Estimating the Parameters of Stochastic Differential Equations by Monte Carlo Methods

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9780732512279
Total Pages : 7 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (122 download)

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Book Synopsis Estimating the Parameters of Stochastic Differential Equations by Monte Carlo Methods by : A. Stan Hurn

Download or read book Estimating the Parameters of Stochastic Differential Equations by Monte Carlo Methods written by A. Stan Hurn and published by . This book was released on 1995 with total page 7 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Stochastic Simulation and Monte Carlo Methods

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Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 3642393632
Total Pages : 264 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (423 download)

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Book Synopsis Stochastic Simulation and Monte Carlo Methods by : Carl Graham

Download or read book Stochastic Simulation and Monte Carlo Methods written by Carl Graham and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-07-16 with total page 264 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In various scientific and industrial fields, stochastic simulations are taking on a new importance. This is due to the increasing power of computers and practitioners’ aim to simulate more and more complex systems, and thus use random parameters as well as random noises to model the parametric uncertainties and the lack of knowledge on the physics of these systems. The error analysis of these computations is a highly complex mathematical undertaking. Approaching these issues, the authors present stochastic numerical methods and prove accurate convergence rate estimates in terms of their numerical parameters (number of simulations, time discretization steps). As a result, the book is a self-contained and rigorous study of the numerical methods within a theoretical framework. After briefly reviewing the basics, the authors first introduce fundamental notions in stochastic calculus and continuous-time martingale theory, then develop the analysis of pure-jump Markov processes, Poisson processes, and stochastic differential equations. In particular, they review the essential properties of Itô integrals and prove fundamental results on the probabilistic analysis of parabolic partial differential equations. These results in turn provide the basis for developing stochastic numerical methods, both from an algorithmic and theoretical point of view. The book combines advanced mathematical tools, theoretical analysis of stochastic numerical methods, and practical issues at a high level, so as to provide optimal results on the accuracy of Monte Carlo simulations of stochastic processes. It is intended for master and Ph.D. students in the field of stochastic processes and their numerical applications, as well as for physicists, biologists, economists and other professionals working with stochastic simulations, who will benefit from the ability to reliably estimate and control the accuracy of their simulations.

Parameter Estimation in Stochastic Differential Equations

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Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 3540744487
Total Pages : 271 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (47 download)

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Book Synopsis Parameter Estimation in Stochastic Differential Equations by : Jaya P. N. Bishwal

Download or read book Parameter Estimation in Stochastic Differential Equations written by Jaya P. N. Bishwal and published by Springer. This book was released on 2007-09-26 with total page 271 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Parameter estimation in stochastic differential equations and stochastic partial differential equations is the science, art and technology of modeling complex phenomena. The subject has attracted researchers from several areas of mathematics. This volume presents the estimation of the unknown parameters in the corresponding continuous models based on continuous and discrete observations and examines extensively maximum likelihood, minimum contrast and Bayesian methods.

Applied Stochastic Differential Equations

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Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 1316510085
Total Pages : 327 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (165 download)

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Book Synopsis Applied Stochastic Differential Equations by : Simo Särkkä

Download or read book Applied Stochastic Differential Equations written by Simo Särkkä and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2019-05-02 with total page 327 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: With this hands-on introduction readers will learn what SDEs are all about and how they should use them in practice.

Monte Carlo Methods for Stochastic Differential Equations and Their Applications

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (1 download)

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Book Synopsis Monte Carlo Methods for Stochastic Differential Equations and Their Applications by : Andrew Bradford Leach

Download or read book Monte Carlo Methods for Stochastic Differential Equations and Their Applications written by Andrew Bradford Leach and published by . This book was released on 2017 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We introduce computationally efficient Monte Carlo methods for studying the statistics of stochastic differential equations in two distinct settings. In the first, we derive importance sampling methods for data assimilation when the noise in the model and observations are small. The methods are formulated in discrete time, where the "posterior" distribution we want to sample from can be analyzed in an accessible small noise expansion. We show that a "symmetrization" procedure akin to antithetic coupling can improve the order of accuracy of the sampling methods, which is illustrated with numerical examples. In the second setting, we develop "stochastic continuation" methods to estimate level sets for statistics of stochastic differential equations with respect to their parameters. We adapt Keller's Pseudo-Arclength continuation method to this setting using stochastic approximation, and generalized least squares regression. Furthermore, we show that the methods can be improved through the use of coupling methods to reduce the variance of the derivative estimates that are involved.

