Global Business Cycles and Developing Countries

Download Global Business Cycles and Developing Countries PDF Online Free

Author :
Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 1000712540
Total Pages : 133 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (7 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!


Book Synopsis Global Business Cycles and Developing Countries by : Eri Ikeda

Download or read book Global Business Cycles and Developing Countries written by Eri Ikeda and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2019-09-17 with total page 133 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book investigates how global business cycles impact the economies of developing countries. Global business cycles, the wave-like movements of economic expansion followed by contraction in aggregate economic activities, impact all economies comprising the global economy. The patterns being shown in developing countries correspond increasingly to those in the global north, and yet there is a relative dearth of studies exploring whether global business cycles exist and how they operate in developing economies. This book explores how cycles operate at the global and sub-global developing country levels, with a particular focus on the level of development and the structure of the economies. Drawing an important distinction between cycles and fluctuations, the book criticises mainstream conceptualisation and identification of cycle phenomena, and instead proposes an alternative conception and methodology for the identification of cycles. Along the way, the book also delves into the manufacturing and rise of China, and other potential competitors in the industrial arena, as increasingly important drivers of global cycles and global economic growth. This book will be an important read for researchers and upper-level students of development economics and international political economy.

Global Business Cycles

Download Global Business Cycles PDF Online Free

Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1451870019
Total Pages : 51 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (518 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!


Book Synopsis Global Business Cycles by : Mr.Ayhan Kose

Download or read book Global Business Cycles written by Mr.Ayhan Kose and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2008-06-01 with total page 51 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper analyzes the evolution of the degree of global cyclical interdependence over the period 1960-2005. We categorize the 106 countries in our sample into three groups-industrial countries, emerging markets, and other developing economies. Using a dynamic factor model, we then decompose macroeconomic fluctuations in key macroeconomic aggregates-output, consumption, and investment-into different factors. These are: (i) a global factor, which picks up fluctuations that are common across all variables and countries; (ii) three group-specific factors, which capture fluctuations that are common to all variables and all countries within each group of countries; (iii) country factors, which are common across all aggregates in a given country; and (iv) idiosyncratic factors specific to each time series. Our main result is that, during the period of globalization (1985-2005), there has been some convergence of business cycle fluctuations among the group of industrial economies and among the group of emerging market economies. Surprisingly, there has been a concomitant decline in the relative importance of the global factor. In other words, there is evidence of business cycle convergence within each of these two groups of countries but divergence (or decoupling) between them.

Hysteresis and Business Cycles

Download Hysteresis and Business Cycles PDF Online Free

Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1513536990
Total Pages : 50 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (135 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!


Book Synopsis Hysteresis and Business Cycles by : Ms.Valerie Cerra

Download or read book Hysteresis and Business Cycles written by Ms.Valerie Cerra and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2020-05-29 with total page 50 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Traditionally, economic growth and business cycles have been treated independently. However, the dependence of GDP levels on its history of shocks, what economists refer to as “hysteresis,” argues for unifying the analysis of growth and cycles. In this paper, we review the recent empirical and theoretical literature that motivate this paradigm shift. The renewed interest in hysteresis has been sparked by the persistence of the Global Financial Crisis and fears of a slow recovery from the Covid-19 crisis. The findings of the recent literature have far-reaching conceptual and policy implications. In recessions, monetary and fiscal policies need to be more active to avoid the permanent scars of a downturn. And in good times, running a high-pressure economy could have permanent positive effects.

The Effect of Business Cycles on Population Health in the Emerging Economies, Volume II

Download The Effect of Business Cycles on Population Health in the Emerging Economies, Volume II PDF Online Free

Author :
Publisher : Frontiers Media SA
ISBN 13 : 2889742717
Total Pages : 442 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (897 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!


Book Synopsis The Effect of Business Cycles on Population Health in the Emerging Economies, Volume II by : Wen-Yi Chen

Download or read book The Effect of Business Cycles on Population Health in the Emerging Economies, Volume II written by Wen-Yi Chen and published by Frontiers Media SA. This book was released on 2022-02-03 with total page 442 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Emerging Markets

Download Emerging Markets PDF Online Free

Author :
Publisher : Rowman & Littlefield
ISBN 13 : 0815705654
Total Pages : 225 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (157 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!


