Conditional Value at Risk as a Criterion for Optimal Portfolio Selection

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 110 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (181 download)

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Book Synopsis Conditional Value at Risk as a Criterion for Optimal Portfolio Selection by : Maria Betcheva

Download or read book Conditional Value at Risk as a Criterion for Optimal Portfolio Selection written by Maria Betcheva and published by . This book was released on 2005 with total page 110 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Stochastic Optimization

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Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 1475765940
Total Pages : 438 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (757 download)

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Book Synopsis Stochastic Optimization by : Stanislav Uryasev

Download or read book Stochastic Optimization written by Stanislav Uryasev and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-03-09 with total page 438 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Stochastic programming is the study of procedures for decision making under the presence of uncertainties and risks. Stochastic programming approaches have been successfully used in a number of areas such as energy and production planning, telecommunications, and transportation. Recently, the practical experience gained in stochastic programming has been expanded to a much larger spectrum of applications including financial modeling, risk management, and probabilistic risk analysis. Major topics in this volume include: (1) advances in theory and implementation of stochastic programming algorithms; (2) sensitivity analysis of stochastic systems; (3) stochastic programming applications and other related topics. Audience: Researchers and academies working in optimization, computer modeling, operations research and financial engineering. The book is appropriate as supplementary reading in courses on optimization and financial engineering.

Dynamic Mean-Risk Portfolio Selection with Multiple Risk Measures in Continuous-Time

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 36 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (13 download)

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Book Synopsis Dynamic Mean-Risk Portfolio Selection with Multiple Risk Measures in Continuous-Time by : Jianjun Gao

Download or read book Dynamic Mean-Risk Portfolio Selection with Multiple Risk Measures in Continuous-Time written by Jianjun Gao and published by . This book was released on 2014 with total page 36 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Different risk measures emphasize different aspects of a random loss. If we examine the investment performance according to different spectra of the risk measures, any policy generated from a mean-risk portfolio model with a sole risk measure may not be a good choice. We study in this paper the dynamic portfolio selection problem with multiple risk measures in a continuous-time setting. More specifically, we investigate the dynamic mean-variance-CVaR (Conditional value at Risk) formulation and the dynamic mean-variance-SFP (Safety-First-Principle) formulation, and derive analytical solutions for both problems, when all the market parameters are deterministic. Combining a downside risk measure with the variance (the second order central moment) in a dynamic mean-risk portfolio selection model helps investors control both the symmetric central risk measure and the asymmetric downside risk at the tail part of the loss. We find that the optimal portfolio policy derived from our mean-multiple risk portfolio optimization model exhibits a feature of two-side threshold type, i.e., when the current wealth level is either below or above certain threshold, the optimal policy would dictate an increase in the allocation of the risky assets. Our numerical experiments using real market data further demonstrate that our dynamic mean-multiple risk portfolio models reduce significantly both the variance and the downside risk, when compared with the static buy-and-hold portfolio policy.

Handbook Of Financial Econometrics, Mathematics, Statistics, And Machine Learning (In 4 Volumes)

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Publisher : World Scientific
ISBN 13 : 9811202400
Total Pages : 5053 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (112 download)

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Book Synopsis Handbook Of Financial Econometrics, Mathematics, Statistics, And Machine Learning (In 4 Volumes) by : Cheng Few Lee

Download or read book Handbook Of Financial Econometrics, Mathematics, Statistics, And Machine Learning (In 4 Volumes) written by Cheng Few Lee and published by World Scientific. This book was released on 2020-07-30 with total page 5053 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This four-volume handbook covers important concepts and tools used in the fields of financial econometrics, mathematics, statistics, and machine learning. Econometric methods have been applied in asset pricing, corporate finance, international finance, options and futures, risk management, and in stress testing for financial institutions. This handbook discusses a variety of econometric methods, including single equation multiple regression, simultaneous equation regression, and panel data analysis, among others. It also covers statistical distributions, such as the binomial and log normal distributions, in light of their applications to portfolio theory and asset management in addition to their use in research regarding options and futures contracts.In both theory and methodology, we need to rely upon mathematics, which includes linear algebra, geometry, differential equations, Stochastic differential equation (Ito calculus), optimization, constrained optimization, and others. These forms of mathematics have been used to derive capital market line, security market line (capital asset pricing model), option pricing model, portfolio analysis, and others.In recent times, an increased importance has been given to computer technology in financial research. Different computer languages and programming techniques are important tools for empirical research in finance. Hence, simulation, machine learning, big data, and financial payments are explored in this handbook.Led by Distinguished Professor Cheng Few Lee from Rutgers University, this multi-volume work integrates theoretical, methodological, and practical issues based on his years of academic and industry experience.

