Expectation shocks and learning as drivers of the business cycle

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 38 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (555 download)

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Book Synopsis Expectation shocks and learning as drivers of the business cycle by : Fabio Milani

Download or read book Expectation shocks and learning as drivers of the business cycle written by Fabio Milani and published by . This book was released on 2010 with total page 38 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Expectation Shocks and Business Cycles

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (139 download)

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Book Synopsis Expectation Shocks and Business Cycles by : Sonan Memon

Download or read book Expectation Shocks and Business Cycles written by Sonan Memon and published by . This book was released on 2023 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Handbook of Economic Expectations

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Publisher : Elsevier
ISBN 13 : 0128234768
Total Pages : 876 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (282 download)

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Book Synopsis Handbook of Economic Expectations by : Ruediger Bachmann

Download or read book Handbook of Economic Expectations written by Ruediger Bachmann and published by Elsevier. This book was released on 2022-11-04 with total page 876 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Handbook of Economic Expectations discusses the state-of-the-art in the collection, study and use of expectations data in economics, including the modelling of expectations formation and updating, as well as open questions and directions for future research. The book spans a broad range of fields, approaches and applications using data on subjective expectations that allows us to make progress on fundamental questions around the formation and updating of expectations by economic agents and their information sets. The information included will help us study heterogeneity and potential biases in expectations and analyze impacts on behavior and decision-making under uncertainty. - Combines information about the creation of economic expectations and their theories, applications and likely futures - Provides a comprehensive summary of economics expectations literature - Explores empirical and theoretical dimensions of expectations and their relevance to a wide array of subfields in economics

DSGE Models in Macroeconomics

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Publisher : Emerald Group Publishing
ISBN 13 : 1781903050
Total Pages : 480 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (819 download)

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Book Synopsis DSGE Models in Macroeconomics by : Nathan Balke

Download or read book DSGE Models in Macroeconomics written by Nathan Balke and published by Emerald Group Publishing. This book was released on 2012-11-29 with total page 480 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This volume of Advances in Econometrics contains articles that examine key topics in the modeling and estimation of dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) models. Because DSGE models combine micro- and macroeconomic theory with formal econometric modeling and inference, over the past decade they have become an established framework for analy

Expectations, Learning, and Business Cycle Fluctuations

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 60 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (236 download)

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Book Synopsis Expectations, Learning, and Business Cycle Fluctuations by : Stefano Eusepi

Download or read book Expectations, Learning, and Business Cycle Fluctuations written by Stefano Eusepi and published by . This book was released on 2008 with total page 60 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "This paper develops a theory of expectations-driven business cycles based on learning. Agents have incomplete knowledge about how market prices are determined and shifts in expectations of future prices affect dynamics. In a real business cycle model, the theoretical framework amplifies and propagates technology shocks. Improved correspondence with data arises from dynamics in beliefs being themselves persistent and because they generate strong intertemporal substitution effects in consumption and leisure. Output volatility is comparable with a rational expectations analysis with a standard deviation of technology shock that is 20 percent smaller, and has substantially more volatility in investment and hours. Persistence in these series is captured, unlike in standard models. Inherited from real business cycle theory, the benchmark model suffers a comovement problem between consumption, hours, output and investment. An augmented model that is consistent with expectations-driven business cycles, in the sense of Beaudry and Portier (2006), resolves these counterfactual predictions"--National Bureau of Economic Research web site

Rethinking Expectations

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Publisher : Princeton University Press
ISBN 13 : 0691155232
Total Pages : 440 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (911 download)

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Book Synopsis Rethinking Expectations by : Roman Frydman

Download or read book Rethinking Expectations written by Roman Frydman and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2013 with total page 440 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book originated from a 2010 conference marking the fortieth anniversary of the publication of the landmark "Phelps volume," Microeconomic Foundations of Employment and Inflation Theory, a book that is often credited with pioneering the currently dominant approach to macroeconomic analysis. However, in their provocative introductory essay, Roman Frydman and Edmund Phelps argue that the vast majority of macroeconomic and finance models developed over the last four decades derailed, rather than built on, the Phelps volume's "microfoundations" approach. Whereas the contributors to the 1970 volume recognized the fundamental importance of according market participants' expectations an autonomous role, contemporary models rely on the rational expectations hypothesis (REH), which rules out such a role by design. The financial crisis that began in 2007, preceded by a spectacular boom and bust in asset prices that REH models implied could never happen, has spurred a quest for fresh approaches to macroeconomic analysis. While the alternatives to REH presented in Rethinking Expectations differ from the approach taken in the original Phelps volume, they are notable for returning to its major theme: understanding aggregate outcomes requires according expectations an autonomous role. In the introductory essay, Frydman and Phelps interpret the various efforts to reconstruct the field--some of which promise to chart its direction for decades to come. The contributors include Philippe Aghion, Sheila Dow, George W. Evans, Roger E. A. Farmer, Roman Frydman, Michael D. Goldberg, Roger Guesnerie, Seppo Honkapohja, Katarina Juselius, Enisse Kharroubi, Blake LeBaron, Edmund S. Phelps, John B. Taylor, Michael Woodford, and Gylfi Zoega.

