Covered Interest Parity Deviations: Macrofinancial Determinants

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1484395212
Total Pages : 36 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (843 download)

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Book Synopsis Covered Interest Parity Deviations: Macrofinancial Determinants by : Mr.Eugenio M Cerutti

Download or read book Covered Interest Parity Deviations: Macrofinancial Determinants written by Mr.Eugenio M Cerutti and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2019-01-16 with total page 36 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: For about three decades until the Global Financial Crisis (GFC), Covered Interest Parity (CIP) appeared to hold quite closely—even as a broad macroeconomic relationship applying to daily or weekly data. Not only have CIP deviations significantly increased since the GFC, but potential macrofinancial drivers of the variation in CIP deviations have also become significant. The variation in CIP deviations seems to be associated with multiple factors, not only regulatory changes. Most of these do not display a uniform importance across currency pairs and time, and some are associated with possible temporary considerations (such as asynchronous monetary policy cycles).

Exchange Rates and Interest Parity

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (129 download)

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Book Synopsis Exchange Rates and Interest Parity by : Charles Engel

Download or read book Exchange Rates and Interest Parity written by Charles Engel and published by . This book was released on 2013 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper surveys recent theoretical and empirical contributions on foreign exchange rate determination. The paper first considers monetary models under uncovered interest parity and rational expectations. Then the paper considers deviations from UIP/rational expectations: foreign exchange risk premium, private information, near-rational expectations, and peso problems.

Uncovered Interest Parity

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 14 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (318 download)

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Book Synopsis Uncovered Interest Parity by : Mr.Peter Isard

Download or read book Uncovered Interest Parity written by Mr.Peter Isard and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1991-05 with total page 14 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This note provides an overview of the uncovered interest parity assumption. It traces the history of the interest parity concept, summarizes evidence on the empirical validity of uncovered interest parity, and discusses the implications for macroeconomic analysis. The uncovered interest parity assumption has been an important building block in multiperiod and continuous time models of open economies, and although its validity is strongly challenged by the empirical evidence, its retention in macroeconomic models is supported on pragmatic grounds, at least for the time being, by the lack of much empirical support for existing models of the exchange risk premium.

Exchange Rate Economics

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Publisher : Edward Elgar Publishing
ISBN 13 : 1781006814
Total Pages : 217 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (81 download)

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Book Synopsis Exchange Rate Economics by : Norman C. Miller

Download or read book Exchange Rate Economics written by Norman C. Miller and published by Edward Elgar Publishing. This book was released on 2014-09-26 with total page 217 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Uncovered Interest Parity (UIP) puzzle has remained a moot point since it first circulated economic discourse in 1984 and, despite a number of attempts at a solution, the UIP puzzle and other anomalies in Exchange Rate Economics continue to perplex

Seasonal Movements of Exchange Rates and Interest Rates Under the Pre-World War I Gold Standard

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Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 1351717057
Total Pages : 261 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (517 download)

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Book Synopsis Seasonal Movements of Exchange Rates and Interest Rates Under the Pre-World War I Gold Standard by : Ellen Foster

Download or read book Seasonal Movements of Exchange Rates and Interest Rates Under the Pre-World War I Gold Standard written by Ellen Foster and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2017-04-21 with total page 261 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Originally published in 1994. This work investigates seasonal fluctuations of US and British short term nominal interest rates, the dollar-sterling exchange rate and short term interest rate differentials between the US and Britain during the period 1883-1913. It finds that during the pre-World War Gold Standard seasonal movements in exchange rates did not tend to offset the seasonal fluctuations in interest rate differentials. It presents a model to explain the fluctuations and outlines two specific empirical investigations, considering the results in the light of more recent historical periods as well.

International Parity Conditions

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Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 1349255238
Total Pages : 389 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (492 download)

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Book Synopsis International Parity Conditions by : Razzaque H. Bhatti

Download or read book International Parity Conditions written by Razzaque H. Bhatti and published by Springer. This book was released on 2016-07-27 with total page 389 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book presents an extensive survey of the theory and empirics of international parity conditions which are critical to our understanding of the linkages between world markets and the movement of interest and exchange rates across countries. The book falls into three parts dealing with the theory, methods of econometric testing and existing empirical evidence. Although it is intended to provide a consensus view on the subject, the authors also make some controversial propositions, particularly on the purchasing power parity conditions.

Uncovered Interest Parity

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 16 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (318 download)

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Book Synopsis Uncovered Interest Parity by : Peter Isard

Download or read book Uncovered Interest Parity written by Peter Isard and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2006-04 with total page 16 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper provides an overview of the uncovered interest parity assumption. It traces the history of the interest parity concept, summarizes evidence on the empirical validity of uncovered interest parity, and discusses different interpretations of the evidence and the implications for macroeconomic analysis. The uncovered interest parity assumption has been an important building block in multiperiod models of open economies, and although its validity is strongly challenged by the empirical evidence, at least at short time horizons, its retention in macroeconomic models is supported on pragmatic grounds by the lack of much empirical support for existing models of the exchange risk premium.