Book Synopsis Emerging Markets by : Eswar S. Prasad

Download or read book Emerging Markets written by Eswar S. Prasad and published by Rowman & Littlefield. This book was released on 2011-02-01 with total page 225 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Emerging market economies (EMEs) have become the darlings of international investors and the focus of enormous attention in academic, media, and policy circles. M. Ayhan Kose and Eswar Prasad present the definitive account of the evolution of EMEs and use the lens of the global financial crisis to evaluate their strengths and weaknesses. Led by a set of large and dynamic countries—including Brazil, China, India, and Russia—EMEs have become a dominant presence in the world economy. They now account for a substantial share of world output and have been a major driver of global growth during the past decade. They are significant players in international trade and financial flows and are beginning to exert rising clout in global policy debates. However, the financial crisis of 2007–09 and the worldwide recession that followed cast a pall over the notion that EMEs had become self-reliant and "decoupled" from demand conditions in and financial flows from advanced countries. Kose and Prasad, prominent experts on emerging market economies and globalization, draw on their extensive research to assess the resilience of EMEs in the face of the global financial crisis. Their analysis shows that EMEs, as a group, weathered the crisis much better than the advanced countries, and most of these economies have bounced back rapidly from the global recession. The authors track down the reasons for this resilience and explain why some countries in this group have done better than others. Based on this analysis, they draw lessons for the durability and sustainability of these economies' long-term growth. This book is important reading for anyone trying to anticipate the future growth of emerging markets or contemplating business opportunities in these economies.

Tariff Passthrough at the Border and at the Store: Evidence from US Trade Policy

Download Tariff Passthrough at the Border and at the Store: Evidence from US Trade Policy PDF Online Free

Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1513518380
Total Pages : 37 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (135 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!


Book Synopsis Tariff Passthrough at the Border and at the Store: Evidence from US Trade Policy by : Alberto Cavallo

Download or read book Tariff Passthrough at the Border and at the Store: Evidence from US Trade Policy written by Alberto Cavallo and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2019-11-01 with total page 37 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We use micro data collected at the border and at retailers to characterize the effects brought by recent changes in US trade policy - particularly the tariffs placed on imports from China - on importers, consumers, and exporters. We start by documenting that the tariffs were almost fully passed through to total prices paid by importers, suggesting the tariffs' incidence has fallen largely on the United States. Since we estimate the response of prices to exchange rates to be far more muted, the recent depreciation of the Chinese renminbi is unlikely to alter this conclusion. Next, using product-level data from several large multi-national retailers, we demonstrate that the impact of the tariffs on retail prices is more mixed. Some affected product categories have seen sharp price increases, but the difference between affected and unaffected products is generally quite modest, suggesting that retail margins have fallen. These retailers' imports increased after the initial announcement of possible tariffs, but before their full implementation, so the intermediate passthrough of tariffs to their prices may not persist. Finally, in contrast to the case of foreign exporters facing US tariffs, we show that US exporters lowered their prices on goods subjected to foreign retaliatory tariffs compared to exports of non-targeted goods.

Labor Markets and Business Cycles

Download Labor Markets and Business Cycles PDF Online Free

Author :
Publisher : Princeton University Press
ISBN 13 : 1400835232
Total Pages : 189 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (8 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!


Book Synopsis Labor Markets and Business Cycles by : Robert Shimer

Download or read book Labor Markets and Business Cycles written by Robert Shimer and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2010-04-12 with total page 189 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Labor Markets and Business Cycles integrates search and matching theory with the neoclassical growth model to better understand labor market outcomes. Robert Shimer shows analytically and quantitatively that rigid wages are important for explaining the volatile behavior of the unemployment rate in business cycles. The book focuses on the labor wedge that arises when the marginal rate of substitution between consumption and leisure does not equal the marginal product of labor. According to competitive models of the labor market, the labor wedge should be constant and equal to the labor income tax rate. But in U.S. data, the wedge is strongly countercyclical, making it seem as if recessions are periods when workers are dissuaded from working and firms are dissuaded from hiring because of an increase in the labor income tax rate. When job searches are time consuming and wages are flexible, search frictions--the cost of a job search--act like labor adjustment costs, further exacerbating inconsistencies between the competitive model and data. The book shows that wage rigidities can reconcile the search model with the data, providing a quantitatively more accurate depiction of labor markets, consumption, and investment dynamics. Developing detailed search and matching models, Labor Markets and Business Cycles will be the main reference for those interested in the intersection of labor market dynamics and business cycle research.

Emerging Economy Business Cycles

Download Emerging Economy Business Cycles PDF Online Free

Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1484354605
Total Pages : 26 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (843 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!


Book Synopsis Emerging Economy Business Cycles by : Rudrani Bhattacharya

Download or read book Emerging Economy Business Cycles written by Rudrani Bhattacharya and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2013-05-22 with total page 26 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper analyses the extent to which financial integration impacts the manner in which terms of trade affect business cycles in emerging economies. Using a s mall open economy model, we show that as capital account openness increases in an economy that faces trade shocks, business cycle volatility reduces. For an economy with limited financial openness, and a relatively open trade account, a model with exogenous terms of trade shocks is able to replicate the features of the business cycle.

