Estimation of Equilibrium Exchange Rates in the Waemu

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 54 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (815 download)

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Book Synopsis Estimation of Equilibrium Exchange Rates in the Waemu by : Magnus Saxegaard

Download or read book Estimation of Equilibrium Exchange Rates in the Waemu written by Magnus Saxegaard and published by . This book was released on 2007 with total page 54 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Using the FEER approach we investigate the long-run equilibrium paths of the real effective exchange rates (REERs) of countries in the West African Economic and Monetary Union (WAEMU). In an attempt to address econometric estimation uncertainty, we employ both single-country (Johansen and ARDL) and panel-data (FMOLS and PMG) cointegration techniques. We find that (i) much of the long-run behavior of REERs in WAEMU countries can be explained by fluctuations in terms of trade, government consumption, investment, and productivity; (ii) the use of different econometric techniques suggests that there is significant uncertainty about the path of the underlying equilibrium REERs and the degree of exchange rate misalignment, which underscores the need for robustness analyses in exchange rate modeling; and (iii) results from panel-data cointegration may sometimes be useful, but should always be complemented with single-country estimations to ensure that the results take into account country-specific characteristics.

Estimation of Equilibrium Exchange Rates in the WAEMU

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Publisher : INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND
ISBN 13 : 9781451867589
Total Pages : 54 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (675 download)

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Book Synopsis Estimation of Equilibrium Exchange Rates in the WAEMU by : Mr.Charalambos G. Tsangarides

Download or read book Estimation of Equilibrium Exchange Rates in the WAEMU written by Mr.Charalambos G. Tsangarides and published by INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND. This book was released on 2007-08-01 with total page 54 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Using the FEER approach we investigate the long-run equilibrium paths of the real effective exchange rates (REERs) of countries in the West African Economic and Monetary Union (WAEMU). In an attempt to address econometric estimation uncertainty, we employ both single-country (Johansen and ARDL) and panel-data (FMOLS and PMG) cointegration techniques. We find that (i) much of the long-run behavior of REERs in WAEMU countries can be explained by fluctuations in terms of trade, government consumption, investment, and productivity; (ii) the use of different econometric techniques suggests that there is significant uncertainty about the path of the underlying equilibrium REERs and the degree of exchange rate misalignment, which underscores the need for robustness analyses in exchange rate modeling; and (iii) results from panel-data cointegration may sometimes be useful, but should always be complemented with single-country estimations to ensure that the results take into account country-specific characteristics.

Equilibrium Exchange Rates

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Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 9401144117
Total Pages : 353 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (11 download)

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Book Synopsis Equilibrium Exchange Rates by : Ronald MacDonald

Download or read book Equilibrium Exchange Rates written by Ronald MacDonald and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 353 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: How successful is PPP, and its extension in the monetary model, as a measure of the equilibrium exchange rate? What are the determinants and dynamics of equilibrium real exchange rates? How can misalignments be measured, and what are their causes? What are the effects of specific policies upon the equilibrium exchange rate? The answers to these questions are important to academic theorists, policymakers, international bankers and investment fund managers. This volume encompasses all of the competing views of equilibrium exchange rate determination, from PPP, through other reduced form models, to the macroeconomic balance approach. This volume is essentially empirical: what do we know about exchange rates? The different econometric and theoretical approaches taken by the various authors in this volume lead to mutually consistent conclusions. This consistency gives us confidence that significant progress has been made in understanding what are the fundamental determinants of exchange rates and what are the forces operating to bring them back in line with the fundamentals.

In Search of Equilibrium

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 46 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (318 download)

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Book Synopsis In Search of Equilibrium by : Alexander Chudik

Download or read book In Search of Equilibrium written by Alexander Chudik and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2007-04 with total page 46 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper presents a methodology to estimate equilibrium real exchange rates (ERER) for Sub-Saharan African (SSA) countries using both single-country and panel estimation techniques. The limited data set hinders single-country estimation for most countries in the sample, but panel estimates are statistically and economically significant, and generally robust to different estimation techniques. The results replicate well the historical experience for a number of countries in the sample. Panel techniques can also be used to derive out of sample estimates for countries with a more limited data set.

Equilibrium Exchange Rates

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 54 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (318 download)

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Book Synopsis Equilibrium Exchange Rates by : Peter Isard

Download or read book Equilibrium Exchange Rates written by Peter Isard and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2007-12 with total page 54 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The paper describes six different methodologies that have been used to assess the equilibrium values of exchange rates and discusses their limitations. It applies several of the approaches to data for the United States as of 2006, illustrates that different approaches sometimes provide substantially different assessments, and asks which methodologies deserve the most weight in such situations. It argues that while it is generally desirable to consider the implications of several different approaches, since different approaches provide different types of perspectives, two of the methodologies seem particularly relevant for identifying threats to macroeconomic stability and growth.

