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Energy Forecasting For Planners
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Book Synopsis Energy Forecasting for Planners by : David Listokin
Download or read book Energy Forecasting for Planners written by David Listokin and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2020-12-18 with total page 281 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: With the increased public awareness of a deepening energy crisis, governments at all levels have begun to examine their ability to act meaningfully in response to forms of short- and long-term energy-related political pressures. Emergency preparedness, conservation programs, and contingency planning have become watchwords in our new energy bureaus. The existence of a model provides an element of objectivity to the agency's policy pronouncements and, through the overlap in the energy agency's scope with that of other departments, the views of the energy agency are now made a part of regional development plans.This volume provides the tools to shape and implement community plans and programs relating to energy use in vehicular travel. Fully documented and effective fuel consumption forecasting models are clearly presented. These models range from static and flow adjustment equations delineating fuel consumption to analyses that explain patterns of change for vehicular use.This book shows the statistical procedures used to estimate the models, as well as the procedures used to test the models' significance. The authors include computer algorithms along with full, working examples; both are presented together with an analysis of all the principal alternative approaches. Finally, problems such as the distribution of fuel reserves to meet needs in particular areas within a jurisdiction are explored.
Book Synopsis Energy Forecasting for Planners by : David Listokin
Download or read book Energy Forecasting for Planners written by David Listokin and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2020-04-22 with total page 282 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: With the increased public awareness of a deepening energy crisis, governments at all levels have begun to examine their ability to act meaningfully in response to forms of short- and long-term energy-related political pressures. Emergency preparedness, conservation programs, and contingency planning have become watchwords in our new energy bureaus.
Download or read book Forecasting written by William Ascher and published by . This book was released on 1978-02-17 with total page 264 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Abstract: Forecasting is a new, and still changing field. One of the most important factors in the relationships between method and result is that core assumptions are more important than sophisticated techniques; improved technique does not compensate for faulty assumptions. Forecasting is still an art and one that is difficult to master. The uses of forecasting can be so varied, and applied to so many different disciplines, that it's worth making the effort. The appraisal of forecasts and the choice of the "most likely" from a group focusing on the same area is also a type of forecasting.
Book Synopsis Energy Demand Forecasting and Its Appropriate Role in Planning and Policy by : Larry Parker
Download or read book Energy Demand Forecasting and Its Appropriate Role in Planning and Policy written by Larry Parker and published by . This book was released on 1981 with total page 44 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Renewable Energy Forecasting by : Georges Kariniotakis
Download or read book Renewable Energy Forecasting written by Georges Kariniotakis and published by Woodhead Publishing. This book was released on 2017-09-29 with total page 388 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Renewable Energy Forecasting: From Models to Applications provides an overview of the state-of-the-art of renewable energy forecasting technology and its applications. After an introduction to the principles of meteorology and renewable energy generation, groups of chapters address forecasting models, very short-term forecasting, forecasting of extremes, and longer term forecasting. The final part of the book focuses on important applications of forecasting for power system management and in energy markets. Due to shrinking fossil fuel reserves and concerns about climate change, renewable energy holds an increasing share of the energy mix. Solar, wind, wave, and hydro energy are dependent on highly variable weather conditions, so their increased penetration will lead to strong fluctuations in the power injected into the electricity grid, which needs to be managed. Reliable, high quality forecasts of renewable power generation are therefore essential for the smooth integration of large amounts of solar, wind, wave, and hydropower into the grid as well as for the profitability and effectiveness of such renewable energy projects. Offers comprehensive coverage of wind, solar, wave, and hydropower forecasting in one convenient volume Addresses a topic that is growing in importance, given the increasing penetration of renewable energy in many countries Reviews state-of-the-science techniques for renewable energy forecasting Contains chapters on operational applications
Book Synopsis Sustainable Energy Systems Planning, Integration and Management by : Kim Guldstrand Larsen
Download or read book Sustainable Energy Systems Planning, Integration and Management written by Kim Guldstrand Larsen and published by MDPI. This book was released on 2020-01-21 with total page 286 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Energy systems worldwide are undergoing major transformation as a consequence of the transition towards the widespread use of clean and sustainable energy sources. Basically, this involves massive changes in technical and organizational levels together with tremendous technological upgrades in different sectors ranging from energy generation and transmission systems down to distribution systems. These actions generate huge science and engineering challenges and demands for expert knowledge in the field to create solutions for a sustainable energy system that is economically, environmentally, and socially viable while meeting high security requirements. This book covers these promising and dynamic areas of research and development, and presents contributions in sustainable energy systems planning, integration, and management. Moreover, the book elaborates on a variety of topics, ranging from design and planning of small- to large-scale energy systems to the operation and control of energy networks in different sectors, namely electricity, heat, and transport.
