Global Data Shock

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Global Data Shock

Author : Robert Mandel
Publisher : Stanford University Press
ISBN 13 : 1503608972
Total Pages : 347 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (36 download)

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Book Synopsis Global Data Shock by : Robert Mandel

Download or read book Global Data Shock written by Robert Mandel and published by Stanford University Press. This book was released on 2019-04-09 with total page 347 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Intelligence and security communities have access to an overwhelming amount of information. More data is better in an information-hungry world, but too much data paralyzes individual and institutional abilities to process and use information effectively. Robert Mandel calls this phenomenon "global data shock." He investigates how information overload affects strategic ambiguity, deception, and surprise, as well as the larger consequences for international security. This book provides not only an accessible framework for understanding global data shock and its consequences, but also a strategy to prepare for and respond to information overload. Global Data Shock explores how information overload facilitates deception, eroding international trust and cooperation in the post-Cold War era. A sweeping array of case studies illustrates the role of data shock in shaping global events from the 1990 Iraqi attack on Kuwait to Brexit. When strategists try to use an overabundance of data to their advantage, Mandel reveals, it often results in unanticipated and undesirable consequences. Too much information can lead to foreign intelligence failures, security policy incoherence, mass public frustrations, curtailment of democratic freedoms, and even international political anarchy. Global Data Shock addresses the pressing need for improved management of information and its strategic deployment.

Safe Havens, Feedback Loops, and Shock Propagation in Global Asset Prices

Author : Ms.Franziska Ohnsorge
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1484381580
Total Pages : 45 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (843 download)

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Book Synopsis Safe Havens, Feedback Loops, and Shock Propagation in Global Asset Prices by : Ms.Franziska Ohnsorge

Download or read book Safe Havens, Feedback Loops, and Shock Propagation in Global Asset Prices written by Ms.Franziska Ohnsorge and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2014-05-09 with total page 45 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We create a network of bilateral correlations of changes in sovereign bond yields and individual bank equity price changes since 2000. We extract some stylized facts from this network of asset price correlations and document the clear differences in asset price correlations between safe havens and non-safe havens: safe havens, as commonly defined, have higher sovereign-sovereign, bank-bank, and bank-sovereign correlations than nonsafe havens. In a simple shock propagation model, we illustrate how these higher correlations may turn safe havens into shock propagators. While we discuss safe havens as a group, we document how the US is in a category of its own, differing significantly from the other countries including Switzerland or Japan. Separately, we find that feedback loops amplify shocks, and those emanating from bank stress more than those emanating from sovereign stress.

The Loma Prieta, California, Earthquake of October 17, 1989--main-shock Characteristics

Author : George A. Havach
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 308 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (121 download)

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Book Synopsis The Loma Prieta, California, Earthquake of October 17, 1989--main-shock Characteristics by : George A. Havach

Download or read book The Loma Prieta, California, Earthquake of October 17, 1989--main-shock Characteristics written by George A. Havach and published by . This book was released on 1997 with total page 308 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

U.S. Monetary Shocks and Global Stock Prices

Author : Mr.Luc Laeven
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1455210854
Total Pages : 30 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (552 download)

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Book Synopsis U.S. Monetary Shocks and Global Stock Prices by : Mr.Luc Laeven

Download or read book U.S. Monetary Shocks and Global Stock Prices written by Mr.Luc Laeven and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2010-12-01 with total page 30 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper studies how U.S. monetary policy affects global stock prices. We find that global stock prices respond strongly to changes in U.S. interest rate policy, with stock prices increasing (decreasing) following unexpected monetary loosening (tightening). This impact is more pronounced for sectors that depend on external financing, and for countries that are more integrated with the global financial market. These findings suggest that financial frictions play an important role in the transmission of monetary policy, and that U.S. monetary policy influences global capital allocation.

The Global Illusion of Citizen Protection

Author : Robert Mandel
Publisher : Rowman & Littlefield
ISBN 13 : 178660809X
Total Pages : 290 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (866 download)

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Book Synopsis The Global Illusion of Citizen Protection by : Robert Mandel

Download or read book The Global Illusion of Citizen Protection written by Robert Mandel and published by Rowman & Littlefield. This book was released on 2018-07-11 with total page 290 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book comprehensively analyzes the global illusion of citizen protection so common today.

Breaking Through Culture Shock

Author : Elisabeth Marx
Publisher : Nicholas Brealey Publishing
ISBN 13 : 1857884779
Total Pages : 209 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (578 download)

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Book Synopsis Breaking Through Culture Shock by : Elisabeth Marx

Download or read book Breaking Through Culture Shock written by Elisabeth Marx and published by Nicholas Brealey Publishing. This book was released on 2011-07-12 with total page 209 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Publisher Fact Sheet An updated edition of the invaluable how-to guide for anyone working in a virtual team or on an international assignment on succeeding personally & professionally in the world of global business.