Foreign Exchange Rates

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Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 1000357317
Total Pages : 83 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (3 download)

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Book Synopsis Foreign Exchange Rates by : Arif Orçun Söylemez

Download or read book Foreign Exchange Rates written by Arif Orçun Söylemez and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2021-02-07 with total page 83 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Predicting foreign exchange rates has presented a long-standing challenge for economists. However, the recent advances in computational techniques, statistical methods, newer datasets on emerging market currencies, etc., offer some hope. While we are still unable to beat a driftless random walk model, there has been serious progress in the field. This book provides an in-depth assessment of the use of novel statistical approaches and machine learning tools in predicting foreign exchange rate movement. First, it offers a historical account of how exchange rate regimes have evolved over time, which is critical to understanding turning points in a historical time series. It then presents an overview of the previous attempts at modeling exchange rates, and how different methods fared during this process. At the core sections of the book, the author examines the time series characteristics of exchange rates and how contemporary statistics and machine learning can be useful in improving predictive power, compared to previous methods used. Exchange rate determination is an active research area, and this book will appeal to graduate-level students of international economics, international finance, open economy macroeconomics, and management. The book is written in a clear, engaging, and straightforward way, and will greatly improve access to this much-needed knowledge in the field.

Exchange Rate Policy

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Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 1349168637
Total Pages : 255 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (491 download)

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Book Synopsis Exchange Rate Policy by : R. Batchelor

Download or read book Exchange Rate Policy written by R. Batchelor and published by Springer. This book was released on 1982-09-30 with total page 255 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Co-Movements in Long-Term Interest Rates and the Role of PPP-Based Exchange Rate Expectations

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Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1451850344
Total Pages : 29 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (518 download)

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Book Synopsis Co-Movements in Long-Term Interest Rates and the Role of PPP-Based Exchange Rate Expectations by : Jan Marc Berk

Download or read book Co-Movements in Long-Term Interest Rates and the Role of PPP-Based Exchange Rate Expectations written by Jan Marc Berk and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1999-06-01 with total page 29 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper investigates international co-movement in bond yields by testing for uncovered interest parity (UIP). Existing work is supplemented by focusing on long instead of short-term interest rates and by employing exchange rate expectations derived from purchasing power parity (PPP) instead of actual outcomes. Among the major currencies during 1975-97, the paper does not find a further increase in co-movement beyond that associated with the wave of financial market liberalization in the early 1980s. Given the similarity between PPP-based UIP tests and those employing actual exchange rate outcomes, the value added of the former lies mainly with data availability.

Handbook of Exchange Rates

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Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 1118445775
Total Pages : 674 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (184 download)

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Book Synopsis Handbook of Exchange Rates by : Jessica James

Download or read book Handbook of Exchange Rates written by Jessica James and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2012-05-29 with total page 674 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Praise for Handbook of Exchange Rates “This book is remarkable. I expect it to become the anchor reference for people working in the foreign exchange field.” —Richard K. Lyons, Dean and Professor of Finance, Haas School of Business, University of California Berkeley “It is quite easily the most wide ranging treaty of expertise on the forex market I have ever come across. I will be keeping a copy close to my fingertips.” —Jim O’Neill, Chairman, Goldman Sachs Asset Management How should we evaluate the forecasting power of models? What are appropriate loss functions for major market participants? Is the exchange rate the only means of adjustment? Handbook of Exchange Rates answers these questions and many more, equipping readers with the relevant concepts and policies for working in today’s international economic climate. Featuring contributions written by leading specialists from the global financial arena, this handbook provides a collection of original ideas on foreign exchange (FX) rates in four succinct sections: • Overview introduces the history of the FX market and exchange rate regimes, discussing key instruments in the trading environment as well as macro and micro approaches to FX determination. • Exchange Rate Models and Methods focuses on forecasting exchange rates, featuring methodological contributions on the statistical methods for evaluating forecast performance, parity relationships, fair value models, and flow–based models. • FX Markets and Products outlines active currency management, currency hedging, hedge accounting; high frequency and algorithmic trading in FX; and FX strategy-based products. • FX Markets and Policy explores the current policies in place in global markets and presents a framework for analyzing financial crises. Throughout the book, topics are explored in-depth alongside their founding principles. Each chapter uses real-world examples from the financial industry and concludes with a summary that outlines key points and concepts. Handbook of Exchange Rates is an essential reference for fund managers and investors as well as practitioners and researchers working in finance, banking, business, and econometrics. The book also serves as a valuable supplement for courses on economics, business, and international finance at the upper-undergraduate and graduate levels.

