Effect Of Imf Structural Adjustment Programs On Expectations

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Effect of IMF Structural Adjustment Programs on Expectations: the Case of Transition Economies

Author : Patrick A. Imam
Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9781283512411
Total Pages : 32 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (124 download)

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Book Synopsis Effect of IMF Structural Adjustment Programs on Expectations: the Case of Transition Economies by : Patrick A. Imam

Download or read book Effect of IMF Structural Adjustment Programs on Expectations: the Case of Transition Economies written by Patrick A. Imam and published by . This book was released on 2007-01-01 with total page 32 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We analyze the effect of IMF programs on economic agents' expectations about the economy in transitional countries using survey data from the Central and Eastern Eurobarometer poll, an annual general public survey monitoring the evolution of public opinion from 1990 to 1997. Previous studies, in contrast, have looked at indirect measures, such as capital flows or yield spreads, to assess the impact of IMF programs on economic expectations. Using a multinomial probit model, we find that IMF loans appear to have a strong effect on agent expectations in the early years, through the inflow of real money, and through the signaling effect. IMF programs during periods of collapsing growth appear to reinforce underlying expectations for the future; they are associated with positive expectations for those with an optimistic outlook and negative expectations for those with a negative outlook. Once recovery is underway, and economic uncertainty diminishes, it appears that IMF programs cease to have a statistically significant effect on the expectations of economic agents. This suggests that IMF programs have the biggest impact on expectations during periods of great uncertainty and less of an impact when countries are subject to minor shocks.

IMF Conditionality

Author : John Williamson
Publisher : MIT Press (MA)
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 708 pages
Book Rating : 4.F/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis IMF Conditionality by : John Williamson

Download or read book IMF Conditionality written by John Williamson and published by MIT Press (MA). This book was released on 1983 with total page 708 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The twenty-one contributions in this book assess the controversy surrounding the Fund and provide judgments about the criteria for Fund lending which should help readers understand and analyze both its ongoing role in smoothing adjustment to international payments imbalances and its currently critical position in responding to the debt crisis.

IMF-Supported Programs

Author : Mr.Ashoka Mody
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 9781589063617
Total Pages : 184 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (636 download)

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Book Synopsis IMF-Supported Programs by : Mr.Ashoka Mody

Download or read book IMF-Supported Programs written by Mr.Ashoka Mody and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2006-04-03 with total page 184 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Research work by the IMF’s staff on the effectiveness of the country programs the organization supports, which has long been carried out, has intensified in recent years. IMF analysts have sought to “open up the black box” by more closely examining program design and implementation, as well as how these influence programs’ effectiveness. Their efforts have also focused on identifying the lending, signaling, and monitoring features of the IMF that may affect member countries’ economic performance. This book reports on a large portion of both the new and the continuing research. It concludes that IMF programs work best where domestic politics and institutions permit the timely implementation of the necessary measures and when a country is vulnerable to, but not yet in, a crisis. It points to the need for a wider recognition of the substantial diversity among IMF member countries and for programs to be tailored accordingly while broadly maintaining the IMF’s general principle of uniformity of treatment.

Fiscal Adjustment in IMF-Supported Programs

Author : International Monetary Fund. Independent Evaluation Office
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1589062744
Total Pages : 128 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (89 download)

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Book Synopsis Fiscal Adjustment in IMF-Supported Programs by : International Monetary Fund. Independent Evaluation Office

Download or read book Fiscal Adjustment in IMF-Supported Programs written by International Monetary Fund. Independent Evaluation Office and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2003-11-17 with total page 128 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Using a cross-country sample of 169 IMF-supported programs and detailed studies of 15 programs, this evaluation report examines various aspects of fiscal adjustment in IMF-supported programs. It presents evidence that does not support some critics’ view that IMF-supported programs typically adopt a one-size-fits-all approach to fiscal adjustment, nor the perception that programs always involve austerity by targeting reductions in public spending. The report also proposes a number of recommendations for IMF surveillance and program design in the future.

World Economic Outlook, October 2019

Author : International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1513516175
Total Pages : 208 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (135 download)

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Book Synopsis World Economic Outlook, October 2019 by : International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Download or read book World Economic Outlook, October 2019 written by International Monetary Fund. Research Dept. and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2019-10-15 with total page 208 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Global growth is forecast at 3.0 percent for 2019, its lowest level since 2008–09 and a 0.3 percentage point downgrade from the April 2019 World Economic Outlook.

