Dynamic Connectedness Between Crude Oil Return And Uncertainty

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Dynamic Connectedness Between Crude Oil Return and Uncertainty

Author : Kais Tissaoui
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (139 download)

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Book Synopsis Dynamic Connectedness Between Crude Oil Return and Uncertainty by : Kais Tissaoui

Download or read book Dynamic Connectedness Between Crude Oil Return and Uncertainty written by Kais Tissaoui and published by . This book was released on 2023 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper examines the extent to which uncertainty in the energy market, the financial market, the commodity market, the economic policy, and the geopolitical events affect crude oil returns. We employ a two-instrument method in the time-frequency domain that uses the DCC-GARCH (1.1) model and the Granger causality test in the frequency domain to take into account the complicated characteristics of time series, such as nonlinearity, time variability, and unit roots. This allows us to estimate the dynamic transmission of uncertainty from various sources to oil market in the time and frequency domains. Significant dynamic conditional correlations over time are found between oil returns - commodity uncertainty, oil returns - equity market uncertainty, and oil returns - energy uncertainty. Furthermore, at each frequency, the empirical results demonstrate a significant spillover effect from the commodity, energy, and financial markets to the oil market. Additionally, we discover that sources with high persistence volatility (such as the commodities, energy, and financial markets) have more interactions with the oil market than sources with low persistence volatility (economic policy and geopolitical risk events). Our findings have significant ramifications for boosting investor trust in risky energy assets.

Global Investment Competitiveness Report 2019/2020

Author : World Bank Group
Publisher : World Bank Publications
ISBN 13 : 1464815437
Total Pages : 321 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (648 download)

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Book Synopsis Global Investment Competitiveness Report 2019/2020 by : World Bank Group

Download or read book Global Investment Competitiveness Report 2019/2020 written by World Bank Group and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 2020-07-06 with total page 321 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Global Investment Competitiveness Report 2019-2020 provides novel analytical insights, empirical evidence, and actionable recommendations for governments seeking to enhance investor confidence in times of uncertainty. The report's findings and policy recommendations are organized around "3 ICs" - they provide guidance to governments on how to increase investments' contributions to their country's development, enhance investor confidence, and foster their economies' investment competitiveness. The report presents results of a new survey of more than 2,400 business executives representing FDI in 10 large developing countries: Brazil, China, India, Indonesia, Malaysia, Mexico, Nigeria, Thailand, Turkey, and Vietnam. The results show that over half of surveyed foreign businesses have already been adversely affected by policy uncertainty, experiencing a decrease in employment, firm productivity, or investment. Foreign investors report that supporting political environments, stable macroeconomic conditions, and conducive regulatory regimes are their top three investment decision factors. Moreover, the report's new global database of regulatory risk shows that predictability and transparency increase investor confidence and FDI flows. The report also assesses the impact of FD! on poverty, inequality, employment, and firm performance using evidence from various countries. It shows that FDI in developing countries yields benefits to their firms and citizens-including more and better-paid jobs-but governments need to be vigilant about possible adverse consequences on income distribution. The report is organized in S chapters: Chapter 1 presents the results of the foreign investor survey. Chapter 2 explores the differential performance and development impact of greenfield FDI, local firms acquired by multinational corporations {i.e. brownfield FDI), and domestically-owned firms using evidence from six countries. Chapter 3 assesses the impact of FDI on poverty, inequality, employment and wages, using case study evidence from Ethiopia, Turkey and Vietnam. Chapter 4 presents a new framework to measure FDI regulatory risk that is linked to specific legal and regulatory measures. Chapter S focuses on factors for increasing the effectiveness of investment promotion agencies.

