Decision Theory with a Human Face

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Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 1107003210
Total Pages : 351 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (7 download)

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Book Synopsis Decision Theory with a Human Face by : Richard Bradley

Download or read book Decision Theory with a Human Face written by Richard Bradley and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2017-10-26 with total page 351 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Explores how decision-makers can manage uncertainty that varies in both kind and severity by extending and supplementing Bayesian decision theory.

Decisions Vs Humans

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Publisher : The Little Booktique Hub
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 163 pages
Book Rating : 4./5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Decisions Vs Humans by : Anbe Sivam

Download or read book Decisions Vs Humans written by Anbe Sivam and published by The Little Booktique Hub. This book was released on with total page 163 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Humans are one of the most complicated and sophisticated species both phsycologically and biologically. Humans live a certain way and life mends. Humans in a certain way. It takes a lot to understand ourselves, nature and life. So, it's better to understand the nature of ourselves and our lives before we act in this world or atleast it's a fun journey to know about it.

Algorithms to Live By

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Publisher : Macmillan
ISBN 13 : 1627790365
Total Pages : 366 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (277 download)

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Book Synopsis Algorithms to Live By by : Brian Christian

Download or read book Algorithms to Live By written by Brian Christian and published by Macmillan. This book was released on 2016-04-19 with total page 366 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: 'Algorithms to Live By' looks at the simple, precise algorithms that computers use to solve the complex 'human' problems that we face, and discovers what they can tell us about the nature and origin of the mind.

Human Judgement and Decision Processes

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Publisher : Academic Press
ISBN 13 : 1483288722
Total Pages : 340 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (832 download)

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Book Synopsis Human Judgement and Decision Processes by : Martin F. Kaplan

Download or read book Human Judgement and Decision Processes written by Martin F. Kaplan and published by Academic Press. This book was released on 2013-10-22 with total page 340 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Human Judgment and Decision Processes is a collection of papers that covers the various theoretical frameworks that relate judgment to decision making. The book is comprised of 10 chapters that cover both mathematical models involved in decision making and interpersonal aspect of judgment process. The first five chapters cover papers about decision making. The subjects of the papers include multiattribute utility measurement for social decision making; portfolio theory and the measurement of risk; and information-integration analysis of risky decision making. The other half of the text deals with the judgment process, which includes topics such as interaction of judge and informational components; judgment and decision processes in the formation and change of social attitudes; and the role of probabilistic and syllogistic reasoning in cognitive organization and social inference. The book will be of great use to psychologists involved in research on human judgment and decision process.

Time Pressure and Stress in Human Judgment and Decision Making

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Author :
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 147576846X
Total Pages : 364 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (757 download)

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Book Synopsis Time Pressure and Stress in Human Judgment and Decision Making by : A.J. Maule

Download or read book Time Pressure and Stress in Human Judgment and Decision Making written by A.J. Maule and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-03-09 with total page 364 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Some years ago we, the editors of this volume, found out about each other's deeply rooted interest in the concept of time, the usage of time, and the effects of shortage of time on human thought and behavior. Since then we have fostered the idea of bringing together different perspectives in this area. We are now, there fore, very content that our idea has materialized in the present volume. There is both anecdotal and empirical evidence to suggest that time con straints may affect behavior. Managers and other professional decision makers frequently identify time pressure as a major constraint on their behavior (Isen berg, 1984). Chamberlain and Zika (1990) provide empirical support for this view, showing that complaints of insufficient time are the most frequently report ed everyday minor stressors or hassles for all groups of people except the elderly. Similarly, studies in occupational settings have identified time pressure as one of the central components of workload (Derrich, 1988; O'Donnel & Eggemeier, 1986).

