Economics and Price Risks in International Pellet Supply Chains

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Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 3319070169
Total Pages : 63 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (19 download)

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Book Synopsis Economics and Price Risks in International Pellet Supply Chains by : Rita Ehrig

Download or read book Economics and Price Risks in International Pellet Supply Chains written by Rita Ehrig and published by Springer. This book was released on 2014-05-20 with total page 63 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The aim of this book is to investigate critical economic aspects and price risks along international pellet supply chains and to offer new insights into the interconnections between the sector, the various supply risks within the market and guidelines for de-risking biomass supply chains. It provides three real case studies as practical examples of determining actual supply costs from resource production to end-user and in doing so identifies and analyzes general economic performance indicators and price drivers for biomass supply chains. It also investigates the impact of several risks like raw material prices, exchange and freight rates on total prices. As a result, the reader learns how price risks are hedged to avoid project defaults and how to achieve the renewable energy targets of the end-user. Practical guidelines for recognising critical economic issues in biomass supply chains and for applying adequate de-risk strategies are also provided. Offering insights to a broad audience, this book is intended for researchers and professionals interested in renewable energy systems, biomass resource management and supply chain management. It also provides an invaluable resource to policy makers seeking guidelines for successfully managing the introduction of sustainable biomass projects.

Economic and Environmental Assessment of an International Wood Pellets Supply Chain

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 125 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (844 download)

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Book Synopsis Economic and Environmental Assessment of an International Wood Pellets Supply Chain by : Augusto Uasuf

Download or read book Economic and Environmental Assessment of an International Wood Pellets Supply Chain written by Augusto Uasuf and published by . This book was released on 2010 with total page 125 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Issues on Managing Supply Yield and Commodity Price Risks in Global Supply Chains

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 178 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (966 download)

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Book Synopsis Issues on Managing Supply Yield and Commodity Price Risks in Global Supply Chains by : Guang Xiao

