Estimating Fiscal Multipliers Under Alternative Exchange Rate Regimes: The Case of Bolivia

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 41 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (2 download)

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Book Synopsis Estimating Fiscal Multipliers Under Alternative Exchange Rate Regimes: The Case of Bolivia by : Tannous Kass-Hanna

Download or read book Estimating Fiscal Multipliers Under Alternative Exchange Rate Regimes: The Case of Bolivia written by Tannous Kass-Hanna and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2023-11-17 with total page 41 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Empirical (employing the Blanchard-Perotti framework) and modeling (using a country-specific DSGE model) approaches are used to estimate fiscal multipliers by policy instrument for Bolivia, to evaluate possible adjustments in a fiscal consolidation strategy. Multipliers are also estimated using alternative assumptions about the accompanying exchange rate regime and capital mobility, highlighting the importance of the policy mix in determining the impact of fiscal adjustments. The study exploits the DSGE modeling structure to assess this interaction of fiscal and monetary policy in a lower middle-income country under different exchange rate regimes. It finds that expenditure multipliers fall into the range of 1/3 to 2/3, with public investment multipliers slightly higher than government consumption multipliers over longer horizons, and multipliers generally higher under a peg than inflation targeting. Tax multipliers are shown to be about half of expenditure multipliers.

The Effectiveness of Fiscal Policy in Stimulating Economic Activity

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 62 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (318 download)

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Book Synopsis The Effectiveness of Fiscal Policy in Stimulating Economic Activity by : Richard Hemming

Download or read book The Effectiveness of Fiscal Policy in Stimulating Economic Activity written by Richard Hemming and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2002-12 with total page 62 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper reviews the theoretical and empirical literature on the effectiveness of fiscal policy. The focus is on the size of fiscal multipliers, and on the possibility that multipliers can turn negative (i.e., that fiscal contractions can be expansionary). The paper concludes that fiscal multipliers are overwhelmingly positive but small. However, there is some evidence of negative fiscal multipliers.

The Economic Effects of Fiscal Consolidation with Debt Feedback

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1484304489
Total Pages : 51 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (843 download)

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Book Synopsis The Economic Effects of Fiscal Consolidation with Debt Feedback by : Mr.Marcello M. Estevão

Download or read book The Economic Effects of Fiscal Consolidation with Debt Feedback written by Mr.Marcello M. Estevão and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2013-05-31 with total page 51 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The past several years of recession and slow recovery have raised much interest on the effect of fiscal stimulus on economic activity, even as high public debts in many countries would call for fiscal consolidation. To evaluate the delicate balance between stimulus and consolidation requires measuring the size of fiscal multipliers, which often depends on having quarterly data so that exogenous fiscal policy shocks can be identified. We estimate fiscal multipliers using a novel methodology for identifying fiscal shocks within a structural vector autoregressive approach using annual data while controling for debt feedback effects. The estimation focuses on regions with scarce quarterly data (mostly low-income countries), and uses results for advanced economies, emerging market countries, and other broad groupings for which alternative estimates are available to validate the methodology. Differently from advanced and emerging market economies, fiscal consolidation in low-income countries has only a small temporary negative effect on growth while raising medium-term output. Shifting the composition of public spending toward capital expenditure further supports long-run growth.

Fiscal Consolidation and Public Wages

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1498320236
Total Pages : 52 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (983 download)

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Book Synopsis Fiscal Consolidation and Public Wages by : Juin-Jen Chang

Download or read book Fiscal Consolidation and Public Wages written by Juin-Jen Chang and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2019-06-10 with total page 52 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A New Keynesian model with government production, public compensation, and unemployment is fit to U.S. data to study the macroeconomic and fiscal effects of public wage reductions. We find that accounting for the type of government spending is crucial for its macroeconomic implications. Although reductions in public wages and government purchases of goods have similar effects on total output and the fiscal balance, the former can raise private output slightly, in contrast to the substantial contractionary effects of the latter. In addition, the baseline estimation finds that exogenous public wage reductions decrease private wages. Model counterfactuals show that sufficiently rigid nominal private wages can reverse the response of private wages, as the rigidity dampens the labor reallocation effect from the public to private sector that exerts downward pressure on private wages.