Noise

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Publisher : Little, Brown
ISBN 13 : 031645138X
Total Pages : 429 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (164 download)

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Book Synopsis Noise by : Daniel Kahneman

Download or read book Noise written by Daniel Kahneman and published by Little, Brown. This book was released on 2021-05-18 with total page 429 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: From the Nobel Prize-winning author of Thinking, Fast and Slow and the coauthor of Nudge, a revolutionary exploration of why people make bad judgments and how to make better ones—"a tour de force” (New York Times). Imagine that two doctors in the same city give different diagnoses to identical patients—or that two judges in the same courthouse give markedly different sentences to people who have committed the same crime. Suppose that different interviewers at the same firm make different decisions about indistinguishable job applicants—or that when a company is handling customer complaints, the resolution depends on who happens to answer the phone. Now imagine that the same doctor, the same judge, the same interviewer, or the same customer service agent makes different decisions depending on whether it is morning or afternoon, or Monday rather than Wednesday. These are examples of noise: variability in judgments that should be identical. In Noise, Daniel Kahneman, Olivier Sibony, and Cass R. Sunstein show the detrimental effects of noise in many fields, including medicine, law, economic forecasting, forensic science, bail, child protection, strategy, performance reviews, and personnel selection. Wherever there is judgment, there is noise. Yet, most of the time, individuals and organizations alike are unaware of it. They neglect noise. With a few simple remedies, people can reduce both noise and bias, and so make far better decisions. Packed with original ideas, and offering the same kinds of research-based insights that made Thinking, Fast and Slow and Nudge groundbreaking New York Times bestsellers, Noise explains how and why humans are so susceptible to noise in judgment—and what we can do about it.

Decision Science: A Human-Oriented Perspective

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Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 3662471221
Total Pages : 170 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (624 download)

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Book Synopsis Decision Science: A Human-Oriented Perspective by : George Mengov

Download or read book Decision Science: A Human-Oriented Perspective written by George Mengov and published by Springer. This book was released on 2015-05-15 with total page 170 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book offers a new perspective on human decision-making by comparing the established methods in decision science with innovative modelling at the level of neurons and neural interactions. The book presents a new generation of computer models, which can predict with astonishing accuracy individual economic choices when people make them by quick intuition rather than by effort. A vision for a new kind of social science is outlined, whereby neural models of emotion and cognition capture the dynamics of socioeconomic systems and virtual social networks. The exposition is approachable by experts as well as by advanced students. The author is an Associate Professor of Decision Science with a doctorate in Computational Neuroscience, and a former software consultant to banks in the City of London.

How We Decide

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Publisher : Houghton Mifflin Harcourt
ISBN 13 : 0547347480
Total Pages : 357 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (473 download)

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Book Synopsis How We Decide by : Jonah Lehrer

Download or read book How We Decide written by Jonah Lehrer and published by Houghton Mifflin Harcourt. This book was released on 2010-01-14 with total page 357 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The first book to use the unexpected discoveries of neuroscience to help us make the best decisions Since Plato, philosophers have described the decision-making process as either rational or emotional: we carefully deliberate, or we “blink” and go with our gut. But as scientists break open the mind’s black box with the latest tools of neuroscience, they’re discovering that this is not how the mind works. Our best decisions are a finely tuned blend of both feeling and reason—and the precise mix depends on the situation. When buying a house, for example, it’s best to let our unconscious mull over the many variables. But when we’re picking a stock, intuition often leads us astray. The trick is to determine when to use the different parts of the brain, and to do this, we need to think harder (and smarter) about how we think. Jonah Lehrer arms us with the tools we need, drawing on cutting-edge research as well as the real-world experiences of a wide range of “deciders”—from airplane pilots and hedge fund investors to serial killers and poker players. Lehrer shows how people are taking advantage of the new science to make better television shows, win more football games, and improve military intelligence. His goal is to answer two questions that are of interest to just about anyone, from CEOs to firefighters: How does the human mind make decisions? And how can we make those decisions better?

