Dynamics Of Contagion And Spillover Effects

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Dynamics of Contagion and Spillover Effects

Author : Rakesh Shahani
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 18 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (129 download)

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Book Synopsis Dynamics of Contagion and Spillover Effects by : Rakesh Shahani

Download or read book Dynamics of Contagion and Spillover Effects written by Rakesh Shahani and published by . This book was released on 2020 with total page 18 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The present study makes an attempt to investigate the dynamics of contagion and spillover of volatility amongst stock markets of five economies which include three developed nations; US , UK and Japan and two Asian emerging economies viz. India and China The period of study is eleven years; Jan 1, 2009-Dec 31, 2019 and the data is collected for daily closing prices of the indices. The study makes a distinction between contagion and spillover whereby a shock is considered spillover if its impact is seen with a lag of one period only and no more lags after the shock has occurred, while contagion is a residual transmission after accounting for all other transmissions including spillover(Masson, P. (1998) ; Dungey, M. and Martin, V.L. (2007)) The results of the study revealed that there was substantial contagion and information flows from one market to another , be it developed or emerging . Further although US markets continue to play a major role in deciding the direction of markets, the importance of other markets has increased over the years. Further, US market on its own now appears to look for clues from both developed and emerging markets including India and China. On the other hand , the stock market of UK follows the return movement and volatility mainly from US markets. The two emerging markets of Asia, India and China observe a lot of co-movement in returns with spillovers being linked to the developed markets which includes US as global market and Japan as regional market. The study also tested for pre-conditions of stationarity, autocorrelation and heteroscedasticity and the model was modified wherever necessary in order to make the results of the study robust.

Financial Contagion with Spillover Effects

Author : Gustavo Peralta
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 27 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (13 download)

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Book Synopsis Financial Contagion with Spillover Effects by : Gustavo Peralta

Download or read book Financial Contagion with Spillover Effects written by Gustavo Peralta and published by . This book was released on 2016 with total page 27 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper presents a comprehensive model of financial contagion encompassing both direct and indirect transmission channels. We introduce direct contagion through a 2-layered multiplex network to account for the distinct dynamics resulting from collateralized and uncollateralized transactions. Moreover, the spillover effects of fire sales, haircut prociclicality and liquidity hoarding are specifically considered through indirect transmission channels. This framework allows us to analyze the determinants of systemic crisis and the resilience of different financial network configurations. Our first experiment demonstrates the benefits of counterparty diversification as a way of reducing systemic risk. The second experiment highlights the positive effect of higher initial capital and liquidity levels, while stressing the potentially counterproductive impact of rapidly increasing the minimum capital and liquidity ratios. The third experiment examines the possibility of controlling the maximum haircut rates, although the impact of this measure is modest compared to other alternatives. Finally, our last experiment evidences the fundamental role played by fire sales and market liquidity in either leading or mitigating systemic crises.

Financial Market Dynamics after COVID 19

Author : Stéphane Goutte
Publisher : Springer Nature
ISBN 13 : 3030985423
Total Pages : 137 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (39 download)

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Book Synopsis Financial Market Dynamics after COVID 19 by : Stéphane Goutte

Download or read book Financial Market Dynamics after COVID 19 written by Stéphane Goutte and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2022-04-27 with total page 137 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book analyses the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic in different areas of Finance emphasizing the contagion effect in capital markets. The volume presents evidence-based case studies from the global financial crisis that followed after the onset of the pandemic in March 2020.

