Exchange Rates Interest Rates And Commodity Prices

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Exchange Rates, Interest Rates, and Commodity Prices

Author : Meher Manzur
Publisher : Edward Elgar Publishing
ISBN 13 : 9781840648430
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (484 download)

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Book Synopsis Exchange Rates, Interest Rates, and Commodity Prices by : Meher Manzur

Download or read book Exchange Rates, Interest Rates, and Commodity Prices written by Meher Manzur and published by Edward Elgar Publishing. This book was released on 2002 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book explores the key issues relating to links between exchange rate instability and domestic inflation, including real exchange rate and interest rate manifestations, and the co-variability of exchange rates and commodity prices. The common theme throughout is the behaviour of asset prices and interest rates in international markets. A number of interrelated questions regarding the interactions of exchange rates, interest rates and commodity prices are posed: Why is purchasing power parity invariably controversial? Despite overwhelming evidence that sterilised central bank interventions are impotent, why do major industrialised countries (such as the G-7) continue to look for accords to stem exchange rate volatility? Why are the currencies of resource-based economies depreciating when the commodity prices are holding up? Has the link between exchange rates and commodity prices collapsed? In a world of increasing globalisation, why are interest rate movements so poorly correlated across countries? New insights to these and other fundamental questions in international finance are provided by way of empirical analyses. Whilst there remains much that is little understood, the conclusions concerning the validity of the theory of purchasing power parity are becoming more and more reliable. This book is a must-read for graduate students, researchers and lecturers interested in finance, economics or business. Exchange Rates, Interest Rates and Commodity Prices will also appeal to policymakers.

Interest Rates, Exchange Rates and World Monetary Policy

Author : John E. Floyd
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 3642102808
Total Pages : 406 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (421 download)

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Book Synopsis Interest Rates, Exchange Rates and World Monetary Policy by : John E. Floyd

Download or read book Interest Rates, Exchange Rates and World Monetary Policy written by John E. Floyd and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2009-12-04 with total page 406 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A careful basic theoretical and econometric analysis of the factors determining the real exchange rates of Canada, the U.K., Japan, France and Germany with respect to the United States is conducted. The resulting conclusion is that real exchange rates are almost entirely determined by real factors relating to growth and technology such as oil and commodity prices, international allocations of world investment across countries, and underlying terms of trade changes. Unanticipated money supply shocks, calculated in five alternative ways have virtually no effects. A Blanchard-Quah VAR analysis also indicates that the effects of real shocks predominate over monetary shocks by a wide margin. The implications of these facts for the conduct of monetary policy in countries outside the U.S. are then explored leading to the conclusion that all countries, to avoid exchange rate overshooting, have tended to automatically follow the same monetary policy as the United States. The history of world monetary policy is reviewed along with the determination of real exchange rates within the Euro Area.

Four Essays in Macroeconomic Modeling of Exchange Rates, Interest Rates and Commodity Prices

Author : Matthias Gubler
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 145 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (795 download)

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Book Synopsis Four Essays in Macroeconomic Modeling of Exchange Rates, Interest Rates and Commodity Prices by : Matthias Gubler

Download or read book Four Essays in Macroeconomic Modeling of Exchange Rates, Interest Rates and Commodity Prices written by Matthias Gubler and published by . This book was released on 2012 with total page 145 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Commodity Prices and Markets

Author : Takatoshi Ito
Publisher : University of Chicago Press
ISBN 13 : 0226386899
Total Pages : 346 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (263 download)

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Book Synopsis Commodity Prices and Markets by : Takatoshi Ito

Download or read book Commodity Prices and Markets written by Takatoshi Ito and published by University of Chicago Press. This book was released on 2011-03 with total page 346 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Fluctuations of commodity prices, most notably of oil, capture considerable attention and have been tied to important economic effects. This book advances our understanding of the consequences of these fluctuations, providing both general analysis and a particular focus on the countries of the Pacific Rim.

Real Exchange Rates and Commodity Prices

Author : Dominique Yves Dupont
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 72 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (318 download)

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Book Synopsis Real Exchange Rates and Commodity Prices by : Dominique Yves Dupont

Download or read book Real Exchange Rates and Commodity Prices written by Dominique Yves Dupont and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1996-04 with total page 72 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper examines the relations between fluctuations in real exchange rates among the major currencies and fluctuations in real commodity prices. Increased exchange rate volatility calls for a better understanding of these relations. To the best of our knowledge, no systematic study of those effects has been performed on a wide range of commodities, although Sjaastad and Scacciavillani (1993) have done so for gold. We build on their approach and construct a supply and demand multi-country model, with world market clearing, which incorporates speculative and non-speculative demands for inventories and “static” and “rational” expectations. We estimate the model using several econometric methods on monthly data from January 1972 to January 1992 for 65 commodity prices. The paper finds that, for a small group of commodities, the dollar-denominated price is significantly influenced by the deutsche mark and the yen. The empirical results show that geographical proximity matters, and that supply and demand elasticities are important in determining the commodity price in world markets above and beyond the size of the share of those commodities in world trade.