The Effect of International Monetary Fund and World Bank Programs on Poverty

Author : William Easterly
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (913 download)

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Book Synopsis The Effect of International Monetary Fund and World Bank Programs on Poverty by : William Easterly

Download or read book The Effect of International Monetary Fund and World Bank Programs on Poverty written by William Easterly and published by . This book was released on 1999 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: January 2001 There is some evidence that IMF and World Bank adjustment lending smooths consumption for the poor, reducing the rise in poverty for any given contraction of the economy but also reducing the fall in poverty for any given expansion. Adjustment lending plays a similar role as inequality, reducing poverty's sensitivity to the economy's aggregate growth rate. Structural adjustment--as measured by the number of adjustment loans from the IMF and World Bank--reduces the growth elasticity of poverty reduction. Easterly finds no evidence for structural adjustment having a direct effect on growth. The poor benefit less from output expansion in countries with many adjustment loans than they do in countries with few such loans. By the same token, the poor suffer less from an output contraction in countries with many adjustment loans than in countries with few. Why would this be? One hypothesis is that adjustment lending is countercyclical in ways that smooth consumption for the poor. There is evidence that some policy variables under adjustment lending are countercyclical, but no evidence that the cyclical component of those policy variables affects poverty. Easterly speculates that the poor may be ill placed to take advantage of new opportunities created by structural adjustment reforms, just as they may suffer less from the loss of old opportunities in sectors that were artificially protected before reform. Poverty's lower sensitivity to growth under adjustment lending is bad news when an economy expands and good news when it contracts. These results could be interpreted as giving support to either the critics or the supporters of structural adjustment programs. This paper--a product of Macroeconomics and Growth, Development Research Group--is part of a larger effort in the group to understand the effect of growth on poverty. The author may be contacted at [email protected].

The Effect of IMF and World Bank Programmes on Poverty

Author : William Russell Easterly
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 28 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (318 download)

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Book Synopsis The Effect of IMF and World Bank Programmes on Poverty by : William Russell Easterly

Download or read book The Effect of IMF and World Bank Programmes on Poverty written by William Russell Easterly and published by . This book was released on 2001 with total page 28 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Our Continent, Our Future

Author : P. Thandika Mkandawire
Publisher : IDRC
ISBN 13 : 155250204X
Total Pages : 192 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (525 download)

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Book Synopsis Our Continent, Our Future by : P. Thandika Mkandawire

Download or read book Our Continent, Our Future written by P. Thandika Mkandawire and published by IDRC. This book was released on 2014-05-14 with total page 192 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Our Continent, Our Future presents the emerging African perspective on this complex issue. The authors use as background their own extensive experience and a collection of 30 individual studies, 25 of which were from African economists, to summarize this African perspective and articulate a path for the future. They underscore the need to be sensitive to each country's unique history and current condition. They argue for a broader policy agenda and for a much more active role for the state within what is largely a market economy. Finally, they stress that Africa must, and can, compete in an increasingly globalized world and, perhaps most importantly, that Africans must assume the leading role in defining the continent's development agenda.

International Monetary Fund Annual Report 2021

Author : International Monetary Fund. Secretary's Department
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1513568817
Total Pages : 74 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (135 download)

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Book Synopsis International Monetary Fund Annual Report 2021 by : International Monetary Fund. Secretary's Department

Download or read book International Monetary Fund Annual Report 2021 written by International Monetary Fund. Secretary's Department and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2021-10-04 with total page 74 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A recovery is underway, but the economic fallout from the global pandemic could be with us for years to come. With the crisis exacerbating prepandemic vulnerabilities, country prospects are diverging. Nearly half of emerging market and developing economies and some middle-income countries are now at risk of falling further behind, undoing much of the progress made toward achieving the UN Sustainable Development Goals.

