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Essays In Macroeconomics And Monetary Theory On The Consequences Of Financial Crises
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Book Synopsis Essays in Macroeconomics and Monetary Theory on the Consequences of Financial Crises by : Quentin Vandeweyer
Download or read book Essays in Macroeconomics and Monetary Theory on the Consequences of Financial Crises written by Quentin Vandeweyer and published by . This book was released on 2019 with total page 144 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This thesis aims to study macroeconomic issues related to the dynamics, distribution and price of macroeconomic risks.The first chapter examines the effectiveness of different monetary policies in stabilizing asset prices in times of liquidity crisis. We propose a macro-finance model with heterogeneous banks subject to funding liquidity risk. When banks' equity capital is low, an endogenous haircut spiral emerges between the decline in asset prices and financing risks. The central bank can partially counter this dynamic with monetary policies. If the shadow banking sector is important, a large-scale asset purchase policy may be necessary to stabilize asset prices.The second chapter asks the question: how does productivity growth interact with financial cycles? In the years following the Great Recession, the diffusion of new innovations was particularly low, leading to low productivity growth. This work shows that this pattern can be rationalized in a standard macro-financial model with heterogeneous risk aversion when it is assumed that the implementation of new innovations is risky.In the third chapter, we propose a robust method for solving a large class of continuous-time dynamic general equilibrium models. We use a finite difference scheme to solve partial differential equation systems with multiple endogenous state variables in a short computation time.
Book Synopsis Macroeconomics, Finance and Money by : Giuseppe Fontana
Download or read book Macroeconomics, Finance and Money written by Giuseppe Fontana and published by Springer. This book was released on 2010-03-11 with total page 363 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This volume focuses on current issues of debate in the area of modern macroeconomics and money, written from (a broadly interpreted) post Keynesian perspective. The papers connect with Philip Arestis' contributions to macroeconomics and money, and pay tribute to his distinguished career.
Book Synopsis Essays on Macroeconomic Implications of Financial and Labor Markets and Political Processes by : Karl Brunner
Download or read book Essays on Macroeconomic Implications of Financial and Labor Markets and Political Processes written by Karl Brunner and published by . This book was released on 1984 with total page 338 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Financial Crises Explanations, Types, and Implications by : Mr.Stijn Claessens
Download or read book Financial Crises Explanations, Types, and Implications written by Mr.Stijn Claessens and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2013-01-30 with total page 66 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper reviews the literature on financial crises focusing on three specific aspects. First, what are the main factors explaining financial crises? Since many theories on the sources of financial crises highlight the importance of sharp fluctuations in asset and credit markets, the paper briefly reviews theoretical and empirical studies on developments in these markets around financial crises. Second, what are the major types of financial crises? The paper focuses on the main theoretical and empirical explanations of four types of financial crises—currency crises, sudden stops, debt crises, and banking crises—and presents a survey of the literature that attempts to identify these episodes. Third, what are the real and financial sector implications of crises? The paper briefly reviews the short- and medium-run implications of crises for the real economy and financial sector. It concludes with a summary of the main lessons from the literature and future research directions.
Book Synopsis Financial Conditions and Macroeconomic Performance by : Steven M. Fazzari
Download or read book Financial Conditions and Macroeconomic Performance written by Steven M. Fazzari and published by M.E. Sharpe. This book was released on 1992 with total page 222 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This collection of papers on financial instability and its impact on macroeconomic performance honours Hyman P. Minsky and his lifelong work. It is based on a conference at Washington University, St. Louis, in 1990 and includes among the authors Benjamin M. Friedman, Charles P. Kindleberger, Jan Kregel and Steven Fazzari. These papers consider Minsky's definitive analysis that yields such a clear and disturbing sequence of financial events: booms, government intervention to prevent debt contraction and new booms that cause a progressive buildup of new debt, eventually leaving the economy much more fragile financially.