Robust Value-at-risk Optimization Approach for Portfolio Management

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 232 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (34 download)

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Book Synopsis Robust Value-at-risk Optimization Approach for Portfolio Management by : Maksim Oks

Download or read book Robust Value-at-risk Optimization Approach for Portfolio Management written by Maksim Oks and published by . This book was released on 2002 with total page 232 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Empirical Analysis of Value at Risk and Expected Shortfall in Portfolio Selection Problem

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (865 download)

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Book Synopsis Empirical Analysis of Value at Risk and Expected Shortfall in Portfolio Selection Problem by : Liyuan Ding

Download or read book Empirical Analysis of Value at Risk and Expected Shortfall in Portfolio Selection Problem written by Liyuan Ding and published by . This book was released on 2013 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Safety first criterion and mean-shortfall criterion both explore cases of assets allocation with downside risk. In this paper, I compare safety first portfolio selection problem and mean-shortfall portfolio optimization problem, considering risk averse investors in practice. Safety first portfolio selection uses Value at Risk (VaR) as a risk measure, and mean-shortfall portfolio optimization uses expected shortfall as a risk measure, respectively. VaR is estimated by implementing extreme theory using a semi-parametric method. Expected shortfall is estimated by two nonparametric methods: a natural estimation and a kernel-weighted estimation. I use daily data on three international stock indices, ranging from January 1986 to February 2012, to provide empirical evidence in asset allocations and illustrate the performances of safety first and mean-shortfall with their risk measures. Also, the historical data has been divided in two ways. One is truncated at year 1998 and explored the performance during tech boom and financial crisis. the mean-shortfall portfolio optimization with the kernel-weighted method performed better than the safety first criterion, while the safety first criterion was better than the mean-shortfall portfolio optimization with the natural estimation method. The electronic version of this dissertation is accessible from http://hdl.handle.net/1969.1/148430

Probabilistic Constrained Optimization

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Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 1475731507
Total Pages : 319 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (757 download)

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Book Synopsis Probabilistic Constrained Optimization by : Stanislav Uryasev

Download or read book Probabilistic Constrained Optimization written by Stanislav Uryasev and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-03-09 with total page 319 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Probabilistic and percentile/quantile functions play an important role in several applications, such as finance (Value-at-Risk), nuclear safety, and the environment. Recently, significant advances have been made in sensitivity analysis and optimization of probabilistic functions, which is the basis for construction of new efficient approaches. This book presents the state of the art in the theory of optimization of probabilistic functions and several engineering and finance applications, including material flow systems, production planning, Value-at-Risk, asset and liability management, and optimal trading strategies for financial derivatives (options). Audience: The book is a valuable source of information for faculty, students, researchers, and practitioners in financial engineering, operation research, optimization, computer science, and related areas.

Handbook Of The Fundamentals Of Financial Decision Making (In 2 Parts)

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Publisher : World Scientific
ISBN 13 : 981441736X
Total Pages : 941 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (144 download)

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Book Synopsis Handbook Of The Fundamentals Of Financial Decision Making (In 2 Parts) by : Leonard C Maclean

