Emulation Based Uncertainty And Sensitivity Analysis For Complex Building Performance Simulation

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Sensitivity Analysis in Practice

Author : Andrea Saltelli
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 047087094X
Total Pages : 232 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (78 download)

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Book Synopsis Sensitivity Analysis in Practice by : Andrea Saltelli

Download or read book Sensitivity Analysis in Practice written by Andrea Saltelli and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2004-07-16 with total page 232 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Sensitivity analysis should be considered a pre-requisite for statistical model building in any scientific discipline where modelling takes place. For a non-expert, choosing the method of analysis for their model is complex, and depends on a number of factors. This book guides the non-expert through their problem in order to enable them to choose and apply the most appropriate method. It offers a review of the state-of-the-art in sensitivity analysis, and is suitable for a wide range of practitioners. It is focussed on the use of SIMLAB – a widely distributed freely-available sensitivity analysis software package developed by the authors – for solving problems in sensitivity analysis of statistical models. Other key features: Provides an accessible overview of the current most widely used methods for sensitivity analysis. Opens with a detailed worked example to explain the motivation behind the book. Includes a range of examples to help illustrate the concepts discussed. Focuses on implementation of the methods in the software SIMLAB - a freely-available sensitivity analysis software package developed by the authors. Contains a large number of references to sources for further reading. Authored by the leading authorities on sensitivity analysis.

Global Sensitivity Analysis

Author : Andrea Saltelli
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 9780470725177
Total Pages : 304 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (251 download)

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Book Synopsis Global Sensitivity Analysis by : Andrea Saltelli

Download or read book Global Sensitivity Analysis written by Andrea Saltelli and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2008-02-28 with total page 304 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Complex mathematical and computational models are used in all areas of society and technology and yet model based science is increasingly contested or refuted, especially when models are applied to controversial themes in domains such as health, the environment or the economy. More stringent standards of proofs are demanded from model-based numbers, especially when these numbers represent potential financial losses, threats to human health or the state of the environment. Quantitative sensitivity analysis is generally agreed to be one such standard. Mathematical models are good at mapping assumptions into inferences. A modeller makes assumptions about laws pertaining to the system, about its status and a plethora of other, often arcane, system variables and internal model settings. To what extent can we rely on the model-based inference when most of these assumptions are fraught with uncertainties? Global Sensitivity Analysis offers an accessible treatment of such problems via quantitative sensitivity analysis, beginning with the first principles and guiding the reader through the full range of recommended practices with a rich set of solved exercises. The text explains the motivation for sensitivity analysis, reviews the required statistical concepts, and provides a guide to potential applications. The book: Provides a self-contained treatment of the subject, allowing readers to learn and practice global sensitivity analysis without further materials. Presents ways to frame the analysis, interpret its results, and avoid potential pitfalls. Features numerous exercises and solved problems to help illustrate the applications. Is authored by leading sensitivity analysis practitioners, combining a range of disciplinary backgrounds. Postgraduate students and practitioners in a wide range of subjects, including statistics, mathematics, engineering, physics, chemistry, environmental sciences, biology, toxicology, actuarial sciences, and econometrics will find much of use here. This book will prove equally valuable to engineers working on risk analysis and to financial analysts concerned with pricing and hedging.

Uncertainty in Engineering

Author : Louis J. M. Aslett
Publisher : Springer Nature
ISBN 13 : 3030836401
Total Pages : 148 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (38 download)

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Book Synopsis Uncertainty in Engineering by : Louis J. M. Aslett

Download or read book Uncertainty in Engineering written by Louis J. M. Aslett and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2022 with total page 148 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This open access book provides an introduction to uncertainty quantification in engineering. Starting with preliminaries on Bayesian statistics and Monte Carlo methods, followed by material on imprecise probabilities, it then focuses on reliability theory and simulation methods for complex systems. The final two chapters discuss various aspects of aerospace engineering, considering stochastic model updating from an imprecise Bayesian perspective, and uncertainty quantification for aerospace flight modelling. Written by experts in the subject, and based on lectures given at the Second Training School of the European Research and Training Network UTOPIAE (Uncertainty Treatment and Optimization in Aerospace Engineering), which took place at Durham University (United Kingdom) from 2 to 6 July 2018, the book offers an essential resource for students as well as scientists and practitioners.

