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Futures Trading Spot Price Volatility And Market Efficiency
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Book Synopsis Futures Trading, Spot Price Volatility and Market Efficiency by : Chyi Lin Lee
Download or read book Futures Trading, Spot Price Volatility and Market Efficiency written by Chyi Lin Lee and published by . This book was released on 2014 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In 2007 futures contracts were introduced based upon the listed real estate market in Europe. Following their launch they have received increasing attention from property investors, however, few studies have considered the impact their introduction has had. This study considers two key elements. Firstly, a traditional Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (GARCH) model, the approach of Bessembinder & Sequin (1992) and the Gray's (1996) Markov-switching-GARCH model are used to examine the impact of futures trading on the European real estate securities market. The results show that futures trading did not destabilize the underlying listed market. Importantly, the results also reveal that the introduction of a futures market has improved the speed and qualify of information flowing to the spot market. Secondly, we assess the hedging effectiveness of the contracts using two alternative strategies (naive and Ordinary Least Squares models). The empirical results also show that contracts are effective hedging instruments, leading to a reduction in risk of 64%.
Book Synopsis The Futures Market Efficiency of Gold, Silver and Copper by : Shen Cao
Download or read book The Futures Market Efficiency of Gold, Silver and Copper written by Shen Cao and published by . This book was released on 2007 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Models of Futures Markets by : Barry Goss
Download or read book Models of Futures Markets written by Barry Goss and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2013-05-13 with total page 187 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This volume presents an entirely new analysis of the economics of futures markets, that will be of interest to both specialists in the area and the generalist economist seeking a new perspective. Through a combination of theoretical investigation and empirical application, three important themes are explored: the gains from futures trading and the efforts of emerging markets to reap these benefits; rationality and rival hypotheses of trader behaviour, such as noise trading; and the effect of regulatory tools on price formation.
Book Synopsis Behavioral Finance by : Lucy F. Ackert
Download or read book Behavioral Finance written by Lucy F. Ackert and published by South Western Educational Publishing. This book was released on 2010 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The book begins by building upon the established, conventional principles of finance that you've have already learned in your principles course. The authors then move into psychological principles of behavioral finance, including heuristics and biases, overconfidence, emotion and social forces. You immediately see how human behavior influences the decisions of individual investors and professional finance practitioners, managers, and markets. You also gain a strong understanding of how social forces impact individuals' choices. The book clearly explains what behavioral finance indicates about observed market outcomes as well as how psychological biases potentially impact the behavior of managers. The book's solid academic approach provides opportunities for you to utilize theory and complete applications in every chapter as you learn the implications of behavioral finance on retirement, pensions, education, debiasing, and client management. The book spends a significant amount of time examining how today's practitioners can use behavioral finance to further their professional success.
Book Synopsis Trading Mechanisms, Speculative Behavior of Investors, and the Volatility of Prices by : Hun Y. Park
Download or read book Trading Mechanisms, Speculative Behavior of Investors, and the Volatility of Prices written by Hun Y. Park and published by . This book was released on 1989 with total page 56 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper compares the volatility of spot prices (dealership market) with that of futures prices (auction market) to test the implications of different trading mechanisms for the volatility of prices. First, a natural estimator of the volatility is sued. Using the intraday data of the major Market Index and its futures prices, we show that the volatility of opening prices is higher than that of closing prices not only in the spot market but in the futures market, and that the intraday volatility patterns are U-shaped in both markets. Of particular interest is that futures prices do not appear to be as volatile as spot prices when the natural estimator of volatility is used, to the contrary of the conventional wisdom. We argue that the different volatility patterns during the day are not necessarily due to the different trading mechanisms, auction market versus dealership market. Instead, after developing a simple theoretical model of speculative prices, we show that at least part of the different volatility patterns during the day may be attributable to speculative behavior of investors based on heterogeneous information. In addition, we further investigate the volatilities of spot and futures prices using a temporal estimator of price volatility as an alternative to the natural estimator. Based on the temporal estimator, we cannot find any systematic pattern of volatilities during the day in both spot and futures markets, and that futures prices appear to be more volatile than spot prices in terms of how quickly the price moves beyond a given unit price level, but not in terms of how much the price changes during a given unit time interval. Some policy implications are also discussed.