The Dynamics of Spillover Effects During the European Sovereign Debt Crisis

Author : Adrian Alter
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 54 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (13 download)

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Book Synopsis The Dynamics of Spillover Effects During the European Sovereign Debt Crisis by : Adrian Alter

Download or read book The Dynamics of Spillover Effects During the European Sovereign Debt Crisis written by Adrian Alter and published by . This book was released on 2013 with total page 54 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this paper we develop empirical measures for the strength of spillover effects. Modifying and extending the framework by Diebold and Yilmaz (2011), we quantify spillovers between sovereign credit markets and banks in the euro area. Spillovers are estimated recursively from a vector autoregressive model of daily CDS spread changes, with exogenous common factors. We account for interdependencies between sovereign and bank CDS spreads and we derive generalised impulse response functions. Specifically, we assess the systemic effect of an unexpected shock to the creditworthiness of a particular sovereign or country-specific bank index to other sovereign or bank CDSs between October 2009 and July 2012. Channels of transmission from or to sovereigns and banks are aggregated as a Contagion Index (CI). This index is disentangled into four components, the average potential spillover: i) amongst sovereigns, ii) amongst banks, iii) from sovereigns to banks, and iv) vice-versa. We highlight the impact of policy-related events along the different components of the contagion index. The systemic contribution of each sovereign or banking group is quantified as the net spillover weight in the total net-spillover measure. Finally, the captured time-varying interdependence between banks and sovereigns emphasises the evolution of their strong nexus.

Interconnectedness and Contagion Analysis: A Practical Framework

Author : Mrs.Jana Bricco
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1513517856
Total Pages : 49 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (135 download)

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Book Synopsis Interconnectedness and Contagion Analysis: A Practical Framework by : Mrs.Jana Bricco

Download or read book Interconnectedness and Contagion Analysis: A Practical Framework written by Mrs.Jana Bricco and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2019-10-11 with total page 49 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The analysis of interconnectedness and contagion is an important part of the financial stability and risk assessment of a country’s financial system. This paper offers detailed and practical guidance on how to conduct a comprehensive analysis of interconnectedness and contagion for a country’s financial system under various circumstances. We survey current approaches at the IMF for analyzing interconnectedness within the interbank, cross-sector and cross-border dimensions through an overview and examples of the data and methodologies used in the Financial Sector Assessment Program. Finally, this paper offers practical advice on how to interpret results and discusses potential financial stability policy recommendations that can be drawn from this type of in-depth analysis.

Financial and Macroeconomic Connectedness

Author : Francis X. Diebold
Publisher : Oxford University Press
ISBN 13 : 0199338329
Total Pages : 285 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (993 download)

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Book Synopsis Financial and Macroeconomic Connectedness by : Francis X. Diebold

Download or read book Financial and Macroeconomic Connectedness written by Francis X. Diebold and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 2015-02-03 with total page 285 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Connections among different assets, asset classes, portfolios, and the stocks of individual institutions are critical in examining financial markets. Interest in financial markets implies interest in underlying macroeconomic fundamentals. In Financial and Macroeconomic Connectedness, Frank Diebold and Kamil Yilmaz propose a simple framework for defining, measuring, and monitoring connectedness, which is central to finance and macroeconomics. These measures of connectedness are theoretically rigorous yet empirically relevant. The approach to connectedness proposed by the authors is intimately related to the familiar econometric notion of variance decomposition. The full set of variance decompositions from vector auto-regressions produces the core of the 'connectedness table.' The connectedness table makes clear how one can begin with the most disaggregated pair-wise directional connectedness measures and aggregate them in various ways to obtain total connectedness measures. The authors also show that variance decompositions define weighted, directed networks, so that these proposed connectedness measures are intimately related to key measures of connectedness used in the network literature. After describing their methods in the first part of the book, the authors proceed to characterize daily return and volatility connectedness across major asset (stock, bond, foreign exchange and commodity) markets as well as the financial institutions within the U.S. and across countries since late 1990s. These specific measures of volatility connectedness show that stock markets played a critical role in spreading the volatility shocks from the U.S. to other countries. Furthermore, while the return connectedness across stock markets increased gradually over time the volatility connectedness measures were subject to significant jumps during major crisis events. This book examines not only financial connectedness, but also real fundamental connectedness. In particular, the authors show that global business cycle connectedness is economically significant and time-varying, that the U.S. has disproportionately high connectedness to others, and that pairwise country connectedness is inversely related to bilateral trade surpluses.