Download or read book Handbook Of The Fundamentals Of Financial Decision Making (In 2 Parts) written by Leonard C Maclean and published by World Scientific. This book was released on 2013-05-10 with total page 941 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This handbook in two parts covers key topics of the theory of financial decision making. Some of the papers discuss real applications or case studies as well. There are a number of new papers that have never been published before especially in Part II.Part I is concerned with Decision Making Under Uncertainty. This includes subsections on Arbitrage, Utility Theory, Risk Aversion and Static Portfolio Theory, and Stochastic Dominance. Part II is concerned with Dynamic Modeling that is the transition for static decision making to multiperiod decision making. The analysis starts with Risk Measures and then discusses Dynamic Portfolio Theory, Tactical Asset Allocation and Asset-Liability Management Using Utility and Goal Based Consumption-Investment Decision Models.A comprehensive set of problems both computational and review and mind expanding with many unsolved problems are in an accompanying problems book. The handbook plus the book of problems form a very strong set of materials for PhD and Masters courses both as the main or as supplementary text in finance theory, financial decision making and portfolio theory. For researchers, it is a valuable resource being an up to date treatment of topics in the classic books on these topics by Johnathan Ingersoll in 1988, and William Ziemba and Raymond Vickson in 1975 (updated 2nd edition published in 2006).

Mean-Variance Optimal Portfolio Selection with a Value-At-Risk Constraint

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Publisher : Open Dissertation Press
ISBN 13 : 9781374682924
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (829 download)

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Book Synopsis Mean-Variance Optimal Portfolio Selection with a Value-At-Risk Constraint by : Hui Deng

Download or read book Mean-Variance Optimal Portfolio Selection with a Value-At-Risk Constraint written by Hui Deng and published by Open Dissertation Press. This book was released on 2017-01-27 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This dissertation, "Mean-variance Optimal Portfolio Selection With a Value-at-risk Constraint" by Hui, Deng, 鄧惠, was obtained from The University of Hong Kong (Pokfulam, Hong Kong) and is being sold pursuant to Creative Commons: Attribution 3.0 Hong Kong License. The content of this dissertation has not been altered in any way. We have altered the formatting in order to facilitate the ease of printing and reading of the dissertation. All rights not granted by the above license are retained by the author. DOI: 10.5353/th_b4189721 Subjects: Risk Portfolio management - Mathematical models

The Mathematics of the Uncertain

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Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 3319738488
Total Pages : 897 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (197 download)

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Book Synopsis The Mathematics of the Uncertain by : Eduardo Gil

Download or read book The Mathematics of the Uncertain written by Eduardo Gil and published by Springer. This book was released on 2018-02-28 with total page 897 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book is a tribute to Professor Pedro Gil, who created the Department of Statistics, OR and TM at the University of Oviedo, and a former President of the Spanish Society of Statistics and OR (SEIO). In more than eighty original contributions, it illustrates the extent to which Mathematics can help manage uncertainty, a factor that is inherent to real life. Today it goes without saying that, in order to model experiments and systems and to analyze related outcomes and data, it is necessary to consider formal ideas and develop scientific approaches and techniques for dealing with uncertainty. Mathematics is crucial in this endeavor, as this book demonstrates. As Professor Pedro Gil highlighted twenty years ago, there are several well-known mathematical branches for this purpose, including Mathematics of chance (Probability and Statistics), Mathematics of communication (Information Theory), and Mathematics of imprecision (Fuzzy Sets Theory and others). These branches often intertwine, since different sources of uncertainty can coexist, and they are not exhaustive. While most of the papers presented here address the three aforementioned fields, some hail from other Mathematical disciplines such as Operations Research; others, in turn, put the spotlight on real-world studies and applications. The intended audience of this book is mainly statisticians, mathematicians and computer scientists, but practitioners in these areas will certainly also find the book a very interesting read.

The Handbook of Commodity Investing

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Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 0470293209
Total Pages : 986 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (72 download)

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Book Synopsis The Handbook of Commodity Investing by : Frank J. Fabozzi

Download or read book The Handbook of Commodity Investing written by Frank J. Fabozzi and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2008-06-02 with total page 986 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Filled with a comprehensive collection of information from experts in the commodity investment industry, this detailed guide shows readers how to successfully incorporate commodities into their portfolios. Created with both the professional and individual investor in mind, The Handbook of Commodity Investments covers a wide range of issues, including the risk and return of commodities, diversification benefits, risk management, macroeconomic determinants of commodity investments, and commodity trading advisors. Starting with the basics of commodity investments and moving to more complex topics, such as performance measurement, asset pricing, and value at risk, The Handbook of Commodity Investments is a reliable resource for anyone who needs to understand this dynamic market.