An Empirical Assessment of the Exchange Rate Pass-through in Mozambique

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1513573691
Total Pages : 34 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (135 download)

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Book Synopsis An Empirical Assessment of the Exchange Rate Pass-through in Mozambique by : International Monetary Fund

Download or read book An Empirical Assessment of the Exchange Rate Pass-through in Mozambique written by International Monetary Fund and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2021-05-06 with total page 34 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Determining the magnitude and speed of the exchange rate passthrough (ERPT) to inflation has been of paramount importance for policy-makers in developed and emerging economies. This paper estimates the exchange rate passthrough in Mozambique using econometric techniques on a sample spanning from 2001 to 2019. Results suggest that the ERPT is assymetric, sizable and fast, with 50 percent of the exchange rate variations passing through to prices in less than six months. Policy-makers should continue to pursue low and stable inflation and develop a strong track record of prudent macroeconomic policies for the ERPT to decline.

Fiscal Impulse

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1451851448
Total Pages : 13 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (518 download)

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Book Synopsis Fiscal Impulse by : Mr.Mark Scott Lutz

Download or read book Fiscal Impulse written by Mr.Mark Scott Lutz and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1991-09-01 with total page 13 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The concept of fiscal impulse is defined, discussed, and differentiated from measures that attempt to summarize the macroeconomic effects of fiscal policy. Two methodologies are briefly discussed and their corresponding measures presented for the G-7 countries over the ten-year period ending in 1989. Controversies about the measure are highlighted and potential improvements are also discussed.

Building Back Better: How Big Are Green Spending Multipliers?

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1513574469
Total Pages : 47 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (135 download)

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Book Synopsis Building Back Better: How Big Are Green Spending Multipliers? by : International Monetary Fund

Download or read book Building Back Better: How Big Are Green Spending Multipliers? written by International Monetary Fund and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2021-03-19 with total page 47 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper provides estimates of output multipliers for spending in clean energy and biodiversity conservation, as well as for spending on non-ecofriendly energy and land use activities. Using a new international dataset, we find that every dollar spent on key carbon-neutral or carbon-sink activities can generate more than a dollar’s worth of economic activity. Although not all green and non-ecofriendly expenditures in the dataset are strictly comparable due to data limitations, estimated multipliers associated with spending on renewable and fossil fuel energy investment are comparable, and the former (1.1-1.5) are larger than the latter (0.5-0.6) with over 90 percent probability. These findings survive several robustness checks and lend support to bottom-up analyses arguing that stabilizing climate and reversing biodiversity loss are not at odds with continuing economic advances.

Global Waves of Debt

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Publisher : World Bank Publications
ISBN 13 : 1464815453
Total Pages : 403 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (648 download)

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Book Synopsis Global Waves of Debt by : M. Ayhan Kose

Download or read book Global Waves of Debt written by M. Ayhan Kose and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 2021-03-03 with total page 403 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The global economy has experienced four waves of rapid debt accumulation over the past 50 years. The first three debt waves ended with financial crises in many emerging market and developing economies. During the current wave, which started in 2010, the increase in debt in these economies has already been larger, faster, and broader-based than in the previous three waves. Current low interest rates mitigate some of the risks associated with high debt. However, emerging market and developing economies are also confronted by weak growth prospects, mounting vulnerabilities, and elevated global risks. A menu of policy options is available to reduce the likelihood that the current debt wave will end in crisis and, if crises do take place, will alleviate their impact.

The ASEAN Way

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1513558900
Total Pages : 311 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (135 download)

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Book Synopsis The ASEAN Way by : Ms.Ana Corbacho

Download or read book The ASEAN Way written by Ms.Ana Corbacho and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2018-10-02 with total page 311 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The first part of the book examines the evolution of monetary policy and prudential frameworks of the ASEAN5, with particular focus on changes since the Asian financial crisis and the more recent period of unconventional monetary policy in advanced economies. The second part of the book looks at policy responses to global financial spillovers. The third and last part of the book elaborates on the challenges ahead for monetary policy, financial stability frameworks, and the deepening of financial markets.