Macroeconomic Survey Expectations

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Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 3319972235
Total Pages : 196 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (199 download)

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Book Synopsis Macroeconomic Survey Expectations by : Michael P. Clements

Download or read book Macroeconomic Survey Expectations written by Michael P. Clements and published by Springer. This book was released on 2018-12-31 with total page 196 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Why should we be interested in macroeconomic survey expectations? This important book offers an in-depth treatment of this question from a point of view not covered in existing works on time-series econometrics and forecasting. Clements presents the nature of survey data, addresses some of the difficulties posed by the way in which survey expectations are elicited and considers the evaluation of point predictions and probability distributions. He outlines how, from a behavioural perspective, surveys offer insight into how economic agents form their expectations.

Macroeconomic Fluctuations and Policies

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Publisher : MIT Press
ISBN 13 : 0262549298
Total Pages : 361 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (625 download)

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Book Synopsis Macroeconomic Fluctuations and Policies by : Edouard Challe

Download or read book Macroeconomic Fluctuations and Policies written by Edouard Challe and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 2023-09-19 with total page 361 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The basic tools for analyzing macroeconomic fluctuations and policies, applied to concrete issues and presented within an integrated New Keynesian framework. This textbook presents the basic tools for analyzing macroeconomic fluctuations and policies and applies them to contemporary issues. It employs a unified New Keynesian framework for understanding business cycles, major crises, and macroeconomic policies, introducing students to the approach most often used in academic macroeconomic analysis and by central banks and international institutions. The book addresses such topics as how recessions and crises spread; what instruments central banks and governments have to stimulate activity when private demand is weak; and what “unconventional” macroeconomic policies might work when conventional monetary policy loses its effectiveness (as has happened in many countries in the aftermath of the Great Recession.). The text introduces the foundations of modern business cycle theory through the notions of aggregate demand and aggregate supply, and then applies the theory to the study of regular business-cycle fluctuations in output, inflation, and employment. It considers conventional monetary and fiscal policies aimed at stabilizing the business cycle, and examines unconventional macroeconomic policies, including forward guidance and quantitative easing, in situations of “liquidity trap”—deep crises in which conventional policies are either ineffective or have very different effects than in normal time. This book is the first to use the New Keynesian framework at the advanced undergraduate level, connecting undergraduate learning not only with the more advanced tools taught at the graduate level but also with the large body of policy-oriented research in academic journals. End-of-chapter problems help students master the materials presented.

Essays in Honour of Fabio Canova

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Publisher : Emerald Group Publishing
ISBN 13 : 1803826371
Total Pages : 200 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (38 download)

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Book Synopsis Essays in Honour of Fabio Canova by : Juan J. Dolado

Download or read book Essays in Honour of Fabio Canova written by Juan J. Dolado and published by Emerald Group Publishing. This book was released on 2022-09-16 with total page 200 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Both parts of Volume 44 of Advances in Econometrics pay tribute to Fabio Canova for his major contributions to economics over the last four decades.

Economic Growth in Small Open Economies

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Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 3319693174
Total Pages : 215 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (196 download)

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Book Synopsis Economic Growth in Small Open Economies by : István Kónya

Download or read book Economic Growth in Small Open Economies written by István Kónya and published by Springer. This book was released on 2018-01-24 with total page 215 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book studies the economic growth and development of four Visegrad economies (Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland and Slovakia) between 1995-2014. The author uses a neoclassical growth model with distortions (wedges) to identify the main sources of economic growth for each of these countries including employment, human capital, capital accumulation and TFP growth. The first part of the book is structured around the concept of production function, factor inputs and growth accounting, and the second part of the book looks at selected problems related to economic developments of the analysed countries. This book combines empirical facts, data analysis and macroeconomic modelling and will appeal to those interested in convergence and growth in general, and analysts and researchers studying the Visegrad countries in particular.

