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Economic Transition In China Long Run Growth And Short Run Fluctuations
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Book Synopsis Economic Transition In China: Long-run Growth And Short-run Fluctuations by : Zhigang Yuan
Download or read book Economic Transition In China: Long-run Growth And Short-run Fluctuations written by Zhigang Yuan and published by World Scientific. This book was released on 2014-07-03 with total page 529 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book provides a comprehensive overview on Chinese economy in the last three decades and an insightful view on the future reform in China. The China's miracle is used to describe its rapid economic growth in the last thirty years. The author aims to demystify the miracle by analyzing the past and present of economic transitions and showcases the blueprint for future economic reforms, from the perspectives of institutional transformation, urbanization and changes in the labor markets.The book contains hottest topics on Chinese economy, such as land market reform, new-type urbanization and financial reform. It investigates both the long-run growth and short-run fluctuations. The factor markets, including labor market, capital market and land market, are analyzed as key determinants to long-run growth and consumption, while investment and net export are investigated as elements to short-run fluctuations.
Book Synopsis Chinese Economic Growth and Fluctuations by : Liu Shucheng
Download or read book Chinese Economic Growth and Fluctuations written by Liu Shucheng and published by Taylor & Francis. This book was released on 2017-03-27 with total page 196 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Since the economic reform of the 1980s, Chinese economy has boomed and has now become the second largest in the world. Based on the constant and systematic researches of economic periodicity, this book studies Chinese economic growth and fluctuations. As a famous Chinese economist, the author is the first one who demonstrated the investment periodicity in China. His groundbreaking studies on Chinese economic periodic fluctuation have significant impact at home and abroad. The first six papers collected in this book mainly examine issues on Chinese periodic fluctuation and macroeconomic regulation, including the periodic fluctuations from 1953 to 1994, and a comparative analysis of five macroeconomic regulations since the reform and open up in the late 1980s. The last seven papers appear in the author's collected works for the first time. They are focused on the new characteristics of Chinese macroeconomic operation and regulation after the financial crisis of 2007-2008. In addition, this book reviews on China's economic growth from 1949 to 2009 and provides some valuable suggestions on how to maintain the rising trend of the new economic cycle.
Book Synopsis China’s Economic Growth by : Mr.Athanasios Vamvakidis
Download or read book China’s Economic Growth written by Mr.Athanasios Vamvakidis and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2010-07-01 with total page 25 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper presents some facts on China’s role in the world economy and measures the impact of China’s growth on growth in the rest of the world in the short and long term. Short-run estimates based on VARs and error-correction models suggest that spillover effects of China’s growth have increased in recent decades. Long-term spillover effects, estimated through growth regressions based on panel data, are also significant and have extended in recent decades beyond Asia. The estimates are robust to the effects of global and regional shocks, changes in model specification, and sample period.
Book Synopsis The Economic Cycle and the Growth of the Chinese Economy by : Li Jianwei
Download or read book The Economic Cycle and the Growth of the Chinese Economy written by Li Jianwei and published by Taylor & Francis. This book was released on 2017-03-16 with total page 325 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The characteristics of the evolution of China's economic cycle and its dynamic equilibrium -- Factors affecting cyclical fluctuations and the dynamic equilibrium of China's economic growth rate -- Conclusions and policy recommendations -- 11 The development trend of China's economic cycle in the next decade -- Tools and premises of forecasting analysis -- Future trend of the dynamic equilibrium value of China's economic growth rate -- Trend of the short-term fluctuation of China's economic growth rate -- Future trend of the mid-term fluctuation of China's economic growth rate -- Future development of the mid-to-long-term fluctuation of China's economic growth rate -- Future development of the long-term fluctuation of China's economic growth rate -- Future development of China's economic growth rate -- Conclusions and policy recommendations -- 12 The theoretical foundation and framework of the cyclical model on China's economic growth -- Theoretical foundation regarding the cyclical model of economic growth -- The influencing factor analysis equation of the cyclical model of economic growth -- Operation of model simulation -- Bibliography -- Index.
Book Synopsis Development Centre Studies Chinese Economic Performance in the Long Run by : Maddison Angus
Download or read book Development Centre Studies Chinese Economic Performance in the Long Run written by Maddison Angus and published by OECD Publishing. This book was released on 1998-09-25 with total page 196 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The study provides a major reassessment of the scale and scope of China’s resurgence over the past half century, employing quantitative measurement techniques which are standard practice in OECD countries, but which have not hitherto been available for China.