Fiscal Sustainability in Theory and Practice

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Publisher : World Bank Publications
ISBN 13 : 9780821358740
Total Pages : 312 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (587 download)

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Book Synopsis Fiscal Sustainability in Theory and Practice by : Craig Burnside

Download or read book Fiscal Sustainability in Theory and Practice written by Craig Burnside and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 2005 with total page 312 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Topics discussed in this publication include: an introduction to theoretical and practical aspects of fiscal sustainability; theoretical prerequisites for fiscal sustainability analysis; debt indicators in the measurement of vulnerability; cyclical adjustment of budget surplus; pro-cyclical fiscal policy using Mexico's fiscal accounts as a case study; fiscal rules and the experience of Chile; currency crises and models for deal with financing costs.

Revitalizing the Jamaican Economy

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Publisher : IDB
ISBN 13 : 193100384X
Total Pages : 309 pages
Book Rating : 4.9/5 (31 download)

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Book Synopsis Revitalizing the Jamaican Economy by : Inter-American Development Bank

Download or read book Revitalizing the Jamaican Economy written by Inter-American Development Bank and published by IDB. This book was released on 2004 with total page 309 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

World Economic Outlook, April 2009

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1589068068
Total Pages : 252 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (89 download)

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Book Synopsis World Economic Outlook, April 2009 by : International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Download or read book World Economic Outlook, April 2009 written by International Monetary Fund. Research Dept. and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2009-04-22 with total page 252 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This edition of the World Economic Outlook explores how a dramatic escalation of the financial crisis in September 2008 provoked an unprecedented contraction of activity and trade, despite active policy responses. It presents economic projections for 2009 and 2010, and also looks beyond the current crisis, considering factors that will shape the landscape of the global economy over the medium term, as businesses and households seek to repair the damage. The analysis also outlines the difficult policy challenges presented by the overwhelming imperative to take all steps necessary to restore financial stability and revive the global economy, and the longer-run need for national actions to be mutually supporting. The first of two analytical chapters, "What Kind of Economic Recovery?" explores the shape of the eventual recovery. The second, "The Transmission of Financial Stress from Advanced to Emerging and Developing Economies," focuses on the role of external financial linkages and financial stress in transmitting economic shocks.

Monetary and Currency Policy Management in Asia

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Publisher : Edward Elgar Publishing
ISBN 13 : 0857933353
Total Pages : 321 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (579 download)

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Book Synopsis Monetary and Currency Policy Management in Asia by : Masahiro Kawai

Download or read book Monetary and Currency Policy Management in Asia written by Masahiro Kawai and published by Edward Elgar Publishing. This book was released on 2012-01-01 with total page 321 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Asian economies strengthened their monetary and currency management after the Asian financial crisis of 19971998, and came through the global financial crisis of 20072009 relatively well. Nevertheless, the recent global crisis has presented new challenges. This book develops recommendations for monetary and currency policy in Asian economies aimed at promoting macroeconomic and financial stability in an environment of global economic shocks and volatile capital flows. Monetary and Currency Policy Management in Asia draws lessons from crises and makes concrete macroeconomic policy recommendations aimed at minimizing the impacts of an economic and financial downturn, and setting the stage for an early return to sustainable growth. The focus is on short-term measures related to the cycle. The three main areas addressed are: monetary policy measures, both conventional and unconventional, to achieve both macroeconomic and financial stability; exchange rate policy and foreign exchange reserve management, including the potential for regional cooperation to stabilize currency movements; and ways to ease the constraints on policy resulting from the so-called 'impossible trinity' of fixed exchange rates, open capital accounts and independent monetary policy. This is one of the first books since the global financial crisis to specifically and comprehensively address the implications of the crisis for monetary and currency policy in emerging market economies, especially in Asia. Presenting a broad menu of policy options for financial reform and regulation, the book will be of great interest to finance experts and policymakers in the region as well as academics and researchers of financial and Asian economics as well as economic development.