International Financial Contagion

Author : Stijn Claessens
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 1475733143
Total Pages : 461 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (757 download)

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Book Synopsis International Financial Contagion by : Stijn Claessens

Download or read book International Financial Contagion written by Stijn Claessens and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-04-17 with total page 461 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: No sooner had the Asian crisis broken out in 1997 than the witch-hunt started. With great indignation every Asian economy pointed fingers. They were innocent bystanders. The fundamental reason for the crisis was this or that - most prominently contagion - but also the decline in exports of the new commodities (high-tech goods), the steep rise of the dollar, speculators, etc. The prominent question, of course, is whether contagion could really have been the key factor and, if so, what are the channels and mechanisms through which it operated in such a powerful manner. The question is obvious because until 1997, Asia's economies were generally believed to be immensely successful, stable and well managed. This question is of great importance not only in understanding just what happened, but also in shaping policies. In a world of pure contagion, i.e. when innocent bystanders are caught up and trampled by events not of their making and when consequences go far beyond ordinary international shocks, countries will need to look for better protective policies in the future. In such a world, the international financial system will need to change in order to offer better preventive and reactive policy measures to help avoid, or at least contain, financial crises.

Systemic Risk

Author : Prasanna Gai
Publisher : Oxford University Press
ISBN 13 : 0199544492
Total Pages : 147 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (995 download)

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Book Synopsis Systemic Risk by : Prasanna Gai

Download or read book Systemic Risk written by Prasanna Gai and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 2013-03-28 with total page 147 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book applies some of the lessons from network disciplines - such as ecology, epidemiology, and engineering - to study and measure how small probability events can lead to contagion and banking crises on a global scale.

Spillover: Animal Infections and the Next Human Pandemic

Author : David Quammen
Publisher : W. W. Norton & Company
ISBN 13 : 0393066800
Total Pages : 591 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (93 download)

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Book Synopsis Spillover: Animal Infections and the Next Human Pandemic by : David Quammen

Download or read book Spillover: Animal Infections and the Next Human Pandemic written by David Quammen and published by W. W. Norton & Company. This book was released on 2012-10 with total page 591 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A masterpiece of science reporting that tracks the animal origins of emerginghuman diseases.

Handbook Of Global Financial Markets: Transformations, Dependence, And Risk Spillovers

Author : Sabri Boubaker
Publisher : World Scientific
ISBN 13 : 9813236663
Total Pages : 828 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (132 download)

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Book Synopsis Handbook Of Global Financial Markets: Transformations, Dependence, And Risk Spillovers by : Sabri Boubaker

Download or read book Handbook Of Global Financial Markets: Transformations, Dependence, And Risk Spillovers written by Sabri Boubaker and published by World Scientific. This book was released on 2019-06-27 with total page 828 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The objective of this handbook is to provide the readers with insights about current dynamics and future potential transformations of global financial markets. We intend to focus on four main areas: Dynamics of Financial Markets; Financial Uncertainty and Volatility; Market Linkages and Spillover Effects; and Extreme Events and Financial Transformations and address the following critical issues, but not limited to: market integration and its implications; crisis risk assessment and contagion effects; financial uncertainty and volatility; role of emerging financial markets in the global economy; role of complex dynamics of economic and financial systems; market linkages, asset valuation and risk management; exchange rate volatility and firm-level exposure; financial effects of economic, political and social risks; link between financial development and economic growth; country risks; and sovereign debt markets.

CoMap: Mapping Contagion in the Euro Area Banking Sector

Author : Mehmet Ziya Gorpe
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1498312071
Total Pages : 63 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (983 download)

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Book Synopsis CoMap: Mapping Contagion in the Euro Area Banking Sector by : Mehmet Ziya Gorpe

Download or read book CoMap: Mapping Contagion in the Euro Area Banking Sector written by Mehmet Ziya Gorpe and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2019-05-10 with total page 63 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper presents a novel approach to investigate and model the network of euro area banks’ large exposures within the global banking system. Drawing on a unique dataset, the paper documents the degree of interconnectedness and systemic risk of the euro area banking system based on bilateral linkages. We develop a Contagion Mapping model fully calibrated with bank-level data to study the contagion potential of an exogenous shock via credit and funding risks. We find that tipping points shifting the euro area banking system from a less vulnerable state to a highly vulnerable state are a non-linear function of the combination of network structures and bank-specific characteristics.

