Decision Theory And Decision Behaviour

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Decision Theory and Decision Behaviour

Author : Anatol Rapoport
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 9401578400
Total Pages : 439 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (15 download)

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Book Synopsis Decision Theory and Decision Behaviour by : Anatol Rapoport

Download or read book Decision Theory and Decision Behaviour written by Anatol Rapoport and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-03-14 with total page 439 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book presents the content of a year's course in decision processes for third and fourth year students given at the University of Toronto. A principal theme of the book is the relationship between normative and descriptive decision theory. The distinction between the two approaches is not clear to everyone, yet it is of great importance. Normative decision theory addresses itself to the question of how people ought to make decisions in various types of situations, if they wish to be regarded (or to regard themselves) as 'rational'. Descriptive decision theory purports to describe how people actually make decisions in a variety of situations. Normative decision theory is much more formalized than descriptive theory. Especially in its advanced branches, normative theory makes use of mathematicallanguage, mode of discourse, and concepts. For this reason, the definitions of terms encountered in normative decision theory are precise, and its deductions are rigorous. Like the terms and assertions of other branches of mathematics, those of mathematically formalized decision theory need not refer to anything in the 'real', i. e. the observable, world. The terms and assertions can be interpreted in the context of models of real li fe situations, but the verisimilitude of the models is not important. They are meant to capture only the essentials of adecision situation, which in reallife may be obscured by complex details and ambiguities. It is these details and ambiguities, however, that may be crucial in determining the outcomes of the decisions.

Decision Theory and Decision Behaviour

Author : A. Rapoport
Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 0230377769
Total Pages : 484 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (33 download)

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Book Synopsis Decision Theory and Decision Behaviour by : A. Rapoport

Download or read book Decision Theory and Decision Behaviour written by A. Rapoport and published by Springer. This book was released on 1998-01-27 with total page 484 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The book treats two approaches to decision theory: (1) the normative, purporting to determine how a 'perfectly rational' actor ought to choose among available alternatives; (2) the descriptive, based on observations of how people actually choose in real life and in laboratory experiments. The mathematical tools used in the normative approach range from elementary algebra to matrix and differential equations. Sections on different levels can be studied independently. Special emphasis is made on 'offshoots' of both theories to cognitive psychology, theoretical biology, and philosophy.

Behavioral Decision Theory

Author : Kazuhisa Takemura
Publisher : Springer Nature
ISBN 13 : 9811654530
Total Pages : 389 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (116 download)

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Book Synopsis Behavioral Decision Theory by : Kazuhisa Takemura

Download or read book Behavioral Decision Theory written by Kazuhisa Takemura and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2021-09-29 with total page 389 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book is the second edition of Behavioral Decision Theory, published in 2014. The main approach and structure of this book have been retained in the new edition. However, this second edition provides a fresh overview of the idea of behavioral decision theory and related research findings such as theoretical and empirical discoveries of preference formation, time discounting, social interaction, and social decision making. The book covers a wide range from classical to relatively recent major studies concerning behavioral decision theory, which, in brief, is a general term for descriptive theories to explain the psychological knowledge related to people’s decision-making behavior. It is called a theory but is actually a combination of various psychological theories, for which no axiomatic systems—such as those associated with the utility theory widely used in economics—have been established. The utility theory is often limited to qualitative knowledge; however, as the studies of Nobel laureates H. A. Simon, D. Kahneman, and R. Thaler have suggested, the psychological methodology and knowledge of behavioral decision theory have been applied widely in such fields as economics, business administration, and engineering and are expected to become even more useful in the future. Research into people’s decision making represents an important part in those fields, various aspects of which overlap with the scope of behavioral decision theory. This theory is closely related to behavioral economics and behavioral finance, which have come into greater use in recent years. This book will appeal especially to graduate students, advanced undergraduate students, and researchers who are interested in decision-making phenomena.

Decision Behaviour, Analysis and Support

Author : Simon French
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 1139480987
Total Pages : 503 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (394 download)

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Book Synopsis Decision Behaviour, Analysis and Support by : Simon French

Download or read book Decision Behaviour, Analysis and Support written by Simon French and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2009-07-30 with total page 503 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Behavioural studies have shown that while humans may be the best decision makers on the planet, we are not quite as good as we think we are. We are regularly subject to biases, inconsistencies and irrationalities in our decision making. Decision Behaviour, Analysis and Support explores perspectives from many different disciplines to show how we can help decision makers to deliberate and make better decisions. It considers both the use of computers and databases to support decisions as well as human aids to building analyses and some fast and frugal tricks to aid more consistent decision making. In its exploration of decision support it draws together results and observations from decision theory, behavioural and psychological studies, artificial intelligence and information systems, philosophy, operational research and organisational studies. This provides a valuable resource for managers with decision-making responsibilities and students from a range of disciplines, including management, engineering and information systems.