Building Performance Simulation for Design and Operation

Author : Jan L.M. Hensen
Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 1134026358
Total Pages : 538 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (34 download)

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Book Synopsis Building Performance Simulation for Design and Operation by : Jan L.M. Hensen

Download or read book Building Performance Simulation for Design and Operation written by Jan L.M. Hensen and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2012-09-10 with total page 538 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Effective building performance simulation can reduce the environmental impact of the built environment, improve indoor quality and productivity, and facilitate future innovation and technological progress in construction. It draws on many disciplines, including physics, mathematics, material science, biophysics and human behavioural, environmental and computational sciences. The discipline itself is continuously evolving and maturing, and improvements in model robustness and fidelity are constantly being made. This has sparked a new agenda focusing on the effectiveness of simulation in building life-cycle processes. Building Performance Simulation for Design and Operation begins with an introduction to the concepts of performance indicators and targets, followed by a discussion on the role of building simulation in performance-based building design and operation. This sets the ground for in-depth discussion of performance prediction for energy demand, indoor environmental quality (including thermal, visual, indoor air quality and moisture phenomena), HVAC and renewable system performance, urban level modelling, building operational optimization and automation. Produced in cooperation with the International Building Performance Simulation Association (IBPSA), and featuring contributions from fourteen internationally recognised experts in this field, this book provides a unique and comprehensive overview of building performance simulation for the complete building life-cycle from conception to demolition. It is primarily intended for advanced students in building services engineering, and in architectural, environmental or mechanical engineering; and will be useful for building and systems designers and operators.

Artificial Intelligence in Performance-Driven Design

Author : Narjes Abbasabadi
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 1394172079
Total Pages : 308 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (941 download)

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Book Synopsis Artificial Intelligence in Performance-Driven Design by : Narjes Abbasabadi

Download or read book Artificial Intelligence in Performance-Driven Design written by Narjes Abbasabadi and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2024-04-17 with total page 308 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE IN PERFORMANCE-DRIVEN DESIGN A definitive, interdisciplinary reference to using artificial intelligence technology and data-driven methodologies for sustainable design Artificial Intelligence in Performance-Driven Design: Theories, Methods, and Tools explores the application of artificial intelligence (AI), specifically machine learning (ML), for performance modeling within the built environment. This work develops the theoretical foundations and methodological frameworks for utilizing AI/ML, with an emphasis on multi-scale modeling encompassing energy flows, environmental quality, and human systems. The book examines relevant practices, case studies, and computational tools that harness AI’s capabilities in modeling frameworks, enhancing the efficiency, accuracy, and integration of physics-based simulation, optimization, and automation processes. Furthermore, it highlights the integration of intelligent systems and digital twins throughout the lifecycle of the built environment, to enhance our understanding and management of these complex environments. This book also: Incorporates emerging technologies into practical ideas to improve performance analysis and sustainable design Presents data-driven methodologies and technologies that integrate into modeling and design platforms Shares valuable insights and tools for developing decarbonization pathways in urban buildings Includes contributions from expert researchers and educators across a range of related fields Artificial Intelligence in Performance-Driven Design is ideal for architects, engineers, planners, and researchers involved in sustainable design and the built environment. It’s also of interest to students of architecture, building science and technology, urban design and planning, environmental engineering, and computer science and engineering.

Building Energy Modeling with OpenStudio

Author : Larry Brackney
Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 3319778099
Total Pages : 356 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (197 download)

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Book Synopsis Building Energy Modeling with OpenStudio by : Larry Brackney

Download or read book Building Energy Modeling with OpenStudio written by Larry Brackney and published by Springer. This book was released on 2018-05-15 with total page 356 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This textbook teaches the fundamentals of building energy modeling and analysis using open source example applications built with the US DOE’s OpenStudio modeling platform and EnergyPlus simulation engine. Designed by researchers at US National Laboratories to support a new generation of high performance buildings, EnergyPlus and OpenStudio are revolutionizing how building energy modeling is taught in universities and applied by professional architects and engineers around the world. The authors, all researchers at National Renewable Energy Laboratory and members of the OpenStudio software development team, present modeling concepts using open source software that may be generally applied using a variety of software tools commonly used by design professionals. The book also discusses modeling process automation in the context of OpenStudio Measures—small self-contained scripts that can transform energy models and their data—to save time and effort. They illustrate key concepts through a sophisticated example problem that evolves in complexity throughout the book. The text also examines advanced topics including daylighting, parametric analysis, uncertainty analysis, design optimization, and model calibration. Building Energy Modeling with OpenStudio teaches students to become sophisticated modelers rather than simply proficient software users. It supports undergraduate and graduate building energy courses in Architecture, and in Mechanical, Civil, Architectural, and Sustainability Engineering.