Explanation in Causal Inference

Author : Tyler J. VanderWeele
Publisher : Oxford University Press, USA
ISBN 13 : 0199325871
Total Pages : 729 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (993 download)

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Book Synopsis Explanation in Causal Inference by : Tyler J. VanderWeele

Download or read book Explanation in Causal Inference written by Tyler J. VanderWeele and published by Oxford University Press, USA. This book was released on 2015 with total page 729 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A comprehensive examination of methods for mediation and interaction, VanderWeele's book is the first to approach this topic from the perspective of causal inference. Numerous software tools are provided, and the text is both accessible and easy to read, with examples drawn from diverse fields. The result is an essential reference for anyone conducting empirical research in the biomedical or social sciences.

Sovereign Spreads

Author : Miguel A. Segoviano Basurto
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1455200794
Total Pages : 31 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (552 download)

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Book Synopsis Sovereign Spreads by : Miguel A. Segoviano Basurto

Download or read book Sovereign Spreads written by Miguel A. Segoviano Basurto and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2010-05-01 with total page 31 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Over the past year, euro area sovereign spreads have exhibited an unprecedented degree of volatility. This paper explores how much of these large movements reflected shifts in (i) global risk aversion (ii) country-specific risks, directly from worsening fundamentals, or indirectly from spillovers originating in other sovereigns. The analysis shows that earlier in the crisis, the surge in global risk aversion was a significant factor influencing sovereign spreads, while recently country-specific factors have started playing a more important role. The perceived source of contagion itself has changed: previously, it could be found among those sovereigns hit hard by the financial crisis, such as Austria, the Netherlands, and Ireland, whereas lately the countries putting pressure on euro area government bonds have been primarily Greece, Portugal, and Spain, as the emphasis has shifted towards short-term refinancing risk and long-term fiscal sustainability. The paper concludes that debt sustainability and appropriate management of sovereign balance sheets are necessary conditions for preventing sovereign risk from feeding back into broader financial stability concerns.

Shadow Banking System

Author : Tobias Adrian
Publisher : DIANE Publishing
ISBN 13 : 1437925162
Total Pages : 16 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (379 download)

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Book Synopsis Shadow Banking System by : Tobias Adrian

Download or read book Shadow Banking System written by Tobias Adrian and published by DIANE Publishing. This book was released on 2010-10 with total page 16 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The current financial crisis has highlighted the growing importance of the ¿shadow banking system,¿ which grew out of the securitization of assets and the integration of banking with capital market developments. This trend has been most pronounced in the U.S., but it has had a profound influence on the global financial system. Securitization was intended as a way to transfer credit risk to those better able to absorb losses, but instead it increased the fragility of the entire financial system by allowing banks and other intermediaries to ¿leverage up¿by buying one another¿s securities. In the new, post-crisis financial system, the role of securitization will likely be held in check by more stringent financial regulation. Charts and tables.

Handbook Of Financial Econometrics, Mathematics, Statistics, And Machine Learning (In 4 Volumes)

Author : Cheng Few Lee
Publisher : World Scientific
ISBN 13 : 9811202400
Total Pages : 5053 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (112 download)

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Book Synopsis Handbook Of Financial Econometrics, Mathematics, Statistics, And Machine Learning (In 4 Volumes) by : Cheng Few Lee