The Macroeconomic Effects of Public Investment

Author : Mr. Abdul Abiad
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1484361555
Total Pages : 26 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (843 download)

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Book Synopsis The Macroeconomic Effects of Public Investment by : Mr. Abdul Abiad

Download or read book The Macroeconomic Effects of Public Investment written by Mr. Abdul Abiad and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2015-05-04 with total page 26 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper provides new evidence of the macroeconomic effects of public investment in advanced economies. Using public investment forecast errors to identify the causal effect of government investment in a sample of 17 OECD economies since 1985 and model simulations, the paper finds that increased public investment raises output, both in the short term and in the long term, crowds in private investment, and reduces unemployment. Several factors shape the macroeconomic effects of public investment. When there is economic slack and monetary accommodation, demand effects are stronger, and the public-debt-to-GDP ratio may actually decline. Public investment is also more effective in boosting output in countries with higher public investment efficiency and when it is financed by issuing debt.

The Effect of International Monetary Fund and World Bank Programs on Poverty

Author : William Easterly
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 31 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (129 download)

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Book Synopsis The Effect of International Monetary Fund and World Bank Programs on Poverty by : William Easterly

Download or read book The Effect of International Monetary Fund and World Bank Programs on Poverty written by William Easterly and published by . This book was released on 2016 with total page 31 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: There is some evidence that IMF and World Bank adjustment lending smooths consumption for the poor, reducing the rise in poverty for any given contraction of the economy but also reducing the fall in poverty for any given expansion. Adjustment lending plays a similar role as inequality, reducing poverty's sensitivity to the economy's aggregate growth rate. Structural adjustment - as measured by the number of adjustment loans from the IMF and World Bank - reduces the growth elasticity of poverty reduction. Easterly finds no evidence for structural adjustment having a direct effect on growth.The poor benefit less from output expansion in countries with many adjustment loans than they do in countries with few such loans. By the same token, the poor suffer less from an output contraction in countries with many adjustment loans than in countries with few. Why would this be? One hypothesis is that adjustment lending is countercyclical in ways that smooth consumption for the poor. There is evidence that some policy variables under adjustment lending are countercyclical, but no evidence that the cyclical component of those policy variables affects poverty. Easterly speculates that the poor may be ill placed to take advantage of new opportunities created by structural adjustment reforms, just as they may suffer less from the loss of old opportunities in sectors that were artificially protected before reform.Poverty's lower sensitivity to growth under adjustment lending is bad news when an economy expands and good news when it contracts. These results could be interpreted as giving support to either the critics or the supporters of structural adjustment programs.This paper - a product of Macroeconomics and Growth, Development Research Group - is part of a larger effort in the group to understand the effect of growth on poverty. The author may be contacted at [email protected].

Fiscal Rules—Anchoring Expectations for Sustainable Public Finances

Author : International Monetary Fund. Fiscal Affairs Dept.
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1498335160
Total Pages : 73 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (983 download)

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Book Synopsis Fiscal Rules—Anchoring Expectations for Sustainable Public Finances by : International Monetary Fund. Fiscal Affairs Dept.

Download or read book Fiscal Rules—Anchoring Expectations for Sustainable Public Finances written by International Monetary Fund. Fiscal Affairs Dept. and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2009-12-11 with total page 73 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The sharp increase in fiscal deficits and public debt in most advanced and several developing economies has raised concerns about the sustainability of public finances and highlighted the need for a significant adjustment over the medium term. This paper assesses the usefulness of fiscal rules in supporting fiscal consolidation, discusses the design and implementation of rules based on a new data base spanning the whole Fund membership, and explores the fiscal framework that could be adopted as countries emerge from the crisis.

Public Policies and Private Savings and Investment in Sub-Saharan Africa

Author : Mr.Dhaneshwar Ghura
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1451922523
Total Pages : 48 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (519 download)

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Book Synopsis Public Policies and Private Savings and Investment in Sub-Saharan Africa by : Mr.Dhaneshwar Ghura

Download or read book Public Policies and Private Savings and Investment in Sub-Saharan Africa written by Mr.Dhaneshwar Ghura and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1995-02-01 with total page 48 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper assesses empirically the role of public policies in stimulating private savings and investment in sub-Saharan African countries, based on data for the period 1986-92. The main findings of the analysis are as follows: (i) policies effective in stimulating private savings and investment include those that keep the rate of inflation low, reduce macroeconomic uncertainty, promote financial deepening, and lower the external debt burden; (ii) measures that promote structural reforms and reduce the budget deficit (without lowering government investment) help to raise private investment; and (iii) declines in government savings are only partially offset by increases in private savings.