Download or read book Issues on Managing Supply Yield and Commodity Price Risks in Global Supply Chains written by Guang Xiao and published by . This book was released on 2016 with total page 178 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The main purpose of this dissertation is to focus on designing and evaluating operational strategies to effectively mitigate both the production yield and the commodity price risks, which are among the primary challenges firms need to battle against in today's global economy.In the first chapter, we investigate the fundamental question about how to allocate supply risk within a bilateral supply chain. More specifically, we consider a supplier-retailer supply chain with supply random yield and deterministic demand. We study the impact of three commonly used implementations of single wholesale price contracts on allocating supply yield risk between supply chain parties and on channel performance. In a push contract, the retailer controls the production decision and bears all the risk; in a pull contract, the supplier controls the production decision and bears all the risk; and in a hybrid contract, the retailer decides the order quantity whereas the supplier decides the production quantity. We completely characterize the firms' optimal decisions and contract preferences under both exogenous and endogenous wholesale prices. Our analysis shows that all the hybrid contracts are Pareto efficient within its own type, survive the challenges from both push and pull contracts, and maintain high channel efficiency, i.e., around 96% ~ 97% on average based on our numerical and worst case analysis. We then argue that the good performance of the hybrid contracts is not primarily due to the common wisdom of risk sharing, but lies in its unique structure property. More specifically, the hybrid contract implementation utilizes production inflation as an instrument to effectively combine all the Pareto efficient push and pull segments within their joint Pareto set into a single contract type. Consequently, when negotiating among wholesale price contracts, firms only need to restrict their negotiation within the hybrid contract type alone, which is simple, easy to implement, and efficient.In the second chapter, we examine the interplay between supply diversification and price postponement as risk mitigation tools for a price-setting monopoly firm to deal with supply yield risk. We compare the optimal sourcing decisions under both ex ante pricing and responsive pricing (ex post) schemes and investigate the impact of pricing timing on the firm's optimal sourcing and diversification decisions. For the case of one unreliable supplier, we show that responsive pricing mitigates the overage and underage risks imposed by yield uncertainty, and results in a lower [higher] optimal order quantity than that under ex ante pricing when the procurement cost is low [high]. For the case of one unreliable and one reliable suppliers, we find that an ex ante pricing firm finds no value in supply diversification, but responsive pricing gives rise to the need for supply diversification. For the case of two unreliable suppliers, we prove that responsive pricing promotes [discourages] supply diversification when supply reliability is low [high]. When supply reliability is moderate, responsive pricing promotes [discourages] supply diversification when the unit procurement cost is low [high]. Finally, we demonstrate that when facing strongly positively correlated yields, the firm ranks reliability higher than cost in supplier selection, and it may skip the cheaper supplier to select the expensive supplier if the latter is more reliable.In the third chapter, we propose two technical assumptions to ensure the unimodality of the objective function in two classes of price and quantity decision problems with one procurement opportunity under supply random yield and deterministic demand in a price-setting environment. We provide appealing economic interpretations and easy-to-verify sufficient conditions for our proposed technical assumptions. We show that most commonly used continuous yield distributions satisfy both of our technical assumptions. Finally, we provide several examples to show that our technical Assumption 1 applies to a large class of random yield problems involving a single firm's price and quantity decisions under different contracts, payment schemes and supplier portfolios, and that our technical Assumption 2 applies to a large class of random yield problems involving a decentralized supply chain/assembly system under different configurations.In the fourth chapter, we study two symmetric firms' production lead time (long vs. short) and selling timing (forward vs. spot) choices in a competitive market with uncertain input commodity cost. We consider Cournot competition and model the cost uncertainty via a two-point distribution. Our results are summarized as follow: First, regarding to the production lead time choice, as the cost volatility or the ex ante cost increases, both firms simultaneously switch from long lead time to short lead time to enjoy the benefit of being responsive in reacting to the procurement cost risk. Second, regarding to the selling timing choice, when the ex ante cost is low, both firms choose sell forward with appropriated hedging strategy adopted to avoid default. When the ex ante cost is high, both firms choose sell forward but strategically default on the high cost realization. In contrast, when the ex ante cost is in an intermediate range, both firms choose to sell spot when the high cost state is more likely to occur. Interesting, when the low cost state is more likely to occur, both firms choose to sell forward with one hedges and the other strategically defaults on high cost state. Finally, when both production lead time and selling timing choices are available, choosing long lead time and carrying inventory without selling forward is always a weakly dominated strategy. Consequently, the market equilibrium structure remains the same as that under the case when only the selling timing choice is available.

Risk Management of Supply and Cash Flows in Supply Chains

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Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 1461405114
Total Pages : 216 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (614 download)

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Book Synopsis Risk Management of Supply and Cash Flows in Supply Chains by : Jian Li

Download or read book Risk Management of Supply and Cash Flows in Supply Chains written by Jian Li and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2011-09-15 with total page 216 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Risk management has become an essential issue in supply chain management, from the modeling of the decision maker's risk preference, and the studies on uncertain elements such as demand, supply, price, lead time, etc., to the consideration of more practical background including cash flow constraints, inventory financing and delayed cash payment. In this new volume, the authors provide a framework to study the interaction of various factors related to risk and their influence on supply chain management. The scope of areas covered includes operations management, decision analysis, and business administration. This book focuses on several key issues of risk management in supply chains. Specifically, an analysis framework is presented for studying the supplier selection problem and identifying the optimal sourcing strategy in a one-retailer two-suppliers supply chain with random yields. The optimal sourcing strategy of a retailer and the pricing strategies of two suppliers under an environment of supply disruption are investigated. Besides, the authors study the dynamic inventory control problems with cash flow constraints, financing decisions as well as delayed cash payment. In addition, originating from the annual international iron ore price negotiation, the authors model the bargaining process to deal with the risk of wholesale price in the game analysis context. Within the three perspectives of risk management in supply chains, the modeling of decision maker's risk preference has been extensively studied and many results have been obtained to guide the practice. However, the analysis on the other two kinds of topics is still in its infancy, and needs more efforts from academia. It is thus the ambition and innovation for this book to contribute on risk management in supply chains in the following ways: (1) characterizing the explicit sourcing strategy (i.e., single sourcing or dual sourcing) to deal with supply disruption risk; (2) introducing the concepts of financial risk measurement by incorporating cash flow constraints, inventory financing and delayed cash payment into inventory management models; and (3) providing insights for the iron ore price negotiation to help steel manufacturers handle the risk of price increase.

