Modeling of Transport Demand

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Author :
Publisher : Elsevier
ISBN 13 : 0128115149
Total Pages : 500 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (281 download)

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Book Synopsis Modeling of Transport Demand by : V.A Profillidis

Download or read book Modeling of Transport Demand written by V.A Profillidis and published by Elsevier. This book was released on 2018-10-23 with total page 500 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Modeling of Transport Demand explains the mechanisms of transport demand, from analysis to calculation and forecasting. Packed with strategies for forecasting future demand for all transport modes, the book helps readers assess the validity and accuracy of demand forecasts. Forecasting and evaluating transport demand is an essential task of transport professionals and researchers that affects the design, extension, operation, and maintenance of all transport infrastructures. Accurate demand forecasts are necessary for companies and government entities when planning future fleet size, human resource needs, revenues, expenses, and budgets. The operational and planning skills provided in Modeling of Transport Demand help readers solve the problems they face on a daily basis. Modeling of Transport Demand is written for researchers, professionals, undergraduate and graduate students at every stage in their careers, from novice to expert. The book assists those tasked with constructing qualitative models (based on executive judgment, Delphi, scenario writing, survey methods) or quantitative ones (based on statistical, time series, econometric, gravity, artificial neural network, and fuzzy methods) in choosing the most suitable solution for all types of transport applications. Presents the most recent and relevant findings and research - both at theoretical and practical levels - of transport demand Provides a theoretical analysis and formulations that are clearly presented for ease of understanding Covers analysis for all modes of transportation Includes case studies that present the most appropriate formulas and methods for finding solutions and evaluating results

Stochastic Water Demand Modelling

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Publisher : IWA Publishing
ISBN 13 : 1780400284
Total Pages : 181 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (84 download)

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Book Synopsis Stochastic Water Demand Modelling by : Mirjam Blokker

Download or read book Stochastic Water Demand Modelling written by Mirjam Blokker and published by IWA Publishing. This book was released on 2011-09-19 with total page 181 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Water quality processes in the drinking water distribution network are strongly influenced by the flow velocity and residence time of the water in the network. In order to understand how the water quality changes in the drinking water distribution network, a good understanding of hydraulics is required. Specifically in the periphery of the network, where customers are connected, the hydraulics can change rapidly. During the night time the water is almost stagnant and the residence time increases. In the morning, when everybody gets up and flushes the toilet and takes a shower, high flow velocities can occur. During the remainder of the day flow velocities are low. The stochastic endues model SIMDEUM was developed to simulate water use on a small time scale (1 s) and small spatial scale (per fixture). SIMDEUM enables a good model of flow velocities, residence times and the connected water quality processes in the water distribution network. Stochastic Water Demand Modelling: Hydraulics in Water Distribution Networks describes the requirements of hydraulics in water quality modelling and provides insight into the development of detailed residential and non-residential water demand models. The book illustrates the use of detailed demand models in water quality models with respect to the variation in residence times and the relation with particle accumulation and resuspension. The models are compared to measurements in several real drinking water distribution networks.

Urban Travel Demand Modeling

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Author :
Publisher : Wiley-Interscience
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 512 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (555 download)

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Book Synopsis Urban Travel Demand Modeling by : Norbert Oppenheim

Download or read book Urban Travel Demand Modeling written by Norbert Oppenheim and published by Wiley-Interscience. This book was released on 1995-02-06 with total page 512 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In addition, models for optimal transportation supply decisions are integrated with the demand models. Transit travel and goods movements are specifically addressed.

