Crisis Deterrence In The Taiwan Strait

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Crisis Deterrence in the Taiwan Strait

Author : Douglas McCready
Publisher : Strategic Studies Institute U. S. Army War College
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 56 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (243 download)

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Book Synopsis Crisis Deterrence in the Taiwan Strait by : Douglas McCready

Download or read book Crisis Deterrence in the Taiwan Strait written by Douglas McCready and published by Strategic Studies Institute U. S. Army War College. This book was released on 2003 with total page 56 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: For more than 50 years, Taiwan's unresolved international status has been the cause of repeated crises in East Asia. While the parties involved could be willing to live with the status quo, the domestic political transformation of Taiwan has called the status quo into question. China, Taiwan, the United States, and Japan have national interests in how the conflict is resolved, and these interests will be difficult to reconcile. By conventional measures, China cannot gain Taiwan by force before the end of this decade. Chinese leaders believe that, b y using asymmetrical means, they will be able to overcome the military advantage of the United States and Taiwan. While the United States will be able to delay Chinese action against Taiwan, it is unlikely to be successful at long-term deterrence. Deterrence, as used against the Soviet Union during the Cold War, will not be effective with China without significant modification. The cultural divide affects not only deterrence theory, but also how China and the United States understand and communicate with each other. Crisis deterrence in the Taiwan Strait is unlikely to succeed due to conflicting national interests and several crucial mutual misperceptions.

Crisis Deterrence in the Taiwan Strait

Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (131 download)

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Book Synopsis Crisis Deterrence in the Taiwan Strait by :

Download or read book Crisis Deterrence in the Taiwan Strait written by and published by . This book was released on 2003 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Deterrence Theory and Chinese Behavior

Author : Abram N. Shulsky
Publisher : Rand Corporation
ISBN 13 : 9780833028532
Total Pages : 85 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (285 download)

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Book Synopsis Deterrence Theory and Chinese Behavior by : Abram N. Shulsky

Download or read book Deterrence Theory and Chinese Behavior written by Abram N. Shulsky and published by Rand Corporation. This book was released on 2000 with total page 85 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: China's recent reforms have led to unprecedented economic growth; if this continues, China will be able to turn its great potential power into actual power. The result could be, in the very long term, the rise of China as a rival to the United States as the world's predominant power; in the nearer term, China could become a significant rival in the East Asian region. In this context, the issue for U.S. policy is how to handle a rising power, a problem that predominant powers have faced many times throughout history. It is the contention of this report that the future Sino-U.S. context will illustrate many of the problems of deterrence theory that have been discussed in recent decades; deterrence theory will be, in general, more difficult to apply than it was in the U.S.-Soviet Cold War context. The key may be to seek nonmilitary means of deterrence, i.e., diplomatic ways to manipulate the tension to China's disadvantage.

If China Crosses the Taiwan Strait

Author : Parris H. Chang
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 224 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (318 download)

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Book Synopsis If China Crosses the Taiwan Strait by : Parris H. Chang

Download or read book If China Crosses the Taiwan Strait written by Parris H. Chang and published by . This book was released on 1993 with total page 224 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This work is an in-depth study of the threat posed by the Peoples' Republic of China to Taiwan's security and the probable international response in case of a conflict in the Taiwan Strait. Contents: Beijing's Relations with Taiwan, Parris H. Chang; The Use of Military Force Against Taiwan: Potential PRC Scenarios, Paul H.B. Godwin; U.S. Reactions to the PRC Use of Force Against Taiwan, Mark S. Pratt; International Legal Implications of a PRC Use of Military Force Against Taiwan, David J. Scheffer; The International Response, Harvey J. Feldman; Asian Responses to Chinese Pressures on Taiwan, Paul H. Kreisberg; The U.S. and the Changing East Asian Order: Implications for Taiwan's Ability to Deter Possible Threats from the Mainland, Robert G. Sutter; International Reactions and Responses to PRC Uses of Force Against Taiwan, Vernon V. Aspaturian; Principles of Deterrence in the Taiwan Strait, Martin L. Lasater. Co-published with the Center for East Asian Studies.

Pivotal Deterrence and U.S. Security Policy in the Taiwan Strait

Author : Charles D. Pasquale
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 592 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (183 download)

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Book Synopsis Pivotal Deterrence and U.S. Security Policy in the Taiwan Strait by : Charles D. Pasquale

Download or read book Pivotal Deterrence and U.S. Security Policy in the Taiwan Strait written by Charles D. Pasquale and published by . This book was released on 2007 with total page 592 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Taiwan Straits

Author : Bruce A. Elleman
Publisher : Rowman & Littlefield
ISBN 13 : 0810888904
Total Pages : 254 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (18 download)

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Book Synopsis Taiwan Straits by : Bruce A. Elleman

Download or read book Taiwan Straits written by Bruce A. Elleman and published by Rowman & Littlefield. This book was released on 2014-12-16 with total page 254 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In Taiwan Straits: Crisis in Asia and the Role of the U.S. Navy, historian Bruce Elleman surveys the situation that has led to the current tensions between China and Taiwan. Starting in 1949, the final phase of the civil war in China, which ended with Communist rule of the mainland and nationalist control of Taiwan, this work explores how the 100-mile wide passage of water, known as the Taiwan Strait has served as the geographic flashpoint between the two nations. Even though U.S. Navy destroyers have patrolled this body of water from 1950 to 1979, it has seen four crises—1954-55, 1958, 1962, and, after the withdrawal of the U.S. Navy, 1995-96—that threatened to push Taiwan and China to the brink of war. Notwithstanding the role of the United States in defusing cross-strait tensions for some three decades and the cold peace that has settled in since then, the Taiwan Strait continues to be a major source of anxiety for the region and the world. Taiwan Straits: Crisis in Asia and the Role of the U.S. Navy traces the evolution of this tension between the two nations, details the history of the crises between them, and brings this story forward into the present by considering continuing sources of conflict, present diplomatic efforts by the aggrieved nations, and other key interests—from the United States and Europe to other regional powers—and future possible outcomes in the ongoing struggle between China and Taiwan relations. Simply written and cogently argued, it is the ideal source for military personnel, diplomats, and scholars and student of the modern Far East.

A Question of Time

Author : Michael Allen Hunzeker
Publisher : Center for Security Policy Studies
ISBN 13 : 1732947813
Total Pages : 128 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (329 download)

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Book Synopsis A Question of Time by : Michael Allen Hunzeker

Download or read book A Question of Time written by Michael Allen Hunzeker and published by Center for Security Policy Studies. This book was released on 2018-11 with total page 128 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Taiwan is a flourishing liberal democracy and a key player in the global economy. Yet it is far from secure. China considers it a renegade province and has not renounced its right to use force to resolve the dispute. Taiwan must therefore deter China’s aggression by convincing Chinese leaders that the costs using force against Taiwan will outweigh any possible benefits. In this monograph, a team of researchers from George Mason University and the University of Waterloo suggest a holistic strategy that Taiwan can use to enhance its conventional deterrence posture. Their conclusions are simple but radical: instead of organizing its defenses around a small inventory of conventional jets, ships and tanks, Taiwan should acquire large numbers of cheap, asymmetric weapons. It should also transform its massive reserve command into a territorial defense force trained to wage guerrilla warfare. By threatening to wage a never-ending war of denial against an invader, Taiwan can more credibly impact China’s cost-benefit calculus.

Deterrence and Strategic Culture

Author : Shu Guang Zhang
Publisher : Cornell University Press
ISBN 13 : 1501738135
Total Pages : 328 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (17 download)

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Book Synopsis Deterrence and Strategic Culture by : Shu Guang Zhang

Download or read book Deterrence and Strategic Culture written by Shu Guang Zhang and published by Cornell University Press. This book was released on 2019-06-30 with total page 328 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Does strategic thinking on the question of deterrence vary between cultures? Should practitioners assume a common understanding of deterrence regardless of national and cultural differences? Shu Guang Zhang takes on these questions by exploring Sino-American confrontations between 1949 and 1958. Zhang draws on recently declassified U.S. documents and previously inaccessible Chinese Communist Party records to demonstrate that the Chinese and the Americans had vastly different assessments of each other's intentions, interests, threats, strengths, and policies during this period.

The Challenges of Deterrence in the Taiwan Strait

Author : Oriana Skylar Mastro
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (139 download)

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Book Synopsis The Challenges of Deterrence in the Taiwan Strait by : Oriana Skylar Mastro

Download or read book The Challenges of Deterrence in the Taiwan Strait written by Oriana Skylar Mastro and published by . This book was released on 2023 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

The United States, China, and Taiwan

Author : Robert Blackwill
Publisher : Council on Foreign Relations Press
ISBN 13 : 9780876092835
Total Pages : 102 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (928 download)

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Book Synopsis The United States, China, and Taiwan by : Robert Blackwill

Download or read book The United States, China, and Taiwan written by Robert Blackwill and published by Council on Foreign Relations Press. This book was released on 2021-02-11 with total page 102 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Taiwan "is becoming the most dangerous flash point in the world for a possible war that involves the United States, China, and probably other major powers," warn Robert D. Blackwill, Council on Foreign Relations (CFR) Henry A. Kissinger senior fellow for U.S. foreign policy, and Philip Zelikow, University of Virginia White Burkett Miller professor of history. In a new Council Special Report, The United States, China, and Taiwan: A Strategy to Prevent War, the authors argue that the United States should change and clarify its strategy to prevent war over Taiwan. "The U.S. strategic objective regarding Taiwan should be to preserve its political and economic autonomy, its dynamism as a free society, and U.S.-allied deterrence-without triggering a Chinese attack on Taiwan." "We do not think it is politically or militarily realistic to count on a U.S. military defeat of various kinds of Chinese assaults on Taiwan, uncoordinated with allies. Nor is it realistic to presume that, after such a frustrating clash, the United States would or should simply escalate to some sort of wide-scale war against China with comprehensive blockades or strikes against targets on the Chinese mainland." "If U.S. campaign plans postulate such unrealistic scenarios," the authors add, "they will likely be rejected by an American president and by the U.S. Congress." But, they observe, "the resulting U.S. paralysis would not be the result of presidential weakness or timidity. It might arise because the most powerful country in the world did not have credible options prepared for the most dangerous military crisis looming in front of it." Proposing "a realistic strategic objective for Taiwan, and the associated policy prescriptions, to sustain the political balance that has kept the peace for the last fifty years," the authors urge the Joe Biden administration to affirm that it is not trying to change Taiwan's status; work with its allies, especially Japan, to prepare new plans that could challenge Chinese military moves against Taiwan and help Taiwan defend itself, yet put the burden of widening a war on China; and visibly plan, beforehand, for the disruption and mobilization that could follow a wider war, but without assuming that such a war would or should escalate to the Chinese, Japanese, or American homelands. "The horrendous global consequences of a war between the United States and China, most likely over Taiwan, should preoccupy the Biden team, beginning with the president," the authors conclude.

Assessing the Threat: The Chinese Military and Taiwan's Security

Author :
Publisher : Carnegie Endowment
ISBN 13 : 9780870032813
Total Pages : 436 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (328 download)

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Book Synopsis Assessing the Threat: The Chinese Military and Taiwan's Security by :

Download or read book Assessing the Threat: The Chinese Military and Taiwan's Security written by and published by Carnegie Endowment. This book was released on with total page 436 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Since at least the early 1950s, the entire Asia-Pacific region has struggled with the complicated and complex relationship between China and Taiwan--today the Taiwan question is considered a potential flashpoint for a much larger international conflict. Bringing together experts from the United States and Taiwan, Assessing the Threat provides a comprehensive look at the dangers of military escalation in the Taiwan Strait, the latest advances in capabilities of the People's Liberation Army, and China's security relationship with the United States and the Asia-Pacific. There is increasing concern that Beijing is steadily shifting the balance of power across the Taiwan Strait in its favor. Recent advances in Chinese air and naval power, along with changes in PLA doctrine, have the potential to weaken deterrence and destabilize the cross-strait military balance. At this critical juncture, there is not question that this issue requires sustained, detailed analysis and that many measures can and should be taken to reduce the threat of conflict between China, Taiwan, and the United States. Assessing the threat offers such analysis as well as concrete suggestions and crisis management practices for government and military leaders in Washington, D.C., Beijing, and Taipei.

Dangerous Strait

Author : Nancy Bernkopf Tucker
Publisher : Columbia University Press
ISBN 13 : 0231509634
Total Pages : 287 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (315 download)

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Book Synopsis Dangerous Strait by : Nancy Bernkopf Tucker

Download or read book Dangerous Strait written by Nancy Bernkopf Tucker and published by Columbia University Press. This book was released on 2005-03-24 with total page 287 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Today the most dangerous place on earth is arguably the Taiwan Strait, where a war between the United States and China could erupt out of miscalculation, misunderstanding, or accident. How and to what degree Taiwan pursues its own national identity will have profound ramifications in its relationship with China as well as in relations between China and the United States. Events late in 2004 demonstrated the volatility of the situation, as Taiwan's legislative elections unexpectedly preserved a slim majority for supporters of closer relations with China. Beijing, nevertheless, threatened to pass an anti-secession law, apt to revitalize pro-independence forces in Taiwan—and make war more likely. Taking change as a central theme, these essays by prominent scholars and practitioners in the arena of U.S.-Taiwan-Chinese relations combine historical context with timely analysis of an accelerating crisis. The book clarifies historical developments, examines myths about past and present policies, and assesses issues facing contemporary policymakers. Moving beyond simplistic explanations that dominate discussion about the U.S.-Taiwan-China relationship, Dangerous Strait challenges common wisdom and approaches the political, economic, and strategic aspects of the cross-Strait situation anew. The result is a collection that provides fresh and much-needed insights into a complex problem and examines the ways in which catastrophe can be avoided. The essays examine a variety of issues, including the movement for independence and its place in Taiwanese domestic politics; the underlying weaknesses of democracy in Taiwan; and the significance of China and Taiwan's economic interdependence. In the security arena, contributors provide incisive critiques of Taiwan's incomplete military modernization; strains in U.S.-Taiwan relations and their differing interpretations of China's intentions; and the misguided inclination among some U.S. policymakers to abandon Washington's traditional policy of strategic ambiguity.

Strait Rituals

Author : Pang Yang Huei
Publisher : Hong Kong University Press
ISBN 13 : 9888208306
Total Pages : 337 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (882 download)

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Book Synopsis Strait Rituals by : Pang Yang Huei

Download or read book Strait Rituals written by Pang Yang Huei and published by Hong Kong University Press. This book was released on 2019-03-01 with total page 337 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The two Taiwan Strait crises took place during a particularly tense period of the Cold War. Although each incident was relatively brief, their consequences loom large. Based on analyses of newly available documents from Beijing, Taipei, and Washington, Pang Yang Huei challenges conventional wisdom that claims Sino-US misperceptions of each other’s strategic concerns were critical in the 1950s. He underscores the fact that Washington, Taipei, and Beijing were actually aware of one another’s strategic intentions during the crises. He also demonstrates conclusively that both “crises” can be understood as a transformation from tacit communication to tacit accommodation. An important contribution of this study is a better understanding of the role of ritual, symbols, and gestures in international relations. While it is true that these two crises resulted in a stalemate, the fact that all parties were able to cultivate talks and negotiations brought relations, especially between the US and China, to a new and more stable level. Simply averting the threat of war was a major achievement. Strait Rituals is an important micro-history of a significant moment during the Cold War and a rich interpretation of the theoretical use of multiple points of view in writing history. It sets a new standard for understanding China’s place in the world. “Strait Rituals is a solidly detailed and thoroughly footnoted excursion into a critical stage of Cold War history. Dr. Pang’s exhaustive archival work sets a real standard in the amalgamation of different sources to reevaluate the Taiwan Strait crises in the 1950s, the repercussions of which can still be felt today.” —Hsiao-ting Lin, Hoover Institution, Stanford University “An excellent book for those interested in the Taiwan Strait crises in the context of the overall history of international affairs in the Asia-Pacific region. The book will prove to be of great value to those interested in the history of the region that is bound to increase in importance in the years to come.” —Akira Iriye, Harvard University “Dispassionate, balanced, rigorous in the presentation of facts, much drawn from Chinese archival sources, Pang Yang Huei’s work will be indispensable for anyone seeking to understand the issues surrounding this Cold War hangover that continues to trouble contemporary politics across the Taiwan Strait.” —Geoffrey C. Gunn, Journal of Contemporary Asia

Crisis in the Taiwan Strait

Author : Doug Bereuter
Publisher : DIANE Publishing
ISBN 13 : 0788170856
Total Pages : 105 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (881 download)

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Book Synopsis Crisis in the Taiwan Strait by : Doug Bereuter

Download or read book Crisis in the Taiwan Strait written by Doug Bereuter and published by DIANE Publishing. This book was released on 1998-06 with total page 105 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Assessing the Threat

Author : Michael D. Swaine
Publisher : Carnegie Endowment for Interna
ISBN 13 : 9780870032387
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (323 download)

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Book Synopsis Assessing the Threat by : Michael D. Swaine

Download or read book Assessing the Threat written by Michael D. Swaine and published by Carnegie Endowment for Interna. This book was released on 2007 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Since at least the early 1950s, the entire Asia-Pacific region has struggled with the complicated and complex relationship between China and Taiwan--today the Taiwan question is considered a potential flashpoint for a much larger international conflict. Bringing together experts from the United States and Taiwan, Assessing the Threat provides a comprehensive look at the dangers of military escalation in the Taiwan Strait, the latest advances in capabilities of the People's Liberation Army, and China's security relationship with the United States and the Asia-Pacific. There is increasing concern that Beijing is steadily shifting the balance of power across the Taiwan Strait in its favor. Recent advances in Chinese air and naval power, along with changes in PLA doctrine, have the potential to weaken deterrence and destabilize the cross-strait military balance. At this critical juncture, there is not question that this issue requires sustained, detailed analysis and that many measures can and should be taken to reduce the threat of conflict between China, Taiwan, and the United States. Assessing the threat offers such analysis as well as concrete suggestions and crisis management practices for government and military leaders in Washington, D.C., Beijing, and Taipei.

Peaceful Rise: Using Chinese Strategic Culture to Shape Flexible Deterrent Options for a Taiwan Strait Conflict

Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 27 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (227 download)

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Book Synopsis Peaceful Rise: Using Chinese Strategic Culture to Shape Flexible Deterrent Options for a Taiwan Strait Conflict by :

Download or read book Peaceful Rise: Using Chinese Strategic Culture to Shape Flexible Deterrent Options for a Taiwan Strait Conflict written by and published by . This book was released on 2007 with total page 27 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: An understanding of China's strategic culture can significantly assist the Joint Force Commander (JFC) in planning for and responding to potential conflict in the Taiwan Strait. Flexible Deterrent Options (FDOs) are the JFC's tools to control escalation, with two basic purposes: (1) to resolve a crisis before armed conflict and, if that fails, (2) to position U.S. forces to decisively prevail in the ensuing military action. Strategic culture is best understood as the impact of a unique historical, cultural, and national perspective in shaping a nation's strategic preferences on the use of force. In the case of China, this strategic culture is based on an active defense that includes preemptive action to maintain territorial integrity and defend China's sovereignty. This paper examines the elements of deterrence -- interests, capabilities and resolve -- in terms of how Chinese strategic culture influences potential conflict across the Taiwan Strait. While this paper does not recommend specific FDOs for responding to a potential conflict with the PRC, it does offer conclusions about how the JFC's planning for a Taiwan Strait crisis is strengthened through an understanding of Chinese strategic culture.

Deterrence, Diplomacy and the Risk of Conflict Over Taiwan

Author : Bill Emmott
Publisher : Taylor & Francis
ISBN 13 : 1040224040
Total Pages : 141 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (42 download)

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Book Synopsis Deterrence, Diplomacy and the Risk of Conflict Over Taiwan by : Bill Emmott

Download or read book Deterrence, Diplomacy and the Risk of Conflict Over Taiwan written by Bill Emmott and published by Taylor & Francis. This book was released on 2024-07-15 with total page 141 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine confirmed that revived great-power competition has heightened the prospect of global conflict, while restoring the concept of deterrence to centre stage. The stakes in a conflict in East Asia, however, would be even higher than those in Ukraine. A war over Taiwan could bring the United States and China, the world’s two greatest powers, into a direct military conflict which would represent a contest for regional or global leadership and would be likely to draw other powers into the fight. Such a war – in which the nuclear question would be ever-present – can currently be described as ‘possible, avoidable, but potentially catastrophic’. In this Adelphi book, Bill Emmott evaluates the diplomatic and deterrence strategies that countries in and outside the Indo-Pacific region are using to try to reduce the risk of that conflict occurring. This book examines these strategies in the light of the lessons of the Ukraine war and identifies yardsticks with which to gauge their potential effectiveness and sustainability. Our goal, Emmott argues, must be for all sides to regard such a US–China conflict as ‘inevitably catastrophic and therefore inconceivable’.