Book Synopsis Macroeconomic Instability and Coordination by : Axel Leijonhufvud
Download or read book Macroeconomic Instability and Coordination written by Axel Leijonhufvud and published by Edward Elgar Publishing. This book was released on 2000 with total page 400 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Axel Leijonhufvud has made a unique contribution to the development of macroeconomic theory. This volume draws together his insightful essays dealing with the extremes of economic instability: great depressions, high inflation and the transition from socialism to a market economy. In several of the papers, Leijonhufvud brings a neo-institutionalist perspective to the problems of coordination in economic systems. The papers within Macroeconomic Instability and Coordination some of them already considered classics, deal with the questions that dominated Leijonhufvud's interest throughout his career as an economist: what are the limits to an economy's capacity to coordinate the activities of its members? How does the behavior of the system change under extreme conditions? In what ways does its performance depend upon the institutions that govern the market process?
Book Synopsis Essays in Macroeconomics, Finance and Risk by :
Download or read book Essays in Macroeconomics, Finance and Risk written by and published by . This book was released on 2014 with total page 220 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In the first Chapter of this dissertation, I develop a novel dynamic general equilibrium model of banking panics (multiple equilibria) and I analyze the effects of monetary injections during a financial crisis. In the second Chapter, I provide an Irrelevance Proposition that identifies the paths of money supply that are consistent with zero nominal interest rates in a large class of monetary models, with implications for monetary policy at the zero lower bound and for the analysis of the Friedman rule. The last Chapter (joint with Balazs Szentes) derives a utility representation of the evolutionary optimal behavior when a population faces choices over lotteries which determine the number of offspring and involve both idiosyncratic and aggregate risks.
Book Synopsis Essays on Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics by : Fatih Tuluk
Download or read book Essays on Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics written by Fatih Tuluk and published by . This book was released on 2016 with total page 138 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: My essays that are captured in two chapters of my dissertation focus on shadow banking system, collateralized debt arrangement and monetary policy. The first chapter studies the role of shadow banking in the recent financial crisis, the relationship between shadow banking and traditional banking, and it investigates the monetary policy reaction to overcome the financial frictions associated with the scarcity of collateral or shortages of safe assets that naturally led to the liquidity constraints. On the other hand, the second chapter studies the role of housing as a collateral or as a medium of exchange and it explores how the private liquidity, in the context of home-equity loans, and public liquidity work together to overcome the limited commitment frictions. In the first chapter, a Lagos-Wright model with costly-state verification and delegated monitoring financial intermediation, and a risk-sharing framework of banking is constructed. Lack of memory and limited commitment imply collateralized credit arrangements. In contrast to the traditional banking system, shadow banking system is not subject to the capital requirements. The relative use of shadow funded credit versus traditional bank loans entails the advantages of working outside the oversight of the bank regulations, but drawbacks of having information and transactions cost in funding entrepreneurs. I have five main findings: First, an entrepreneurial credit can help address the need for collateral. Second, the shadow funded credit shifts from risky to safer borrowers and loan creation capacity of the shadow banking sector shrinks when the economic outlook gets worse. Third, the traditional bank can fulfill the role of providing credit that shadow banks had played before the crisis, but can do it only to a certain extent. Fourth, to the extent that collateral backed by entrepreneurial credit mitigates the limited commitment friction in the traditional banking sector, the optimal monetary policy shifts nominal interest rate towards zero lower bound. Lastly, the quantitative easing program can be welfare increasing by reinforcing the shadow funded credit versus traditional banking lending if the credit frictions in the shadow banking sector are sufficiently small. The second chapter studies the role of home-equity loan and government debt in an environment with financial frictions. I construct a Lagos-Wright model in which private transactions must be secured under limited commitment and lack of record-keeping. Housing can be useful to support credit since it serves as collateral. It also gives direct utility as shelter and serves as a medium of exchange when the economy is inefficient. I show that when there is no efficiency loss due to exchange of housing, posting collateral is not optimal since collateralizable wealth is limited. In the state of efficiency loss, the collateral might be useful and the asset therefore bears a liquidity premium. However, once collateral becomes scarce - as it did during the financial crisis- then it amplifies the frictions and the buyer trades the asset to make up for the weak incentives associated with collateral. I show that the world is always non-Ricardian and therefore government debt implies higher welfare. As well, government debt enhances the private debt to the extent that posting collateral is always optimal. In equilibrium, full pledgeability of private collateral, in addition to government debt, completely rules out the efficiency loss arising from exchange of asset. Money and private banks are introduced. I show that as inflation imposes a tax on consumption, interest rate on cash loans imposes a tax on housing collateral. Finally, an increase in inflation raises the housing price near Friedman Rule.