Tourism Demand Modelling and Forecasting

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Author :
Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 1136353550
Total Pages : 183 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (363 download)

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Book Synopsis Tourism Demand Modelling and Forecasting by : Haiyan Song

Download or read book Tourism Demand Modelling and Forecasting written by Haiyan Song and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2012-08-21 with total page 183 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The phenomenal growth of both the world-wide tourism industry and academic interest in tourism over the last thirty years has generated great interest in tourism demand modelling and forecasting from both sectors. However, the tendency for researchers and practitioners engaged in quantitative causal tourism modelling and forecasting to run many regression equations and try to choose the 'best' model based on various parametric and non-parametric criteria has been widely criticised as failing to provide credible results. The aim of this book is to present the recent advances in econometric modelling methodology within the context of tourism demand analysis at a level that is accessible to non-specialists, and to illustrate these new developments with actual tourism applications. The book begins with an introduction to the fundamentals of tourism demand analysis, before addressing the problems of traditional tourism demand modelling and forecasting, i.e. data mining and spurious regression due to common trends in the time series. Three chapters explore the general-to-specific approach to tourism demand modelling and forecasting, including the use of autoregressive distributed lag processes, cointegration analysis and error correction models. The time varying parameter model together with the use of the Kalman filter as an estimation method is a useful tool for examining the effects of regime shifts on tourism demand elasticities: this is explored next. The panel data approach is introduced as a way of overcoming the problem of estimation and forecasting biases caused by insufficient time series data. The book concludes by evaluating the empirical forecasting performance of the various models and putting forward some general conclusions.

Travel Demand Forecasting: Parameters and Techniques

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Author :
Publisher : Transportation Research Board
ISBN 13 : 0309214009
Total Pages : 170 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (92 download)

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Book Synopsis Travel Demand Forecasting: Parameters and Techniques by :

Download or read book Travel Demand Forecasting: Parameters and Techniques written by and published by Transportation Research Board. This book was released on 2012 with total page 170 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: TRB’s National Cooperative Highway Research Program (NCHRP) Report 716: Travel Demand Forecasting: Parameters and Techniques provides guidelines on travel demand forecasting procedures and their application for helping to solve common transportation problems.

Tourism Demand Modelling and Forecasting

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Author :
Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 0080436730
Total Pages : 183 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (84 download)

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Book Synopsis Tourism Demand Modelling and Forecasting by : Haiyan Song

Download or read book Tourism Demand Modelling and Forecasting written by Haiyan Song and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2000 with total page 183 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A textbook for a graduate or final-year undergraduate course in tourism studies that might also find interest among researchers and practitioners who want to apply recent developments in econometric modeling and forecasting to tourism demand analysis. Song and Witt (both management in the service sector, U. of Surrey, Britain) begin with the fundamentals of tourism demand analysis, and the problems of traditional modeling and forecasting. Then they explore the general- to-specific approach, the time-varying parameter model, and the panel- data approach. Annotation copyrighted by Book News, Inc., Portland, OR

ECMT Round Tables Review of Demand Models Forecast-Recorded Traffic Comparisons for Urban and Intercity Transport: Report of the Fifty-Eighth Round Table on Transport Economics Held in Paris on 25-26 June 1981

Download ECMT Round Tables Review of Demand Models Forecast-Recorded Traffic Comparisons for Urban and Intercity Transport: Report of the Fifty-Eighth Round Table on Transport Economics Held in Paris on 25-26 June 1981 PDF Online Free

Author :
Publisher : OECD Publishing
ISBN 13 : 9282105199
Total Pages : 172 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (821 download)

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Book Synopsis ECMT Round Tables Review of Demand Models Forecast-Recorded Traffic Comparisons for Urban and Intercity Transport: Report of the Fifty-Eighth Round Table on Transport Economics Held in Paris on 25-26 June 1981 by : European Conference of Ministers of Transport

Download or read book ECMT Round Tables Review of Demand Models Forecast-Recorded Traffic Comparisons for Urban and Intercity Transport: Report of the Fifty-Eighth Round Table on Transport Economics Held in Paris on 25-26 June 1981 written by European Conference of Ministers of Transport and published by OECD Publishing. This book was released on 1982-01-01 with total page 172 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This Round Table is an assessment of the attempts made since the early sixties to model passenger and freight transport demand.

