Strategic Defenses and First-strike Stability

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Author :
Publisher : Rand Corporation
ISBN 13 : 9780833007766
Total Pages : 65 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (77 download)

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Book Synopsis Strategic Defenses and First-strike Stability by : Dean Wilkening

Download or read book Strategic Defenses and First-strike Stability written by Dean Wilkening and published by Rand Corporation. This book was released on 1986 with total page 65 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The impact of strategic defenses on stability is a central theme in the Strategic Defense Initiative debate. This report examines the effects of defenses on first-strike stability. It is principally concerned with assessing first-strike stability during the transition from an offense-dominated strategic balance to a defense-dominated balance. It also examines the implications of various offensive and defensive force structures. The findings suggest that (1) first-strike instability during the defense transition can be minimized by careful force planning; (2) the most stable defense transition occurs when the ballistic missile defense transition is completed before significant levels of air defense are deployed; (3) arms control efforts will not necessarily reduce potential first-strike instabilities unless each side's counterforce capability is reduced; (4) asymmetries in each side's ability to suppress the opponent's defenses can lead to instabilities during, and after, the defense transition; and (5) biased perceptions make the defense transition either more or less stable, depending on the nature of the bias.

First-Strike Stability and Strategic Defenses: Part 2 of a Methodology for Evaluating Strategic Forces

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Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 69 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (227 download)

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Book Synopsis First-Strike Stability and Strategic Defenses: Part 2 of a Methodology for Evaluating Strategic Forces by :

Download or read book First-Strike Stability and Strategic Defenses: Part 2 of a Methodology for Evaluating Strategic Forces written by and published by . This book was released on 1990 with total page 69 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: First-strike stability between two adversaries is robust when both leaders perceive no great difference between the expected 'cost' to each side of striking first and the expected 'cost' of incurring a first strike if one withholds his attack. Conclusions include: (1) First-strike stability is currently quite robust. (2) Deployment of strategic nationwide ballistic missile defenses by either superpower in competition with the other's strategic offenses generally erodes first-strike stability. (3) Neither country would be likely to continue to adhere to agreements that constrain and reduce offensive arms under the specter of intent by the other to deploy robust strategic defenses in contravention to the 1972 Anti-Ballistic Missile (ABM) Treaty. (4) There may be a 'window' in which United States and Soviet strategic nationwide BMD could be robust in defending against 'limited' attacks (third-country ballistic missile attacks, unauthorized attacks, and accidental launches), yet not so robust that first-strike stability is seriously undermined. (5) The level of U.S. defenses attributed to the so-called 'Phase I' deployment seems to go beyond the upper bounds of this 'window' even with current offensive forces, and certainly with offensive forces constrained by START I. (6) Any attempt to transition to a situation in which each side's strategic defenses dominate the opponent's ballistic missiles must include a careful negotiation on the critical role of bomber forces in maintaining firs-strike stability.

First-strike Stability and Strategic Defenses

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Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9780833011022
Total Pages : 55 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (11 download)

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Book Synopsis First-strike Stability and Strategic Defenses by : Glenn A. Kent

Download or read book First-strike Stability and Strategic Defenses written by Glenn A. Kent and published by . This book was released on 1990 with total page 55 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A pressing issue facing the United States in the early 1990s centers on whether, and for what strategic purposes, the United States should deploy nationwide ballistic missile defenses (BMD). One argument is that such defenses could enhance stability. This report extends the methodology developed in R-3765 to assess the effect of BMD deployments on first-strike stability. The authors conclude that (1) first-strike stability is currently robust; (2) deployment of strategic nationwide BMD by either superpower in competition with the other's strategic offenses generally erodes first-strike stability; (3) there might be a level at which U.S. and Soviet BMD could effectively defend against third-country ballistic missile attacks, unauthorized attacks, and accidental launches, without being so robust that it would undermine first-strike stability; (4) the buildup of U.S. defenses during Phase I deployment seems to exceed this level; and (5) maintaining effective bomber forces on both sides would be critical to any attempt to move from offense dominance to defense dominance.

Stability and Strategic Defenses

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Author :
Publisher : Paragon House Publishers
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 328 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (42 download)

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Book Synopsis Stability and Strategic Defenses by : Jack N. Barkenbus

Download or read book Stability and Strategic Defenses written by Jack N. Barkenbus and published by Paragon House Publishers. This book was released on 1989 with total page 328 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

FIRST-STRIKE STABILITY AND STRATEGIC DEFENCES: PT. 2 OF A METHODOLOGY FOR EVALUATING STRATEGIC FORCES.