Book Synopsis Essays in Macroeconomics by : Timothy Moreland
Download or read book Essays in Macroeconomics written by Timothy Moreland and published by . This book was released on 2021 with total page 209 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Chapter 1: Financial Consolidation and the Cyclicality of Corporate FinancingWe study the impact of the concentration and complexity of the banking sector on firms' financing and investment behavior over the business cycle. We find that, after the late 1990s, while debt issuance remained procyclical for U.S. firms of all sizes, equity issuance and liquidity accumulation switched from countercyclical to procyclical for small and medium- sized publicly-traded firms. Using matched firm-bank data, we provide evidence that bank consolidation contributed to this change. We rationalize these findings in a general equilibrium business cycle model. After bank consolidation, the weakening in firms' bargaining power and relational ties with banks enhances firms' precautionary demand for liquidity and equity issuance incentives following positive shocks. The change in financing behavior increases investment and employment sensitivity to aggregate productivity shocks.Chapter 2: Monetary Policy and Firm Heterogeneity: The Role of Leverage Since the Financial CrisisWe study how leverage determines firm-level responses to monetary policy. Using both high-frequency financial market and quarterly investment data, we find that the role of leverage in monetary transmission changed around the financial crisis of 2007-09. Firms with high leverage were less responsive to monetary policy shocks in the pre-crisis period but have become more responsive since the crisis. The higher responsiveness is drivenby firms whose leverage is more dependent on long-term debt, suggesting an outsize role for monetary policy affecting long-term funding conditions since the crisis. We also find suggestive evidence for transmission through changes in monetary policy uncertainty.Chapter 3: The International Spillover Effects of US Monetary Policy UncertaintyAn extensive literature studies the international transmission of US monetary policy surprises (shifts in expected path of the policy rate). In this paper we show that changes in uncertainty around the expected path constitute an important additional dimension of spillover effects to global bond yields. In advanced countries, it is the term premium component of yields that responds to uncertainty. We find that this can be explained by an international portfolio balance mechanism. In contrast, for emerging countries it is the expected component of yields that reacts to uncertainty. This can be rationalized from a flight to safety channel. We find heterogeneity in the country-level response to uncertainty only in emerging countries and it is driven by the degree of financial openness. Finally, equity markets in both advanced and emerging countries also respond to US monetary policy uncertainty.
Book Synopsis Monetary History, Exchange Rates and Financial Markets by : Charles Albert Eric Goodhart
Download or read book Monetary History, Exchange Rates and Financial Markets written by Charles Albert Eric Goodhart and published by Edward Elgar Publishing. This book was released on 2003 with total page 306 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Monetary History, Exchange Rates and Financial Markets is a collection of original papers in honour of Charles Goodhart's outstanding contribution to monetary economics and policy. Its contributors - eminent international academics, central bankers and financial market regulators - provide an insight into an extensive set of issues including: the role of the history of economic thought in modern macroeconomics; Charles Goodhart's contribution to British monetary history; lessons from the crises of financial globalization; customer trades and extreme events in foreign exchange; trading activity, volatility and liquidity in foreign exchange markets; and competition, stability, and financial regulation.
