Does Emerging Market Exchange Risk Affect Global Equity Prices

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Does Emerging Market Exchange Risk Affect Global Equity Prices?

Author : Francesca Carrieri
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 45 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (129 download)

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Book Synopsis Does Emerging Market Exchange Risk Affect Global Equity Prices? by : Francesca Carrieri

Download or read book Does Emerging Market Exchange Risk Affect Global Equity Prices? written by Francesca Carrieri and published by . This book was released on 2004 with total page 45 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We provide new evidence on the pricing of exchange risk in the global stock markets. We conduct empirical tests in a conditional setting for ten developed markets and twelve emerging markets to determine whether emerging market currency risk affects emerging market equities and if it spills over into developed markets. In addition to using real exchange rates for the risk related to PPP deviations, our empirical model allows currency risk to compete with broader economic and political risks. Our main results support the hypothesis of significant exchange risk premia for both developed and emerging market assets. There is also evidence that emerging market currency risk is priced separately from other emerging market specific risks. Finally, we find that the spillover impact is heightened during crisis episodes and such information in particular affects world and major currency risks.

Portfolio Flows, Global Risk Aversion and Asset Prices in Emerging Markets

Author : Nasha Ananchotikul
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1498340229
Total Pages : 33 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (983 download)

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Book Synopsis Portfolio Flows, Global Risk Aversion and Asset Prices in Emerging Markets by : Nasha Ananchotikul

Download or read book Portfolio Flows, Global Risk Aversion and Asset Prices in Emerging Markets written by Nasha Ananchotikul and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2014-08-19 with total page 33 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In recent years, portfolio flows to emerging markets have become increasingly large and volatile. Using weekly portfolio fund flows data, the paper finds that their short-run dynamics are driven mostly by global “push” factors. To what extent do these cross-border flows and global risk aversion drive asset volatility in emerging markets? We use a Dynamic Conditional Correlation (DCC) Multivariate GARCH framework to estimate the impact of portfolio flows and the VIX index on three asset prices, namely equity returns, bond yields and exchange rates, in 17 emerging economies. The analysis shows that global risk aversion has a significant impact on the volatility of asset prices, while the magnitude of that impact correlates with country characteristics, including financial openness, the exchange rate regime, as well as macroeconomic fundamentals such as inflation and the current account balance. In line with earlier literature, portfolio flows to emerging markets are also found to affect the level of asset prices, as was the case in particular during the global financial crisis.

Emerging Markets and the Global Economy

Author : Mohammed El Hedi Arouri
Publisher : Academic Press
ISBN 13 : 0124115632
Total Pages : 927 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (241 download)

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Book Synopsis Emerging Markets and the Global Economy by : Mohammed El Hedi Arouri

Download or read book Emerging Markets and the Global Economy written by Mohammed El Hedi Arouri and published by Academic Press. This book was released on 2013-12-26 with total page 927 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Emerging Markets and the Global Economy investigates analytical techniques suited to emerging market economies, which are typically prone to policy shocks. Despite the large body of emerging market finance literature, their underlying dynamics and interactions with other economies remain challenging and mysterious because standard financial models measure them imprecisely. Describing the linkages between emerging and developed markets, this collection systematically explores several crucial issues in asset valuation and risk management. Contributors present new theoretical constructions and empirical methods for handling cross-country volatility and sudden regime shifts. Usually attractive for investors because of the superior growth they can deliver, emerging markets can have a low correlation with developed markets. This collection advances your knowledge about their inherent characteristics. Foreword by Ali M. Kutan Concentrates on post-crisis roles of emerging markets in the global economy Reports on key theoretical and technical developments in emerging financial markets Forecasts future developments in linkages among developed and emerging economies

Asset Purchase Programs in European Emerging Markets

Author : Mr. Marco Arena
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1513593757
Total Pages : 81 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (135 download)

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Book Synopsis Asset Purchase Programs in European Emerging Markets by : Mr. Marco Arena