Decision Theory and Rationality

Author : José Luis Bermúdez
Publisher : OUP Oxford
ISBN 13 : 0191567728
Total Pages : 199 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (915 download)

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Book Synopsis Decision Theory and Rationality by : José Luis Bermúdez

Download or read book Decision Theory and Rationality written by José Luis Bermúdez and published by OUP Oxford. This book was released on 2009-02-19 with total page 199 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The concept of rationality is a common thread through the human and social sciences — from political science to philosophy, from economics to sociology, and from management science to decision analysis. But what counts as rational action and rational behavior? José Luis Bermúdez explores decision theory as a theory of rationality. Decision theory is the mathematical theory of choice and for many social scientists it makes the concept of rationality mathematically tractable and scientifically legitimate. Yet rationality is a concept with several dimensions and the theory of rationality has different roles to play. It plays an action-guiding role (prescribing what counts as a rational solution of a given decision problem). It plays a normative role (giving us the tools to pass judgment not just on how a decision problem was solved, but also on how it was set up in the first place). And it plays a predictive/explanatory role (telling us how rational agents will behave, or why they did what they did). This controversial but accessible book shows that decision theory cannot play all of these roles simultaneously. And yet, it argues, no theory of rationality can play one role without playing the other two. The conclusion is that there is no hope of taking decision theory as a theory of rationality.

Behavioral Decision Making

Author : George Wright
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 1461323916
Total Pages : 408 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (613 download)

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Book Synopsis Behavioral Decision Making by : George Wright

Download or read book Behavioral Decision Making written by George Wright and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-03-11 with total page 408 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Behavioural Decision Theory

Author : George Wright
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 136 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (91 download)

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Book Synopsis Behavioural Decision Theory by : George Wright

Download or read book Behavioural Decision Theory written by George Wright and published by . This book was released on 1984 with total page 136 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Modeling Human and Organizational Behavior

Author : Panel on Modeling Human Behavior and Command Decision Making: Representations for Military Simulations
Publisher : National Academies Press
ISBN 13 : 0309523893
Total Pages : 433 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (95 download)

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Book Synopsis Modeling Human and Organizational Behavior by : Panel on Modeling Human Behavior and Command Decision Making: Representations for Military Simulations

Download or read book Modeling Human and Organizational Behavior written by Panel on Modeling Human Behavior and Command Decision Making: Representations for Military Simulations and published by National Academies Press. This book was released on 1998-08-14 with total page 433 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Simulations are widely used in the military for training personnel, analyzing proposed equipment, and rehearsing missions, and these simulations need realistic models of human behavior. This book draws together a wide variety of theoretical and applied research in human behavior modeling that can be considered for use in those simulations. It covers behavior at the individual, unit, and command level. At the individual soldier level, the topics covered include attention, learning, memory, decisionmaking, perception, situation awareness, and planning. At the unit level, the focus is on command and control. The book provides short-, medium-, and long-term goals for research and development of more realistic models of human behavior.

Insights in Decision Making

Author : Robin M. Hogarth
Publisher : University of Chicago Press
ISBN 13 : 9780226348551
Total Pages : 376 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (485 download)

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Book Synopsis Insights in Decision Making by : Robin M. Hogarth

Download or read book Insights in Decision Making written by Robin M. Hogarth and published by University of Chicago Press. This book was released on 1990-04-18 with total page 376 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: How do people make decisions? How can we help people make better decisions? How can we best study the processes of decision making? The growing field of behavioral decision research, which seeks to link observed decision behavior to underlying psychological mechanisms, may provide the answers to these questions. The volume is based on a recent conference held to honor the work and memory of the late Hillel J. Einhorn, a pioneering scholar in behavioral decision research. Composed of contributions by leading researchers, Insights in Decision Making provides a state-of-the-art image of work in this field. The range of topics covered includes conceptual and technical issues the bridge the gap between theory and the practical concern of improving decision making, difficulties in statistical thinking, experimental studies of processes of judgment and choice, and the emergence of new paradigms for studying decision behavior. Providing many avenues for future research, Insights in Decision Making will be essential reading for students of the psychology of decision making and will prove valuable to readers in psychology, economics, statistics, and management.

Theories of Choice

Author : Stefan Grundmann
Publisher : Oxford University Press
ISBN 13 : 0192608274
Total Pages : 353 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (926 download)

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Book Synopsis Theories of Choice by : Stefan Grundmann

Download or read book Theories of Choice written by Stefan Grundmann and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 2021-01-14 with total page 353 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Choice is a key concept of our time. It is a foundational mechanism for every legal order in societies that are, politically, constituted as democracies and, economically, built on the market mechanism. Thus, choice can be understood as an atomic structure that grounds core societal processes. In recent years, however, the debate over the right way to theorize choice - for example, as a rational or a behavioral type of decision making - has intensified. This collection provides an in-depth discussion of the promises and perils of specific types of theories of choice. It shows how the selection of a specific theory of choice can make a difference for concrete legal questions, in particular in the regulation of the digital economy or in choosing between market, firm, or network. In its first part, the volume provides an accessible overview of the current debates about rational versus behavioral approaches to theories of choice. The remainder of the book structures the vast landscape of theories of choice along with three main types: individual, collective, and organizational decision making. As theories of choice proliferate and become ever more sophisticated, however, the process of choosing an adequate theory of choice becomes increasingly intricate. This volume addresses this selection problem for the various legal arenas in which individual, organizational, and collective decisions matter. By drawing on economic, technological, political, and legal points of view, the volume shows which theories of choice are at the disposal of the legally relevant decision-maker, and how they can be operationalized for the solution of concrete legal problems. The editors acknowledge the kind support of the Fritz Thyssen Foundation for an exploratory conference on the subject of the book.

Decision Theory and Decision Behaviour

Author : Anatol Rapoport
Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9789401578417
Total Pages : 448 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (784 download)

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Book Synopsis Decision Theory and Decision Behaviour by : Anatol Rapoport

Download or read book Decision Theory and Decision Behaviour written by Anatol Rapoport and published by . This book was released on 2014-01-15 with total page 448 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Decision Making

Author : David E. Bell
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 9780521368513
Total Pages : 640 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (685 download)

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Book Synopsis Decision Making by : David E. Bell

Download or read book Decision Making written by David E. Bell and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 1988-10-28 with total page 640 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A compilation of different approaches--normative, descriptive,and prescriptive--develops this integrated analysis of decision-making that emphasizes the contributions of various disciplinary interests.

Decision Behaviour, Analysis and Support

Author : Simon French
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 0521883342
Total Pages : 503 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (218 download)

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Book Synopsis Decision Behaviour, Analysis and Support by : Simon French

Cognitive Processes in Choice and Decision Behavior

Author : Thomas S. Wallsten
Publisher : Taylor & Francis
ISBN 13 : 1040025560
Total Pages : 299 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (4 download)

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Book Synopsis Cognitive Processes in Choice and Decision Behavior by : Thomas S. Wallsten

Download or read book Cognitive Processes in Choice and Decision Behavior written by Thomas S. Wallsten and published by Taylor & Francis. This book was released on 2024-05-01 with total page 299 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Decision theory is a uniquely interdisciplinary field of study with contributions from economics, statistics, mathematics, philosophy, operations research, and psychology. The 1970s had seen important changes in research on behavioral decision theory in terms of a shift from a reliance on economic and statistical models to an emphasis on concepts drawn from cognitive psychology. Originally published in 1980, Cognitive Processes in Choice and Decision Behavior contains papers that explore the reasons why these changes had come about and discuss the future directions to which they pointed. It was clear at the time that research in behavioral decision theory was changing dramatically. The chapters in this book represent a good assessment of the reasons the changes were coming about and some of the merits and problems of the directions in which it was moving. Today it can be read in its historical context.

Behavioral Decision Theory

Author : George Wright
Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9780608010939
Total Pages : 129 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (19 download)

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Book Synopsis Behavioral Decision Theory by : George Wright

Download or read book Behavioral Decision Theory written by George Wright and published by . This book was released on 1984 with total page 129 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Decision Theory and Rationality

Author : José Luis Bermúdez
Publisher : OUP Oxford
ISBN 13 : 0191609455
Total Pages : 208 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (916 download)

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Book Synopsis Decision Theory and Rationality by : José Luis Bermúdez

Download or read book Decision Theory and Rationality written by José Luis Bermúdez and published by OUP Oxford. This book was released on 2009-02-19 with total page 208 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The concept of rationality is a common thread through the human and social sciences — from political science to philosophy, from economics to sociology, and from management science to decision analysis. But what counts as rational action and rational behavior? José Luis Bermúdez explores decision theory as a theory of rationality. Decision theory is the mathematical theory of choice and for many social scientists it makes the concept of rationality mathematically tractable and scientifically legitimate. Yet rationality is a concept with several dimensions and the theory of rationality has different roles to play. It plays an action-guiding role (prescribing what counts as a rational solution of a given decision problem). It plays a normative role (giving us the tools to pass judgment not just on how a decision problem was solved, but also on how it was set up in the first place). And it plays a predictive/explanatory role (telling us how rational agents will behave, or why they did what they did). This controversial but accessible book shows that decision theory cannot play all of these roles simultaneously. And yet, it argues, no theory of rationality can play one role without playing the other two. The conclusion is that there is no hope of taking decision theory as a theory of rationality.

Adolescent Decision Making

Author : National Research Council and Institute of Medicine
Publisher : National Academies Press
ISBN 13 : 0309064791
Total Pages : 31 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (9 download)

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Book Synopsis Adolescent Decision Making by : National Research Council and Institute of Medicine

Download or read book Adolescent Decision Making written by National Research Council and Institute of Medicine and published by National Academies Press. This book was released on 1999-06-14 with total page 31 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Interest in the role that decision making plays in adolescents' involvement in high-risk behaviors led the Office of the Assistant Secretary of Planning and Evaluation of the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services to request the Board on Children, Youth, and Families to convene a workshop on adolescent decision making. The Board on Children, Youth, and Families is a joint activity of the National Research Council (NRC) and the Institute of Medicine. A workshop was held on January 6-7, 1998, to examine what is known about adolescents' decision-making skills and the implications of that knowledge for programs to further their healthy development.