Book Synopsis End of Hyper Growth in China? by : Jun Zhang
Download or read book End of Hyper Growth in China? written by Jun Zhang and published by Springer. This book was released on 2016-07-12 with total page 205 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this book, Dr. Jun Zhang rebuts the widely-held view that Chinese economic growth is unsustainable due to low consumption and a reliance on exports and enormous fixed-asset investments. Though many believe this “structural imbalance” of the Chinese economy will become a serious problem in the long run, Zhang holds a bullish long-term outlook owing to China's long-term economic development. For Zhang, China’s structural problems are greatly exaggerated and certain structures, such as regional governing entities, ensure that China will not face the same economic issues that Japan encountered. Through regional competition, regional governments will persevere; Zhang predicts that China will overtake the US as a superpower. Zhang concludes by acknowledging the real dangers facing China’s economy, and offering advice on the reforms needed to ensure continued growth.
Download or read book How China Grows written by James Riedel and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2023-06-06 with total page 224 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Why investment and financial reform are essential to China's continued economic well-being Although China's economy has grown spectacularly over the last twenty-five years, economists disagree about how the Chinese economy is likely to fare in the short- and long-term future. Is China's growth sustainable, or has China relied too much on investment, which is subject to diminishing returns, and not enough on technological change? The first book on the relation between investment, finance, and growth in China, How China Grows dismisses this concern. James Riedel, Jing Jin, and Jian Gao argue that investment has not only been the engine of growth, but also the main source of technological progress and structural change in China. What threatens future growth instead, the authors argue, are the weaknesses of China's financial system that undermine efficiency in investment allocation. Financial-sector reform and development are necessary, not only for sustaining long-term growth, but also for maintaining macroeconomic stability. Although it includes some technical economic analysis, How China Grows is accessible to noneconomists and will benefit anyone who is interested in development finance in general and in China's economic growth in particular—whether economists, political scientists, bankers, or business people.
Author :Congressional Research Service Publisher :Createspace Independent Publishing Platform ISBN 13 :9781976466953 Total Pages :52 pages Book Rating :4.4/5 (669 download)
Book Synopsis China's Economic Rise by : Congressional Research Service
Download or read book China's Economic Rise written by Congressional Research Service and published by Createspace Independent Publishing Platform. This book was released on 2017-09-17 with total page 52 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Prior to the initiation of economic reforms and trade liberalization 36 years ago, China maintained policies that kept the economy very poor, stagnant, centrally-controlled, vastly inefficient, and relatively isolated from the global economy. Since opening up to foreign trade and investment and implementing free market reforms in 1979, China has been among the world's fastest-growing economies, with real annual gross domestic product (GDP) growth averaging nearly 10% through 2016. In recent years, China has emerged as a major global economic power. It is now the world's largest economy (on a purchasing power parity basis), manufacturer, merchandise trader, and holder of foreign exchange reserves.The global economic crisis that began in 2008 greatly affected China's economy. China's exports, imports, and foreign direct investment (FDI) inflows declined, GDP growth slowed, and millions of Chinese workers reportedly lost their jobs. The Chinese government responded by implementing a $586 billion economic stimulus package and loosening monetary policies to increase bank lending. Such policies enabled China to effectively weather the effects of the sharp global fall in demand for Chinese products, but may have contributed to overcapacity in several industries and increased debt by Chinese firms and local government. China's economy has slowed in recent years. Real GDP growth has slowed in each of the past six years, dropping from 10.6% in 2010 to 6.7% in 2016, and is projected to slow to 5.7% by 2022.The Chinese government has attempted to steer the economy to a "new normal" of slower, but more stable and sustainable, economic growth. Yet, concerns have deepened in recent years over the health of the Chinese economy. On August 11, 2015, the Chinese government announced that the daily reference rate of the renminbi (RMB) would become more "market-oriented." Over the next three days, the RMB depreciated against the dollar and led to charges that China's goal was to boost exports to help stimulate the economy (which some suspect is in worse shape than indicated by official Chinese economic statistics). Concerns over the state of the Chinese economy appear to have often contributed to volatility in global stock indexes in recent years.The ability of China to maintain a rapidly growing economy in the long run will likely depend largely on the ability of the Chinese government to implement comprehensive economic reforms that more quickly hasten China's transition to a free market economy; rebalance the Chinese economy by making consumer demand, rather than exporting and fixed investment, the main engine of economic growth; boost productivity and innovation; address growing income disparities; and enhance environmental protection. The Chinese government has acknowledged that its current economic growth model needs to be altered and has announced several initiatives to address various economic challenges. In November 2013, the Communist Party of China held the Third Plenum of its 18th Party Congress, which outlined a number of broad policy reforms to boost competition and economic efficiency. For example, the communique stated that the market would now play a "decisive" role in allocating resources in the economy. At the same time, however, the communique emphasized the continued important role of the state sector in China's economy. In addition, many foreign firms have complained that the business climate in China has worsened in recent years. Thus, it remains unclear how committed the Chinese government is to implementing new comprehensive economic reforms.China's economic rise has significant implications for the United States and hence is of major interest to Congress. This report provides background on China's economic rise; describes its current economic structure; identifies the challenges China faces to maintain economic growth; and discusses the challenges, opportunities, and implications of China's economic rise.
Download or read book China 2049 written by David Dollar and published by Brookings Institution Press. This book was released on 2020-06-09 with total page 444 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: How will China reform its economy as it aspires to become the next economic superpower? It's clear that China is the world's next economic superpower. But what isn't so clear is how China will get there by the middle of this century. It now faces tremendous challenges such as fostering innovation, dealing with ageing problem and coping with a less accommodative global environment. In this book, economists from China's leading university and America's best-known think tank offer in depth analyses of these challenges. Does China have enough talent and right policy and institutional mix to transit from input-driven to innovation-driven economy? What does ageing mean, in terms of labor supply, consumption demand and social welfare expenditure? Can China contain the environmental and climate change risks? How should the financial system be transformed in order to continuously support economic growth and keep financial risks under control? What fiscal reforms are required in order to balance between economic efficiency and social harmony? What roles should the state-owned enterprises play in the future Chinese economy? In addition, how will technological competition between the United States and China affect each country's development? Will the Chinese yuan emerge as a major reserve currency, and would this destabilize the international financial system? What will be China's role in the international economic institutions? And will the United States and other established powers accept a growing role for China and the rest of the developing world in the governance of global institutions such as the World Trade Organization and the International Monetary Fund, or will the world devolve into competing blocs? This book provides unique insights into independent analyses and policy recommendations by a group of top Chinese and American scholars. Whether China succeeds or fails in economic reform will have a large impact, not just on China's development, but also on stability and prosperity for the whole world.
Book Synopsis China and India Within Global Economy. A Short Analysis by : David Onditi
Download or read book China and India Within Global Economy. A Short Analysis written by David Onditi and published by GRIN Verlag. This book was released on 2019-06-11 with total page 4 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Essay from the year 2019 in the subject Business economics - Business Management, Corporate Governance, grade: A+, University of South Australia, course: INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS MANAGEMENT, language: English, abstract: This essay examines the future role of China and India within Global Economy based and GDP and GDP per person and the reasons and reforms that have led to their presently strong position. By 2050, it is projected that the two largest economies in the world will be China and India. The growth and decline of the Indian and Chinese economies have had massive influence on the economy of the world. The influence of the two economies can have positive connotations for instance in the last three decades, but the impact can also be negative as was witnessed in the previous centuries. China and India can take over the role of being the main engines of global economic growth.
Download or read book China written by Ross Garnaut and published by . This book was released on 2012 with total page 240 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Nine papers by various authors discussing aspects of economic reform in China over a 20 year period.
Book Synopsis China’s 40 Years of Reform and Development: 1978–2018 by : Ross Garnaut
Download or read book China’s 40 Years of Reform and Development: 1978–2018 written by Ross Garnaut and published by ANU Press. This book was released on 2018-07-19 with total page 709 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The year 2018 marks 40 years of reform and development in China (1978–2018). This commemorative book assembles some of the world’s most prominent scholars on the Chinese economy to reflect on what has been achieved as a result of the economic reform programs, and to draw out the key lessons that have been learned by the model of growth and development in China over the preceding four decades. This book explores what has happened in the transformation of the Chinese economy in the past 40 years for China itself, as well as for the rest of the world, and discusses the implications of what will happen next in the context of China’s new reform agenda. Focusing on the long-term development strategy amid various old and new challenges that face the economy, this book sets the scene for what the world can expect in China’s fifth decade of reform and development. A key feature of this book is its comprehensive coverage of the key issues involved in China’s economic reform and development. Included are discussions of China’s 40 years of reform and development in a global perspective; the political economy of economic transformation; the progress of marketisation and changes in market-compatible institutions; the reform program for state-owned enterprises; the financial sector and fiscal system reform, and its foreign exchange system reform; the progress and challenges in economic rebalancing; and the continuing process of China’s global integration. This book further documents and analyses the development experiences including China’s large scale of migration and urbanisation, the demographic structural changes, the private sector development, income distribution, land reform and regional development, agricultural development, and energy and climate change policies.
Book Synopsis China's Economic Challenges Over the Next Five Years by : Seung Lee
Download or read book China's Economic Challenges Over the Next Five Years written by Seung Lee and published by . This book was released on 2023 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: At the 20th National Congress of the Communist Party of China held in October this year, President Xi Jinping's third consecutive term was decided. As President Xi's one-man control system is firmly established, there are also concerns about the future direction of the Chinese economy. This article reviews the transformation and changes of Chinese economy from the perspective of Xi's governance philosophy and policy adjustment process, concluding with a discussion of possible developments and changes in Chinese economy.Emphasizing top-level design is a characteristic of the Xi era, with stress being placed on comprehensiveness and systematicity. In 2021, after the Chinese authorities basically completed the task of alleviating poverty, addressing the immediate problems of high expenditures related to housing, education, and health care, they launched a series of policies to advance towards common prosperity. The key to China's development is the bottleneck of its own growth. The outside world generally does not doubt China's ability to control economic fluctuations in the short-term, but there is not much confidence about whether China can achieve a balance between Zero-COVID policy and economic development, because this involves President Xi Jinping's long-term concept of governing the country. The strategic containment pressure exerted by the United States from the outside may allow him to use the power of nationalism to consolidate his leadership position, but the state-led economic growth model it has gradually shaped will provide space for rent-seeking and monopoly of state-owned enterprises. Suppressing the vitality of innovation and development of private enterprises is not conducive to long-term economic growth and common prosperity.
Book Synopsis China's Emerging Middle Class by : Cheng Li
Download or read book China's Emerging Middle Class written by Cheng Li and published by Brookings Institution Press. This book was released on 2010 with total page 417 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Decades ago, there was no distinct middle class in the People's Republic of China. Any meaningful discussion of China's economy, politics, or society must take into account the rapid emergence and explosive growth of the Chinese middle class. This book details the origins and characteristics of this dramatic change.
Book Synopsis China's Growth and Integration Into the World Economy by : Eswar Prasad
Download or read book China's Growth and Integration Into the World Economy written by Eswar Prasad and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2004-06-17 with total page 80 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: China’s transformation into a dynamic private-sector-led economy and its integration into the world economy have been among the most dramatic global economic developments of recent decades. This paper provides an overview of some of the key aspects of recent developments in China’s macroeconomy and economic structure. It also surveys the main policy challenges that will need to be addressed for China to maintain sustained high growth and continued global integration.
Book Synopsis The Turning Point in China's Economic Development by : Ross Garnaut
Download or read book The Turning Point in China's Economic Development written by Ross Garnaut and published by ANU E Press. This book was released on 2006-08-01 with total page 407 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Focuses on China's long-term pattern of growth and employment, demographic shifts, and rural-urban migration, its agricultural trade and local elections, China's banking sector reform and its fiscal sustainability, its environmental concerns, and much more.
Book Synopsis China’s Productivity Convergence and Growth Potential—A Stocktaking and Sectoral Approach by : Min Zhu
Download or read book China’s Productivity Convergence and Growth Potential—A Stocktaking and Sectoral Approach written by Min Zhu and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2019-11-27 with total page 46 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: China’s growth potential has become a hotly debated topic as the economy has reached an income level susceptible to the “middle-income trap” and financial vulnerabilities are mounting after years of rapid credit expansion. However, the existing literature has largely focused on macro level aggregates, which are ill suited to understanding China’s significant structural transformation and its impact on economic growth. To fill the gap, this paper takes a deep dive into China’s convergence progress in 38 industrial sectors and 11 services sectors, examines past sectoral transitions, and predicts future shifts. We find that China’s productivity convergence remains at an early stage, with the industrial sector more advanced than services. Large variations exist among subsectors, with high-tech industrial sectors, in particular the ICT sector, lagging low-tech sectors. Going forward, ample room remains for further convergence, but the shrinking distance to the frontier, the structural shift from industry to services, and demographic changes will put sustained downward pressure on growth, which could slow to 5 percent by 2025 and 4 percent by 2030. Digitalization, SOE reform, and services sector opening up could be three major forces boosting future growth, while the risks of a financial crisis and a reversal in global integration in trade and technology could slow the pace of convergence.