Book Synopsis Critical Essays in Monetary Theory by : John Hicks
Download or read book Critical Essays in Monetary Theory written by John Hicks and published by Oxford University Press, USA. This book was released on 1967 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Critical Essays in Monetary Theory
Book Synopsis Essays in Macroeconomic Theory by : Antoine Camous
Download or read book Essays in Macroeconomic Theory written by Antoine Camous and published by . This book was released on 2015 with total page 114 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This thesis investigates the design of appropriate institutions to ensure the good conduct of fiscal and monetary policy. The three chapters develop theoretical frameworks to address the time-inconsistency of policy plans or prevent the occurrence of self-fulfilling prophecies. Time-inconsistency refers to a situation where preferences over policy change over time. Optimal policy plans are not credible, since agents anticipate the implementation of another policy in the future. This issue is particularly pervasive to monetary policy, since nominal quantities (price level, interest rates, etc.) are very sensitive to expected policies, but predetermined to actual policy choices. The first chapter investigates how fiscal policy can mitigate the inflation bias of monetary policy in an economy with heterogeneous agents. Whenever there is a desire for redistribution, progressive fiscal helps to implement a policy mix less biased toward inflation. Importantly, even the richest supports some fiscal progressivity, since over their life cycle, they benefit from a more balanced policy-mix. A self-fulfilling prophecy, or coordination failure, refers to a situation where a more desirable economic outcome could be reached, but fail to be, by the only effect of pessimistic expectations. Self-fulfilling debt crises are a classical example: pessimistic investors bid down the price of debt, which increases the likelihood of default, which in turn justifies the initial decrease in price. The second chapter, co-authored with Russell Cooper, asks whether monetary policy can deter self-fulfilling debt crises. The analysis shows how a counter-cyclical inflation policy with commitment is effective in doing so. Importantly, it can be implemented without endangering the primary objective of monetary policy, to deliver an inflation target for instance. The third chapter, co-authored with Andrew Gimber, revisits the classic Laffer curve coordination failure: taxes could be low, but they are high because agents anticipate high tax rates. In a dynamic environment with debt issuance, the multiplicity of equilibria critically depends on inherited debt. At high levels of public debt, fiscal policy is pro-cyclical: taxes increase when output decreases, and self-fulfilling fiscal crisis can occur. Overall, this chapter sheds light on the perils of high level of public debt.
Book Synopsis Essays on Financial Crises by : Kayhan Koleyni
Download or read book Essays on Financial Crises written by Kayhan Koleyni and published by . This book was released on 2016 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The global financial crisis made clear that the financial sector and financial frictions play an integral role in the macroeconomy. Modelers are quickly incorporating these in different ways. This dissertation research also investigates both the causes and effects of financial crises. The first essay, which is mostly empirical, analyzes the impact of the recent U.S. financial crisis on Mexico while the second one, which is theoretical, introduces the Minsky financial friction into the literature as one of the causes of banking and financial crises. In the first essay, we simulate the impact of the U.S. financial crisis on Mexico, a major trading partner with close financial linkages, with the Gali and Monacelli (2005) small open economy DSGE model under two exchange rate regimes: the actual floating and the counterfactual fixed exchange rate regime. We assume the financial crisis generates a supply side shock (a productivity shock) and a demand side shock (a preference shock), which are the driving forces of the model. The results indicate that for both the demand and supply side shocks, the floating exchange rate ameliorates much of the impact on the Mexican economy vis- & agrave;-vis the counterfactual fixed exchange rate regime. Then I consider interest rate adjustments initiated in response by both the U.S. and Mexican monetary authorities. For the fixed exchange rate regime the impulse responses due to the productivity shock on most of Mexico & rsquo;s macroeconomic variables dissipate in less than thirteen quarters, with inflationary effects on price variables and permanent effects on the CPI and Mexico & rsquo;s home goods prices. Under the flexible exchange rate regime the effects of this shock are much smaller, and there is a deflationary effect and negative permanent effects on the nominal exchange rate, the CPI and Mexico & rsquo;s home goods prices. The variance decompositions indicate that the effects on real variables are larger under the fixed exchange rate regime and the external linkages are tighter. Welfare analysis shows that losses under the float are also less vis-a-vis the fixed and two other alternative central bank policy rules. The second essay introduces a new mechanism for financial frictions in a monetary dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model following Minsky & rsquo;s financial instability hypothesis (1977). We expand the Christiano, Trabandt and Walentin (2011) model by introducing three different types of entrepreneurs or borrowers: hedge, speculative and Ponzi borrowers. We change the role of banks from a non-risk taking financial intermediary in the CTW (2011) model to a risky debt accumulator. Then we link the accumulation of debt to the endogenous state of nature, which is absent in the current DSGE literature. The state of nature is endogenously a function of past history and the relative state of the business cycle. So ultimately the bank & rsquo;s profit function is a function of business cycle fluctuations. We also introduce a new type of shock, which we call the & ldquo;Minsky system risk & rdquo; shock. This shock captures excessive system risk that occurs within a banking network due to intermediation and interconnection among banks. Then we calculate the likelihood of a Minsky moment (or financial crisis) endogenously based on the bank & rsquo;s profit maximization problem.