Sensitivity Analysis

Author : Emanuele Borgonovo
Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 3319522590
Total Pages : 291 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (195 download)

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Book Synopsis Sensitivity Analysis by : Emanuele Borgonovo

Download or read book Sensitivity Analysis written by Emanuele Borgonovo and published by Springer. This book was released on 2017-04-19 with total page 291 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book is an expository introduction to the methodology of sensitivity analysis of model output. It is primarily intended for investigators, students and researchers that are familiar with mathematical models but are less familiar with the techniques for performing their sensitivity analysis. A variety of sensitivity methods have been developed over the years. This monograph helps the analyst in her/his first exploration of this world. The main goal is to foster the recognition of the crucial role of sensitivity analysis methods as the techniques that allow us to gain insights from quantitative models. Also, exercising rigor in performing sensitivity analysis becomes increasingly relevant both to decision makers and modelers. The book helps the analyst in structuring her/his sensitivity analysis quest properly, so as to obtain the correct answer to the corresponding managerial question. The first part of the book covers Deterministic Methods, including Tornado Diagrams; One-Way Sensitivity Analysis; Differentiation-Based Methods and Local Sensitivity Analysis with Constraints. The second part looks at Probabilistic Methods, including Regression-Based methods, Variance-Based Methods, and Distribution-Based methods. The final section looks at Applications, including capital budgeting, sensitivity analysis in climate change modelling and in the risk assessment of a lunar space mission.

Statistics, Testing, and Defense Acquisition

Author : National Research Council
Publisher : National Academies Press
ISBN 13 : 0309174198
Total Pages : 240 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (91 download)

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Book Synopsis Statistics, Testing, and Defense Acquisition by : National Research Council

Download or read book Statistics, Testing, and Defense Acquisition written by National Research Council and published by National Academies Press. This book was released on 1998-05-08 with total page 240 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: For every weapons system being developed, the U.S. Department of Defense (DOD) must make a critical decision: Should the system go forward to full-scale production? The answer to that question may involve not only tens of billions of dollars but also the nation's security and military capabilities. In the milestone process used by DOD to answer the basic acquisition question, one component near the end of the process is operational testing, to determine if a system meets the requirements for effectiveness and suitability in realistic battlefield settings. Problems discovered at this stage can cause significant production delays and can necessitate costly system redesign. This book examines the milestone process, as well as the DOD's entire approach to testing and evaluating defense systems. It brings to the topic of defense acquisition the application of scientific statistical principles and practices.

Uncertainty Quantification in Multiscale Materials Modeling

Author : Yan Wang
Publisher : Woodhead Publishing
ISBN 13 : 0081029411
Total Pages : 604 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (81 download)

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Book Synopsis Uncertainty Quantification in Multiscale Materials Modeling by : Yan Wang

Download or read book Uncertainty Quantification in Multiscale Materials Modeling written by Yan Wang and published by Woodhead Publishing. This book was released on 2020-03-12 with total page 604 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Uncertainty Quantification in Multiscale Materials Modeling provides a complete overview of uncertainty quantification (UQ) in computational materials science. It provides practical tools and methods along with examples of their application to problems in materials modeling. UQ methods are applied to various multiscale models ranging from the nanoscale to macroscale. This book presents a thorough synthesis of the state-of-the-art in UQ methods for materials modeling, including Bayesian inference, surrogate modeling, random fields, interval analysis, and sensitivity analysis, providing insight into the unique characteristics of models framed at each scale, as well as common issues in modeling across scales.

Mathematical Modeling of Biofilms

Author : IWA Task Group on Biofilm Modeling
Publisher : IWA Publishing
ISBN 13 : 1843390876
Total Pages : 194 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (433 download)

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Book Synopsis Mathematical Modeling of Biofilms by : IWA Task Group on Biofilm Modeling

