Efficient Energy Investment And Fiscal Adjustment In Senegal

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Efficient Energy Investment and Fiscal Adjustment in Senegal

Author : Salifou Issoufou
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1484335007
Total Pages : 44 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (843 download)

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Book Synopsis Efficient Energy Investment and Fiscal Adjustment in Senegal by : Salifou Issoufou

Download or read book Efficient Energy Investment and Fiscal Adjustment in Senegal written by Salifou Issoufou and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2014-03-12 with total page 44 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Senegal's fiscal deficit and public debt have been on the rise in recent years owing partly to an ailing and inefficient oil-based energy sector. In this paper we use a two-sector, open-economy, dynamic general equilibrium model to investigate the effects of varying fiscal policy instruments one at a time and of policy packages that increase public investment in energy and infrastructure in scenarios with varying degrees of debt finance and with different types of supporting fiscal adjustment. Lowering the fiscal deficit by raising taxes and cutting government expenditure has adverse effects on growth, real wages and the supply of public services. Senegal does not need, however, to undertake such difficult fiscal adjustment. A public investment program that coordinates new investment in low-cost hydroelectric, coal or gas-fired power with a phased contraction of the oil-based sector raises the total supply of energy by 70 percent, increases real wages and real GDP, stimulates private investment, and significantly reduces the fiscal deficit in the medium long term. More aggressive investment programs borrow against future fiscal gains to combine new energy investments with either delayed or frontloaded investments in non-energy infrastructure. These programs lead to much higher real wages and real GDP while keeping public debt sustainable and the fiscal deficit low in the medium and long term.

Senegal

Author : International Monetary Fund. African Dept.
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1484396294
Total Pages : 46 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (843 download)

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Book Synopsis Senegal by : International Monetary Fund. African Dept.

Download or read book Senegal written by International Monetary Fund. African Dept. and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2019-01-28 with total page 46 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This Selected Issues paper estimates the macroeconomic impact of these discoveries and discusses potential fiscal frameworks for managing related revenues. Pre-production investment (2019–2021) will lead to an increase in the current account deficit; however, this will be followed by a boost to exports as hydrocarbon production comes online (2022 onward). Discoveries are important but will not lead to a major transformation of the economy, with hydrocarbons expected to make up not more than 5 percent of GDP. Fiscal revenues would average about 1.5 percent of GDP over a 25-year period and about 3 percent of GDP when production peaks. Given the relatively small gains in revenue, IMF staff recommends a fiscal framework that allows for an initial drawdown of government resources to finance large up-front investment needs, followed by an appropriate target level of the non-resource primary balance which is to serve as a medium-term fiscal anchor. Issues related to managing the volatility of resource revenues are also discussed.

Investing in Electricity, Growth, and Debt Sustainability

Author : Michele Andreolli
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 148438573X
Total Pages : 42 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (843 download)

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Book Synopsis Investing in Electricity, Growth, and Debt Sustainability by : Michele Andreolli

Download or read book Investing in Electricity, Growth, and Debt Sustainability written by Michele Andreolli and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2016-06-09 with total page 42 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper analyses a large public investment in a construction of a hydropower plant in Lesotho and its implications on the growth and debt sustainability. The paper employs an open economy dynamic general equilibrium model to assess the benefits of a large public investment through growth-enhancing increase in domestic energy supply and receipts from selling electricity abroad to ease the fiscal burden, which is often associated with big investment projects. During the transition (construction stage), various financing options are explored: increase in the public debt, increase in domestic revenue (fiscal adjustment), and combination. The calibration matches Lesotho's data and it captures the project's main challenges regarding the project costs. Moreover,the key remaining issue is the agreement with South Africa to purchase sufficient amount of electricity to allow the potential plant to run at a high capacity. We find that, the project can lead to sizable macroeconomic benefits as long as costs are relatively low and demand from South Africa is sufficiently high. However, the risks for the viability of the project are high, if these assumptions are violated.

An Islamic Model for Stabilization and Growth

Author : Adama Dieye
Publisher : Springer Nature
ISBN 13 : 3030487636
Total Pages : 261 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (34 download)

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Book Synopsis An Islamic Model for Stabilization and Growth by : Adama Dieye

Download or read book An Islamic Model for Stabilization and Growth written by Adama Dieye and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2020-07-16 with total page 261 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book argues that the macroeconomic policy adjustment models recommended by the IMF and the World Bank for implementation in many Muslim countries, with substantial donor financial support, have not been effective. Economic indicators show low economic growth, persistent fiscal and external deficits and limited industrialization. Also, these countries are experiencing increases in unemployment, poverty and substantial growth in income and wealth ‎inequalities. These facts ‎underline an urgent need to produce an alternative to the failed conventional macroeconomic model in order to address the challenge of ‎macroeconomic and social adjustment policies. The project posits and investigates the idea that the Islamic economic model prescribed in the Quran and applied by the Prophet (sawa) could be the ideal model for Muslim as well as non-Muslim ‎countries.