Book Synopsis Essays on Macroeconomic Crises by : Nelson R. Lind
Download or read book Essays on Macroeconomic Crises written by Nelson R. Lind and published by . This book was released on 2017 with total page 183 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This dissertation examines economies that may occasionally enter periods of crisis. I first develop a model of asset pricing in the presence of frictions to financial intermediation. This model generates recurrent financial crises due to its strong non-linear dynamics. Next, I develop methodological tools for analyzing these types of highly non-linear dynamic equilibrium models. I then apply these tools to a theory of housing boom-bust cycles driven by endogenous shifts in lending standards. Chapter 1 introduces a model of asset pricing in the presence of agency frictions between savers and financial intermediaries. This model can generate asymmetric price movements where asset values suddenly collapse during a financial crisis. During normal times, intermediaries arbitrage away excess returns on assets and traditional asset pricing conditions hold. During a financial crisis, the net worth of intermediaries limits their ability to borrow from savers and they are unable to arbitrage away excess returns. Since their net worth depends on realized asset values, collapsing prices further tighten borrowing constraints leading to a large and sudden collapse in asset values. In chapter 2, I introduce a local approach to solving highly non-linear models, generalizing perturbation to handle the class of piecewise smooth rational expectations models. First, I formalize the notion of an endogenous regime by introducing a regime-switching equilibrium (RSE) concept. This framework uses non-linear model features to explain macroeconomic regime changes, and makes the distribution of the regime an equilibrium object instead of imposing an external regime-switching structure. Then, I demonstrate how to apply perturbation within a slackened model, approximate the policy functions associated with a given belief about the regime, and solve for the equilibrium regime distribution using backwards induction. This approach (1) accounts for expectational effects due to the probability of regime change; (2) provides a framework for modeling regime-switching from first principles; and (3) connects macroeconomic theory to reduced-form regime-switching econometric models. Chapter 3 develops a theory of housing boom-bust cycles driven by endogenous shifts in lending standards. The key friction is asymmetric information about default risk, implying that the economy occasionally and endogenously switches between two credit regimes. These regimes differ by whether or not lenders use income verification to screen the marginal homebuyer. A switch from the "screening" regime to the "pooling" regime leads to rapid home price appreciation, a collapse in down-payment requirements, and a reduction in income documentation--consistent with the shift in lending standards during the US housing boom. The episode ends in a foreclosure crisis once fundamentals revert and the screening regime returns. The theory predicts patterns for debt accumulation and mortgage spreads consistent with existing micro evidence.