Download or read book Asset Purchase Programs in European Emerging Markets written by Mr. Marco Arena and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2021-09-24 with total page 81 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Several emerging market central banks in Europe deployed asset purchase programs (APPs) amid the 2020 pandemic. The common main goals were to address market dysfunction and impaired monetary transmission, distinct from the quantitative easing conducted by major advanced economy central banks. Likely reflecting the global nature of the crisis, these APPs defied the traditional emerging market concern of destabilizing the exchange rate or inflation expectations and instead alleviated markets successfully. We uncover some evidence that APPs in European emerging markets stabilized government bond markets and boosted equity prices, with no indication of exchange rate pressure. Examining global and domestic factors that could limit the usability of APPs, in the event of renewed market dysfunction we see a potential scope for scaling up APPs in most European emerging markets that used APPs during the pandemic, provided that they remain consistent with the primary objective of monetary policy and keep a safe distance from the risk of fiscal dominance. As central banks in the region move towards monetary policy tightening, the tapering, ending, and unwinding of APPs must also be carefully considered. Clear and transparent communication is critical at each step of the process, from the inception to the closure of APPs, particularly when a large shock hits and triggers a major policy shift.

Economics of Emerging Markets

Author : Lado Beridze
Publisher : Nova Publishers
ISBN 13 : 9781600218507
Total Pages : 378 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (185 download)

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Book Synopsis Economics of Emerging Markets by : Lado Beridze

Download or read book Economics of Emerging Markets written by Lado Beridze and published by Nova Publishers. This book was released on 2008 with total page 378 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book presents recent significant research dealing the economics of emerging markets. The term emerging markets is commonly used to describe business and market activity in industrialising or emerging regions of the world. The term is sometimes loosely used as a replacement for emerging economies, but really signifies a business phenomenon that is not fully described by or constrained to geography or economic strength; such countries are considered to be in a transitional phase between developing and developed status. Examples of emerging markets include China, India, Mexico, Brazil, much of Southeast Asia, countries in Eastern Europe, parts of Africa and Latin America. An emerging market is sometimes defined as "a country where politics matters at least as much as economics to the markets."

Internationalization of Emerging Market Currencies

Author : Mr.Faisal Ahmed
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1463926529
Total Pages : 26 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (639 download)

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Book Synopsis Internationalization of Emerging Market Currencies by : Mr.Faisal Ahmed

Download or read book Internationalization of Emerging Market Currencies written by Mr.Faisal Ahmed and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2011-10-19 with total page 26 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Staff Discussion Notes showcase the latest policy-related analysis and research being developed by individual IMF staff and are published to elicit comment and to further debate. These papers are generally brief and written in nontechnical language, and so are aimed at a broad audience interested in economic policy issues. This Web-only series replaced Staff Position Notes in January 2011.

International Capital Flows

Author : Martin Feldstein
Publisher : University of Chicago Press
ISBN 13 : 0226241807
Total Pages : 500 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (262 download)

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Book Synopsis International Capital Flows by : Martin Feldstein

Download or read book International Capital Flows written by Martin Feldstein and published by University of Chicago Press. This book was released on 2007-12-01 with total page 500 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Recent changes in technology, along with the opening up of many regions previously closed to investment, have led to explosive growth in the international movement of capital. Flows from foreign direct investment and debt and equity financing can bring countries substantial gains by augmenting local savings and by improving technology and incentives. Investing companies acquire market access, lower cost inputs, and opportunities for profitable introductions of production methods in the countries where they invest. But, as was underscored recently by the economic and financial crises in several Asian countries, capital flows can also bring risks. Although there is no simple explanation of the currency crisis in Asia, it is clear that fixed exchange rates and chronic deficits increased the likelihood of a breakdown. Similarly, during the 1970s, the United States and other industrial countries loaned OPEC surpluses to borrowers in Latin America. But when the U.S. Federal Reserve raised interest rates to control soaring inflation, the result was a widespread debt moratorium in Latin America as many countries throughout the region struggled to pay the high interest on their foreign loans. International Capital Flows contains recent work by eminent scholars and practitioners on the experience of capital flows to Latin America, Asia, and eastern Europe. These papers discuss the role of banks, equity markets, and foreign direct investment in international capital flows, and the risks that investors and others face with these transactions. By focusing on capital flows' productivity and determinants, and the policy issues they raise, this collection is a valuable resource for economists, policymakers, and financial market participants.