Shock to the System

Author : Michael K. Miller
Publisher : Princeton University Press
ISBN 13 : 0691217017
Total Pages : 362 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (912 download)

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Book Synopsis Shock to the System by : Michael K. Miller

Download or read book Shock to the System written by Michael K. Miller and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2021-07-20 with total page 362 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: How violent events and autocratic parties trigger democratic change How do democracies emerge? Shock to the System presents a novel theory of democratization that focuses on how events like coups, wars, and elections disrupt autocratic regimes and trigger democratic change. Employing the broadest qualitative and quantitative analyses of democratization to date, Michael Miller demonstrates that more than nine in ten transitions since 1800 occur in one of two ways: countries democratize following a major violent shock or an established ruling party democratizes through elections and regains power within democracy. This framework fundamentally reorients theories on democratization by showing that violent upheavals and the preservation of autocrats in power—events typically viewed as antithetical to democracy—are in fact central to its foundation. Through in-depth examinations of 139 democratic transitions, Miller shows how democratization frequently follows both domestic shocks (coups, civil wars, and assassinations) and international shocks (defeat in war and withdrawal of an autocratic hegemon) due to autocratic insecurity and openings for opposition actors. He also shows how transitions guided by ruling parties spring from their electoral confidence in democracy. Both contexts limit the power autocrats sacrifice by accepting democratization, smoothing along the transition. Miller provides new insights into democratization’s predictors, the limited gains from events like the Arab Spring, the best routes to democratization for long-term stability, and the future of global democracy. Disputing commonly held ideas about violent events and their effects on democracy, Shock to the System offers new perspectives on how regimes are transformed.

Global Financial Stability Report, April 2019

Author : International Monetary Fund. Monetary and Financial Systems Dept.
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1498302130
Total Pages : 106 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (983 download)

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Book Synopsis Global Financial Stability Report, April 2019 by : International Monetary Fund. Monetary and Financial Systems Dept.

Download or read book Global Financial Stability Report, April 2019 written by International Monetary Fund. Monetary and Financial Systems Dept. and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2019-04-10 with total page 106 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The April 2019 Global Financial Stability Report (GFSR) finds that despite significant variability over the past two quarters, financial conditions remain accommodative. As a result, financial vulnerabilities have continued to build in the sovereign, corporate, and nonbank financial sectors in several systemically important countries, leading to elevated medium-term risks. The report attempts to provide a comprehensive assessment of these vulnerabilities while focusing specifically on corporate sector debt in advanced economies, the sovereign–financial sector nexus in the euro area, China’s financial imbalances, volatile portfolio flows to emerging markets, and downside risks to the housing market. These vulnerabilities require action by policymakers, including through the clear communication of any changes in their monetary policy outlook, the deployment and expansion of macroprudential tools, the stepping up of measures to repair public and private sector balance sheets, and the strengthening of emerging market resilience to foreign portfolio outflows. This GFSR also takes an in depth look at house prices at risk, a measure of downside risks to future house price growth—using theory, insights from past analyses, and new statistical techniques applied to 32 advanced and emerging market economies and major cities. The chapter finds that lower house price momentum, overvaluation, excessive credit growth, and tighter financial conditions predict heightened downside risks to house prices up to three years ahead. The measure of house prices at risk helps forecast downside risks to GDP growth and adds to early-warning models for financial crises. Policymakers can use estimates of house prices at risk to complement other surveillance indicators of housing market vulnerabilities and guide macroprudential policy actions aimed at building buffers and reducing vulnerabilities. Downside risks to house prices could also be relevant for monetary policymakers when forming their views on the downside risks to the economic and inflation outlook. Authorities considering measures to manage capital flows might also find such information useful when a surge in capital inflows increases downside risks to house prices and when other policy options are limited.

Nuclear Command, Control, and Communications

Author : James J. Wirtz
Publisher : Georgetown University Press
ISBN 13 : 1647122449
Total Pages : 246 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (471 download)

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Book Synopsis Nuclear Command, Control, and Communications by : James J. Wirtz

Download or read book Nuclear Command, Control, and Communications written by James J. Wirtz and published by Georgetown University Press. This book was released on 2022 with total page 246 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The first overview of US NC3 since the 1980s, Nuclear Command, Control, and Communications explores the current system, its vital role in ensuring effective deterrence, the challenges posed by cyber threats, and the need to modernize the United States' Cold War-era system of systems.