Download or read book Mathematical Modeling of Biofilms written by IWA Task Group on Biofilm Modeling and published by IWA Publishing. This book was released on 2006-04-30 with total page 194 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Over 90% of bacterial biomass exists in the form of biofilms. The ability of bacteria to attach to surfaces and to form biofilms often is an important competitive advantage for them over bacteria growing in suspension. Some biofilms are "good" in natural and engineered systems; they are responsible for nutrient cycling in nature and are used to purify waters in engineering processes. Other biofilms are "bad" when they cause fouling and infections of humans and plants. Whether we want to promote good biofilms or eliminate bad biofilms, we need to understand how they work and what works to control them. Mathematical Modeling of Biofilms provides guidelines for the selection and use of mathematical models of biofilms. The whole range of existing models - from simple analytical expressions to complex numerical models - is covered. The application of the models for the solution of typical problems is demonstrated, and the performance of the models is tested in comparative studies. With the dramatic evolution of the computational capacity still going on, modeling tools for research and practice will become more and more significant in the next few years. This report provides the foundation to understand the models and to select the most appropriate one for a given use. Mathematical Modeling of Biofilms gives a state-of-the-art overview that is especially valuable for educating students, new biofilm researchers, and design engineers. Through a series of three benchmark problems, the report demonstrates how to use the different models and indicates when simple or highly complex models are most appropriate. This is the first report to give a quantitative comparison of existing biofilm models. The report supports model-based design of biofilm reactors. The report can be used as basis for teaching biofilm-system modeling. The report provides the foundation for researchers seeking to use biofilm modeling or to develop new biofilm models. Scientific and Technical Report No.18

Simulation Modeling and Analysis with ARENA

Author : Tayfur Altiok
Publisher : Elsevier
ISBN 13 : 0080548954
Total Pages : 462 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (85 download)

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Book Synopsis Simulation Modeling and Analysis with ARENA by : Tayfur Altiok

Download or read book Simulation Modeling and Analysis with ARENA written by Tayfur Altiok and published by Elsevier. This book was released on 2010-07-26 with total page 462 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Simulation Modeling and Analysis with Arena is a highly readable textbook which treats the essentials of the Monte Carlo discrete-event simulation methodology, and does so in the context of a popular Arena simulation environment. It treats simulation modeling as an in-vitro laboratory that facilitates the understanding of complex systems and experimentation with what-if scenarios in order to estimate their performance metrics. The book contains chapters on the simulation modeling methodology and the underpinnings of discrete-event systems, as well as the relevant underlying probability, statistics, stochastic processes, input analysis, model validation and output analysis. All simulation-related concepts are illustrated in numerous Arena examples, encompassing production lines, manufacturing and inventory systems, transportation systems, and computer information systems in networked settings. - Introduces the concept of discrete event Monte Carlo simulation, the most commonly used methodology for modeling and analysis of complex systems - Covers essential workings of the popular animated simulation language, ARENA, including set-up, design parameters, input data, and output analysis, along with a wide variety of sample model applications from production lines to transportation systems - Reviews elements of statistics, probability, and stochastic processes relevant to simulation modeling

GeoComputational Analysis and Modeling of Regional Systems

Author : Jean-Claude Thill
Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 3319595113
Total Pages : 407 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (195 download)

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Book Synopsis GeoComputational Analysis and Modeling of Regional Systems by : Jean-Claude Thill

Download or read book GeoComputational Analysis and Modeling of Regional Systems written by Jean-Claude Thill and published by Springer. This book was released on 2017-07-28 with total page 407 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The contributed volume collects cutting-edge research in GeoComputational Analysis of Regional Systems. The contributions emphasize methodological innovations or substantive breakthroughs on many facets of the socio-economic and environmental reality of regional contexts.

Sensitivity & Uncertainty Analysis, Volume 1

Author : Dan G. Cacuci
Publisher : CRC Press
ISBN 13 : 0203498798
Total Pages : 304 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (34 download)

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Book Synopsis Sensitivity & Uncertainty Analysis, Volume 1 by : Dan G. Cacuci

Download or read book Sensitivity & Uncertainty Analysis, Volume 1 written by Dan G. Cacuci and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2003-05-28 with total page 304 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: As computer-assisted modeling and analysis of physical processes have continued to grow and diversify, sensitivity and uncertainty analyses have become indispensable investigative scientific tools in their own right. While most techniques used for these analyses are well documented, there has yet to appear a systematic treatment of the method based

Handbook of Uncertainty Quantification

Author : Roger Ghanem
Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 9783319123844
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (238 download)

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Book Synopsis Handbook of Uncertainty Quantification by : Roger Ghanem

Download or read book Handbook of Uncertainty Quantification written by Roger Ghanem and published by Springer. This book was released on 2016-05-08 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The topic of Uncertainty Quantification (UQ) has witnessed massive developments in response to the promise of achieving risk mitigation through scientific prediction. It has led to the integration of ideas from mathematics, statistics and engineering being used to lend credence to predictive assessments of risk but also to design actions (by engineers, scientists and investors) that are consistent with risk aversion. The objective of this Handbook is to facilitate the dissemination of the forefront of UQ ideas to their audiences. We recognize that these audiences are varied, with interests ranging from theory to application, and from research to development and even execution.