Parametric Estimates by the Monte Carlo Method

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Publisher : Walter de Gruyter GmbH & Co KG
ISBN 13 : 3110941953
Total Pages : 196 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (19 download)

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Book Synopsis Parametric Estimates by the Monte Carlo Method by : G. A. Mikhailov

Download or read book Parametric Estimates by the Monte Carlo Method written by G. A. Mikhailov and published by Walter de Gruyter GmbH & Co KG. This book was released on 2018-11-05 with total page 196 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: No detailed description available for "Parametric Estimates by the Monte Carlo Method".

Backward Stochastic Differential Equations

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Publisher : CRC Press
ISBN 13 : 9780582307339
Total Pages : 236 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (73 download)

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Book Synopsis Backward Stochastic Differential Equations by : N El Karoui

Download or read book Backward Stochastic Differential Equations written by N El Karoui and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 1997-01-17 with total page 236 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book presents the texts of seminars presented during the years 1995 and 1996 at the Université Paris VI and is the first attempt to present a survey on this subject. Starting from the classical conditions for existence and unicity of a solution in the most simple case-which requires more than basic stochartic calculus-several refinements on the hypotheses are introduced to obtain more general results.

Sequential Monte Carlo Parameter Estimation for Differential Equations

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 259 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (11 download)

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Book Synopsis Sequential Monte Carlo Parameter Estimation for Differential Equations by : Andrea Arnold

Download or read book Sequential Monte Carlo Parameter Estimation for Differential Equations written by Andrea Arnold and published by . This book was released on 2014 with total page 259 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A central problem in numerous applications is estimating the unknown parameters of a system of ordinary differential equations (ODEs) from noisy measurements of a function of some of the states at discrete times. Formulating this dynamic inverse problem in a Bayesian statistical framework, state and parameter estimation can be performed using sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) methods, such as particle filters (PFs) and ensemble Kalman filters (EnKFs).Addressing the issue of particle retention in PF-SMC, we propose to solve ODE systems within a PF framework with higher order numerical integrators which can handle stiffness and to base the choice of the innovation variance on estimates of discretization errors. Using linear multistep method (LMM) numerical solvers in this context gives a handle on the stability and accuracy of propagation, and provides a natural and systematic way to rigorously estimate the innovation variance via well-known local error estimates.We explore computationally efficient implementations of LMM PF-SMC by considering parallelized and vectorized formulations. While PF algorithms are known to be amenable to parallelization due to the independent propagation of each particle, by formulating the problem in a vectorized fashion, it is possible to arrive at an implementation of the method which takes full advantage of multiple processors.We employ a variation of LMM PF-SMC in estimating unknown parameters of a tracer kinetics model from sequences of real positron emission tomography scan data. A combination of optimization and statistical inference is utilized: nonlinear least squares finds optimal starting values, which then act as hyperparameters in the Bayesian framework. The LMM PF-SMC algorithm is modified to allow variable time steps to accommodate the increase in time interval length between data measurements from beginning to end of the procedure, keeping the time step the same for each particle.We also apply the idea of linking innovation variance with numerical integration error estimates to EnKFs by employing a stochastic interpretation of the discretization error in numerical integrators, extending the technique to deterministic, large-scale nonlinear evolution models. The resulting algorithm, which introduces LMM time integrators into the EnKF framework, proves especially effective in predicting unmeasured system components.

Introduction to Monte Carlo Methods for Transport and Diffusion Equations

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Publisher : OUP Oxford
ISBN 13 : 9780198525936
Total Pages : 178 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (259 download)

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Book Synopsis Introduction to Monte Carlo Methods for Transport and Diffusion Equations by : Bernard Lapeyre

Download or read book Introduction to Monte Carlo Methods for Transport and Diffusion Equations written by Bernard Lapeyre and published by OUP Oxford. This book was released on 2003 with total page 178 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This text is used by for the resolution of partial differential equations, trasnport equations, the Boltzmann equation and the parabolic equations of diffusion.

Bayesian Filtering and Smoothing

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Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 110703065X
Total Pages : 255 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (7 download)

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Book Synopsis Bayesian Filtering and Smoothing by : Simo Särkkä

Download or read book Bayesian Filtering and Smoothing written by Simo Särkkä and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2013-09-05 with total page 255 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A unified Bayesian treatment of the state-of-the-art filtering, smoothing, and parameter estimation algorithms for non-linear state space models.

