Gaussian Maximum Likelihood Estimation For Arma Models

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Time Series Analysis

Author : James D. Hamilton
Publisher : Princeton University Press
ISBN 13 : 0691218633
Total Pages : 820 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (912 download)

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Book Synopsis Time Series Analysis by : James D. Hamilton

Download or read book Time Series Analysis written by James D. Hamilton and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2020-09-01 with total page 820 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: An authoritative, self-contained overview of time series analysis for students and researchers The past decade has brought dramatic changes in the way that researchers analyze economic and financial time series. This textbook synthesizes these advances and makes them accessible to first-year graduate students. James Hamilton provides comprehensive treatments of important innovations such as vector autoregressions, generalized method of moments, the economic and statistical consequences of unit roots, time-varying variances, and nonlinear time series models. In addition, he presents basic tools for analyzing dynamic systems—including linear representations, autocovariance generating functions, spectral analysis, and the Kalman filter—in a way that integrates economic theory with the practical difficulties of analyzing and interpreting real-world data. Time Series Analysis fills an important need for a textbook that integrates economic theory, econometrics, and new results. This invaluable book starts from first principles and should be readily accessible to any beginning graduate student, while it is also intended to serve as a reference book for researchers.

Nonlinear Time Series

Author : Jianqing Fan
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 0387693955
Total Pages : 565 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (876 download)

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Book Synopsis Nonlinear Time Series by : Jianqing Fan

Download or read book Nonlinear Time Series written by Jianqing Fan and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2008-09-11 with total page 565 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This is the first book that integrates useful parametric and nonparametric techniques with time series modeling and prediction, the two important goals of time series analysis. Such a book will benefit researchers and practitioners in various fields such as econometricians, meteorologists, biologists, among others who wish to learn useful time series methods within a short period of time. The book also intends to serve as a reference or text book for graduate students in statistics and econometrics.

Time Series: Theory and Methods

Author : Peter J. Brockwell
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 1441903208
Total Pages : 591 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (419 download)

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Book Synopsis Time Series: Theory and Methods by : Peter J. Brockwell

Download or read book Time Series: Theory and Methods written by Peter J. Brockwell and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2009-05-13 with total page 591 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This edition contains a large number of additions and corrections scattered throughout the text, including the incorporation of a new chapter on state-space models. The companion diskette for the IBM PC has expanded into the software package ITSM: An Interactive Time Series Modelling Package for the PC, which includes a manual and can be ordered from Springer-Verlag. * We are indebted to many readers who have used the book and programs and made suggestions for improvements. Unfortunately there is not enough space to acknowledge all who have contributed in this way; however, special mention must be made of our prize-winning fault-finders, Sid Resnick and F. Pukelsheim. Special mention should also be made of Anthony Brockwell, whose advice and support on computing matters was invaluable in the preparation of the new diskettes. We have been fortunate to work on the new edition in the excellent environments provided by the University of Melbourne and Colorado State University. We thank Duane Boes particularly for his support and encouragement throughout, and the Australian Research Council and National Science Foundation for their support of research related to the new material. We are also indebted to Springer-Verlag for their constant support and assistance in preparing the second edition. Fort Collins, Colorado P. J. BROCKWELL November, 1990 R. A. DAVIS * /TSM: An Interactive Time Series Modelling Package for the PC by P. J. Brockwell and R. A. Davis. ISBN: 0-387-97482-2; 1991.

Estimation in Conditionally Heteroscedastic Time Series Models

Author : Daniel Straumann
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 3540269789
Total Pages : 239 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (42 download)

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Book Synopsis Estimation in Conditionally Heteroscedastic Time Series Models by : Daniel Straumann

Download or read book Estimation in Conditionally Heteroscedastic Time Series Models written by Daniel Straumann and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2006-01-27 with total page 239 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In his seminal 1982 paper, Robert F. Engle described a time series model with a time-varying volatility. Engle showed that this model, which he called ARCH (autoregressive conditionally heteroscedastic), is well-suited for the description of economic and financial price. Nowadays ARCH has been replaced by more general and more sophisticated models, such as GARCH (generalized autoregressive heteroscedastic). This monograph concentrates on mathematical statistical problems associated with fitting conditionally heteroscedastic time series models to data. This includes the classical statistical issues of consistency and limiting distribution of estimators. Particular attention is addressed to (quasi) maximum likelihood estimation and misspecified models, along to phenomena due to heavy-tailed innovations. The used methods are based on techniques applied to the analysis of stochastic recurrence equations. Proofs and arguments are given wherever possible in full mathematical rigour. Moreover, the theory is illustrated by examples and simulation studies.