Research Bulletin, June 2014

Author : International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1498320791
Total Pages : 14 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (983 download)

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Book Synopsis Research Bulletin, June 2014 by : International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Download or read book Research Bulletin, June 2014 written by International Monetary Fund. Research Dept. and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2014-06-09 with total page 14 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Articles in the June 2014 issue of the IMF Research Bulletin look at “The Rise and Fall of Current Account Deficits in the Euro Area Periphery and the Baltics” (Joong Shik Kang and Jay C. Shambaugh) and “The Two Sides of the Same Coin?: Rebalancing and Inclusive Growth in China” (Il Houng Lee, Murtaza Syed, and Xin Wang). The Q&A looks at “Seven Questions on the Monetary Transmission Mechanism in Low-Income Countries” (Andrew Berg, Luisa Charry, Rafael A. Portillo, and Jan Vleck). This issue of the Research Bulletin includes updated listings of IMF Working Papers, Staff Discussion Notes, and Recommended Readings from the IMF Bookstore. Readers can also find information on free access to a featured article from “IMF Economic Review.”

Some Policy Lessons from Country Applications of the DIG and DIGNAR Models

Author : Daniel Gurara
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1498304532
Total Pages : 45 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (983 download)

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Book Synopsis Some Policy Lessons from Country Applications of the DIG and DIGNAR Models by : Daniel Gurara

Download or read book Some Policy Lessons from Country Applications of the DIG and DIGNAR Models written by Daniel Gurara and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2019-03-18 with total page 45 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Over the past seven years, the DIG and DIGNAR models have complemented the IMF and World Bank debt sustainability framework (DSF) analysis, over 65 country applications. They have provided useful insights in the context of program and surveillance work, based on qualitative and quantitative analysis of the macroeconomic effects of public investment scaling-ups. This paper takes stock of the model applications and extensions, and extract five common policy lessons from the universe of country cases. First, improving public investment efficiency and/or raising the rate of return of public projects raises growth and lowers the risks associated with debt sustainability. Second, prudent and gradual investment scaling-ups are preferable to aggressive front-loaded ones, in terms of private sector crowding-out effects, absorptive capacity constraints, and debt sustainability risks. Third, domestic revenue mobilization helps create fiscal space for investment scaling-ups, by effectively containing public debt surges and their later-on repayments. Fourth, aid smoothens fiscal adjustments associated with public investment increases and may lower the risks of unsustainable debt. Fifth, external savings mitigate Dutch disease macroeconomic effects and serve as fiscal buffers. The paper also discusses how these models were used to estimate the quantitative macro economic effects associated with these lessons.

OECD Sovereign Borrowing Outlook 2021

Author : OECD
Publisher : OECD Publishing
ISBN 13 : 9264852395
Total Pages : 94 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (648 download)

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Book Synopsis OECD Sovereign Borrowing Outlook 2021 by : OECD

Download or read book OECD Sovereign Borrowing Outlook 2021 written by OECD and published by OECD Publishing. This book was released on 2021-05-20 with total page 94 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This edition of the OECD Sovereign Borrowing Outlook reviews developments in response to the COVID-19 pandemic for government borrowing needs, funding conditions and funding strategies in the OECD area.

Senegal

Author : Patrick A. Imam
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1475534132
Total Pages : 40 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (755 download)

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Book Synopsis Senegal by : Patrick A. Imam

Download or read book Senegal written by Patrick A. Imam and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2013-10-22 with total page 40 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This enhanced review of Senegal’s financial sector is one of several pilot reviews called for by the Executive Board in May 2012. The purpose of the reviews is to go beyond the traditional surveillance focus on banking system soundness and solvency by analyzing in more depth the interplay between financial development, macroeconomic and financial stability, and effectiveness of macroeconomic policies in low-income countries. Senegal is a member of the West African Economic and Monetary Union; a number of key macroeconomic and financial policies are designed and implemented at the union level. This study focuses on Senegal-specific issues. Another pilot study, to be prepared in the context of the next annual consultation on regional policies in early 2013, will focus on union-wide issues.

Senegal

Author : International Monetary Fund
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1451834071
Total Pages : 88 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (518 download)

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Book Synopsis Senegal by : International Monetary Fund

Download or read book Senegal written by International Monetary Fund and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2007-11-07 with total page 88 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The staff report for the Request for a Three-Year Policy Support Instrument (PSI) on Senegal explains economic developments. Allocations for priority spending suffered, and cash-flow problems resulted in payment delays to the private sector. The authorities intend to tackle key policy challenges under a three-year PSI. Slippages in restructuring public enterprises could raise fiscal risks and endanger banking system soundness. Weakening political resolve to implement structural reforms and address governance concerns could undermine policy credibility and reduce aid flows.