Financial and Macroeconomic Connectedness

Author : Francis X. Diebold
Publisher : Oxford University Press
ISBN 13 : 0199338310
Total Pages : 285 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (993 download)

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Book Synopsis Financial and Macroeconomic Connectedness by : Francis X. Diebold

Download or read book Financial and Macroeconomic Connectedness written by Francis X. Diebold and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 2015-02-03 with total page 285 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Connections among different assets, asset classes, portfolios, and the stocks of individual institutions are critical in examining financial markets. Interest in financial markets implies interest in underlying macroeconomic fundamentals. In Financial and Macroeconomic Connectedness, Frank Diebold and Kamil Yilmaz propose a simple framework for defining, measuring, and monitoring connectedness, which is central to finance and macroeconomics. These measures of connectedness are theoretically rigorous yet empirically relevant. The approach to connectedness proposed by the authors is intimately related to the familiar econometric notion of variance decomposition. The full set of variance decompositions from vector auto-regressions produces the core of the 'connectedness table.' The connectedness table makes clear how one can begin with the most disaggregated pair-wise directional connectedness measures and aggregate them in various ways to obtain total connectedness measures. The authors also show that variance decompositions define weighted, directed networks, so that these proposed connectedness measures are intimately related to key measures of connectedness used in the network literature. After describing their methods in the first part of the book, the authors proceed to characterize daily return and volatility connectedness across major asset (stock, bond, foreign exchange and commodity) markets as well as the financial institutions within the U.S. and across countries since late 1990s. These specific measures of volatility connectedness show that stock markets played a critical role in spreading the volatility shocks from the U.S. to other countries. Furthermore, while the return connectedness across stock markets increased gradually over time the volatility connectedness measures were subject to significant jumps during major crisis events. This book examines not only financial connectedness, but also real fundamental connectedness. In particular, the authors show that global business cycle connectedness is economically significant and time-varying, that the U.S. has disproportionately high connectedness to others, and that pairwise country connectedness is inversely related to bilateral trade surpluses.

Exploring the Dynamic Behaviour of Commodity Market Tail Risk Connectedness During the Negative Wti Pricing Event

Author : Chunlin Lang
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (137 download)

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Book Synopsis Exploring the Dynamic Behaviour of Commodity Market Tail Risk Connectedness During the Negative Wti Pricing Event by : Chunlin Lang

Download or read book Exploring the Dynamic Behaviour of Commodity Market Tail Risk Connectedness During the Negative Wti Pricing Event written by Chunlin Lang and published by . This book was released on 2023 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Using a TVP-VAR analytical framework, this study explores the change and persistence of the dynamic connectedness of international energy and carbon credit markets. The overall destabilisation effects that have been sourced within recent political and epidemiological events, and the subsequent consequences of shocks such as the negative WTI pricing event, have the potential to be quite disruptive to the continued growth and development of several regional oil markets. Results are presented via a comprehensive analysis of the dynamics of extreme risk spillovers for particular commodity pairs. In particular, WTI and Brent crude oil are found to have transmitted significant tail uncertainty shocks to other energy markets. However, Shanghai crude oil and carbon credit markets typically function as shock absorbers. The remaining energy-related commodities also primarily function as tail uncertainty receivers. Further incorporating EGARCH-based robustness testing procedures, testing for significant market connectedness shocks that manifest within international energy markets adds further validity to the results. Specifically, results relating to the substantial rebalancing of information to Shanghai crude oil futures and EUA carbon futures merit special consideration, as dynamic interactions strengthen evidence supporting their continued maturation into significant international markets. These findings are particularly interesting to policymakers and market participants who use such products to hedge against and diversify regional oil market fluctuations.

Uncertainty and Crude Oil Returns

Author : Riadh Aloui
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (931 download)

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Book Synopsis Uncertainty and Crude Oil Returns by : Riadh Aloui

Download or read book Uncertainty and Crude Oil Returns written by Riadh Aloui and published by . This book was released on 2015 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

The Role of Speculation in Oil Markets

Author : Bassam Fattouh
Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9781907555442
Total Pages : 25 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (554 download)

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Book Synopsis The Role of Speculation in Oil Markets by : Bassam Fattouh

Download or read book The Role of Speculation in Oil Markets written by Bassam Fattouh and published by . This book was released on 2012 with total page 25 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Oil Price Uncertainty

