Economic and Fiscal Outlook March 2013

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Publisher : The Stationery Office
ISBN 13 : 9780101857321
Total Pages : 194 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (573 download)

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Book Synopsis Economic and Fiscal Outlook March 2013 by : Office for Budget Responsibility

Download or read book Economic and Fiscal Outlook March 2013 written by Office for Budget Responsibility and published by The Stationery Office. This book was released on 2013-03-20 with total page 194 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This report sets out forecasts for the period to 2017-18 and assesses whether the Government is on course to meet its medium-term fiscal objectives. The economy grew slightly more strongly in 2012 than expected but also shrank more than expected in the final quarter, and entered 2013 with reduced momentum. This leads the OBR to revise growth forecasts to 0.6 per cent in 2013 and 1.8 per cent in 2014. Thereafter the forecasts are unchanged rising to 2.8 percent by 2017. The pace of recovery is constrained by slow growth in productivity and real incomes, continued problems in the financial system, the fiscal consolidation and the outlook for the global economy. Public sector net borrowing (PSNB) is expected to be broadly flat this and next, then will resume its fall in 2014-15. Underlying deficits in PSNB are forecast to be very close to £120 billion in 2011-12, 2012-13 and 2013-14. Tax receipts are £5.1 billion lower but central government departments are expected to underspend by almost £11 billion this year. The Government has a more than 50 per cent chance of meetings its fiscal mandate. Other forecasts by the OBR include: the ILO unemployment rate to peak at 8.0 per cent in 2014 before falling back to 6.9 per cent in 2017. Real wage growth is expected to be negative in 2013, only marginally positive in 2014 before picking up to 2 per cent in 2016. The publication contains: Chapter 1: Executive summary; Chapter 2: Developments since the December 2012 forecast; Chapter 3: Economic outlook; Chapter 4: Fiscal outlook; Chapter 5: Performance against the Government's fiscal targets; Annex A - Budget 2013 policy measures.

Economic and fiscal outlook March 2012

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Author :
Publisher : The Stationery Office
ISBN 13 : 9780101830324
Total Pages : 192 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (33 download)

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Book Synopsis Economic and fiscal outlook March 2012 by : Office for Budget Responsibility

Download or read book Economic and fiscal outlook March 2012 written by Office for Budget Responsibility and published by The Stationery Office. This book was released on 2012-03-21 with total page 192 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Office for Budget Responsibility was established to provide independent and authoritative analysis of the UK's public finances. Part of this role includes producing the official economic and fiscal forecasts. This report sets out forecasts for the period to 2016-17. The report also assesses whether the Government is on course to meet the medium-term fiscal objectives. The OBR assessment of the outlook and risks for the UK economy is broadly unchanged since the November 2011 report. A technical recession will be avoided with positive growth in the first quarter of 2012. GDP will grow by 0.8% in 2012, 2% in 2013, 2.7% in 2014 and 3% for 2015-16 period. Public sector net borrowing is forecast to total £126 billion, 8.3% of GDP this year which is £1.1 billion less than the November forecast. For 2016-17, the PSNB is then forecast to decline to £21 billion. The fall in PSNB in 2012-13 is much larger than the OBR's November forecast due to the Government's decision to transfer the Royal Mail's historic pension deficit. The Chancellor's decision to cut 50% additional rate income tax to 45% has an estimated direct cost to the Exchequer of £0.1 billion in 2013-14. Other forecasts by the OBR, include: the ILO unemployment rate to rise from 8.4% to 8.7% over the coming year; household disposable income growth to be weak in 2012-13, but consumption to begin to offer some support to the recovery in the second half of the year; that the situation in the euro area remains a major risk to accurate forecasting. The publication is divided into five chapters: Chapter 1: Executive summary; Chapter 2: Developments since the November 2011 forecast; Chapter 3: economic outlook; Chapter 4: Fiscal outlook; Chapter 5: Performance against the Government's fiscal targest; Annex A - Budget 2012 policy measures.