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 50 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (131 download)

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Book Synopsis FIRST-STRIKE STABILITY AND STRATEGIC DEFENCES: PT. 2 OF A METHODOLOGY FOR EVALUATING STRATEGIC FORCES. by : Rand Corporation

Download or read book FIRST-STRIKE STABILITY AND STRATEGIC DEFENCES: PT. 2 OF A METHODOLOGY FOR EVALUATING STRATEGIC FORCES. written by Rand Corporation and published by . This book was released on with total page 50 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

A Calculus of First-strike Stability

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 70 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (9 download)

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Book Synopsis A Calculus of First-strike Stability by : Glenn A. Kent

Download or read book A Calculus of First-strike Stability written by Glenn A. Kent and published by . This book was released on 1988 with total page 70 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

First Strike Stability

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Author :
Publisher : Praeger
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 240 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (91 download)

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Book Synopsis First Strike Stability by : Stephen J. Cimbala

Download or read book First Strike Stability written by Stephen J. Cimbala and published by Praeger. This book was released on 1990-08-24 with total page 240 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The lifting of the Iron Curtain in response to pressures for democratic reform in the Eastern Bloc nations and the refusal of General Secretary Mikhail Gorbachev to use the Red Army to police countries of the Warsaw Pact have led to a radically changed international environment. Preceded by over 40 years of peace and stability, unprecedented in the history of modern Europe, the Cold War ended in a climate of upheaval and uncertainty. This volume addresses issues associated with the political and military vacuum created by recent events and explores in depth a problem of military uncertainty: first strike stability. Stephen J. Cimbala argues that war in a system undergoing rapid change, including reductions in forces and political realignment, remains disturbingly possible due to the unforeseeable, inadvertent, and uncontrollable uncertainties that plague decision making and military planning in Washington, Moscow, and other international power centers, hence, first strike instability. This timely volume clarifies the kind of bargain superpowers and their allies have made in regard to nuclear weapons and command systems. Cimbala provides enhanced understandings of the concept and practice of nuclear deterrence and of first strike stability in a post-Cold War world that can help direct arms control efforts toward those areas that are most important to actual security. Broad aspects of the problem of first strike stability are set forth in the first chapter which also anticipates some of the connections between political and military levels of analysis discussed in the conclusion. Chapter two introduces the concepts of the state of nature and the state of war, explains how they apply to the problem of first strike stability, and why the possibility of war, including nuclear war, cannot be excluded. Chapter three focuses on the New Soviet Thinking and why the probability of accidental and inadvertent war and escalation is not affected by reducing the levels of armaments alone. Chapter four emphasizes the problems facing the United States and NATO, and the approaches to escalation control which NATO assumes will be implemented, should deterrence fail. The results of the theoretical and administrative confusion over approaches to escalation control, outlined in chapter four, reappear in chapter five in the form of problems for war termination. The controversial issue of eliminating nuclear deterrence, with emphasis on the proposal for elimination by preclusive antinuclear strategic defenses is the focus of chapter six. The final chapter reviews the implications of the preceding chapters and arrives at some startling conclusions. Scholars and students of military affairs, political scientists, government officials, and members of the military establishment will find the up-to-the-minute information and judgements contained in First Strike Stability invaluable aids to their own decision making on this profoundly important world issue.

The Case for First-strike Counterforce Capabilities

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Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 28 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (9 download)

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Book Synopsis The Case for First-strike Counterforce Capabilities by : Carl H. Builder

Download or read book The Case for First-strike Counterforce Capabilities written by Carl H. Builder and published by . This book was released on 1978 with total page 28 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this briefing prepared for the 41st meeting of the Military Operations Research Society, the author challenges much of the current thinking behind U.S. arms control and strategic policies. He argues that counterforce capabilities should be sought, not eschewed or proscribed. He sees counterforce capabilities more as deterrents to conflict than as inducements to nuclear warfighting. Where some would embrace counterforce capabilities only as a retaliatory option, the author goes much further and advocates them as a credible, advantageous, first-strike initiative. He questions the generally accepted belief that counterforce capabilities are inherently destabilizing. Because of enduring asymmetries in vital interests and conventional force capabilities, the author argues that the United States, more than the Soviet Union, has a need for a credible and advantageous nuclear initiative.