Promoting Growth in Sub-Saharan Africa

Author : Mr.Anupam Basu
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 9781557759665
Total Pages : 24 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (596 download)

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Book Synopsis Promoting Growth in Sub-Saharan Africa by : Mr.Anupam Basu

Download or read book Promoting Growth in Sub-Saharan Africa written by Mr.Anupam Basu and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2000-10-02 with total page 24 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Africa is the world’s poorest continent, but amid all the bad news, there is hope for change. This pamphlet examines the lessons to be learned from some of the more successful economies south of the Sahara, and discusses a policy framework to promote sustainable economic growth and reduce poverty across the region.

Economic and Financial Crises in Emerging Market Economies

Author : Martin Feldstein
Publisher : University of Chicago Press
ISBN 13 : 0226241106
Total Pages : 540 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (262 download)

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Book Synopsis Economic and Financial Crises in Emerging Market Economies by : Martin Feldstein

Download or read book Economic and Financial Crises in Emerging Market Economies written by Martin Feldstein and published by University of Chicago Press. This book was released on 2007-11-01 with total page 540 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In the late 1990s, economic and financial crises raged through East Asia, devastating economies that had previously been considered among the strongest in the developing world. The crises eventually spread to Russia, Turkey, and Latin America, and impacted the economies of many industrialized nations as well. In today's increasingly interdependent world, finding ways to reduce the risk of future crises—and to improve the management of crises when they occur—has become an international policy challenge of paramount importance. This book rises to that challenge, presenting accessible papers and commentaries on the topic not only from leading academic economists, but also from high-ranking government officials (in both industrial and developing nations), senior policymakers at international institutions, and major financial investors. Six non-technical papers, each written by a specialist in the topic, provide essential economic background, introducing sections on exchange rate regimes, financial policies, industrial country policies, IMF stabilization policies, IMF structural programs, and creditor relations. Next, personal statements from the major players give firsthand accounts of what really went on behind the scenes during the crises, giving us a rare glimpse into how international economic policy decisions are actually made. Finally, wide-ranging discussions and debates sparked by these papers and statements are summarized at the end of each section. The result is an indispensable overview of the key issues at work in these crises, written by the people who move markets and reshape economies, and accessible to not just economists and policymakers, but also to educated general readers. Contributors: Montek S. Ahluwalia, Domingo F. Cavallo, William R. Cline, Andrew Crockett, Michael P. Dooley, Sebastian Edwards, Stanley Fischer, Arminio Fraga, Jeffrey Frankel, Jacob Frenkel, Timothy F. Geithner, Morris Goldstein, Paul Keating, Mervyn King, Anne O. Krueger, Roberto Mendoza, Frederic S. Mishkin, Guillermo Ortiz, Yung Chul Park, Nouriel Roubini, Robert Rubin, Jeffrey Sachs, Ammar Siamwalla, George Soros

Structural change, fundamentals, and growth : a framework and case studies

Author : McMillan, Margaret
Publisher : Intl Food Policy Res Inst
ISBN 13 : 0896292142
Total Pages : 328 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (962 download)

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Book Synopsis Structural change, fundamentals, and growth : a framework and case studies by : McMillan, Margaret

Download or read book Structural change, fundamentals, and growth : a framework and case studies written by McMillan, Margaret and published by Intl Food Policy Res Inst. This book was released on 2017-05-11 with total page 328 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Fiscal Adjustment for Stability and Growth

Author : Mr.James Daniel
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 9781589065130
Total Pages : 80 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (651 download)

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Book Synopsis Fiscal Adjustment for Stability and Growth by : Mr.James Daniel

Download or read book Fiscal Adjustment for Stability and Growth written by Mr.James Daniel and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2006-08-17 with total page 80 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The pamphlet (which updates the 1995 Guidelines for Fiscal Adjustment) presents the IMF’s approach to fiscal adjustment, and focuses on the role that sound government finances play in promoting macroeconomic stability and growth. Structured around five practical questions—when to adjust, how to assess the fiscal position, what makes for successful adjustment, how to carry out adjustment, and which institutions can help—it covers topics such as tax policies, debt sustainability, fiscal responsibility laws, and transparency.