Estimating the Equilibrium Real Exchange Rate

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 30 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (318 download)

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Book Synopsis Estimating the Equilibrium Real Exchange Rate by : Tarhan Feyzioglu

Download or read book Estimating the Equilibrium Real Exchange Rate written by Tarhan Feyzioglu and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1997-09 with total page 30 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: There is a wealth of theoretical and empirical work on the determinants of the equilibrium real exchange rate. One important strand of the literature is associated with Williamson's seminal work (Williamson 1985), which has its roots in an approach developed at the IMF (Artus 1977).2 Williamson defines the fundamental equilibrium exchange rate, FEER, as the rate that is consistent with the simultaneous achievement of internal and external balance. Internal balance is defined as the level of economic activity that keeps the inflation rate constant. In Williamson's approach, the concept of external balance contains a normative element: the external position is balanced if the external current account (once adjusted for cyclical movements) can be regarded not only as sustainable (that is, meeting the country's intertemporal budget constraint), but also as appropriate (for example, based on desired levels of saving and investment). In order to determine the FEER, it is first necessary to formulate an econometric model for the trade sector that captures the relationships among output, current account, demand, and competitiveness. The FEER is then calculated as the exchange rate that maintains internal and external equilibrium. A critical summary of this approach by Black (1994) points out that serious questions remain concerning the normative choices on the model to be used, particularly the target for the current account.

Estimating Equilibrium Exchange Rates

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Publisher : Peterson Institute
ISBN 13 : 9780881320763
Total Pages : 608 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (27 download)

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Book Synopsis Estimating Equilibrium Exchange Rates by : John Williamson

Download or read book Estimating Equilibrium Exchange Rates written by John Williamson and published by Peterson Institute. This book was released on 1994 with total page 608 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The problems of exchange rate misalignments and the resulting payments imbalances have plagued the world economy for decades. At the Louvre Accord of 1987, the Group of Five industrial countries adopted a system of reference ranges for exchange rate management, influenced by proposals of C. Fred Bergstan and John Williamson for a target zone system. The reference range approach has, however, been operated only intermittently and half-heartedly, and questions continue to be raised in policy and scholarly circles about the design and operation of a full-fledged target zone regime. This volume, with chapters by leading international economists, explores one crucial issue in the design of a target zone system: the problem of calculating Williamson's concept of the fundamental equilibrium exchange rate (FEER). Williamson contributes an overview of the policy and analytic issues and a second chapter on his own calculations.

Estimation of the Equilibrium Real Exchange Rate for Malawi

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 30 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (318 download)

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Book Synopsis Estimation of the Equilibrium Real Exchange Rate for Malawi by : Johan Mathisen

Download or read book Estimation of the Equilibrium Real Exchange Rate for Malawi written by Johan Mathisen and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2003-05 with total page 30 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper computes Malawi's equilibrium real exchange rate as a function of its fundamentals as derived from economic theory. It finds evidence in favor of the equilibrium approach to exchange rate determination, with several variables (particularly government consumption and real per capita growth) found to drive movements in the time-varying equilibrium real exchange rate. The results also indicate that following a shock there is a rapid reversion of the real exchange rate to its time-varying equilibrium, with a half-life of reversion of about 11 months.

Estimation of Real Equilibrium Exchange Rates

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 84 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Estimation of Real Equilibrium Exchange Rates by : Jan Hansen

Download or read book Estimation of Real Equilibrium Exchange Rates written by Jan Hansen and published by . This book was released on 2000 with total page 84 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Exchange Rate Analysis in Support of IMF Surveillance

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1589067282
Total Pages : 352 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (89 download)

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Book Synopsis Exchange Rate Analysis in Support of IMF Surveillance by : Mr.Charalambos G. Tsangarides

Download or read book Exchange Rate Analysis in Support of IMF Surveillance written by Mr.Charalambos G. Tsangarides and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2008-09-08 with total page 352 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Exchange rate analysis lies at the center of the IMF's surveillance mandate and policy advice, as well as in the design of IMF-supported programs, and IMF staff are called upon to analyze a wide variety of exchange rate issues in various member countries, both small and large, from the least economically developed to the most advanced, and from those whose currencies circulate only locally to those whose currencies are of global importance. Each year, IMF staff produce dozens of studies on exchange rate issues, some published by the IMF, others in various professional journals or books. This book aims to give a flavor of the topics the IMF staff typically examine under the broad rubric of exchange rate analysis, encompassing several topics: determination and impact of the real exchange rate, assessing competitiveness and the equilibrium real exchange rate in specific countries or country groups, and considerations in the choice of exchange rate regime.