Gauging Risk with Higher Moments

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (897 download)

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Book Synopsis Gauging Risk with Higher Moments by : Gyöngyi Bugár

Download or read book Gauging Risk with Higher Moments written by Gyöngyi Bugár and published by . This book was released on 2009 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Operations Research Proceedings 2011

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Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 3642292100
Total Pages : 608 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (422 download)

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Book Synopsis Operations Research Proceedings 2011 by : Diethard Klatte

Download or read book Operations Research Proceedings 2011 written by Diethard Klatte and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-06-07 with total page 608 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book contains a selection of refereed papers presented at the “International Conference on Operations Research (OR 2011)” which took place at the University of Zurich from August 30 to September 2, 2011. The conference was jointly organized by the German speaking OR societies from Austria (ÖGOR), Germany (GOR) and Switzerland (SVOR) under the patronage of SVOR. More than 840 scientists and students from over 50 countries attended OR 2011 and presented 620 papers in 16 parallel topical streams, as well as special award sessions. The conference was designed according to the understanding of Operations Research as an interdisciplinary science focusing on modeling complex socio-technical systems to gain insight into behavior under interventions by decision makers. Dealing with “organized complexity” lies in the core of OR and designing useful support systems to master the challenge of system management in complex environment is the ultimate goal of our professional societies. To this end, algorithmic techniques and system modeling are two fundamental competences which are also well-balanced in these proceedings.

The Kelly Capital Growth Investment Criterion

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Publisher : World Scientific
ISBN 13 : 9814293490
Total Pages : 883 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (142 download)

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Book Synopsis The Kelly Capital Growth Investment Criterion by : Leonard C. MacLean

Download or read book The Kelly Capital Growth Investment Criterion written by Leonard C. MacLean and published by World Scientific. This book was released on 2011 with total page 883 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This volume provides the definitive treatment of fortune's formula or the Kelly capital growth criterion as it is often called. The strategy is to maximize long run wealth of the investor by maximizing the period by period expected utility of wealth with a logarithmic utility function. Mathematical theorems show that only the log utility function maximizes asymptotic long run wealth and minimizes the expected time to arbitrary large goals. In general, the strategy is risky in the short term but as the number of bets increase, the Kelly bettor's wealth tends to be much larger than those with essentially different strategies. So most of the time, the Kelly bettor will have much more wealth than these other bettors but the Kelly strategy can lead to considerable losses a small percent of the time. There are ways to reduce this risk at the cost of lower expected final wealth using fractional Kelly strategies that blend the Kelly suggested wager with cash. The various classic reprinted papers and the new ones written specifically for this volume cover various aspects of the theory and practice of dynamic investing. Good and bad properties are discussed, as are fixed-mix and volatility induced growth strategies. The relationships with utility theory and the use of these ideas by great investors are featured.

Financial Risk Forecasting

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Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 1119977118
Total Pages : 307 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (199 download)

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Book Synopsis Financial Risk Forecasting by : Jon Danielsson