Book Synopsis A Treatise on Markets by : Joseph M. Burns
Download or read book A Treatise on Markets written by Joseph M. Burns and published by Studies in Economic Policy. This book was released on 1979 with total page 164 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book The Review of Futures Markets written by and published by . This book was released on 1992 with total page 1314 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Futures Markets written by B. A. Goss and published by Taylor & Francis. This book was released on 1986 with total page 248 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Pricing Behaviour in Australian Financial Futures Markets by : Malcolm L. Edey
Download or read book Pricing Behaviour in Australian Financial Futures Markets written by Malcolm L. Edey and published by . This book was released on 1988 with total page 88 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Futures Markets by : A. G. Malliaris
Download or read book Futures Markets written by A. G. Malliaris and published by Edward Elgar Publishing. This book was released on 1997 with total page 440 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A collection of 70 influential articles which cover a range of topics, including stock indexes, arbitrage, portfolio insurance, volatility and the October 1987 crash, price distributions, theories and determinants of hedging, portfolio selection with futures, institutions, market characteristics, speculation, pricing, efficiency, interest rates and insurance, and foreign currencies. In addition, the editor has written introductory essays for each volume which analyze speculation and hedging, explore the relatively new idea that futures markets can be modelled as chaotic processes, and demystify financial futures while presenting evidence of their benefits. No subject index. Annotation copyright by Book News, Inc., Portland, OR
Book Synopsis On Market Efficiency and Volatility Estimation by : Wale Dare
Download or read book On Market Efficiency and Volatility Estimation written by Wale Dare and published by . This book was released on 2018 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We propose a non-parametric procedure for estimating the realized spot volatility of a price process described by an Itô semimartingale with Lévy jumps. The procedure integrates threshold jump elimination technique of Mancini (2009) with a frame (Gabor) expansion of the realized trajectory of spot volatility. We show that the procedure converges in probability in L2([0; T]) for a wide class of spot volatility processes, including those with discontinuous paths. Our analysis assumes the time interval between price observations tends to zero; as a result, the intended application is for the analysis of high frequency financial data. We investigate practical tests of market efficiency that are not subject to the joint-hypothesis problem inherent in tests that require the specification of an equilibrium model of asset prices. The methodology we propose simplify the testing procedure considerably by reframing the market efficiency question into one about the existence of a local martingale measure. As a consequence, the need to directly verify the no dominance condition is completely avoided. We also investigate market efficiency in the large financial market setting with the introduction of notions of asymptotic no dominance and market efficiency that remain consistent with the small market theory. We obtain a change of numeraire characterization of asymptotic market efficiency and suggest empirical tests of inefficiency in large financial markets. We argue empirically that the U.S. treasury futures market is informational inefficient. We show that an intraday strategy based on the assumption of cointegrated treasury futures prices earns statistically significant excess return over the equally weighted portfolio of treasury futures. We also provide empirical backing for the claim that the same strategy, financed by taking a short position in the 2-Year treasury futures contract, gives rise to a statistical arbitrage.
Book Synopsis Futures Trading Activity and Stock Price Volatility by : Hendrik Bessembinder
Download or read book Futures Trading Activity and Stock Price Volatility written by Hendrik Bessembinder and published by . This book was released on 1992 with total page 36 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis The Complete Guide to Single Stock Futures by : Russell R. Wasendorf
Download or read book The Complete Guide to Single Stock Futures written by Russell R. Wasendorf and published by McGraw Hill Professional. This book was released on 2003-12-22 with total page 383 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Single stock futures are quickly becoming among the market's most important trading vehicles, and Russell Wasendorf's Peregrine Financial Group accounts for 20 to 50 percent of daily U.S. trading volume! In The Complete Guide to Single Stock Futures, Wasendorf provides traders with: Analyses of the latest rules and regulations How to apply technical and fundamental analysis • Best exchanges for trading Essential valuation techniques • And much more
Book Synopsis Futures Trading Impact on Stock Market Volatility and Hedging Efficiency by : Chandra Bhola
Download or read book Futures Trading Impact on Stock Market Volatility and Hedging Efficiency written by Chandra Bhola and published by Ary Publisher. This book was released on 2023-06-10 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This study investigates the impact of futures trading on stock market volatility and hedging efficiency, focusing on the S&P CNX Nifty index and select stocks in India. By conducting a comprehensive analysis, this research aims to examine the relationship between futures trading activity and its influence on market volatility and the effectiveness of hedging strategies. The study utilizes empirical methods to evaluate the effects of futures trading on stock market volatility. It analyzes the S&P CNX Nifty index, which represents the broader market, and specific individual stocks to understand how futures trading impacts price fluctuations and overall market stability. Furthermore, the research assesses the hedging efficiency of futures contracts as risk management tools. It examines whether investors can effectively hedge their positions and reduce portfolio risk through futures trading. By evaluating the effectiveness of hedging strategies in the context of the Indian stock market, this study provides valuable insights for market participants. Overall, this study delves into the impact of futures trading on stock market volatility and hedging efficiency in India. By examining the S&P CNX Nifty index and select stocks, it aims to shed light on the relationship between futures trading and market dynamics. The findings contribute to the understanding of risk management practices and assist investors in making informed decisions related to hedging strategies in the Indian stock market.
Book Synopsis Futures Trading and the Level and Volatility of Spot Prices by : Ronald Britto
Download or read book Futures Trading and the Level and Volatility of Spot Prices written by Ronald Britto and published by . This book was released on 1985 with total page 36 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Back to the Futures by : Bernardina Algieri
Download or read book Back to the Futures written by Bernardina Algieri and published by . This book was released on 2014 with total page 34 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The role of futures markets in stabilizing spot prices has been extensively discussed. Nevertheless, the ability of these markets to achieve the stabilizing function significantly depends on whether they are 'efficient' in the sense that futures prices 'fully reflect' the available information. The purpose of this study is first to gauge the extent to which futures markets for a set of traded commodities can be considered efficient in predicting spot prices. We then go beyond traditional analyses of efficiency and assess the relative forecasting performance of futures markets; i.e., the difference between the realization and prediction of future spot prices, and what factors affect these forecast errors. The results of the analysis show that maize, soybeans, and wheat markets are not informationally efficient, so that investors can make outsize profits. We find that short-term speculation, measured by the scalping index, increases the noises in the information formation process, thus increasing forecast errors. Conversely, long-term speculation, proxied by the Working-T index and the speculative pressure index, reduces forecast errors although their quantitative effect is negligible. Other relevant factors that drive forecast errors up are a high level of realized price volatility, the lack of liquidity in the market, and a longer contract maturity horizon.
Book Synopsis A Study of Option Market Efficiency of the Chicago Mercantile Exchange by : Yue Lai
Download or read book A Study of Option Market Efficiency of the Chicago Mercantile Exchange written by Yue Lai and published by . This book was released on 1989 with total page 250 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