Commodity Prices and Markets

Author : Takatoshi Ito
Publisher : University of Chicago Press
ISBN 13 : 0226386902
Total Pages : 346 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (263 download)

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Book Synopsis Commodity Prices and Markets by : Takatoshi Ito

Download or read book Commodity Prices and Markets written by Takatoshi Ito and published by University of Chicago Press. This book was released on 2011-02-15 with total page 346 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Fluctuations of commodity prices, most notably of oil, capture considerable attention and have been tied to important economic effects, such as inflation and low rates of economic growth. Commodity Prices and Markets advances our understanding of the consequences of these fluctuations, providing both general analysis and a particular focus on the countries of the Pacific Rim. The volume addresses three distinct subjects: the difficulties in forecasting commodity prices, the effects of exogenous commodity price shocks on the domestic economy, and the relationship between price shocks and monetary policy. The ability to forecast commodity prices is difficult but of great importance to businesses and governments, and this volume will be invaluable to professionals and policy makers interested in the field.

Exchange Rate Choices with Inflexible Markets and Costly Price Adjustments

Author : Tara Iyer
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 148430893X
Total Pages : 29 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (843 download)

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Book Synopsis Exchange Rate Choices with Inflexible Markets and Costly Price Adjustments by : Tara Iyer

Download or read book Exchange Rate Choices with Inflexible Markets and Costly Price Adjustments written by Tara Iyer and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2017-07-10 with total page 29 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper analyzes the appropriate choice of an exchange rate regime in agricultural commodity-exporting economies. In an open economy model that incorporates key structural characteristics of agricultural commodity exporters including dual labor markets, the benefits of exchange rate flexibility are shown to depend on the extent of labor and product market development. With developed markets, flexible exchange rates are preferred as they allow for greater relative price fluctuations, which amplify the transmission mechanism of labor reallocation upon commodity price volatility. When labor and product markets are not welldeveloped, however, international relative price adjustments exacerbate currency and factor misalignments. A nominal exchange rate peg, by mitigating relative wage and price fluctuations, increases welfare relative to a float. Given the current low level of labor and product market development across most agricultural commodity exporters, the study provides a counterpoint to conventional arguments in favor of flexible exchange rates and a rationale as to why exchange rate targeting is appropriate in agricultural economies.

Currencies, Commodities and Consumption

Author : Kenneth W. Clements
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 1139619616
Total Pages : 401 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (396 download)

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Book Synopsis Currencies, Commodities and Consumption by : Kenneth W. Clements

Download or read book Currencies, Commodities and Consumption written by Kenneth W. Clements and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2013-01-31 with total page 401 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Currency values, prices, consumption and incomes are at the heart of the economic performance of all countries. In order to make a meaningful comparison between one economy and another, economists routinely make use of purchasing power parity (PPP) exchange rates, but while PPP rates are widely used and well understood, they take a lot of effort to produce and suffer from publication delays. Currencies, Commodities and Consumption analyses the strengths and weaknesses of two alternatives to PPP. Firstly, the so-called Big Mac Index, which uses hamburger prices as a standard of measurement, and second, a less well known technique which infers incomes across countries based on the proportion of consumption devoted to food. Kenneth W. Clements uses international macroeconomics, microeconomic theory and econometrics to provide researchers and policy makers with insights into alternatives to PPP rates and make sense of the ongoing instability of exchange rates and commodity prices.