Time Series Modelling of Water Resources and Environmental Systems

Author : K.W. Hipel
Publisher : Elsevier
ISBN 13 : 0080870368
Total Pages : 1053 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (88 download)

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Book Synopsis Time Series Modelling of Water Resources and Environmental Systems by : K.W. Hipel

Download or read book Time Series Modelling of Water Resources and Environmental Systems written by K.W. Hipel and published by Elsevier. This book was released on 1994-04-07 with total page 1053 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This is a comprehensive presentation of the theory and practice of time series modelling of environmental systems. A variety of time series models are explained and illustrated, including ARMA (autoregressive-moving average), nonstationary, long memory, three families of seasonal, multiple input-single output, intervention and multivariate ARMA models. Other topics in environmetrics covered in this book include time series analysis in decision making, estimating missing observations, simulation, the Hurst phenomenon, forecasting experiments and causality. Professionals working in fields overlapping with environmetrics - such as water resources engineers, environmental scientists, hydrologists, geophysicists, geographers, earth scientists and planners - will find this book a valuable resource. Equally, environmetrics, systems scientists, economists, mechanical engineers, chemical engineers, and management scientists will find the time series methods presented in this book useful.

Introduction to Time Series and Forecasting

Author : Peter J. Brockwell
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 1475725264
Total Pages : 429 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (757 download)

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Book Synopsis Introduction to Time Series and Forecasting by : Peter J. Brockwell

Download or read book Introduction to Time Series and Forecasting written by Peter J. Brockwell and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-03-14 with total page 429 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Some of the key mathematical results are stated without proof in order to make the underlying theory acccessible to a wider audience. The book assumes a knowledge only of basic calculus, matrix algebra, and elementary statistics. The emphasis is on methods and the analysis of data sets. The logic and tools of model-building for stationary and non-stationary time series are developed in detail and numerous exercises, many of which make use of the included computer package, provide the reader with ample opportunity to develop skills in this area. The core of the book covers stationary processes, ARMA and ARIMA processes, multivariate time series and state-space models, with an optional chapter on spectral analysis. Additional topics include harmonic regression, the Burg and Hannan-Rissanen algorithms, unit roots, regression with ARMA errors, structural models, the EM algorithm, generalized state-space models with applications to time series of count data, exponential smoothing, the Holt-Winters and ARAR forecasting algorithms, transfer function models and intervention analysis. Brief introducitons are also given to cointegration and to non-linear, continuous-time and long-memory models. The time series package included in the back of the book is a slightly modified version of the package ITSM, published separately as ITSM for Windows, by Springer-Verlag, 1994. It does not handle such large data sets as ITSM for Windows, but like the latter, runs on IBM-PC compatible computers under either DOS or Windows (version 3.1 or later). The programs are all menu-driven so that the reader can immediately apply the techniques in the book to time series data, with a minimal investment of time in the computational and algorithmic aspects of the analysis.

Selected Works of Murray Rosenblatt

Author : Richard A. Davis
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 1441983392
Total Pages : 489 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (419 download)

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Book Synopsis Selected Works of Murray Rosenblatt by : Richard A. Davis

Download or read book Selected Works of Murray Rosenblatt written by Richard A. Davis and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2011-05-06 with total page 489 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: During the second half of the 20th century, Murray Rosenblatt was one of the most celebrated and leading figures in probability and statistics. Among his many contributions, Rosenblatt conducted seminal work on density estimation, central limit theorems under strong mixing conditions, spectral domain methodology, long memory processes and Markov processes. He has published over 130 papers and 5 books, many as relevant today as when they first appeared decades ago. Murray Rosenblatt was one of the founding members of the Department of Mathematics at the University of California at San Diego (UCSD) and served as advisor to over twenty PhD students. He maintains a close association with UCSD in his role as Professor Emeritus. This volume is a celebration of Murray Rosenblatt's stellar research career that spans over six decades, and includes some of his most interesting and influential papers. Several leading experts provide commentary and reflections on various directions of Murray's research portfolio.

Modern Statistics, Methods and Applications

Author : Robert V. Hogg
Publisher : American Mathematical Soc.
ISBN 13 : 9780821867327
Total Pages : 124 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (673 download)

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Book Synopsis Modern Statistics, Methods and Applications by : Robert V. Hogg

Download or read book Modern Statistics, Methods and Applications written by Robert V. Hogg and published by American Mathematical Soc.. This book was released on 1980 with total page 124 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Samples and surveys; The analysis of variance; Nonparametric statistical tests of hypotheses; Rank estimates from nonparametric tests; Statistical inferences for ordered parameters: a personal view of isotonic regression since the work by Barlow, Bartholomew, Bremner and Brunk; Time series: model estimation, data analysis and robust procedures.