New Monte Carlo Methods With Estimating Derivatives

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Publisher : VSP
ISBN 13 : 9789067641906
Total Pages : 198 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (419 download)

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Book Synopsis New Monte Carlo Methods With Estimating Derivatives by : Gennadij A. Michajlov

Download or read book New Monte Carlo Methods With Estimating Derivatives written by Gennadij A. Michajlov and published by VSP. This book was released on 1995-01-01 with total page 198 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: It is possible to use weighted Monte Carlo methods for solving many problems of mathematical physics (boundary value problems for elliptic equations, the Boltzmann equation, radiation transfer and diffusion equations). Weight estimates make it possible to evaluate special functionals, for example, derivatives with respect to parameters of a problem. In this book new weak conditions are presented under which the corresponding vector Monte Carlo estimates are unbiased and their variances are finite. The author has also constructed new Monte Carlo methods for solving the Helmholz equation with a nonconstant parameter, including the stationary Schrodinger equation. New results for linear and nonlinear problems are also presented. Some methods of random function simulation are considered in the special appendix. A new method of substantiating and optimizing the reccurent Monte Carlo estimates without using the Neumann series is presented in the introduction.

Monte-Carlo Methods and Stochastic Processes

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Publisher : CRC Press
ISBN 13 : 149874625X
Total Pages : 216 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (987 download)

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Book Synopsis Monte-Carlo Methods and Stochastic Processes by : Emmanuel Gobet

Download or read book Monte-Carlo Methods and Stochastic Processes written by Emmanuel Gobet and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2016-09-15 with total page 216 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Developed from the author’s course at the Ecole Polytechnique, Monte-Carlo Methods and Stochastic Processes: From Linear to Non-Linear focuses on the simulation of stochastic processes in continuous time and their link with partial differential equations (PDEs). It covers linear and nonlinear problems in biology, finance, geophysics, mechanics, chemistry, and other application areas. The text also thoroughly develops the problem of numerical integration and computation of expectation by the Monte-Carlo method. The book begins with a history of Monte-Carlo methods and an overview of three typical Monte-Carlo problems: numerical integration and computation of expectation, simulation of complex distributions, and stochastic optimization. The remainder of the text is organized in three parts of progressive difficulty. The first part presents basic tools for stochastic simulation and analysis of algorithm convergence. The second part describes Monte-Carlo methods for the simulation of stochastic differential equations. The final part discusses the simulation of non-linear dynamics.

Handbook of Monte Carlo Methods

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Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 1118014952
Total Pages : 627 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (18 download)

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Book Synopsis Handbook of Monte Carlo Methods by : Dirk P. Kroese

Download or read book Handbook of Monte Carlo Methods written by Dirk P. Kroese and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2013-06-06 with total page 627 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A comprehensive overview of Monte Carlo simulation that explores the latest topics, techniques, and real-world applications More and more of today’s numerical problems found in engineering and finance are solved through Monte Carlo methods. The heightened popularity of these methods and their continuing development makes it important for researchers to have a comprehensive understanding of the Monte Carlo approach. Handbook of Monte Carlo Methods provides the theory, algorithms, and applications that helps provide a thorough understanding of the emerging dynamics of this rapidly-growing field. The authors begin with a discussion of fundamentals such as how to generate random numbers on a computer. Subsequent chapters discuss key Monte Carlo topics and methods, including: Random variable and stochastic process generation Markov chain Monte Carlo, featuring key algorithms such as the Metropolis-Hastings method, the Gibbs sampler, and hit-and-run Discrete-event simulation Techniques for the statistical analysis of simulation data including the delta method, steady-state estimation, and kernel density estimation Variance reduction, including importance sampling, latin hypercube sampling, and conditional Monte Carlo Estimation of derivatives and sensitivity analysis Advanced topics including cross-entropy, rare events, kernel density estimation, quasi Monte Carlo, particle systems, and randomized optimization The presented theoretical concepts are illustrated with worked examples that use MATLAB®, a related Web site houses the MATLAB® code, allowing readers to work hands-on with the material and also features the author's own lecture notes on Monte Carlo methods. Detailed appendices provide background material on probability theory, stochastic processes, and mathematical statistics as well as the key optimization concepts and techniques that are relevant to Monte Carlo simulation. Handbook of Monte Carlo Methods is an excellent reference for applied statisticians and practitioners working in the fields of engineering and finance who use or would like to learn how to use Monte Carlo in their research. It is also a suitable supplement for courses on Monte Carlo methods and computational statistics at the upper-undergraduate and graduate levels.