International Bioenergy Trade

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Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 9400769822
Total Pages : 234 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (7 download)

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Book Synopsis International Bioenergy Trade by : Martin Junginger

Download or read book International Bioenergy Trade written by Martin Junginger and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-10-16 with total page 234 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The trade of global bioenergy commodities, such as ethanol, biodiesel and wood pellets has been growing exponentially in the past decade, and have by 2013 reached true “commodity” volumes, i.e. tens of millions of tonnes traded each year, and billions (both in US$/€) of annual turnover. IEA Bioenergy Task 40 was founded in 2004 and is now in its 4th triennium. For the past 9 years, task 40 has monitored the developments in international bioenergy trade, including the organization of about 20 workshops on trade-related topics, and the publication of over 100 studies, country reports, newsletters, etc. The amount of material produced over the years and insights gained in how biomass markets and international trade of biomass and biofuels has developed is impressive. Besides that the group has produced overviews and insights, also a large amount of practical experience has been brought together in what works and what doesn’t. Last but not least, based on all this, there are clear(er) views on how to proceed to build working sustainable international biomass markets in the future. This book compiles those lessons and insights into an easily accessible book publication.

Supply Chain Risk Management in Financial Crises - A Multiple Case-Study Approach

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 43 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (13 download)

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Book Synopsis Supply Chain Risk Management in Financial Crises - A Multiple Case-Study Approach by : Constantin Blome

Download or read book Supply Chain Risk Management in Financial Crises - A Multiple Case-Study Approach written by Constantin Blome and published by . This book was released on 2013 with total page 43 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Supply Chain Risk Management has become a key concern for organizations, which is even further emphasized by the current economic and financial crisis. Against this background, this paper investigates successful approaches and experiences by companies in dealing with this new reality, especially as it concerns the supply side. Using in-depth case studies conducted amongeight European enterprises, we develop a set of propositions about how enterprises manage supply risks in the financial crises, highlight how their risk management approaches have shifted, and illustrate how they are related to Enterprise Risk Management. Our framework is further differentiated based on whether firms are predominantly engaged in manufacturing or services - a factor influencing how supply chain risk is managed. Transaction cost economics serves as our main theoretical anchor. By rigorously grounding our research in both theory and empirical evidence, we provide valuable insight for both academia and practice.

The Pellet Handbook

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Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 1136539913
Total Pages : 594 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (365 download)

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Book Synopsis The Pellet Handbook by : Gerold Thek

Download or read book The Pellet Handbook written by Gerold Thek and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2012-06-25 with total page 594 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Biomass pellets are a suitable fuel type for a wide range of applications, from stoves and central heating systems up to large-scale plants, and with practically complete automation in all these capacities. This handbook, written and edited by experienced professionals from IEA Bioenergy Task 32 in cooperation with Bios Bioenergiesysteme GmbH, Graz, Austria, other IEA Tasks and external experts, is the first comprehensive guide in English language covering all pellet related issues, as illustrated by the following list of topics covered by the book: international overview of standards for pellets evaluation of raw materials and raw material potentials quality and properties of pellets technical evaluation of the pellet production process and logistic aspects of pellet supply safety and health aspects for pellets during storage, handling and transportation technological evaluation of pellet furnace technologies and future developments economic and ecological evaluation of the pellet production process economic and ecological evaluation of pellet use in small-scale furnaces in the residential sector overview of international pellet markets and market developments international case studies for the use of pellets for energy generation latest trends concerning research and development in the pellet sector. Extensively illustrated and packed with practical knowledge, this is the ultimate reference for anyone involved in or affected by this burgeoning industry. It addresses all the players of the pellet market, ranging from raw material producers or suppliers, pellet producers and traders, manufacturers of pellet furnaces and pelletization systems, installers, engineering companies, energy consultants and end users.

