book Inconvenient Data written by George Root and published by Createspace Independent Publishing Platform. This book was released on 2016-08-30 with total page 66 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This is a serious study of how the climate is changing based on the best available estimates of past global and sea surface temperatures. There is no doubt that the Earth's climate is warming. The analysis I will present in this book strongly suggests that CO2 is partially responsible for this warming. However, the global temperature record does not support the "climate catastrophe" predictions you will hear from the "consensus of scientists." The data do support the conclusion that global temperatures are going to remain fairly stable for the next 50 years. The "global warming" due to CO2 will be offset by a downward trend in temperatures caused by natural cyclic variations in climate. The estimated global temperature data, such as that maintained by the UK Met Office in conjunction with the Hadley Climate Research Unit at the University of East Anglia, is the only actual hard evidence we have that the Earth's climate is changing. These data do not provide any evidence about what is causing the climate to change, but they do provide evidence about how the climate is changing. I am going to use standard data analysis tools to coerce that data into giving up its secrets about how the climate is changing. This study provides several really significant results. Good news for the planet and its inhabitants. Bad news for the politicians and "consensus of scientists" who believe that greenhouse gases, CO2 in particular, will soon cause a "climate catastrophe" of biblical proportions. These predictions are based upon an erroneous interpretation of the global temperature record that even a lay person unskilled in technical matters will be able to understand. This book is composed of two main parts. In the first part, a new model of climate change based on actual measured global temperature data is developed and validated. In the second part, this data based model's predictions of future temperatures are compared with the predictions produced by the IPCC computer simulations and endorsed by the "consensus of scientists." I will show that the IPCC predictions are entirely incompatible with the measured temperature data. I will show that, in order to make their computer simulations appear to match recent global temperatures on Earth, the IPCC has had to inflate the warming effect of CO2 by a factor of 5X. And it is this 5X multiplication of the effect of CO2 that is responsible for the IPCC's "climate catastrophe" predictions. The actual climate data refute the assertion that such a "catastrophe" is immanent.
Book Synopsis An R and S-Plus Companion to Applied Regression by : John Fox
Download or read book An R and S-Plus Companion to Applied Regression written by John Fox and published by SAGE. This book was released on 2002-06-05 with total page 332 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "This book fits right into a needed niche: rigorous enough to give full explanation of the power of the S language, yet accessible enough to assign to social science graduate students without fear of intimidation. It is a tremendous balance of applied statistical "firepower" and thoughtful explanation. It meets all of the important mechanical needs: each example is given in detail, code and data are freely available, and the nuances of models are given rather than just the bare essentials. It also meets some important theoretical needs: linear models, categorical data analysis, an introduction to applying GLMs, a discussion of model diagnostics, and useful instructions on writing customized functions. " —JEFF GILL, University of Florida, Gainesville
Book Synopsis Global Warming by : John Theodore Houghton
Download or read book Global Warming written by John Theodore Houghton and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2004-08-05 with total page 386 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Global warming and the resulting climate change is one of the most serious environmental problems facing the world community. Global Warming: The Complete Briefing is the most comprehensive guide available to the subject. A world-renowned expert, Sir John Houghton explores the scientific basis of global warming and the likely impacts of climate change on human society, before addressing the action that could be taken by governments, by industry and by individuals to mitigate the effects. The first two editions received excellent reviews, and this completely updated new edition will prove to be the best briefing the student or interested general reader could wish for.
Download or read book Global Warming written by David Archer and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2011-09-21 with total page 224 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Archer's Global Warming: Understanding the Forecast 2nd Edition, is the first real text to present the science and policy surrounding climate change at the right level. Accompanying videos, simulations and instructional support makes it easier to build a syllabus to improve and create new material on climate change. Archer's polished writing style makes the text entertaining while the improved pedagogy helps better understand key concepts, ideas and terms. This edition has been revised and reformulated with a new chapter template of short chapter introductions, study questions at the end, and critical thinking puzzlers throughout. Also a new asset for the BCS was created that will give ideas for assignments and topics for essays and other projects. Furthermore, a number of interactive models have been built to help understand the science and systems behind the processes.
Download or read book Global Warming written by John Houghton and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2009-04-16 with total page 457 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: John Houghton explores the scientific basis of global warming and the likely impacts of climate change on human society, then addresses the question of what action might be taken by governments, industry, and by individuals to mitigate the effects.