Activity-based Travel Demand Models

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Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9780309273992
Total Pages : 159 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (739 download)

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Book Synopsis Activity-based Travel Demand Models by : Joe Castiglione (Writer on transportation)

Download or read book Activity-based Travel Demand Models written by Joe Castiglione (Writer on transportation) and published by . This book was released on 2015 with total page 159 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: TRB's second Strategic Highway Research Program (SHRP 2) Report S2-C46-RR-1: Activity-Based Travel Demand Models: A Primer explores ways to inform policymakers' decisions about developing and using activity-based travel demand models to better understand how people plan and schedule their daily travel. The document is composed of two parts. The first part provides an overview of activity-based model development and application. The second part discusses issues in linking activity-based models to dynamic network assignment models.

Discrete Choice Modelling and Air Travel Demand

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Author :
Publisher : Ashgate Publishing, Ltd.
ISBN 13 : 1409486338
Total Pages : 327 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (94 download)

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Book Synopsis Discrete Choice Modelling and Air Travel Demand by : Professor Laurie A Garrow

Download or read book Discrete Choice Modelling and Air Travel Demand written by Professor Laurie A Garrow and published by Ashgate Publishing, Ltd.. This book was released on 2012-10-01 with total page 327 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In recent years, airline practitioners and academics have started to explore new ways to model airline passenger demand using discrete choice methods. This book provides an introduction to discrete choice models and uses extensive examples to illustrate how these models have been used in the airline industry. These examples span network planning, revenue management, and pricing applications. Numerous examples of fundamental logit modeling concepts are covered in the text, including probability calculations, value of time calculations, elasticity calculations, nested and non-nested likelihood ratio tests, etc. The core chapters of the book are written at a level appropriate for airline practitioners and graduate students with operations research or travel demand modeling backgrounds. Given the majority of discrete choice modeling advancements in transportation evolved from urban travel demand studies, the introduction first orients readers from different backgrounds by highlighting major distinctions between aviation and urban travel demand studies. This is followed by an in-depth treatment of two of the most common discrete choice models, namely the multinomial and nested logit models. More advanced discrete choice models are covered, including mixed logit models and generalized extreme value models that belong to the generalized nested logit class and/or the network generalized extreme value class. An emphasis is placed on highlighting open research questions associated with these models that will be of particular interest to operations research students. Practical modeling issues related to data and estimation software are also addressed, and an extensive modeling exercise focused on the interpretation and application of statistical tests used to guide the selection of a preferred model specification is included; the modeling exercise uses itinerary choice data from a major airline. The text concludes with a discussion of on-going customer modeling research in aviation. Discrete Choice Modelling and Air Travel Demand is enriched by a comprehensive set of technical appendices that will be of particular interest to advanced students of discrete choice modeling theory. The appendices also include detailed proofs of the multinomial and nested logit models and derivations of measures used to represent competition among alternatives, namely correlation, direct-elasticities, and cross-elasticities.

Selection of Travel Demand Models for the TAPCUT Project

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Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 42 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (555 download)

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Book Synopsis Selection of Travel Demand Models for the TAPCUT Project by : Marc P. Kaplan

Download or read book Selection of Travel Demand Models for the TAPCUT Project written by Marc P. Kaplan and published by . This book was released on 1982 with total page 42 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Equilibrium and Advanced Transportation Modelling

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Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 1461557577
Total Pages : 333 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (615 download)

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Book Synopsis Equilibrium and Advanced Transportation Modelling by : P. Marcotte