Book Synopsis Money, Finance and Crises in Economic History by : Nerio Naldi
Download or read book Money, Finance and Crises in Economic History written by Nerio Naldi and published by . This book was released on 2018-09-10 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Recently, students and scholars have expressed dissatisfaction with the current state of economics, and have called for the re-introduction of historical perspectives into economic thinking. Supporting the idea that fruitful lessons can be drawn from the work of past economists, this book draws on the work of economists throughout history to consider afresh themes such as financial and real explanations of economic crises, the role of central banks, and the design of macroeconomic policies. These themes are all central to the work of Maria Cristina Marcuzzo, and the contributions will be both reflecting on and furthering her research agenda.
Book Synopsis Modern Money Theory by : L. Randall Wray
Download or read book Modern Money Theory written by L. Randall Wray and published by Springer. This book was released on 2015-09-22 with total page 322 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This second edition explores how money 'works' in the modern economy and synthesises the key principles of Modern Money Theory, exploring macro accounting, currency regimes and exchange rates in both the USA and developing nations.
Book Synopsis Essays on Macroeconomics with Financial Frictions by : Matthew Knowles
Download or read book Essays on Macroeconomics with Financial Frictions written by Matthew Knowles and published by . This book was released on 2017 with total page 198 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "This dissertation consists of three essays concerning the macroeconomic implications of financial market frictions that limit the ability of firms to obtain external finance. Each of the three chapters employs a theoretical macroeconomic model, combined with some empirical analysis, to study unanswered questions in the literature related to the importance of these financial market frictions for the wider economy. The three chapters consider, in turn, the effect of banking crises on investment, output and employment, the implications of financial market frictions for optimal capital taxation, and the effect of banking deregulation on the distribution of income. The first chapter studies the long slumps in output and employment following banking crises. In a panel of OECD and emerging economies, I find that recessions are associated with larger initial drops in investment and more persistent drops in output if they occur simultaneously with banking crises. Furthermore, the banking crises that are followed by more persistent output slumps are associated with particularly large initial drops in investment. I show that these patterns can arise in a model where a financial shock temporarily increases the costs of external finance for investing entrepreneurs. This leads to a drop in investment and a persistent slump in output. Critical to the model is the distinction between different types of capital with different depreciation rates. Intangible capital and equipment have high depreciation rates, leading these stocks to drop substantially when investment falls after a financial shock. If wages display some rigidity, this induces a slump in output and employment that persists for roughly a decade, through the contribution of the decline in equipment and intangibles to declining production and labor demand. I find that this mechanism can account for almost a third of the persistent drop in output and employment in the US Great Recession (2007-2014). In the model, TFP and government spending shocks lead to relatively smaller declines in investment and less persistent drops in output; so the model is also consistent with the more transitory output drops seen after non-financial recessions, where such shocks may have been more important. The second chapter, based on work co-written with Corina Boar, considers the implications of financial market frictions for optimal linear capital taxation, in a setting where the government is concerned with redistribution. By including financial frictions, we emphasize the effect of a new channel affecting the equity-efficiency trade-off of redistribution: taxes affect the allocative efficiency of capital and, ultimately, total factor productivity. We find that high tax rates can be optimal, provided that they are applied to wealth, rather than risky capital. Under plausible parameter values, we find that the optimal tax on risky capital is lower than that on wealth, and roughly in line with current U.S. levels. This suggests welfare gains from taxing wealth at a higher rate than risky capital. The third chapter, based on work co-written with Corina Boar and Yicheng Wang, studies the effect of banking deregulation in the US on the distribution of income, from both a theoretical and empirical perspective. We focus on the effect of the removal of interstate banking and branching restrictions over the 1970-1994 period. We present a theoretical model based on Greenwood and Jovanovic (1990) to illustrate the channels through which this deregulation may affect the income distribution. In the model, income inequality rises after banking deregulation for some values of the parameters--because deregulation decreases the cost of borrowing, which primarily benefits wealthy firm-owners. We empirically estimate the effect of interstate banking and branching deregulation on income inequality by exploiting variations in the timing of deregulation across states. We find that the removal of banking restrictions increased the Gini coefficient by 6 percent in the long run."--Pages ix-xi.