Integrated Biorefineries

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Publisher : CRC Press
ISBN 13 : 1439803471
Total Pages : 873 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (398 download)

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Book Synopsis Integrated Biorefineries by : Paul R. Stuart

Download or read book Integrated Biorefineries written by Paul R. Stuart and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2012-12-10 with total page 873 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Integrated Biorefineries: Design, Analysis, and Optimization examines how to create a competitive edge in biorefinery innovation through integration into existing processes and infrastructure. Leading experts from around the world working in design, synthesis, and optimization of integrated biorefineries present the various aspects of this complex

Forest Value Chain Optimization and Sustainability

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Publisher : CRC Press
ISBN 13 : 1498704875
Total Pages : 358 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (987 download)

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Book Synopsis Forest Value Chain Optimization and Sustainability by : Sophie D'Amours

Download or read book Forest Value Chain Optimization and Sustainability written by Sophie D'Amours and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2016-12-01 with total page 358 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book provides a global perspective on the various issues that the industry has to face as well as to provide some key global strategies that can help coping with those global challenges, such as collaboration, strategic value chain planning, and interdependency analyses. It presents literature reviews, strategic research orientations, assessment of some current key issues, and state-of-the-art methodologies.

Supply Chain Risk Management. How It Tools Can Help Making Supply Chains Resilient

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9783668413665
Total Pages : 26 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (136 download)

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Book Synopsis Supply Chain Risk Management. How It Tools Can Help Making Supply Chains Resilient by : Johannes Euler

Download or read book Supply Chain Risk Management. How It Tools Can Help Making Supply Chains Resilient written by Johannes Euler and published by . This book was released on 2017-05-11 with total page 26 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Seminar paper from the year 2017 in the subject Business economics - Supply, Production, Logistics, grade: 1,0, Reutlingen University, language: English, abstract: Driven by a high intensity of competition, modern companies have put much effort into reducing costs in their supply chain. Two important trends on the way to achieving that goal are globalization and lean management. Both have led to complex, highly distributed supply chains and low buffer stocks. Indeed, these mechanisms brought lower costs but at the same time an increase of vulnerability and risk in modern supply chains. Unexpected disruptions in supply chains can cause a huge impact on businesses, such as high financial expenses and supply delays on the short-term, but also negative brand reputation and falling investor confidence on the long-term. This is why the implementation of the approaches "supply chain risk management (SCRM)" and "business continuity management (BCM)" has become crucial in the sphere of top-level management. Digitization is another disruptive trend within the present economic system. The volume of available data for businesses has been increasing exponentially in the last years. But at the same time most companies have failed using these data, essential in decision-making process. These unused data offer great potential: With Big Data Analytics they could turn companies' supply chain risks into a competitive advantage. This case study deals, in virtue of the quote from JFK, with the research question: "How can IT tools support companies making their supply chains resilient?" To this effect, the first chapter describes key risks in modern supply chain in order to create a general awareness of the scope of SCRM and BCM approaches. The next chapter then compares two common supply chain strategies with a focus on resilience in order to evaluate the proposed solution at the end of this case study. Thereupon Chapter 4 answers the research question of this case study by comprisi

Torrefaction of Biomass for Energy Applications

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Publisher : Academic Press
ISBN 13 : 0128096977
Total Pages : 256 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (28 download)

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Book Synopsis Torrefaction of Biomass for Energy Applications by : Leonel JR Nunes