Author : John Elder
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 42 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (129 download)

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Book Synopsis Oil Price Uncertainty by : John Elder

Download or read book Oil Price Uncertainty written by John Elder and published by . This book was released on 2010 with total page 42 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The theories of investment under uncertainty and real options predict that uncertainty about, for example, oil prices will tend to depress current investment. We reinvestigate the relationship between the price of oil and investment, focusing on the role of uncertainty about oil prices. We find that volatility in oil prices has had a negative and statistically significant effect on several measures of investment, durables consumption and aggregate output. We also find that accounting for the effects of oil price volatility tends to exacerbate the negative dynamic response of economic activity to a negative oil price shock, while dampening the response to a positive oil price shock.

Dynamic Linkages and Volatility Spillover

Author : Bhaskar Bagchi
Publisher : Emerald Group Publishing Limited
ISBN 13 : 9781786355546
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (555 download)

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Book Synopsis Dynamic Linkages and Volatility Spillover by : Bhaskar Bagchi

Download or read book Dynamic Linkages and Volatility Spillover written by Bhaskar Bagchi and published by Emerald Group Publishing Limited. This book was released on 2016-11-01 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book examines the dynamic relationship and volatility spillovers between crude oil prices, exchange rates and stock markets of emerging economies. Unfortunately very little research has been conducted to analyze the volatility spillovers and dynamic relationship between crude oil prices, exchange rates and stock markets of India.

Monetary Policy and Crude Oil

Author : Basil Oberholzer
Publisher : Edward Elgar Publishing
ISBN 13 : 1786437899
Total Pages : 389 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (864 download)

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Book Synopsis Monetary Policy and Crude Oil by : Basil Oberholzer

Download or read book Monetary Policy and Crude Oil written by Basil Oberholzer and published by Edward Elgar Publishing. This book was released on 2017-07-28 with total page 389 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The global crude oil market is critically important in many respects. It is the fuel that drives the global economy and, as such, is the focus of climate policies. Moreover, crude oil is the basis of a tradable financial asset. It is therefore connected to several outstanding macroeconomic developments of recent years, including financial market fluctuations, the financial crisis and the exceptional conduct of monetary policy. This book investigates the impacts of monetary policy and the financial system on the global crude oil market. Furthermore, it outlines how monetary policy may also be used to guarantee stability and to contribute to ecological sustainability.

Oil Price Uncertainty

Author : Apostolos Serletis
Publisher : World Scientific Publishing Company Incorporated
ISBN 13 : 9789814390675
Total Pages : 142 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (96 download)

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Book Synopsis Oil Price Uncertainty by : Apostolos Serletis

Download or read book Oil Price Uncertainty written by Apostolos Serletis and published by World Scientific Publishing Company Incorporated. This book was released on 2012 with total page 142 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The relationship between the price of oil and the level of economic activity is a fundamental issue in macroeconomics. There is an ongoing debate in the literature about whether positive oil price shocks cause recessions in the United States (and other oil-importing countries), and although there exists a vast empirical literature that investigates the effects of oil price shocks, there are relatively few studies that investigate the direct effects of uncertainty about oil prices on the real economy. The book uses recent advances in macroeconomics and financial economics to investigate the effects of oil price shocks and uncertainty about the price of oil on the level of economic activity.

Policy Externalities And International Trade Agreements

Author : Nuno Limao
Publisher : World Scientific
ISBN 13 : 9813147997
Total Pages : 439 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (131 download)

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Book Synopsis Policy Externalities And International Trade Agreements by : Nuno Limao

Download or read book Policy Externalities And International Trade Agreements written by Nuno Limao and published by World Scientific. This book was released on 2018-09-19 with total page 439 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The book Policy Externalities and International Trade Agreements is a selection of published articles examining how policy externalities motivate and can be addressed by international trading institutions. The studies provide groundbreaking evidence of the role of international market power and policy uncertainty as motives for trade agreements and on the potential clash between preferential trade liberalization (e.g. European Union, NAFTA) and multilateral agreements (WTO). The studies presented in this book not only identify and estimate how different policies interact with each other and across agreements, but also examine how international trading institutions can be used to limit redistribution towards special interest groups and enforce better cooperation across issues, such as labor and the environment, and between developing and developed countries.