The Long Shadow of Informality

Download The Long Shadow of Informality PDF Online Free

Author :
Publisher : World Bank Publications
ISBN 13 : 1464817545
Total Pages : 397 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (648 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!


Book Synopsis The Long Shadow of Informality by : Franziska Ohnsorge

Download or read book The Long Shadow of Informality written by Franziska Ohnsorge and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 2022-02-09 with total page 397 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A large percentage of workers and firms operate in the informal economy, outside the line of sight of governments in emerging market and developing economies. This may hold back the recovery in these economies from the deep recessions caused by the COVID-19 pandemic--unless governments adopt a broad set of policies to address the challenges of widespread informality. This study is the first comprehensive analysis of the extent of informality and its implications for a durable economic recovery and for long-term development. It finds that pervasive informality is associated with significantly weaker economic outcomes--including lower government resources to combat recessions, lower per capita incomes, greater poverty, less financial development, and weaker investment and productivity.

Managing Currency Crises in Emerging Markets

Download Managing Currency Crises in Emerging Markets PDF Online Free

Author :
Publisher : University of Chicago Press
ISBN 13 : 0226155420
Total Pages : 456 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (261 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!


Book Synopsis Managing Currency Crises in Emerging Markets by : Michael P. Dooley

Download or read book Managing Currency Crises in Emerging Markets written by Michael P. Dooley and published by University of Chicago Press. This book was released on 2007-11-01 with total page 456 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The management of financial crises in emerging markets is a vital and high-stakes challenge in an increasingly global economy. For this reason, it's also a highly contentious issue in today's public policy circles. In this book, leading economists-many of whom have also participated in policy debates on these issues-consider how best to reduce the frequency and cost of such crises. The contributions here explore the management process from the beginning of a crisis to the long-term effects of the techniques used to minimize it. The first three chapters focus on the earliest responses and the immediate defense of a currency under attack, exploring whether unnecessary damage to economies can be avoided by adopting the right response within the first few days of a financial crisis. Next, contributors examine the adjustment programs that follow, considering how to design these programs so that they shorten the recovery phase, encourage economic growth, and minimize the probability of future difficulties. Finally, the last four papers analyze the actual effects of adjustment programs, asking whether they accomplish what they are designed to do-and whether, as many critics assert, they impose disproportionate costs on the poorest members of society. Recent high-profile currency crises have proven not only how harmful they can be to neighboring economies and trading partners, but also how important policy responses can be in determining their duration and severity. Economists and policymakers will welcome the insightful evaluations in this important volume, and those of its companion, Sebastian Edwards and Jeffrey A. Frankel's Preventing Currency Crises in Emerging Markets.

Business Cycles: Fact, Fallacy And Fantasy

Download Business Cycles: Fact, Fallacy And Fantasy PDF Online Free

Author :
Publisher : World Scientific
ISBN 13 : 9814470465
Total Pages : 161 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (144 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!


Book Synopsis Business Cycles: Fact, Fallacy And Fantasy by : Sumru G Altug

Download or read book Business Cycles: Fact, Fallacy And Fantasy written by Sumru G Altug and published by World Scientific. This book was released on 2009-12-01 with total page 161 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book provides an overview of the modern theory and empirics of business cycles. Written by one of the pioneering authors in this field, it examines the notion of a business cycle and discusses alternative approaches to modeling. Arguably, one of the most important debates in this literature has been the issue of “matching” a business cycle to the data. In their original contribution, Kydland and Prescott (1982) proposed the method of calibration as a way of examining the implications of a business cycle model; yet, even at its inception, this approach came under criticism from a variety of sources. This monograph will examine some of these criticisms and discuss alternative approaches that have been put forward. More generally, it will discuss what lies ahead for modern business cycle theory.

Preventing Currency Crises in Emerging Markets

Download Preventing Currency Crises in Emerging Markets PDF Online Free

Author :
Publisher : University of Chicago Press
ISBN 13 : 9780226184944
Total Pages : 782 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (849 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!


Book Synopsis Preventing Currency Crises in Emerging Markets by : Sebastian Edwards

Download or read book Preventing Currency Crises in Emerging Markets written by Sebastian Edwards and published by University of Chicago Press. This book was released on 2002-11-15 with total page 782 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Economists and policymakers are still trying to understand the lessons recent financial crises in Asia and other emerging market countries hold for the future of the global financial system. In this timely and important volume, distinguished academics, officials in multilateral organizations, and public and private sector economists explore the causes of and effective policy responses to international currency crises. Topics covered include exchange rate regimes, contagion (transmission of currency crises across countries), the current account of the balance of payments, the role of private sector investors and of speculators, the reaction of the official sector (including the multilaterals), capital controls, bank supervision and weaknesses, and the roles of cronyism, corruption, and large players (including hedge funds). Ably balancing detailed case studies, cross-country comparisons, and theoretical concerns, this book will make a major contribution to ongoing efforts to understand and prevent international currency crises.