Race to the Next Income Frontier

Author : Mr.Ali M. Mansoor
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 148430313X
Total Pages : 430 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (843 download)

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Book Synopsis Race to the Next Income Frontier by : Mr.Ali M. Mansoor

Download or read book Race to the Next Income Frontier written by Mr.Ali M. Mansoor and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2018-04-04 with total page 430 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Through 18 chapters, this book draws on policy lessons from successful countries that have managed to overcome political economy constraints and reach upper-middle-income emerging market economy status to examine how Senegal can achieve per capita growth rates of four to five percent per year over a 20-year period, as well as lessons for other low-income countries. Contributors working in academia, civil society, and government in Senegal, as well as at the World Bank, in peer countries like Mauritius, Morocco, and Seychelles, and the International Monetary Fund, address creating a sound, balanced, and efficient fiscal framework through new revenue-raising measures, expenditure rationalization, and more efficient public investment; promoting an inclusive and deeper financial sector; relieving constraints on doing business and promoting private investment, including foreign direct investment; and achieving high, sustained, and inclusive growth. They discuss Senegal's macroeconomic environment and what it means to be an upper-middle-income emerging market economy, including the country's industrial framework, the Plan Senegal emergent growth targets, and dimensions of inclusive growth; revenue mobilization, public expenditure efficiency and rationalization, and debt sustainability; ways to make Senegal's financial system more stable, deeper, and more inclusive in the context of the West African Economic and Monetary Union; aspects of structural reform in the country and ways to implement reforms to achieve growth; and social inclusion and protection in Senegal.

Senegal

Author : International Monetary Fund. African Dept.
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1498387101
Total Pages : 96 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (983 download)

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Book Synopsis Senegal by : International Monetary Fund. African Dept.

Download or read book Senegal written by International Monetary Fund. African Dept. and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2015-01-14 with total page 96 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: EXECUTIVE SUMMARY Article IV issues. The government is committed to implementing the “Plan Sénégal Emergent” (PSE), which contains valid diagnostics and policies to boost growth and accelerate poverty reduction. GDP growth is projected to rise from less than 4 percent in recent years to 4.5 percent in 2014. Inflation remains low. Growth can potentially reach 7 percent by 2019 if PSE- related reforms are consistently and rapidly implemented. The authorities believe this growth rate will be achieved two years earlier. The impact of Ebola on growth will be limited in 2014 but can become substantial in 2015 should the epidemic spread in the region. Fiscal stance. The fiscal outlook has improved owing to stronger revenue performance and expenditure control, and the overall deficit is expected to fall to about 5 percent of GDP in 2014. The 2015 budget targets a further reduction in the deficit to 4.7 percent of GDP, less ambitious than the 4.0 percent of GDP recommended by staff. However, the authorities expect to limit the deficit close to the level recommended by staff by holding back appropriations for new public investment projects until feasibility studies are ready. Staff and authorities agreed that Ebola-related shocks could add 0.3 percent of GDP to the deficit in 2015. The authorities remain committed to bringing the fiscal deficit in line with the WAEMU target of 3 percent of GDP in the medium term. Structural reforms. The PSE offers an achievable development strategy, including the right mix of private investment to be crowded in by public investment in both human capital and infrastructure. However, unlocking private investment, including FDI, requires speeding up reforms to the business climate and improving public sector governance. Frontloading public investment without implementing the necessary structural reforms may jeopardize fiscal targets and debt sustainability while failing to raise growth from its sub-par trend. Program implementation. Performance under the PSI-supported program has been satisfactory with end-June 2014 program targets met except for a minor breach of the non- concessional borrowing ceiling due to weak debt management. This borrowing does not materially affect debt sustainability, and debt management weaknesses are being addressed. Staff recommends completion of the eighth PSI review and proposes a waiver of nonobservance of the assessment criterion on non-concessional borrowing.

Growth and Adjustment in IMF-Supported Programs

Author : International Monetary Fund. Independent Evaluation Office
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1513594478
Total Pages : 116 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (135 download)

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Book Synopsis Growth and Adjustment in IMF-Supported Programs by : International Monetary Fund. Independent Evaluation Office