Toward an Explanation of National Price Levels

Author : Irving B. Kravis
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 48 pages
Book Rating : 4.F/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Toward an Explanation of National Price Levels by : Irving B. Kravis

Download or read book Toward an Explanation of National Price Levels written by Irving B. Kravis and published by . This book was released on 1983 with total page 48 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "The purpose of this paper is to call attention to the need for a theory of comparative national price levels and to explore some of the elements that seem to belong to such a theory. Most theoretical discussions have maintained that national price levels tend towards equality and focus on presumably temporary divergences from equality. Yet strong evidence has been accumulating that there are large and long-standing differences inprice levels, the highest of which are more than twice those of countries with the lowest prices. Long-run price level differences are most clearly related to levels of real per capita output, with richer countries having higher price levels.These differences have been explained as resulting from greater advantages in productivity for the wealthier countries in goods production, mostly tradable, than in services production, mostly nontradable. The differences in relative productivity may be in total factor productivity or only in labor productivity, reflecting the greater capital intensity of goods production and possibly a higher elasticity of substitution between capital and labor in goods production.We find in the empirical analysis that a large part of the differences in price levels can be explained by structural factors such as real GDP per capita, the degree of openness of the economy, and the share of nontradable goods in output. The only non-structural factor emerging from a preliminary analysis of several of these was the rate of growth of the quantity of money"--NBER website

The Volatility of the Relative Price of Commodities In Terms of Manufactures Across Exchange Regimes

Author : Ms.Hong Liang
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1451980639
Total Pages : 22 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (519 download)

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Book Synopsis The Volatility of the Relative Price of Commodities In Terms of Manufactures Across Exchange Regimes by : Ms.Hong Liang

Download or read book The Volatility of the Relative Price of Commodities In Terms of Manufactures Across Exchange Regimes written by Ms.Hong Liang and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1998-12-01 with total page 22 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper investigates the relationship between the nominal exchange rate regime and the volatility of relative commodity prices. The analysis shows that the relationship depends upon both the market structure and the economic agent’s perception about future exchange rate movements. When the markets for manufactured goods are less competitive than the markets for primary commodities, the volatility of relative commodity prices rises when exchange rate uncertainty increases. If demand for manufactured goods is intertemporally dependent, even a small increase in exchange rate uncertainty can result in potentially large costs in terms of increased relative commodity price instability.

Real Exchange Rates and Commodity Prices

Author : Dominique Y. Dupont
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 66 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (129 download)

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Book Synopsis Real Exchange Rates and Commodity Prices by : Dominique Y. Dupont

Download or read book Real Exchange Rates and Commodity Prices written by Dominique Y. Dupont and published by . This book was released on 2006 with total page 66 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper examines the relations between fluctuations in real exchange rates among the major currencies and fluctuations in real commodity prices. Increased exchange rate volatility calls for a better understanding of these relations. To the best of our knowledge, no systematic study of those effects has been performed on a wide range of commodities, although Sjaastad and Scacciavillani (1993) have done so for gold. We build on their approach and construct a supply and demand multi-country model, with world market clearing, which incorporates speculative and non-speculative demands for inventories and quot;staticquot; and quot;rationalquot; expectations. We estimate the model using several econometric methods on monthly data from January 1972 to January 1992 for 65 commodity prices. The paper finds that, for a small group of commodities, the dollar-denominated price is significantly influenced by the deutsche mark and the yen. The empirical results show that geographical proximity matters, and that supply and demand elasticities are important in determining the commodity price in world markets above and beyond the size of the share of those commodities in world trade.

A Two-country Rational Expectations Model of Joint Exchange Rate and Commodity Price Determination

Author : Paul Kofman
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 50 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis A Two-country Rational Expectations Model of Joint Exchange Rate and Commodity Price Determination by : Paul Kofman

Download or read book A Two-country Rational Expectations Model of Joint Exchange Rate and Commodity Price Determination written by Paul Kofman and published by . This book was released on 1992 with total page 50 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Unveiling the Effects of Foreign Exchange Intervention

Author : Gustavo Adler
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1513514865
Total Pages : 42 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (135 download)

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Book Synopsis Unveiling the Effects of Foreign Exchange Intervention by : Gustavo Adler

Download or read book Unveiling the Effects of Foreign Exchange Intervention written by Gustavo Adler and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2015-06-23 with total page 42 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We study the effect of foreign exchange intervention on the exchange rate relying on an instrumental-variables panel approach. We find robust evidence that intervention affects the level of the exchange rate in an economically meaningful way. A purchase of foreign currency of 1 percentage point of GDP causes a depreciation of the nominal and real exchange rates in the ranges of [1.7-2.0] percent and [1.4-1.7] percent respectively. The effects are found to be quite persistent. The paper also explores possible asymmetric effects, and whether effectiveness depends on the depth of domestic financial markets.