Dealing with the Challenges of Macro Financial Linkages in Emerging Markets

Download Dealing with the Challenges of Macro Financial Linkages in Emerging Markets PDF Online Free

Author :
Publisher : World Bank Publications
ISBN 13 : 1464800030
Total Pages : 307 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (648 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!


Book Synopsis Dealing with the Challenges of Macro Financial Linkages in Emerging Markets by : Otaviano Canuto

Download or read book Dealing with the Challenges of Macro Financial Linkages in Emerging Markets written by Otaviano Canuto and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 2013-10-29 with total page 307 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book deals with the challenges of macro financial linkages in the emerging markets.

A Decade after the Global Recession

Download A Decade after the Global Recession PDF Online Free

Author :
Publisher : World Bank Publications
ISBN 13 : 1464815283
Total Pages : 475 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (648 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!


Book Synopsis A Decade after the Global Recession by : M. Ayhan Kose

Download or read book A Decade after the Global Recession written by M. Ayhan Kose and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 2021-03-19 with total page 475 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This year marks the tenth anniversary of the 2009 global recession. Most emerging market and developing economies weathered the global recession relatively well, in part by using the sizable fiscal and monetary policy ammunition accumulated during prior years of strong growth. However, their growth prospects have weakened since then, and many now have less policy space. This study provides the first comprehensive stocktaking of the past decade from the perspective of emerging market and developing economies. Many of these economies have now become more vulnerable to economic shocks. The study discusses lessons from the global recession and policy options for these economies to strengthen growth and prepare for the possibility of another global downturn.

Frontiers of Business Cycle Research

Download Frontiers of Business Cycle Research PDF Online Free

Author :
Publisher : Princeton University Press
ISBN 13 : 9780691043234
Total Pages : 452 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (432 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!


Book Synopsis Frontiers of Business Cycle Research by : Thomas F. Cooley

Download or read book Frontiers of Business Cycle Research written by Thomas F. Cooley and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 1995-02-26 with total page 452 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This introduction to modern business cycle theory uses a neoclassical growth framework to study the economic fluctuations associated with the business cycle. Presenting advances in dynamic economic theory and computational methods, it applies concepts to t

Business Cycles

Download Business Cycles PDF Online Free

Author :
Publisher : Princeton University Press
ISBN 13 : 9780691012186
Total Pages : 442 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (121 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!


Book Synopsis Business Cycles by : Francis X. Diebold

Download or read book Business Cycles written by Francis X. Diebold and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 1999-04-12 with total page 442 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Table of Contents

Recessions and Depressions

Download Recessions and Depressions PDF Online Free

Author :
Publisher : Greenwood
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 320 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (91 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!


Book Synopsis Recessions and Depressions by : Todd A. Knoop

Download or read book Recessions and Depressions written by Todd A. Knoop and published by Greenwood. This book was released on 2004 with total page 320 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The economy of any nation is an intricate web of relationships among the factors determining supply and demand--and everything that affects them, from inflation to taxes to the stock market. The study of business cycles attempts to explain why economies grow and contract, experiencing periods of prosperity and pain. Consistent with the popular conception of economics as the dismal science, economists secretly long for recessions (periods of negative growth) and depressions (severe contractions), not because they enjoy their devastating impact on human welfare, but because these downturns serve as excellent laboratories for observing what happens when markets break down. Despite over two centuries of debate, no one has yet definitively unlocked the secrets of economic downturns and how they might be prevented. In Recessions and Depressions Todd Knoop traces the evolution of business cycle theory, from the classical model, which preceded the Great Depression, through the ground-breaking ideas of John Maynard Keynes, Milton Friedman, and their followers. He examines the strengths and limitations of each approach, in terms of explaining the impact of such factors as government policy, money supply, labor productivity, and wages. In the process, he presents an accessible introduction to what makes the economy tick, and offers new insights into understanding such historic events as the Great Depression, as well as more recent ones, such as the Asian meltdown in the 1990s, the financial crises in Latin America, and the U.S. recession of 2001, from which the United States is still recovering. Knoop reminds us that economists' track record in forecasting business cycles leaves much to be desired, and the quest to fully understand what causes economic downturns--and their effects on individuals and families--continues.