Download or read book Torrefaction of Biomass for Energy Applications written by Leonel JR Nunes and published by Academic Press. This book was released on 2017-11-21 with total page 256 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Torrefaction of Biomass for Energy Applications: From Fundamentals to Industrial Scale explores the processes, technology, end-use, and economics involved in torrefaction at the industrial scale for heat and power generation. Its authors combine their industry experience with their academic expertise to provide a thorough overview of the topic. Starting at feedstock pretreatment, followed by torrefaction processes, the book includes plant design and operation, safety aspects, and case studies focusing on the needs and challenges of the industrial scale. Commercially available technologies are examined and compared, and their economical evaluation and life cycle assessment are covered as well. Attention is also given to non-woody feedstock, alternative applications, derived fuels, recent advances, and expected future developments. For its practical approach, this book is ideal for professionals in the biomass industry, including those in heat and power generation. It is also a useful reference for researchers and graduate students in the area of biomass and biofuels, and for decision makers, policy makers, and analysts in the energy field. Compares efficiency and performance of different commercially available technologies from the practical aspects of daily operation in an industrial scale plant Presents a cost analysis of the production, logistics, and storage of torrefied biomass Includes case studies addressing challenges that may occur in the daily operation in an industrial scale plant Covers other associated technologies, the densification of torrefied biomass, and non-woody feedstock

OECD Regional Development Studies Reaching Climate Neutrality for the Hamburg Economy by 2040

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Publisher : OECD Publishing
ISBN 13 : 9264613242
Total Pages : 210 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (646 download)

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Book Synopsis OECD Regional Development Studies Reaching Climate Neutrality for the Hamburg Economy by 2040 by : OECD

Download or read book OECD Regional Development Studies Reaching Climate Neutrality for the Hamburg Economy by 2040 written by OECD and published by OECD Publishing. This book was released on 2024-01-26 with total page 210 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This report shows what reaching climate neutrality by 2040 means for Hamburg businesses and identifies key actions they need to undertake.

Climate Change and Critical Agrarian Studies

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Publisher : Taylor & Francis
ISBN 13 : 1040013384
Total Pages : 812 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (4 download)

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Book Synopsis Climate Change and Critical Agrarian Studies by : Ian Scoones

Download or read book Climate Change and Critical Agrarian Studies written by Ian Scoones and published by Taylor & Francis. This book was released on 2023-11-30 with total page 812 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Climate change is perhaps the greatest threat to humanity today and plays out as a cruel engine of myriad forms of injustice, violence and destruction. The effects of climate change from human-made emissions of greenhouse gases are devastating and accelerating; yet are uncertain and uneven both in terms of geography and socio-economic impacts. Emerging from the dynamics of capitalism since the industrial revolution — as well as industrialisation under state-led socialism — the consequences of climate change are especially profound for the countryside and its inhabitants. The book interrogates the narratives and strategies that frame climate change and examines the institutionalised responses in agrarian settings, highlighting what exclusions and inclusions result. It explores how different people — in relation to class and other co-constituted axes of social difference such as gender, race, ethnicity, age and occupation — are affected by climate change, as well as the climate adaptation and mitigation responses being implemented in rural areas. The book in turn explores how climate change – and the responses to it - affect processes of social differentiation, trajectories of accumulation and in turn agrarian politics. Finally, the book examines what strategies are required to confront climate change, and the underlying political-economic dynamics that cause it, reflecting on what this means for agrarian struggles across the world. The 26 chapters in this volume explore how the relationship between capitalism and climate change plays out in the rural world and, in particular, the way agrarian struggles connect with the huge challenge of climate change. Through a huge variety of case studies alongside more conceptual chapters, the book makes the often-missing connection between climate change and critical agrarian studies. The book argues that making the connection between climate and agrarian justice is crucial. The chapters in this book were originally published in The Journal of Peasant Studies.

Risk Management in International Supply Chains - a Financial View

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (854 download)

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Book Synopsis Risk Management in International Supply Chains - a Financial View by : Christian Wester

Download or read book Risk Management in International Supply Chains - a Financial View written by Christian Wester and published by . This book was released on 2013 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Global Value Chains in a Postcrisis World

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Publisher : World Bank Publications
ISBN 13 : 0821384996
Total Pages : 420 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (213 download)

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Book Synopsis Global Value Chains in a Postcrisis World by : Olivier Cattaneo

Download or read book Global Value Chains in a Postcrisis World written by Olivier Cattaneo and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 2010 with total page 420 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The book looks to address the following questions in a post-crisis world: How have lead firms responded to the crisis? Have they changed their traditional supply chain strategy and relocated and/or outsourced part of their production? How will those changes affect developing countries? What should be the policy responses to these changes?