Strategic Defenses and Crisis Stability

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Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 70 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Strategic Defenses and Crisis Stability by : Rand Corporation

Download or read book Strategic Defenses and Crisis Stability written by Rand Corporation and published by . This book was released on 1989 with total page 70 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

A Suggested Policy Framework for Strategic Defenses

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 48 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis A Suggested Policy Framework for Strategic Defenses by : Glenn A. Kent

Download or read book A Suggested Policy Framework for Strategic Defenses written by Glenn A. Kent and published by . This book was released on 1986 with total page 48 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This study proposes a framework for considering U.S. policy with regard to the Strategic Defense Initiative (SDI). The framework takes account of the basic goals and strategies for the security of the United States and its allies, the reasons for the SDI technology program, the purposes and missions of strategic (or nationwide) defenses, and the relationship of these matters to arms control. It establishes national survival--a fundamental goal of the United States and its allies--as the central goal of strategic defenses. The framework relieves the tension between the advocacy of SDI on the one hand, and the basic U.S. strategy of deterrence and arms control on the other.

Deterrence—From Cold War to Long War

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Author :
Publisher : Rand Corporation
ISBN 13 : 0833046330
Total Pages : 123 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (33 download)

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Book Synopsis Deterrence—From Cold War to Long War by : Austin Long

Download or read book Deterrence—From Cold War to Long War written by Austin Long and published by Rand Corporation. This book was released on 2008-10-27 with total page 123 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Since its inception six decades ago, the RAND Corporation has been one of the key institutional homes for the study of deterrence. This book examines much of this research for lessons relevant to the current and future strategic environment. It is therefore part intellectual history and part policy recommendation, intended to encourage debate and discussion on how deterrence can best be incorporated into U.S. strategy.

Analyzing Strategic Nuclear Policy

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Publisher : Princeton University Press
ISBN 13 : 1400862027
Total Pages : 393 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (8 download)

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Book Synopsis Analyzing Strategic Nuclear Policy by : Charles L. Glaser

Download or read book Analyzing Strategic Nuclear Policy written by Charles L. Glaser and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2014-07-14 with total page 393 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: With sweeping changes in the Soviet Union and East Europe having shaken core assumptions of U.S. defense policy, it is time to reassess basic questions of American nuclear strategy and force requirements. In a comprehensive analysis of these issues, Charles Glaser argues that even before the recent easing of tension with the Soviet Union, the United States should have revised its nuclear strategy, rejecting deterrent threats that require the ability to destroy Soviet nuclear forces and forgoing entirely efforts to limit damage if all-out nuclear war occurs. Changes in the Soviet Union, suggests Glaser, may be best viewed as creating an opportunity to make revisions that are more than twenty years overdue. Glaser's provocative work is organized in three parts. "The Questions behind the Questions" evaluates the basic factual and theoretical disputes that underlie disagreements about U.S. nuclear weapons policy. "Alternative Nuclear Worlds" compares "mutual assured destruction capabilities" (MAD)--a world in which both superpowers' societies are highly vulnerable to nuclear retaliation--to the basic alternatives: mutual perfect defenses, U.S. superiority, and nuclear disarmament. Would any basic alternatives be preferable to MAD? Drawing on the earlier sections of the book, "Decisions in MAD" addresses key choices facing American decision makers. Originally published in 1990. The Princeton Legacy Library uses the latest print-on-demand technology to again make available previously out-of-print books from the distinguished backlist of Princeton University Press. These editions preserve the original texts of these important books while presenting them in durable paperback and hardcover editions. The goal of the Princeton Legacy Library is to vastly increase access to the rich scholarly heritage found in the thousands of books published by Princeton University Press since its founding in 1905.

Arms and Influence

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Publisher : Yale University Press
ISBN 13 : 0300253486
Total Pages : 337 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (2 download)

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Book Synopsis Arms and Influence by : Thomas C. Schelling

Download or read book Arms and Influence written by Thomas C. Schelling and published by Yale University Press. This book was released on 2020-03-17 with total page 337 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: “This is a brilliant and hardheaded book. It will frighten those who prefer not to dwell on the unthinkable and infuriate those who have taken refuge in stereotypes and moral attitudinizing.”—Gordon A. Craig, New York Times Book Review Originally published more than fifty years ago, this landmark book explores the ways in which military capabilities—real or imagined—are used, skillfully or clumsily, as bargaining power. Anne-Marie Slaughter’s new introduction to the work shows how Schelling’s framework—conceived of in a time of superpowers and mutually assured destruction—still applies to our multipolar world, where wars are fought as much online as on the ground.