World Economic Outlook, October 2013

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Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1484348834
Total Pages : 657 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (843 download)

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Book Synopsis World Economic Outlook, October 2013 by : International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Download or read book World Economic Outlook, October 2013 written by International Monetary Fund. Research Dept. and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2013-10-08 with total page 657 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Global growth is in low gear, and the drivers of activity are changing. These dynamics raise new policy challenges. Advanced economies are growing again but must continue financial sector repair, pursue fiscal consolidation, and spur job growth. Emerging market economies face the dual challenges of slowing growth and tighter global financial conditions. This issue of the World Economic Outlook examines the potential spillovers from these transitions and the appropriate policy responses. Chapter 3 explores how output comovements are influenced by policy and financial shocks, growth surprises, and other linkages. Chapter 4 assesses why certain emerging market economies were able to avoid the classical boom-and-bust cycle in the face of volatile capital flows during the global financial crisis.

Economic and fiscal outlook

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Author :
Publisher : The Stationery Office
ISBN 13 : 9780101797924
Total Pages : 164 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (979 download)

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Book Synopsis Economic and fiscal outlook by : Office for Budget Responsibility

Download or read book Economic and fiscal outlook written by Office for Budget Responsibility and published by The Stationery Office. This book was released on 2010-11-29 with total page 164 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Office for Budget Responsibility was established to provide independent and authoritative analysis of the UK's public finances. Part of this role includes producing the official economic and fiscal forecasts. This report sets out forecasts for the period to 2015-16. The report also assesses whether the Government is on course to meet the medium-term fiscal objectives and presents preliminary observations on the long-run sustainability of the public finances. Since the June forecast, the UK economy has recovered more strongly than initially expected. The GDP growth was greater than expected in both the 2nd and 3rd quarters, but that unemployment levels have risen to levels that the June forecast did not anticipate until the middle of 2012. In general the world economy has also grown more strongly. CPI inflation has remained slightly higher than expected in June, whilst public finances have performed as forecast. The interest rates on UK debt are lower than in June. The OBR forecasts that the economy will continue to recover from the recession, but at a slower pace than the recoveries of the 1970s, 1980s and 1990s. The publication is divided into 5 chapters with two annexes.

The Office for Budget Responsibility and the Politics of Technocratic Economic Governance

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Author :
Publisher : Oxford University Press
ISBN 13 : 0192698869
Total Pages : 305 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (926 download)

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Book Synopsis The Office for Budget Responsibility and the Politics of Technocratic Economic Governance by : Ben Clift

Download or read book The Office for Budget Responsibility and the Politics of Technocratic Economic Governance written by Ben Clift and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 2023-03-14 with total page 305 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Office for Budget Responsibility and the Politics of Technocratic Economic Governance is about the politics of economic ideas and technocratic economic governance. It is also a book about the changing political economy of British capitalism's relationship to the European and wider global economies. It focuses on the creation in 2010 and subsequent operation of the independent body created to oversee fiscal rectitude in Britain, the Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR). More broadly, it analyses the politics of economic management of the UK's uncertain trajectory, and of British capitalism's restructuring in the 2010s and 2020s in the face of the upheavals of the global financial crisis (GFC), Brexit and COVID. A focus on the intersection between expert economic opinion of the OBR as UK's fiscal watchdog, and the political economy of British capitalism's evolution through and after Brexit, animates a framework for analysing the politics of technocratic economic governance. The technocratic vision of independent fiscal councils fails to grasp a core political economy insight: that economic knowledge and narratives are political and social constructs. The book unpacks the competing constructions of economic reason that underpin models of British capitalism, and through that inform expert economic assessment of the UK economy. It also underlines how contestable political economic assumptions undergird visions of Britain's international economic relations. These were all brought to the fore in economic policy debates about Britain's place in the world, which in the 2010s centred on Brexit. This book analyses OBR forecasting and fiscal oversight in that broader political context, rather than as a narrowly technical pursuit.

Economic and fiscal outlook March 2011

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Author :
Publisher : The Stationery Office
ISBN 13 : 9780101803625
Total Pages : 180 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (36 download)

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Book Synopsis Economic and fiscal outlook March 2011 by : Office for Budget Responsibility

Download or read book Economic and fiscal outlook March 2011 written by Office for Budget Responsibility and published by The Stationery Office. This book was released on 2011-03-23 with total page 180 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Office for Budget Responsibility was established to provide independent and authoritative analysis of the UK's public finances. Part of this role includes producing the official economic and fiscal forecasts. This report sets out forecasts for the period to 2015-16. The report also assesses whether the Government is on course to meet the medium-term fiscal objectives and presents preliminary observations on the long-run sustainability of the public finances. Since the November 2010 outlook, the key economic developments have been an unexpected fall in UK GDP in the final quarter of 2010, a rise in world oil prices, and higher-than-expected UK inflation. The labour market has performed as expected, with unemployment rising. The OBR endorse all but one of the costings for the tax and spending measures set out in Budget 2011 (HC 836, ISBN 9780102971033) as reasonable central estimates, though there are significant uncertainties around a number of them. The central forecast for economic growth in 2011 is revised down from 2.1 to 1.7 per cent. On the fiscal outlook, OBR forecast that public sector net borrowing will decline steadily as share of national income, but more slowly than forecast in November. The Government set itself two medium-term fiscal targets: to balance the cyclically-adjusted current budget by the end of a rolling five-year period; and to see public sector debt falling in 2015-16. Examining performance against these targets, the OBR believe there is a greater than 50 per cent probability of meeting both targets under current policy.

Economic and Budget Outlook

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9780788148446
Total Pages : 75 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (484 download)

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Book Synopsis Economic and Budget Outlook by : Paul L. Houts

Download or read book Economic and Budget Outlook written by Paul L. Houts and published by . This book was released on 1997-06-01 with total page 75 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Chapter one covers the state of the economy, the economic outlook, and risks to the economic outlook. Chapter two covers the deficit outlook, revenue and spending projections, changes resulting from the reconciliation legislation, other changes in the budget outlook, and the federal sector of the national income and product accounts. Appendixes include: changes in calculating the Consumer Price Indexes, and a sequestration update report for fiscal year 1998. Charts and tables.

OECD Economic Outlook, Volume 2013 Issue 1

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Publisher : OECD Publishing
ISBN 13 : 9264200924
Total Pages : 297 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (642 download)

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Book Synopsis OECD Economic Outlook, Volume 2013 Issue 1 by : OECD

Download or read book OECD Economic Outlook, Volume 2013 Issue 1 written by OECD and published by OECD Publishing. This book was released on 2013-06-20 with total page 297 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The OECD Economic Outlook is the OECD’s twice-yearly analysis of the major economic trends and prospects for the next two years.

Budget 2013

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Publisher : The Stationery Office
ISBN 13 : 9780215057006
Total Pages : 200 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (57 download)

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Book Synopsis Budget 2013 by : Great Britain: Parliament: House of Commons: Treasury Committee

Download or read book Budget 2013 written by Great Britain: Parliament: House of Commons: Treasury Committee and published by The Stationery Office. This book was released on 2013-04-22 with total page 200 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Treasury Committee's report on Budget 2013 focuses on: macroeconomy; the public finances; monetary policy; taxation; departmental spending; housing; energy policy; premature disclosure of budget information; Parliamentary timing. The report contains 46 conclusions and recommendations. Particular attention is paid to the Help to Buy housing policy, which is considered a work in progress which may have unintended consequences and may not help first-time buyers. The Committee poses a number of questions for the Chancellor on the policy. Overall, if the Government's priority was housing supply, its housing measures should have concentrated there. On energy it is unclear which Government Department is in the lead for energy policy and this lack of clarity must be addressed. The changes to the monetary policy remit announced by the Chancellor at the time of Budget 2013 create uncertainty. Tax complexity and instability remain of considerable concern. The Committee will monitor whether the Government anti-avoidance measures succeed in generating the revenue predicted of them. In addition, the Committee invited comments from three accounting bodies on how Budget 2013 meets the Committee's tax policy principles: basic fairness; supporting growth and encouraging competition; certainty, including simplicity; stability; practicality; and coherence.

OECD Economic Outlook

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 248 pages
Book Rating : 4.F/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis OECD Economic Outlook by : Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development

Download or read book OECD Economic Outlook written by Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development and published by . This book was released on 1997 with total page 248 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Office for Budget Responsibility: Economic and Fiscal Outlook - Cm. 8748

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Author :
Publisher : The Stationery Office
ISBN 13 : 9780101874823
Total Pages : 188 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (748 download)

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Book Synopsis Office for Budget Responsibility: Economic and Fiscal Outlook - Cm. 8748 by : Office for Budget Responsibility

Download or read book Office for Budget Responsibility: Economic and Fiscal Outlook - Cm. 8748 written by Office for Budget Responsibility and published by The Stationery Office. This book was released on 2013-12-05 with total page 188 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Office for Budget Responsibility reports that the UK economy has picked up more strongly in 2013 than expected in its March forecast. Private consumption and housing investment have grown whilst business investment and net trade continue to disappoint. The forecast for GDP growth in 2013 is revised up to 1.4 per cent, but this is not expected to be maintained in 2014 as productivity and real earnings growth remain weak. The positive growth is judged to be cyclical, reducing the amount of spare capacity in the economy, rather than indicating stronger underlying growth potential. Productivity-driven growth in real earnings is necessary to sustain the recovery and the outlook for productivity growth is the key uncertainty. Nevertheless, the forecast for growth in 2014 is now 2.4 per cent. Public sector net borrowing (PSNB) - the gap between what the Government spends and raises in revenue - is forecast to be £111.2 billion this year, £8.6 billion lower than the March forecast and £3.8 billion lower than in 2012-13. Underlying PSNB is estimated to have fallen by a third between 2009-10 and 2012-13, the pace of reduction slowing in 2012-13. The employment forecast is now expected to reach 31.2 million in 2018, with unemployment falling steadily over the coming years, reaching 7 per cent in mid-2015 and 6 per cent by the end of 2017. CPI inflation is forecast to fall back to the Bank of England's 2 per cent target during 2016 whilst house price inflation is revised upwards, expected to be above 5 per cent in 2014 and 7 per cent in 2015.

HC 1189 - Budget 2014

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Publisher : The Stationery Office
ISBN 13 : 0215071999
Total Pages : 126 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (15 download)

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Book Synopsis HC 1189 - Budget 2014 by : Great Britain: Parliament: House of Commons: Treasury Committee

Download or read book HC 1189 - Budget 2014 written by Great Britain: Parliament: House of Commons: Treasury Committee and published by The Stationery Office. This book was released on 2014-05-09 with total page 126 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this report the Treasury Committee makes recommendations on pensions, savings, HMRC debt recovery powers and housing. The greater flexibility and choice provided by the proposed pension reforms is welcomed. The 'guidance guarantee' is an important part of making sure that consumers benefit from increased choice. It should be measured against a set of recommended principles to ensure its effectiveness. The pensions reforms are also likely to lead to financial innovation. Following the financial crisis, and the mis-selling scandals, the reputation of the industry is under scrutiny. With regard to savings - double taxation has long been a deterrent to some forms of saving. With the enhanced flexibility for those saving there may now be scope in the long term for bringing the tax treatment of savings and pensions together to create a 'single savings' vehicle. The proposal to grant the power to HMRC to take money directly from people's bank accounts is extremely concerning. Exceptional powers such as this require prior independent oversight. With regard to housing, the Help to Buy scheme, at least in the short-to-medium term, could raise house prices. There is also the risk that withdrawal of Help to Buy may have a distorting effect on the housing market. The need to address these difficulties places a particular responsibility on the FPC, as well as the Government, for detecting and addressing the financial stability risks arising from the housing market. There are also reservations about any extension of retrospection in the tax system. Retrospection should be considered only in wholly exceptional circumstances

Economic and Fiscal Outlook December 2012

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Author :
Publisher : The Stationery Office
ISBN 13 : 9780101848121
Total Pages : 200 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (481 download)

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Book Synopsis Economic and Fiscal Outlook December 2012 by : Office for Budget Responsibility

Download or read book Economic and Fiscal Outlook December 2012 written by Office for Budget Responsibility and published by The Stationery Office. This book was released on 2012-12-05 with total page 200 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This report sets out forecasts for the period to 2017-18 and also assesses whether the Government is on course to meet its medium-term fiscal objectives. The economy has performed less strongly than forecast in March 2012 (Cm. 8303, ISBN 9780101830324) and GDP is forecast to fall by 0.1% in 2012 and then to grow by 1.2% in 2013, 2.0% in 2014, 2.7% in 2016 and 2.8% in 2017. Public sector net borrowing (PSNB) is forecast at £108 billion or 6.9% of GDP this year (excluding the transfer of the Royal Mail's historic pension deficit into the public sector). PSNB is then forecast to decline to £31 billion or 1.6% of GDP by 20017-18. Public sector net debt (PSND) is now expected to peak at 79.9% of GDP in 2015-16 meaning the Government will miss its supplementary target of PSND falling as a share of GDP between 2014-15 and 2015-16. Other developments since the March 2012 forecasts include: the unemployment rate has fallen to 7.8%, and the overall level of employment rose to 29.6 million in the three months to September. Around half the increase since 2011 has been driven by a rise in self-employment and part-time employees, though total hours worked per week have also risen. The situation in the euro area continues to weigh on confidence and trade. Inflation is also likely to be higher in the short term, reducing the growth of real household disposable income and consumption. The Government has a greater than 50% chance of hitting its fiscal mandate.

Hard Times

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Publisher : Yale University Press
ISBN 13 : 0300212747
Total Pages : 328 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (2 download)

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Book Synopsis Hard Times by : Tom Clark

Download or read book Hard Times written by Tom Clark and published by Yale University Press. This book was released on 2015-01-01 with total page 328 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Originally published: 2014, as Hard times: the divisive toll of the economic slump.

Anti-politics, Depoliticization, and Governance

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Publisher : Oxford University Press
ISBN 13 : 0198748973
Total Pages : 326 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (987 download)

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Book Synopsis Anti-politics, Depoliticization, and Governance by : Paul Fawcett (Political scientist)

Download or read book Anti-politics, Depoliticization, and Governance written by Paul Fawcett (Political scientist) and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 2017 with total page 326 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This volume redefines the research agenda for studying anti-politics and contemporary governance, and presents and examines new case-study material from a range of countries and policy areas.

The Budget and Economic Outlook

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Publisher : Congressional Budget Office
ISBN 13 : 9780160917141
Total Pages : 80 pages
Book Rating : 4.9/5 (171 download)

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Book Synopsis The Budget and Economic Outlook by : Christine Bogusz

Download or read book The Budget and Economic Outlook written by Christine Bogusz and published by Congressional Budget Office. This book was released on 2013 with total page 80 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Reports on the state of the Federal budget and the United States economy. Each January, the Congressional Budget (CBO) prepares "baseline" Federal budget projections and the outlook for the United States economy spanning the next 10 years. Those projections are not a forecast of future events; rather, they are intended to provide a benchmark against which potential policy changes can be measured. Therefore, as specified in law, those projections generally incorporate the assumption that current laws are implemented. But substantial changes to tax and spending policies are slated to take effect in calendar year 2013 under current law. So CBO has also prepared projections under an "alternative fiscal scenario," in which some current or recent policies are assumed to continue in effect, even though, by law, they are scheduled to change. The decisions made by lawmakers as they confront those policy choices will have a significant impact on budget outcomes in the coming years.

Inflation Expectations

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Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 1135179778
Total Pages : 402 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (351 download)

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Book Synopsis Inflation Expectations by : Peter J. N. Sinclair

Download or read book Inflation Expectations written by Peter J. N. Sinclair and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2009-12-16 with total page 402 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Inflation is regarded by the many as a menace that damages business and can only make life worse for households. Keeping it low depends critically on ensuring that firms and workers expect it to be low. So expectations of inflation are a key influence on national economic welfare. This collection pulls together a galaxy of world experts (including Roy Batchelor, Richard Curtin and Staffan Linden) on inflation expectations to debate different aspects of the issues involved. The main focus of the volume is on likely inflation developments. A number of factors have led practitioners and academic observers of monetary policy to place increasing emphasis recently on inflation expectations. One is the spread of inflation targeting, invented in New Zealand over 15 years ago, but now encompassing many important economies including Brazil, Canada, Israel and Great Britain. Even more significantly, the European Central Bank, the Bank of Japan and the United States Federal Bank are the leading members of another group of monetary institutions all considering or implementing moves in the same direction. A second is the large reduction in actual inflation that has been observed in most countries over the past decade or so. These considerations underscore the critical – and largely underrecognized - importance of inflation expectations. They emphasize the importance of the issues, and the great need for a volume that offers a clear, systematic treatment of them. This book, under the steely editorship of Peter Sinclair, should prove very important for policy makers and monetary economists alike.