Download or read book Growth and Adjustment in IMF-Supported Programs written by International Monetary Fund. Independent Evaluation Office and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2021-09-09 with total page 116 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This evaluation assesses how well IMF-supported programs helped to sustain economic growth while delivering adjustment needed for external viability over the period 2008–19. The evaluation finds that the Fund’s increasing attention to growth in the programs has delivered some positive results. Specifically, it does not find evidence of a consistent bias towards excessive austerity in IMF-supported programs. Indeed, programs have yielded growth benefits relative to a counterfactual of no Fund engagement and boosted post-program growth performance. Notwithstanding these positive findings, program growth outcomes consistently fell short of program projections. Such shortfalls imply less protection of incomes than intended, fuel adjustment fatigue and public opposition to reforms, and jeopardize progress towards external viability. The evaluation examines how different policy instruments were applied to support better growth outcomes while achieving needed adjustment. Fiscal policies typically incorporated growth-friendly measures but with mixed success. Despite some success in promoting reforms and growth, structural conditionalities were of relatively low depth and their potential growth benefits were not fully realized. Use of the exchange rate as a policy tool to support growth and external adjustment during programs was quite limited. Lastly, market debt operations were useful in some cases to restore debt sustainability and renew market access, yet sometimes were too little and too late to deliver the intended benefits. The evaluation concludes that the IMF should seek to further enhance program countries’ capacity to sustain activity while undertaking needed adjustment during the program and to enhance growth prospects beyond the program. Following this conclusion, the report sets out three recommendations aimed at strengthening attention to growth implications of IMF-supported programs, including the social and distributional consequences.

Private Finance for Development

Author : Hilary Devine
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1513571567
Total Pages : 161 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (135 download)

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Book Synopsis Private Finance for Development by : Hilary Devine

Download or read book Private Finance for Development written by Hilary Devine and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2021-05-14 with total page 161 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Covid-19 pandemic has aggravated the tension between large development needs in infrastructure and scarce public resources. To alleviate this tension and promote a strong and job-rich recovery from the crisis, Africa needs to mobilize more financing from and to the private sector.

Energy Subsidy Reform

Author : Mr.Benedict J. Clements
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1484339169
Total Pages : 390 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (843 download)

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Book Synopsis Energy Subsidy Reform by : Mr.Benedict J. Clements

Download or read book Energy Subsidy Reform written by Mr.Benedict J. Clements and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2013-09-13 with total page 390 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Energy subsidies are aimed at protecting consumers, however, subsidies aggravate fiscal imbalances, crowd out priority public spending, and depress private investment, including in the energy sector. This book provides the most comprehensive estimates of energy subsidies currently available for 176 countries and an analysis of “how to do” energy subsidy reform, drawing on insights from 22 country case studies undertaken by the IMF staff and analyses carried out by other institutions.

Subsidy Reform in the Middle East and North Africa

Author : Mr.Carlo A. Sdralevich
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1498348467
Total Pages : 130 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (983 download)

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Book Synopsis Subsidy Reform in the Middle East and North Africa by : Mr.Carlo A. Sdralevich

Download or read book Subsidy Reform in the Middle East and North Africa written by Mr.Carlo A. Sdralevich and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2014-07-09 with total page 130 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) countries price subsidies are common, especially on food and fuels. However, these are neither well targeted nor cost effective as a social protection tool, often benefiting mainly the better off instead of the poor and vulnerable. This paper explores the challenges of replacing generalized price subsidies with more equitable social safety net instruments, including the short-term inflationary effects, and describes the features of successful subsidy reforms.

Our Continent, Our Future

Author : P. Thandika Mkandawire
Publisher : IDRC
ISBN 13 : 155250204X
Total Pages : 192 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (525 download)

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Book Synopsis Our Continent, Our Future by : P. Thandika Mkandawire

Download or read book Our Continent, Our Future written by P. Thandika Mkandawire and published by IDRC. This book was released on 2014-05-14 with total page 192 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Our Continent, Our Future presents the emerging African perspective on this complex issue. The authors use as background their own extensive experience and a collection of 30 individual studies, 25 of which were from African economists, to summarize this African perspective and articulate a path for the future. They underscore the need to be sensitive to each country's unique history and current condition. They argue for a broader policy agenda and for a much more active role for the state within what is largely a market economy. Finally, they stress that Africa must, and can, compete in an increasingly globalized world and, perhaps most importantly, that Africans must assume the leading role in defining the continent's development agenda.

Caribbean Energy

Author : Arnold McIntyre
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1513560743
Total Pages : 67 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (135 download)

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Book Synopsis Caribbean Energy by : Arnold McIntyre

Download or read book Caribbean Energy written by Arnold McIntyre and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2016-03-08 with total page 67 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: High energy costs contribute to dampening Caribbean competitiveness and potential growth. This paper overviews power sector challenges and takes stock of national and regional strategies to address them. It presents recommendations to move the energy agenda forward based on analyses of macro-aspects of energy reform. These include: i) quantitative assessment of the impact of energy costs on growth and competitiveness; ii) evaluation of gains from implementing announced renewable energy and energy efficiency targets; and iii) analysis of the impact of energy investments on debt sustainability. The paper argues for a bigger role for the private sector in energy reform and discusses prerequisites for good public-private partnerships.