Statistical Inference for Discrete Time Stochastic Processes

Author : M. B. Rajarshi
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 8132207637
Total Pages : 121 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (322 download)

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Book Synopsis Statistical Inference for Discrete Time Stochastic Processes by : M. B. Rajarshi

Download or read book Statistical Inference for Discrete Time Stochastic Processes written by M. B. Rajarshi and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2014-07-08 with total page 121 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This work is an overview of statistical inference in stationary, discrete time stochastic processes. Results in the last fifteen years, particularly on non-Gaussian sequences and semi-parametric and non-parametric analysis have been reviewed. The first chapter gives a background of results on martingales and strong mixing sequences, which enable us to generate various classes of CAN estimators in the case of dependent observations. Topics discussed include inference in Markov chains and extension of Markov chains such as Raftery's Mixture Transition Density model and Hidden Markov chains and extensions of ARMA models with a Binomial, Poisson, Geometric, Exponential, Gamma, Weibull, Lognormal, Inverse Gaussian and Cauchy as stationary distributions. It further discusses applications of semi-parametric methods of estimation such as conditional least squares and estimating functions in stochastic models. Construction of confidence intervals based on estimating functions is discussed in some detail. Kernel based estimation of joint density and conditional expectation are also discussed. Bootstrap and other resampling procedures for dependent sequences such as Markov chains, Markov sequences, linear auto-regressive moving average sequences, block based bootstrap for stationary sequences and other block based procedures are also discussed in some detail. This work can be useful for researchers interested in knowing developments in inference in discrete time stochastic processes. It can be used as a material for advanced level research students.

ARMA Model Identification

Author : ByoungSeon Choi
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 1461397456
Total Pages : 211 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (613 download)

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Book Synopsis ARMA Model Identification by : ByoungSeon Choi

Download or read book ARMA Model Identification written by ByoungSeon Choi and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 211 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: During the last two decades, considerable progress has been made in statistical time series analysis. The aim of this book is to present a survey of one of the most active areas in this field: the identification of autoregressive moving-average models, i.e., determining their orders. Readers are assumed to have already taken one course on time series analysis as might be offered in a graduate course, but otherwise this account is self-contained. The main topics covered include: Box-Jenkins' method, inverse autocorrelation functions, penalty function identification such as AIC, BIC techniques and Hannan and Quinn's method, instrumental regression, and a range of pattern identification methods. Rather than cover all the methods in detail, the emphasis is on exploring the fundamental ideas underlying them. Extensive references are given to the research literature and as a result, all those engaged in research in this subject will find this an invaluable aid to their work.

Proceedings of the ... Conference on the Design of Experiments

Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 414 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (844 download)

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Book Synopsis Proceedings of the ... Conference on the Design of Experiments by :

Download or read book Proceedings of the ... Conference on the Design of Experiments written by and published by . This book was released on 1992 with total page 414 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Structure Selection of Stochastic Dynamic Systems

Author : Sandor M. Veres
Publisher : CRC Press
ISBN 13 : 9782881247156
Total Pages : 362 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (471 download)

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Book Synopsis Structure Selection of Stochastic Dynamic Systems by : Sandor M. Veres

Download or read book Structure Selection of Stochastic Dynamic Systems written by Sandor M. Veres and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 1991-01-01 with total page 362 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book gives a reliable review on structure selection of stochastic dynamic systems using information criteria AIC, BIC, o and stochastic complexity. After theoretical investigations many simulations are estimators, which illustrate both the effectiveness and the limitations of these methods. The reader can gain his or her own experience on the"working" of many methods (associated with different parameter estimators) using the demonstration disk which can be run on most IBM-compatible personal computers. The book will be helpful to anybody interested in applying automated methods of model-structure selection inn control engineering, in time series analysis or in signal processing.