Natural Hazard Uncertainty Assessment

Author : Karin Riley
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 1119027861
Total Pages : 356 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (19 download)

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Book Synopsis Natural Hazard Uncertainty Assessment by : Karin Riley

Download or read book Natural Hazard Uncertainty Assessment written by Karin Riley and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2016-12-12 with total page 356 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Uncertainties are pervasive in natural hazards, and it is crucial to develop robust and meaningful approaches to characterize and communicate uncertainties to inform modeling efforts. In this monograph we provide a broad, cross-disciplinary overview of issues relating to uncertainties faced in natural hazard and risk assessment. We introduce some basic tenets of uncertainty analysis, discuss issues related to communication and decision support, and offer numerous examples of analyses and modeling approaches that vary by context and scope. Contributors include scientists from across the full breath of the natural hazard scientific community, from those in real-time analysis of natural hazards to those in the research community from academia and government. Key themes and highlights include: Substantial breadth and depth of analysis in terms of the types of natural hazards addressed, the disciplinary perspectives represented, and the number of studies included Targeted, application-centered analyses with a focus on development and use of modeling techniques to address various sources of uncertainty Emphasis on the impacts of climate change on natural hazard processes and outcomes Recommendations for cross-disciplinary and science transfer across natural hazard sciences This volume will be an excellent resource for those interested in the current work on uncertainty classification/quantification and will document common and emergent research themes to allow all to learn from each other and build a more connected but still diverse and ever growing community of scientists. Read an interview with the editors to find out more: https://eos.org/editors-vox/reducing-uncertainty-in-hazard-prediction

Process Modelling and Simulation

Author : César de Prada
Publisher : MDPI
ISBN 13 : 3039214551
Total Pages : 298 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (392 download)

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Book Synopsis Process Modelling and Simulation by : César de Prada

Download or read book Process Modelling and Simulation written by César de Prada and published by MDPI. This book was released on 2019-09-23 with total page 298 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Since process models are nowadays ubiquitous in many applications, the challenges and alternatives related to their development, validation, and efficient use have become more apparent. In addition, the massive amounts of both offline and online data available today open the door for new applications and solutions. However, transforming data into useful models and information in the context of the process industry or of bio-systems requires specific approaches and considerations such as new modelling methodologies incorporating the complex, stochastic, hybrid and distributed nature of many processes in particular. The same can be said about the tools and software environments used to describe, code, and solve such models for their further exploitation. Going well beyond mere simulation tools, these advanced tools offer a software suite built around the models, facilitating tasks such as experiment design, parameter estimation, model initialization, validation, analysis, size reduction, discretization, optimization, distributed computation, co-simulation, etc. This Special Issue collects novel developments in these topics in order to address the challenges brought by the use of models in their different facets, and to reflect state of the art developments in methods, tools and industrial applications.

Swarm Intelligence and Bio-Inspired Computation

Author : Tamás Varga
Publisher : Elsevier Inc. Chapters
ISBN 13 : 0128069058
Total Pages : 29 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (28 download)

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Book Synopsis Swarm Intelligence and Bio-Inspired Computation by : Tamás Varga

Download or read book Swarm Intelligence and Bio-Inspired Computation written by Tamás Varga and published by Elsevier Inc. Chapters. This book was released on 2013-05-16 with total page 29 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Advanced inventory management in complex supply chains requires effective and robust nonlinear optimization due to the stochastic nature of supply and demand variations. Application of estimated gradients can boost up the convergence of Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO) algorithm but classical gradient calculation cannot be applied to stochastic and uncertain systems. In these situations Monte-Carlo (MC) simulation can be applied to determine the gradient. We developed a memory-based algorithm where instead of generating and evaluating new simulated samples the stored and shared former function evaluations of the particles are sampled to estimate the gradients by local weighted least squares regression. The performance of the resulted regional gradient-based PSO is verified by several benchmark problems and in a complex application example where optimal reorder points of a supply chain are determined.