Finance in Central and Southeastern Europe

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Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 3319646621
Total Pages : 182 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (196 download)

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Book Synopsis Finance in Central and Southeastern Europe by : Srećko Goić

Download or read book Finance in Central and Southeastern Europe written by Srećko Goić and published by Springer. This book was released on 2017-10-31 with total page 182 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book describes specific problems and proposes solutions for different areas of finance in Central and Southeastern European countries. Covering a broad spectrum of topics, from monetary economics and electronic money to capital markets, banking and insurance, it comprises theoretical and empirical contributions by authors from nine countries - Poland, Slovakia, Croatia, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Romania, Bulgaria, Montenegro, Serbia and Greece. Intended for academics as well as policy makers and practitioners it offers new perspectives on Central and Southeastern European finance research.

Shocks to Inflation Expectations

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 52 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (2 download)

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Book Synopsis Shocks to Inflation Expectations by : Mr. Philip Barrett

Download or read book Shocks to Inflation Expectations written by Mr. Philip Barrett and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2022-04-29 with total page 52 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The consensus among central bankers is that higher inflation expectations can drive up inflation today, requiring tighter policy. We assess this by devising a novel method for identifying shocks to inflation expectations, estimating a semi-structural VAR where an expectation shock is identified as that which causes measured expectations to diverge from rationality. Using data for the United States, we find that a positive inflation expectations shock is deflationary and contractionary: inflation, output, and interest rates all fall. These results are inconsistent with the standard New Keynesian model, which predicts inflation and interest rate hikes. We discuss possible resolutions to this new puzzle.

Learning Leverage Shocks and the Great Recession

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (857 download)

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Book Synopsis Learning Leverage Shocks and the Great Recession by : Patrick A. Pintus

Download or read book Learning Leverage Shocks and the Great Recession written by Patrick A. Pintus and published by . This book was released on 2013 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Residential Real Estate

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Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 1317483499
Total Pages : 248 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (174 download)

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Book Synopsis Residential Real Estate by : Anupam Nanda

Download or read book Residential Real Estate written by Anupam Nanda and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2019-03-20 with total page 248 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Residential Real Estate introduces readers to the economic fundamentals and emerging issues in housing markets. The book investigates housing market issues within local, regional, national and international contexts in order to provide students with an understanding of the economic principles that underpin residential property markets. Key topics covered include: Location choice in urban areas Housing supply and demand Housing finance and housing as an asset class Demographic shifts and implications for housing Sustainable homes and digitalisation in housing Drawing on market-level information, readers are encouraged to recognise the supply and demand drivers and modelling of dynamic housing markets at various spatial scales and the implications of trends within an urban and regional context, e.g. urbanisation, ageing population, migration, digitalisation. With research-based discussions and coverage of relevant literature, this is an ideal textbook for students of residential real estate, property and related business studies courses at UG and PG levels, as well as a reference book with research topics for researchers. This book will also be of interest to professionals and policymakers.

Expectations' Anchoring and Inflation Persistence

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 148439223X
Total Pages : 31 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (843 download)

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Book Synopsis Expectations' Anchoring and Inflation Persistence by : Mr.Rudolfs Bems

Download or read book Expectations' Anchoring and Inflation Persistence written by Mr.Rudolfs Bems and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2018-12-11 with total page 31 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Understanding the sources of inflation persistence is crucial for monetary policy. This paper provides an empirical assessment of the influence of inflation expectations' anchoring on the persistence of inflation. We construct a novel index of inflation expectations' anchoring using survey-based inflation forecasts for 45 economies starting in 1989. We then study the response of consumer prices to terms-of-trade shocks for countries with flexible exchange rates. We find that these shocks have a significant and persistent effect on consumer price inflation when expectations are poorly anchored. By contrast, inflation reacts by less and returns quickly to its pre-shock level when expectations are strongly anchored.

Frontiers of Business Cycle Research

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Publisher : Princeton University Press
ISBN 13 : 9780691043234
Total Pages : 452 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (432 download)

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Book Synopsis Frontiers of Business Cycle Research by : Thomas F. Cooley

Download or read book Frontiers of Business Cycle Research written by Thomas F. Cooley and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 1995-02-26 with total page 452 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This introduction to modern business cycle theory uses a neoclassical growth framework to study the economic fluctuations associated with the business cycle. Presenting advances in dynamic economic theory and computational methods, it applies concepts to t

Adaptive Learning in Expectations-driven Business Cycle Models

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9781303309113
Total Pages : 208 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (91 download)

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Book Synopsis Adaptive Learning in Expectations-driven Business Cycle Models by : Feng Bi

Download or read book Adaptive Learning in Expectations-driven Business Cycle Models written by Feng Bi and published by . This book was released on 2013 with total page 208 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: