Econometric Models Of World Agricultural Commodity Markets

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Global Uncertainty and the Volatility of Agricultural Commodities Prices

Author : B.R. Munier
Publisher : IOS Press
ISBN 13 : 1614990379
Total Pages : 256 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (149 download)

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Book Synopsis Global Uncertainty and the Volatility of Agricultural Commodities Prices by : B.R. Munier

Download or read book Global Uncertainty and the Volatility of Agricultural Commodities Prices written by B.R. Munier and published by IOS Press. This book was released on 2012-04-24 with total page 256 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The recent global financial crisis exposed the serious limitations of existing economic and financial models. Not only did macro models fail to predict the crisis, they seemed incapable of explaining what was happening to the economy. Policymakers felt abandoned by the conventional tools of the now obsolete Washington consensus and the World Trade Organization’s oversimplified faith in free markets.The traditional models for agricultural commodities have so far failed to take into account the uncertain character of the global agricultural economy and its ferocious consequences in food price volatility, the worst in 300 years, yielding hunger riots throughout the world. This book explores the elements which could help to close this fundamental modeling gap. To what extent should traditional models be questioned regarding agricultural commodities? Are prices on these markets foreseeable? Can their evolution be either predicted or convincingly simulated, and if so, by which methods and models? Presenting contributions from acknowledged experts from several countries and backgrounds – professors at major international universities or researchers within specialized international organizations – the book concentrates on four issues: the role of expectations and capacity of prediction; policy issues related to development strategies and food security; the role of hoarding and speculation and finally, global modeling methods. The book offers a renewed wisdom on some of the core issues in the world economy today and puts forward important innovations in analyzing these core issues, among which the modular modeling design, the Momagri model being a seminal example of it. Reading this book should inspire fruitful revisions in policy-making to improve the welfare of populations worldwide.

OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2019-2028

Author : OECD
Publisher : OECD Publishing
ISBN 13 : 9264312463
Total Pages : 326 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (643 download)

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Book Synopsis OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2019-2028 by : OECD

Download or read book OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2019-2028 written by OECD and published by OECD Publishing. This book was released on 2019-07-08 with total page 326 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Agricultural Outlook 2019-2028 is a collaborative effort of the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) and the Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) of the United Nations. It brings together the commodity, policy and country expertise of both organisations as well ...

OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2021–2030

Author : Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations
Publisher : Food & Agriculture Org.
ISBN 13 : 9251346089
Total Pages : 337 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (513 download)

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Book Synopsis OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2021–2030 by : Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations

Download or read book OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2021–2030 written by Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations and published by Food & Agriculture Org.. This book was released on 2021-07-05 with total page 337 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Agricultural Outlook 2021-2030 is a collaborative effort of the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) and the Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) of the United Nations. It brings together the commodity, policy and country expertise of both organisations as well as input from collaborating member countries to provide an annual assessment of the prospects for the coming decade of national, regional and global agricultural commodity markets. The publication consists of 11 Chapters; Chapter 1 covers agricultural and food markets; Chapter 2 provides regional outlooks and the remaining chapters are dedicated to individual commodities.

OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2020-2029

Author : OECD
Publisher : OECD Publishing
ISBN 13 : 9264582959
Total Pages : 330 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (645 download)

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Book Synopsis OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2020-2029 by : OECD

Download or read book OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2020-2029 written by OECD and published by OECD Publishing. This book was released on 2020-07-16 with total page 330 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2020-2029 is a collaborative effort of the Organisation for Economic Co-operation Development (OECD) and the Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) of the United Nations, incorporating expertise from collaborating member countries and international commodity organisations. It provides market projections for national, regional and global supply and demand of major agricultural commodities, biofuel and fish.

OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2018-2027

Author : OECD
Publisher : OECD Publishing
ISBN 13 : 9264062033
Total Pages : 112 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (64 download)

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Book Synopsis OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2018-2027 by : OECD

Download or read book OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2018-2027 written by OECD and published by OECD Publishing. This book was released on 2018-07-03 with total page 112 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The fourteenth joint edition of the OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook provides market projections for major agricultural commodities, biofuels and fish, as well as a special feature on the prospects and challenges of agriculture and fisheries in the Middle East and North Africa.

OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2016-2025

Author : OECD
Publisher : OECD Publishing
ISBN 13 : 9264253238
Total Pages : 138 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (642 download)

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Book Synopsis OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2016-2025 by : OECD

Download or read book OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2016-2025 written by OECD and published by OECD Publishing. This book was released on 2016-07-04 with total page 138 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2016-2025 provides an assessment of prospects for the coming decade of the agricultural commodity markets across 41 countries and 12 regions, including OECD countries and key agricultural producers, such as India, China, Brazil, the Russian Federation and Argentina.

Food Price Volatility and Its Implications for Food Security and Policy

Author : Matthias Kalkuhl
Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 3319282018
Total Pages : 620 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (192 download)

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Book Synopsis Food Price Volatility and Its Implications for Food Security and Policy by : Matthias Kalkuhl

Download or read book Food Price Volatility and Its Implications for Food Security and Policy written by Matthias Kalkuhl and published by Springer. This book was released on 2016-04-12 with total page 620 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book provides fresh insights into concepts, methods and new research findings on the causes of excessive food price volatility. It also discusses the implications for food security and policy responses to mitigate excessive volatility. The approaches applied by the contributors range from on-the-ground surveys, to panel econometrics and innovative high-frequency time series analysis as well as computational economics methods. It offers policy analysts and decision-makers guidance on dealing with extreme volatility.

The Agricultural Outlook 1997-2001

Author : Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development
Publisher : Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development
ISBN 13 : 9789264154698
Total Pages : 134 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (546 download)

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Book Synopsis The Agricultural Outlook 1997-2001 by : Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development

Download or read book The Agricultural Outlook 1997-2001 written by Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development and published by Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development. This book was released on 1997 with total page 134 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Econometric Models of World Commodity Markets for ELSA-Comlink

Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 320 pages
Book Rating : 4.F/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Econometric Models of World Commodity Markets for ELSA-Comlink by :

Download or read book Econometric Models of World Commodity Markets for ELSA-Comlink written by and published by . This book was released on 1985 with total page 320 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Agricultural Household Models

Author : Inderjit Singh
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 360 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (42 download)

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Book Synopsis Agricultural Household Models by : Inderjit Singh

Download or read book Agricultural Household Models written by Inderjit Singh and published by . This book was released on 1986 with total page 360 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book presents the basic model of an agricultural household that underlies most of the case studies undertaken so far. The model assumes that households are price-takers and is therefore recursive. The decisions modeled include those affecting production and the demand for inputs and those affecting consumption and the supply of labor. Comparative results on selected elasticities are presented for a number of economies. The empirical significance of the approach is demonstrated in a comparison of models that treat production and consumption decisions separately and those in which the decisionmaking process is recursive. The book summarizes the implications of agricultural pricing policy for the welfare of farm households, marketed surplus, the demand for nonagricultural goods and services, the rural labor market, budget revenues, and foreign exchange earnings. In addition, it is shown that the basic model can be extended in order to explore the effects of government policy on crop composition, nutritional status, health, saving, and investment and to provide a more comprehensive analysis of the effects on budget revenues and foreign exchange earnings. Methodological topics, primarily the data requirements of the basic model and its extensions, along with aggregation, market interaction, uncertainty, and market imperfections are discussed. The most important methodological issues - the question of the recursive property of these models - is also discussed.

International Commodity Market Models and Policy Analysis

Author : O. Güvenen
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 940091167X
Total Pages : 276 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (9 download)

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Book Synopsis International Commodity Market Models and Policy Analysis by : O. Güvenen

Download or read book International Commodity Market Models and Policy Analysis written by O. Güvenen and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 276 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: o. Guvenen, University of Paris IX-Dauphine The aim of this publication is to present recent developments in international com modity market model building and policy analysis. This book is based mainly on the research presented at the XlIth International Conference organised by the Applied Econometric Association (AEA) which was held at the University of Zaragoza in Spain. This conference would not have been possible with out the cooperation of the Department of Econometrics of the University of Zaragoza and its Chairman A.A. Grasa. I would like to express my thanks to all contributors. I am grateful to J.H.P. Paelinck, J.P. Ancot, A.J. Hughes Hallett and H. Serbat for their constructive contributions and comments concerning the structure of the book. vii INTRODUCTION o. Guvenen The challenge of increasing complexity and global interdependence at the world level necessitates new modelling approaches and policy analysis at the macroeconomic level, and for commodities. The evaluation of economic modelling.follows the evolution of international economic phenomena. In that interdependent context there is a growing need for forecasting and simulation tools in the analysis of international primary com modity markets.

Principles of Commodity Economics and Finance

Author : Daniel P. Ahn
Publisher : MIT Press
ISBN 13 : 0262347881
Total Pages : 229 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (623 download)

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Book Synopsis Principles of Commodity Economics and Finance by : Daniel P. Ahn

Download or read book Principles of Commodity Economics and Finance written by Daniel P. Ahn and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 2019-04-09 with total page 229 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A rigorous but practical introduction to the economic, financial, and political principles underlying commodity markets. Commodities have become one of the fastest growing asset classes of the last decade and the object of increasing attention from investors, scholars, and policy makers. Yet existing treatments of the topic are either too theoretical, ignoring practical realities, or largely narrative and nonrigorous. This book bridges the gap, striking a balance between theory and practice. It offers a solid foundation in the economic, financial, and political principles underlying commodities markets. The book, which grows out of courses taught by the author at Columbia and Johns Hopkins, can be used by graduate students in economics, finance, and public policy, or as a conceptual reference for practitioners. After an introduction to basic concepts and a review of the various types of commodities—energy, metals, agricultural products—the book delves into the economic and financial dynamics of commodity markets, with a particular focus on energy. The text covers fundamental demand and supply for resources, the mechanics behind commodity financial markets, and how they motivate investment decisions around both physical and financial portfolio exposure to commodities, and the evolving political and regulatory landscape for commodity markets. Additional special topics include geopolitics, financial regulation, and electricity markets. The book is divided into thematic modules that progress in complexity. Text boxes offer additional, related material, and numerous charts and graphs provide further insight into important concepts.

International model for policy analysis of agricultural commodities and trade-standard IFPRI multimarket model (IMPACT-SIMM): Technical description for version 1

Download International model for policy analysis of agricultural commodities and trade-standard IFPRI multimarket model (IMPACT-SIMM): Technical description for version 1 PDF Online Free

Author : Robinson, Sherman
Publisher : Intl Food Policy Res Inst
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 40 pages
Book Rating : 4./5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis International model for policy analysis of agricultural commodities and trade-standard IFPRI multimarket model (IMPACT-SIMM): Technical description for version 1 by : Robinson, Sherman

Download or read book International model for policy analysis of agricultural commodities and trade-standard IFPRI multimarket model (IMPACT-SIMM): Technical description for version 1 written by Robinson, Sherman and published by Intl Food Policy Res Inst. This book was released on 2021-12-31 with total page 40 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The International Food Policy Research Institute’s International Model for Policy Analysis of Agricultural Commodities and Trade (IMPACT) supports analysis of long-term challenges and opportunities for food, agriculture, and natural resources at global and regional scales. IMPACT is continually being updated and improved to better inform the choices that decisionmakers face today. This document describes a new country-level version of the model. IMPACT-SIMM (International Model for Policy Analysis of Agricultural Commodities and Trade–Standard IFPRI Multimarket Model) is a partial equilibrium, multi-market, simulation model of the production, supply, and demand of agricultural commodities within a country or group of countries. It simulates the operation of agricultural markets, solving for equilibrium prices within a country and, in multi-country mode, global markets. It is designed to be a “portable” and potentially open-source version of the IFPRI (International Food Policy Research Institute) IMPACT3 model documented in Robinson et al. (2015). IMPACT-SIMM shares model specification, equations, and computer code with IMPACT3, but is designed to be more flexible in application. It allows users to specify a standard multi-market model at any level of aggregation by commodities and countries by changing data inputs, without any change in model code. This model system supports longer-term scenario analysis to provide researchers and policymakers with a flexible tool to assess and compare the potential effects of changes in biophysical systems, socioeconomic trends, technologies, and policies at the level of individual countries or groups of countries.

Commodity Models for Forecasting and Policy Analysis

Author : Walter C. Labys
Publisher : Taylor & Francis
ISBN 13 : 100384670X
Total Pages : 222 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (38 download)

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Book Synopsis Commodity Models for Forecasting and Policy Analysis by : Walter C. Labys

Download or read book Commodity Models for Forecasting and Policy Analysis written by Walter C. Labys and published by Taylor & Francis. This book was released on 2024-02-01 with total page 222 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Originally published in 1984 this book remains as relevant as when it was first published. At that time the oil crises of the 1970s and the growing international debt burden highlighted the extent to which events in primary commodity markets continue to influence the economies of developing and industrialized economies alike. Commodity modelling has become a valuable tool in efforts to predict and understand the behaviour of commodity markets and thereby reduce their fluctuations. This book provides an overview of the nature of the different types of commodity model as well as their diverse applications. In non-technical language the reader is introduced to the underlying modelling methodologies, including their advantages, limitations and commodity specific implications. The book will be of interest to commodity economists, traders and analysts, economic planners and those involved in agricultural, mineral and energy modelling.

Price Stabilization on World Agricultural Markets

Author : Bernd Lucke
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 3642467822
Total Pages : 280 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (424 download)

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Book Synopsis Price Stabilization on World Agricultural Markets by : Bernd Lucke

Download or read book Price Stabilization on World Agricultural Markets written by Bernd Lucke and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 280 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: International commodity markets have traditionally attracted the attention of economists, econometricians, and policy makers especially in and following politically tumultuous times. For instance, the primary commodity price boom of 1973/74 and the subsequent period of highly volatile world market prices initiated increased research on commodity markets which quickly focused on possible price stabilization schemes, particularly on buffer stocks. Simultaneously, the issue clearly advanced in priority on the political agenda, such that the United Nations Conference on Trade and Development (UNCTAD) proposed an "Integrated Program for Commodities" (IPC) intended to stabilize the world market prices of ten so-called "core commodities"l (UNCTAD (1974, 1976a), Behrman (1979)). Many developing nations welcomed the IPC almost enthusiastically, but it did not receive more than lukewarm support by major industrialized countries, apparently due to the experience with some thirty international commodity agreements past World War II2. Critical evaluations have, among others, been presented by McNicol (1978), Gordon-Ashworth (1984), and Macbean & Nguyen (1987). The most detailed of these studies is Gordon-Ashworth's, who concludes that "on balance ... the performance of international commodity agreements has been too unreliable and their distributive effects too uneven to secure the development goals that have been set" (1984, p. 284)3. Consequently, the IPC turned out to be quite controversial a topic on the UNCTAD's 1976 meeting in Nairobi and has not been able to gain any impetus since. lThese were cocoa, coffee, copper, cotton, jute, rubber, sisal, sugar, tea, and tin.

Economic Models of Tropical Deforestation: A Review

Author : David Kaimowitz
Publisher : CIFOR
ISBN 13 : 979876417X
Total Pages : 153 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (987 download)

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Book Synopsis Economic Models of Tropical Deforestation: A Review by : David Kaimowitz

Download or read book Economic Models of Tropical Deforestation: A Review written by David Kaimowitz and published by CIFOR. This book was released on 1998-01-01 with total page 153 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Types of economic deforestation models. Household and firm-level models. Regional-level models. National and macro-level models. Priority areas for future research.

Agricultural Prices and Commodity Market Analysis

Author : John N. Ferris
Publisher : MSU Press
ISBN 13 : 9780870137518
Total Pages : 361 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (375 download)

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Book Synopsis Agricultural Prices and Commodity Market Analysis by : John N. Ferris

Download or read book Agricultural Prices and Commodity Market Analysis written by John N. Ferris and published by MSU Press. This book was released on 2005 with total page 361 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Agricultural Prices and Commodity MarketAnalysis discusses the application of economictheory to agriculture and the foodindustry, using quantitative tools. The blendof theory and application is unique in detailinghow demand and supply can be measuredand how econometric simulationmodels can be constructed and evaluated.This revised edition focuses on forecastingand generating long-term projections as wellas discussing the relatively unexplored areaof stochastic modeling, which is critical inhandling crop yield variability. Other topicscovered include agricultural policy analysisand futures/options markets. The role oftime series models in improving structuralequations and forecasting techniques providesa capstone.