Market Volatility and Foreign Exchange Intervention in EMEs

Author : Banco de Pagos Internacionales (Basilea, Suiza). Departamento Monetario y Económico
Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9789291319626
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (196 download)

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Book Synopsis Market Volatility and Foreign Exchange Intervention in EMEs by : Banco de Pagos Internacionales (Basilea, Suiza). Departamento Monetario y Económico

Download or read book Market Volatility and Foreign Exchange Intervention in EMEs written by Banco de Pagos Internacionales (Basilea, Suiza). Departamento Monetario y Económico and published by . This book was released on 2013 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Dominant Currency Paradigm: A New Model for Small Open Economies

Author : Camila Casas
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1484330609
Total Pages : 62 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (843 download)

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Book Synopsis Dominant Currency Paradigm: A New Model for Small Open Economies by : Camila Casas

Download or read book Dominant Currency Paradigm: A New Model for Small Open Economies written by Camila Casas and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2017-11-22 with total page 62 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Most trade is invoiced in very few currencies. Despite this, the Mundell-Fleming benchmark and its variants focus on pricing in the producer’s currency or in local currency. We model instead a ‘dominant currency paradigm’ for small open economies characterized by three features: pricing in a dominant currency; pricing complementarities, and imported input use in production. Under this paradigm: (a) the terms-of-trade is stable; (b) dominant currency exchange rate pass-through into export and import prices is high regardless of destination or origin of goods; (c) exchange rate pass-through of non-dominant currencies is small; (d) expenditure switching occurs mostly via imports, driven by the dollar exchange rate while exports respond weakly, if at all; (e) strengthening of the dominant currency relative to non-dominant ones can negatively impact global trade; (f) optimal monetary policy targets deviations from the law of one price arising from dominant currency fluctuations, in addition to the inflation and output gap. Using data from Colombia we document strong support for the dominant currency paradigm.

International Financial Markets

Author : J. Orlin Grabbe
Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9780135006122
Total Pages : 440 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (61 download)

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Book Synopsis International Financial Markets by : J. Orlin Grabbe

Download or read book International Financial Markets written by J. Orlin Grabbe and published by . This book was released on 1991 with total page 440 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Designed to provide readers with a solid framework for exploring financial markets as markets, this best-selling book dellineates the basic rules of the game in each of the three major international financial markets: foreign exchange, eurocurrencies, and international bonds, and conveys an intuitive feel for market dynamics. KEY TOPICS: Blends theory and institutional accounts. Considers the interbank market in foreign exchange. Explains how to hedge with FX forwards, futures, and options. A new chapter explores aspects of the European Monetary System in two separate discussions: historical background and general features; and the technical details of the Exchange Rate Mechanism. For readers interested in International Financial Markets. The previous edition ISBN is 0-13-500612-0.

Emerging Market Volatility

Author : Ms.Ratna Sahay
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1484356004
Total Pages : 61 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (843 download)

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Book Synopsis Emerging Market Volatility by : Ms.Ratna Sahay

Download or read book Emerging Market Volatility written by Ms.Ratna Sahay and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2014-10-02 with total page 61 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Accommodative monetary policies in advanced economies have spurred increased capital inflows into emerging markets since the global financial crisis. Starting in May 2013, when the Federal Reserve publicly discussed its plans for tapering unconventional monetary policies, these emerging markets have experienced financial turbulence at the same that their domestic economic activity has slowed. This paper examines their experiences and policy responses and draws broad policy lessons. For emerging markets, good macroeconomic fundamentals matter, and early and decisive measures to strengthen macroeconomic policies and reduce vulnerabilities help dampen market reactions to external shocks. For advanced economies, clear and effective communication about the exit from unconventional monetary policy can and did help later to reduce the risk of excessive market volatility. And for the global community, enhanced global cooperation, including a strong global financial safety net, offers emerging markets effective protection against excessive volatility.