Monte Carlo and Quasi-Monte Carlo Methods 2004

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Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 3540311866
Total Pages : 506 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (43 download)

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Book Synopsis Monte Carlo and Quasi-Monte Carlo Methods 2004 by : Harald Niederreiter

Download or read book Monte Carlo and Quasi-Monte Carlo Methods 2004 written by Harald Niederreiter and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2006-02-08 with total page 506 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book represents the refereed proceedings of the Sixth International Conference on Monte Carlo and Quasi-Monte Carlo Methods in Scientific Computing and of the Second International Conference on Monte Carlo and Probabilistic Methods for Partial Differential Equations. These conferences were held jointly at Juan-les-Pins (France) in June 2004. The proceedings include carefully selected papers on many aspects of Monte Carlo methods, quasi-Monte Carlo methods, and the numerical solution of partial differential equations. The reader will be informed about current research in these very active areas.

Monte Carlo Methods

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Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 3527626220
Total Pages : 215 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (276 download)

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Book Synopsis Monte Carlo Methods by : Malvin H. Kalos

Download or read book Monte Carlo Methods written by Malvin H. Kalos and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2009-06-10 with total page 215 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This introduction to Monte Carlo methods seeks to identify and study the unifying elements that underlie their effective application. Initial chapters provide a short treatment of the probability and statistics needed as background, enabling those without experience in Monte Carlo techniques to apply these ideas to their research. The book focuses on two basic themes: The first is the importance of random walks as they occur both in natural stochastic systems and in their relationship to integral and differential equations. The second theme is that of variance reduction in general and importance sampling in particular as a technique for efficient use of the methods. Random walks are introduced with an elementary example in which the modeling of radiation transport arises directly from a schematic probabilistic description of the interaction of radiation with matter. Building on this example, the relationship between random walks and integral equations is outlined. The applicability of these ideas to other problems is shown by a clear and elementary introduction to the solution of the Schrödinger equation by random walks. The text includes sample problems that readers can solve by themselves to illustrate the content of each chapter. This is the second, completely revised and extended edition of the successful monograph, which brings the treatment up to date and incorporates the many advances in Monte Carlo techniques and their applications, while retaining the original elementary but general approach.

Stochastic Calculus

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Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 9780817642426
Total Pages : 794 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (424 download)

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Book Synopsis Stochastic Calculus by : Mircea Grigoriu

Download or read book Stochastic Calculus written by Mircea Grigoriu and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2002-09-24 with total page 794 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Chapters 6-9 present methods for solving problems defined by equations with deterministic and/or random coefficients and deterministic and/or stochastic inputs. The Monte Carlo simulation is used extensively throughout to clarify advanced theoretical concepts and provide solutions to a broad range of stochastic problems.".

Random Number Generation and Monte Carlo Methods

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Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 0387001786
Total Pages : 387 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (87 download)

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Book Synopsis Random Number Generation and Monte Carlo Methods by : James E. Gentle

Download or read book Random Number Generation and Monte Carlo Methods written by James E. Gentle and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2004-09-14 with total page 387 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Monte Carlo simulation has become one of the most important tools in all fields of science. Simulation methodology relies on a good source of numbers that appear to be random. These "pseudorandom" numbers must pass statistical tests just as random samples would. Methods for producing pseudorandom numbers and transforming those numbers to simulate samples from various distributions are among the most important topics in statistical computing. This book surveys techniques of random number generation and the use of random numbers in Monte Carlo simulation. The book covers basic principles, as well as newer methods such as parallel random number generation, nonlinear congruential generators, quasi Monte Carlo methods, and Markov chain Monte Carlo. The best methods for generating random variates from the standard distributions are presented, but also general techniques useful in more complicated models and in novel settings are described. The emphasis throughout the book is on practical methods that work well in current computing environments. The book includes exercises and can be used as a test or supplementary text for various courses in modern statistics. It could serve as the primary test for a specialized course in statistical computing, or as a supplementary text for a course in computational statistics and other areas of modern statistics that rely on simulation. The book, which covers recent developments in the field, could also serve as a useful reference for practitioners. Although some familiarity with probability and statistics is assumed, the book is accessible to a broad audience. The second edition is approximately 50% longer than the first edition. It includes advances in methods for parallel random number generation, universal methods for generation of nonuniform variates, perfect sampling, and software for random number generation.