My Journey with Shock Waves

Author : Yasuyuki Horie
Publisher : Springer Nature
ISBN 13 : 9811937125
Total Pages : 182 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (119 download)

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Book Synopsis My Journey with Shock Waves by : Yasuyuki Horie

Download or read book My Journey with Shock Waves written by Yasuyuki Horie and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2022-08-24 with total page 182 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book compiles historical notes and a review of the work of the author and his associates on shock compression of condensed matter (SCCM). The work includes such topics as foundational aspects of SCCM, thermodynamics, thermodynamics of defects, and plasticity as they relate to shock compression, shock-induced phase transition, and shock compaction. Also included are synthesis of refractory and hard ceramic compounds such as Ni aluminides, SiC and diamonds, method of characteristics, discrete element methods, the shock compression process at the grain scale, and modeling shock-to-detonation transition in high explosives. The book tells the story of how the author’s view of shock physics came to be where it is now. and analytically discusses how the author’s appreciation of shock waves has evolved in time. It offers a personal but pedagogical perspective on SCCM for young scientists and engineers who are starting their careers in the field. For experts it offers materials to nudge them reflect on their own stories, with the hope of planting a seed of motivation to write them down to be published.

Quantum International Relations

Author : James Der Derian
Publisher : Oxford University Press
ISBN 13 : 0197568203
Total Pages : 417 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (975 download)

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Book Synopsis Quantum International Relations by : James Der Derian

Download or read book Quantum International Relations written by James Der Derian and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 2022-05-03 with total page 417 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The contributors to this volume are motivated by a common apprehension and a common hope. The apprehension was first voiced by Einstein, who lamented the inability of humanity, at the individual and social level, to keep up with the increased speed of technological change brought about by the quantum revolution. As quantum science and technology fast forward into the 21st century, the social sciences remain stuck in classical, 19th century ways of thinking. Can such a mechanistic model of the mind and society possibly help us manage the fully realized technological potential of the quantum? That's where the hope appears: that perhaps quantum is not just a physical science, but a human science too. In Quantum International Relations, James Der Derian and Alexander Wendt gather rising scholars and leading experts to make the case for quantum approaches to world politics. As a fundamental theory of reality and enabler of new technologies, quantum now touches everything, with the potential to revolutionize how we conduct diplomacy, wage war, and make wealth. Contributors present the core principles of quantum mechanics--entanglement, uncertainty, superposition, and the wave function--as significant catalysts and superior heuristics for an accelerating quantum future. Facing a reality which no longer corresponds to an outdated Newtonian worldview of states as billiard balls, individuals as rational actors or power as objective interest, Der Derian and Wendt issue an urgent call for a new human science of quantum International Relations. At the centenary of the first quantum thought experiment in the 1920s, this book offers a diversity of explorations, speculations and approaches for understanding geopolitics in the 21st century.

Predicting Politics

Author : Bruce Bueno de Mesquita
Publisher : Ohio State University Press
ISBN 13 : 9780814208984
Total Pages : 194 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (89 download)

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Book Synopsis Predicting Politics by : Bruce Bueno de Mesquita

Download or read book Predicting Politics written by Bruce Bueno de Mesquita and published by Ohio State University Press. This book was released on 2002 with total page 194 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: To predict likely policy developments around the world over the next thirty years, Bruce Bueno de Mesquita uses game theoretic models as described in Predicting Politics. The tools used in this book have found wide application in business and in the development of significant American foreign policy initiatives over the years. The author uses data from 1948 to show the ability of models to predict the end of the Cold War. He then turns to data from 1980 for about one hundred countries and simulates future states of the world, especially with regard to further democratization. In the process he shows strong evidence that the burst of democratization that occurred at the end of the 1980s and the beginning of the 1990s was predictable based on replicable data known in 1980. While delving into rather gloomy predictions about likely developments in Russia and China's domestic affairs, he offers a novel explanation for the failure of Russia to attract more investment and to achieve the higher growth rates commonly associated with democratic government. Although Russia is certainly more democratic in an absolute sense today than it was in 1980, it has fallen farther behind the rest of the world in terms of democratization and so lacks the comparative advantages of property rights, rule of law, and transparent governance that are essential for attracting investment. Bueno de Mesquita shows how policy situations and game theoretical analyses can explain the past, illuminate the present and forecast future events. At the same time he provides the tools necessary for others to create their own rigorous estimates of future foreign policies.

Empty Planet

Author : Darrell Bricker
Publisher : Signal
ISBN 13 : 0771050895
Total Pages : 246 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (71 download)

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Book Synopsis Empty Planet by : Darrell Bricker