Terms of Trade and Real Exchange Rates

Author : Robert A. Amano
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 52 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Terms of Trade and Real Exchange Rates by : Robert A. Amano

Download or read book Terms of Trade and Real Exchange Rates written by Robert A. Amano and published by . This book was released on 1993 with total page 52 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Exchange Rates and Commodity Prices

Author : Hui Jun Zhang
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 36 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (13 download)

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Book Synopsis Exchange Rates and Commodity Prices by : Hui Jun Zhang

Download or read book Exchange Rates and Commodity Prices written by Hui Jun Zhang and published by . This book was released on 2015 with total page 36 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Different causal mechanisms have been proposed to link commodity prices and exchange rates, with opposing implications. We examine these causal relationships empirically, using data on three commodities (crude oil, gold, copper) and four countries (Canada, Australia, Norway, Chile), over the period 1986-2015. To go beyond pure significance tests of Granger non-causality and provide a relatively complete picture of the links, measures of the strength of causality for different horizons and directions are estimated and compared. Since low-frequency data may easily fail to capture important features of the relevant causal links, daily and some 5-minute data are exploited. Both unconditional and conditional (given general stock market conditions and short-term interest rates) causality measures are considered, and allowance for “dollar effects” is made by considering non-U.S. dollar exchange rates. We identify clear causal patterns: (1) there is evidence of Granger causality between commodity prices and exchange rates in both directions across multiple horizons, but the statistical evidence and measured intensity of the effects are much stronger in the direction of commodity prices to exchange rates, especially at horizon one: the ratios of causality measures in two different directions can be quite high; (2) causality is stronger at short horizons, and becomes vweaker as the horizon increases; (3) conditioning on equity prices (the S&P500) does not change the patterns of causality measures found in the unconditional cases; (4) the main results are robust to eliminating U.S.-dollar denomination effects and including a short-term interest rate as the conditioning variable. In contrast with earlier results on the non-predictability of exchange rates, we find that the macroeconomic/trade-based mechanism plays a central role in exchange-rate dynamics, despite the financial feature of these markets.

Financial Markets for Commodities

Author : Joel Priolon
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 1119579201
Total Pages : 188 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (195 download)

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Book Synopsis Financial Markets for Commodities by : Joel Priolon

Download or read book Financial Markets for Commodities written by Joel Priolon and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2019-01-03 with total page 188 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Agricultural, energy or mineral commodities are traded internationally in two market categories: physical markets and financial markets. More specifically, on the financial markets, contracts are negotiated, the price of which depends on the price of a commodity. These contracts are called derivatives (futures, options contracts, swaps). This book presents, on the one hand, the characteristics of these derivatives and the markets on which they are traded and, on the other hand, those transactions that typically combine an action on the physical market and a transaction on the corresponding financial market. The understanding of commodity financial markets mainly relies on the resources of economic analysis, especially the financial economy, because the use of this discipline is essential to understanding the major operations that are conducted daily by the operators of these markets: traders, producers, processors, financiers.

The Economics and Finance of Commodity Price Shocks

Author : Mikidadu Mohammed
Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 1000485129
Total Pages : 215 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (4 download)

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Book Synopsis The Economics and Finance of Commodity Price Shocks by : Mikidadu Mohammed

Download or read book The Economics and Finance of Commodity Price Shocks written by Mikidadu Mohammed and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2021-11-25 with total page 215 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The behaviour of commodity prices never ceases to marvel economists, financial analysts, industry experts, and policymakers. Unexpected swings in commodity prices used to occur infrequently but have now become a permanent feature of global commodity markets. This book is about modelling commodity price shocks. It is intended to provide insights into the theoretical, conceptual, and empirical modelling of the underlying causes of global commodity price shocks. Three main objectives motivated the writing of this book. First, to provide a variety of modelling frameworks for documenting the frequency and intensity of commodity price shocks. Second, to evaluate existing approaches used for forecasting large movements in future commodity prices. Third, to cover a wide range and aspects of global commodities including currencies, rare–hard–lustrous transition metals, agricultural commodities, energy, and health pandemics. Some attempts have already been made towards modelling commodity price shocks. However, most tend to narrowly focus on a subset of commodity markets, i.e., agricultural commodities market and/or the energy market. In this book, the author moves the needle forward by operationalizing different models, which allow researchers to identify the underlying causes and effects of commodity price shocks. Readers also learn about different commodity price forecasting models. The author presents the topics to readers assuming less prior or specialist knowledge. Thus, the book is accessible to industry analysts, researchers, undergraduate and graduate students in economics and financial economics, academic and professional economists, investors, and financial professionals working in different sectors of the commodity markets. Another advantage of the book’s approach is that readers are not only exposed to several innovative modelling techniques to add to their modelling toolbox but are also exposed to diverse empirical applications of the techniques presented.