Download or read book Handbook Of Financial Econometrics, Mathematics, Statistics, And Machine Learning (In 4 Volumes) written by Cheng Few Lee and published by World Scientific. This book was released on 2020-07-30 with total page 5053 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This four-volume handbook covers important concepts and tools used in the fields of financial econometrics, mathematics, statistics, and machine learning. Econometric methods have been applied in asset pricing, corporate finance, international finance, options and futures, risk management, and in stress testing for financial institutions. This handbook discusses a variety of econometric methods, including single equation multiple regression, simultaneous equation regression, and panel data analysis, among others. It also covers statistical distributions, such as the binomial and log normal distributions, in light of their applications to portfolio theory and asset management in addition to their use in research regarding options and futures contracts.In both theory and methodology, we need to rely upon mathematics, which includes linear algebra, geometry, differential equations, Stochastic differential equation (Ito calculus), optimization, constrained optimization, and others. These forms of mathematics have been used to derive capital market line, security market line (capital asset pricing model), option pricing model, portfolio analysis, and others.In recent times, an increased importance has been given to computer technology in financial research. Different computer languages and programming techniques are important tools for empirical research in finance. Hence, simulation, machine learning, big data, and financial payments are explored in this handbook.Led by Distinguished Professor Cheng Few Lee from Rutgers University, this multi-volume work integrates theoretical, methodological, and practical issues based on his years of academic and industry experience.

Risk Management and Financial Institutions

Author : John C. Hull
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 1119448115
Total Pages : 832 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (194 download)

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Book Synopsis Risk Management and Financial Institutions by : John C. Hull

Download or read book Risk Management and Financial Institutions written by John C. Hull and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2018-04-10 with total page 832 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The most complete, up-to-date guide to risk management in finance Risk Management and Financial Institutions, Fifth Edition explains all aspects of financial risk and financial institution regulation, helping you better understand the financial markets—and their potential dangers. Inside, you’ll learn the different types of risk, how and where they appear in different types of institutions, and how the regulatory structure of each institution affects risk management practices. Comprehensive ancillary materials include software, practice questions, and all necessary teaching supplements, facilitating more complete understanding and providing an ultimate learning resource. All financial professionals need to understand and quantify the risks associated with their decisions. This book provides a complete guide to risk management with the most up to date information. • Understand how risk affects different types of financial institutions • Learn the different types of risk and how they are managed • Study the most current regulatory issues that deal with risk • Get the help you need, whether you’re a student or a professional Risk management has become increasingly important in recent years and a deep understanding is essential for anyone working in the finance industry; today, risk management is part of everyone's job. For complete information and comprehensive coverage of the latest industry issues and practices, Risk Management and Financial Institutions, Fifth Edition is an informative, authoritative guide.

The Oxford Handbook of the Economics of Networks

Author : Yann Bramoullé
Publisher : Oxford University Press
ISBN 13 : 0190216832
Total Pages : 857 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (92 download)

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Book Synopsis The Oxford Handbook of the Economics of Networks by : Yann Bramoullé

Download or read book The Oxford Handbook of the Economics of Networks written by Yann Bramoullé and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 2016-03-01 with total page 857 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Oxford Handbook of the Economics of Networks represents the frontier of research into how and why networks they form, how they influence behavior, how they help govern outcomes in an interactive world, and how they shape collective decision making, opinion formation, and diffusion dynamics. From a methodological perspective, the contributors to this volume devote attention to theory, field experiments, laboratory experiments, and econometrics. Theoretical work in network formation, games played on networks, repeated games, and the interaction between linking and behavior is synthesized. A number of chapters are devoted to studying social process mediated by networks. Topics here include opinion formation, diffusion of information and disease, and learning. There are also chapters devoted to financial contagion and systemic risk, motivated in part by the recent financial crises. Another section discusses communities, with applications including social trust, favor exchange, and social collateral; the importance of communities for migration patterns; and the role that networks and communities play in the labor market. A prominent role of networks, from an economic perspective, is that they mediate trade. Several chapters cover bilateral trade in networks, strategic intermediation, and the role of networks in international trade. Contributions discuss as well the role of networks for organizations. On the one hand, one chapter discusses the role of networks for the performance of organizations, while two other chapters discuss managing networks of consumers and pricing in the presence of network-based spillovers. Finally, the authors discuss the internet as a network with attention to the issue of net neutrality.