Download or read book Empty Planet written by Darrell Bricker and published by Signal. This book was released on 2019-02-05 with total page 246 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: From the authors of the bestselling The Big Shift, a provocative argument that the global population will soon begin to decline, dramatically reshaping the social, political, and economic landscape. For half a century, statisticians, pundits, and politicians have warned that a burgeoning planetary population will soon overwhelm the earth's resources. But a growing number of experts are sounding a different kind of alarm. Rather than growing exponentially, they argue, the global population is headed for a steep decline. Throughout history, depopulation was the product of catastrophe: ice ages, plagues, the collapse of civilizations. This time, however, we're thinning ourselves deliberately, by choosing to have fewer babies than we need to replace ourselves. In much of the developed and developing world, that decline is already underway, as urbanization, women's empowerment, and waning religiosity lead to smaller and smaller families. In Empty Planet, Ibbitson and Bricker travel from South Florida to Sao Paulo, Seoul to Nairobi, Brussels to Delhi to Beijing, drawing on a wealth of research and firsthand reporting to illustrate the dramatic consequences of this population decline--and to show us why the rest of the developing world will soon join in. They find that a smaller global population will bring with it a number of benefits: fewer workers will command higher wages; good jobs will prompt innovation; the environment will improve; the risk of famine will wane; and falling birthrates in the developing world will bring greater affluence and autonomy for women. But enormous disruption lies ahead, too. We can already see the effects in Europe and parts of Asia, as aging populations and worker shortages weaken the economy and impose crippling demands on healthcare and social security. The United States is well-positioned to successfully navigate these coming demographic shifts--that is, unless growing isolationism and anti-immigrant backlash lead us to close ourselves off just as openness becomes more critical to our survival than ever before. Rigorously researched and deeply compelling, Empty Planet offers a vision of a future that we can no longer prevent--but one that we can shape, if we choose.

The Shock of the Global

Author : Niall Ferguson
Publisher : Belknap Press
ISBN 13 : 0674061861
Total Pages : 449 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (74 download)

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Book Synopsis The Shock of the Global by : Niall Ferguson

Download or read book The Shock of the Global written by Niall Ferguson and published by Belknap Press. This book was released on 2011 with total page 449 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This title examines the large-scale structural upheaval of the 1970s by transcending the standard frameworks of national borders and superpower relations. It reveals an international system in the throes of enduring transformations.

U.S. Geological Survey Professional Paper

Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 448 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (319 download)

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Book Synopsis U.S. Geological Survey Professional Paper by :

Download or read book U.S. Geological Survey Professional Paper written by and published by . This book was released on 1984 with total page 448 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Oil Shocks and External Balances

Author : International Monetary Fund
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1451866747
Total Pages : 41 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (518 download)

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Book Synopsis Oil Shocks and External Balances by : International Monetary Fund

Download or read book Oil Shocks and External Balances written by International Monetary Fund and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2007-05-01 with total page 41 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper studies the effects of demand and supply shocks in the global crude oil market on several measures of countries' external balance, including the oil and non-oil trade balances, the current account, and changes in net foreign assets (NFA) during 1975-2004. We explicitly take a global perspective. In addition to the U.S., the Euro area and Japan, we consider a number of country groups including oil exporters and middle-income oil-importing economies. We find that the effect of oil shocks on the merchandise trade balance and the current account, which depending on the source of the shock can be large, depends critically on the response of the nonoil trade balance, and differs systematically between the U.S. and other oil importing countries. Using the Lane-Milesi-Ferretti NFA data set, we document the presence of large and systematic (if not always statistically significant) valuation effects in response to oil shocks, not only for the U.S., but also for other oil-importing economies and for oil exporters. Our estimates suggest that increased international financial integration will tend to cushion the effect of oil shocks on NFA positions for major oil exporters and the U.S., but may amplify it for other oil importers.

Winter in America

Author : Daniel Robert McClure
Publisher : UNC Press Books
ISBN 13 : 1469664690
Total Pages : 465 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (696 download)

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Book Synopsis Winter in America by : Daniel Robert McClure

Download or read book Winter in America written by Daniel Robert McClure and published by UNC Press Books. This book was released on 2021-10-22 with total page 465 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Neoliberalism took shape in the 1930s and 1940s as a transnational political philosophy and system of economic, political, and cultural relations. Resting on the fundamental premise that the free market should be unfettered by government intrusion, neoliberal policies have primarily redirected the state's prerogatives away from the postwar Keynesian welfare system and toward the insulation of finance and corporate America from democratic pressure. As neoliberal ideas gained political currency in the 1960s and 1970s, a&8239;reactionary cultural turn&8239;catalyzed their ascension. The cinema, music, magazine culture, and current events discourse of the 1970s provided the space of negotiation permitting these ideas to take hold and be challenged. Daniel Robert McClure's book follows the interaction between culture and economics during the transition from Keynesianism in the mid-1960s to&8239;the&8239;triumph of&8239;neoliberalism at the dawn of the 1980s. From the 1965 debate between William F. Buckley and James Baldwin, through the pages&8239;of BusinessWeek and Playboy, to the rise of exploitation cinema in the 1970s, McClure tracks the increasingly shared perception by white males that they had "lost" their long-standing rights and that a great neoliberal reckoning might restore America's repressive racial, sexual, gendered, and classed foundations in the wake of&8239;the 1960s.