Advances In Multivariate Statistical Methods

Author : Ashis Sengupta
Publisher : World Scientific
ISBN 13 : 9814468835
Total Pages : 492 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (144 download)

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Book Synopsis Advances In Multivariate Statistical Methods by : Ashis Sengupta

Download or read book Advances In Multivariate Statistical Methods written by Ashis Sengupta and published by World Scientific. This book was released on 2009-06-23 with total page 492 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This volume contains a collection of research articles on multivariate statistical methods, encompassing both theoretical advances and emerging applications in a variety of scientific disciplines. It serves as a tribute to Professor S N Roy, an eminent statistician who has made seminal contributions to the area of multivariate statistical methods, on his birth centenary. In the area of emerging applications, the topics include bioinformatics, categorical data and clinical trials, econometrics, longitudinal data analysis, microarray data analysis, sample surveys, statistical process control, etc.Researchers, professionals and advanced graduates will find the book an essential resource for modern developments in theory as well as for innovative and emerging important applications in the area of multivariate statistical methods.

Time Series Econometrics

Author : Klaus Neusser
Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 331932862X
Total Pages : 421 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (193 download)

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Book Synopsis Time Series Econometrics by : Klaus Neusser

Download or read book Time Series Econometrics written by Klaus Neusser and published by Springer. This book was released on 2016-06-14 with total page 421 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This text presents modern developments in time series analysis and focuses on their application to economic problems. The book first introduces the fundamental concept of a stationary time series and the basic properties of covariance, investigating the structure and estimation of autoregressive-moving average (ARMA) models and their relations to the covariance structure. The book then moves on to non-stationary time series, highlighting its consequences for modeling and forecasting and presenting standard statistical tests and regressions. Next, the text discusses volatility models and their applications in the analysis of financial market data, focusing on generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedastic (GARCH) models. The second part of the text devoted to multivariate processes, such as vector autoregressive (VAR) models and structural vector autoregressive (SVAR) models, which have become the main tools in empirical macroeconomics. The text concludes with a discussion of co-integrated models and the Kalman Filter, which is being used with increasing frequency. Mathematically rigorous, yet application-oriented, this self-contained text will help students develop a deeper understanding of theory and better command of the models that are vital to the field. Assuming a basic knowledge of statistics and/or econometrics, this text is best suited for advanced undergraduate and beginning graduate students.

Handbook of Financial Time Series

Author : Torben Gustav Andersen
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 3540712976
Total Pages : 1045 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (47 download)

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Book Synopsis Handbook of Financial Time Series by : Torben Gustav Andersen

Download or read book Handbook of Financial Time Series written by Torben Gustav Andersen and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2009-04-21 with total page 1045 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Handbook of Financial Time Series gives an up-to-date overview of the field and covers all relevant topics both from a statistical and an econometrical point of view. There are many fine contributions, and a preamble by Nobel Prize winner Robert F. Engle.

Stochasticity, Nonlinearity and Forecasting of Streamflow Processes

Author : Wen Wang
Publisher : IOS Press
ISBN 13 : 9781586036218
Total Pages : 220 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (362 download)

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Book Synopsis Stochasticity, Nonlinearity and Forecasting of Streamflow Processes by : Wen Wang

Download or read book Stochasticity, Nonlinearity and Forecasting of Streamflow Processes written by Wen Wang and published by IOS Press. This book was released on 2006 with total page 220 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Streamflow forecasting is of great importance to water resources management and flood defense. On the other hand, a better understanding of the streamflow process is fundamental for improving the skill of streamflow forecasting. The methods for forecasting streamflows may fall into two general classes: process-driven methods and data-driven methods. Equivalently, methods for understanding streamflow processes may also be broken into two categories: physically-based methods and mathematically-based methods. This thesis focuses on using mathematically-based methods to analyze stochasticity and nonlinearity of streamflow processes based on univariate historic streamflow records, and presents data-driven models that are also mainly based on univariate streamflow time series. Six streamflow processes of five rivers in different geological regions are investigated for stochasticity and nonlinearity at several characteristic timescales.

Applied Quantitative Methods for Trading and Investment

Author : Christian L. Dunis
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 0470871342
Total Pages : 426 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (78 download)

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Book Synopsis Applied Quantitative Methods for Trading and Investment by : Christian L. Dunis

Download or read book Applied Quantitative Methods for Trading and Investment written by Christian L. Dunis and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2004-01-09 with total page 426 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book provides a manual on quantitative financial analysis. Focusing on advanced methods for modelling financial markets in the context of practical financial applications, it will cover data, software and techniques that will enable the reader to implement and interpret quantitative methodologies, specifically for trading and investment. Includes contributions from an international team of academics and quantitative asset managers from Morgan Stanley, Barclays Global Investors, ABN AMRO and Credit Suisse First Boston. Fills the gap for a book on applied quantitative investment & trading models Provides details of how to combine various models to manage and trade a portfolio