Download or read book Financial Risk Forecasting written by Jon Danielsson and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2011-04-20 with total page 307 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Financial Risk Forecasting is a complete introduction to practical quantitative risk management, with a focus on market risk. Derived from the authors teaching notes and years spent training practitioners in risk management techniques, it brings together the three key disciplines of finance, statistics and modeling (programming), to provide a thorough grounding in risk management techniques. Written by renowned risk expert Jon Danielsson, the book begins with an introduction to financial markets and market prices, volatility clusters, fat tails and nonlinear dependence. It then goes on to present volatility forecasting with both univatiate and multivatiate methods, discussing the various methods used by industry, with a special focus on the GARCH family of models. The evaluation of the quality of forecasts is discussed in detail. Next, the main concepts in risk and models to forecast risk are discussed, especially volatility, value-at-risk and expected shortfall. The focus is both on risk in basic assets such as stocks and foreign exchange, but also calculations of risk in bonds and options, with analytical methods such as delta-normal VaR and duration-normal VaR and Monte Carlo simulation. The book then moves on to the evaluation of risk models with methods like backtesting, followed by a discussion on stress testing. The book concludes by focussing on the forecasting of risk in very large and uncommon events with extreme value theory and considering the underlying assumptions behind almost every risk model in practical use – that risk is exogenous – and what happens when those assumptions are violated. Every method presented brings together theoretical discussion and derivation of key equations and a discussion of issues in practical implementation. Each method is implemented in both MATLAB and R, two of the most commonly used mathematical programming languages for risk forecasting with which the reader can implement the models illustrated in the book. The book includes four appendices. The first introduces basic concepts in statistics and financial time series referred to throughout the book. The second and third introduce R and MATLAB, providing a discussion of the basic implementation of the software packages. And the final looks at the concept of maximum likelihood, especially issues in implementation and testing. The book is accompanied by a website - www.financialriskforecasting.com – which features downloadable code as used in the book.

Approximations for the Value-at-Risk Approach to Risk-Return Analysis

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 22 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (129 download)

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Book Synopsis Approximations for the Value-at-Risk Approach to Risk-Return Analysis by : Dirk Tasche

Download or read book Approximations for the Value-at-Risk Approach to Risk-Return Analysis written by Dirk Tasche and published by . This book was released on 2014 with total page 22 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: An evergreen debate in Finance concerns the rules for making portfolio hedge decisions. A traditional tool proposed in the literature is the well-known standard deviation based Sharpe Ratio, which has been recently generalized in order to involve also other popular risk measures p, such as VaR (Value-at-Risk) or CVaR (Conditional Value at Risk). This approach gives the correct choice of portfolio selection in a mean-p world as long as p is homogeneous of order 1. But, unfortunately, in important cases calculating the exact incremental Sharpe Ratio for ranking profitable portfolios turns out to be computationally too costly. Therefore, more easy-to-use rules for a rapid portfolio selection are needed. The research in this direction for VaR is just the aim of the paper. Approximation formulae are carried out which are based on certain derivatives of VaR and involve quantities similar to the skewness and kurtosis of the random variables under consid-eration. Starting point for the approximations is the observation that the partial derivatives of portfolio VaR with respect to the portfolio weights are just the conditional expectations of the asset returns given that the portfolio return equals VaR. Since the conditional expec-tation of a random variable Y given another random variable X can be considered the best possible regression of Y versus X in least squares sense, the idea is to replace the conditional expectation by polynomial regression or, more generally, by finite-dimensional regression of Y versus X. In case of the variables obeying an elliptical joint distribution, the resulting approximation formulae coincide with the exact formula for the standard deviation taken as risk measure. By means of a number of numerical examples and counter-examples the properties of the formulae are discussed.

Extreme Value Theory and Applications

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Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 1461336384
Total Pages : 526 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (613 download)

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Book Synopsis Extreme Value Theory and Applications by : J. Galambos

Download or read book Extreme Value Theory and Applications written by J. Galambos and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-12-01 with total page 526 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: It appears that we live in an age of disasters: the mighty Missis sippi and Missouri flood millions of acres, earthquakes hit Tokyo and California, airplanes crash due to mechanical failure and the seemingly ever increasing wind speeds make the storms more and more frightening. While all these may seem to be unexpected phenomena to the man on the street, they are actually happening according to well defined rules of science known as extreme value theory. We know that records must be broken in the future, so if a flood design is based on the worst case of the past then we are not really prepared against floods. Materials will fail due to fatigue, so if the body of an aircraft looks fine to the naked eye, it might still suddenly fail if the aircraft has been in operation over an extended period of time. Our theory has by now penetrated the so cial sciences, the medical profession, economics and even astronomy. We believe that our field has come of age. In or~er to fully utilize the great progress in the theory of extremes and its ever increasing acceptance in practice, an international conference was organized in which equal weight was given to theory and practice. This book is Volume I of the Proceedings of this conference. In selecting the papers for Volume lour guide was to have authoritative works with a large variety of coverage of both theory and practice.