Annual Report on Exchange Arrangements and Exchange Restrictions 2013

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1484366808
Total Pages : 105 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (843 download)

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Book Synopsis Annual Report on Exchange Arrangements and Exchange Restrictions 2013 by : International Monetary Fund. Monetary and Capital Markets Department

Download or read book Annual Report on Exchange Arrangements and Exchange Restrictions 2013 written by International Monetary Fund. Monetary and Capital Markets Department and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2013-12-15 with total page 105 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This is the 64th issue of the AREAER. It provides a description of the foreign exchange arrangements, exchange and trade systems, and capital controls of all IMF member countries. It also provides information on the operation of foreign exchange markets and controls on international trade. It describes controls on capital transactions and measures implemented in the financial sector, including prudential measures. In addition, it reports on exchange measures imposed by member countries for security reasons. A single table provides a snapshot of the exchange and trade systems of all IMF member countries. The Overview describes in detail how the general trend toward foreign exchange liberalization continued during 2012, alongside a strengthening of the financial sector regulatory framework. The AREAER is available in several formats. The Overview in print and online, and the detailed information for each of the 191 member countries and territories is included on a CD that accompanies the printed Overview and in an online database, AREAER Online. In addition to the information on the exchange and trade system of IMF member countries in 2012, AREAER Online contains historical data published in previous issues of the AREAER. It is searchable by year, country, and category of measure and allows cross country comparisons for time series.

World Economic Outlook, October 2013

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1484348834
Total Pages : 657 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (843 download)

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Book Synopsis World Economic Outlook, October 2013 by : International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Download or read book World Economic Outlook, October 2013 written by International Monetary Fund. Research Dept. and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2013-10-08 with total page 657 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Global growth is in low gear, and the drivers of activity are changing. These dynamics raise new policy challenges. Advanced economies are growing again but must continue financial sector repair, pursue fiscal consolidation, and spur job growth. Emerging market economies face the dual challenges of slowing growth and tighter global financial conditions. This issue of the World Economic Outlook examines the potential spillovers from these transitions and the appropriate policy responses. Chapter 3 explores how output comovements are influenced by policy and financial shocks, growth surprises, and other linkages. Chapter 4 assesses why certain emerging market economies were able to avoid the classical boom-and-bust cycle in the face of volatile capital flows during the global financial crisis.

When and How to Adjust Beyond the Business Cycle? A Guide to Structural Fiscal Balances

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Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1475510209
Total Pages : 39 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (755 download)

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Book Synopsis When and How to Adjust Beyond the Business Cycle? A Guide to Structural Fiscal Balances by : Fabian Bornhorst

Download or read book When and How to Adjust Beyond the Business Cycle? A Guide to Structural Fiscal Balances written by Fabian Bornhorst and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2011-04-11 with total page 39 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Technical Notes and Manuals are produced by IMF departments to expand the dissemination of their technical assistance advice. These papers present general advice and guidance, drawn in part from unpublished technical assistance reports, to a broader audience. This new series was launched in August 2009.

How to Manage Value-Added Tax Refunds

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1513577042
Total Pages : 29 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (135 download)

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Book Synopsis How to Manage Value-Added Tax Refunds by : Mario Pessoa

Download or read book How to Manage Value-Added Tax Refunds written by Mario Pessoa and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2021-05-10 with total page 29 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The value-added tax (VAT) has the potential to generate significant government revenue. Despite its intrinsic self-enforcement capacity, many tax administrations find it challenging to refund excess input credits, which is critical to a well-functioning VAT system. Improperly functioning VAT refund practices can have profound implications for fiscal policy and management, including inaccurate deficit measurement, spending overruns, poor budget credibility, impaired treasury operations, and arrears accumulation.This note addresses the following issues: (1) What are VAT refunds and why should they be managed properly? (2) What practices should be put in place (in tax policy, tax administration, budget and treasury management, debt, and fiscal statistics) to help manage key aspects of VAT refunds? For a refund mechanism to be credible, the tax administration must ensure that it is equipped with the strategies, processes, and abilities needed to identify VAT refund fraud. It must also be prepared to act quickly to combat such fraud/schemes.