Deviations From Uncovered Interest Parity

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1451941641
Total Pages : 25 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (519 download)

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Book Synopsis Deviations From Uncovered Interest Parity by : Mr.Evan Tanner

Download or read book Deviations From Uncovered Interest Parity written by Mr.Evan Tanner and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1998-08-01 with total page 25 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Ex-post deviations from uncovered interest parity (UIP) – realized differences between dollar returns on identical assets of different currencies – equal the real interest differential plus real exchange rate growth. Among industrialized countries, UIP deviations are largely explained by unanticipated real exchange rate growth, but among developing countries, real interest differentials are “where the action is.” This observation is due to the greater variability of inflation in developing countries, but may also stem from higher and more variable risks and capital controls in these countries. Also, among developing countries with moderate inflation, offsetting comovements of real interest differentials and real exchange growth support the sticky-price hypothesis.

Nominal Exchange Rates and Nominal Interest Rate Differentials

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1451856164
Total Pages : 42 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (518 download)

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Book Synopsis Nominal Exchange Rates and Nominal Interest Rate Differentials by : Mr.Francisco Nadal De Simone

Download or read book Nominal Exchange Rates and Nominal Interest Rate Differentials written by Mr.Francisco Nadal De Simone and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1999-10-01 with total page 42 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper reexamines some unsettled theoretical and empirical issues regarding the relationship between nominal exchange rates and interest rate differentials and provides a model for the behavior of exchange rates in the long run, where interest rates are determined in the bond market. The model predicts that an increase in the interest rate differential appreciates the home currency. We test the model for the U.S. dollar against the Deutsche mark, the British pound, the Japanese yen, and the Canadian dollar. The first two pairs of exchange rates—for which purchasing power parity seems to hold—display a strong relationship with interest rate differentials.

Do Exchange Rates Move in Line With Uncovered Interest Parity?

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 7 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (129 download)

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Book Synopsis Do Exchange Rates Move in Line With Uncovered Interest Parity? by : Ronald Huisman

Download or read book Do Exchange Rates Move in Line With Uncovered Interest Parity? written by Ronald Huisman and published by . This book was released on 2013 with total page 7 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: According to uncovered interest rate Parity (UIP), the expected relative change in an exchange rate is equal to the difference between interest rates between the two currencies. Empirically, UIP is frequently rejected. In this paper, we examine whether exchange rates have at least any tendency to move in the direction predicted by UIP and whether exchange rates tend to move more in line with UIP in periods with large interest rate differentials.

On Exchange Rates

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Publisher : MIT Press
ISBN 13 : 9780262061544
Total Pages : 468 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (615 download)

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Book Synopsis On Exchange Rates by : Jeffrey A. Frankel

Download or read book On Exchange Rates written by Jeffrey A. Frankel and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 1993 with total page 468 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: These seventeen essays provide an accessible and thorough reference for understanding the role of exchange rates in the international monetary system since 1973, when the rates were allowed to float. The essays analyze such issues as exchange rate movements, exchange risk premia, investor expectations of exchange rates and behavior of exchange rates in different systems. Frankel's sound empirical treatment of exchange rate questions shows that it is possible to produce work that is interesting from a purely intellectual viewpoint while contributing to practical knowledge of the real world of international economics and finance.The essays have been organized in a way that provides an introduction to the field of empirical international finance. Part I documents the steady reduction in barriers to international capital movement and leads logically to part II, which explains how exchange rates are determined. Both monetary and portfolio-based models are surveyed in part II, providing a clear transition to the topic of part III; the possible existence of an exchange risk premium. Part IV applies the tools discussed in earlier sections to explore various policy questions related to exchange rate expectations such as whether foreign exchange intervention matters and whether the European monetary system had become credible by 1991. Each part begins with a detailed introduction explaining not only the central issues of that section but also suggesting connections with other essays in the book.Jeffrey A. Frankel is Professor of Economics at the University of California, Berkeley.

Nonlinearity in Deviations from Uncovered Interest Parity: An Explanation of the Forward Bias Puzzle

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 48 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (318 download)

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Book Synopsis Nonlinearity in Deviations from Uncovered Interest Parity: An Explanation of the Forward Bias Puzzle by : Lucio Sarno

Download or read book Nonlinearity in Deviations from Uncovered Interest Parity: An Explanation of the Forward Bias Puzzle written by Lucio Sarno and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2006-05 with total page 48 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We provide empirical evidence that deviations from uncovered interest rate parity (UIP) display significant nonlinearities, consistent with theories based on transaction costs or limits to speculation. This evidence suggests that the forward bias documented in the literature may be less indicative of major market inefficiencies than previously thought. Monte Carlo experiments allow us to reconcile these results with the large empirical literature on the forward bias puzzle since we show that, if the true process of UIP deviations were of the nonlinear form we consider, estimation of conventional spot-forward regressions would generate the anomalies documented in previous research.

Floating Exchange Rates

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Author :
Publisher : Allen & Unwin Australia
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 340 pages
Book Rating : 4.F/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Floating Exchange Rates by : Ronald MacDonald

Download or read book Floating Exchange Rates written by Ronald MacDonald and published by Allen & Unwin Australia. This book was released on 1988 with total page 340 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: