Estimation Of A Dynamic Linear Model

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Dynamic Linear Models with R

Author : Giovanni Petris
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 0387772383
Total Pages : 258 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (877 download)

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Book Synopsis Dynamic Linear Models with R by : Giovanni Petris

Download or read book Dynamic Linear Models with R written by Giovanni Petris and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2009-06-12 with total page 258 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: State space models have gained tremendous popularity in recent years in as disparate fields as engineering, economics, genetics and ecology. After a detailed introduction to general state space models, this book focuses on dynamic linear models, emphasizing their Bayesian analysis. Whenever possible it is shown how to compute estimates and forecasts in closed form; for more complex models, simulation techniques are used. A final chapter covers modern sequential Monte Carlo algorithms. The book illustrates all the fundamental steps needed to use dynamic linear models in practice, using R. Many detailed examples based on real data sets are provided to show how to set up a specific model, estimate its parameters, and use it for forecasting. All the code used in the book is available online. No prior knowledge of Bayesian statistics or time series analysis is required, although familiarity with basic statistics and R is assumed.

Geodetic Time Series Analysis in Earth Sciences

Author : Jean-Philippe Montillet
Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 3030217183
Total Pages : 438 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (32 download)

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Book Synopsis Geodetic Time Series Analysis in Earth Sciences by : Jean-Philippe Montillet

Download or read book Geodetic Time Series Analysis in Earth Sciences written by Jean-Philippe Montillet and published by Springer. This book was released on 2019-08-16 with total page 438 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book provides an essential appraisal of the recent advances in technologies, mathematical models and computational software used by those working with geodetic data. It explains the latest methods in processing and analyzing geodetic time series data from various space missions (i.e. GNSS, GRACE) and other technologies (i.e. tide gauges), using the most recent mathematical models. The book provides practical examples of how to apply these models to estimate seal level rise as well as rapid and evolving land motion changes due to gravity (ice sheet loss) and earthquakes respectively. It also provides a necessary overview of geodetic software and where to obtain them.

Modelling and Parameter Estimation of Dynamic Systems

Author : J.R. Raol
Publisher : IET
ISBN 13 : 0863413633
Total Pages : 405 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (634 download)

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Book Synopsis Modelling and Parameter Estimation of Dynamic Systems by : J.R. Raol

Download or read book Modelling and Parameter Estimation of Dynamic Systems written by J.R. Raol and published by IET. This book was released on 2004-08-13 with total page 405 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book presents a detailed examination of the estimation techniques and modeling problems. The theory is furnished with several illustrations and computer programs to promote better understanding of system modeling and parameter estimation.

Applied Econometrics with R

Author : Christian Kleiber
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 0387773185
Total Pages : 229 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (877 download)

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Book Synopsis Applied Econometrics with R by : Christian Kleiber

Download or read book Applied Econometrics with R written by Christian Kleiber and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2008-12-10 with total page 229 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: R is a language and environment for data analysis and graphics. It may be considered an implementation of S, an award-winning language initially - veloped at Bell Laboratories since the late 1970s. The R project was initiated by Robert Gentleman and Ross Ihaka at the University of Auckland, New Zealand, in the early 1990s, and has been developed by an international team since mid-1997. Historically, econometricians have favored other computing environments, some of which have fallen by the wayside, and also a variety of packages with canned routines. We believe that R has great potential in econometrics, both for research and for teaching. There are at least three reasons for this: (1) R is mostly platform independent and runs on Microsoft Windows, the Mac family of operating systems, and various ?avors of Unix/Linux, and also on some more exotic platforms. (2) R is free software that can be downloaded and installed at no cost from a family of mirror sites around the globe, the Comprehensive R Archive Network (CRAN); hence students can easily install it on their own machines. (3) R is open-source software, so that the full source code is available and can be inspected to understand what it really does, learn from it, and modify and extend it. We also like to think that platform independence and the open-source philosophy make R an ideal environment for reproducible econometric research.

Forecasting: principles and practice

Author : Rob J Hyndman
Publisher : OTexts
ISBN 13 : 0987507117
Total Pages : 380 pages
Book Rating : 4.9/5 (875 download)

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Book Synopsis Forecasting: principles and practice by : Rob J Hyndman

Download or read book Forecasting: principles and practice written by Rob J Hyndman and published by OTexts. This book was released on 2018-05-08 with total page 380 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Forecasting is required in many situations. Stocking an inventory may require forecasts of demand months in advance. Telecommunication routing requires traffic forecasts a few minutes ahead. Whatever the circumstances or time horizons involved, forecasting is an important aid in effective and efficient planning. This textbook provides a comprehensive introduction to forecasting methods and presents enough information about each method for readers to use them sensibly.

Bayesian Forecasting and Dynamic Models

Author : Mike West
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 1475793650
Total Pages : 720 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (757 download)

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Book Synopsis Bayesian Forecasting and Dynamic Models by : Mike West

Download or read book Bayesian Forecasting and Dynamic Models written by Mike West and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-06-29 with total page 720 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this book we are concerned with Bayesian learning and forecast ing in dynamic environments. We describe the structure and theory of classes of dynamic models, and their uses in Bayesian forecasting. The principles, models and methods of Bayesian forecasting have been developed extensively during the last twenty years. This devel opment has involved thorough investigation of mathematical and sta tistical aspects of forecasting models and related techniques. With this has come experience with application in a variety of areas in commercial and industrial, scientific and socio-economic fields. In deed much of the technical development has been driven by the needs of forecasting practitioners. As a result, there now exists a relatively complete statistical and mathematical framework, although much of this is either not properly documented or not easily accessible. Our primary goals in writing this book have been to present our view of this approach to modelling and forecasting, and to provide a rea sonably complete text for advanced university students and research workers. The text is primarily intended for advanced undergraduate and postgraduate students in statistics and mathematics. In line with this objective we present thorough discussion of mathematical and statistical features of Bayesian analyses of dynamic models, with illustrations, examples and exercises in each Chapter.

Analytical Methods for Dynamic Modelers

Author : Hazhir Rahmandad
Publisher : MIT Press
ISBN 13 : 0262331438
Total Pages : 443 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (623 download)

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Book Synopsis Analytical Methods for Dynamic Modelers by : Hazhir Rahmandad

Download or read book Analytical Methods for Dynamic Modelers written by Hazhir Rahmandad and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 2015-11-27 with total page 443 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A user-friendly introduction to some of the most useful analytical tools for model building, estimation, and analysis, presenting key methods and examples. Simulation modeling is increasingly integrated into research and policy analysis of complex sociotechnical systems in a variety of domains. Model-based analysis and policy design inform a range of applications in fields from economics to engineering to health care. This book offers a hands-on introduction to key analytical methods for dynamic modeling. Bringing together tools and methodologies from fields as diverse as computational statistics, econometrics, and operations research in a single text, the book can be used for graduate-level courses and as a reference for dynamic modelers who want to expand their methodological toolbox. The focus is on quantitative techniques for use by dynamic modelers during model construction and analysis, and the material presented is accessible to readers with a background in college-level calculus and statistics. Each chapter describes a key method, presenting an introduction that emphasizes the basic intuition behind each method, tutorial style examples, references to key literature, and exercises. The chapter authors are all experts in the tools and methods they present. The book covers estimation of model parameters using quantitative data; understanding the links between model structure and its behavior; and decision support and optimization. An online appendix offers computer code for applications, models, and solutions to exercises. Contributors Wenyi An, Edward G. Anderson Jr., Yaman Barlas, Nishesh Chalise, Robert Eberlein, Hamed Ghoddusi, Winfried Grassmann, Peter S. Hovmand, Mohammad S. Jalali, Nitin Joglekar, David Keith, Juxin Liu, Erling Moxnes, Rogelio Oliva, Nathaniel D. Osgood, Hazhir Rahmandad, Raymond Spiteri, John Sterman, Jeroen Struben, Burcu Tan, Karen Yee, Gönenç Yücel

Multivariate General Linear Models

Author : Richard F. Haase
Publisher : SAGE
ISBN 13 : 1412972493
Total Pages : 225 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (129 download)

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Book Synopsis Multivariate General Linear Models by : Richard F. Haase

Download or read book Multivariate General Linear Models written by Richard F. Haase and published by SAGE. This book was released on 2011-11-23 with total page 225 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This title provides an integrated introduction to multivariate multiple regression analysis (MMR) and multivariate analysis of variance (MANOVA). It defines the key steps in analyzing linear model data and introduces multivariate linear model analysis as a generalization of the univariate model. Richard F. Haase focuses on multivariate measures of association for four common multivariate test statistics, presents a flexible method for testing hypotheses on models, and emphasizes the multivariate procedures attributable to Wilks, Pillai, Hotelling, and Roy.

Dynamic Estimation and Control of Power Systems

Author : Abhinav Kumar Singh
Publisher : Academic Press
ISBN 13 : 0128140062
Total Pages : 264 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (281 download)

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Book Synopsis Dynamic Estimation and Control of Power Systems by : Abhinav Kumar Singh

Download or read book Dynamic Estimation and Control of Power Systems written by Abhinav Kumar Singh and published by Academic Press. This book was released on 2018-10-04 with total page 264 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Dynamic estimation and control is a fast growing and widely researched field of study that lays the foundation for a new generation of technologies that can dynamically, adaptively and automatically stabilize power systems. This book provides a comprehensive introduction to research techniques for real-time estimation and control of power systems. Dynamic Estimation and Control of Power Systems coherently and concisely explains key concepts in a step by step manner, beginning with the fundamentals and building up to the latest developments of the field. Each chapter features examples to illustrate the main ideas, and effective research tools are presented for signal processing-based estimation of the dynamic states and subsequent control, both centralized and decentralized, as well as linear and nonlinear. Detailed mathematical proofs are included for readers who desire a deeper technical understanding of the methods. This book is an ideal research reference for engineers and researchers working on monitoring and stability of modern grids, as well as postgraduate students studying these topics. It serves to deliver a clear understanding of the tools needed for estimation and control, while also acting as a basis for readers to further develop new and improved approaches in their own research. - Offers the first concise, single resource on dynamic estimation and control of power systems - Provides both an understanding of estimation and control concepts and a comparison of results - Includes detailed case-studies, including MATLAB codes, to explain and demonstrate the concepts presented

Applying Generalized Linear Models

Author : James K. Lindsey
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 038722730X
Total Pages : 265 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (872 download)

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Book Synopsis Applying Generalized Linear Models by : James K. Lindsey

Download or read book Applying Generalized Linear Models written by James K. Lindsey and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2008-01-15 with total page 265 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book describes how generalised linear modelling procedures can be used in many different fields, without becoming entangled in problems of statistical inference. The author shows the unity of many of the commonly used models and provides readers with a taste of many different areas, such as survival models, time series, and spatial analysis, and of their unity. As such, this book will appeal to applied statisticians and to scientists having a basic grounding in modern statistics. With many exercises at the end of each chapter, it will equally constitute an excellent text for teaching applied statistics students and non- statistics majors. The reader is assumed to have knowledge of basic statistical principles, whether from a Bayesian, frequentist, or direct likelihood point of view, being familiar at least with the analysis of the simpler normal linear models, regression and ANOVA.

Dynamic Models in Biology

Author : Stephen P. Ellner
Publisher : Princeton University Press
ISBN 13 : 1400840961
Total Pages : 352 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (8 download)

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Book Synopsis Dynamic Models in Biology by : Stephen P. Ellner

Download or read book Dynamic Models in Biology written by Stephen P. Ellner and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2011-09-19 with total page 352 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: From controlling disease outbreaks to predicting heart attacks, dynamic models are increasingly crucial for understanding biological processes. Many universities are starting undergraduate programs in computational biology to introduce students to this rapidly growing field. In Dynamic Models in Biology, the first text on dynamic models specifically written for undergraduate students in the biological sciences, ecologist Stephen Ellner and mathematician John Guckenheimer teach students how to understand, build, and use dynamic models in biology. Developed from a course taught by Ellner and Guckenheimer at Cornell University, the book is organized around biological applications, with mathematics and computing developed through case studies at the molecular, cellular, and population levels. The authors cover both simple analytic models--the sort usually found in mathematical biology texts--and the complex computational models now used by both biologists and mathematicians. Linked to a Web site with computer-lab materials and exercises, Dynamic Models in Biology is a major new introduction to dynamic models for students in the biological sciences, mathematics, and engineering.