Monetary Policy Credibility and Exchange Rate Pass-Through

Author : Mr.Yan Carriere-Swallow
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1475560311
Total Pages : 33 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (755 download)

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Book Synopsis Monetary Policy Credibility and Exchange Rate Pass-Through by : Mr.Yan Carriere-Swallow

Download or read book Monetary Policy Credibility and Exchange Rate Pass-Through written by Mr.Yan Carriere-Swallow and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2016-12-13 with total page 33 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A long-standing conjecture in macroeconomics is that recent declines in exchange rate pass-through are in part due to improved monetary policy performance. In a large sample of emerging and advanced economies, we find evidence of a strong link between exchange rate pass-through to consumer prices and the monetary policy regime’s performance in delivering price stability. Using input-output tables, we decompose exchange rate pass-through to consumer prices into a component that reflects the adjustment of imported goods at the border, and another that captures the response of all other prices. We find that price stability and central bank credibility have reduced the second component.

Preventing Currency Crises in Emerging Markets

Author : Sebastian Edwards
Publisher : University of Chicago Press
ISBN 13 : 9780226184944
Total Pages : 782 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (849 download)

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Book Synopsis Preventing Currency Crises in Emerging Markets by : Sebastian Edwards

Download or read book Preventing Currency Crises in Emerging Markets written by Sebastian Edwards and published by University of Chicago Press. This book was released on 2002-11-15 with total page 782 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Economists and policymakers are still trying to understand the lessons recent financial crises in Asia and other emerging market countries hold for the future of the global financial system. In this timely and important volume, distinguished academics, officials in multilateral organizations, and public and private sector economists explore the causes of and effective policy responses to international currency crises. Topics covered include exchange rate regimes, contagion (transmission of currency crises across countries), the current account of the balance of payments, the role of private sector investors and of speculators, the reaction of the official sector (including the multilaterals), capital controls, bank supervision and weaknesses, and the roles of cronyism, corruption, and large players (including hedge funds). Ably balancing detailed case studies, cross-country comparisons, and theoretical concerns, this book will make a major contribution to ongoing efforts to understand and prevent international currency crises.

Geopolitical Risk on Stock Returns: Evidence from Inter-Korea Geopolitics

Author : Seungho Jung
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1557759677
Total Pages : 36 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (577 download)

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Book Synopsis Geopolitical Risk on Stock Returns: Evidence from Inter-Korea Geopolitics by : Seungho Jung

Download or read book Geopolitical Risk on Stock Returns: Evidence from Inter-Korea Geopolitics written by Seungho Jung and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2021-10-22 with total page 36 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We investigate how corporate stock returns respond to geopolitical risk in the case of South Korea, which has experienced large and unpredictable geopolitical swings that originate from North Korea. To do so, a monthly index of geopolitical risk from North Korea (the GPRNK index) is constructed using automated keyword searches in South Korean media. The GPRNK index, designed to capture both upside and downside risk, corroborates that geopolitical risk sharply increases with the occurrence of nuclear tests, missile launches, or military confrontations, and decreases significantly around the times of summit meetings or multilateral talks. Using firm-level data, we find that heightened geopolitical risk reduces stock returns, and that the reductions in stock returns are greater especially for large firms, firms with a higher share of domestic investors, and for firms with a higher ratio of fixed assets to total assets. These results suggest that international portfolio diversification and investment irreversibility are important channels through which geopolitical risk affects stock returns.

Emerging Capital Markets and Globalization

Author : Augusto de la Torre
Publisher : World Bank Publications
ISBN 13 : 0821365444
Total Pages : 232 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (213 download)

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Book Synopsis Emerging Capital Markets and Globalization by : Augusto de la Torre

Download or read book Emerging Capital Markets and Globalization written by Augusto de la Torre and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 2006-10-20 with total page 232 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Back in the early 1990s, economists and policy makers had high expectations about the prospects for domestic capital market development in emerging economies, particularly in Latin America. Unfortunately, they are now faced with disheartening results. Stock and bond markets remain illiquid and segmented. Debt is concentrated at the short end of the maturity spectrum and denominated in foreign currency, exposing countries to maturity and currency risk. Capital markets in Latin America look particularly underdeveloped when considering the many efforts undertaken to improve the macroeconomic environment and to reform the institutions believed to foster capital market development. The disappointing performance has made conventional policy recommendations questionable, at best. 'Emerging Capital Markets and Globalization' analyzes where we stand and where we are heading on capital market development. First, it takes stock of the state and evolution of Latin American capital markets and related reforms over time and relative to other countries. Second, it analyzes the factors related to the development of capital markets, with particular interest on measuring the impact of reforms. And third, in light of this analysis, it discusses the prospects for capital market development in Latin America and emerging economies and the implications for the reform agenda.

Economic and Financial Crises in Emerging Market Economies

Author : Martin Feldstein
Publisher : University of Chicago Press
ISBN 13 : 0226241106
Total Pages : 541 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (262 download)

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Book Synopsis Economic and Financial Crises in Emerging Market Economies by : Martin Feldstein

Download or read book Economic and Financial Crises in Emerging Market Economies written by Martin Feldstein and published by University of Chicago Press. This book was released on 2007-11-01 with total page 541 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In the late 1990s, economic and financial crises raged through East Asia, devastating economies that had previously been considered among the strongest in the developing world. The crises eventually spread to Russia, Turkey, and Latin America, and impacted the economies of many industrialized nations as well. In today's increasingly interdependent world, finding ways to reduce the risk of future crises—and to improve the management of crises when they occur—has become an international policy challenge of paramount importance. This book rises to that challenge, presenting accessible papers and commentaries on the topic not only from leading academic economists, but also from high-ranking government officials (in both industrial and developing nations), senior policymakers at international institutions, and major financial investors. Six non-technical papers, each written by a specialist in the topic, provide essential economic background, introducing sections on exchange rate regimes, financial policies, industrial country policies, IMF stabilization policies, IMF structural programs, and creditor relations. Next, personal statements from the major players give firsthand accounts of what really went on behind the scenes during the crises, giving us a rare glimpse into how international economic policy decisions are actually made. Finally, wide-ranging discussions and debates sparked by these papers and statements are summarized at the end of each section. The result is an indispensable overview of the key issues at work in these crises, written by the people who move markets and reshape economies, and accessible to not just economists and policymakers, but also to educated general readers. Contributors: Montek S. Ahluwalia, Domingo F. Cavallo, William R. Cline, Andrew Crockett, Michael P. Dooley, Sebastian Edwards, Stanley Fischer, Arminio Fraga, Jeffrey Frankel, Jacob Frenkel, Timothy F. Geithner, Morris Goldstein, Paul Keating, Mervyn King, Anne O. Krueger, Roberto Mendoza, Frederic S. Mishkin, Guillermo Ortiz, Yung Chul Park, Nouriel Roubini, Robert Rubin, Jeffrey Sachs, Ammar Siamwalla, George Soros

Financial Market Regulation and Reforms in Emerging Markets

Author : Masahiro Kawai
Publisher : Brookings Institution Press
ISBN 13 : 0815704895
Total Pages : 441 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (157 download)

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Book Synopsis Financial Market Regulation and Reforms in Emerging Markets by : Masahiro Kawai

Download or read book Financial Market Regulation and Reforms in Emerging Markets written by Masahiro Kawai and published by Brookings Institution Press. This book was released on 2011 with total page 441 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "In the wake of the global financial crisis that began in 2008, offers a systematic overview of recent developments in regulatory frameworks in advanced and emerging-market countries, outlining challenges to improving regulation, markets, and access in developing economies"--Provided by publisher.