Handbook of Financial Time Series

Author : Torben Gustav Andersen
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 3540712976
Total Pages : 1045 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (47 download)

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Book Synopsis Handbook of Financial Time Series by : Torben Gustav Andersen

Download or read book Handbook of Financial Time Series written by Torben Gustav Andersen and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2009-04-21 with total page 1045 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Handbook of Financial Time Series gives an up-to-date overview of the field and covers all relevant topics both from a statistical and an econometrical point of view. There are many fine contributions, and a preamble by Nobel Prize winner Robert F. Engle.

ESG Investment in the Global Economy

Author : Tadahiro Nakajima
Publisher : Springer Nature
ISBN 13 : 9811629900
Total Pages : 107 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (116 download)

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Book Synopsis ESG Investment in the Global Economy by : Tadahiro Nakajima

Download or read book ESG Investment in the Global Economy written by Tadahiro Nakajima and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2021-07-28 with total page 107 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book introduces environmental, social and governance (ESG) investment and clarifies its characteristics as financial securities. It is forecasted that companies’ ESG information will be reflected in their corporate value as much as their financial information is in the future. The special feature of this book is to reveal the characteristics and impact of ESG investment using various quantitative analyses (e.g. EGARCH, asymmetric DCC, copula, VaR, connectedness, dynamic spillover). This book focuses on the relationship between some ESG indexes and the other economic variables, particularly in light of the recent economic environment (e.g. Global Financial Crisis, COIVID-19 pandemic, crude oil price crash). Readers can grasp a larger picture of ESG investment through a survey of its history and current status, predictions of its future, and interpretation of various empirical analysis results.

Sustainable Development Goals

Author : Pia Katila
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 1108486991
Total Pages : 653 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (84 download)

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Book Synopsis Sustainable Development Goals by : Pia Katila

Download or read book Sustainable Development Goals written by Pia Katila and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2019-12-12 with total page 653 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A global assessment of potential and anticipated impacts of efforts to achieve the SDGs on forests and related socio-economic systems. This title is available as Open Access via Cambridge Core.

Brittle Power

Author : Amory B. Lovins
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 520 pages
Book Rating : 4.F/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Brittle Power by : Amory B. Lovins

Download or read book Brittle Power written by Amory B. Lovins and published by . This book was released on 1982 with total page 520 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Volatility and Time Series Econometrics

Author : Mark Watson
Publisher : Oxford University Press
ISBN 13 : 0199549494
Total Pages : 432 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (995 download)

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Book Synopsis Volatility and Time Series Econometrics by : Mark Watson

Download or read book Volatility and Time Series Econometrics written by Mark Watson and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 2010-02-11 with total page 432 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A volume that celebrates and develops the work of Nobel Laureate Robert Engle, it includes original contributions from some of the world's leading econometricians that further Engle's work in time series economics

Energy Price Shocks and Macroeconomic Performance

Author : Douglas R. Bohi
Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 1317366433
Total Pages : 96 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (173 download)

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Book Synopsis Energy Price Shocks and Macroeconomic Performance by : Douglas R. Bohi

Download or read book Energy Price Shocks and Macroeconomic Performance written by Douglas R. Bohi and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2017-02-17 with total page 96 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The oil price shocks of the 1970’s led to severe recessions in the 1980’s in the United States. Originally published in 1989 in the aftermath, Bohi attempts to show both how energy prices can cause a decline in output and employment and to explore important other factors which led to the recessions using the US, United Kingdom, Japan and Germany as examples. The findings in Energy Price Shocks and Macroeconomic Performance have major implications for energy policy and questions government plans which focus solely on preventing another oil supply disruption. This title will be of interest to students of environmental studies and economics as well as professionals.