Download or read book Equilibrium and Advanced Transportation Modelling written by P. Marcotte and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-06-29 with total page 333 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Each chapter in Equilibrium and Advanced Transportation Modelling develops a topic from basic concepts to the state-of-the-art, and beyond. All chapters relate to aspects of network equilibrium. Chapter One advocates the use of simulation models for the representation of traffic flow movements at the microscopic level. Chapter Two presents travel demand systems for generating trip matrices from activity-based models, taking into account the entire daily schedule of network users. Chapter Three examines equilibrium strategic choices adopted by the passengers of a congested transit system, carefully addressing line selection at boarding and transfer nodes. Chapter Four provides a critical appraisal of the traditional process that consists in sequentially performing the tasks of trip generation, trip distribution, mode split and assignment, and its impact on the practice of transportation planning. Chapter Five gives an insightful overview of stochastic assignment models, both in the static and dynamic cases. Chapters Six and Seven investigate the setting of tolls to improve traffic flow conditions in a congested transportation network. Chapter Eight provides a unifying framework for the analysis of multicriteria assignment models. In this chapter, available algorithms are summarized and an econometric perspective on the estimation of heterogeneous preferences is given. Chapter Nine surveys the use of hyperpaths in operations research and proposes a new paradigm of equilibrium in a capacitated network, with an application to transit assignment. Chapter Ten analyzes the transient states of a system moving towards equilibrium, using the mathematical framework of projected dynamical systems. Chapter Eleven discusses an in-depth survey of algorithms for solving shortest path problems, which are pervasive to any equilibrium algorithm. The chapter devotes special attention to the computation of dynamic shortest paths and to shortest hyperpaths. The final chapter considers operations research tools for reducing traffic congestion, in particular introducing an algorithm for solving a signal-setting problem formulated as a bilevel program.

Markovian Demand Inventory Models

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Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 0387716041
Total Pages : 260 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (877 download)

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Book Synopsis Markovian Demand Inventory Models by : Dirk Beyer

Download or read book Markovian Demand Inventory Models written by Dirk Beyer and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2009-10-03 with total page 260 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This text provides a superbly researched insight into Markovian demand inventory models. The result of ten years of research, this work covers all aspects of demand inventory where they are modeled by Markov processes. Inventory management is concerned with matching supply with demand and is a central problem in Operations Management. The central problem is to find the amount to be produced or purchased in order to maximize the total expected profit, or minimize the total expected cost.

Modeling and Forecasting Electricity Demand

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Publisher : Springer Spektrum
ISBN 13 : 9783658086688
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (866 download)

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Book Synopsis Modeling and Forecasting Electricity Demand by : Kevin Berk

Download or read book Modeling and Forecasting Electricity Demand written by Kevin Berk and published by Springer Spektrum. This book was released on 2015-01-30 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The master thesis of Kevin Berk develops a stochastic model for the electricity demand of small and medium-sized companies that is flexible enough so that it can be used for various business sectors. The model incorporates the grid load as an exogenous factor and seasonalities on a daily, weekly and yearly basis. It is demonstrated how the model can be used e.g. for estimating the risk of retail contracts. The uncertainty of electricity demand is an important risk factor for customers as well as for utilities and retailers. As a consequence, forecasting electricity load and its risk is now an integral component of the risk management for all market participants.

On the Formation of Travel Demand Models and Economic Evaluation Measures of User Benefit

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 140 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (555 download)

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Book Synopsis On the Formation of Travel Demand Models and Economic Evaluation Measures of User Benefit by : H. C. W. L. Williams

Download or read book On the Formation of Travel Demand Models and Economic Evaluation Measures of User Benefit written by H. C. W. L. Williams and published by . This book was released on 1976 with total page 140 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Consumer-Driven Demand and Operations Management Models

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Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 0387980261
Total Pages : 488 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (879 download)

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Book Synopsis Consumer-Driven Demand and Operations Management Models by : Serguei Netessine

Download or read book Consumer-Driven Demand and Operations Management Models written by Serguei Netessine and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2009-06-02 with total page 488 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This important book is by top scholars in supply chain management, revenue management, and e-commerce, all of which are grounded in information technologies and consumer demand research. The book looks at new selling techniques designed to reach the consumer.

Intermittent Demand Forecasting

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Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 1119135303
Total Pages : 403 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (191 download)

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Book Synopsis Intermittent Demand Forecasting by : John E. Boylan

Download or read book Intermittent Demand Forecasting written by John E. Boylan and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2021-06-02 with total page 403 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: INTERMITTENT DEMAND FORECASTING The first text to focus on the methods and approaches of intermittent, rather than fast, demand forecasting Intermittent Demand Forecasting is for anyone who is interested in improving forecasts of intermittent demand products, and enhancing the management of inventories. Whether you are a practitioner, at the sharp end of demand planning, a software designer, a student, an academic teaching operational research or operations management courses, or a researcher in this field, we hope that the book will inspire you to rethink demand forecasting. If you do so, then you can contribute towards significant economic and environmental benefits. No prior knowledge of intermittent demand forecasting or inventory management is assumed in this book. The key formulae are accompanied by worked examples to show how they can be implemented in practice. For those wishing to understand the theory in more depth, technical notes are provided at the end of each chapter, as well as an extensive and up-to-date collection of references for further study. Software developments are reviewed, to give an appreciation of the current state of the art in commercial and open source software. “Intermittent demand forecasting may seem like a specialized area but actually is at the center of sustainability efforts to consume less and to waste less. Boylan and Syntetos have done a superb job in showing how improvements in inventory management are pivotal in achieving this. Their book covers both the theory and practice of intermittent demand forecasting and my prediction is that it will fast become the bible of the field.” —Spyros Makridakis, Professor, University of Nicosia, and Director, Institute for the Future and the Makridakis Open Forecasting Center (MOFC). “We have been able to support our clients by adopting many of the ideas discussed in this excellent book, and implementing them in our software. I am sure that these ideas will be equally helpful for other supply chain software vendors and for companies wanting to update and upgrade their capabilities in forecasting and inventory management.” —Suresh Acharya, VP, Research and Development, Blue Yonder. “As product variants proliferate and the pace of business quickens, more and more items have intermittent demand. Boylan and Syntetos have long been leaders in extending forecasting and inventory methods to accommodate this new reality. Their book gathers and clarifies decades of research in this area, and explains how practitioners can exploit this knowledge to make their operations more efficient and effective.” —Thomas R. Willemain, Professor Emeritus, Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute.

Tourism Demand Modelling and Forecasting

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Author :
Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 1136353569
Total Pages : 182 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (363 download)

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Book Synopsis Tourism Demand Modelling and Forecasting by : Haiyan Song

Download or read book Tourism Demand Modelling and Forecasting written by Haiyan Song and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2012-08-21 with total page 182 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The phenomenal growth of both the world-wide tourism industry and academic interest in tourism over the last thirty years has generated great interest in tourism demand modelling and forecasting from both sectors. However, the tendency for researchers and practitioners engaged in quantitative causal tourism modelling and forecasting to run many regression equations and try to choose the 'best' model based on various parametric and non-parametric criteria has been widely criticised as failing to provide credible results. The aim of this book is to present the recent advances in econometric modelling methodology within the context of tourism demand analysis at a level that is accessible to non-specialists, and to illustrate these new developments with actual tourism applications. The book begins with an introduction to the fundamentals of tourism demand analysis, before addressing the problems of traditional tourism demand modelling and forecasting, i.e. data mining and spurious regression due to common trends in the time series. Three chapters explore the general-to-specific approach to tourism demand modelling and forecasting, including the use of autoregressive distributed lag processes, cointegration analysis and error correction models. The time varying parameter model together with the use of the Kalman filter as an estimation method is a useful tool for examining the effects of regime shifts on tourism demand elasticities: this is explored next. The panel data approach is introduced as a way of overcoming the problem of estimation and forecasting biases caused by insufficient time series data. The book concludes by evaluating the empirical forecasting performance of the various models and putting forward some general conclusions.