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Decision Aiding For Complex Systems
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Book Synopsis Complex Decision Making by : Hassan Qudrat-Ullah
Download or read book Complex Decision Making written by Hassan Qudrat-Ullah and published by Springer. This book was released on 2007-09-22 with total page 337 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Today's ever more complex world creates challenges for decision makers. This volume reviews the principles underlying complex decision making, the handling of uncertainties in dynamic environments, and the various modeling approaches. Beginning with a discussion of the underlying concepts, theories and empirical evidence, the book gives you a range of practical tools and techniques for decision making in complex environments and systems.
Book Synopsis Decision Control, Management, and Support in Adaptive and Complex Systems by : Yuri P. Pavlov
Download or read book Decision Control, Management, and Support in Adaptive and Complex Systems written by Yuri P. Pavlov and published by . This book was released on 2012-12-24 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "This book presents an application and demonstration of a new mathematical technique for descriptions of complex systems"--Provided by publisher.
Book Synopsis Decision Control, Management, and Support in Adaptive and Complex Systems: Quantitative Models by : Pavlov, Yuri P.
Download or read book Decision Control, Management, and Support in Adaptive and Complex Systems: Quantitative Models written by Pavlov, Yuri P. and published by IGI Global. This book was released on 2013-02-28 with total page 280 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In order to ensure the criteria for monitoring and managing the various problems and design for decision control, a mathematical description of exact human knowledge is required for the management of adaptive and complex systems. Decision Control, Management, and Support in Adaptive and Complex Systems: Quantitative Models presents an application and demonstration of a new mathematical technique for descriptions of complex systems. This comprehensive collection contains scientific results in the field of contemporary approaches to adaptive decision making that is essential for researchers, scholars, and students alike.
Book Synopsis Multi-Criteria Decision Making for the Management of Complex Systems by : Voronin, Albert
Download or read book Multi-Criteria Decision Making for the Management of Complex Systems written by Voronin, Albert and published by IGI Global. This book was released on 2017-03-20 with total page 201 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: While there are many different models for performing system analysis, the multi-criteria decision making method has proven to be one of the most efficient. By analyzing the key concepts of this theory, the technique can be enhanced and will benefit future organizations and companies in novel ways. Multi-Criteria Decision Making for the Management of Complex Systems provides a comprehensive examination of the latest strategies and methods involved in decision theory. Featuring extensive coverage on relevant topics such as nested scalar convolutions, Pareto optimality, nonlinear schemes, and operator performance, this publication is ideally designed for engineers, students, professionals, academics, and researchers seeking innovative perspectives on the supervision of advanced decision making theories in system analysis.
Book Synopsis Think Twice by : Michael J. Mauboussin
Download or read book Think Twice written by Michael J. Mauboussin and published by Harvard Business Review Press. This book was released on 2012-11-06 with total page 224 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: No matter your field, industry, or specialty, as a leader you make a series of crucial decisions every single day. And the harsh truth is that the majority of decisions—no matter how good the intentions behind them—are mismanaged, resulting in a huge toll on organizations, the people they employ, and even the people they serve. So why is it so hard to make sound decisions? In Think Twice, now in paperback, Michael Mauboussin argues that we often fall victim to simplified mental routines that prevent us from coping with the complex realities inherent in important judgment calls. Yet these cognitive errors are preventable. In this engaging book, Mauboussin shows us how to recognize and avoid common mental missteps. These include misunderstanding cause-and-effect linkages, not considering enough alternative possibilities in making a decision, and relying too much on experts. Through vivid stories, the author presents memorable rules for avoiding each error and explains how to recognize when you should “think twice”—questioning your reasoning and adopting decision-making strategies that are far more effective, even if they seem counterintuitive. Armed with this awareness, you'll soon begin making sounder judgment calls that benefit (rather than hurt) your organization.
Book Synopsis Systems Science for Complex Policy Making by : Kuntoro Mangkusubroto
Download or read book Systems Science for Complex Policy Making written by Kuntoro Mangkusubroto and published by Springer. This book was released on 2016-05-27 with total page 113 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This volume applies a systems science perspective to complex policy making dynamics, using the case of Indonesia to illustrate the concepts. Indonesia is an archipelago with a high heterogeneity. Her people consist of 1,340 tribes who are scattered over 17,508 islands. Every region has different natural strengths and conditions. In the national development process all regions depend on one another other while optimizing their own conditions. In addition to this diversity, Indonesia also employs a democratic system of government with high regional autonomy. A democratic government puts a high value on individual freedom, but on the other hand, conflicts of interest also occur frequently. High regional autonomy also often causes problems in coordination among agencies and regional governments. This uniqueness creates a kind of complexity that is rarely found in other countries.These daily complexities requires intensive interaction, negotiation processes, and coordination. Such necessities should be considered in public policy making and in managing the implementation of national development programs. In this context, common theories and best practices generated on the basis of more simplified assumptions often fail. Systems science offer a way of thinking that can take into account and potentially overcome these complexities. However, efforts to apply systems science massively and continuously in real policy making by involving many stakeholders are still rarely carried out. The first part of the book discusses the gap between the existing public policy-making approach and needs in the real world. After that, the characteristics of the appropriate policy-making process in a complex environment and how this process can be carried are described. In later sections, important systems science concepts that can be applied in managing these complexities are discussed. Finally, the efforts to apply these concepts in real cases in Indonesia are described.
Book Synopsis Hierarchical Decision Making in Stochastic Manufacturing Systems by : Suresh P. Sethi
Download or read book Hierarchical Decision Making in Stochastic Manufacturing Systems written by Suresh P. Sethi and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 420 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: One of the most important methods in dealing with the optimization of large, complex systems is that of hierarchical decomposition. The idea is to reduce the overall complex problem into manageable approximate problems or subproblems, to solve these problems, and to construct a solution of the original problem from the solutions of these simpler prob lems. Development of such approaches for large complex systems has been identified as a particularly fruitful area by the Committee on the Next Decade in Operations Research (1988) [42] as well as by the Panel on Future Directions in Control Theory (1988) [65]. Most manufacturing firms are complex systems characterized by sev eral decision subsystems, such as finance, personnel, marketing, and op erations. They may have several plants and warehouses and a wide variety of machines and equipment devoted to producing a large number of different products. Moreover, they are subject to deterministic as well as stochastic discrete events, such as purchasing new equipment, hiring and layoff of personnel, and machine setups, failures, and repairs.
Book Synopsis An Introduction to Complex Systems by : Joe Tranquillo
Download or read book An Introduction to Complex Systems written by Joe Tranquillo and published by Springer. This book was released on 2019-02-13 with total page 405 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book explores the interdisciplinary field of complex systems theory. By the end of the book, readers will be able to understand terminology that is used in complex systems and how they are related to one another; see the patterns of complex systems in practical examples; map current topics, in a variety of fields, to complexity theory; and be able to read more advanced literature in the field. The book begins with basic systems concepts and moves on to how these simple rules can lead to complex behavior. The author then introduces non-linear systems, followed by pattern formation, and networks and information flow in systems. Later chapters cover the thermodynamics of complex systems, dynamical patterns that arise in networks, and how game theory can serve as a framework for decision making. The text is interspersed with both philosophical and quantitative arguments, and each chapter ends with questions and prompts that help readers make more connections. “The text provides a useful overview of complex systems, with enough detail to allow a reader unfamiliar with the topic to understand the basics. The book stands out for its comprehensiveness and approachability. It will be particularly useful as a text for introductory physics courses. Tranquillo’s strength is in delivering a vast amount of information in a succinct manner.... A reader can find information quickly and efficiently—that is, in my opinion, the book’s greatest value.” (Stefani Crabtree, Physics Today)
Book Synopsis Decision Making in Complex Environments by : Jan Noyes
Download or read book Decision Making in Complex Environments written by Jan Noyes and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2017-09-18 with total page 458 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Many complex systems in civil and military operations are highly automated with the intention of supporting human performance in difficult cognitive tasks. The complex systems can involve teams or individuals working on real-time supervisory control, command or information management tasks where a number of constraints must be satisfied. Decision Making in Complex Environments addresses the role of the human, the technology and the processes in complex socio-technical and technological systems. The aim of the book is to apply a multi-disciplinary perspective to the examination of the human factors in complex decision making. It contains more than 30 contributions on key subjects such as military human factors, team decision making issues, situation awareness, and technology support. In addition to the major application area of military human factors there are chapters on business, medical, governmental and aeronautical decision making. The book provides a unique blend of expertise from psychology, human factors, industry, commercial environments, the military, computer science, organizational psychology and training that should be valuable to academics and practitioners alike.
Book Synopsis Management and Intelligent Decision-Making in Complex Systems: An Optimization-Driven Approach by : Ameer Hamza Khan
Download or read book Management and Intelligent Decision-Making in Complex Systems: An Optimization-Driven Approach written by Ameer Hamza Khan and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2020-10-29 with total page 91 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this book, the authors focus on three aspects related to the development of articulated agents: presenting an overview of high-level control algorithms for intelligent decision-making of articulated agents, experimental study of the properties of soft agents as the end-effector of articulated agents, and accurate management of low-level torque-control loop to accurately control the articulated agents. This book summarizes recent advances related to articulated agents. The motive behind the book is to trigger theoretical and practical research studies related to articulated agents.
Book Synopsis Experts in Uncertainty by : Roger M. Cooke
Download or read book Experts in Uncertainty written by Roger M. Cooke and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 1991-10-24 with total page 334 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book is an extensive survey and critical examination of the literature on the use of expert opinion in scientific inquiry and policy making. The elicitation, representation, and use of expert opinion is increasingly important for two reasons: advancing technology leads to more and more complex decision problems, and technologists are turning in greater numbers to "expert systems" and other similar artifacts of artificial intelligence. Cooke here considers how expert opinion is being used today, how an expert's uncertainty is or should be represented, how people do or should reason with uncertainty, how the quality and usefulness of expert opinion can be assessed, and how the views of several experts might be combined. He argues for the importance of developing practical models with a transparent mathematic foundation for the use of expert opinion in science, and presents three tested models, termed "classical," "Bayesian," and "psychological scaling." Detailed case studies illustrate how they can be applied to a diversity of real problems in engineering and planning.
Book Synopsis Distributed Decision Making by : Christoph Schneeweiss
Download or read book Distributed Decision Making written by Christoph Schneeweiss and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-11-07 with total page 533 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Distributed decision making (DDM) has become of increasing importance in quantitative decision analysis. In applications like supply chain management, service operations, or managerial accounting, DDM has led to a paradigm shift. The book provides a unified approach to such seemingly diverse fields as multi-level stochastic programming, hierarchical production planning, principal agent theory, negotiations or contract theory. Different settings like multi-level one-person decision problems, multi-person antagonistic planning, and leadership situations are covered. Numerous examples and real-life planning cases illustrate the concepts. The new edition has been considerably expanded by additional chapters on supply chain management, service operations and multi-agent systems.
Book Synopsis Decision Making in Complex Systems by : Marina V. Sokolova
Download or read book Decision Making in Complex Systems written by Marina V. Sokolova and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-01-13 with total page 196 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The study of complex systems attracts the attention of many researchers in diverse fields. Complex systems are characterized by a high number of entities and a high degree of interactions. One of the most important features is that they do not involve a central organizing authority, but the various elements that make up the systems are self-organized. Moreover, some complex systems possess an emergency priority: climate change and sustainable development research, studies of public health, ecosystem habitats, epidemiology, and medicine, among others. Unfortunately, a great number of today’s overlapping approaches fail to meet the needs of decision makers when managing complex domains. Indeed, the design of complex systems often requires the integration of a number of artificial intelligence tools and techniques. The problem can be viewed in terms of goals, states, and actions, choosing the best action to move the system toward its desired state or behavior. This is why agent-based approaches are used to model complex systems. The main objective of this book is to bring together existing methods for decision support systems creation within a coherent agent-based framework and to provide an interdisciplinary and flexible methodology for modeling complex and systemic domains.
Book Synopsis Human Decisions in Complex Systems by : Warren Sturgis McCulloch
Download or read book Human Decisions in Complex Systems written by Warren Sturgis McCulloch and published by . This book was released on 1961 with total page 194 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Multi-Criteria Decision Making for the Management of Complex Systems by : Alʹbert Nikolaevich Voronin
Download or read book Multi-Criteria Decision Making for the Management of Complex Systems written by Alʹbert Nikolaevich Voronin and published by Business Science Reference. This book was released on 2017 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "This book describes the basic concepts and definitions of the theory of decision-making, provides a general formulation of multicriteria problems, provides the statement of the problem of the synthesis of compromise-optimal mobile objects trajectories in a conflict environment and method of solution, and other topics"--
Book Synopsis The Economics of Artificial Intelligence by : Ajay Agrawal
Download or read book The Economics of Artificial Intelligence written by Ajay Agrawal and published by University of Chicago Press. This book was released on 2024-03-05 with total page 172 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A timely investigation of the potential economic effects, both realized and unrealized, of artificial intelligence within the United States healthcare system. In sweeping conversations about the impact of artificial intelligence on many sectors of the economy, healthcare has received relatively little attention. Yet it seems unlikely that an industry that represents nearly one-fifth of the economy could escape the efficiency and cost-driven disruptions of AI. The Economics of Artificial Intelligence: Health Care Challenges brings together contributions from health economists, physicians, philosophers, and scholars in law, public health, and machine learning to identify the primary barriers to entry of AI in the healthcare sector. Across original papers and in wide-ranging responses, the contributors analyze barriers of four types: incentives, management, data availability, and regulation. They also suggest that AI has the potential to improve outcomes and lower costs. Understanding both the benefits of and barriers to AI adoption is essential for designing policies that will affect the evolution of the healthcare system.
Book Synopsis Problem Solved by : Cheryl Strauss Einhorn
Download or read book Problem Solved written by Cheryl Strauss Einhorn and published by Red Wheel/Weiser. This book was released on 2017-04-17 with total page 240 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: *International Book Awards Finalist It can be messy and overwhelming to figure out how to solve thorny problems. Where do you start? How do you know where to look for information and evaluate its quality and bias? How can you feel confident that you are making a careful and thoroughly researched decision? Whether you are deciding between colleges, navigating a career decision, helping your aging parents find the right housing, or expanding your business, Problem Solved will show you how to use the powerful AREA Method to make complex personal and professional decisions with confidence and conviction. Cheryl’s AREA Method coaches you to make smarter, better decisions because it: Recognizes that research is a fundamental part of decision making and breaks down the process into a series of easy-to-follow steps. Solves for problematic mental shortcuts such as bias, judgment, and assumptions. Builds in strategic stops that help you chunk your learning, stay focused, and make your work work for you. Provides a flexible and repeatable process that acts as a feedback loop. Life is filled with uncertainty, but that uncertainty needn’t hobble us. Problem Solved offers a proactive way to work with, and work through, ambiguity to make thoughtful, confident decisions despite our uncertain and volatile world.