Strategic Stability in the Post-Cold War World and the Future of Nuclear Disarmament

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Author :
Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 348 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (91 download)

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Book Synopsis Strategic Stability in the Post-Cold War World and the Future of Nuclear Disarmament by : Melvin L. Best (Jr.)

Download or read book Strategic Stability in the Post-Cold War World and the Future of Nuclear Disarmament written by Melvin L. Best (Jr.) and published by Springer. This book was released on 1995-10-31 with total page 348 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The contributors to Strategic Stability in the Post-Cold War World and the Future of Nuclear Disarmament recognize that the collapse of the former Soviet Union has left a conceptual vacuum in the definition of a new world order. Never before have the components of world order all changed so rapidly, so deeply, or so globally. As Henry Kissinger points out, the emergence of a new world order will have to confront three fundamental questions: What are the basic units of the international order? What are their means of interacting? and What are the goals on behalf of which they interact? The main question is whether the establishment and maintenance of an international system will turn out to be a conscious design, or the outgrowth of a trial of strength. The concept of a planning framework that could shape or govern these interactions is emerging and may now be at hand. Capturing this emerging framework is the thrust of the present book, which seeks to reach a consensus on defining a model (calculus) for strategic stability in a changing, multipolar world in the presence of weapons of mass destruction - the model being the core of a conscious design to shape or govern the interactions of nation states in a new world order. The following taxonomy of the dimensions of strategic stability was accepted by the contributors as the first step towards such a model: Stability in geopolitics and balance of power; Arms race stability; Deterrence stability, crisis stability, first strike stability; Stability in the presence of clandestine proliferation. After four gruelling days, this unprecedented gathering of top academic, scientific and military experts from the USA, Russia, the UK, France, China, India, and Israel reached a general agreement that is captured in the Consensus Report; each participant presented an individual contribution that further fleshes out the dimensions of strategic stability. This unprecedented work provides joint concepts for all leaders of the nuclear powers to shape their decisions for the coming decades. And for the first time they can base their decisions on agreed scientific facts, not just political judgments.

The End of Strategic Stability?

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Author :
Publisher : Georgetown University Press
ISBN 13 : 162616603X
Total Pages : 323 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (261 download)

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Book Synopsis The End of Strategic Stability? by : Lawrence Rubin

Download or read book The End of Strategic Stability? written by Lawrence Rubin and published by Georgetown University Press. This book was released on 2018-09-03 with total page 323 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: During the Cold War, many believed that the superpowers shared a conception of strategic stability, a coexistence where both sides would compete for global influence but would be deterred from using nuclear weapons. In actuality, both sides understood strategic stability and deterrence quite differently. Today’s international system is further complicated by more nuclear powers, regional rivalries, and nonstate actors who punch above their weight, but the United States and other nuclear powers still cling to old conceptions of strategic stability. The purpose of this book is to unpack and examine how different states in different regions view strategic stability, the use or non-use of nuclear weapons, and whether or not strategic stability is still a prevailing concept. The contributors to this volume explore policies of current and potential nuclear powers including the United States, Russia, China, India, Iran, Israel, Pakistan, and Saudi Arabia. This volume makes an important contribution toward understanding how nuclear weapons will impact the international system in the twenty-first century and will be useful to students, scholars, and practitioners of nuclear weapons policy.

Strategic Stability in the Second Nuclear Age

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Author :
Publisher : Council on Foreign Relations
ISBN 13 : 0876096119
Total Pages : 68 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (76 download)

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Book Synopsis Strategic Stability in the Second Nuclear Age by : Gregory D. Koblentz

Download or read book Strategic Stability in the Second Nuclear Age written by Gregory D. Koblentz and published by Council on Foreign Relations. This book was released on 2014-11-01 with total page 68 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The world has entered a second nuclear age shaped by rising nuclear states and military technologies. Gregory Koblentz argues that the United States should work with the other nuclear-armed states to manage threats to nuclear stability in the near term and establish processes for multilateral arms control efforts over the longer term.

Arms Control and Strategic Stability

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 192 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (91 download)

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Book Synopsis Arms Control and Strategic Stability by : University of Virginia. Center for Law and National Security. Seminar

Download or read book Arms Control and Strategic Stability written by University of Virginia. Center for Law and National Security. Seminar and published by . This book was released on 1986 with total page 192 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: