Uncertainty Analysis with High Dimensional Dependence Modelling

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Author :
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 0470863080
Total Pages : 302 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (78 download)

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Book Synopsis Uncertainty Analysis with High Dimensional Dependence Modelling by : Dorota Kurowicka

Download or read book Uncertainty Analysis with High Dimensional Dependence Modelling written by Dorota Kurowicka and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2006-10-02 with total page 302 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Mathematical models are used to simulate complex real-world phenomena in many areas of science and technology. Large complex models typically require inputs whose values are not known with certainty. Uncertainty analysis aims to quantify the overall uncertainty within a model, in order to support problem owners in model-based decision-making. In recent years there has been an explosion of interest in uncertainty analysis. Uncertainty and dependence elicitation, dependence modelling, model inference, efficient sampling, screening and sensitivity analysis, and probabilistic inversion are among the active research areas. This text provides both the mathematical foundations and practical applications in this rapidly expanding area, including: An up-to-date, comprehensive overview of the foundations and applications of uncertainty analysis. All the key topics, including uncertainty elicitation, dependence modelling, sensitivity analysis and probabilistic inversion. Numerous worked examples and applications. Workbook problems, enabling use for teaching. Software support for the examples, using UNICORN - a Windows-based uncertainty modelling package developed by the authors. A website featuring a version of the UNICORN software tailored specifically for the book, as well as computer programs and data sets to support the examples. Uncertainty Analysis with High Dimensional Dependence Modelling offers a comprehensive exploration of a new emerging field. It will prove an invaluable text for researches, practitioners and graduate students in areas ranging from statistics and engineering to reliability and environmetrics.

Dependence Modeling

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Publisher : World Scientific
ISBN 13 : 981429988X
Total Pages : 370 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (142 download)

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Book Synopsis Dependence Modeling by : Harry Joe

Download or read book Dependence Modeling written by Harry Joe and published by World Scientific. This book was released on 2011 with total page 370 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: 1. Introduction : Dependence modeling / D. Kurowicka -- 2. Multivariate copulae / M. Fischer -- 3. Vines arise / R.M. Cooke, H. Joe and K. Aas -- 4. Sampling count variables with specified Pearson correlation : A comparison between a naive and a C-vine sampling approach / V. Erhardt and C. Czado -- 5. Micro correlations and tail dependence / R.M. Cooke, C. Kousky and H. Joe -- 6. The Copula information criterion and Its implications for the maximum pseudo-likelihood estimator / S. Gronneberg -- 7. Dependence comparisons of vine copulae with four or more variables / H. Joe -- 8. Tail dependence in vine copulae / H. Joe -- 9. Counting vines / O. Morales-Napoles -- 10. Regular vines : Generation algorithm and number of equivalence classes / H. Joe, R.M. Cooke and D. Kurowicka -- 11. Optimal truncation of vines / D. Kurowicka -- 12. Bayesian inference for D-vines : Estimation and model selection / C. Czado and A. Min -- 13. Analysis of Australian electricity loads using joint Bayesian inference of D-vines with autoregressive margins / C. Czado, F. Gartner and A. Min -- 14. Non-parametric Bayesian belief nets versus vines / A. Hanea -- 15. Modeling dependence between financial returns using pair-copula constructions / K. Aas and D. Berg -- 16. Dynamic D-vine model / A. Heinen and A. Valdesogo -- 17. Summary and future directions / D. Kurowicka

Dependence Modeling with Copulas

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Author :
Publisher : CRC Press
ISBN 13 : 1466583231
Total Pages : 479 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (665 download)

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Book Synopsis Dependence Modeling with Copulas by : Harry Joe

Download or read book Dependence Modeling with Copulas written by Harry Joe and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2014-06-26 with total page 479 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Dependence Modeling with Copulas covers the substantial advances that have taken place in the field during the last 15 years, including vine copula modeling of high-dimensional data. Vine copula models are constructed from a sequence of bivariate copulas. The book develops generalizations of vine copula models, including common and structured facto

Dependence Modeling with Copulas

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Author :
Publisher : CRC Press
ISBN 13 : 1466583223
Total Pages : 483 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (665 download)

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Book Synopsis Dependence Modeling with Copulas by : Harry Joe

Download or read book Dependence Modeling with Copulas written by Harry Joe and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2014-06-26 with total page 483 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Dependence Modeling with Copulas covers the substantial advances that have taken place in the field during the last 15 years, including vine copula modeling of high-dimensional data. Vine copula models are constructed from a sequence of bivariate copulas. The book develops generalizations of vine copula models, including common and structured factor models that extend from the Gaussian assumption to copulas. It also discusses other multivariate constructions and parametric copula families that have different tail properties and presents extensive material on dependence and tail properties to assist in copula model selection. The author shows how numerical methods and algorithms for inference and simulation are important in high-dimensional copula applications. He presents the algorithms as pseudocode, illustrating their implementation for high-dimensional copula models. He also incorporates results to determine dependence and tail properties of multivariate distributions for future constructions of copula models.

Analyzing Dependent Data with Vine Copulas

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9783030137861
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (378 download)

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Book Synopsis Analyzing Dependent Data with Vine Copulas by : Claudia Czado

Download or read book Analyzing Dependent Data with Vine Copulas written by Claudia Czado and published by . This book was released on 2019 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This textbook provides a step-by-step introduction to the class of vine copulas, their statistical inference and applications. It focuses on statistical estimation and selection methods for vine copulas in data applications. These flexible copula models can successfully accommodate any form of tail dependence and are vital to many applications in finance, insurance, hydrology, marketing, engineering, chemistry, aviation, climatology and health. The book explains the pair-copula construction principles underlying these statistical models and discusses how to perform model selection and inference. It also derives simulation algorithms and presents real-world examples to illustrate the methodological concepts. The book includes numerous exercises that facilitate and deepen readers understanding, and demonstrates how the R package VineCopula can be used to explore and build statistical dependence models from scratch. In closing, the book provides insights into recent developments and open research questions in vine copula based modeling. The book is intended for students as well as statisticians, data analysts and any other quantitatively oriented researchers who are new to the field of vine copulas. Accordingly, it provides the necessary background in multivariate statistics and copula theory for exploratory data tools, so that readers only need a basic grasp of statistics and probability.

Introduction to High-Dimensional Statistics

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Publisher : CRC Press
ISBN 13 : 1000408353
Total Pages : 410 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (4 download)

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Book Synopsis Introduction to High-Dimensional Statistics by : Christophe Giraud

Download or read book Introduction to High-Dimensional Statistics written by Christophe Giraud and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2021-08-25 with total page 410 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Praise for the first edition: "[This book] succeeds singularly at providing a structured introduction to this active field of research. ... it is arguably the most accessible overview yet published of the mathematical ideas and principles that one needs to master to enter the field of high-dimensional statistics. ... recommended to anyone interested in the main results of current research in high-dimensional statistics as well as anyone interested in acquiring the core mathematical skills to enter this area of research." —Journal of the American Statistical Association Introduction to High-Dimensional Statistics, Second Edition preserves the philosophy of the first edition: to be a concise guide for students and researchers discovering the area and interested in the mathematics involved. The main concepts and ideas are presented in simple settings, avoiding thereby unessential technicalities. High-dimensional statistics is a fast-evolving field, and much progress has been made on a large variety of topics, providing new insights and methods. Offering a succinct presentation of the mathematical foundations of high-dimensional statistics, this new edition: Offers revised chapters from the previous edition, with the inclusion of many additional materials on some important topics, including compress sensing, estimation with convex constraints, the slope estimator, simultaneously low-rank and row-sparse linear regression, or aggregation of a continuous set of estimators. Introduces three new chapters on iterative algorithms, clustering, and minimax lower bounds. Provides enhanced appendices, minimax lower-bounds mainly with the addition of the Davis-Kahan perturbation bound and of two simple versions of the Hanson-Wright concentration inequality. Covers cutting-edge statistical methods including model selection, sparsity and the Lasso, iterative hard thresholding, aggregation, support vector machines, and learning theory. Provides detailed exercises at the end of every chapter with collaborative solutions on a wiki site. Illustrates concepts with simple but clear practical examples.

Elements of Copula Modeling with R

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Author :
Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 3319896350
Total Pages : 274 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (198 download)

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Book Synopsis Elements of Copula Modeling with R by : Marius Hofert

Download or read book Elements of Copula Modeling with R written by Marius Hofert and published by Springer. This book was released on 2019-01-09 with total page 274 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book introduces the main theoretical findings related to copulas and shows how statistical modeling of multivariate continuous distributions using copulas can be carried out in the R statistical environment with the package copula (among others). Copulas are multivariate distribution functions with standard uniform univariate margins. They are increasingly applied to modeling dependence among random variables in fields such as risk management, actuarial science, insurance, finance, engineering, hydrology, climatology, and meteorology, to name a few. In the spirit of the Use R! series, each chapter combines key theoretical definitions or results with illustrations in R. Aimed at statisticians, actuaries, risk managers, engineers and environmental scientists wanting to learn about the theory and practice of copula modeling using R without an overwhelming amount of mathematics, the book can also be used for teaching a course on copula modeling.

Principles of Copula Theory

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Publisher : CRC Press
ISBN 13 : 1439884447
Total Pages : 331 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (398 download)

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Book Synopsis Principles of Copula Theory by : Fabrizio Durante

Download or read book Principles of Copula Theory written by Fabrizio Durante and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2015-07-01 with total page 331 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book gives readers the solid and formal mathematical background to apply copulas to a range of mathematical areas, such as probability, real analysis, measure theory, and algebraic structures. The authors prove the results as simply as possible and unify various methods scattered throughout the literature in common frameworks, including shuffles of copulas. They also explore connections with related functions, such as quasi-copulas, semi-copulas, and triangular norms, that have been used in different domains.

Copula Methods in Finance

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Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 0470863455
Total Pages : 310 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (78 download)

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Book Synopsis Copula Methods in Finance by : Umberto Cherubini

Download or read book Copula Methods in Finance written by Umberto Cherubini and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2004-10-22 with total page 310 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Copula Methods in Finance is the first book to address the mathematics of copula functions illustrated with finance applications. It explains copulas by means of applications to major topics in derivative pricing and credit risk analysis. Examples include pricing of the main exotic derivatives (barrier, basket, rainbow options) as well as risk management issues. Particular focus is given to the pricing of asset-backed securities and basket credit derivative products and the evaluation of counterparty risk in derivative transactions.

Analyzing Dependent Data with Vine Copulas

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Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 3030137856
Total Pages : 261 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (31 download)

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Book Synopsis Analyzing Dependent Data with Vine Copulas by : Claudia Czado

Download or read book Analyzing Dependent Data with Vine Copulas written by Claudia Czado and published by Springer. This book was released on 2019-05-14 with total page 261 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This textbook provides a step-by-step introduction to the class of vine copulas, their statistical inference and applications. It focuses on statistical estimation and selection methods for vine copulas in data applications. These flexible copula models can successfully accommodate any form of tail dependence and are vital to many applications in finance, insurance, hydrology, marketing, engineering, chemistry, aviation, climatology and health. The book explains the pair-copula construction principles underlying these statistical models and discusses how to perform model selection and inference. It also derives simulation algorithms and presents real-world examples to illustrate the methodological concepts. The book includes numerous exercises that facilitate and deepen readers’ understanding, and demonstrates how the R package VineCopula can be used to explore and build statistical dependence models from scratch. In closing, the book provides insights into recent developments and open research questions in vine copula based modeling. The book is intended for students as well as statisticians, data analysts and any other quantitatively oriented researchers who are new to the field of vine copulas. Accordingly, it provides the necessary background in multivariate statistics and copula theory for exploratory data tools, so that readers only need a basic grasp of statistics and probability.

Multivariate Models and Multivariate Dependence Concepts

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Publisher : CRC Press
ISBN 13 : 9780412073311
Total Pages : 422 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (733 download)

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Book Synopsis Multivariate Models and Multivariate Dependence Concepts by : Harry Joe

Download or read book Multivariate Models and Multivariate Dependence Concepts written by Harry Joe and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 1997-05-01 with total page 422 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book on multivariate models, statistical inference, and data analysis contains deep coverage of multivariate non-normal distributions for modeling of binary, count, ordinal, and extreme value response data. It is virtually self-contained, and includes many exercises and unsolved problems.

Copulas and Dependence Models with Applications

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Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 3319642219
Total Pages : 268 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (196 download)

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Book Synopsis Copulas and Dependence Models with Applications by : Manuel Úbeda Flores

Download or read book Copulas and Dependence Models with Applications written by Manuel Úbeda Flores and published by Springer. This book was released on 2017-10-13 with total page 268 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book presents contributions and review articles on the theory of copulas and their applications. The authoritative and refereed contributions review the latest findings in the area with emphasis on “classical” topics like distributions with fixed marginals, measures of association, construction of copulas with given additional information, etc. The book celebrates the 75th birthday of Professor Roger B. Nelsen and his outstanding contribution to the development of copula theory. Most of the book’s contributions were presented at the conference “Copulas and Their Applications” held in his honor in Almería, Spain, July 3-5, 2017. The chapter 'When Gumbel met Galambos' is published open access under a CC BY 4.0 license.

Analysis of Survival Data with Dependent Censoring

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Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 9811071640
Total Pages : 94 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (11 download)

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Book Synopsis Analysis of Survival Data with Dependent Censoring by : Takeshi Emura

Download or read book Analysis of Survival Data with Dependent Censoring written by Takeshi Emura and published by Springer. This book was released on 2018-04-05 with total page 94 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book introduces readers to copula-based statistical methods for analyzing survival data involving dependent censoring. Primarily focusing on likelihood-based methods performed under copula models, it is the first book solely devoted to the problem of dependent censoring. The book demonstrates the advantages of the copula-based methods in the context of medical research, especially with regard to cancer patients’ survival data. Needless to say, the statistical methods presented here can also be applied to many other branches of science, especially in reliability, where survival analysis plays an important role. The book can be used as a textbook for graduate coursework or a short course aimed at (bio-) statisticians. To deepen readers’ understanding of copula-based approaches, the book provides an accessible introduction to basic survival analysis and explains the mathematical foundations of copula-based survival models.

Copula Theory and Its Applications

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Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 3642124658
Total Pages : 338 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (421 download)

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Book Synopsis Copula Theory and Its Applications by : Piotr Jaworski

Download or read book Copula Theory and Its Applications written by Piotr Jaworski and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2010-07-16 with total page 338 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Copulas are mathematical objects that fully capture the dependence structure among random variables and hence offer great flexibility in building multivariate stochastic models. Since their introduction in the early 50's, copulas have gained considerable popularity in several fields of applied mathematics, such as finance, insurance and reliability theory. Today, they represent a well-recognized tool for market and credit models, aggregation of risks, portfolio selection, etc. This book is divided into two main parts: Part I - "Surveys" contains 11 chapters that provide an up-to-date account of essential aspects of copula models. Part II - "Contributions" collects the extended versions of 6 talks selected from papers presented at the workshop in Warsaw.

An Introduction to Copulas

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Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 1475730764
Total Pages : 227 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (757 download)

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Book Synopsis An Introduction to Copulas by : Roger B. Nelsen

Download or read book An Introduction to Copulas written by Roger B. Nelsen and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-03-09 with total page 227 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Copulas are functions that join multivariate distribution functions to their one-dimensional margins. The study of copulas and their role in statistics is a new but vigorously growing field. In this book the student or practitioner of statistics and probability will find discussions of the fundamental properties of copulas and some of their primary applications. The applications include the study of dependence and measures of association, and the construction of families of bivariate distributions. With nearly a hundred examples and over 150 exercises, this book is suitable as a text or for self-study. The only prerequisite is an upper level undergraduate course in probability and mathematical statistics, although some familiarity with nonparametric statistics would be useful. Knowledge of measure-theoretic probability is not required. Roger B. Nelsen is Professor of Mathematics at Lewis & Clark College in Portland, Oregon. He is also the author of "Proofs Without Words: Exercises in Visual Thinking," published by the Mathematical Association of America.

Asymmetric Dependence in Finance

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Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 1119289017
Total Pages : 312 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (192 download)

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Book Synopsis Asymmetric Dependence in Finance by : Jamie Alcock

Download or read book Asymmetric Dependence in Finance written by Jamie Alcock and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2018-06-05 with total page 312 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Avoid downturn vulnerability by managing correlation dependency Asymmetric Dependence in Finance examines the risks and benefits of asset correlation, and provides effective strategies for more profitable portfolio management. Beginning with a thorough explanation of the extent and nature of asymmetric dependence in the financial markets, this book delves into the practical measures fund managers and investors can implement to boost fund performance. From managing asymmetric dependence using Copulas, to mitigating asymmetric dependence risk in real estate, credit and CTA markets, the discussion presents a coherent survey of the state-of-the-art tools available for measuring and managing this difficult but critical issue. Many funds suffered significant losses during recent downturns, despite having a seemingly well-diversified portfolio. Empirical evidence shows that the relation between assets is much richer than previously thought, and correlation between returns is dependent on the state of the market; this book explains this asymmetric dependence and provides authoritative guidance on mitigating the risks. Examine an options-based approach to limiting your portfolio's downside risk Manage asymmetric dependence in larger portfolios and alternate asset classes Get up to speed on alternative portfolio performance management methods Improve fund performance by applying appropriate models and quantitative techniques Correlations between assets increase markedly during market downturns, leading to diversification failure at the very moment it is needed most. The 2008 Global Financial Crisis and the 2006 hedge-fund crisis provide vivid examples, and many investors still bear the scars of heavy losses from their well-managed, well-diversified portfolios. Asymmetric Dependence in Finance shows you what went wrong, and how it can be corrected and managed before the next big threat using the latest methods and models from leading research in quantitative finance.

Extreme Value Modeling and Risk Analysis

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Publisher : CRC Press
ISBN 13 : 1498701310
Total Pages : 538 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (987 download)

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Book Synopsis Extreme Value Modeling and Risk Analysis by : Dipak K. Dey

Download or read book Extreme Value Modeling and Risk Analysis written by Dipak K. Dey and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2016-01-06 with total page 538 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Extreme Value Modeling and Risk Analysis: Methods and Applications presents a broad overview of statistical modeling of extreme events along with the most recent methodologies and various applications. The book brings together background material and advanced topics, eliminating the need to sort through the massive amount of literature on the subje