Book Synopsis Staff Proposed Electricity Forecasting and Planning Report by : California Energy Commission
Download or read book Staff Proposed Electricity Forecasting and Planning Report written by California Energy Commission and published by . This book was released on 1976 with total page 100 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Staff Proposed Electricity Forecasting and Planning Report by : California Energy Commission. Energy Assessment Division
Download or read book Staff Proposed Electricity Forecasting and Planning Report written by California Energy Commission. Energy Assessment Division and published by . This book was released on 1976 with total page 600 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Energy Planning Model Design for Forecasting the Final Energy Consumption Using Artificial Neural Networks by : Haidy Eissa
Download or read book Energy Planning Model Design for Forecasting the Final Energy Consumption Using Artificial Neural Networks written by Haidy Eissa and published by . This book was released on 2021 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Abstract: "Energy Trilemma" has recently received an increasing concern among policy makers. The trilemma conceptual framework is based on three main dimensions: environmental sustainability, energy equity, and energy security. Energy security reflects a nation's capability to meet current and future energy demand. Rational energy planning is thus a fundamental aspect to articulate energy policies. The energy system is huge and complex, accordingly in order to guarantee the availability of energy supply, it is necessary to implement strategies on the consumption side. Energy modeling is a tool that helps policy makers and researchers understand the fluctuations in the energy system. Over the years, there have been many attempts to develop energy system models, which have varying degrees of success. Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) is one of the modeling techniques that shows great performance in modeling the energy consumption side, which has the time-series characteristics of complexity and nonlinearity. Static feedforward neural networks are extensively used in literature due to their simplicity. In this thesis, we propose two artificial neural network topologies: feedforward and Nonlinear Autoregressive with Exogenous Inputs (NARX) neural networks, where four separate ANN models, are formulated to study and forecast the annual final energy consumption for four different sectors in the United Kingdom till 2035: transport, domestic, services, industrial. The outputs of all models are finally summed up to yield UK's total final energy consumption. Furthermore, in this thesis, we use the Bayesian optimization algorithm to search for the optimal network hyperparameters. Moreover, instead of arbitrarily selecting input parameters in a qualitative manner, a sequential backward selection technique is used to exclude any uninformative input variables that have no predictive power, and eventually select the optimal set of input parameters. The network performance is measured with regards to various accuracy metrics such as Root Mean Square Error (RMSE), and Mean Average Percentage Error (MAPE). The resulting forecasts are eventually compared to the final energy consumption outlook from UK's governmental Department for Business, Energy & Industrial Strategy (BEIS). The comparisons show that the NARX model offers superior results compared to the feedforward model in terms of the accuracy metrics as well as the long-term forecasts. Moreover, the developed NARX model succeeded in having a better performance than other models developed in the literature.
Book Synopsis Energy Forecasting--a Role for State Government? by : Montana. Legislature. Study Committee on Energy Forecasting
Download or read book Energy Forecasting--a Role for State Government? written by Montana. Legislature. Study Committee on Energy Forecasting and published by . This book was released on 1980 with total page 100 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Spatial Electric Load Forecasting by : H. Lee Willis
Download or read book Spatial Electric Load Forecasting written by H. Lee Willis and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2002-08-09 with total page 767 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Containing 12 new chapters, this second edition offers increased coverage of weather correction and normalization of forecasts, anticipation of redevelopment, determining the validity of announced developments, and minimizing risk from over- or under-planning. It provides specific examples and detailed explanations of key points to consider for both standard and unusual utility forecasting situations, information on new algorithms and concepts in forecasting, a review of forecasting pitfalls and mistakes, case studies depicting challenging forecast environments, and load models illustrating various types of demand.
Book Synopsis Power System Planning Technologies and Applications: Concepts, Solutions and Management by : Elkarmi, Fawwaz
Download or read book Power System Planning Technologies and Applications: Concepts, Solutions and Management written by Elkarmi, Fawwaz and published by IGI Global. This book was released on 2012-02-29 with total page 297 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "This book focuses on the technical planning of power systems, taking into account technological evolutions in equipment as well as the economic, financial, and societal factors that drive supply and demand and have implications for technical planning at the micro level"--Provided by publisher.
Book Synopsis Demand Forecasting for Electric Utilities by : Clark W. Gellings
Download or read book Demand Forecasting for Electric Utilities written by Clark W. Gellings and published by . This book was released on 1992 with total page 552 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis A Guide to Energy Forecasting by : Graham Duxbury
Download or read book A Guide to Energy Forecasting written by Graham Duxbury and published by Troubador Publishing. This book was released on 2017-08-31 with total page 224 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book describes in an informal manner the methods used by consultants and industry planners to compile long term forecasts of global energy demand, supply and prices. A core aim is to expose the frailties of the forecasting process and describe the myriad issues that have to be addressed to compile such projections.The book shows that long term energy forecasts are often proven to be wide of the mark; but emphasises that forecasts are still needed, notwithstanding their accuracy. A market view is inevitably required to underpin ongoing new energy investment projects. The value of forecasts is generated in understanding their construction - how you get to the number - and being able to challenge their methodologies and assumptions.
Book Synopsis Energy and Demand Forecast by : Electric Utility Planning Council. Forecast Committee
Download or read book Energy and Demand Forecast written by Electric Utility Planning Council. Forecast Committee and published by . This book was released on with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Advances in Electric Power and Energy Systems by : Mohamed E. El-Hawary
Download or read book Advances in Electric Power and Energy Systems written by Mohamed E. El-Hawary and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2017-07-12 with total page 324 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A comprehensive review of state-of-the-art approaches to power systems forecasting from the most respected names in the field, internationally Advances in Electric Power and Energy Systems is the first book devoted exclusively to a subject of increasing urgency to power systems planning and operations. Written for practicing engineers, researchers, and post-grads concerned with power systems planning and forecasting, this book brings together contributions from many of the world’s foremost names in the field who address a range of critical issues, from forecasting power system load to power system pricing to post-storm service restoration times, river flow forecasting, and more. In a time of ever-increasing energy demands, mounting concerns over the environmental impacts of power generation, and the emergence of new, smart-grid technologies, electricity price forecasting has assumed a prominent role within both the academic and industrial arenas. Short-run forecasting of electricity prices has become necessary for power generation unit schedule, since it is the basis of every maximization strategy. This book fills a gap in the literature on this increasingly important topic. Following an introductory chapter offering background information necessary for a full understanding of the forecasting issues covered, this book: Introduces advanced methods of time series forecasting, as well as neural networks Provides in-depth coverage of state-of-the-art power system load forecasting and electricity price forecasting Addresses river flow forecasting based on autonomous neural network models Deals with price forecasting in a competitive market Includes estimation of post-storm restoration times for electric power distribution systems Features contributions from world-renowned experts sharing their insights and expertise in a series of self-contained chapters Advances in Electric Power and Energy Systems is a valuable resource for practicing engineers, regulators, planners, and consultants working in or concerned with the electric power industry. It is also a must read for senior undergraduates, graduate students, and researchers involved in power system planning and operation.
Book Synopsis California Energy Demand, 1993-2013: The BGP planning area forms by :
Download or read book California Energy Demand, 1993-2013: The BGP planning area forms written by and published by . This book was released on 1993 with total page 158 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