Framers

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Publisher : Penguin
ISBN 13 : 059318260X
Total Pages : 272 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (931 download)

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Book Synopsis Framers by : Kenneth Cukier

Download or read book Framers written by Kenneth Cukier and published by Penguin. This book was released on 2021-05-11 with total page 272 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: “Cukier and his co-authors have a more ambitious project than Kahneman and Harari. They don’t want to just point out how powerfully we are influenced by our perspectives and prejudices—our frames. They want to show us that these frames are tools, and that we can optimise their use.” —Forbes From pandemics to populism, AI to ISIS, wealth inequity to climate change, humanity faces unprecedented challenges that threaten our very existence. The essential tool that will enable humanity to find the best way foward is defined in Framers by internationally renowned authors Kenneth Cukier, Viktor Mayer-Schönberger, and Francis de Véricourt. To frame is to make a mental model that enables us to make sense of new situations. Frames guide the decisions we make and the results we attain. People have long focused on traits like memory and reasoning, leaving framing all but ignored. But with computers becoming better at some of those cognitive tasks, framing stands out as a critical function—and only humans can do it. This book is the first guide to mastering this human ability. Illustrating their case with compelling examples and the latest research, authors Cukier, Mayer-Schönberger, and de Véricourt examine: · Why advice to “think outside the box” is useless · How Spotify beat Apple by reframing music as an experience · How the #MeToo twitter hashtag reframed the perception of sexual assault · The disaster of framing Covid-19 as equivalent to seasonal flu, and how framing it akin to SARS delivered New Zealand from the pandemic Framers shows how framing is not just a way to improve how we make decisions in the era of algorithms—but why it will be a matter of survival for humanity in a time of societal upheaval and machine prosperity.

Behave

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Publisher : Penguin
ISBN 13 : 0143110918
Total Pages : 801 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (431 download)

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Book Synopsis Behave by : Robert M. Sapolsky

Download or read book Behave written by Robert M. Sapolsky and published by Penguin. This book was released on 2018-05-01 with total page 801 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: New York Times bestseller • Winner of the Los Angeles Times Book Prize • One of the Washington Post's 10 Best Books of the Year “It’s no exaggeration to say that Behave is one of the best nonfiction books I’ve ever read.” —David P. Barash, The Wall Street Journal "It has my vote for science book of the year.” —Parul Sehgal, The New York Times "Immensely readable, often hilarious...Hands-down one of the best books I’ve read in years. I loved it." —Dina Temple-Raston, The Washington Post From the bestselling author of A Primate's Memoir and the forthcoming Determined: A Science of Life Without Free Will comes a landmark, genre-defining examination of human behavior and an answer to the question: Why do we do the things we do? Behave is one of the most dazzling tours d’horizon of the science of human behavior ever attempted. Moving across a range of disciplines, Sapolsky—a neuroscientist and primatologist—uncovers the hidden story of our actions. Undertaking some of our thorniest questions relating to tribalism and xenophobia, hierarchy and competition, and war and peace, Behave is a towering achievement—a majestic synthesis of cutting-edge research and a heroic exploration of why we ultimately do the things we do . . . for good and for ill.

A Human's Guide to Machine Intelligence

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Publisher : Viking Adult
ISBN 13 : 0525560882
Total Pages : 274 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (255 download)

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Book Synopsis A Human's Guide to Machine Intelligence by : Kartik Hosanagar

Download or read book A Human's Guide to Machine Intelligence written by Kartik Hosanagar and published by Viking Adult. This book was released on 2019 with total page 274 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In his new book, Kartik Hosanagar surveys the brave new world of algorithmic decision-making and reveals the potentially dangerous biases they can give rise to as they increasingly run our lives.

A PATH TO DISCOVER

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Publisher : Notion Press
ISBN 13 : 1648999042
Total Pages : 126 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (489 download)

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Book Synopsis A PATH TO DISCOVER by : Natesan Ramalingam Iyer

Download or read book A PATH TO DISCOVER written by Natesan Ramalingam Iyer and published by Notion Press. This book was released on 2020-06-27 with total page 126 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This is the author’s second book. His first book, ‘Adventures in three worlds’ is a recollection of the events that happened in the author’s life and the lessons he learned. This book is like a treatise on the world’s reaction to the coronavirus, people are still going through. Life is just like a sea, we are moving constantly. Nothing stays with us, what remains are just the memories of some people who touched us like waves. We are loved when we are born; we may be loved or hated based on how we have managed ourselves in between. War and peace are part of life. The world produces war-mongers as well as great souls like Mahatma Gandhi, Albert Einstein, Abraham Lincoln, and Nelson Mandela. The virus brouhaha is an awakening to change. Now everyone know Wuhan! The book briefly covers aspects of globalization, history of pandemics, biological warfare, Hindu scriptures, Covid-19 and India's lessons to the world. By applying cognizance, sobriety, intelligence and wisdom we have been creating superb technology and management systems; yet we have missed Brahminical way of living. ‘A Path to Discover’ may open a debate with views and counter-views. In one sentence, what lessons have we learned from the virus? The great Hindu Saint Tulsidas gave the answer in 16th century: In ‘dependence’ there is no happiness, even in a dream.

Thinking and Reasoning in Human Decision Making

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Author :
Publisher : Insight Assessment
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 236 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (91 download)

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Book Synopsis Thinking and Reasoning in Human Decision Making by : Peter A. Facione

Download or read book Thinking and Reasoning in Human Decision Making written by Peter A. Facione and published by Insight Assessment. This book was released on 2007 with total page 236 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Research Needs for Human Factors

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Publisher : National Academies
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 176 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (475 download)

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Book Synopsis Research Needs for Human Factors by : Richard W. Pew

Download or read book Research Needs for Human Factors written by Richard W. Pew and published by National Academies. This book was released on 1983 with total page 176 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Judgment and Decision Making

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Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 1136497331
Total Pages : 405 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (364 download)

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Book Synopsis Judgment and Decision Making by : Baruch Fischhoff

Download or read book Judgment and Decision Making written by Baruch Fischhoff and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2013-06-17 with total page 405 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Behavioral decision research offers a distinctive approach to understanding and improving decision making. It combines theory and method from multiple disciples (psychology, economics, statistics, decision theory, management science). It employs both empirical methods, to study how decisions are actually made, and analytical ones, to study how decisions should be made and how consequential imperfections are. This book brings together key publications, selected to represent the major topics and approaches used in the field. Put in one place, with integrating commentary, it shows the common elements in a research program that represents the scope of the field, while offering depth in each. Together, they provide a vision for what has become a burgeoning field.

Predicting Human Decision-Making

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Publisher : Morgan & Claypool Publishers
ISBN 13 : 1681732750
Total Pages : 152 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (817 download)

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Book Synopsis Predicting Human Decision-Making by : Ariel Rosenfeld

Download or read book Predicting Human Decision-Making written by Ariel Rosenfeld and published by Morgan & Claypool Publishers. This book was released on 2018-01-22 with total page 152 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Human decision-making often transcends our formal models of "rationality." Designing intelligent agents that interact proficiently with people necessitates the modeling of human behavior and the prediction of their decisions. In this book, we explore the task of automatically predicting human decision-making and its use in designing intelligent human-aware automated computer systems of varying natures—from purely conflicting interaction settings (e.g., security and games) to fully cooperative interaction settings (e.g., autonomous driving and personal robotic assistants). We explore the techniques, algorithms, and empirical methodologies for meeting the challenges that arise from the above tasks and illustrate major benefits from the use of these computational solutions in real-world application domains such as security, negotiations, argumentative interactions, voting systems, autonomous driving, and games. The book presents both the traditional and classical methods as well as the most recent and cutting edge advances, providing the reader with a panorama of the challenges and solutions in predicting human decision-making.

Modeling Human and Organizational Behavior

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Publisher : National Academies Press
ISBN 13 : 0309523893
Total Pages : 433 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (95 download)

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Book Synopsis Modeling Human and Organizational Behavior by : Panel on Modeling Human Behavior and Command Decision Making: Representations for Military Simulations

Download or read book Modeling Human and Organizational Behavior written by Panel on Modeling Human Behavior and Command Decision Making: Representations for Military Simulations and published by National Academies Press. This book was released on 1998-08-14 with total page 433 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Simulations are widely used in the military for training personnel, analyzing proposed equipment, and rehearsing missions, and these simulations need realistic models of human behavior. This book draws together a wide variety of theoretical and applied research in human behavior modeling that can be considered for use in those simulations. It covers behavior at the individual, unit, and command level. At the individual soldier level, the topics covered include attention, learning, memory, decisionmaking, perception, situation awareness, and planning. At the unit level, the focus is on command and control. The book provides short-, medium-, and long-term goals for research and development of more realistic models of human behavior.