Biochar

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Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 1316839494
Total Pages : 576 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (168 download)

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Book Synopsis Biochar by : Viktor J. Bruckman

Download or read book Biochar written by Viktor J. Bruckman and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2016-11-24 with total page 576 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Climate change poses a fundamental threat to humanity, and thus solutions for both mitigation and adaptation strategies are becoming increasingly necessary. Biochar can offer a range of environmental services, such as reclamation of degraded land, improvement of soil fertility and carbon sequestration. However, it also raises questions, regarding sustainable feedstock provision, biomass pyrolysis, and soil amendment. These questions, among various others, are addressed in this state-of-the-art compendium. Covering a broad geographical range, with regional assessments from North America, Europe, the Near East, and Southeast Asia, this interdisciplinary volume focuses on the entire biochar supply chain, from the availability and economics of biomass resources, to pyrolysis, and ultimately to the impacts on soil properties. The combination of theory with practical examples makes this a valuable book for researchers, policymakers, and graduate students alike, in fields such as soil science, sustainable development, climate change mitigation, biomass and bioenergy, forestry, and environmental engineering.

Contributions in Supply Chain Risk Assessment and Mitigation

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (858 download)

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Book Synopsis Contributions in Supply Chain Risk Assessment and Mitigation by : Yu Zhang

Download or read book Contributions in Supply Chain Risk Assessment and Mitigation written by Yu Zhang and published by . This book was released on 2013 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This dissertation develops contributions in the area of supply chain risk assessment and mitigation. In each of the three main chapters, we present and analyze a risk assessment or mitigation problem for supply chains. The first problem is to assess the impact of infrastructure disruptions on supply chain performance; the second problem is to develop an operational control approach to mitigate risks posed by uncertain events that disrupt network synchronization; and the third problem is to analyze the risk posed by an adversary seeking to use a supply chain as a weapon. Chapter II presents a methodology for assessing the excess supply chain costs that arise from a failure of or an attack on a critical supply chain infrastructure component. Different from many subjective risk assessment practices, our methodology provides a systematic approach to search for the most vulnerable supply chain components and measure the economic consequences of disruption. Modeling a supply chain using network flow models, we analyze the impact of disruption by linear programming theory, and propose an efficient assessment algorithm based on the dual network simplex method. Finally, a case study on the U.S. corn export supply chain is presented. Chapter III discusses the mitigation of risks created by transit time uncertainties in less-than-truckload (LTL) line-haul operations. Transit time uncertainty may undermine the performance of the load plan, which specifies the route for each shipment and is synchronized to reduce line-haul costs. In our study, risk assessment of a load plan is performed via a dispatch simulation under randomly generated travel time scenarios. The risk consequence is measured by the average excess operational cost, including transportation cost and handling cost. Compared to existing line-haul network models embedded within integer programming approaches for load plan optimization, the dispatch simulation can evaluate the performance of a load plan more realistically. In addition, a heuristic search algorithm based on "multi-tree pivots" is provided to obtain a cost-efficient load plan that is robust to transit time uncertainties. Chapter IV presents methodology to assess the consequence of risks which arise from the intentional contamination of a food supply chain. Different from many risk management practices, the source of risk in this problem is an intelligent adversary, e.g., a terrorist group, who intends to deliver chemical or biological toxins to consumers using the supply chain. First, a general modeling scheme based on state-space models is provided to describe the dissemination of toxin across consumed products in a food supply chain. Then, a case study based on a representative liquid egg supply chain is presented. Based on the system model, a risk assessment for different supply chain designs is performed by simulation. Moreover, an in-depth analysis is conducted to determine the worst-case consequence given an intelligent attack considering the operational characteristics of the system. The worst-case consequence tool developed is designed to be embedded within any risk assessment approach.