The Purchasing Power Estimation of Equilibrium Exchange Rates

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 20 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (126 download)

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Book Synopsis The Purchasing Power Estimation of Equilibrium Exchange Rates by : Jorge Salazar-Carrillo

Download or read book The Purchasing Power Estimation of Equilibrium Exchange Rates written by Jorge Salazar-Carrillo and published by . This book was released on 1981 with total page 20 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Estimation of Equilibrium Exchange Rates in the WAEMU

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 62 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (318 download)

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Book Synopsis Estimation of Equilibrium Exchange Rates in the WAEMU by : Stéphane Roudet

Download or read book Estimation of Equilibrium Exchange Rates in the WAEMU written by Stéphane Roudet and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2007 with total page 62 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Using the FEER approach we investigate the long-run equilibrium paths of the real effective exchange rates (REERs) of countries in the West African Economic and Monetary Union (WAEMU). In an attempt to address econometric estimation uncertainty, we employ both single-country (Johansen and ARDL) and panel-data (FMOLS and PMG) cointegration techniques. We find that (i) much of the long-run behavior of REERs in WAEMU countries can be explained by fluctuations in terms of trade, government consumption, investment, and productivity; (ii) the use of different econometric techniques suggests that there is significant uncertainty about the path of the underlying equilibrium REERs and the degree of exchange rate misalignment, which underscores the need for robustness analyses in exchange rate modeling; and (iii) results from panel-data cointegration may sometimes be useful, but should always be complemented with single-country estimations to ensure that the results take into account country-specific characteristics

A Network Model of Multilaterally Equilibrium Exchange Rates

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1475534094
Total Pages : 23 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (755 download)

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Book Synopsis A Network Model of Multilaterally Equilibrium Exchange Rates by : Mr.Alexei P Kireyev

Download or read book A Network Model of Multilaterally Equilibrium Exchange Rates written by Mr.Alexei P Kireyev and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2016-09-07 with total page 23 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper proposes a network model of multilaterally equilibrium exchange rates. The model introduces a topological component into the exchange rate analysis, consistently taking into account simultaneous higher-order interactions among all currencies. The paper defines the currency demand indicator. On its base, it derives a multilateral exchange rate network, finds its dynamically stationary position, and identifies the multilaterally equilibrium levels of bilateral exchanges rates. Potentially, the model can be developed further to calculate the deviations of the observed bilateral exchange rates from their multilaterally equilibrium levels, which can be interpreted as their over- or undervaluation. For illustration, the model is applied to daily 1995-2016 exchange rates among 130 currencies sourced from the Thomson Reuters Datastream.

Robustness of Equilibrium Exchange Rate Calculations to Alternative Assumptions and Methodologies

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 58 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (318 download)

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Book Synopsis Robustness of Equilibrium Exchange Rate Calculations to Alternative Assumptions and Methodologies by : Tamim Bayoumi

Download or read book Robustness of Equilibrium Exchange Rate Calculations to Alternative Assumptions and Methodologies written by Tamim Bayoumi and published by . This book was released on 1994 with total page 58 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

A Fair Exchange? Theory and Practice of Calculating Equilibrium Exchange Rates

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Publisher : INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND
ISBN 13 : 9781451862485
Total Pages : 28 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (624 download)

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Book Synopsis A Fair Exchange? Theory and Practice of Calculating Equilibrium Exchange Rates by : Tamim Bayoumi

Download or read book A Fair Exchange? Theory and Practice of Calculating Equilibrium Exchange Rates written by Tamim Bayoumi and published by INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND. This book was released on 2005-12-01 with total page 28 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We develop a theory-based model of equilibrium exchange rates incorporating factors that have been found to matter empirically. The model provides insights into how variables should be measured and what are appropriate cross-country restrictions. We estimate this model using a panel of 12 industrial countries. The model fits the data relatively well, implying relatively fast adjustment to equilibrium and outperforming a random walk at longer horizons. Furthermore, we find that the rate of adjustment depends on the distance from equilibrium, suggesting that part of the explanation for slow adjustment is inaccurate measures of equilibrium.

The Exchange Rate System

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 112 pages
Book Rating : 4.F/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis The Exchange Rate System by : John Williamson

Download or read book The Exchange Rate System written by John Williamson and published by . This book was released on 1983 with total page 112 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Now available directly from: IIE 11 Dupont Circle, NW Washington, DC 20036 Tel: (202) 328-9000 This book examines the system of flexible exchange rates, estimating misalignments of major currencies and analyzing costs and benefits of volatility and deviations from equilibrium. It considers target zones, reference rates, and other alternatives for stabilizing the system.

IEO Evaluation of Exchange Rate Policy

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 158 pages
Book Rating : 4.F/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis IEO Evaluation of Exchange Rate Policy by : Shinji Takagi

Download or read book IEO Evaluation of Exchange Rate Policy written by Shinji Takagi and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2007-08-22 with total page 158 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The IMF is charged by its Articles of Agreement and a 1977 Executive Board Decision to exercise surveillance over the international monetary system and members’ exchange rate policies. The overriding question addressed by this evaluation is whether, over the 1999–2005 period, the IMF fulfilled this core responsibility. The main finding is that the IMF was simply not as effective as it needs to be in both its analysis and advice and in its dialogue with member countries. The evidence supporting this conclusion, along with other key findings, is set out in this report. The report also presents a detailed set of recommendations that could go a long way in improving the quality and effectiveness of IMF surveillance.