Optimal Estimation of Dynamic Systems

Author : John L. Crassidis
Publisher : CRC Press
ISBN 13 : 1135439273
Total Pages : 606 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (354 download)

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Book Synopsis Optimal Estimation of Dynamic Systems by : John L. Crassidis

Download or read book Optimal Estimation of Dynamic Systems written by John L. Crassidis and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2004-04-27 with total page 606 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Most newcomers to the field of linear stochastic estimation go through a difficult process in understanding and applying the theory.This book minimizes the process while introducing the fundamentals of optimal estimation. Optimal Estimation of Dynamic Systems explores topics that are important in the field of control where the signals received are used to determine highly sensitive processes such as the flight path of a plane, the orbit of a space vehicle, or the control of a machine. The authors use dynamic models from mechanical and aerospace engineering to provide immediate results of estimation concepts with a minimal reliance on mathematical skills. The book documents the development of the central concepts and methods of optimal estimation theory in a manner accessible to engineering students, applied mathematicians, and practicing engineers. It includes rigorous theoretial derivations and a significant amount of qualitiative discussion and judgements. It also presents prototype algorithms, giving detail and discussion to stimulate development of efficient computer programs and intelligent use of them. This book illustrates the application of optimal estimation methods to problems with varying degrees of analytical and numercial difficulty. It compares various approaches to help develop a feel for the absolute and relative utility of different methods, and provides many applications in the fields of aerospace, mechanical, and electrical engineering.

Partially Linear Models

Author : Wolfgang Härdle
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 3642577008
Total Pages : 210 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (425 download)

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Book Synopsis Partially Linear Models by : Wolfgang Härdle

Download or read book Partially Linear Models written by Wolfgang Härdle and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 210 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In the last ten years, there has been increasing interest and activity in the general area of partially linear regression smoothing in statistics. Many methods and techniques have been proposed and studied. This monograph hopes to bring an up-to-date presentation of the state of the art of partially linear regression techniques. The emphasis is on methodologies rather than on the theory, with a particular focus on applications of partially linear regression techniques to various statistical problems. These problems include least squares regression, asymptotically efficient estimation, bootstrap resampling, censored data analysis, linear measurement error models, nonlinear measurement models, nonlinear and nonparametric time series models.

Mixed Effects Models for Complex Data

Author : Lang Wu
Publisher : CRC Press
ISBN 13 : 9781420074086
Total Pages : 431 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (74 download)

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Book Synopsis Mixed Effects Models for Complex Data by : Lang Wu

Download or read book Mixed Effects Models for Complex Data written by Lang Wu and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2009-11-11 with total page 431 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Although standard mixed effects models are useful in a range of studies, other approaches must often be used in correlation with them when studying complex or incomplete data. Mixed Effects Models for Complex Data discusses commonly used mixed effects models and presents appropriate approaches to address dropouts, missing data, measurement errors, censoring, and outliers. For each class of mixed effects model, the author reviews the corresponding class of regression model for cross-sectional data. An overview of general models and methods, along with motivating examples After presenting real data examples and outlining general approaches to the analysis of longitudinal/clustered data and incomplete data, the book introduces linear mixed effects (LME) models, generalized linear mixed models (GLMMs), nonlinear mixed effects (NLME) models, and semiparametric and nonparametric mixed effects models. It also includes general approaches for the analysis of complex data with missing values, measurement errors, censoring, and outliers. Self-contained coverage of specific topics Subsequent chapters delve more deeply into missing data problems, covariate measurement errors, and censored responses in mixed effects models. Focusing on incomplete data, the book also covers survival and frailty models, joint models of survival and longitudinal data, robust methods for mixed effects models, marginal generalized estimating equation (GEE) models for longitudinal or clustered data, and Bayesian methods for mixed effects models. Background material In the appendix, the author provides background information, such as likelihood theory, the Gibbs sampler, rejection and importance sampling methods, numerical integration methods, optimization methods, bootstrap, and matrix algebra. Failure to properly address missing data, measurement errors, and other issues in statistical analyses can lead to severely biased or misleading results. This book explores the biases that arise when naïve methods are used and shows which approaches should be used to achieve accurate results in longitudinal data analysis.

Dynamic Nonlinear Econometric Models

Author : Benedikt M. Pötscher
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 3662034867
Total Pages : 307 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (62 download)

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Book Synopsis Dynamic Nonlinear Econometric Models by : Benedikt M. Pötscher

Download or read book Dynamic Nonlinear Econometric Models written by Benedikt M. Pötscher and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-03-09 with total page 307 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Many relationships in economics, and also in other fields, are both dynamic and nonlinear. A major advance in econometrics over the last fifteen years has been the development of a theory of estimation and inference for dy namic nonlinear models. This advance was accompanied by improvements in computer technology that facilitate the practical implementation of such estimation methods. In two articles in Econometric Reviews, i.e., Pötscher and Prucha {1991a,b), we provided -an expository discussion of the basic structure of the asymptotic theory of M-estimators in dynamic nonlinear models and a review of the literature up to the beginning of this decade. Among others, the class of M-estimators contains least mean distance estimators (includ ing maximum likelihood estimators) and generalized method of moment estimators. The present book expands and revises the discussion in those articles. It is geared towards the professional econometrician or statistician. Besides reviewing the literature we also presented in the above men tioned articles a number of then new results. One example is a consis tency result for the case where the identifiable uniqueness condition fails.

Dynamic Data Analysis

Author : James Ramsay
Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 1493971905
Total Pages : 242 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (939 download)

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Book Synopsis Dynamic Data Analysis by : James Ramsay

Download or read book Dynamic Data Analysis written by James Ramsay and published by Springer. This book was released on 2017-06-27 with total page 242 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This text focuses on the use of smoothing methods for developing and estimating differential equations following recent developments in functional data analysis and building on techniques described in Ramsay and Silverman (2005) Functional Data Analysis. The central concept of a dynamical system as a buffer that translates sudden changes in input into smooth controlled output responses has led to applications of previously analyzed data, opening up entirely new opportunities for dynamical systems. The technical level has been kept low so that those with little or no exposure to differential equations as modeling objects can be brought into this data analysis landscape. There are already many texts on the mathematical properties of ordinary differential equations, or dynamic models, and there is a large literature distributed over many fields on models for real world processes consisting of differential equations. However, a researcher interested in fitting such a model to data, or a statistician interested in the properties of differential equations estimated from data will find rather less to work with. This book fills that gap.

Identification of Dynamic Systems

Author : Rolf Isermann
Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 9783540871552
Total Pages : 705 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (715 download)

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Book Synopsis Identification of Dynamic Systems by : Rolf Isermann

Download or read book Identification of Dynamic Systems written by Rolf Isermann and published by Springer. This book was released on 2011-04-08 with total page 705 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Precise dynamic models of processes are required for many applications, ranging from control engineering to the natural sciences and economics. Frequently, such precise models cannot be derived using theoretical considerations alone. Therefore, they must be determined experimentally. This book treats the determination of dynamic models based on measurements taken at the process, which is known as system identification or process identification. Both offline and online methods are presented, i.e. methods that post-process the measured data as well as methods that provide models during the measurement. The book is theory-oriented and application-oriented and most methods covered have been used successfully in practical applications for many different processes. Illustrative examples in this book with real measured data range from hydraulic and electric actuators up to combustion engines. Real experimental data is also provided on the Springer webpage, allowing readers to gather their first experience with the methods presented in this book. Among others, the book covers the following subjects: determination of the non-parametric frequency response, (fast) Fourier transform, correlation analysis, parameter estimation with a focus on the method of Least Squares and modifications, identification of time-variant processes, identification in closed-loop, identification of continuous time processes, and subspace methods. Some methods for nonlinear system identification are also considered, such as the Extended Kalman filter and neural networks. The different methods are compared by using a real three-mass oscillator process, a model of a drive train. For many identification methods, hints for the practical implementation and application are provided. The book is intended to meet the needs of students and practicing engineers working in research and development, design and manufacturing.